Tag Archives: Commodity/Financial Market News

Bitcoin Fraud Concerns Draw Scrutiny From Regulators

Regulators are signaling they want more control over an expanded cryptocurrency universe that has pushed further into Wall Street activities without the investor and consumer protections that apply to traditional securities and financial services.

The catch: no single regulator inspects crypto exchanges or brokers, unlike in the securities and derivatives markets. Regulators step in only when they believe U.S. law applies to a particular cryptocurrency or transaction, based on the way the asset was sold or traded.

Once a quirky asset that required navigating special exchanges to buy, cryptocurrencies can now be easily purchased on mobile apps from PayPal Holdings Inc., Square Inc.’s Cash app and Robinhood Markets Inc.

“A lot more money is being put into it, there is a lot of trading and the uses seem to be expanding,” said Dan Berkovitz, a commissioner on the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. “I see a concern about whether we have a shadow financial system developing, and that should be a question for all of the regulators.”

Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler has told House lawmakers that investor protection rules should apply to crypto exchanges, similar to those that cover equities and derivatives. Regulated exchanges are required by law to have rules that prevent fraud and promote fairness. But crypto exchanges face no such standard, Mr. Gensler said at the Piper Sandler Global Exchange and FinTech conference last month.

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Krispy Kreme Stock Gains Nearly 24% in IPO

Text size

Doughnuts on a production line inside a Krispy Kreme Doughnuts store in Times Square in Manhattan.


Angus Mordant/Bloomberg


Krispy Kreme

led a group of six companies to the public markets on Thursday.

Besides the doughnut chain,

Acumen Pharmaceuticals,


D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading,


Evercommerce,


Torrid Holdings,

and the

Glimpse Group

made their stock-market debuts.

So far this week, 17 companies, including those six, have listed their shares. There are no initial public offerings on tap for Friday because of the holiday weekend. On Wednesday, 10 companies went public, with

Didi Global,

the Uber of China, trading flat and closing at $14.14, 14 cents above its offering price.

On Thursday, Acumen Pharmaceuticals (ticker: ABOS) was one of the first to begin trading. The stock opened at $25.07 and closed at $20.10, up nearly 26% from the offering price.

The solid performance came after Acumen increased the size of its deal by nearly 20%. The biotech company, which is developing therapies to treat Alzheimer’s disease, collected about $160 million. It sold roughly 10 million shares at $16, the top of its $14-to-$16 range.

The Glimpse Group (VRAR), which develops and commercializes virtual and augmented reality software products, also opened. Shares kicked off at $11.75 and ended at $17.66, up 152% from its offer price. Glimpse delivered Thursday’s smallest deal. The company collected $12.3 million, after selling 1.75 million shares at $7, the midpoint of its $6-to-$8 price range.

Torrid Holdings (CURV) shares rose 15% from the offer price to close at $24.15. The direct-to-consumer retailer of plus-sized women’s clothes increased the size of its deal twice. It filed to offer 8 million shares at $18 to $21, which it boosted Wednesday to 10 million. It ended up selling 11 million shares at $21, the top of its expected range, raising $231 million. Sycamore Partners, the retail-focused private-equity firm, will own nearly 76% of Torrid after the IPO. 

Krispy Kreme (DNUT), the most well-known of Thursday’s group, kicked off at $16.30 and ended at $21, up nearly 24% from the offer price. The doughnut chain increased the size of its deal by 10% but priced it well below its expected range to raise $500 million. Krispy Kreme had planned to offer 26.7 million shares at $21 to $24 each, but ended up selling 29.4 million shares at $17 each. JAB Holding, the European investment firm, will own about 39% of Krispy Kreme after the IPO

D-Market Electronic Services & Trading, or Hepsiburada (HEPS), jumped nearly 12% from its offer price to close at $13.43. Hepsiburada, which means “you can find anything you want here” in Turkish, is a leading e-commerce platform from Istanbul. The company raised $680 million after selling 56,740,000 American depositary shares at $12 each, the midpoint of its $11-to-$13 price range. Each ADS represents one class B ordinary share.

