Tag Archives: Divisional

2023 NFL Playoffs Schedule: Bracket, game dates, times and TV networks for Cowboys vs Bucs Wild Card, Divisional Round and more

For the first time since 1970, the NFL’s Wild Card Weekend features rematches in all six games. From Tom Brady and the Bucs renewing acquaintances in Tampa against Dak Prescott and the Cowboys to divisional rivals Cincinnati and Baltimore meeting in the Queen City, each of the six wild card match-ups are dripping with history and subsequent storylines, and the team at NBC Sports EDGE has you set for Wild Card Weekend picks and predictions heading into the upcoming action.

As sports bettors size up each game and look for advantages they can take to the betting window they need to recognize and eliminate meaningless stats. For example, a team’s record in the regular season has proven to matter not one bit in the opening round of the postseason. Over the course of the last 14 seasons, teams that one more regular season games are just 25-26 SU and 21-29-1 ATS with the teams sharing the same record on nine occasions.

RELATED: NFL Wild Card Weekend Schedule 2023

Most people agree coaches and quarterbacks matter. First-time playoff coaches have been far more successful than rookie signal callers. In the last four years, rookie head coaches have gone 8-3 SU and ATS (72.7%) when facing a more experienced coach. Since 2004, first-year quarterbacks in their first playoff game have fared poorly, going 17-40 SU and 17-39-1 ATS (30.4%) when facing an opposing signal caller with playoff experience.

Take and do what you will with those stats. Know that our NFL staff at NBC Sports have gone beyond those numbers to find their favorite plays for each game this weekend on everything from sides and totals to player props. The group includes Jay Croucher (@croucherJD), Vaughn Dalzell (@VMoneySports), and Lawrence Jackson (@LordDontLose). Tail (or fade) as you see fit.

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers -9.5 (Over/Under 43)

Note: The 49ers rank 4th all-time with 32 playoff wins compiled over 27 years of playoff appearances – 26 in the NFL and one in the AAFC.

Croucher: DK Metcalf UNDER 61.5 Receiving Yards

Metcalf had 55 and 35 receiving yards in his two matchups against the Niners in the regular season. In the last game Metcalf was covered by Charvarius Ward, by far the Niners’ strongest corner. Expect Ward to get the Metcalf assignment again and the Seahawks to target Tyler Lockett more often, who will be covered by the weaker Deommodore Lenoir.

Dalzell: Seahawks +10

During the entirety of NFL history, only 14 times have teams defeated the same opponent three times in a single season. The 49ers will try to do just that versus the Seahawks here.

Seattle only managed 7 and 13 points in two meetings against San Francisco, but both situations were not ideal times to back the Seahawks. The Seahawks faced the 49ers in Week 2 fresh off a one-point win versus Russell Wilson and the Broncos on Monday Night Football. The second meeting came following a loss on a Sunday in Week 14 before playing the 49ers on Thursday Night Football (short week) in Week 15. The Seahawks will be better prepared this time around and rookie quarterbacks (e.g. Brock Purdy) often struggle in their first playoff starts as noted earlier.

RELATED: What to know about Super Bowl 2023: Date, location, halftime performance info, and much more

Jackson: Kenneth Walker OVER 16.5 rushing attempts (-105)

Kenneth Walker’s 16.5 o/u (-105) on rushing attempts may be a trap, but I am taking the bait. He has averaged 26 carries in his last three games as the Seahawks have a made a concerted effort to run the ball taking some pressure off of Geno Smith. Interestingly enough, the last time Walker was under 16.5 carries (12) was against the 49ers in Week 15. The Seahawks are 9.5 points dogs, but even in a two-score loss against the Chiefs in Week 16, Walker had 26 carries.

Note: This is the only Wild Card matchup in 2023 between two 4,000-yard passers in Trevor Lawrence and Justin Herbert.

Croucher: Austin Ekeler OVER 36.5 Receiving Yards

No team allows more receiving yards to running backs than the Jags. The Jags rush defense has been excellent this season (6th best in Rush EPA allowed) and their pass defense has been dreadful. Expect the Chargers to target Ekeler in the passing game. In the first meeting between these two teams Ekeler was targeted 8 times for 48 receiving yards.

