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‘The jewel has lost its shine’: how the world reacted to the UK’s pound crisis | Economics

Economics

The turmoil stirred condemnation in the US, bitter memories in Greece and interest among holidaymakers in Singapore

Tue 27 Sep 2022 16.13 BST

International reaction to the turmoil in the financial markets which saw the pound fall to its lowest level ever against the dollar is devastating in its condemnation of the new government’s policies, and the astonishment and shock focused in particular on the chancellor’s willingness to experiment with one of the world’s most stable economies.

In the US, criticism was led by the former US treasury secretary Larry Summers, who took to Twitter to attack what he called the “utterly irresponsible UK policy”, expressing at the same time his surprise that the markets had reacted so quickly and harshly. He said this in itself indicated a loss of credibility.

I was very pessimistic about the consequences of utterly irresponsible UK policy on Friday. But, I did not expect markets to get so bad so fast.

A strong tendency for long rates to go up as the currency goes down is a hallmark of situations where credibility has been lost.

— Lawrence H. Summers (@LHSummers) September 27, 2022

His long thread concluded with the gloomy prediction that the financial crisis in Britain would not only have an effect on “London’s viability as a global financial centre”, but “could well have global consequences”.

In the New Yorker, John Cassidy wrote that the crisis was all the more disturbing for Britain as it came so soon after the death of Queen Elizabeth II, “their last remaining link to a time when their schoolbook maps showed great swaths of the earth’s surface coloured imperial red”. Now, he said, “they face a humiliating currency crisis”.

He said that the prime minister, Liz Truss, and her chancellor, Kwasi Kwarteng, had plunged Britain into a “fine economic mess”.

“The tragedy,” Cassidy said, “is that all this is unnecessary. Although Britain has been through many tribulations in recent years, it is the world’s sixth-largest economy, it has a stable political system, and London is one of the world’s biggest financial centres. If its government were even reasonably competent, the risk of a financial blowup would be minimal. Unfortunately, that basic civic requirement isn’t being met.”

In Ireland, commentators said that the “British blowout” had clearly backfired, and urged the Irish government, which is to unveil its own budget on Tuesday, to heed the lesson. “Ministers Paschal Donohoe and Michael McGrath have been delivered a real-time exhibition in exactly how not to do it,” the Irish Independent said in an editorial. “Despite the considerable weight of expectations, Budget 2023 must be grounded.”

Additional spending and tax measures to cushion Irish households and businesses from rising prices are expected to cost around €11bn (£10bn) – but unlike its neighbour, Dublin has a fiscal surplus.

The Irish Times said that, learning from the London experience, “the message sent out by the budget needs to be one of stability and involving a credible plan for public finances. There should be enough resources in place to respond to the immediate crisis – and to leave scope to adjust to circumstances next year if needed.”

In Germany the London-based economic correspondent of the daily Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, Philip Plickert, told readers that as a “financial and economic historian, Kwarteng should consult the history books once again to see how dangerous an escalating twin deficit can be. Prime Minister Truss cannot afford a balance of payments crisis.”

Germany’s finance minister, Christian Lindner, meanwhile, told the same paper at an event it hosted on Monday evening that he would wait to draw the lessons from what he referred to as the “major experiment” Britain had embarked upon by, he said, “putting its foot on the gas while the central bank steps on the brakes”.

The Munich-based Süddeutsche Zeitung called the new policy a “reckless gamble”.

“Such unrest is more familiar in the emerging markets, but not in a highly developed economy like the British one. Following the end of the government of Boris Johnson an economic change of direction was expected, but one so radical? Liz Truss has said goodbye with one fell swoop to one of the keystones of conservative policy: she does not give a damn about solid state finances.”

Ulrik Harald Bie, writing for Denmark’s Berlingske, called the market reaction “swift punishment for a botched policy”.

In Greece, the sterling crisis has stirred memories of the 2010 financial emergency, when rising borrowing costs raised the spectre of a Greek economic collapse as lack of confidence in the economy mounted.

