Latest news on Russia and the war in Ukraine

Russia could be like ‘North Korea on steroids’ when Putin is replaced

Former Kremlin advisor Sergei Guriev warned that Russia could become like “North Korea on steroids” when President Vladimir Putin is replaced.

“Regimes like this change in very unpredictable ways,” Guriev told CNBC’s Steve Sedgwick at the Ambrosetti Forum in Italy. “The reason for that is Putin has built his regime in a way nobody can replace him.”

Guriev, a Russian economist who abruptly left the country in 2013, said Putin’s successor would likely not last long because the system is currently built around the 69-year-old leader.

“It could be months, it could be several years, it could be North Korea on steroids, who knows? But it could also be a situation where the system collapses and somebody who wants to rebuild the economy reaches out to the West,” Guriev said.

Read the full story here.

— Sam Meredith

The time is now for a price cap on Russian pipeline gas, EU chief says

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen says the time is now for the bloc to impose a price cap on Russian pipeline gas.

John Thys | AFP | Getty Images

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen says the 27-nation bloc must urgently establish a price cap on Russian pipeline gas flowing to Europe.

“I firmly believe that it is now time for a price cap on Russian pipeline gas to Europe,” von der Leyen told reporters, according to Reuters.

It comes shortly after Belgian Energy Minister Tinne Van der Straeten warned that the next five to 10 winters in Europe will be “terrible” unless the EU moved swiftly to impose a price cap on runaway gas prices.

— Sam Meredith

Russia warns Moldova not to threaten troops

Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov attends a news conference in Moscow, Russia June 6, 2022.

Russian Foreign Ministry | Reuters

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov warned the Eastern European country of Moldova that any threat against the security of Russian forces in the breakaway region of Transnistria would be considered an attack against Moscow.

“Everyone should understand that any kind of actions that will raise a threat to the security of our servicemen will be considered in accordance with international law as an attack on the Russian Federation,” Lavrov said, according to The Associated Press.

Internationally recognized as part of Moldova, Transnistria is situated on Ukraine’s southwestern border and is home to a sizeable pro-Russian separatist population.

Lavrov’s comments have renewed fears that the region could be at risk of being drawn into the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Moldova’s Foreign Ministry reportedly summoned the acting Russian ambassador to clarify the situation.

— Sam Meredith

UN inspectors at Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant ‘not going anywhere’

U.N. inspectors vowed to continue their visit to a Russian-held nuclear power plant in southern Ukraine despite an early shelling attack on the town next to the facility.

Genya Savilov | Afp | Getty Images

The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog, is adamant that the team will maintain a continued presence at the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant in Ukraine.

His comments come as both Russia and Ukraine say they fear a possible radiation disaster as a result of intense shelling at Europe’s largest nuclear power plant. The IAEA was finally able to visit the site on Thursday after a delay of several hours.

“We are not going anywhere,” Grossi told reporters. “The IAEA is now there, it is at the plant and it is not moving. It is going to stay there. We are going to have a continued presence there at the plant.”

Asked whether the world should be concerned about the Zaporizhzhia plant, Grossi replied: “I did not need to come here to worry about the plant. I worried, I worry and I will continue to be worried about the plant until we have a situation that is more stable, that is more predictable.”

— Sam Meredith

Russia’s energy influence over Europe may be coming to an end

While the EU is on track to beat targets for filling gas storage facilities, analysts warn that this alone will not be enough.

Picture Alliance | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

Russia’s energy influence over Europe appears to be coming to an end, energy and political analysts say, potentially alleviating the risk of further supply disruptions.

Europe in recent months has endured a sharp drop in gas exports from Russia, traditionally its largest energy supplier.

A bitter gas dispute between Brussels and Moscow following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has exacerbated the risk of recession and a winter gas shortage. What’s more, many fear Russia could soon turn off the taps completely.

Asked whether Russia’s energy influence over Europe may be coming to an end, Agathe Demarais, global forecasting director at The Economist Intelligence Unit, told CNBC, “Yes. Actually, very much so.”

“Europe is heading towards a very difficult winter, probably two years of a very difficult adjustment with a lot of economic pain. But then Europe is essentially going to become more independent with a more diversified mix,” Demarais said.

“And what that means is that Russia’s energy weapon is going to become moot,” she added.

Read the full story here.

— Sam Meredith

Oil rises as G-7 finance chiefs reportedly set to advance Russian oil price cap plan

More than 7 million Ukrainians have become refugees from Russia’s war

6 years-old twins Artur (L) and Dawid from Odessa are seen waiting at the railway station in Przemysl, southeastern Poland, on April 6, 2022.

Wojtek Radwanski | AFP | Getty Images

More 7 million Ukrainians have become refugees and moved to neighboring countries since Russia invaded Ukraine in late February, the U.N. Refugee Agency estimates.

Nearly 4 million of those people have applied for temporary resident status in neighboring Western countries, according to data collected by the agency.

“The escalation of conflict in Ukraine has caused civilian casualties and destruction of civilian infrastructure, forcing people to flee their homes seeking safety, protection and assistance,” the U.N. Refugee Agency wrote.

— Amanda Macias

Zelenskyy said that journalists were barred from touring Zaporizhzhia plant with IAEA inspectors

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy shakes hands with International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi, who is to head a planned mission to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, as Russia’s attack on Ukraine continues, in Kyiv, Ukraine August 30, 2022.

Ukrainian Presidential Press Service | via Reuters

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in a nightly address that both Ukrainian and international journalists were not allowed to tour the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant with IAEA representatives.

“Today, the IAEA mission arrived at Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. It is good that it happened, the fact itself, despite all the provocations of the Russian military and the cynical shelling of Enerhodar and the territory of the station,” said in an update on the Telegram messaging app, according to an NBC News translation.

Zelenskyy added that the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Rafael Grossi, promised him that independent journalists would accompany the inspectors.

“Unfortunately, IAEA representatives did not protect representatives of independent media,” Zelenskyy added.

— Amanda Macias

Read CNBC’s previous live coverage here:

Read original article here

Leave a Comment