Tag Archives: Financial Technology

Crypto.com Withdrawals Rise After CEO Admits Transaction Problem

Customers pulled funds from Crypto.com over the weekend after the company’s chief executive said the cryptocurrency exchange mishandled a roughly $400 million transaction. 

Crypto.com Chief Executive

Kris Marszalek

said on Twitter that the transfer was sent to the wrong type of account on another exchange. The transfer of a large chunk of ether, a popular cryptocurrency, took place on Oct. 21, but came to light after Twitter users flagged the transfer as unusual, based on publicly available blockchain transaction records.

Concerns about Singapore-based Crypto.com spread across the internet over the weekend, with prominent digital-currency figures taking aim at the company. Cryptocurrency traders are on edge following the quick collapse of FTX, which went from one of the most trusted exchanges to bankrupt in the course of a week.

Changpeng Zhao,

chief executive at Crypto.com’s larger peer Binance, appeared to question the nature of the transfers without naming the company, which may have fueled Sunday’s withdrawals, according to crypto industry players. “If an exchange [has] to move large amounts of crypto before or after they demonstrate their wallet addresses, it is a clear sign of problems,” Mr. Zhao tweeted Sunday. 

The value of Crypto.com’s own cryptocurrency sank roughly 20% Sunday from the prior 24 hours. It traded near 6 cents apiece. 

Mr. Marszalek dismissed the concerns about Crypto.com, tweeting later on Sunday that the October transfers had “generated so much [fear, uncertainty and doubt] & speculation on Twitter” weeks later.

A spokesman for Crypto.com said that the platform was seeing higher levels of activity, noting that it had assets fully matching customer deposits. “Fluctuations in deposit and withdrawal activity does not affect our levels of service,” he added.

An outside analysis of Crypto.com’s public blockchain from Argus Inc., a blockchain analysis firm, showed that between 7 p.m. EST Saturday and 5:30 a.m. EST Sunday, users withdrew a net $14 million worth of the cryptocurrency ether and $39 million worth of other tokens tied to the Ethereum network from Crypto.com. Over that same time, Crypto.com moved $33 million from other wallets to meet customer demands, according to Argus.

It appeared that Crypto.com had enough funds to meet user withdrawals, said Owen Rapaport, co-founder of Argus.

Crypto.com is a midsize exchange. It has tried to raise its profile over the past year among retail investors. In late 2021, it sponsored the arena that is home to LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers, renaming it the Crypto.com Arena from the Staples Center. It also ran its first Super Bowl ad this year and is a global partner of Formula One.

The transaction that sparked concerns about Crypto.com involved the transfer of 320,000 ether—or roughly $400 million worth of the token at the time—to a wallet linked to crypto exchange Gate.io on Oct. 21. 

Over the weekend, Mr. Marszalek said on Twitter that the transfer was supposed to be a “move to a new cold storage address,” but was sent to an external exchange address.

“We have since strengthened our process and systems to better manage these internal transfers,” he said on Twitter. 

A cold storage address is a type of wallet that is unplugged from the internet. It is considered the safest way to prevent digital currencies from being stolen or hacked. 

Mr. Marszalek said the company had worked with Gate.io to return the funds back to its cold storage. 

“It’s not looking good for these guys in general,” tweeted Adam Cochran, founder of venture-capital firm Cinneamhain Ventures, which invests in blockchain-related companies. 

After FTX’s troubles began last week, a number of cryptocurrency exchanges, including Crypto.com, promised to publish proof of their reserves in the spirit of transparency. The audited proofs allow users to check that their own assets are covered by an exchange’s reserves.

Write to Caitlin Ostroff at caitlin.ostroff@wsj.com and Elaine Yu at elaine.yu@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8



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FTX bankruptcy is ‘somebody running a company that’s just dumb-as-f___ing greedy,’ says Mark Cuban

Billionaire Dallas Maverick’s owner Mark Cuban recently offered his perspective on the implosion of crypto platform FTX late this week.

‘That’s somebody running a company that’s just dumb-as-fucking greedy.’


— Mark Cuban

Cuban, speaking on Friday at a conference in Washington, D.C. hosted by Sports Business Journal, shared the view that avarice was at the root of the downfall of one-time crypto darling Sam Bankman-Fried, whose firm FTX Group just filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy.

“So what does Sam Bankman [Fried] do, he’s just–‘gimme more, gimme more, gimme more.’ So I’m gonna borrow money, loan it to an affiliated company and hope and pretend to myself that the FTT tokens that are in there on my balance sheet are gonna to sustain their value.”