Dalzell: Justin Herbert OVER 37.5 Pass Attempts (-120)

Trevor Lawrence and Justin Herbert are both making their first career starts. I trust Herbert much more in this spot and given Herbert’s resume on NBC Sports Primetime games, I like the chances he lights it up in his first playoff game.

Herbert is second in the NFL with 4,739 yards and 279 or more yards in nine out of 17 games this season and 37 or more pass attempts in 11 games. I am expecting plenty of passes from Herbert, so back the Over on pass attempts at 37.5. I lean the Over 280.5 Passing Yards.

Jackson: Travis Etienne OVER 76.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Etienne has averaged over 77 rushing yards over his last four games, including a 17-yard game against an elite Titans’ run defense. The Chargers have given up 100 or more rushing yards to three of the last four running backs they have faced. Zack Moss could not do it because Nick Foles was too busy giving the ball to the Chargers. You can run on this Chargers team until proven otherwise.

RELATED: How to watch the LA Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars: TV/live stream info for Saturday’s NFL Wild Card game

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills -9.5 (Over/Under 46.5)

Note: Buffalo has won 10 of the last 11 meetings in Orchard Park against Miami. Watch this spread. If it gets to double digits, remember this: In the last 13 games featuring a spread of 10 or more points, the underdog has won outright just one time.

Croucher: James Cook OVER 36.5 Rushing Yards

Over the past two weeks the Buffalo running game has trended more to James Cook, with Cook out-carrying Devin Singletary. 36.5 is too low for a potential RB1 on a 13-point favorite.

Dalzell: Game Total UNDER 43.5 (-110)

Tua Tagovailoa is out for this matchup and now the spread moved from -9.5 to -13.5 in favor of Buffalo. With Skylar Thompson at quarterback, plus Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle dealing with injuries, I don’t see Miami scoring more than two touchdowns here, so I will take the Game Under.

Jackson: Josh Allen UNDER 33.5 Passing Attempts (-105)

 

In two games against the Dolphins this season, Josh Allen attempted 103 passes. With the Bills being 13.5 favorites, it doesn’t look likely he’ll need to do that again which is why I like him to go under 33.5 passing attempts. The Dolphins are ravaged with injuries, the biggest one being Tua Tagovailoa, who won’t be there to trade shots with Allen. 

RELATED: RotoPat Ranks the Postseason Field

New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings -3 (Over/Under 48.5)

Note: The Vikings led the NFL in 4th quarter scoring this season averaging 9.9 points in the final 15. The Giants ranked 5th with an average of 7.4 points in the 4th each week.

Croucher: Game Total UNDER 48.0

Star Vikings tackle Brian O’Neill is out, starting center Garrett Bradbury is banged up and the Vikings run game has been awful of late. The Giants defense is the healthiest its been all season, with Adoree Jackson trending in the right direction to return, and the defensive line suddenly a serious strength, with Kayvon Thibodeaux 100% integrated alongside Dexter Lawrence, Leonard Williams and a healthy Azeez Ojulari. Everything points to a lower scoring game than the previous match-up.

Dalzell: Minnesota Vikings -3 (-110)

This looks like one the most challenging games to cap on the slate, but considering the Giants are 2-5-1 on the ML in the last eight games and they clearly are not playing their best brand of football and are worth a fade.

New York is 1-4 on the ML in the last five road games, only beating Washington. As a favorite, Minnesota has gone 12-0 on the ML this season compared to 1-4 as an underdog. I will take the Vikings as a favorite and back the more dynamic offense at home in a dome.

RELATED: Dalzell’s Dish – Super Wild Card Bets and Props

Jackson: Daniel Jones OVER 241.5 Passing Yards (-120)

Daniel Jones’ passing yardage number is set at 241.5 (-120) and I’m looking for him to go over that. Sure, he’s thrown for less than 200 yards in three of his last four games, but you know which one of those games he went over that? Against the Vikings, where Jones threw for 334 yards. Furthermore the Vikings are giving up a whopping 29.6 points per game in their last five contests. While most are riding Danny Dimes’ rushing props, think differently.

