Tag Archives: rental

‘It’s nuts’: Real estate agents describe chaos in New York City’s hot rental market

Renting an apartment in New York City this summer? Say hello to sky-high prices and a fight to the finish.

Amid the heat and the occasional rain, there’s a mad scramble to rent affordable apartments in Gotham, which has been undersupplied for many years. Real estate agents describe the mayhem when it comes to prices.

“It’s nuts,” Jessica Peters, a real estate agent with Douglas Elliman, told MarketWatch. “We can’t even keep up anymore. We’re, like, let’s just put up this crazy number, and we’re getting it.”

Offices in the city are trying to woo more employees back: The city is not near full capacity yet — foot traffic to office buildings in NYC is still down 40.6% compared to pre-pandemic levels. But some workers are coming back, restaurants, movie theaters and Broadway are back, and college students are preparing to start school. 

Consequently, the median monthly rent is up $725 in June on the year and $59 on the previous month, according to Zillow. The median monthly rent in NYC is $3,300, 53% higher than the national median of $2,155. 

‘A lot of renters will be in for a rude awakening.’


— Jessica Peters, a real estate agent with Douglas Elliman

Peters said that the reality was far worse on the ground. “I just rented something … in Williamsburg. It’s a great two-bedroom ground floor unit, with a big backyard,” she said. “We were asking $6,500. We got $7,000.”

Peters, who specializes in the Brooklyn area, said that while rental prices may be fluctuating a little, the reality is clear for someone looking to be in the city.

“If you’re coming back after not renting in either Brooklyn or Manhattan in the last ten years, a lot of renters will be in for a rude awakening,” Peters added.

(Reminder: Realtors and real estate agent make money on a commission basis, meaning the hotter the market, the higher their earnings.)

That said, the rental market in New York is reflecting a broader intensification of the inventory pressures, which is leading to bidding wars among renters across the country.

But in New York, one of the most expensive cities in the U.S., even some tenants in rent-stabilized apartments cannot catch a break. The city’s Rent Guidelines Board has signed off on hikes as high as 3.25% for new one-year leases, and 5% for two-year leases.

One of Gartenberg’s open housing listings in the Two Bridges area of Lower Manhattan.


Screenshot from Streeteasy.com

Mihal Gartenberg, a real estate agent with Coldwell Banker Warburg, said the market’s wrath was normal; it was just operating on a demand-and-supply basis.

There are people who are simply willing to pay more, he said. “It’s getting to the point where we’re not the ones deciding what these are going for,” Gartenberg added. “This is a true market enterprise.”

Technology was aiding some renters in their search for a home.

A two-bedroom luxury apartment she put on the market for rent two months ago in the Lincoln Square area attracted people streaming in during a two-hour open house in ten-minute increments, on top of prospective renters who joined on FaceTime
AAPL,
.

“We priced it in my opinion… quite high,” Gartenberg said, at $7,800, “but we ended up taking even more. The person who ended up taking the apartment offered $400 more… we had an offer of $8,200, and they also offered to pay the broker fee, which is an additional month.” 

‘I feel very uncomfortable with this idea that the first person to see a listing is the first one to get it.’

Over this past weekend, she had open houses for two apartments in the Two Bridges area in lower Manhattan.

“I’m only going to be showing it at the open house. I like to have a level playing field,” Gartenberg said ahead of the event. “I feel very uncomfortable with this idea that the first person to see a listing is the first one to get it.”

Buying a home was worth considering, the real estate agents said, given how intense the rental market has become.

Peters said many renters are attempting to become homeowners because rents have risen so dramatically. “People are starting to reevaluate whether or not they should just purchase at this point,” she said.

“Why would I want to spend $10,000 a month on a rental if I qualify for a purchase? It might not be exactly what they wanted, it might be slightly smaller, but it’s still going to be better than spending $120,000 a year in rent,” she added.

“Do not go see things at your price point,” Gartenberg said. “Because where the market is today, is going above your price point.”


(PHOTO: Getty Images)

But be prepared for bidding wars when buying for a home, Gartenberg warned. She put a newly renovated apartment in Hudson Heights on the market, which is selling “well above ask,” she said, so much that “it made me scared.” The sale on the apartment is not closed yet so she said she was not able to discuss how far above asking the bidder went.

Gartenberg priced her Two Bridges apartments at $3,550 for a two-bedroom unit on the top floor, and at $3,050 for a one-bedroom unit.