Check out: Mark Cuban says buying metaverse real estate is ‘the dumbest shit ever

FTX’s collapse marks a stunning turnabout for a company, which was once valued at $26 billion, and whose founder, Bankman-Fried was viewed by many in the crypto industry as a venerable actor in the Wild West of digital exchanges.

On Thursday, the 30-year-old entrepreneur tweeted: “I f—ked up, and should have done better,” referencing the collapse of his exchange.

Embattled FTX, short billions of dollars, sought bankruptcy protection after the exchange experienced the crypto equivalent of a bank run. FTX, an affiliated hedge fund Alameda Research, and dozens of other related companies also filed a bankruptcy petition in Delaware on Friday morning. Boasting a nearly $16 billion fortune recently, Sam Bankman Fried’s net worth had all but evaporated in the wake of the FTX implosion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

The price of FTX’s native token FTT went down about 88.8% over the past seven days to around $2.74, according to CoinMarketCap data.

The U.S. Justice Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission are looking into the crypto exchange to determine whether any criminal activity or securities offenses were committed.

Regulators and are examining whether FTX used customer deposits to fund bets at Alameda Research, a no-no in traditional markets, according to reports.

Cuban, who is one of the stars of the investing show “Shark Tank” and owns the NBA’s Dallas Mavericks, is a big investor in crypto and blockchain-related platforms. According to a CNBC report, he has said that 80% of his investments that aren’t on Shark Tank are crypto-centric.

See: Tom Brady, Steph Curry and Kevin O’Leary set to lose big from FTX bankruptcy filing

For his part, Cuban is part of a class-action lawsuit accused of misleading investors into signing up for accounts with crypto platform Voyager Digital, which filed for bankruptcy in July. The suit alleges that Cuban touted his support for Voyager and referred to it “as close to risk-free as you’re gonna get in the crypto universe.”

Cuban mentioned Voyager in his Friday interview. Representatives for the billionaire investor didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

The Mavericks owner took to Twitter on Saturday to say that the crypto implosions “have been banking blowups. Lending to the wrong entity, misvaluations of collateral, arrogant arbs, followed by depositor runs.”

Cuban’s net worth is $4.6 billion, according to Forbes.



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Alameda, FTX Executives Are Said to Have Known FTX Was Using Customer Funds

FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried appeared at a Senate committee hearing earlier this year on cryptocurrencies.



Photo:

Sarah Silbiger/Bloomberg News

Alameda Research’s chief executive and senior FTX officials knew that FTX had lent its customers’ money to Alameda to help it meet its liabilities, according to people familiar with the matter.

Alameda’s troubles helped lead to the bankruptcy of FTX, the crypto exchange founded by

Sam Bankman-Fried.

Alameda is a trading firm also founded and owned by Mr. Bankman-Fried.

In a video meeting with Alameda employees late Wednesday Hong Kong time, Alameda CEO

Caroline Ellison

said that she, Mr. Bankman-Fried and two other FTX executives,

Nishad Singh

and

Gary Wang,

were aware of the decision to send customer funds to Alameda, according to people familiar with the video. Mr. Singh was FTX’s director of engineering and a former Facebook employee. Mr. Wang, who previously worked at Google, was the chief technology officer of FTX and co-founded the exchange with Mr. Bankman-Fried.

Alameda faced a barrage of demands from lenders after crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital collapsed in June, creating losses for crypto brokers such as

Voyager Digital Ltd.

, the people said.

Ms. Ellison said on the call that FTX used customer money to help Alameda meet its liabilities, the people said.

On Friday, FTX, Alameda, FTX US and other FTX affiliates filed for bankruptcy protection.

Bankruptcy means that it could be a long time before individual investors and others owed their funds are able to potentially recover any of them, if ever.

Ms. Ellison didn’t return a phone message and an email seeking comment. Messrs. Singh and Wang didn’t respond to multiple messages seeking comment. Ryne Miller, FTX US’s chief legal officer, declined to comment.

Cryptocurrency platform FTX filed for chapter 11 on Friday and CEO Sam Bankman-Fried resigned. WSJ’s Vicky Ge Huang explains what happened to the company and what this could mean for investors. Photo: Olivier Douliery/AFP

Write to Dave Michaels at dave.michaels@wsj.com, Elaine Yu at elaine.yu@wsj.com and Caitlin Ostroff at caitlin.ostroff@wsj.com

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FTX Is Investigating a Potential Hack Amid Bankruptcy Filing

FTX said it is investigating abnormalities with wallet movements.



Photo:

DADO RUVIC/REUTERS

Bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX is probing a potential hack and asked customers to stay off the FTX website, the company said. More than $400 million worth of crypto funds appears to be missing, according to crypto analytics firm Elliptic Enterprises Ltd. 