Note: Joe Burrow is 19-4 ATS in his last 23 starts.

Croucher: Samaje Perine OVER 16.5 Rushing Yards

Perine has gone over this number in 7 of his past 8 games, albeit with Joe Mixon not present for 2 of those games. Perine squeaked over the line in both games against the Ravens (17 and 18 rushing yards). Cincinnati couldn’t run the ball at all against Baltimore last week (no run longer than 8 yards, 2.8 yards per carry overall), so look for them to potentially use Perine more than expected as a change of pace.

Dalzell: Game Total UNDER 41.5 (-110)

Lamar Jackson’s status in this game makes all the difference and if he is out, everyone will be on the Bengals, and rightfully so. Even if Jackson plays, there should be a significant rust factor for the quarterback who hasn’t played in over a month. Take the Bengals if Jackson is out, or take the Under if he is in.

Jackson: Ja’Marr Chase OVER 77.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Ja’Marr Chase simply balls out against the Ravens. I’m taking the over at 77.5 (-115) yards. Chase averages 115.5 receiving yards per game in his career against the Ravens. Even if you subtract his 201-yard outburst as a rookie, he still averages 87 yards in meetings against the Ravens.

RELATED: How to watch the Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals: TV/live stream info for Sunday’s NFL Wild Card game

Dallas Cowboys -2.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Over/Under 45.5)

  • Kickoff: January 16 at 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN)
  • Site: Raymond James Stadium – Tampa, FL
  • Dallas Playoff History: 35-29 (8 Super Bowl appearances – 5 wins)
  • Tampa Bay Playoff History: 11-10 (2 Super Bowl appearances – 2 wins)
  • Series History: Dallas and Tampa Bay have met 21 times including two playoff games. The Cowboys have won 15 of the 21 games including both playoff games. The Bucs, however, have defeated Dallas in their season opener each of the last two seasons.

Note: Buccaneers’ quarterback Tom Brady is a perfect 7-0 in his career against the Dallas Cowboys throwing for an average of 277.9 yards with 15 total TDs and 5 INTs.

Croucher: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5

The Dallas pass defense has fallen apart. Over the past 5 weeks the Cowboys’ defense ranks 29th in dropback EPA. The Cowboys made Gardner Minshew look like Patrick Mahomes and then the following week Minshew could do less than nothing against the Saints through the air. Against the Panthers, the Bucs showed they still have the ceiling to exploit and dominate a struggling secondary. Combine the Dallas pass defense with Dak Prescott’s obsession with turnovers lately and how dreadful he looked against the Commanders, and it seems like the wrong team is favored in this game.

Dalzell: Buccaneers +3

Tom Brady and the Bucs get the best draw possible as they take on the Cowboys. Brady’s teams are 7-0 all-time versus Dallas, including a win in Week 1 this season. We have yet to see Tampa Bay peak or play its best ball this year, while Dallas is playing mediocre football right now. Their last three games include a loss to the Commanders last week, a narrow win over Philly and a backup quarterback in Week 16 and an OT loss against Jacksonville the week prior. Nothing would be surprising about the Bucs winning this game outright.

Jackson: Buccaneers ML (+120)

 

Tom Brady is in the playoffs and there is no one you trust more in the postseason, even at age 45. Taking the Buccaneers outright almost feels like a trap, but it is hard to ignore the Cowboys’ recent struggles. The Bucs’ offense has gotten back on track in recent weeks and they are healthier on both sides of the ball than they have been in weeks.

The team at NBC Sports EDGE has you covered with the latest in best plays and player news from Wild Card Weekend through to Super Bowl LVII. Now, all premium tools for Fantasy and Betting are included in one subscription at one low price. Customers can subscribe to NBC Sports EDGE+ monthly for $9.99. Click here to learn more!



