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First human challenge study of Covid-19 yields valuable insights about how we get sick

That’s just one of the findings from research that deliberately infected healthy volunteers with the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The findings were published Thursday in the journal Nature Medicine.

Challenge studies can be controversial because they involve intentionally giving someone a virus or other pathogen in order to study its effects on the human body. Even with safeguards in place, there’s an element of risk, particularly when studying a new virus.

But they are also hugely valuable for understanding the course of an infection.

“Really, there’s no other type of study where you can do that, because normally, patients only come to your attention if they have developed symptoms, and so you miss all of those preceding days when the infection is brewing,” said lead study author Dr. Christopher Chiu, an infectious disease physician and immunologist at Imperial College London.

Volunteers were carefully screened

The study began in March 2021. The 36 volunteers were between the ages of 18 and 30. They were allowed to participate only if they didn’t have any risk factors for severe Covid-19, such as being overweight, having reduced kidney or liver function, or having any heart, lung or blood problems. They also signed an extensive informed consent form to participate.

To further minimize the risks, researchers conducted the study in phases. The first 10 infected volunteers got the antiviral drug remdesivir to reduce their chances of progressing to severe disease. Researchers also had monoclonal antibodies at the ready in case anyone took a turn for the worse. Ultimately, the remdesivir proved unnecessary, and researchers never had to give anyone antibodies.

The volunteers got a tiny drop of fluid containing the originally detected strain of the virus through a long, thin tube inserted into their nose.

They were medically monitored 24 hours a day and stayed for two weeks in rooms at London’s Royal Free Hospital that had special air flow to keep the virus from escaping.

Half were infected

A total of 18 participants became infected, two of whom never developed symptoms. Among the people who got sick, their illnesses were mild. They had stuffy noses, congestion, sneezing and sore throats.

Most of the study participants who caught Covid-19 — 83% — lost their sense of smell, at least to a degree. Nine couldn’t smell at all.

This now-well-known symptom got better for most people, but six months after the study ended, there’s one person whose sense of smell isn’t back to normal but is improving.

That’s a concern because another recent study found that this loss of smell was tied to changes in the brain.

Chiu says the researchers gave the participants cognitive tests to check their short-term memory and reaction time. They’re still looking at that data, but he thinks those tests “will really be informative.”

None of the study volunteers developed lung involvement in their infections. Chiu thinks this is because they were young and healthy and inoculated with tiny amounts of virus.

Beyond the loss of smell, no other symptoms persisted.

A closer look at infection as it moves through the body

Under these carefully controlled conditions, researchers were able to learn a lot about the virus and how it moves through the body:

  • Tiny amounts of virus, about 10 microns — the amount in a single droplet someone sneezes or coughs — can make someone sick.
  • Covid-19 has a very short incubation period. It takes about two days after infection for a person to start shedding virus.
  • People shed high amounts of virus before they show symptoms (confirming something epidemiologists had figured out).
  • On average, the young, healthy study volunteers shed virus for 6½ days, but some shed virus for 12 days.
  • Infected people can shed high levels of virus without any symptoms.
  • About 40 hours after the virus was introduced, it could be detected in the back of the throat.
  • It took about 58 hours for virus to show up on swabs from the nose, where it eventually grew to much higher levels.
  • Lateral flow tests, the rapid at-home kind, work really well for detecting when a person is contagious. The study found that these kinds of tests could diagnose infection before 70% to 80% of viable virus had been generated.

Chiu says his study emphasizes a lot of what we already know about Covid-19 infections, not least of which is why it’s so important to cover both your mouth and nose when sick to help protect others.

More challenge studies planned

This challenge study was so successful that Chiu plans to do it again, this time with vaccinated people infected with the Delta variant to study their immune response.

He says his team also plans to continue studying the people who didn’t get sick.

“That’s what’s really interesting,” he said. About half of the study participants never got sick and never developed antibodies, despite getting exactly the same dose of the virus.

