The cold is already in place, and a reinforcing shot of arctic air (which includes some light snow) will arrive on Friday, ensuring that the upcoming storm will be a snow event.
The big wildcard is the exact track of the storm, which will have huge ramifications for how much snow and wind we get. A track farther offshore would spare us from the brunt of the storm, while a track closer to the coast could mean near-blizzard conditions over a wide swath of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
A plowable snowfall looks likely along the I-95 corridor including New York City with at least several inches of accumulation.
Latest snowfall projections
In Lee Goldberg’s latest snowfall projections, the best chance of blizzard conditions and a foot or more of snow is from eastern Long Island into southeastern parts of New England.
At the same time, areas well north and west of New York City are likely to get 3 inches of snow or less and could be completely spared as there will be a very sharp cutoff in snowfall totals as you head away from the storm.
The most difficult area to predict snow totals is New York City and areas immediately surrounding it, which could get anywhere from 3-6 inches on the lower end, or 6-12 inches on the higher end.
Lee Goldberg says he could even see scenario where parts of the city could see a big difference in totals depending on the storm’s track, but a foot of snow is unlikely at this time.
Just to the east there could be a lot of heavy banding on Long Island which could see 6-12 inches along with coastal New Jersey.
Meanwhile, snow totals will taper off from Connecticut into the Hudson Valley.
Gusty winds, coastal flooding
Beyond the snow, the eastern end of Long Island could see 50 mph gusts of wind with a potential for moderate coastal flooding.
We’re still a couple of days from the start of the storm, so lots can change between now and then! Keep it tuned to ABC7NY as we track what could be the biggest storm of the winter so far.
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