Lastly, EverCommerce (EVCM) stock opened at $20, but slipped back to close nearly 4% above its offer price at $17.60. EverCommerce’s IPO came in at $325 million after the comp[any sold 19.1 million shares at $17, the middle of its $16-to-$18 range. The company provides software for small and midsize service businesses.

Write to luisa.beltran@barrons.com

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Krispy Kreme and 5 Other IPOs to Begin Trading

Text size

Doughnuts on a production line inside a Krispy Kreme Doughnuts store in Times Square in Manhattan.


Angus Mordant/Bloomberg


Krispy Kreme

is leading a group of six companies to the public markets on Thursday.

Besides the doughnut chain,

Acumen Pharmaceuticals,


D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading,


Evercommerce,


Torrid Holdings,

and the

Glimpse Group

opened for trading.

So far this week, 17 companies, including the current six, have listed their shares. There are no initial public offerings on tap for Friday because of the holiday weekend. On Wednesday, 10 companies went public, with

Didi Global,

the Uber of China, trading flat and closing at $14.14, 14 cents above its offering price.

On Thursday, Acumen Pharmaceuticals (ticker: ABOS) was one of the first to begin trading. The stock opened at $25.07, hit a high of $26.98, and recently changed hands in afternoon trading at $20.98, up 31% from the offering price.

The solid performance came after Acumen increased the size of its deal by nearly 20%. The biotech company, which is developing therapies to treat Alzheimer’s disease, collected about $160 million. It sold roughly 10 million shares at $16, the top of its $14-to-$16 range.

The Glimpse Group (VRAR), which develops and commercializes virtual and augmented reality software products, also opened. Shares kicked off at $11.75, peaked at $16.44, and recently traded at $12.95, up nearly 85%. Glimpse delivered Thursday’s smallest deal. The company collected $12.3 million, after selling 1.75 million shares at $7, the midpoint of its $6-to-$8 price range.

Torrid Holdings (CURV) began trading, with shares rising 15% from its offering price to $24.18 in afternoon trading. The plus-size, direct-to-consumer women’s retailer increased the size of its deal twice. It filed to offer 8 million shares at $18 to $21, which it boosted Wednesday to 10 million. It ended up selling 11 million shares at $21, the top of its expected range, raising $231 million. Sycamore Partners, the retail-focused private-equity firm, will own nearly 76% of Torrid after the IPO. 

Krispy Kreme (DNUT), the most well-known of Thursday’s group, kicked off at $16.30, peaked at $20.17 and recently changed hands at $19.57, up 15% from the offer price. The doughnut chain increased the size of its deal by 10% but priced well below its expected range to raise $500 million. Krispy Kreme had planned to offer 26.7 million shares at $21 to $24 each, but ended up selling 29.4 million shares at $17 each. JAB Holding, the European investment firm, will own about 39% of Krispy Kreme after the IPO

D-Market Electronic Services & Trading, or Hepsiburada (HEPS), jumped 8% from its offer price and is trading at $13. Hepsiburada, which means “you can find anything you want here” in Turkish, is a leading e-commerce platform from Istanbul. The company raised $680 million after selling 56,740,000 American depositary shares at $12 each, the midpoint of its $11-to-$13 price range. Each ADS represents one class B ordinary share.

Lastly, Evercommerce (EVCM) also began trading. The stock opened at $20, hit a high of $21 and recently changed hands at $17.46, up nearly 3% from the offer price. Evercommerce’s IPO came in at $325 million after selling 19.1 million shares at $17, the middle of its $16-to-$18 range. The company provides SaaS software for small and midsize service businesses.

Write to luisa.beltran@barrons.com

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Didi Shares Gain 5%. The Chinese Ride-Hailing Giant Opens for Trading.