Government insiders told the Guardian the tax cuts outlined by the British chancellor were not only “nonsensical” but reminiscent of the populist policies pursued by Syriza, the firebrand leftists voted into office at the height of the crisis.

“They make no sense either politically or economically,” said one well-placed official expressing disbelief that Kwarteng had decided to ignore budget forecasts. “It’s as if there is an element of the populism, unpredictability and unprofessionalism that we saw in Syriza about the Liz Truss government.”

Greece came close to default and ejection from the eurozone. But as in those rollercoaster days – and with more than two years to go before general elections in the UK – Greek analysts said it would be hard to predict what the endgame would be. “Clearly Labour is on course for a landslide,” said the official, requesting anonymity because he did not wish to speak impolitely of a government of a country Greece traditionally has such strong ties with. “But if there are two more years of this Britain will have to go through a bungee jump, there’ll be rollercoaster days before it gets there.”

In France the run on the pound was a leading story in economic bulletins, with the broadcaster France 24 referring to the Truss government’s mini-budget as “a stock market killing game”, while the newspaper La Croix wrote: “The non-financed spending of Liz Truss makes the pound plunge … the jewel in the crown, the British pound, has lost its shine.”

The magazine Le Point accused Truss of “having lost control of the economy” and of making way for a Labour government, while the financial website Capital speculated about: “How long [will] the fall, which has been dizzying in recent days, continue?”

Across much of Africa, the problems of the UK government and the pound have been relegated to specialist websites and business pages, though in South Africa the South African Broadcasting Corporation led its daily market update with the news of the pound’s fall.

There was some positive coverage of the UK’s prospects however, with one newspaper in Nigeria saying it continued to be a destination for aspirant emigrants. The Vanguard called the UK “a friendly and safe place to live”, due to its ban on allowing citizens to arm themselves, which was “strictly heeded by its occupiers” and a “very stable economy”.

From the perspective of south-east Asia the crisis could be viewed as positive by those wanting to holiday, shop, buy property or pay student fees in the UK, wrote the Straits Times in Singapore. This could now be a good time to visit the UK, the paper said, quoting the travel agency EU Holidays, which said it had seen inquiries about holidays to Britain rise by almost a third.

“It’s the best time for people to go on holiday to the UK because this is the cheapest rate ever – I’ve never seen the rate drop so low before,” said Mohamed Rafeeq, the owner of Clifford Gems and Money Exchange in Raffles City shopping centre.

The drop in the value of the pound is also likely to be welcome news for many international students whose tuition fees are due at this time of year.



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Liz Truss pursues ‘trickle-down economics’ despite scorn from Biden

British Prime Minister Liz Truss and U.S. President Joe Biden formally met for the first time at the United Nations General Assembly in New York City, following clashes in economic policy between the two leaders.

Wpa Pool | Getty Images

LONDON — The British government is set to announce sweeping tax cuts for businesses and the wealthy Friday, in a controversial mini-budget showcasing the lengths to which new Prime Minister Liz Truss is willing to go to overhaul U.K. economic policy even as it draws political ire.

Truss — whose “Trussonomics” policy stance has been likened to that of her political idols Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher — has said she is willing to slash taxes at the top end of the economic spectrum in a bid to boost U.K. growth, in a strategy typically dubbed “trickle-down” economics.

But the approach, which comes as Britain faces its worst cost-of-living crisis in decades, has attracted criticism from both U.K. political opponents and Downing Street’s hereto closest international ally — the U.S. president.

Biden, in a tweet Tuesday, said he was “sick and tired of trickle-down economics,” adding “it has never worked.”

Downing Street said it was “ludicrous” to suggest the comment was aimed at Truss, according to the FT. The White House did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment.

It came a day before the pair formally met for the first time in New York Wednesday, after which Truss tweeted that “the U.K. and U.S. are steadfast allies.”

What is expected in the mini-budget?

The U.K.’s growth-focused, mini-budget, which will be announced Friday by the U.K.’s new Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng, is expected to include plans to scrap planned corporation tax hikes, an end to the cap on bankers bonuses and a potential cut to stamp duty, the tax paid on house purchases.