On Saturday, her open houses were full. Everything went above the ask. “We had so much interest, we were able to divert offers to a not-yet-listed apartment and rent that, too,” Gartenberg said in a follow-up email. 

Half of the offers that came in were from people who had seen the apartment via FaceTime, or from a video she had sent them.

Gartenberg offered rental tips for the summer.

Get your paperwork in order, such as your proof of income, photo ID, 1040 tax form, bank statements, and other financial documents. Also, get your job to write a letter to say you’re in good standing, Gartenberg said.

Given the number of rentals going for above asking, be prepared to look below your price point, she added. If you know which building you want to live in, get in touch with the landlord’s agent, she said, and find out what’s coming to market. 

Hunting for a rental in New York and want to share your thoughts? Write to:  aarthi@marketwatch.com

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How to find a hidden spy camera in hotel rooms and rental homes

Nearly 60% of Americans said they were worried about hidden cameras in Airbnb homes in 2019.

And 11% of vacation home renters said they had discovered a hidden camera during a stay, according to a survey by the real estate investment company IPX1031.

Spy cameras are not a new problem. In South Korea, more than 30,000 cases of filming with hidden cameras were reported to the police between 2013 and 2018, according to the New York-based non-profit organization Human Rights Watch.

The number of hidden spy camera reports has proliferated because of the increasing accessibility and inexpensiveness of such cameras, combined with the public’s growing ability to detect them, said Kenneth Bombace, CEO of intelligence firm Global Threat Solutions.

Experts share simple methods to locate hidden spy cameras in hotel rooms and rental properties.

1. Conduct a physical search

A light switch with a hidden camera (middle) on display at a spy camera shop in South Korea on March 22, 2019.

Jung Yeon-je | Afp | Getty Images

Almost all covert cameras are concealed in household devices, such as lights, thermostats, and plugged clock radios, Bombace said.

“Look and see if anything looks like it’s out of the ordinary, and then inspect it closer,” he said.

Most spy cameras are connected to an electrical source or an electronic device, Bombace added.

He said the first thing he does in a bedroom is unplug the clock radios and put them in a drawer.

Michael O’Rourke, CEO of security consulting firm Advanced Operational Concepts, also said he does exactly that.

Even well-hidden cameras will have a small amount of reflective glass from the lens, Bombace said.

“If you use flashlights and shine them on something you think could possibly hide the camera, you will see a reflection in there, which is a pretty good way of detecting if there’s a camera,” he said.

A painting installed with a hidden camera on display at a spy camera shop on March 22, 2019. Even when a camera is hidden in another device like a thermostat or an outlet, there will be some glass in there that is reflective because there will be a lens, Bombace said.

Jung Yeon-je | Afp | Getty Images

But O’Rourke said care is needed to accurately locate hidden lenses.

“A lot of people will try to do amateur lens detection, which can work,” O’Rourke said. “However, if you don’t have a good search methodology — if you go too fast, if you’re impatient — you can miss quite a bit.”

2. Look at the Wi-Fi network

A hidden camera must be connected to a local Wi-Fi network in order to be viewed remotely, Bombace said.

Hidden cameras must be connected to a local Wi-Fi network to be viewed remotely, said Global Threat Solutions CEO Kenneth Bombace.

Hispanolistic | E+ | Getty Images

Wi-Fi scanning apps like Fing can identify devices on the network that are cameras, he said.

Those who hide cameras might use a separate Wi-Fi network to stream live video footage, but Wi-Fi scanning apps can also detect how many networks are in a residence, Bombace said.

But Kody Kinzie, a security researcher at data security and analytics firm Varonis, warned that a network scanner may not catch everything.

“The next thing you can do is look for devices that are broadcasting their own network name,” he said.

He recommended using apps like WiGLE to find devices that are “broadcasting some sort of Bluetooth and Wi-Fi network name,” Kinzie added.

3. Buy a spy camera detector

If all else fails, spy camera detectors can scan for radio frequencies connected to hidden cameras. These can be easily bought online from websites like Amazon or AliExpress.

But O’Rourke noted this method works only if the hidden camera is transmitting data.

“So many of them now have SD cards that just store data to be retrieved after someone leaves,” O’Rourke said. “And so these are much more difficult to detect.”

Bombace added that while it is possible to buy a radio frequency scanner, the cheaper ones are probably not that good.

“Like anything else, you get what you pay for — if it’s $30, it’s probably not that good,” Bombace said. “Better ones are going to cost hundreds or even over $1,000.”

