What’s next for Newsom recall efforts as signatures increase

As Gov. Gavin Newsom prepares to deliver his third State of the State Address on Tuesday, there is a growing campaign to get him out of office. Organizers of the petition to recall the governor said they have well over the number of signatures required for a special election. However, there are a few more steps before getting to that point.This campaign began nearly a year ago. Efforts to recall California’s 40th governor are ramping up as the deadline to submit signatures is fast approaching. The movement is gaining national attention. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders tweeted Tuesday, “We must all unite to oppose the recall in California.”RELATED | Newsom recall: What to know about California’s recall process for governorUC Davis political science lecturer Isaac Hale told KCRA 3 that getting a recall petition on a ballot is likely.”We could see a recall election happening at the end of the summer. August is probably early but it’s possible,” Hale said. “I think more likely if we were to see a recall election, it would be towards the end of the year.”However, he added that removing the governor may not be so cut and dry.”There have been multiple recall efforts against Gov. Newsom before and they all failed. I think the reason this one is succeeding is because of the pandemic,” Hale said. “California is a very Democratic state and a much more Democratic state than it was in 2003 when Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger won that recall election. I think this means that Gavin Newsom is probably in a much safer place than Grey Davis was back in 2003.”Recall organizers said they’ve collected 1.9 million signatures, and 1.4 million valid signatures are required for a recall. All signatures have to be submitted to county registrars by March 17. Then counties have until April 29 to give the final count to the Secretary of State’s Office.Secretary Shirley Webber’s office gets the statewide total and determines if the number of valid signatures meets the state requirement. If so, the next step would be an election.RELATED | Riggs Report: Gov. Newsom recall election looks likely this fall”It could take place sometime in the fall. It could take place towards the end of the year — that date hadn’t been pinned down yet and there’s additional uncertainty from COVID. We don’t know exactly when a recall election would take place and state government does have some discretion in setting that election date,” Hale said.Like the 2003 recall, the ballot would have two questions. First, asking voters first if they want to recall Gov. Newsom and if so, who they’d want to replace him. Political analysts believe the list of potential candidates could be lengthy.”Because they are all running together in one giant field, you could have a candidate who won with a pretty small percentage of the votes statewide and nevertheless put in the governor’s mansion,” Hale said.RELATED VIDEO BELOW | Who could replace Newsom with recall? GOP disagrees on how to pick candidatesThere is no minimum number of votes to win. So, the candidate with the majority wins. They would finish Newsom’s term and be eligible to run again in 2022.A statement from the governor’s office sent to KCRA 3 reads, “After months of chanting ‘stop the steal’, these hyper-partisan Republicans continue to tilt at windmills, despite California’s progress on vaccinating and safely reopening. The Republican recall scheme is a transparently partisan attempt to install a Trump-supporter as Governor of a state that elected Newsom and rejected Trump in historic landslides. These Republicans want to waste energy, attention, and $100 million of taxpayer funds – all of which should stay focused on vaccinating, recovering, and reopening.”

As Gov. Gavin Newsom prepares to deliver his third State of the State Address on Tuesday, there is a growing campaign to get him out of office.

Organizers of the petition to recall the governor said they have well over the number of signatures required for a special election. However, there are a few more steps before getting to that point.

This campaign began nearly a year ago. Efforts to recall California’s 40th governor are ramping up as the deadline to submit signatures is fast approaching.

The movement is gaining national attention. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders tweeted Tuesday, “We must all unite to oppose the recall in California.”

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RELATED | Newsom recall: What to know about California’s recall process for governor

UC Davis political science lecturer Isaac Hale told KCRA 3 that getting a recall petition on a ballot is likely.

“We could see a recall election happening at the end of the summer. August is probably early but it’s possible,” Hale said. “I think more likely if we were to see a recall election, it would be towards the end of the year.”

However, he added that removing the governor may not be so cut and dry.

“There have been multiple recall efforts against Gov. Newsom before and they all failed. I think the reason this one is succeeding is because of the pandemic,” Hale said. “California is a very Democratic state and a much more Democratic state than it was in 2003 when Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger won that recall election. I think this means that Gavin Newsom is probably in a much safer place than Grey Davis was back in 2003.”

Recall organizers said they’ve collected 1.9 million signatures, and 1.4 million valid signatures are required for a recall.

All signatures have to be submitted to county registrars by March 17. Then counties have until April 29 to give the final count to the Secretary of State’s Office.

Secretary Shirley Webber’s office gets the statewide total and determines if the number of valid signatures meets the state requirement. If so, the next step would be an election.

RELATED | Riggs Report: Gov. Newsom recall election looks likely this fall

“It could take place sometime in the fall. It could take place towards the end of the year — that date hadn’t been pinned down yet and there’s additional uncertainty from COVID. We don’t know exactly when a recall election would take place and state government does have some discretion in setting that election date,” Hale said.

Like the 2003 recall, the ballot would have two questions. First, asking voters first if they want to recall Gov. Newsom and if so, who they’d want to replace him. Political analysts believe the list of potential candidates could be lengthy.

“Because they are all running together in one giant field, you could have a candidate who won with a pretty small percentage of the votes statewide and nevertheless put in the governor’s mansion,” Hale said.

RELATED VIDEO BELOW | Who could replace Newsom with recall? GOP disagrees on how to pick candidates

There is no minimum number of votes to win. So, the candidate with the majority wins. They would finish Newsom’s term and be eligible to run again in 2022.

A statement from the governor’s office sent to KCRA 3 reads, “After months of chanting ‘stop the steal’, these hyper-partisan Republicans continue to tilt at windmills, despite California’s progress on vaccinating and safely reopening. The Republican recall scheme is a transparently partisan attempt to install a Trump-supporter as Governor of a state that elected Newsom and rejected Trump in historic landslides. These Republicans want to waste energy, attention, and $100 million of taxpayer funds – all of which should stay focused on vaccinating, recovering, and reopening.”



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