The potential hack occurred Friday after FTX filed for bankruptcy. Ryne Miller, FTX US’s general counsel, said in a Saturday tweet that FTX and FTX US had started moving all digital assets to cold storage—crypto wallets that aren’t connected to the internet—after the bankruptcy filing. 

FTX is “investigating abnormalities with wallet movements related to the consolidation of FTX balances across exchanges,” Mr. Miller said on Twitter. He called the movements unauthorized transactions and said the facts are still unclear. FTX will “share more info as soon as we have it,” he said.

A post in the exchange’s official Telegram channel called the fund flows a hack.

Approximately $473 million in crypto assets appeared to be taken from FTX without permission, according to

Tom Robinson,

co-founder of  Elliptic. The tokens were quickly converted to ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency, on so-called decentralized exchanges. 

Such platforms process transactions automatically, making them popular among hackers to prevent funds from being seized, he said.

—Caitlin Ostroff contributed to this article.

Write to Elaine Yu at elaine.yu@wsj.com and Vicky Ge Huang at vicky.huang@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8



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FTX Files for Bankruptcy, CEO Sam Bankman-Fried Resigns

Beleaguered cryptocurrency platform FTX filed for bankruptcy protection Friday, and Chief Executive

Sam Bankman-Fried

resigned.

FTX and a bevy of affiliates said they had more than 100,000 creditors and tens of billions of dollars in assets and liabilities. It is the largest crypto-related bankruptcy ever, and a demise remarkable for its swiftness as well as its size.

Just a week ago, FTX was an industry titan, and Mr. Bankman-Fried its smiling public face. In January, FTX raised money from Silicon Valley’s most sophisticated investors, at a valuation of $32 billion. A few weeks ago, Mr. Bankman-Fried was publicly musing about raising more, to get even bigger.

That is all gone. The bankruptcy will likely wipe out billions of equity value, leaving investors including Sequoia Capital and Thoma Bravo with stiff losses. It will maroon the crypto and cash deposits belonging to a legion of customers. FTX faces investigations or asset freezes from regulators and prosecutors around the world.

It has also rattled the crypto world. Crypto lender BlockFi, which had obtained a financial lifeline from FTX in July—one of several companies FTX had rescued earlier in the year—paused withdrawals Thursday evening.

Among the affiliates filing for bankruptcy protection is FTX US, a smaller unit that operated in the U.S. Most of FTX’s business was offshore. FTX and its affiliates filed in federal bankruptcy court in Delaware, where the U.S. unit is registered.

Thursday morning, Mr. Bankman-Fried said the troubles at FTX were confined to its international operations. He tweeted that FTX US “was not financially impacted” and that “every user could fully withdraw.” Later that day, FTX US said it might stop trading. On Friday, FTX US filed for bankruptcy along with the rest of FTX.

Bitcoin slipped after the announcement to trade near $16,500.

At issue in the bankruptcy proceedings and the investigations is to determine what happened to the billions that FTX raised, that its customers deposited, and that it earned from operating what appeared—for a time—to be a successful cryptocurrency exchange.

FTX in 2021 also paid $250 million—a quarter of its revenue that year—to a “related party” for software royalties, according to documents viewed by The Wall Street Journal.

Mr. Bankman-Fried wrote on Twitter roughly an hour after the bankruptcy announcement that he was “shocked to see things unravel the way they did earlier this week.”

FTX’s troubles began last weekend, after rival exchange Binance said it would sell its holdings of an FTX equity-like token—spooked by a CoinDesk report showed the depth of the relationship between FTX and Alameda.

John J. Ray

III has been named the new CEO of FTX Group, the company said. The bankruptcy filing includes FTX Trading Ltd., the company presiding over the global trading website FTX.com, and Alameda Research, a trading firm founded by Mr. Bankman-Fried, in addition to FTX US.

Mr. Ray was chairman of Enron Corp.’s successor company, Enron Creditors Recovery Corp., and oversaw the energy-trading company’s liquidation after it filed for bankruptcy in late 2001. The recovery rate for Enron creditors as of 2008 was about 52 cents on the dollar, the company said at the time. Mr. Ray’s successes included securing a $1.7 billion settlement with

Citigroup

in 2008. He had accused the bank of helping Enron mislead investors.

Other noteworthy bankruptcy cases in which Mr. Ray served in similar roles include Nortel Networks Inc., Fruit of the Loom and

Overseas Shipholding Group Inc.

In the petition, Mr. Bankman-Fried said that

Stephen Neal

would be appointed as the chairman of the board of FTX Group if he is willing to serve. He also said that he is being advised by the law firm Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP.

FTX is the latest in a string of crypto companies seeking bankruptcy protection this year.