What to do if you find a camera

After locating a camera, immediately disconnect it without damaging it because the camera’s firmware may contain identifying information, such as login credentials and the Wi-Fi network it was connected to, Kinzie said.

Disconnect hidden cameras but don’t damage them, said Varonis security researcher Kody Kinzie.

Krisanapong Detraphiphat | Moment | Getty Images

O’Rourke said hidden cameras found in hotel rooms should be reported to the front desk. He advised then moving to another hotel instead of requesting another room.

“Once you find a camera in a room, I wouldn’t trust any other room in that entire hotel,” he said.

Bombace also recommended reporting hidden cameras to the police, even if it is just for documentation purposes, in case litigation or criminal charges should follow.

“You could also provide [the report] to Airbnb so they can prevent this person from ever doing this again,” he said.

But ultimately, Bombace said, he would not avoid renting a home over fears of spy cameras.

“I would just take common sense steps to protect yourself. And realize you’re not in your own home,” he said.

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DaBaby charged with felony battery for alleged attack on rental property owner

DaBaby has been charged with felony battery for an alleged attack on the owner of a rental property he was using to shoot a music video.

Gary Pagar claims he was physically assaulted when he tried to stop the rapper’s entourage from shooting the video on his Los Angeles property in December last year.

According to TMZ, the incident occurred when DaBaby (real name Jonathan Kirk) and his team were renting out a mansion managed by Pagar, who says he was told Kirk and his friends would only be using the property for vacation purposes.

Pagar has claimed that the rapper’s management team agreed to a 12-guest limit as outlined in the property’s rental agreement, but at one point during their week-long stay, Pagar said he noticed more than a dozen people were inside the house.

On December 2, Pagar said he stopped by the property and found in the region of 40 people on site, including a film crew who appeared to be shooting a music video for ‘Play U Lay’, a track by DaBaby’s artist Stunna4Vegas.

Pagar then claims that after he approached Kirk to try and shut down the shoot, someone in the rapper’s crew attacked the property owner. Although Kirk allegedly ordered the crew member to stop, Pagar alleges that Kirk then punched him in the face, knocking out a tooth.

Pagar filed a lawsuit against Kirk in February, which claims that he suffered serious injuries from the attack. Another member of the rapper’s team, Thankgod Awute, has also been charged with felony robbery.

DaBaby took to Twitter to respond to Pagar’s claims, writing: “Y’all keep beliving [sic] these type of people & helping em assassinate my character y’all might as well get a rope & help him hang my black ass on a tree.”

This is the latest in a long line of legal woes the rapper has been involved in over the last year.

Last week, Rolling Stone obtained security footage of a 2018 incident where Kirk shot and killed a man named Jaylin Craig at a Charlotte-area Walmart, which the rapper has consistently claimed was in self-defence.

The newly published security footage shows the lead-up to the shooting and its aftermath and appears to potentially contradict the rapper’s version of events.

He was then involved in another violent altercation last month, this time between himself and Charlotte rapper Wisdom, a recent signee to Kirk’s Billion Dollar Baby Entertainment roster.

That same month, a shooting took place at DaBaby’s home in North Carolina, leaving one person injured. While the shooter and the victim have not been named, a spokesperson from the Troutman Police Department said it was an “isolated incident” and that there was no further threat to the community.

In February, the brother of singer/rapper DaniLeigh sued DaBaby over an alleged unprovoked physical attack on him at a bowling alley in Los Angeles.



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DaBaby is charged with felony battery after allegedly attacking the owner of a rental property

Rapper DaBaby has been hit with felony battery charges for an alleged attack that happened at his music video shoot last year. 

The musician, 30, has been charged by the L.A. County District Attorney’s Office for allegedly striking property owner, Gary Pagar, after he attempted to shut down his video shoot.

The incident, which happened in early December, reportedly left Pagar with serious injuries, as reported by TMZ.  

Legal trouble: Rapper DaBaby, 30, has been hit with felony battery charges for an alleged attack that happened at his music video shoot last year: Pictured in 2021

An associate of the rapper named Thankgod Awute – who prosecutors claim was DaBaby’s ‘cohort in crime’ –  has also received felony robbery charges stemming from the event. 

DaBaby – born Jonathan Lyndale Kirk – rented Pagar’s Los Angeles mansion for a week in order to shoot a music video. 

In a lawsuit filed by the property owner last February, he alleged that the rapper and his management team agreed to keep the number of guests to 12 during his stay, as per their rental agreement. 