Kwarteng also confirmed ahead of time Thursday that the government will reverse a recent hike in the taxes employees pay on earnings, known as National Insurance.

I don’t accept this argument that cutting taxes is somehow unfair.

Liz Truss

U.K. prime minister

Critics, including Britain’s opposition Labour party, have argued that such measures disproportionately benefit the wealthy. Higher earners will receive greater relative savings from the tiered NI levy than lower earners, for instance, while pensioners and those on benefits will be exempt from the savings.

Still, Truss said Tuesday she was willing to be unpopular if needed to kick-start the U.K. economy.

“I don’t accept this argument that cutting taxes is somehow unfair,” she told Sky News.

Stock picks and investing trends from CNBC Pro:

“What we know is people on higher incomes generally pay more tax so when you reduce taxes there is often a disproportionate benefit because those people are paying more taxes in the first place,” she added.

More detail is also expected on a previously announced cap on energy bills for households and businesses, which have been pushed higher following Russia’s war in Ukraine.

A ‘critical moment’ for U.K. economy

On Thursday, the central bank implemented its seventh consecutive rate hike, increasing its base rate by 0.5% to 2.25%. Sterling rose marginally on the announcement but remains at multidecade lows against the dollar.

Analysts have said that the announcement will mark a “critical moment” for the direction of the U.K. economy, with both the government and the central bank, which operate independently, seemingly pulling in opposite directions.

“The bank, looking to dampen consumer demand, and government, looking to increase growth, could now be pulling in opposite directions,” David Bharier, head of research at business group the British Chambers of Commerce, said in a note Thursday.

Questions have also been raised over how the policies will be funded, with tax cuts expected to lead to higher borrowing. Truss has argued that resultant growth will bring in more revenue which will cover those borrowing costs.

“The need to increase future borrowing coming alongside the ongoing tightening measures being undertaken by the central bank – this has the potential to continue to increase future borrowing costs,” Niall O’Sullivan, chief investment officer, multi-asset strategies, EMEA at Neuberger Berman, said.

Matthew Ryan, head of market strategy at global financial services firm Ebury, put those borrowing costs at an estimated £200 billion ($225 billion).

“With everything said and done, we estimate that the government’s spending package may well exceed £200 billion over the next two years, laying waste to the existing plans for fiscal consolidation,” he told CNBC via email.

Ryan noted that the government’s fiscal measures could “significantly lessen the possibility of a deep and prolonged UK recession,” but added that risks remain in terms of elevated inflation over the medium term and increases to the U.K.’s public deficit and net debt levels.

The Bank of England said Thursday that is was possible that the U.K. was already in a recession.



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Centene’s cuts pleased investors, but may be ‘disastrous’ for St. Louis’ office market | Local Business

CLAYTON — For decades, managed health care company Centene Corp. focused on scale. Now one of the largest in its industry, Centene is recalibrating for efficiency.

The shift in strategy brought an abrupt end this week to its plans for an East Coast headquarters in North Carolina, stunning local leaders there but pleasing Wall Street. With 90% of its workforce now fully or partly remote, the company has been quietly relinquishing most of its once expansive office footprint in St. Louis and across the country.

The company may not have had a choice: Investors wanted the company to cut costs and improve profit margins. With a new CEO at the helm, the company has been aggressively slimming its real estate portfolio across the country — moves that are likely to improve its bottom line but leave cities, like the St. Louis region, grappling with dozens of vacant office buildings.

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“Making sure that Centene delivers on its promises of margin expansion is something that investors take very seriously,” said Julie Utterback, senior equity analyst at Morningstar Research Services. “It sounds like this management team is taking that very seriously as well, which is appreciated.”

The East Coast campus wasn’t Centene’s only casualty. The company already said it was no longer going to finish its $770 million headquarters expansion in Clayton that would have added nearly 1 million square feet of office space, hundreds of apartments or condos, retail shops, a 1,000-seat civic auditorium and a hotel near South Hanley Road and Forsyth Boulevard.