Photo:

Leon Neal/Getty Images

Bankruptcy means that it could be a long time before retail traders and others owed their funds are able to potentially recover any of them, if ever. Creditors to Mt. Gox, the Japanese crypto exchange that failed following a 2014 hack, are still waiting for their funds almost a decade later.

The collapse in digital-currency prices earlier this year triggered a rash of crypto-related bankruptcy filings, including Celsius Network LLC,

Voyager Digital Ltd.

and Three Arrows Capital.

Crypto investors may be confronted with an uphill battle to get their crypto deposits back in bankruptcy proceedings because their investments are likely to be treated as unsecured claims without collateral rights.

FTX’s bankruptcy also calls into question the fate of Voyager Digital. In September, the firm won the auction to buy the bankrupt lender’s assets with a purchase price of about $50 million, The Wall Street Journal has reported.

Voyager said Friday that the firm has reopened the bidding process for the company and is in active discussions with potential buyers. Voyager said it didn’t transfer any assets to FTX US, which previously submitted a $5 million good-faith deposit as part of the auction process. The funds are held in escrow, according to Voyager.

Voyager also recalled loans from Alameda Research for 6,500 bitcoin and 50,000 ether. The company currently has no loans outstanding with any borrower, it said. However, Voyager had about $3 million worth of cryptocurrencies stuck on FTX at the time of its bankruptcy filing.

contributed to this article.

Write to Caitlin Ostroff at caitlin.ostroff@wsj.com and Alexander Gladstone at alexander.gladstone@wsj.com

Corrections & Amplifications
Sam Bankman-Fried said he is being advised by the law firm Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP. An earlier version of this article incorrectly said FTX was being advised by the law firm. (Corrected on Nov. 11)

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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First Came the Crypto Crash. Now Comes the Taxman.

The rout in cryptocurrencies worsened this week with the collapse of the offshore exchange FTX. With bitcoin recently down more than 60% in 2022, many crypto investors would surely like to forget about digital assets, at least for now.

That would be a mistake. The Internal Revenue Service hasn’t lost interest in cryptocurrencies, and investors need to focus on key tax issues before year-end. 

New rules and enforcement actions are coming to ferret out crypto transactions that often went unreported in the past. There’s a bit of good news as well: This year’s painful selloff brings an opportunity for crypto holders to harvest losses to offset future taxes. 

Here’s more to help investors make smart crypto moves in the next few weeks—and get ready for new IRS scrutiny.  

Crypto losses as a tax-saving tool

There’s a silver lining for investors whose crypto holdings are in taxable accounts rather than tax sheltered accounts such as IRAs.   

The benefit is that if an investor sells this crypto and books a capital loss, it can be used to offset future capital gains on winners. These gains don’t have to be on digital assets; they could be on stocks, real estate, or other investments.

If an investor with capital losses has no capital gains to shelter, the losses can offset up to $3,000 of ordinary income such as wages per tax return, per year. These losses don’t expire.  

Say that John has a $20,000 loss in his crypto holdings now. If he sells and has no capital gains to offset, he can reduce his wage income by $3,000 this year and in future years. If he then has a capital gain of $5,000 two years from now, he won’t owe tax on it—and he’ll still have $9,000 to offset future taxes. 

In a key way, crypto losses have an advantage over stock losses. If an investor sells shares at a loss, the “wash-sale” rules penalize him if he also buys the same stock within 30 days before or after the sale.  

But the wash-sale rules don’t currently apply to cryptocurrencies. So crypto investors can have their cake and eat it too, by taking losses now to shelter future gains and then repurchasing favorites right away. There’s no need to wait and risk missing a market surge—if there is one. 

New IRS reporting by brokers

The 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act included a provision requiring crypto brokers to report customers’ sale proceeds to the IRS on a 1099 form, if it’s held in a taxable account. The requirements are akin to what brokerage firms report for investors’ stock sales.

The change aims to clamp down on many crypto investors’ cavalier—and sometimes criminal—tax avoidance. Until Congress acted, few crypto transactions had to be reported to the IRS by third parties such as exchanges, and many investors have ignored crypto tax rules. In a recent court filing, the IRS said that in 2019 only about 100,000 tax returns reported crypto transactions. That’s far less than would be expected given research showing that about 20% of American adults have bought, traded, or used cryptocurrencies.   

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Have you been contacted by the IRS about your cryptocurrency holdings? Join the conversation below.

The new law is set to take effect Jan. 1, 2023, so the first forms would go to taxpayers and the IRS in early 2024. However, tax specialists say the date may be postponed because the Treasury Department hasn’t issued regulations detailing the laws defining thorny issues such as who is a crypto broker. Crypto firms also need to update software.  