Serious: The musician has been charged by the L.A. County District Attorney’s Office for beating up property owner, Gary Pagar, after he attempted to shut down his video shoot (An associate of DaBaby, pictured in yellow plaid shirt, was also involved)

Short fuse: Pagar claims that after he attempted to enforce rules regarding the number of people allowed on the property, DaBaby punched him in the mouth, knocking out his tooth (DaBaby pictured in red, yellow and black shirt)

Pagar claims that after he realized there were more than 12 people at the property, DaBaby’s team falsely assured him that they would not be staying for long. 

However, when Pagar visited the property on December 2, he found that the rapper was shooting a video with ‘upwards of 40 people’ at the mansion, which violated the original lease agreement. 

While trying to resolve the situation, Pagar was allegedly assaulted by a member of DaBaby’s crew, who pushed him to the ground, as seen in the video of the incident.

DaBaby – who’s been involved in countless physical altercations over the years – then allegedly punched Pagar in the mouth, knocking out his tooth. 

The violent incident is one of many in the rapper’s history. Last weekend, he appeared to have swung his fist at a member of his own team. 

One of many: The star has been involved in countless physical altercations over the years, and recently swung his fist at his own artist, Wisdom, during a backstage altercation 

The incident, which saw him appearing to swing at Wisdom, his signed artist, happened backstage at Colonial Life Arena in Columbia, South Carolina, where DaBaby was scheduled to perform for Spring Jam 2022. 

Earlier this month, the rapper also shot someone in the leg, after alleging that they wandered onto his property, as per TMZ. No arrests were made at the time.

He’s also been embroiled in a bowling alley altercation with his ex-girlfriend DaniLeigh’s, 27, brother Brandon Bills earlier this year, with law enforcement sources saying they were investigating DaBaby for assault with a deadly weapon at the time.

Meanwhile a recent video of the rapper surfaced last weekend, showing him fatally shooting 19-year-old Jaylin Craig during a 2018 confrontation at a Walmart in North Carolina.

DaBaby was charged with carrying a concealed weapon after the shooting, but did not receive a murder charge as he claimed self-defense and reported that the victim had pulled a gun on him.

Rolling Stone published surveillance footage of the incident, sparking a debate in regards to self-defense. 

Troubled: Earlier this month, the rapper also shot someone in the leg, after alleging that they wandered onto his property, as per TMZ. No arrests were made at the time; Pictured Feb 2022

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Buybacks Hit Record After Pulling Back in 2020

Stock buybacks are back.

Companies in the S&P 500 repurchased $234.5 billion in shares during the third quarter, topping the previous record of $223 billion in the fourth quarter of 2018, according to preliminary data from S&P Dow Jones Indices. The wave of share repurchases has helped propel U.S. stock indexes to dozens of records in 2021. The S&P 500 is up 25% this year, notching 67 record closes.

More buybacks are coming. Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said he projects that S&P 500 buybacks will reach $236 billion in the fourth quarter.

S&P 500 component

Microsoft Corp.

said in September that its board had approved a plan to repurchase up to $60 billion of its stock. Car-rental company

Hertz Global Holdings Inc.

recently said it would buy back as much as $2 billion of its stock, while tech company

Dell Technologies Inc.

is planning a $5 billion share-repurchase program. 

Buybacks are just one of the forces behind the stock market’s rally. Asset prices have continued to benefit from the monetary and fiscal support that policy makers put in place to help the economy get through the pandemic. And analysts have consistently underestimated corporate earnings, which are expected to grow 45% in 2021 for companies in the S&P 500. 

Investors this week will scrutinize signals out of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting, where officials may accelerate the process of winding down a bond-buying stimulus program. Central-bank officials could also shed more light on their expectations for interest-rate increases next year.

Microsoft has approved the repurchase of up to $60 billion of its stock. Its HoloLens headset.



Photo:

Thanassis Stavrakis/Associated Press

S&P 500 buybacks plunged from nearly $199 billion in the first quarter of 2020 to just under $89 billion in the second, as companies reeling from the onset of the pandemic moved to conserve cash. Share repurchases increased in each following quarter, approaching $199 billion again in the second quarter of 2021.

Repurchases can support stocks by reducing a company’s share count, boosting its per-share profits. And they can boost investor sentiment by suggesting executives are optimistic about their companies’ prospects and confident in their financial position.