And Centene has vacated nearly its entire real estate footprint here — approximately 1 million square feet of office space — according to marketing materials shopping those properties for lease or sublease:

• Roughly 300,000 square feet in Chesterfield.

• 180,000 square feet in Des Peres.

• 100,000 square feet in Richmond Heights.

• 100,000 square feet in Creve Coeur.

• More than 60,000 square feet in St. Louis city.

The company confirmed in a statement that it will vacate “several leased locations,” though it did not state which ones. The Centene spokesperson also said it will maintain its headquarters in Clayton, operations center in Ferguson and its Home State Health headquarters in St. Louis — despite a marketing brochure advertising the entire building for sublease.

It’s an about-face to how the company previously operated, gobbling any block of office space in the region that was 75,000 square or feet more. And it comes on the heels of the pandemic that cooled the office market as companies rethought their needs, commercial real estate experts said.

“The Centene effect, combined with the COVID effect, is disastrous for the St. Louis market,” said Kevin McLaughlin of KMA Commercial Real Estate.

And the Centene offices are coming on the market at a time when St. Louis already has a surplus of office space.

“There’s tons of competition you didn’t have three to five years ago,” McLaughlin said.

Centene’s expansive real estate portfolio was a product of its former CEO, Michael Neidorff, who led the initial plans for the East Coast headquarters that was to bring 3,900 jobs to North Carolina.

For years under Neidorff, Centene succeeded through growth. Neidorff expanded the company from a $40 million health plan to a giant in the managed care industry, bringing in $126 billion in revenues last year. Neidorff took a medical leave of absence in February, and Sarah London was named as his replacement in March. Neidorff died in April at the age of 79.

After years of acquisitions, investors have been looking for change. Analysts said the company’s stock price was underperforming, relative to its peers. Last year the company announced a plan to improve margins and shed non-essential assets. After an activist investor stepped in last year, the company agreed to overhaul its board of directors.

During an earnings report in July, Centene said it planned to decrease its domestic leased space by 70%, which it expected would save $200 million in rent each year.

“From my perspective, having two corporate headquarters is not a way to gain efficiency,” Utterback, the Morningstar analyst, said.

The company also announced plans to sell a Spanish hospital business and a company that runs radiology clinics in Slovakia and the Czech Republic.

Investors seem pleased with the moves. After news broke that Centene was scrapping its East Coast headquarters plans, Wall Street reacted with enthusiasm: Centene stock rose 1.6% on Friday, closing at $96.90.

In Clayton, where officials are still dismantling its development agreement with the company, Mayor Michelle Harris said the company’s presence is a real positive for the region.

And its decision to not carry out its East Coast campus brought “some closure for the community” that Centene isn’t going to leave the St. Louis area.

“I’m hoping their employees come to lunch in Clayton,” Harris said.

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Goldman Sachs President Warns of ‘Unprecedented’ Economic Shocks and Tougher Times Ahead – Economics Bitcoin News

Global investment bank Goldman Sachs’ president and chief operating officer has warned of unprecedented economic shocks and tougher times ahead. His statement echoes JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon’s warning that a “hurricane” is coming our way.

Goldman Sachs President’s Warning About the U.S. Economy

Goldman Sachs President and Chief Operating Officer John Waldron shared his outlook for the U.S. economy at a banking conference Thursday.

Commenting on current economic conditions, he said: “This is among — if not the most — complex, dynamic environment I’ve ever seen in my career.” The top Goldman Sachs executive elaborated:

We’ve obviously been through lots of cycles, but the confluence of the number of shocks to the system, to me, is unprecedented.

Waldron’s comments echoed a similar warning by JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, who said Wednesday that there is a “hurricane” coming our way. “You better brace yourself,” he advised.

Noting that he will refrain from “using any weather analogies,” the Goldman Sachs president shared his concerns that risks from inflation, changing monetary policy, and the Russia-Ukraine war could hurt the global economy.