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A Didi Chuxing autonomous taxi during a pilot test drive on the streets in Shanghai.


Hector Retamal/AFP/Getty Images


Didi Global,

the Uber of China, delivered one of the year’s biggest IPOs, raising $4.4 billion. 

On Wednesday, shares of Didi (ticker: DIDI) opened at $16.65, reached a high of $18.01 and then dropped. The stock tumbled to a low of $14.10, a dime above its IPO price. This means Didi traded close to its $14 offer price and was in danger of being considered a broken deal if it drops further. In late afternoon trading, the stock rebounded and recently changed hands at $14.69, up nearly 5% from its offer price.

The muted performance came during a busy day for IPOs. Didi was one of 10 companies that opened for trading on Wednesday.

The Chinese ride-hailing behemoth said it sold 316.8 million American depositary shares at $14, the top of its $13-to-$14 price range. Four such shares represent one class A ordinary share. The company announced on Wednesday morning that it had increased the size of the deal; it had planned on offering 288 million shares.

At $14.69 a share, Didi’s valuation stood at $76.4 billion on a fully diluted basis.


SentinelOne

(S), the AI-powered cybersecurity platform, also began trading Wednesday. The stock kicked off at $46 and hit a high of $46.50. It recently traded at $42.10, up 20% from the offer price.

On Tuesday, SentinelOne collected $1.2 billion after selling 35 million shares at $35 each, above its expected price range. SentinelOne had filed to offer 32 million shares at $26 to $29 each, which it boosted to $31 to $32 a share on Monday.

Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan are the underwriters on the Didi offering.

Didi provides a smartphone app that lets users connect with vehicles and taxis for hire. Founded in 2012, it operates in nearly 4,000 cities, counties, and towns across 16 countries, its prospectus said. It had more than 493 million annual active users as of March 31. 

At $4.4 billion, Didi is the year’s second biggest IPO. Coupang (CPNG), which collected about $4.6 billion in March, remains the year’s largest IPO, Dealogic said.

Write to luisa.beltran@barrons.com

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Stocks Move Higher After Nasdaq, S&P 500 Records

U.S. stocks edged up Tuesday in a choppy trading session that saw modest gains in economically sensitive and growth stocks alike.

The S&P 500 ticked up less than 0.1% in afternoon trading, as shares of home builders, energy stocks and technology companies rose. The gains put the benchmark index on pace to close at its 33rd record of the year—a figure that would tie the number seen in all of 2020.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average also rose, gaining about 25 points, or 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite likewise edged higher, gaining 0.1% and on pace for its own record high, after wobbling between gains and losses earlier in the day.

Driving Tuesday’s rally was, in part, data from private research group The Conference Board. Its index of consumer confidence rose in June, beating analysts’ expectations. The survey found that consumers’ optimism was lifted by expectations that business conditions will improve and their own incomes will increase in the months ahead.

Additional data released Tuesday also showed that home-price growth climbed to a record high in April. Shares of home builders including PulteGroup and Lennar rallied 2.2% and 1%, respectively.

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Sizzling Stock Market Sets High Bar for Earnings Season

The stock market is running hot entering first-quarter earnings season.

A formidable rally has propelled the S&P 500 up 9.9% this year to 20 record closes, keeping stock valuations at historic highs. Some investors, though, say shares may have more room to run as the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines and bountiful government spending strengthen the outlook for corporate profits.

Earnings season kicks off in earnest this week, with results from America’s big banks—including JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and Wells Fargo & Co—and companies ranging from Delta Air Lines Inc. to PepsiCo Inc. and UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Investors will be watching for signs of confidence from executives that customer demand will keep rising and cost increases can be managed to help ease their concerns that stocks are looking expensive.

The S&P 500 traded Thursday at 22.6 times its projected earnings over the next 12 months, above the five-year average of 18.14, according to FactSet. Paying up, even for shares of high-quality companies, raises the prospect of muted future returns for shareholders.