Everyone was screened for antibodies to closely related viruses, like the original SARS virus. So it wasn’t cross-protection that kept them safe; it was something else.

“There are lots of other things that help protect us,” Chiu said. “There are barriers in the nose. There are different kinds of proteins and things which are very ancient, primordial, protective systems, and they are likely to have been contributing to them not being infected, and we’re really interested in trying to understand what those are.”

Understanding what other factors may be at play could help us provide more generalized protection to people in case of a future pandemic.

Dr. Kathryn Edwards, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at Vanderbilt University who wrote an editorial published alongside the study, said the research offers important information about infection and contagion with the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

Blood and tissue samples collected for the study will continue to be analyzed for years to come, she said. “I think those are all in the freezer, so to speak, and are being dissected. So I think that should be very powerful.”

In the end, she thinks the study has put many of the fears about human challenge studies to rest and paved the way for others.

“We won’t be doing challenge studies in babies, and we won’t be doing it in, you know, 75-year-old people with chronic lung disease,” she said. But in young, healthy people, “I think these are studies that will be helpful.”

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MIT’s new simulation reveals crucial insights into the birth of the universe

Spontaneously generating reality is a messy affair.

Our Big Bang, for example, unleashed a universe’s worth of energy and matter in an instant, then flung it omnidirectionally away at the speed of light as temperatures throughout the growing cosmos exceeded 1,000 trillion degrees Celsius in the first few nanoseconds of time’s existence. The following couple hundred million years, during which time the universe cooled to the point that particles beyond quarks and photons could exist — when actual atoms like hydrogen and helium came into being — are known as the dark ages, on account of stars not yet existing to provide light.

Eventually however, vast clouds of elemental gasses compressed themselves enough to ignite, bringing illumination to a formerly dark cosmos and driving the process of , which is why the universe isn’t still just a whole bunch of hydrogen and helium atoms. The actual process of how the light from those new stars interacted with surrounding gas clouds to create the ionized plasma that spawned heavier elements is not fully understood but a team of that their mathematical model of this turbulent epoch is the largest and most detailed devised to date.

The simulation, named in honor of the goddess of dawn, simulates the period of cosmic reionization looking at the interactions between gasses, gravity, and radiation in a 100 million cubic light year space. Researchers can scrub through a synthetic timeline extending from 400,000 years to 1 billion years after the Big Bang to see how changing different variables within the model impacts the generated outcomes.

“Thesan acts as a bridge to the early universe,” Aaron Smith, NASA Einstein Fellow in the MIT Kavli Institute for Astrophysics and Space Research, told . “It is intended to serve as an ideal simulation counterpart for upcoming observational facilities, which are poised to fundamentally alter our understanding of the cosmos.”

It boasts higher detail at a larger volume than any previous simulation thanks to a novel algorithm tracking light’s interaction with gas that dovetails with separate galaxy formation and cosmic dust behavior models.

“Thesan follows how the light from these first galaxies interacts with the gas over the first billion years and transforms the universe from neutral to ionized,” Rahul Kannan of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, which partnered with MIT and the Max Planck Institute for Astrophysics on this project, told MIT News. “This way, we automatically follow the reionization process as it unfolds.”

Powering this simulation is the supercomputer in Garching, Germany. Its 60,000 computing cores run the equivalent of 30 million CPU hours in parallel to crunch the numbers needed by Thesan. The team has already seen surprising results from the experiment as well.

“Thesan found that light doesn’t travel large distances early in the universe,” Kannan said. “In fact, this distance is very small, and only becomes large at the very end of reionization, increasing by a factor of 10 over just a few hundred million years.” 

That is, light at the end of the reionization period traveled further than researchers had previously figured. They have also noticed that the type and mass of a galaxy may influence the reionization process, though the Thesan team was quick to point out that corroborating real-world observations will be needed before that hypothesis is confirmed.