Waldron continued:

We expect there’s going to be tougher economic times ahead. No question we are seeing a tougher capital-markets environment.

The Goldman executive also named several alarming factors hurting the economy, including a commodity shock and an unprecedented amount of monetary and fiscal stimulus.

A growing number of people have raised the alarm about the U.S. economy, predicting that a recession is imminent.

This week, Tesla CEO Elon Musk said he has a “super bad feeling” about the economy, prompting President Joe Biden to respond. Musk also said we are in a recession that could last 12 to 18 months.

Besides Musk, others who have warned about an upcoming recession include the Big Short investor Michael Burry and Soros Fund Management CEO Dawn Fitzpatrick. However, one of the most gloomy predictions came from Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki who said that markets are crashing and a depression and civil unrest are coming.

What do you think about the comments by Goldman Sachs’ top executive? Let us know in the comments section below.

Kevin Helms

A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.



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We’re Approaching a Recession but It’s ‘Actually a Good Thing’ – Economics Bitcoin News

Tesla CEO Elon Musk believes the U.S. economy is approaching a recession but he explained why it is “actually a good thing.” Musk has estimated that the upcoming recession will last 12 to 18 months.

Elon Musk Discusses U.S. Recession

Tesla and Spacex CEO Elon Musk shared his thoughts on the U.S. economy and the upcoming recession in a series of tweets Thursday.

Responding to a question about whether “we’re approaching a recession,” he answered: “Yes.” However, Musk noted, “this is actually a good thing.”

The Tesla boss explained that “It has been raining money on fools for too long,” stressing that “some bankruptcies need to happen.” He elaborated: “All the Covid stay-at-home stuff has tricked people into thinking that you don’t actually need to work hard. Rude awakening inbound!”

His recession tweet followed a statement he made last week, stating that the U.S. economy is “probably” in a recession. He warned that things “will get worse,” and estimated that the recession could last 12 to 18 months.

“The honest reason for inflation is that the government printed a zillion more money than it had,” Musk further commented.

A growing number of investment banks have warned about a recession. Goldman Sachs Senior Chairman and former CEO Lloyd Blankfein recently said we are heading towards a recession, advising companies and individuals to prepare for it.

In addition, Blackrock, the world’s largest asset manager, cautioned in a research note this week that the Federal Reserve’s efforts to increase interest rates to offset record inflation may trigger a recession. “If they hike interest rates too much, they risk triggering a recession. If they tighten not enough, the risk becomes runaway inflation. It’s tough to see a perfect outcome,” Blackrock detailed.

Tags in this story
Blackrock, BlackRock recession, Elon Musk, elon musk inflation, Elon Musk predictions, elon musk recession, elon Musk recession prediction, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs recession, SpaceX recession, Tesla recession

Do you agree with Elon Musk that a recession is a good thing? Let us know in the comments section below.

Kevin Helms

A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.



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Met Gala’s ‘Gilded’ theme slammed as ‘tone-deaf’ amid economic struggles

Let them eat cake.

As Americans pinch pennies to pay for the soaring costs of groceries and gas, Met Gala organizers are being slammed for celebrating over-the-top opulence.

This year’s gala — to be held tonight at the Metropolitan Museum of Art — features the dress code “Gilded Glamor and White Tie,” paying homage to America’s era of economic ascent.

The Gilded Age — occurring between the years of 1870 and 1900 — marked a period of rapid economic expansion across the country, during which a small group of American families, including the the Roosevelts, the Vanderbilts and the Rockefellers, acquired outsized wealth.

But as the cashed-up elites flaunted their fortunes — with lavish homes, glamorous gowns and priceless Renaissance artworks — millions of citizens lived in abject poverty, trying to make ends meet.

Now, some critics have taken to Twitter, pointing out the problematic parallels between the Gilded Age and our current context — marked not only by growing inequality, but the highest inflation levels in more than 40 years. At the same time, the US economy shrank by 1.4% in the most recent quarter, contracting for the first time since the pandemic-induced recession two years ago.