The new rules will likely increase complexity, even for crypto investors complying with the law—so it could make sense to accelerate moves into this year. More paperwork will likely lead to more errors by taxpayers and the IRS that take time to untangle, says Shehan Chandrasekera, head of tax strategy at CoinTracker, a provider of crypto tax-filing software.   

For crypto holders who aren’t compliant, he adds, “The new reporting doesn’t change the taxation of cryptocurrencies. But it will tell the IRS about your transactions—so it’s important to put things in order now.”    

 New court-ordered searches for crypto tax cheats 

In August and September federal judges approved two new summonses requiring a crypto exchange and a bank to turn over customer information to the IRS to uncover tax cheating using cryptocurrency.

The crypto exchange is sFox, a crypto prime dealer with more than 175,000 customers whose transactions have totaled more than $12 billion since 2015, according to a Justice Department statement. The bank is M.Y. Safra Bank, which had an agreement to provide banking services to sFox customers. Neither business is accused of wrongdoing.

sFox and M.Y. Safra must turn over to the IRS account information on sFox customers who had $20,000 or more in crypto transactions in any one year from Jan. 1, 2016 to Dec. 31, 2021. 

To justify the summonses, the agency provided examples of 10 unnamed people who didn’t declare taxable income from transactions conducted largely through sFox. The unreported income ranged from $1 million by someone allegedly involved in a Ponzi scheme to $5,000 by someone whose return showed wages, retirement income, and Social Security payments—but no crypto profits. 

The IRS has already used this strategy, called a John Doe summons, to pursue crypto tax cheats with transactions of $20,000 or more at three other exchanges:

Coinbase,

Kraken and Circle. From these and other efforts, the agency has assessed more than $110 million in tax due on unreported crypto income, with more expected. Penalties and interest could nearly double the total that some taxpayers owe. 

Future summonses are likely, says Don Fort, a former chief of IRS criminal investigations now with the Kostelanetz law firm: “The IRS and Justice Department have become adept at tailoring requests judges will approve.”  

The IRS’s dogged pursuit of past cases is a reminder to investors with unreported crypto income that it may not stay hidden—and the consequences could be severe. 

Write to Laura Saunders at Laura.Saunders@wsj.com

Corrections & Amplifications
Taxpayers who have no taxable capital gains can deduct up to $3,000 of capital losses against ordinary income such as wages. An earlier version of the story incorrectly said the deduction would reduce income tax, not income. (Corrected on Nov. 11)

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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‘Bedazzled by money’: Democratic ties to Sam Bankman-Fried under scrutiny after FTX collapse

Sam Bankman-Fried’s fall from grace has dealt an unprecedented blow to the crypto industry’s reputation — and some of this infamy may rub off on politicians who took his money, as well as on former regulators and Capitol Hill staffers who took well-paying jobs representing digital-asset companies before Congress.

Bankman-Fried, founder and CEO of the crumbling cryptocurrency exchange FTX, was one of the most generous donors to political causes during the 2022 election cycle, doling out $40 million, mostly to Democrats, with a particular focus on buoying crypto-friendly politicians in Democratic primaries.

FTX, like many other crypto firms, also aggressively recruited former federal regulators and Capitol Hill staffers, an often-criticized practice but one that has been common in the financial-services industry for decades.

Jeff Hauser, director of the left-leaning Revolving Door Project, said that Democratic politicians who worked closely with Bankman-Fried will have much to explain to the progressive wing of the party.

“A lot of people in the Democratic party got really close to Sam Bankman-Fried, and it reflects very badly on people who took this guy seriously,” he said. “People who in their past lives have taken on corporate power have been bedazzled by money seemingly being thrown their way.”

Bankman-Fried was the primary funder of the Protect Our Future PAC, which spent tens of millions of dollars in Democratic primaries this year. He also floated the idea of spending upwards of $1 billion in the 2024 presidential election to beat Donald Trump if he were the Republican nominee.

Promises of money on this scale likely tantalized many Democratic politicians, Hauser said, whether or not Bankman-Fried ever planned to go through with those contributions.

The crypto industry has also wielded influence by hiring former Capitol Hill staff and federal financial regulators to lobby and advise them on regulatory matters. The Campaign for Accountability, a nonpartisan anticorruption watchdog, published a report in February that found 240 examples of officials with key positions in the White House, Congress, federal regulatory agencies and national political campaigns moving into and out of the industry.

“The crypto industry is following the standard playbook for advancing special interests in Washington, including using all the levers of the influence industry,” Dennis Kelleher, president and CEO of the nonpartisan financial-reform organization Better Markets, told MarketWatch. “One of the most pernicious parts of that is the revolving door, where former officials essentially sell out their public service by using their access and influence on behalf of their private clients.”