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Wild Card Round Odds, Plays and Insights for January 15, 2022

The Cincinnati Bengals will meet the Las Vegas Raiders in the AFC Wild Card round.

For more great betting and fantasy insight, join the SI Winners Club Newsletter.

Odds for Bengals vs. Raiders

Over/under insights

  • Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to score more than 48.5 points in nine of 18 games this season.
  • Las Vegas’ games have gone over 48.5 points in 15 of 32 chances this season.
  • The combined points per game average of the two teams, 49.1, is 0.6 points more than Saturday’s over/under.
  • The 47.9 combined points per game that these two squads have allowed this season are 0.6 fewer than the 48.5 total in this contest.
  • Bengals games have an average total of 46.2 points this season, 2.3 fewer than Saturday’s over/under.
  • In 2021, games involving the Raiders have averaged a total of 48.1 points, 0.4 fewer than this game’s set over/under.
  • Cincinnati has played 17 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
  • The Bengals have been favored by 5.5 points or more three times this season and covered the spread in one of them.
  • Cincinnati’s games this year have hit the over on eight of 18 set point totals (44.4%).
  • The Bengals average 27.1 points per game, comparable to the 25.8 per outing the Raiders give up.
  • When Cincinnati scores more than 25.8 points, it is 8-1 against the spread and 7-1 overall.
  • The Bengals rack up 24.3 more yards per game (361.5) than the Raiders allow per matchup (337.2).
  • In games that Cincinnati picks up over 337.2 yards, the team is 6-5 against the spread and 7-4 overall.
  • The Bengals have turned the ball over 21 times this season, six more turnovers than the Raiders have forced (15).
  • Click over to SISportsbook and find the latest spread, moneyline and total for Cincinnati’s matchup with the Raiders.
  • Against the spread, Las Vegas is 16-16-0 this year.
  • The Raiders have an against the spread record of 6-3 in their nine games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more this year.
  • Las Vegas has hit the over in 43.8% of its opportunities this season (14 times over 32 games with a set point total).
  • This year the Raiders average just 0.1 fewer points per game (22.0) than the Bengals allow (22.1).
  • Las Vegas is 14-1 against the spread and 8-0 overall in games when it scores more than 22.1 points.
  • The Raiders average 363.8 yards per game, just 13.0 more than the 350.8 the Bengals allow.
  • When Las Vegas totals over 350.8 yards, the team is 11-3 against the spread and 6-1 overall.
  • The Raiders have turned the ball over three more times (24 total) than the Bengals have forced a turnover (21) this season.

Home and road insights

  • At home this year, Cincinnati is 5-4 overall and 4-5 against the spread.
  • At home, the Bengals have one win ATS (1-1) as 5.5-point favorites or more.
  • Cincinnati has gone over the total in six of nine home games this year.
  • This season, Bengals home games average 47.5 points, 1.0 fewer than this outing’s over/under (48.5).
  • Las Vegas is 9-6 overall, and 8-7 against the spread, in away games.
  • This season, in 15 away games, Las Vegas has gone over the total six times.
  • Raiders away games this season average 48.3 total points, 0.2 fewer than this contest’s over/under (48.5).

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Miami Dolphins vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Week 16 Odds, Plays and Insights for December 27, 2021

The Miami Dolphins (7-7) will look to extend their six-game winning run when they clash with the New Orleans Saints (7-7) in Week 16.

For more great betting and fantasy insight, join the SI Winners Club Newsletter.