The Met Gala, led by Vogue editor-in-chief Anna Wintour (right), has been slammed for this year’s “Gilded Age” theme, which is set to celebrate extreme wealth as average Americans struggle amid the soaring cost of living.
Getty
The Gilded Age was characterized by extreme wealth and opulent fashions. Socialite Alva Vanderbilt (pictured) was new to high society, and wore extravagant dresses in a bid to be accepted by her peers.
Wiki Commons

“Am I the only one who thinks this years #MetGala theme is out of touch?” one raged. “Inequality is at the highest levels since the Gilded Age, a pandemic & economic meltdown wrecked us, inflation is out of control… but cool, let’s wear #GildedAge themed dresses & laugh about inequality.”

They added: “To be clear, I’m normally a big fan. But this year’s theme is a slap in the face to average Americans.”

Opulent: During the Gilded Age, wealthy socialites opted to flaunt their fortunes by wearing lavish gowns, such as the ones pictured. The garments will be on display at the Metropolitan Museum of Art.
Getty Images
Going all out: Celebrities have never been shy about appearing opulent and over the top at the famously extravagant gala. Lil Nas X is pictured at the event last year.
Dimitrios Kambouris

Meanwhile, another blasted: “I’m still not over how ill-advised & tone deaf it is for the Met Gala to have chosen the gilded age of all things for their theme. yes, there will be awesome fashion. no, that doesn’t balance out the queasy.”

A third chimed in saying that the theme of the glitzy gala would “piss people off”.

The Met Gala is organized and presided over by Vogue editor Anna Wintour, although she wasn’t singled out in any of the tweets.

Cardi B is pictured in an extravagant ensemble at the 2018 Met Gala.
AFP/Getty Images

Vogue’s official Met Gala livestream will kick off at 6 p.m. ET and be broadcast across the magazine’s digital platforms, as well as on Instagram, Facebook and Twitter.

Vanessa Hudgens, La La Anthony and Vogue editor at large Hamish Bowles will share hosting duties.

Celebrities aren’t ashamed of going all out for the annual bash, donning eye-catching frocks and dripping in millions of dollars of diamonds.

While the full guests list for tonight’s event has been kept top secret, but Page Six sources say Cardi B is set to attend wearing an expensive Versace gown. Others reported to be on the guest list include Katy Perry, Sydney Sweeney, Gigi Hadid and all five Kardashian sisters.



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Why inflation may have already peaked

There’s good news and bad news in Tuesday’s inflation report.

  • The bad news: Consumer prices have risen by a shocking 8.5% over the past year, a rate of increase not seen in more than 40 years.
  • The good news: That number has probably gotten as high as it’s going to get, and could soon start coming down.

What they’re saying: Inflation “has likely peaked,” said Bank of America analysts on Tuesday. Their counterparts at Capital Economics concurred, saying that the 8.5% figure would “mark the peak” for the series.

How it works: The headline inflation figure, which spiked by 1.2% in March alone, has been driven overwhelmingly by energy prices. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, was relatively subdued, rising only 0.3%.

  • Good news is likely in the coming April inflation report: The price of oil has fallen to $94 a barrel, down from a peak of $124 on March 8.
  • Gas prices have followed oil prices down. The U.S. average price of $4.08 is down 6% from $4.34 in early March, per GasBuddy.

Be smart: Base effects matter a lot when looking at year-over-year inflation numbers.

  • Right now we’re reaching the end of the period in which we’re comparing to prices that were artificially depressed by the pandemic — and we’ll soon be comparing to prices that were hitting artificial highs thanks to global supply constraints.

The other side: Any declaration that inflation has peaked is necessarily “provisional at best,” wrote RSM’s Joe Brusuelas in a research note, given the volatility and unpredictability of oil prices in a time of war.

  • If Europe stops importing oil and natural gas from Russia for any reason, that alone could send energy prices soaring again.

What’s next: The Fed is going to keep on raising rates all year. The central bank tries to ignore volatile food and energy prices, but core inflation, at 6.7%, is well above the Fed’s 2% target.

