Tag Archives: Financial Technology

Zillow Gets Outplayed at Its Own Game

Zillow, it seems, has over-flipped.

The company that has prided itself on its technology to outsource a lot of human work is suddenly referring the work right back to humans. Zillow Group’s automated home-flipping business has stopped pursuing new home acquisitions temporarily, Bloomberg reported on Sunday. In a statement for this article, a Zillow spokesperson said in an email it is “beyond operational capacity in [its] Zillow Offers business.” Zillow said it is now connecting homeowners looking to sell their home to its local Premier Agent partners.

The pause seems to be a case of poor planning—a surprising lapse for a company that has been in the online real-estate business for nearly 17 years. Rather than a cash issue, Zillow is saying it experienced supply constraints having to do with on-the-ground workers and vendors. Leave it to a technology company to develop an algorithm to predict home values, but mismanage the human aspect of its business.

To add insult to injury, Zillow’s biggest competitor seems to be handling high volumes just fine.

Opendoor Technologies

OPEN 3.20%

said it is “open for business and continues to scale and grow,” noting it has worked hard over the past seven years to ensure it can continue to deliver as it expands. While Zillow long predates Opendoor as a company, it mainly offered an online marketing platform for agents before adding iBuying in 2018.

Zillow said it purchased a record number of homes in the second quarter at 3,805, but that still paled in comparison to the 8,494 homes Opendoor purchased in the same period. It doesn’t seem as though the near-term business has completely flopped: The company says it is continuing to process the purchases of homes from sellers who are already under contract as quickly as possible. That means home purchases could still continue to grow sequentially in the fourth quarter, even with the pause. Zillow hasn’t publicly commented on its fourth-quarter buying forecast, but has said its third-quarter outlook implies a “step up” in purchase activity.

Rather than flip out, iBuying investors may want to look at Zillow’s news as an opportunity for its competitors. Opendoor is now active in 44 markets, including all but two of Zillow’s 25 markets. Zillow’s pause therefore spells a golden opportunity for Opendoor. Zillow hasn’t yet said when it will resume new home purchases, but an email from a Zillow Offers Advisor to an agent seen by the Journal suggests the pause will last through the end of 2021 at the least.

Zillow’s mismanagement also highlights a key strength for smaller competitor

Offerpad Solutions.

OPAD -0.24%

Led by a former real-estate agent, that company has long touted its ground game. Offerpad, which is now a publicly traded company after closing its merger with a special-purpose acquisition company in September, seems to have been ahead of the curve in terms of understanding how many workers to employ and where, which repairs need to get done and how to execute them efficiently. An analysis by BTIG Research shows Offerpad’s contribution profit per home sold was over 4.7 times that of Zillow’s last year.

Opendoor is now active in 44 markets, including all but two of Zillow’s 25 markets.



Photo:

Conor Ralph for The Wall Street Journal

But the news is also a signal that investors may want to start to tread more lightly around what has thus far been a banner year for the sector. The reality is that iBuyers have incredible amounts of market data, can plan acquisitions and inventory months in advance and have a number of levers to pull to slow or accelerate the business, according to Mike DelPrete, a real estate tech strategist and scholar-in-residence at the University of Colorado Boulder. Given that, it is unusual that Zillow’s pause happened so suddenly and across all its markets.

The U.S. real-estate market has finally started to cool a bit. On Friday, Redfin reported the median home sale price rose 14% year-over-year in September—the lowest growth rate since December 2020. Meanwhile, closed home sales and new listings of homes for sale both fell from a year earlier, by 5% and 9% respectively.

Thus far, no other major iBuyer has said it was pausing new acquisitions this year. As Mr. DelPrete notes, it is possible Opendoor and Offerpad began to slow their own buying commitments as the market started to change, while Zillow missed the signs. More likely, Zillow, which has consistently prophesied what it calls the “Great Reshuffling” amid a permanence in remote work, just neglected to do its own reshuffling on the ground.