Odds for Dolphins vs. Saints

Over/under insights

  • Miami’s games this season have gone over 37.5 points eight of 14 times.
  • New Orleans’ games have gone over 37.5 points in 10 of 14 chances this season.
  • The combined points per game average of the two teams, 42.8, is 5.3 points above Monday’s over/under.
  • This contest’s over/under is 5.2 points under the 42.7 these two squads combine to give up per game in 2021.
  • Dolphins games this season feature an average total of 44.8 points, a number 7.3 points higher than Monday’s over/under.
  • The 44.4 PPG average total in Saints games this season is 6.9 points more than this game’s over/under.
  • Miami is 8-6-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Dolphins have an against the spread record of 3-2 in their five games when favored by 2.5 points or more so far this season.
  • Miami’s games this year have hit the over in 42.9% of its opportunities (six times in 14 games with a set point total).
  • The Dolphins score 20.4 points per game, the same number the Saints allow.
  • When Miami scores more than 20.4 points, it is 5-1 against the spread and 4-2 overall.
  • The Dolphins collect 22.2 fewer yards per game (314.7), than the Saints allow per outing (336.9).
  • Miami is 3-2 against the spread and 3-2 overall when the team churns out over 336.9 yards.
  • This year, the Dolphins have turned the ball over 23 times, four more than the Saints’ takeaways (19).
  • Click over to SISportsbook and find the latest spread, moneyline and total for Miami’s matchup with the Saints.
  • New Orleans has seven wins against the spread in 14 games this season.
  • The Saints are 5-3 ATS when underdogs by 2.5 points or more this year.
  • New Orleans’ games this season have hit the over on six of 14 set point totals (42.9%).
  • This year the Saints put up just 0.1 more points per game (22.4) than the Dolphins surrender (22.3).
  • When New Orleans scores more than 22.3 points, it is 5-2 against the spread and 5-2 overall.
  • The Saints rack up 311.7 yards per game, 37.4 fewer yards than the 349.1 the Dolphins allow.
  • New Orleans is 3-3 against the spread and 2-4 overall when the team amasses more than 349.1 yards.
  • The Saints have turned the ball over 16 times, five fewer times than the Dolphins have forced turnovers (21).

Home and road insights

  • New Orleans has two wins against the spread, and is 2-4 overall, at home this season.
  • At home, as 2.5-point underdogs or more, the Saints are winless ATS (0-2).
  • In three of six games at home this year, New Orleans has gone over the total.
  • Saints home games this season average 45.7 total points, 8.2 more than this matchup’s over/under (37.5).
  • Miami is 2-4 overall, and 3-3 against the spread, away from home.
  • The Dolphins are unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 2.5-point favorites or more on the road.
  • Miami has hit the over twice in six away games this year.
  • Dolphins away games this season average 46.1 total points, 8.6 more than this contest’s over/under (37.5).

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‘Mini psyches’ give insights into mysterious metal-rich near-Earth asteroids

An artist impression of a close flyby of the metal-rich near-Earth asteroid 1986 DA. Astronomers using the NASA Infrared Telescope Facility have confirmed that the asteroid is made of 85% metal. Credit: Addy Graham/University of Arizona

Metal-rich near-Earth asteroids, or NEAs, are rare, but their presence provides the intriguing possibility that iron, nickel and cobalt could someday be mined for use on Earth or in Space.

New research, published in the Planetary Science Journal, investigated two metal-rich asteroids in our own cosmic backyard to learn more about their origins, compositions and relationships with meteorites found on Earth.

These metal-rich NEAs were thought to be created when the cores of developing planets were catastrophically destroyed early in the solar system’s history, but little more is known about them. A team of students co-led by University of Arizona planetary science associate professor Vishnu Reddy studied asteroids 1986 DA and 2016 ED85 and discovered that their spectral signatures are quite similar to asteroid 16 Psyche, the largest metal-rich body in the solar system. Psyche, located in the main asteroid belt between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter rather than near Earth, is the target of NASA’s Psyche mission.

“Our analysis shows that both NEAs have surfaces with 85% metal such as iron and nickel and 15% silicate material, which is basically rock,” said lead author Juan Sanchez, who is based at the Planetary Science Institute. “These asteroids are similar to some stony-iron meteorites such as mesosiderites found on Earth.”

Astronomers have been speculating as to what the surface of Psyche is made of for decades. By studying metal-rich NEAs that come close to the Earth, they hope to identify specific meteorites that resemble Psyche’s surface.