Kelleher praised the performance of federal banking and securities regulators who have succeeded in keeping the carnage in the crypto markets segregated from the traditional financial system as popular tokens like bitcoin
BTCUSD,
-1.14%
and ether
ETHUSD,
-1.61%
lost more than 70% of their value over the past year.

Nevertheless, he believes crypto’s influence campaign has convinced lawmakers that what’s needed is to pass legislation that would tailor the financial-regulatory apparatus to be more friendly to the business models of digital-asset companies, rather than increasing funding for market regulators to enforce the regulations already on the books.

A bill put forward in June by Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming and Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York would do just that, granting regulatory authority for the most popular cryptocurrencies to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which critics of the bill say is more crypto-friendly than the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Another bipartisan bill from Senate Agriculture Committee Chairwoman Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, a Democrat, and Sen. John Bozeman of Arkansas, the committee’s ranking Republican, envisions a similar setup.

Kelleher said that these bills are the product of the crypto industry’s intense lobbying efforts, and without that push, lawmakers might see that what is needed is more funding to enforce securities laws that already exist.

“People need to realize that the crypto industry is basically lawless,” Kelleher said, adding that exchanges like FTX could have made the decision to register as a securities exchange with the SEC, whose supervision would have ensured that the company couldn’t engage in the type of activities that led to its downfall.

“The industry made the conscious decision to not comply with the law, to spend hundreds of millions of dollars on public officials to get a special law passed so they get special treatment,” he said.

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PayPal earnings forecast heads higher, but revenue outlook sends the stock lower yet again

PayPal Holdings Inc.’s cost-savings story began to play out in the latest quarter, but that wasn’t enough to satisfy investors as the digital payments giant also cut its revenue forecast for the full year in light of the “rough macro environment.”

Shares fell 10% in after-hours trading after PayPal
PYPL,
-3.65%
executives trimmed their revenue guidance for 2022, saying that they were now looking for 10% growth on a currency-neutral basis, whereas the prior forecast called for 11% growth.

Management has cut expectations on a series of guidance metrics throughout the year.

“We’re executing against all the things we can control…and preparing prudently for a rough macro environment,” Chief Executive Dan Schulman told MarketWatch. He added that PayPal was “seeing a pullback in discretionary goods that are being spent on by consumers,” hence why he and the executive team felt the need to have a “prudent” revenue outlook for the fourth quarter. 

Acting Chief Financial Officer Gabrielle Rabinovitch added on the company’s earnings call that PayPal “didn’t see the early start to the holiday season” during October that the company saw back in 2021.

See also: Block stock rockets higher after earnings as Square parent posts a ‘strong beat all around’

Though PayPal cut its revenue forecast for the full year, it outperformed on the top line during the third quarter. Revenue climbed to $6.85 billion from $6.18 billion, while analysts had been projecting $6.81 billion. PayPal’s total payment volume rose to $337 billion from $310 billion a year prior. Venmo volume was $63.6 billion.

The reduced full-year revenue forecast outweighed progress on the cost-savings program that executives outlined in the previous earnings report.

PayPal reported adjusted earnings of $1.08 a share in the latest quarter, down from $1.11 a share a year before but ahead of the FactSet consensus, which was for 96 cents a share. Executives now model $4.07 a share to $4.09 a share in adjusted earnings for the full year, which is ahead of the prior forecast that called for $3.87 a share to $3.97 a share.

“While there are a number of unknowns regarding the macro environment, we can largely control our spend and its implication on earnings growth,” Schulman said on the earnings call “Of course, we’re also focused on investing for growth and we are balancing efficient spend with continued investment to drive future top-line growth.”

He added that the uncertain environment could also present opportunity for PayPal.

“We think this is a time where market-share leaders get stronger,” Schulman said.

PayPal shares have fallen nearly 60% this year, as the S&P 500 index
SPX,
-1.06%
has declined 21.1%

Read: Amazon rolling out Venmo payment option

The company recognized a boost in engagement during its latest quarter as transactions per active account rose 13% to 50.1 over a trailing 12-month period. PayPal added 2.9 million net new active accounts in the third quarter, bringing its total to 432 million. The FactSet consensus was for 432.9 million active accounts.

Earlier this year, PayPal began to shift its focus more on generating engagement among existing users than on attracting and retaining less active customers.

Schulman told MarketWatch that the company’s digital wallet has helped drive improved engagement trends, as PayPal sees two times the level of engagement among those who use the app versus those who don’t.