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Cathie Wood Extends Hot Streak With ARK Space Exploration ETF

Cathie Wood’s

new

ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF

ARKX -1.09%

is already on track to be one of the most successful fund launches ever despite criticism that it doesn’t necessarily reflect the nascent space-exploration market.

Investors poured $536.2 million into the actively managed exchange-traded fund, known as ARKX, in its first five days of trading, according to FactSet data through Tuesday. That trounces the industry average of three years to gather $100 million and puts the fund on course to top $1 billion in assets within days, analysts said.

Such a milestone would put the fund in rare company: The fastest ETF to reach $1 billion was

State Street’s

SPDR Gold Trust

GLD -0.01%

fund, which hit the mark in just three days back in 2004.

“That speaks to the overall power of ARK right now,” said Nate Geraci, president of ETF Store, an investment-advisory firm. “At this point, investors think anything Cathie Wood touches turns to gold.”

The fund is ARK Investment Management LLC’s first launch in two years and stands in contrast to the lukewarm receptions its earlier products received. ARK’s flagship innovation fund, begun in 2014, took more than 3 1/2 years to reach $1 billion. Its last launch, the fintech innovation ETF in 2019, took about 21 months.

A lot has changed for ARK, though. In the span of a year, Ms. Wood’s ARK has transformed from a small, upstart manager of a handful of ETFs to one of the biggest fund managers in the U.S. The share prices of the firm’s five other actively managed ETFs doubled or tripled last year on the back of surging growth stocks such as

Tesla Inc.

and Roku Inc., earning Ms. Wood a cultlike following of individual investors who hang on her every tweet and video.

But those growth stocks are now the epicenter of a selloff that has left ARK’s older funds down at least 14% from their highs earlier this year. Rather than rolling out another fund primary tied to the tech trade, ARK has tilted nearly half of its space ETF toward manufacturers including

Lockheed Martin Corp.

,

Boeing Co.

and

Deere

DE 0.03%

& Co., a sector of the stock market that has benefited in recent months from rising interest rates and inflation expectations.

The fund is different enough for investors who say they are fans of Ms. Wood but also wary of plowing more money into a faltering tech trade.

“Most of Cathie’s ETFs are tech-heavy,” said Tré Diemer, 20 years old, a student at William & Mary who said he bought a couple of thousand dollars of ARKX shares Monday. “You look at this ETF and see a lot of names she hasn’t been as involved with.”

He already owns a variety of growth stocks and has been eyeing Ms. Wood’s other funds as a home for some of the money he earns from working as an emergency medical technician and running deliveries for

DoorDash Inc.

But tech and Ms. Wood’s other funds seemed overvalued, a point reinforced by the recent losses he said he sustained.

“You can look at this almost as a reopening ETF,” said Mr. Diemer, referring to underlying stocks poised to benefit most from a rebounding economy.

Not everyone is a fan of the fund’s makeup. Some took to social media, creating memes to mock ARK’s decision to include Deere and other companies that appear to have no significant ties to the fund’s theme of investing in space exploration and innovation. One showed a Deere tractor roving across a Mars landscape, another on the moon.

Deere, for its part, responded with several of its own memes, including one showing a UFO beaming up a tractor. Some analysts said the inclusion of Deere is less of a stretch when considering that the company makes satellite-guided machinery.

Other stocks included in the fund that seem at odds with its mandate include ARK’s passively managed 3D-printing ETF and shares of

Netflix Inc.

and

Amazon.com Inc.

Meanwhile, some of the few pure-play space stocks such as the satellite and imaging company

Maxar Technologies Inc.

didn’t make the cut. Neither did Rocket Lab USA Inc. nor Astra Space Inc., two rocket makers that are merging with blank-check companies to go public.