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Peter King’s Football Morning In America Column: NFL Playoffs Divisional Round

In 25 hours on the greatest playoff weekend in the 102-year history of professional football, the headlines, one by one, kept overtaking the last one:

BENGALS KNOCK OFF 1 SEED TO REACH FIRST AFC TITLE GAME SINCE 1988
NINERS KNOCK OFF 1 SEED ON 45-YARD FIELD GOAL AT :00
RODGERS’ FUTURE UNCERTAIN; WON’T SAY IF HE’LL STAY A PACKER
BRADY, IN A STUNNER, MIGHT WALK AWAY TOO
RAMS AVOID MEGA-COLLAPSE, WIN ON FIELD GOAL AT :00
HAS BRADY PLAYED HIS LAST GAME?
MAHOMES, ALLEN IN A DUEL FOR THE AGES
KC WINS ON GREATEST COMEBACK OF REID’S LIFE
OVERTIME RULES STINK
ALL FOUR DIVISIONAL GAMES DECIDED ON FINAL PLAY

I’m sitting here, just after 11 Sunday night, trying to process the last day-plus. Or, as Jack Buck once said: “I don’t believe WHAT I JUST SAW!!!” We came within 13 shocking seconds of the road team winning all four divisional games for the first time in history. The heroes/newsmakers: Evan McPherson (who’s he?), Joe Burrow, Jeffery Simmons, 39-year-old Robbie Gould, Deebo Samuel, the conflicted brain of Kyle Shanahan, Jordan Willis (former Jet, of all things), Cooper Kupp, Matthew Stafford, the unblockable Aaron Donald, Josh Allen, Josh Allen, Josh Allen, Gabriel Davis the touchdown machine, the tough-as-nails Patrick Mahomes, the incomparable Tyreek Hill. And Josh Allen.

After the first three games of the weekend, drama-laden all, ended on last-play field goals, no way the fourth game could match them. Then KC 42, Buffalo 36 was better, and by a lot. “I’ve been watching football for 75 years,” said 84-year-old Upton Bell, the son of Bert Bell, the NFL commissioner who preceded Pete Rozelle, “and nothing compares to this Buffalo-Kansas City game. I have never seen two quarterbacks in a playoff game play at a higher level than Allen and Mahomes. I was at the 1958 Colts-Giants championship, and that doesn’t compare to this game.”

Well then.

How amazing is it that we might be on the cusp of Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady walking away from football, and the talk on all your Zoom meetings this morning is: “Holy bejeezus! That game last night!”

Thirty-one points scored after the two-minute warning of the fourth quarter.

Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce catches the winning touchdown in overtime. (Getty Images)

One thing I loved most about the last game, and that’s the indomitable spirit of the Buffalo and Kansas City players. That a cliché, I know. What is indomitable spirit? It’s what Tyreek Hill told me after the game. He talked to his parents a lot during the week, and they told him this was going to one of those who-wants-it-more games. Again, another cliché.

“I told the guys in the receiver room that,” Hill said from the KC locker room. “Buffalo’s great. You saw that. To win, we had to have guys who wanted it more. That’s the truth. Thirteen seconds left, fourth quarter, Buffalo scores and now we’re down, and [offensive coordinator] Eric Bieniemy comes up to me and says, ‘We’re coming to you, T.’ Patrick says, ‘Coming to you, T.’ And that’s the way I want it. I love it. I love to feel like it’s on me.”

That’s the kind of competitor you want in a game for the ages. Maybe The game for the ages.

There’s no good, logical way to write about this weekend. But it’s my keyboard, so we’ll start at the game I covered Saturday night up in northern Saskatchewan, Niners at Packers.

San Francisco 13, Green Bay 10

GREEN BAY, Wis. — A football game is a series of hundreds of decisions, many of them made by coaches in split-seconds in high pressure. Rarely does one of those decisions impact so many lives and teams as monumentally as something Kyle Shanahan decided while Brandon Aiyuk was in motion from left to right across the Niners’ offensive formation with 1:03 left in the San Francisco-Green Bay divisional playoff game Saturday night.