The U.S. mortgage market involves some key players that play important roles in the process. Here’s what investors should understand and what risks they take when investing in the industry. WSJ’s Telis Demos explains. Photo: Getty Images/Martin Barraud

Write to Laura Forman at laura.forman@wsj.com

Copyright ©2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Robinhood Revenue Surges on Cryptocurrency Trades

Revenue at Robinhood Markets Inc. more than doubled in the second quarter thanks to a torrent of customers trading cryptocurrency, but the company posted a big loss due to an emergency funding deal earlier this year.

The trading app recorded a loss of $502 million, or $2.16 per share, on revenue of $565 million in its first earnings report since its July initial public offering. In the second quarter of 2020, Robinhood generated a profit of $58 million on revenue of $244 million.

Nearly 14.2 million Robinhood users, or roughly 63% of the company’s customer base with funded accounts, traded digital assets in the second quarter. Robinhood earned $233 million in fees from routing customers’ cryptocurrency trades to high-speed trading firms, with dogecoin accounting for nearly two-thirds of the volume. That is up from just $5 million a year earlier.

That helped offset slowdowns in other parts of Robinhood’s business due in part to waning interest in meme stocks. For instance, fees Robinhood earned executing customers’ stock trades fell 27% to $52 million.

Despite decreased stock-trading activity, interest that Robinhood received on margin loans nearly tripled to $31 million. Around 700,000 users held about $5.4 billion in margin-loan balances at the end of June.

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Risks of Crypto Stablecoins Attract Attention of Yellen, Fed and SEC

Stablecoins, digital currencies pegged to national currencies like the U.S. dollar, are increasingly seen as a potential risk not just to crypto markets, but to the capital markets as well.

Treasury Secretary

Janet Yellen

is scheduled Monday to hold a meeting of the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets to discuss stablecoins, the Treasury Department said Friday. The group includes the heads of the Federal Reserve, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

“Bringing together regulators will enable us to assess the potential benefits of stablecoins while mitigating risks they could pose to users, markets, or the financial system,” Ms. Yellen said in a statement.

Stablecoins are a key source of liquidity for cryptocurrency exchanges, their largest users, which need to process trades 24 hours a day. In the derivatives and decentralized finance markets, stablecoins are used by traders and speculators as collateral, and many contracts pay out in stablecoins.

Stablecoins have exploded over the past year as cryptocurrency trading has taken off. The value of the three largest stablecoins—tether, USD Coin and Binance USD—is about $100 billion, up from about $11 billion a year ago.

Jeremy Allaire,

chief executive of the USD Coin issuer, Circle Internet Financial Inc., said the meeting of the president’s working group is a good thing for stablecoins and that he supports developing clear standards. “I think it’s good news,” he said.

Tether Ltd., the issuer of the tether stablecoin, said it looked forward to working with officials to support transparency and compliance. Binance Holdings Ltd., issuer of Binance USD, said it sees the meeting as a positive move. Having regulators involved will bring more legitimacy and clarity to stablecoins, Binance Chief Compliance Officer Samuel Lim said.

Stablecoins and the companies that issue them have been criticized as not being trustworthy.

“There are many reasons to think that stablecoins—at least, many of the stablecoins—are not actually particularly stable,” Boston Federal Reserve President

Eric Rosengren

said in a June speech.

While the startups issuing these stablecoins including Circle and Tether are responsible for assets that make them sizable players in the traditional capital markets, there are no clear rules about how the assets should be regulated to ensure stability.

Share Your Thoughts

Do you think tether poses a potential financial stability risk? If so, what steps should regulators take? Join the conversation below.

In December, the president’s working group released a statement on the regulatory issues concerning stablecoins. Among other things, it suggested that best practices would include a 1:1 reserve ratio and said issuers should hold “high-quality, U.S.-dollar denominated assets” and hold them at U.S.-regulated entities.