“It’s always comforting to have a management team come in and tell you how undervalued they think their shares are,” said

Anne Wickland,

a portfolio manager at Easterly Investment Partners. “It’s a vote of confidence in the longer-term outlook.” 

Her team bought shares of

Lockheed Martin Corp.

in the summer, in part because of the defense company’s share-buyback program and dividend yield. Lockheed shares fell 12% on Oct. 26 after the company reported lower-than-expected quarterly sales and revised its full-year sales forecast lower. Ms. Wickland said she believes the shares are undervalued and continues to like them.

Stock buybacks have come under fire from politicians who say companies should use cash to invest in their businesses instead of supporting their share prices. The version of the $2 trillion education, healthcare and climate spending package that passed the House in November would ​​create a 1% tax on the net value of a company’s stock buybacks. 

SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS

What is your reaction to this latest streak of stock buybacks? Join the conversation below.

The Senate hasn’t voted yet, but the buyback tax has so far generated less corporate opposition than the bill’s other tax increases. Strategists at BofA Global Research project that the proposed tax would result in a 0.3% reduction to S&P 500 per-share earnings, assuming that companies didn’t change the amount of stock they repurchase. 

Several investors said they don’t believe the tax would have much of an effect on companies’ behavior if it became law. “The 1% tax on buybacks is so low that I don’t think it will impact anything,” said

Olivier Sarfati,

head of equities at wealth-management firm GenTrust.

Write to Karen Langley at karen.langley@wsj.com

Copyright ©2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Tesla Stock Is Dropping. Here’s What’s Really Behind the Slide.

Tesla shares are dropping. Recalls and uncertainty could be responsible. A third reason, however, is most likely.


Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Text size


Tesla

stock can’t go up forever, and finally turned lower on Tuesday. Reports of recalls and uncertainty about the company’s deal with Hertz are two potential reasons, but a third factor may be the real key.

Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock was down 1.6% in morning trading, following a slump of as much as 5% before the open. The


S&P 500

and


Dow Jones Industrial Average

were up 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.

Tesla stock has been on a tear. It has risen eight of the past nine trading sessions, and has gained 70% over the past three months. Its shares have been buoyed by signs that the company really has won the EV race, signing a deal with Hertz (HTZ) for 100,000 electric vehicles. Companies such as


Ford

Motor (F) and


General Motors

(GM) have announced enormous spending plans to try to close the gap.

No surprise, then, that the stock would react badly to potentially negative headlines. First, Musk himself tweeted that Tesla had yet to sign a contract with


Hertz

(HTZZ). Then came the announcement that the company would be recalling 11,700 vehicles.

The Musk tweet, however, was intended as a positive. The Hertz deal is Tesla’s first large fleet sale. Fleet sales tend to be lower-margin. Fleet buyers look for volume discounts and don’t often buy all the high-end options individual consumers do.

Musk has assured investors, on


Twitter

(TWTR), a couple of times that Tesla is selling all the cars it can make and isn’t giving any discounts these days.

Hertz shares initially took a hit because of the tweet, starting off with a loss of about 6% in premarket trading. But nothing happens in a vacuum.

Hertz’s peer


Avis Budget

(CAR) reported better-than-expected results Monday evening, sending the stock up about 1% in premarket trading, despite year-to-date gains of about 360%. Rental-car demand and operating metrics are improving.

In late morning trading, it looked as if meme traders were squeezing short sellers, as they did with


GameStop

stock at the start of the year. Avis stock was up 162% to $450 a share, bringing Hertz is along for the ride with a gain of about 16%.

For Tesla stock, the recall might be a bigger deal than the status of the sale to Hertz. The cars are being recalled because of a software-communication error that can activate automatic emergency braking. The fix is an over-the-air software update. Tesla has faced more regulator scrutiny over driver-assistance features in recent months.

What’s more, Tesla recently introduced a “beta” version of its latest full-self-driving software to Tesla drivers who qualified for the upgrade. Tesla believes its software makes vehicles safer. Regulators, however, still need to adjust to cars being improved by software updates and how to handle changes made to software to fix bugs.

Any news, however, could have sparked a selloff in Tesla stock. The stock is extremely overbought, which is to say that it is rising quickly relative to its own history. When things get extreme, stocks can revert to the mean. Tesla’s relative strength reading is at 94. A reading of 50 is, essentially, normal and levels of above 70 generally have traders looking for a drop.

Coming into Tuesday, Tesla stock has outperformed the S&P 500 by about 77 percentage points over the past 100 days, as Datatrek Research pointed out in a Tuesday note. That’s a lot, but not unheard of for Tesla.