“What was the time left?” Shanahan asked me, 70 minutes after the game ended. He was finally settling down just before boarding the team bus for the airport.

“A minute and three seconds,” I said.

“Yard line?”

“The 38,” I said.

Now Shanahan was back in the moment, the moment of the call that would significantly impact:

• The future of Aaron Rodgers’ life in football.

• The legacy of the two-time top-seeded Packers, now on the edge of a cliff.

• Perhaps the last chance for the Pack to prove they hadn’t underachieved with just two Super Bowl titles in 30 years with Hall of Famers Brett Favre and Rodgers.

• The coaching chops of Shanahan, trying to eke out an unlikely win with a wounded quarterback.

• The surprising run of the Niners, trying to make their second NFC title game in three years.

One decision. Shanahan had called a pass play, a deep throw to George Kittle if he was open; the 49er coach thought Kittle would be behind the coverage because the Packers would be sucked up into the box thinking run here. But as Jimmy Garoppolo got his team to the line, three receivers including Kittle in a bunch to the left and Deebo Samuel alone to the right, Shanahan’s second thoughts bubbled to the surface.

The play clock leaked down … :06 … :05 … and Shanahan found the nearest ref. “Time out! TIME OUT!”

:04. That was close.

“In those conditions,” began Shanahan, beat, like he’d just run a half-marathon, “the gotta-have-it yard line was the 35. That was where we had to get to for the longest possible field goal. So I was thinking, man, to have a good chance at this we gotta get a four- or five-yard gain. I was worried we couldn’t do that with the run so I went to a pass.

“But I also knew they had no timeouts. If we did a pass and it didn’t work, Aaron was gonna get it back with 40 or 45 seconds, which …”

I interrupted, “You’ve seen that movie before.”

“Yeah, we’ve seen that before.” In Week 3, at Santa Clara, Rodgers drove the Packers to the winning field goal in the last 37 seconds.

“So we called the pass, the pass I liked. I let them go to the line and then I just thought, It’s not worth it. I’ve seen it with Aaron. We had a motion on, but once we got to the line, I thought I was gonna call a timeout. So I let us start the motion and then I called time. Then I was like, ‘Guys, we gotta run it. At least if we don’t get five yards, at least I know we’re going to overtime. We’ll let it run down to 15 seconds or whatever and punt.”

You saw the rest—probably 10 or 15 times by now. Deebo Samuel, the rusher/receiver, lined up to Garoppolo’s left, took the handoff, sprinted right into a hole over right tackle, sloughed off a shoulder-tackle by Packers cornerback Jaire Alexander at about the 37, then sprinted down to the 29. Field-goal range. Robbie Gould (20 of 20 on postseason field goals) was perfect from 45 yards as the clock hit :00. Niners 13, Packers 10. Final.

One heck of a timeout. One heck of a change-of-mind on the fly. One heck of a run. One heck of a game.

“I guess it ended up being a great decision,” Shanahan said, and he finally allowed himself to smile before heading out into the Wisconsin night.


Sometimes, you just have to look up in the sky at the midwinter flurries enveloping the football game you’re playing in, and you just have to feel the zero-degree wind chill, like you’re playing in the Arctic Circle.

Sometimes, you have to consider what you’ve just done. Rodgers had home-snow-globe advantage Saturday night, and he owns Lambeau Field in weather like this. But on a night most Niners will never forget as long as they breathe, this is what the California underdogs did in perhaps the 38-year-old Rodgers’ last game at Lambeau Field, or his last game period: The 49ers held one of the greatest quarterbacks ever, in the last 54 minutes of this NFC divisional playoff game, to three points in nine possessions in a shocking 13-10 victory.

“Yes,” said linebacker Fred Warner, the leader of this great defense, “I made sure throughout the game to look up at the sky and take it all in, because you don’t get to play in games like this very often. It’s one of those games I’ll remember forever. And how we played against Aaron, who is such a great player … it’s legendary. Truly.”

I could see Warner, outside the Niners’ locker room, giddy equipment guys packing up gear for the 1,850-mile trip home, smiling broadly beneath his black KN95 mask.