Stablecoins operate on the assumption that their reserves are liquid and easily redeemable. Ostensibly, a stablecoin should at all times be redeemable for national currencies, and the amount held in reserve should equal the amount in circulation: currently $64 billion for Tether, $26 billion for USD Coin and $11 billion for Binance USD.

Stablecoin reserves, however, don’t just sit in bank accounts collecting interest. Circle and Tether manage the reserves to provide some level of income.

Neither Circle nor Tether provides a detailed breakdown of where their reserves are invested and the risks users of the tokens are taking. This lack of information has alarmed central bankers and lawmakers in the U.S. and overseas. Binance has said its stablecoin’s reserves are backed 1-1 by U.S. dollars held in custody by the New York-based crypto services company Paxos.

Both Circle and Tether have separately defended the level of information they share with the markets.

Stuart Hoegner,

general counsel at Tether, said the company has a highly liquid portfolio that has been stress-tested. He said the company has a risk-averse approach to managing its reserves and operates in a way to ensure that its dollar peg is maintained.

“Our transparency allows people to decide whether they are happy holding that token or not,” he said.


‘Bringing together regulators will enable us to assess the potential benefits of stablecoins while mitigating risks they could pose to users, markets, or the financial system.’


— Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen

What the companies have disclosed is that they have invested the reserves in corporate debt, commercial paper and other markets that are generally considered liquid, and in cash equivalents.

Tether, according to a report it released earlier this year, held about half of its reserves in commercial paper—short-term loans used by companies to cover expenses. The credit ratings of the commercial paper and whether it came from the U.S. or overseas couldn’t be determined.

In 2019, New York Attorney General Letitia James revealed as part of an investigation that executives of Tether, who also own and operate the exchange Bitfinex, took at least $700 million out of the tether reserve to shore up the balance sheet of Bitfinex.

The case was settled in February. As part of that settlement, Tether agreed to release quarterly reports on the composition of its reserves.

Regulators don’t have to look far for examples of what can go wrong in the world of finance. Money-market funds came under pressure last year during the pandemic-driven selloff and required support from the Fed. Dozens of money-market funds needed to be propped up during the 2008-09 financial crisis to prevent them from “breaking the buck,” or falling under their standard of a $1-a-share net asset value.

Building trust was one of the biggest reasons that Circle decided it would go public, according Mr. Allaire.

“It is about being a public company and being an open and transparent company,” he said in an interview earlier this month.

Write to Paul Vigna at paul.vigna@wsj.com

Copyright ©2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Bitcoin Fraud Concerns Draw Scrutiny From Regulators

Regulators are signaling they want more control over an expanded cryptocurrency universe that has pushed further into Wall Street activities without the investor and consumer protections that apply to traditional securities and financial services.

The catch: no single regulator inspects crypto exchanges or brokers, unlike in the securities and derivatives markets. Regulators step in only when they believe U.S. law applies to a particular cryptocurrency or transaction, based on the way the asset was sold or traded.

Once a quirky asset that required navigating special exchanges to buy, cryptocurrencies can now be easily purchased on mobile apps from PayPal Holdings Inc., Square Inc.’s Cash app and Robinhood Markets Inc.

“A lot more money is being put into it, there is a lot of trading and the uses seem to be expanding,” said Dan Berkovitz, a commissioner on the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. “I see a concern about whether we have a shadow financial system developing, and that should be a question for all of the regulators.”

Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler has told House lawmakers that investor protection rules should apply to crypto exchanges, similar to those that cover equities and derivatives. Regulated exchanges are required by law to have rules that prevent fraud and promote fairness. But crypto exchanges face no such standard, Mr. Gensler said at the Piper Sandler Global Exchange and FinTech conference last month.

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Ant Group Boss Tries to Quell Employee Discontent With Promise of Eventual IPO

Facing discontent among employees, Ant Group Co.’s leader said the Chinese financial-technology giant would eventually go public and that the company would look for ways to help workers monetize some of their shares.