“Crazy as it sounds, the stock’s recent rally is pretty normal action for this name,” the research outfit said. With outperformance like that, investors don’t really need an excuse to take profits.

Tesla stock has a long way to go before it will look ripe for a hit.

Write to Ben Levisohn at ben.levisohn@barrons.com

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Avis Budget stock is soaring thanks to the rental car boom

Hertz stock, which currently is listed on Nasdaq’s bulletin board and hopes to return to the regular Nasdaq through an initial public offering, is up almost 30% since the company emerged from bankruptcy earlier this year and began trading again in July. Still, that’s nothing compared to its rival’s stock.
Shares of Avis Budget (CAR) have surged more than 110% since July and are up almost 380% so far in 2021. The company reported its third quarter results after the closing bell Monday. Needless to say, expectations were high — and Avis Budget surpassed them.

Sales nearly doubled from a year ago and net income skyrocketed 1,400 percent, easily topping forecasts and hitting a new record.

The return of leisure and business travel this year as more customers were vaccinated for Covid-19 have helped Avis Budget rebound from a dismal 2020. Shares rose about 6% in after hours trading Monday.

Surging demand for travel and rental cars

Avis Budget CEO Joe Ferraro said during the second quarter earnings call with analysts in August that the 75-year-old company posted record sales and profit margins.

“Since the pandemic began, we’ve been consistent with our message that Avis Budget Group would come out of this disruption a transformed company,” Ferraro said, “and our focus on cost discipline and operational efficiencies would position us to take maximum advantage of a rebound in travel.”

Avis Budget also has a potential ace up its sleeve that could lead to even bigger gains in sales and earnings: a fleet of used cars it can sell to dealers or consumers.

Used car prices have skyrocketed during the past two years due to a global semiconductor shortage that has hampered production of new vehicles.

Ferraro noted in August that Avis Budget did not sell any of its fleet in the second quarter because it needed the vehicles to meet demand for rental cars. But he didn’t rule out more sales in the future.

“I still think the used car market has legs,” he said. “How long that goes? I’m not totally sure. But I do think that there is some tailwinds on that.”

Time to shift into reverse?

Still, there are concerns on Wall Street about whether Avis Budget’s stock has come too far too fast.

According to Refinitiv, only three analysts recommend the stock as a buy while four have it as a hold and one rates it a sell. The consensus price target on the stock is about $128, nearly 30% below current levels.

Many investors are betting the stock will go down. More than 20% of Avis Budget’s shares are being held short, meaning that traders are borrowing them and immediately selling them in hopes to buy the shares back at a lower price and profit on the margin when they return the stock to the lender.

Disruptions in air travel could slow down rental car demand too. American Airlines (AAL) has been forced to cancel more than 2,000 flights since Friday due to weather issues and labor shortages. Southwest (LUV) has been plagued by cancellations recently as well.

Further airline issues could be problematic for Avis Budget. Ferraro pointed out in August that the rebound in air travel gave the company a big boost this summer.

“Our on-airport business has been pretty solid. And that continues,” he said. “The airports are very busy and the airlines are crowded, and our business is busy as well.”

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$300 a day for a Kia Rio. Why rental cars prices have gone insane

A year ago, air travel came to a near halt, leading to a glut of rental cars. Rental companies parked their cars in unused lots at ballparks around the nation, and cars were rented for a fraction of their normal price — or sold as used cars. The industry sold off more than a half a million cars, about a third of their combined fleets, just to generate cash they needed to survive the crisis.

Last weekend in Florida, 18 of the state’s 20 largest airports were totally out of cars, according to Jonathan Weinberg, the CEO of AutoSlash, a site that helps car renters find the lowest price. He said cars were also sold out at the airport in Phoenix and much of Hawaii. He expects the same to be the case this coming weekend, and most upcoming weekends into the summer for those who wait to reserve a car.

“We’re looking at rates of $500 a day in some places,” he said. “Last spring we were seeing $5 a day rentals in Hawaii. You’d never seen that. Now you’d kill for a car for $300 a day.”

A search of car rental sites Wednesday showed a Kia Rio, a sub-compact car, going for $300 a day in Orlando, next week. On Maui, Hawaii, the only rental available next week is a Yukon for $500 a day.

The shortage is pronounced in vacation destinations. It’s still possible to find cars elsewhere, such as Omaha, for about $300 a week, rather than a day.