“It’s hard to wrap my brain around what we just did.”

I could write 10,000 words about this game. I just might. The game wasn’t pristine. The drama was.

The headlines:

Rodgers defers decision on future. He could request a trade in the coming weeks and the Packers would have to oblige, or he could play one more year and be an unrestricted free-agent in 2023 at 39, or he could quit now. “I’ll have conversations [with Packer management] in the next week or so and start to contemplate after that,” he said after the game. No sign of which way he’s leaning, but he did say he didn’t want to be part of a rebuild.

Mr. Clutch won it. “Our kicker’s perfect!” screamed one Niners exec as a group of them exploded in joy seconds after Gould’s dead-perfect 45-yard kick as time expired won it. And wait till you hear the story of Gould’s new cleats, and the role a small soccer shop in Lancaster, Pa., played in Gould’s golden moment.

Shanahan’s Deebo decision: likely the biggest in his five-year head-coaching career. Changing from pass to run, and Samuel responding with the biggest play of his NFL life, shows Shanahan will live or die with his calls, and he’s comfortable with that.

Packers lousy in crunch time for second straight year. Last year, in the NFC title game, it was Rodgers going incomplete, incomplete, incomplete in the game-deciding series against Tampa Bay. This year, it was the worst offensive performance by the Pack in Rodgers’ 22 playoff starts. You can look it up: They’d never scored less than 20 points in any of Rodgers’ playoff games till this one. Ten. Jordan Love-like. Two top seeds, two crushing disappointments.

Is this it for Rodgers? The weird, painful symmetry of Rodgers and predecessor Brett Favre cries out. Fourteen years and two days previous to Saturday night’s game, Favre’s 14-3 Packers lost to the Giants on a Lawrence Tynes 47-yard field goal as time expired in a minus-23 wind chill game. Here, Rodgers’ 13-4 Packers lost to the Niners on a 45-yard field goal as time expired in a zero wind-chill game. If this was Rodgers’ last game as a Packer, it will be hauntingly familiar to Favre’s.


This was not quite a Vinatieri game at the end, but Gould would have to kick through some snow to win it from 45 yards. Early in the week, he’d called a kickers fraternity brother, Lawrence Tynes, whose 47-yarder 14 years ago lifted the Giants to a Super Bowl berth. Shorten your warmup, stay as warm as possible and slow your stride into the ball because of the soft ground. In other words, don’t use the usual speed to get to the ball. The rushers won’t be able to be quick either, so they’re not going to have an edge coming around the corner.

It worked. Gould slowed his approach to the ball and kicked it perfectly off the soft, heated Lambeau field.

Gould buys his cleats from the store of a guy who used to play soccer with his dad, Angelo Zalalas, who runs Angelo’s Soccer Corner in Lancaster, Pa. “My cleats didn’t fit anymore, and I don’t have. Nike deal,” Gould told me. “So I ordered some from Angelo—shout out to Angelo!—because it was just time for a new pair. He overnighted them to me. The first ones didn’t fit right. So he sent another pair, and those were good. I used those tonight. They felt great.”

After the game, Tynes texted Gould congrats, and Gould thought how cool it was that a guy who won a huge January game in this place helped him win a huge January game in this place. “Dude,” Gould texted Tynes, “you’re my good luck charm.”

Kansas City 42, Buffalo 36

After soaking in one of the greatest games ever (by any metric), and exhaling, I have a few points to make here:

Kansas City has drafted so many players with the Mahomes mindset (talent, plus drive, plus intense competitiveness) who showed up in this ultimate test to their greatness. I thought coming back in the fourth quarter of the Super Bowl two years ago, using signature-play 2-3 Jet Chip Wasp to come back on the Niners, was the best illustration of Kansas City’s determination. Maybe not. Mahomes is amazing, obviously. Nothing bugs him. He’s got a chance, long-term, to be one of the all-time great with his magical style and accompanying grit. “But what people don’t see,” Tyreek Hill told me post-game, “is the way he makes us all better.” With 73 seconds left and the Bills up 29-26, Mahomes pierced a look into Hill and said, “Ten! I’m coming to you, no matter what.” Of course, “10” is Hill’s number. Hill got a step on his defender, and Mahomes hit him, and Hill sprinted through the crowd of Bills for a 64-yard score. “So well do that, we all lean on each other,” Hill said. “Like, in this game, I told our receiver group, ‘If it’s not coming to you, block! Block for one another.’ “