  • Higher interest rates have already started to show up in the mortgage market, where 5% mortgages are now common. That should help slow home-price inflation.

The bottom line: We may be moving from inflation being high and rising, to inflation being high and falling. That’s better, but it’s still not great.

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Elon Musk Says Tesla and Spacex See Significant Inflation Pressure — Confirms He Won’t Sell Crypto – Economics Bitcoin News

Tesla and Spacex CEO Elon Musk has revealed that his two companies are seeing significant inflation pressure in raw materials and logistics. He advised people to own physical things when inflation is high but stressed he will not sell his cryptocurrencies: bitcoin, ether, and dogecoin.

Elon Musk Discusses High Inflation

The CEO of Tesla and Spacex, Elon Musk, discussed high inflation in a series of tweets that started Sunday evening. He began by asking his 7.7 million Twitter followers, “What are your thoughts about probable inflation rate over next few years?” Musk also revealed that his companies, Tesla and Spacex, are seeing significant inflation pressure in raw materials and logistics.

The Spacex boss noted that other companies are seeing a similar trend. He referenced an article published by the Financial Times earlier this month stating that global commodity prices are on track for the biggest weekly rally in more than 50 years as Europe’s natural gas prices have hit a new record.

Dominic O’Kane, an analyst at global investment bank JPMorgan, was quoted by the publication as saying: “Events in Russia and Ukraine are unleashing exceptional commodity price moves, which could have structural implications on long-term supply . . . but we also believe there are credible threats of demand destruction as commodity prices melt-up.”

Many people replied to Musk’s tweets about inflation. Orcam Group founder Cullen Roche detailed: “The probability of 10%+ inflation is extremely high for much of 2022. Interestingly, this also increases the risk of deflation in 2023 & 2024 as it increases the risk of the Fed making a policy mistake and/or prices correcting by crashing.”

Last week, Charlie Bilello, founder of Compound Capital Advisors, noted: “The U.S. inflation rate rises to 7.9%, its highest level since 1982. Core inflation (excludes food/energy) rises to 6.4%, also the highest we’ve seen since 1982.”

Elon Musk’s Inflation Advice and Cryptocurrencies

Among those who replied to Musk was the pro-bitcoin CEO of Microstrategy, Michael Saylor. He tweeted:

USD consumer inflation will continue near all time highs, and asset inflation will run at double the rate of consumer inflation. Weaker currencies will collapse, and the flight of capital from cash, debt, & value stocks to scarce property like bitcoin will intensify.

Musk was not surprised by Saylor’s conclusion. “It is not entirely unpredictable that you would reach that conclusion,” he replied. The Spacex boss proceeded to advise that as a general principle, “it is generally better to own physical things like a home or stock in companies you think make good products than dollars when inflation is high.”

The Tesla technoking further confirmed that he still owns three cryptocurrencies and will not sell them. “I still own & won’t sell my bitcoin, ethereum or doge,” Musk wrote.

He first revealed in June last year that he personally owns BTC, ETH, and DOGE. He also said that Spacex only owns BTC. As for his electric car company, Tesla told the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in a filing that the fair market value of its bitcoin holdings as of Dec. 31 was $1.99 billion.

On Monday, Musk also tweeted challenging Russian President Vladamir Putin to “single combat.” He said the “stakes are Ukraine.” He followed up with another tweet less than an hour later, asking the Kremlin: “Do you agree to this fight?”

The Spacex CEO has sent a couple of shipments of Starlink equipment to Ukraine. “Starlink keeps our cities connected and emergency services saving lives,” said Mykhailo Fedorov, the Ukrainian vice prime minister.

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Elon Musk, elon musk bitcoin, elon musk crypto, elon musk dogecoin, elon musk ether, elon musk inflation, elon musk inflation advice, elon musk sells crypto, inflation advice, spacex inflation, tesla inflation

What do you think about Elon Musk’s comments? Let us know in the comments section below.

Kevin Helms

A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.



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