“We started a compositional survey of the NEA population in 2005, when I was a graduate student, with the goal of identifying and characterizing rare NEAs such as these metal-rich asteroids,” said Reddy, principal investigator of the NASA grant that funded the work. “It is rewarding that we have discovered these ‘mini Psyches’ so close to the Earth.”

“For perspective, a 50-meter (164-foot) metallic object similar to the two asteroids we studied created the Meteor Crater in Arizona,” said Adam Battle, who is a co-author of the paper along with fellow Lunar and Planetary Laboratory graduate students Benjamin Sharkey and Theodore Kareta, and David Cantillo, an undergraduate student in the Department of Geosciences.

The paper also explored the mining potential of 1986 DA and found that the amount of iron, nickel and cobalt that could be present on the asteroid would exceed the global reserves of these metals.

Additionally, when an asteroid is catastrophically destroyed, it produces what is called an asteroid family—a bunch of small asteroids that share similar compositions and orbital paths.

The team used the compositions and orbits of asteroids 1986 DA and 2016 ED85 to identify four possible asteroid families in the outer region of the main asteroid belt, which is home to the largest reservoir of small bodies in the inner part of the solar system. This also happens to be the region where most of the largest known metallic asteroids including 16 Psyche reside.

“We believe that these two ‘mini Psyches’ are probably fragments from a large metallic asteroid in the main belt, but not 16 Psyche itself,” Cantillo said. “It’s possible that some of the iron and stony-iron meteorites found on Earth could have also come from that region in the solar system too.”


Study offers more complete view of massive asteroid Psyche


More information:
Juan A. Sanchez et al, Physical Characterization of Metal-rich Near-Earth Asteroids 6178 (1986 DA) and 2016 ED85, The Planetary Science Journal (2021). DOI: 10.3847/PSJ/ac235f
Provided by
University of Arizona

Citation:
‘Mini psyches’ give insights into mysterious metal-rich near-Earth asteroids (2021, October 1)
retrieved 1 October 2021
from https://phys.org/news/2021-10-mini-psyches-insights-mysterious-metal-rich.html

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Tesla is in decline, SUVs are king, and more insights from the world’s largest electric-vehicle market

Europe overtook China in 2020 to become the world’s largest market for electric vehicles, amid a pedal-to-the-metal push to increase EV adoption from governments and supercharged demand from consumers.

The registrations of new electric vehicles topped 1.33 million in the key European markets last year, compared with 1.25 million in China, according to a report based on public data by automotive analyst Matthias Schmidt.

The 18 markets include the European Union states — minus 13 countries in Central and Eastern Europe — as well as the U.K., Norway, Iceland, and Switzerland.

And growth will only continue, according to Schmidt, who publishes the European Electric Car Report. He projects that electric vehicles’ share of the European car market will rise from 12.4% in 2020 to 15.5% in 2021 — that is 1.91 million vehicles out of a total of 12.3 million, and an increase of 572,000 from 2020.

Key trends have emerged as Europe races to become the most important region for EVs, highlighted in the report that Schmidt shared with MarketWatch.

Among them are that the Renault Zoe is now the most popular electric vehicle in Europe, overtaking Tesla’s Model 3, which took the top spot in 2019. In fact, Tesla’s success in Europe has declined across the board over the last year, with the U.S. company delivering 97,791 cars across the continent in 2020, down from 109,467 in 2019.

Here’s what you should know:

SUVs are leading the growth

When you think of environmentally-friendly vehicles, sport-utility vehicles and crossovers probably don’t spring to mind. But this class is by far the most popular type of battery-electric vehicle in Europe, representing 27% of all registrations in 2020 and 29% in December alone.

Hyundai
005380,
+0.42%
and Kia
000270,
-1.22%
led the pack, making up 39% of battery-electric SUV and crossover volumes in 2020.

SUVs and crossovers are even more popular with hybrid buyers — accounting for 53% of plug-in hybrid electric-vehicle volumes last year.