Josh Allen. That is all. A conversation I won’t forget from last August: Allen’s off-season workout guru, former quarterback Jordan Palmer, told me the season would come down to the last four minutes against Kansas City. So I went back and looked at those four minutes: Allen led two touchdown drives, throwing for 107 yards and two touchdowns. He rose to the moment. And here’s something no one’s thinking about in the wake of the game. Allen, as brilliant as he was throwing the ball, was superb and forceful running it. Michael Vick’s career rushing average was 7.0 yards per rush. Steve Young’s 5.9 yards. In his two playoff games this year, Allen is bulling/deking/sprinting for 7.9 yards per carry. When you don’t throw picks, and when you’re putting up 83 points in two playoff games, you’re a great quarterback. That’s Allen.

What depth the Bills have. In the regular season, Gabriel Davis was Buffalo’s sixth-leading receiver, with 35 catches. How does a team’s sixth-leading receiver set an NFL playoff record with four touchdowns in one postseason game? Davis (eight catches, 201 yards) shows how well the Bills have done building this roster under GM Brandon Beane.

Sean McDermott showed he has a smart, disciplined team that will be in games of this magnitude for years. One play illustrated to me what McDermott and defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier have drilled into this team. With Kansas City up 23-21 with nine minutes to play, KC had a third-and-one from the Buffalo 7-yard line. No idea (other than the element of surprise) why the home team would take Mahomes out from under center and position tight end Blake Bell at quarterback, but that’s what happened. Bell took the snap and veered right and pitched to running back Jerick McKinnon. And in a brilliant bit of defensive strategy, defensive back Dane Jackson leveled McKinnon for a loss of three. I would have had the ball in Mahomes’ hands there, but the fact that Reid didn’t, and the fact the Bills sniffed it out is a great credit to their coaches.

McDermott will regret one coaching decision from this game. Buffalo just had the greatest drive of the day to go up 36-33 with 14 seconds left, and it looked like the Bills would have their great victory of the century. But Buffalo then kicked the ball into the end zone, allowing no time to run off the clock and allowing Kansas City to take over at its 25. They were 40 yards away from trying a field goal to tie it. Moments after it happened, one NFL coach texted me and said, “No! The Bills should have made the Chiefs return the ball and start the drive with only eight or nine seconds left. That way, they’d have had one play, not two, to get into field-goal position.” Correct. Absolutely correct.

L.A. Rams 30, Tampa Bay 27

I don’t know if Tom Brady will retire. I do know that there are some close to Brady who wonder if he will, including one person Sunday night who told me when I asked about Brady walking away at 44, “Friday I would have said no. Today, I don’t know.”

Don’t take that to mean Brady had some epiphany over the weekend that told him he should retire. I’ve always felt—as someone who knows Brady in passing; I am not close to him—that when he retired, it would not be because he felt he was incapable of playing at a high level. God knows anyone who leads the NFL in passing yards at 44 can and is still playing at a high level. But I’ve thought there’s something else that’s important for Brady, who knows he has focused so much energy for exactly half of his life on being a great professional football player. At some point he’s going to want a different focus in his life. And at a time when the Bucs were all-in on 2021 and it didn’t result in a second Tampa Super Bowl, Brady knows 2022 is going to be worse because of the cap and because some of the vets are not going to be able to be the impact players they were in the Super Bowl season. So maybe this is time to go. But I stress: I don’t know if he will. Brady might come back and throw for 5K again next fall. We’ll see. He does deserve to take his time and make the choice he wants to make.