In a lengthy post on Ant’s internal website, Executive Chairman Eric Jing said the company’s management is reviewing its remuneration and incentive policy and working on a “short-term liquidity solution” for employees that would take effect in April, according to people who saw his message. Mr. Jing was responding to an employee who had asked about Ant’s future and how the company plans to retain talent.

The liquidity solution Ant is working on will likely be a program to buy back some of the employees’ shares, according to people close to the firm. April is typically the month when Ant awards discretionary annual bonuses to employees.

Employee morale has been low at Ant since Chinese regulators forced the company to call off its blockbuster initial public offerings in Hong Kong and Shanghai in early November.

Many of Ant’s 16,000-plus workers had received share-based compensation, and they were on the cusp of reaping a windfall from Ant’s listing, which had valued the company at more than $300 billion last fall. That represented a doubling in Ant’s valuation from mid-2018, when its last round of private fundraising valued the company at $150 billion.

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Bitcoin is at a ‘tipping point’ between mainstream boom and speculative implosion. Citi says one is more likely

U.S. stocks have started the week in strong fashion, as bond yields eased from last week’s highs early on Monday.

Two positive developments over the weekend have also buoyed investors: The U.S. House passed the Biden administration’s $1.9 trillion pandemic-relief package on Saturday before the Food and Drug Administration granted emergency authorization to Johnson & Johnson’s
JNJ
COVID-19 vaccine — the first single-shot dose available to Americans.

The price of bitcoin
BTCUSD
rose more than 5% to $47,691 on Monday, as it regained ground following the cryptocurrency’s worst week of the year last week, having climbed to a record high of $58,332 the previous weekend.

In our call of the day, Citi analysts said bitcoin was at a “tipping point” between mainstream acceptance or a “speculative implosion.” But recent developments, including electric-car maker Tesla’s
TSLA
$1.5 billion investment and moves by PayPal
PYPL,
Visa
V
and Mastercard
MA
to accept payments, pointed toward the former.  

The analysts, led by Citi GPS managing editor Kathleen Boyle, noted there was a “host of risks and obstacles” standing in the way of the cryptocurrency’s progress.

“But weighing these potential hurdles against the opportunities leads to the conclusion that bitcoin is at a tipping point and we could be at the start of massive transformation of cryptocurrency into the mainstream,” they said. 

The report added that bitcoin could eventually become “the currency of choice for international trade,” due to its global reach, neutrality and lack of foreign exchange exposure.

The biggest change in recent years has been the shift from a retail-focused endeavor to “something that looks attractive for institutional investors,” the authors noted.

If recent efforts lead to a central bank-backed digital currency, individuals and businesses would have digital wallets holding a variety of cryptocurrencies just like today, with checking, savings and treasury accounts, they said. “In this scenario bitcoin may be optimally positioned to become the preferred currency for global trade,” they added.

However, obstacles ahead along that path include upgrades to the marketplace and the potential for the cryptocurrency space to move closer to the oversight and rules of traditional financial regulators, Citi noted.

The markets

U.S. stocks made significant early gains, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA
2%, or 620 points, higher shortly after the open. The S&P 500
SPX
and the Nasdaq Composite
COMP
were also up. European stocks climbed and Asian markets moved higher overnight on hopes for Biden’s U.S. stimulus package and following last week’s selloff.

The buzz

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said he would have “no hesitancy whatsoever” to take Johnson & Johnson’s COVID-19 vaccine, and that all three vaccines available to Americans were “highly efficacious.”

Reddit Chief Executive Steve Huffman reiterated his praise for the WallStreetBets forum that has sent Wall Street “meme stocks” reeling in recent weeks. Huffman said the community “exposed a gap” between those who have access to the financial markets and those on the outside.

U.K. home builders surged on Monday, on reports the government will try to boost homeownership with a new mortgage guarantee.