“Rental car supply is normally tight around spring break, but not like this,” said Chris Woronka, analyst at Deutsche Bank who follows the industry. “Normally you have 30% more cars.”

He predicted a number of spikes in travel prices above 2019 levels as travelers start to return, especially for those who don’t book in advance. The providers — airlines, hotels or car rental companies — don’t want to bring capacity back too fast only to see travel fall off again.

“I do think you’re going to have this period of readjustment,” he said. “During this period of pent-up demand for travel but not enough supply, you should expect prices would be higher than in the past. The travel providers are testing the waters. We’re in uncharted territory. They’ve all lost a lot money in the last year.”

While airlines grounded planes and hotels have closed some floors or temporarily shut in some cases in 2020, it was easier to bring that capacity back online with rebound in travel.

“Rental cars are an extreme example,” Woronka said.

Book way ahead

Car rental companies declined to comment directly on the prices or their supply of vehicles, but they confirmed that the situation is extremely tight, and recommend that customers book well in advance of their travel.

“There are challenges in new vehicle supply, due in part to the recent global chip shortage impacting new vehicle availability,” said Sara Miller, spokesperson for Enterprise Holdings, which includes the Enterprise, Alamo and National car rental brands. “We are working closely with our partners to continue to add vehicles to our fleet … [and moving] vehicles where possible to support regional spikes in demand.”

Hertz, which is in the process of trying to win court approval to emerge from bankruptcy, also includes Dollar and Thrifty rental car brands. It sold more than 200,000 of its US fleet last year, about 42% of its supply, leaving it with just less than 300,000 US cars in the fourth quarter. Rival Avis Budget (CAR) sold 25% of its fleet. Privately held Enterprise does not report results.

“We’re seeing a surge in demand for leisure travel in vacation destinations across the industry, particularly around peak travel times like spring break. Given where the industry was during this time a year ago and we’re happy to help travelers return to the road safely,” said Lauren Luster, spokesperson for Hertz. “Because of the spike in demand and tighter fleets across the car rental industry, availability may be more limited.”

The rental car companies have started buying cars again, but after losses last year and air travel still only about half of what it was in 2019, those purchases are at a slower pace than pre-pandemic levels. Purchases of new cars by the rental companies were down more than 90% in May and June as last year. They’ve now purchased nearly 400,000 cars in the last five months, but down about 40% from its year earlier purchases, according to data from Cox Automotive.

“The car rental companies would rather not have enough supply and see some higher prices than become overfleet again because they overestimated the rebound,” said Woronka.

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Ticket? Passport? Add a Covid Vaccination Card to the List of Must-Have Travel Documents

LONDON—The world’s airlines are betting on vaccinations to restart international travel.

Two of Europe’s biggest airlines, British Airways and budget carrier Ryanair Holdings PLC, have started allowing fliers to provide Covid-19 vaccination and test-result details alongside personal data, like passport numbers and visa information, during bookings. The airlines say the move will eventually help passengers show they have been inoculated when landing at destinations that have started to welcome vaccinated travelers.

Across the U.S., domestic travel is picking up amid stabilizing or falling Covid-19 cases and a relatively quick vaccination drive. That rebound isn’t yet happening with international traffic, where a patchwork of travel bans, quarantine rules and testing requirements have stymied cross-border flights.

U.S. domestic carriers have increased scheduled capacity by more than 50% between September and March, according to aviation analytics firm Cirium. Global capacity across all international routes, meanwhile, has increased just a little over 7%.

British Airways, Ryanair and other airlines dependent on international travel are hoping to boost ticket sales by capitalizing on nascent optimism over vaccinations. Their move isn’t quite the sort of vaccination passport that some governments and international agencies are exploring to help unlock pandemic-stricken economies. Countries have considered documents that would allow vaccinated residents to visit bars and restaurants, or go to the office or a sporting event.

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GE Nears Deal to Combine Aircraft-Leasing Unit With AerCap

General Electric Co. is nearing a $30 billion-plus deal to combine its aircraft-leasing business with Ireland’s

AerCap

AER 1.62%

Holdings NV, according to people familiar with the matter, the latest in a string of moves by the industrial conglomerate to restructure its once-sprawling operations.

Though details of how the deal would be structured couldn’t be learned, it is expected to have a valuation of more than $30 billion, some of the people said. An announcement is expected Monday, assuming the talks don’t fall apart.