PayPal executives announced several initiatives in progress with Apple Inc.
AAPL,
-4.25%,
including future participation in the Tap to Pay on iPhone program that lets people use their smartphones as payment-acceptance devices without requiring additional hardware. Additionally, PayPal and Venmo debit and credit cards will be eligible next year for inclusion in Apple Wallet. PayPal also plans to add Apple Pay as a payment option in its unbranded checkout platform.

Those developments mark a “meaningful step forward,” Schulman told MarketWatch.

He added on the earnings call that the arrangement with Apple is “a bigger deal than most people realize” given trends the company has observed with Alphabet Inc.’s
GOOG,
-4.11%

GOOGL,
-4.07%
Google Pay: “We’ve seen, for instance, that Google Pay users in Germany when they add their PayPal credentials there, there’s a 20% increase in their branded checkout transactions.”

See more: Apple will let merchants accept in-person payments with only an iPhone

Executives offered a first look at 2023 expectations in an investor presentation Thursday. They’re targeting adjusted EPS growth of at least 15% as well as at least 100 basis points of operating-margin expansion.

Schulman said that EPS growth at the targeted range would put PayPal in the top quartile of S&P 500 components on the metric.

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Goldman Plans Sweeping Reorganization, Combining Investment Banking and Trading

Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

GS -2.31%

plans to fold its biggest businesses into three divisions, undertaking one of the biggest reshuffles in the Wall Street firm’s history.

Goldman will combine its flagship investment-banking and trading businesses into one unit, while merging asset and wealth management into another, people familiar with the matter said. Marcus, Goldman’s consumer-banking arm, will be part of the asset- and wealth-management unit, the people said.

A third division will house transaction banking, the bank’s portfolio of financial-technology platforms, specialty lender GreenSky, and its ventures with

Apple Inc.

and

General Motors Co.

, the people said.

The reorganization could be announced within days, the people said. Goldman is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings Tuesday.

It is unclear how the makeover will shake up Goldman’s senior leadership team, though at least a few executives will have new roles, the people said.

Marc Nachmann,

the firm’s co-head of trading, will slide over to help run the combined asset- and wealth-management arm, they said.

The reorganization is the latest step in Chief Executive

David Solomon’s

push to shift Goldman’s center of gravity toward businesses that generate steady fees in any environment. It also reflects the firm’s struggle to overcome skepticism, from investors and even among some of its own executives, over its ambitions for consumer banking.

The firm’s trading and investment-banking acumen has been Goldman’s calling card for decades, churning out massive profits when the markets favored risk-takers and bold deals. But investors often discounted those successes, reasoning that they are harder to sustain when market conditions turn. And in recent years, Goldman has sought to sharpen its trading arm’s focus on client service.

Following the changes, Goldman’s organizational chart will look more like its peers.

A slide presentation from Goldman’s 2020 investor day offered a glimpse of what a combined banking-and-trading business would look relative to peers. At Goldman, the merged group would have delivered a return on equity of 9.2% in 2019, besting

Morgan Stanley

and

Bank of America Corp.

but below what

JPMorgan Chase

& Co. and

Citigroup Inc.

earned that year.

Bloomberg News earlier reported that Goldman had planned to restructure its consumer-banking arm and was considering combining its asset- and wealth-management businesses.

Goldman’s shares have struggled to keep pace with its rivals, at least by one measure. The firm traded at 0.9 times book value as of June, according to FactSet. That compared with 1.4 times at Morgan Stanley and 1.3 times at JPMorgan.

Goldman has sought to narrow the gap by beefing up the businesses that command higher valuations on Wall Street. Managing wealthy people’s money and overseeing funds for pensions and other deep-pocketed institutions is more profitable than other financial services, and it usually doesn’t put the firm’s balance sheet at risk. And many investors view traditional consumer banking—taking deposits and making loans—as more predictable.

Goldman has invested heavily in building its own consumer bank, and folding the unit into its asset- and wealth-management arm should create more opportunities to offer banking services to wealthy individuals.

Earlier this year, the bank said it aimed to bring in $10 billion in asset and wealth-management fees by 2024.

Write to Justin Baer at justin.baer@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

Appeared in the October 17, 2022, print edition as ‘Goldman To Fold Businesses Into Three Divisions.’

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Ray Dalio says watch out for rates reaching this level, because Wall Street stocks will take a 20% hit

After that CPI shock earlier in the week, Wall Street is fielding a fresh batch of data on Thursday, with the headline retail sales number coming in stronger than expected. And a disastrous rail strike may be inverted.

But there’s no cheering up billionaire investor and hedge-fund manager Ray Dalio who in our call of the day asserts the Fed has no choice but to keep driving up interest rates, at a high price to stocks.