Cruise operator Royal Caribbean Group said it has commenced a $1.5 billion public stock offering.

Ladbrokes owner Entain
UK:ENT
said it has raised its offer for rival Swedish sports betting company Enlabs.

At the Golden Globe Awards, “The Crown,” “Schitt’s Creek” and “Nomadland” were among the big winners.

Random reads

Actor Ben Stiller’s baked trophy and other Golden Globes highlights.

Doctor appears in court video call while performing surgery.

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A tangled market web of Tesla-bitcoin-ARK Investment could spell trouble for investors, warns strategist

Tuesday is shaping up to be a tough one for technology stocks, after a selloff greeted investors to start the week.

The Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
-2.03%
— up 40% over the past 12 months — tumbled 2.5% on Monday over concerns rising bond yields could make those tech stocks look pricey. When so-called “risk-free” yields are climbing, it is that much tougher to justify equity valuations that seem lofty.

Leading techs lower in premarket is electric-car maker Tesla
TSLA,
-5.41%,
down 6% after a roughly 8% drop on Monday. Our call of the day comes from Saxo Bank’s head of equity strategy, Peter Garnry, who has been warning clients that Tesla is tangled up in a “risk cluster” that involves bitcoin and Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment Management firm.

Tesla announced a $1.5 billion bitcoin investment earlier this month. Along with Tesla weakness, bitcoin was down 10% early Tuesday, which some attributed to criticism from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen (see below). That crypto drop will “obviously illustrate the earnings volatility that Elon Musk has delivered to Tesla,” said Garnry.

Read: Tesla bitcoin gambit already made $1 billion, more than 2020 profit from car sales, estimates analyst

Meanwhile, Tesla “is also the biggest position across all ARK Invest ETFs which added pressure to its biggest fund the ARK Disruptive Innovation Fund
ARKK,
-6.11%
losing 6% yesterday. This is exactly the risk cluster that we have been worrying about and wrote about two weeks ago,” said the strategist.

Read: Stocks aren’t in a bubble, but here’s what is, according to fund manager Cathie Wood

In the Saxo note that deep-dived into the hugely popular, actively managed fund’s holdings, Garnry highlighted ARK’s concentration in biotech names that he said could be risky if the market decides to reverse. And Tesla shares represents 6.7% of total assets under management across ARK’s five actively managed ETFs, according to the data Saxo crunched two weeks ago.

“What it means is, that a correction in equities for whatever reasons, could be higher interest rates or prolonged COVID-19 lockdowns, could set in motion selloffs across either biotechnology stocks or Tesla shares and cause performance to deteriorate which could start net outflow of AUM and then the feedback loop has started,” said Garnry, at the time.

For her part, Wood, the chief executive of ARK Invest and manager of the popular ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund, last week said she was surprised by how fast companies are adopting bitcoin, and that her “confidence in Tesla has grown.”

The markets

Stocks
DJIA,
-0.43%

SPX,
-0.78%

COMP,
-2.03%
are selling off, led by techs, with European stocks
SXXP,
-0.49%
sinking apart from some travel stocks. Asian markets had a mixed day
000300,
-0.32%.
Oil prices
CL00,
-0.19%
are rising, while the closely watched yield on the 10-year Treasury note
TMUBMUSD10Y,
1.360%
is trading at around 1.35%.

The chart

Treasury Secretary Yellen may have let some steam out of bitcoin
BTCUSD,
-13.19%
after repeating some concerns about the cryptocurrency in an interview with the New York Times’ Dealbook. Bitcoin was last down 13% to $48,886, taking a bunch of other cryptos down with it.

The buzz

All eyes on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is kicking off two-day testimony on Capitol Hill. With more than 10 million Americans still jobless, “Mr. Powell will go out of his way, I am sure, to put tapering to bed and rightly so, as I dread to think what a taper-tantrum of the 2020s will look like,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst, Asia Pacific, Oanda.