The

GE

GE 0.29%

unit, known as GE Capital Aviation Services, or Gecas, is the biggest remaining piece of GE Capital, a once-sprawling lending operation that rivaled the biggest U.S. banks but nearly sank the company during the 2008 financial crisis. GE already took a major step back from the lending business in 2015 when it said it would exit the bulk of GE Capital, and a deal for Gecas would represent another big move in that direction.

It would also represent another significant move by GE Chief Executive Larry Culp to right the course of a company that has been battered in recent years by souring prospects for some of its top business lines and a structure that has fallen out of favor with investors.

With more than 1,600 aircraft owned or on order, Gecas is one of the world’s biggest jet-leasing companies, alongside AerCap and Los Angeles-based Air Lease Corp. It leases passenger aircraft made by Boeing Co. and

Airbus SE

as well as regional jets and cargo planes to customers ranging from flagship airlines to startups. Gecas had $35.86 billion in assets as of Dec. 31.

AerCap has a market value of $6.5 billion and an enterprise value—adjusted for debt and cash—of about $34 billion, according to S&P Capital IQ, and around 1,400 owned or ordered aircraft. The company has experience in deal making, paying around $7.6 billion in 2014 to buy International Lease Finance Corp. AerCap’s revenue last year was about $4.4 billion, down from around $5 billion in the previous few years.

The aviation business has been hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic, which has resulted in a sharp drop in global travel and prompted airlines to ground planes. Some airlines have sought to defer lease payments or purchases of new aircraft. Gecas had an operating loss of $786 million on revenue of $3.95 billion in 2020. GE took a roughly $500 million write-down on the value of its aircraft portfolio in the fourth quarter.

Combining the companies could afford cost-cutting opportunities and help the new entity weather the downturn.

Separating Gecas could help GE with its efforts to shore up its balance sheet and improve cash flows. Despite a recent increase, GE’s share price remains below where it was before significant problems in the company’s power and finance units emerged in recent years.

The Boston company has a market value of around $119 billion after the shares more than doubled in the past six months as it posted improving results. Still, the stock has fallen by about three-quarters from the peak just over 20 years ago.

Mr. Culp became the first CEO from outside of GE in late 2018 after the company was forced to slash its dividend and sell off businesses. The former

Danaher Corp.

boss has sought to simplify GE’s wide-ranging conglomerate structure further, as other industrial giants such as Siemens AG and

Honeywell International Inc.

have done in recent years.

Activist investor Trian Fund Management LP, which has owned a significant position in the company since 2015 and holds a seat on its board, has supported such changes.

Early in his tenure, Mr. Culp said he had no plans to sell Gecas, a move his predecessor

John Flannery

had considered after the unit drew interest from private-equity firms pushing further into the leasing business.

Mr. Culp has sought to even out cash flows and refocus on core areas. Operations he has parted with include the company’s biotech business, which was purchased by Danaher in a $21 billion deal that closed last year. GE also sold its iconic lightbulb business in a much smaller deal last year, and previously said it was unloading its majority stake in oil-field-services firm Baker Hughes Co.

GE has cut overhead costs and jobs in its jet-engine unit while streamlining its power business. The pandemic continues to pressure the jet-engine business, GE’s largest division, however.

The company also makes healthcare machines and power-generating equipment, and the rest of GE Capital extends loans to help customers purchase its machines and contains legacy insurance assets too.

AerCap is based in Ireland and Gecas has headquarters there as well. The aircraft-leasing industry has long had a significant presence in Ireland due to the country’s favorable tax regime and the importance of Guinness Peat Aviation in the development of the sector. (A deal between GE and AerCap would reunite two companies that bought their main assets from GPA.) The industry has gotten more competitive as Chinese companies have gained market share, however, and the combination could help the new group stem that tide.

Shares in aircraft-leasing companies plummeted along with much of the market in the early days of the pandemic as demand from major airlines, who lease planes to avoid the costs of owning them, evaporated. But many of the major lessors’ stocks have recovered lost ground and then some in the months since as lockdowns ease and the outlook for travel improves.

AerCap’s Chief Executive Aengus Kelly said on its fourth-quarter earnings call this month that he expects airlines to shift more toward leasing planes as they rebuild their balance sheets, in what would be a boon to the company and its peers.

“Their appetite for deploying large amounts of scarce capital to aircraft purchases will remain muted for some time,” he said. “The priority will be to repay debt or government subsidies.”

Write to Cara Lombardo at cara.lombardo@wsj.com and Emily Glazer at emily.glazer@wsj.com

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