Ren Leggi,

a client portfolio manager at ARK, acknowledged that the holdings are causing some confusion but said that they are all in line with the fund’s mandate. “When we’re talking about space exploration and innovation, we define it as everything above ground,” said Mr. Leggi.

Share Your Thoughts

What explains the success of Cathie Wood’s latest exchange-traded fund? Join the conversation below.

The advancement of drone technology plays a big part in why several companies, including Amazon, are in the fund, said Mr. Leggi. Netflix would benefit from the rollout of satellites that enable further adoption of broadband internet for streaming, and some rocket parts are 3D-printed, he added. As for the space companies left out, Mr. Leggi said valuations of some were too rich, especially those involved with special-purpose acquisition companies, while others didn’t pass their initial evaluation of whether the stock could sustain a 15% annualized return rate.

“We still continue to track a lot of companies in case we get a market environment where there’s a broader selloff and we can get in at an attractive price,” Mr. Leggi said.

Some investors remain unconvinced.

“I was not too fond of its holdings,” said Carter Wang, who is 19 and has roughly $3,000 in four of ARK’s earlier funds. He is a fan of Ms. Wood, citing her aggressive calls on Tesla as a key reason behind his decision to invest in several of the firm’s funds. But Mr. Wang, a business management economics major at the University of California, Santa Cruz, called the inclusion of ARK’s 3D-printing ETF odd, leading him to pass on the fund.

For several ARK investors, Ms. Wood’s past performance is key. With shares of ARKX trading around $21, some investors said they see a chance to get into the firm’s next success, likening it to ARK’s innovation fund, whose share price is six times higher since it launched in 2014 and continues to command investors’ attention. (The ETF saw record daily inflows one day last week, pulling in more than $700 million.)

“It doesn’t really bother me,” said James Carter, a 31-year-old tech writer in Washington, D.C., who snapped up shares on the space fund’s first day of trading. He said his mind was set on investing in the fund since he first heard about it earlier this year, even before any of its underlying stocks had been announced. He is holding out for the possibility that the fund ends up including shares of Elon Musk’s privately held rocket company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

“I was kind of late” with the other funds, Mr. Carter said of his other ARK investments. “So I specifically set money aside for the new ARK fund just because of my interest in ARK. I wanted to get in early.”

What You Need to Know About Investing

Write to Michael Wursthorn at Michael.Wursthorn@wsj.com

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Stocks Wobble Ahead of Fed Minutes

U.S. stocks wobbled Wednesday as investors awaited notes from the Federal Reserve’s last policy meeting for clues on how officials view inflation and the pace of economic recovery.

The S&P 500 index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged higher about 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 0.1%. On Tuesday, indexes pulled back slightly after closing at record highs at the start of the week.

Signs that the economy is rebounding from its coronavirus-driven slump have buoyed investors and helped propel the major indexes to unprecedented levels this week. The rapidly progressing vaccination rollout, combined with both monetary and fiscal support, is aiding in the recovery of the labor market and the manufacturing sector. Money managers are betting that more of the economy will return to a normal footing soon and give a boost to travel and leisure companies.

“We had been expecting the data to improve about this time, and early signals are that the recovery is absolutely on track,” said Hugh Gimber, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. “This is the period where the forecast of a strong recovery in growth is starting to look more like the fact of a strong recovery in growth.”

Some investors remain nervous that the easing of restrictions, coupled with pent-up consumer demand, could drive up inflation and prompt the Fed to raise interest rates sooner than expected.

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Stock Futures Edge Down After Indexes Hit Records

U.S. stock futures edged down Tuesday, signaling that major indexes may take a breather after signs of a rapid economic recovery powered them to record highs.

Futures tied to the S&P 500 ticked down 0.1%, a day after the benchmark gauge of large-cap stocks rose to its 17th all-time closing high of 2021. Contracts for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which on Monday reached a new peak for the 18th time this year, also slipped 0.1%. Futures for the technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 index were relatively flat.