And he’s putting some fairly precise guesswork out there. “I estimate that a rise in rates from where they are to about 4.5% will produce about a 20% negative impact on equity prices,” Dalio said in a LinkedIn post dated Tuesday.

Some are forecasting the Fed could hike interest rates by 100 basis points next week, a move not seen since the likewise inflationary 80s. The central bank’s short-term rate hovers between 2.25% to 2.5%, but Nomura, for one, sees that rate headed to 4.75% by 2023.

But Dalio thinks interest rates could even reach the higher end of a 4.5%-to-6% range. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending, and hence the economy down with it,” he says.

Behind this prediction is the Bridgewater Associates founder belief that the market is severely underestimating where inflation will end up — at 2.6% over the next 10 years versus what he sees as 4.5% to 5% in the medium term, barring shocks.

Read: Why a single U.S. inflation report roiled global financial markets — and what comes next

As for what happens when people start losing money in the markets — the so-called “wealth effect” — he expects less spending as they and their lenders grow more cautious.

“The upshot is that it looks likely to me that the inflation rate will stay significantly above what people and the Fed want it to be (while the year-over-year inflation rate will fall), that interest rates will go up, that other markets will go down, and that the economy will be weaker than expected, and that is without consideration given to the worsening trends in internal and external conflicts and their effects.”

The markets

Stock futures
ES00,
-0.25%

YM00,
+0.02%

NQ00,
-0.48%
are slightly lower post data, as Treasury yields
TMUBMUSD10Y,
3.437%

TMUBMUSD02Y,
3.852%
keep climbinging and the dollar
DXY,
-0.10%
firms up.

Oil prices
CL.1,
-1.63%
are lower, along with gold
GC00,
-0.83%.
China stocks
SHCOMP,
-1.16%

HSI,
+0.44%
slipped after the country’s central bank left rates unchanged. European natural-gas prices
GWM00,
+4.13%
are on the rise again. Bitcoin
BTCUSD,
+0.64%
is trading at just over $20,000.

The buzz

Shares of Union Pacific
UNP,
-3.69%,
Norfolk Southern 
NSC,
-2.16%
and CSX
CSX,
-1.05%
 are rallying in premarket after the White House said it has reached a tentative railway agreement with unions. No deal by Friday would mean strikes and havoc for supply chains, grain markets and even the coming holidays. Read more here.

August retail sales rose a stronger-than-expected 0.3% as Americans spent on new cars while weekly jobless claims came in lower for a fifth-straight week and import prices dropped 1%. Elsewhere, the Empire State manufacturing index perked up on the heels of a deep negative reading, but the Philly Fed factory index worsened. Industrial production and business inventories are still to come.

Adobe shares
ADBE,
+0.85%
are dropping after a report the software company is mulling a $20 billion deal to buy graphic design startup Figma .

Vitalik Buterin, one of the co-founders of Ethereum, says the so-called “merge” is done, meaning the birth of a more environmentally friendly crypto. Ethereum
ETHUSD,
-1.22%
is up just a little right now.

A new lawsuit claims Tesla
TSLA,
+3.59%
has made false promises over Autopilot and Full Self Driving features. And move over Tesla, Apple
AAPL,
+0.96%
is now Wall Street’s biggest short bet.

Ericsson
ERIC,
-3.32%

ERIC.A,
-1.78%

ERIC.B,
-3.34%
is dropping after a double downgrade at Credit Suisse, who cited inflationary headwinds. Analysts lifted Nokia
NOKIA,
-0.51%

NOK,
-0.40%
to outperform, though the stock is barely moving.

Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management went on a dip-buying spree after Tuesday’s market meltdown, scooping up chiefly Roku
ROKU,
+0.44%.

Opinion: Pinterest never considered itself a social network. Until now.

Patagonia billionaire Yvon Chouinard is donating his entire company — worth $3 billion — to the climate fight.

Best of the web

No U.S. shale rescue for Europe.

Turkey finds an extra $24.4 billion laying around.

Queue to pay respects to Queen is 2.6 miles long and counting.

The tickers

These were the top-searched tickers on MarketWatch as of 6 a.m. Eastern Time:

Ticker Security name
TSLA,
+3.59%
Tesla
GME,
+1.01%
GameStop
AMC,
+1.95%
AMC Entertainment
BBBY,
+4.66%
Bed Bath & Beyond
HKD,
+311.78%
AMTD Digital
NIO,
-0.14%
NIO
AAPL,
+0.96%
Apple
APE,
+0.94%
AMC Entertainment preferred shares
AMZN,
+1.36%
Amazon
NVDA,
-0.02%
Nvidia
Random reads

Scientists try to teach robots comedic timing

Sausage, mozzarella, batter. Meet South Korea’s hot dog.

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