Luxury buyers prefer hybrids

When it comes to hybrids, better is best. Premium brands made up 58% of all plug-in hybrid electric-vehicles in 2020.

Many of those cars were supplied by the German automotive giants: Volkswagen Group
VOW,
-0.40%,
which owns Audi and Porsche, Mercedes-Benz owner Daimler
DAI,
+0.46%,
and BMW
BMW,
-0.19%.

There is a coming wave from China

As Chinese car makers increase efforts to meet market demand at home and abroad, they are looking at Europe.

The volume of electric vehicles in Europe that were made by Chinese companies grew 1290% from 2019 to 2020, to 23,800 units. Much of that momentum came only recently — half of those cars arrived in the final three months of the year.

As Europeans scrambled to buy electric vehicles, the flow of cars from China also included Teslas. In December, 20% of all Tesla
TSLA,
+5.83%
models registered in Austria were manufactured in China.

Also read: Audi is betting on the luxury market in a new electric-vehicle venture with China’s oldest car maker

Government action is speeding up EV adoption

European car makers are being pushed to manufacture more electric vehicles by the threat of hundreds of millions of euros in fines from the European Union over binding emissions targets. 

Phased in through 2020, and continuing into 2021, the fleetwide average emission target for new cars must be 95 grams carbon dioxide per kilometer, which is around 4.1 liters of gasoline per 100 kilometers.

In the wake of the post-Brexit trading agreement, the U.K. government said that the country’s car makers face emissions targets “at least as ambitious” as in the EU.

EV adoption is being pushed on both sides of the market, with governments stimulating demand by providing generous incentives for buyers to trade in their gas guzzlers.

In Germany, buyers can save up to €9,000 ($10,940) on purchases of new electric vehicles. France offered incentives of up to €7,000 in 2020, but will trim that down to €6,000 in 2021. 

Regulation could hurt some bottom lines in the short-term

Volkswagen Group confirmed last week that it had not met the EU’s emissions targets for 2020, meaning that the company is on the hook for more than €100 million in fines.

Others could face the same fate, though rivals Daimler, BMW, Renault
RNO,
-0.58%,
and Peugeot (now part of Stellantis
STLA,
+1.05%
) all say they met their targets.

“Despite very ambitious efforts in electrification, it has not been possible to meet the set fleet target in full. But Volkswagen is clearly well on its way,” said Rebecca Harms, a member of the independent Volkswagen Sustainability Council.

“The key to success will be to give a greater role to smaller, efficient and affordable models in the electrification rollout.”

It is unclear how easy that will be in 2021. The COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the fewest passenger-car registrations in Europe since 1985 and, according to Schmidt, this allowed a number of car makers to meet emissions targets.

Also read: Car makers put the pedal to the metal on electric vehicles in 2020, with sales surging in one key region where Tesla lost market share

Tesla is losing dominance

Tesla comfortably topped the European EV charts in 2019. It delivered more than 109,000 vehicles that year, making up 31% of the region’s battery electric-vehicle market. 

But the tide turned in 2020, with Tesla dropping behind both the brands of Volkswagen Group, which had 24% market share, and the Renault–Nissan–Mitsubishi Alliance, with 19% market share. Last year, Tesla delivered nearly 98,000 vehicles and made up just 13% of the European market.

According to Schmidt, it was the introduction of emissions targets, and the specter of massive fines, that has accelerated European car makers’ battle against Tesla for dominance.

See also: Electric-car sales jump to record 54% market share in Norway in 2020 but Tesla loses top spot

“With 2021 getting even tougher — thanks to the phase-in year ending — Tesla will come under even more intense competition,” Schmidt said. “Come 2025 when the targets increase again, Tesla will certainly be playing against fully-fit opponents and will potentially struggle.”

However, Schmidt does note in his market outlook for 2021 that the opening of Tesla’s factory in Germany, expected to start production in the second half, is likely to double regional volumes next year.



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