We’ll also get the latest home-price indexes from S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller and the Federal Housing Finance Agency, along with an update on consumer confidence.

Shares of home-improvement retailer Home Depot
HD,
-4.49%
are dropping despite upbeat results.

Shares of special-purpose acquisition company Churchill Capital
CCIV,
-31.65%,
also known as a blank-check company, are sinking. After weeks of rumors, Churchill finally announced a deal to buy electric-vehicle company Lucid Motors.

Mourning 500,000-plus American lives lost to COVID-19, President Joe Biden observed a moment of silence late on Monday and urged the public to “mask up.”

Social-media group Facebook
FB,
+0.83%
says it will restore links to news articles in Australia, five days after proposed media law changes in the country.

Random read

“I can mouth obscenities at people and they don’t have a clue.” Redditors on pandemic positives.

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Tech Stocks Propel S&P 500 Higher

Technology stocks led the S&P 500 higher Thursday, pushing the broad index toward its first gain in three trading sessions.

Shares of chip companies, IT services providers, electronic equipment and software companies all rallied, pulling tech stocks in the S&P 500 up about 1%. Those gains, while most other sectors were either marginally higher or trading in the red, led the S&P 500 up 0.2% in midday trading following two straight days of losses.

That also helped pull the Nasdaq Composite up 0.4%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which has less exposure to tech compared with the S&P 500, was mostly flat after notching a record a day earlier.

Some solid earnings supported the gains, along with ongoing expectations of additional relief measures by Congress to support the economy, analysts and investors said. The latter got a boost after fresh data showed that 793,000 Americans applied for first-time unemployment benefits in the week ended Feb. 6, while new applications for the prior week were revised higher to 812,000.

“There is still obviously a significant number of jobs that have been lost, and there is clearly a need for more fiscal support,” said Shoqat Bunglawala, head of multiasset solutions, international, at Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

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Bitcoin blows past $45,000 and reaches as high as $48,000, driven by Tesla’s investment

The price of bitcoin reached as high as $48,000 on Tuesday, building on gains following news that electric-car maker Tesla has invested $1.5 billion in the cryptocurrency and may accept it as future payment for products.

After reaching a record of near $44,000 on Monday, bitcoin prices
BTCUSD,
+2.48%
hit $45,000, $46,000 and $47,000 later that evening, according to CoinDesk. Prices reached a high of $48,226 early Tuesday and have since pulled back to $46,450, according to CoinDesk.

Sparking the fresh surge for bitcoin was a Tesla
TSLA,
+1.31%
regulatory filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday. It revealed Tesla acquired $1.5 billion in bitcoins in January and plans to accept it “as a form of payment for our products in the near future, subject to applicable laws and initially on a limited basis, which we may or may not liquidate upon receipt.” 

Read: Musk’s Tesla says it invested $1.5 billion in bitcoin, sending the cryptocurrency to record levels near $44,000

That’s as Musk has been recently voicing support for cryptocurrencies on his Twitter account.

For the bitcoin faithful, it was a monumental move by a big company to invest in the digital currency and allow payments. But on the other side, some analysts questioned Tesla’s move, given the volatility of the cryptocurrency, as well as share prices of the electric car maker.

Even if bitcoin’s price multiplied by five over the past year, it could still come crashing down, Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote, told clients in a note. “The high volatility in Bitcoin’s value will therefore inevitably inject a certain volatility in Tesla’s revenue, and decrease the predictability of the company’s performance.”

Bitcoin’s year-to-date gain is up more than 60% in 2021. That’s against a 4% rise for the S&P 500
SPX,
+0.74%
and an 8.5% gain for the Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP,
+0.95%,
while gold
GC00,
+0.47%
is down around 3% and crude oil prices
CL.1,
+0.17%
are up 20%.

Read: Should I buy dogecoin? Why prices of the cryptocurrency are surging — but risky

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