Stocks have leapt at the start of the second quarter amid optimism that government spending, vaccinations and the relaxation of restrictions are unleashing a spell of swift economic growth. A series of data have offered evidence that a rebound in activity and hiring is under way a year after the pandemic slammed the brakes on the economy. Investors are betting that sectors such as banking and mining will benefit from the reopening. Technology stocks have also climbed after wobbling at times in the first quarter.

“It looks like the U.S. [economy] has just hit the accelerator,” said Brian O’Reilly, head of market strategy for Mediolanum International Funds. The recent rally shows signs of being broad, and isn’t just concentrated in economically-sensitive sectors that suffered most from the pandemic in 2020, he added. “We’ve certainly seen a moderation in the one-way bet that was being placed until maybe the middle of March.”

The Cboe Volatility Index, which measures expected swings in the S&P 500 based on options prices, edged up to 18.04. That is near its lowest level since before the pandemic began to rattle markets in late February 2020.

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‘Increasingly euphoric’ stock-market sentiment on verge of sending ‘sell’ signal

Wall Street’s finest are so bullish on stocks that a contrarian sentiment gauge is on the verge of sending a sell signal.

BofA analysts led by Savita Subramanian said in a Thursday note that the bank’s Sell Side Indicator, which tracks the average recommended equity allocation by Wall Street’s sell-side strategists, rose for a third straight month in March to hit 59.4%, up from 59.2% in February.

That puts the indicator at a 10-year high and less than a point away from a contrarian “sell” signal, its closest since May 2007, when the S&P 500 index
SPX,
+0.88%
fell 7% over the subsequent 12-month period (see chart below).


BofA Global Research

Investors and analysts pay close attention to a range of sentiment measures. Extreme bullish or bearish readings are often viewed as contrarian signals that markets are due for a either a bounce or a pullback.

The S&P 500 on Thursday pushed above the 4,000 milestone for the first time, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+0.42%
traded not far off its all-time high. U.S. stocks rallied in the first quarter, with cyclically sensitive shares leading the way as aggressive fiscal stimulus measures and rapid vaccine rollouts stoked expectations for a post-COVID economic boom.

“Increasingly euphoric sentiment is a key reason for our neutral outlook as the cyclical rebound, vaccine, stimulus, etc. is largely priced into the market,” the analysts wrote. Stocks have rebounded sharply after plunging into a bear market that bottomed out last March as the pandemic began to take hold.

The analysts noted that since last March, the average recommended equity allocation has risen by over three times the typical rate. It’s up 450 basis points, or 4.5 percentage points, over the last 12 months versus the average of 138 basis points following previous bear markets.

“We’ve found Wall Street’s bullishness to be a reliable contrarian indicator,” they wrote.

For now, the indicator remains in “neutral” territory. What does that mean for returns?

The analysts noted that when the indicator has been at or below its current level, subsequent 12-month returns have been positive 89% of the time. While that’s encouraging, they observed that the current reading of the indicator is in line with 12-month returns of just 6%, well below the average 12-month forecast of 14% since the end of the 2008 global financial crisis, adding the standard caveat that past performance isn’t an indication of future results.

The analysts said investors would be best served by focusing on areas sensitive to the real economy, including cyclical and value stocks, capital-expenditure beneficiaries and small-caps as President Joe Biden attempts to push through his $2 trillion infrastructure spending plan.

“But it’s not all blue skies. The market appears to already be pricing in additional stimulus and the focus is shifting to paying it back (i.e., higher taxes),” they warned. “Valuations today are signaling anemic long-term returns and rising rates are also a headwind for both income investors, who have piled into equities amid low rates, and corporate margins.”

They also see room for volatility to pick up in the second half of the year. That said, “staying invested is an underappreciated way to avoid losses,” they wrote, with a focus on fundamental factors over momentum and positioning factors winning over the long run. A focus on quality stocks, which are “cheap and neglected” can also provide a hedge against volatility, they said.

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