As for the Rams, this was a franchise-impacting victory. It means they’ll play the NFC title game in owner Stan Kroenke’s jillion-dollar palace, SoFi Stadium, and if they win that game, they’ll play the Super Bowl in their home yard too.

Rams pass rusher Von Miller and Bucs quarterback Tom Brady. (Getty Images)

On Sunday, they went on the road, beat the defending Super Bowl champions, knocked the greatest quarterback ever from the tournament, and proved that their way of building a team can work. The Rams are the only one of 32 franchises in the league choosing through trades and free agency to build with proven veterans and lesser, lower-cost mid-round young players. Watching Von Miller wreak havoc next to Aaron Donald on Sunday, and seeing Odell Beckham Jr. make the Final Four as a real contributor and seeing vet Matthew Stafford win the first and second playoff games—in the span of seven days—were measuring-stick accomplishments for the team.

Watching Stafford lead the team to the winning field goal after nearly blowing a 24-point lead says more to me about his poise and leadership than about how he and that offense almost blew the game. When McVay went out on a limb to deal for Stafford, he denuded future drafts in making the deal with Detroit. This was the day it was all about, Stafford going into Tampa Bay and dethroning Tom Brady and the champs.

Cincinnati 19, Tennessee 16

So it has become urban legend in the last 36 hours that Evan McPherson is the Joe Burrow of kickers—a young player (22) with an insane amount of confidence for his age, a guy who told holder Brandon Allen before banging his fourth field goal of the game, a 52-yard game-winner, “Looks like we’re going to the AFC Championship.” And of course McPherson drilled it right down the middle. In his first two NFL playoff games, McPherson is perfect, four-for-four in field goals in both.

Where’d this big-time player come from?

Well, the Bengals have the New England Patriots, and Christian Barmore, to thank for McPherson.

Go back to draft weekend. The Bengals did like McPherson, who came out a year early from Florida and the team scouted heavily. Special team coordinator Darren Simmons gave his seal of approval, which was big in the eyes of draft czar and director of player personnel Duke Tobin. They liked McPherson’s physical gifts and his moxie. But the team wanted to draft at least two offensive linemen and two defensive linemen (and maybe a third) in the draft, and they knew they were going to pick Ja’Marr Chase. To get Chase, the kicker (no sure thing if they didn’t deal for extra picks) and the linemen, they needed extra picks. “We definitely needed to fill in on both lines of scrimmage,” Tobin recalled from Cincinnati on Sunday. “But we also liked the kicker, because taking him would hopefully take us out of the grind cycle of manufacturing a kicker.”

The Bengals had the 38th overall pick in the second round. Tobin wanted to move down. He engaged with New England, picking 46th. The Patriots agreed to send pick 46, plus two fourth-round picks (122 and 139) to Cincinnati for the 38th pick. That’s a hefty sum, but only a slight overpayment per the note draft-trade value chart. But the trade allowed the Bengals to pick two offensive tackles and three defensive linemen by the time the fifth round began.

Bengals kicker Evan McPherson. (Getty Images)

“I can’t say I’m Carnac in that way,” said Tobin, referring to the mind-reader Johnny Carson used to play on late-night TV. “You have guys on your board that you’re saying, okay, if we make this deal we could get three guys we liked instead of picking only one. It felt good to get three swings at picks in the fourth round.”

That freed Cincinnati to pick McPherson early in the fifth round. It also came with seal of approval of his father Bill Tobin, a long-time scout and draft chief.

“My dad told me in 1985, when he was with the Bears, they took a kicker in the fourth round who made a huge difference in their Super Bowl team that year. That kicker was Kevin Butler. So it’s not without precedent, taking a kicker and having him make a real difference in your team. We felt good about Evan being there in the fifth round for us, and the difference he could make for us.”

Some difference. McPherson scored 14 points in a seven-point wild-card win last week, and 13 points in sending home the AFC’s top seed this weekend. That’s pretty good value, making all 11 kicks in clutch playoff situations, for the 154th pick in the draft.

AFC Championship Game, 3:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Cincinnati (4 seed, 12-7) at Kansas City (2 seed, 14-5), Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. Opening line: K.C. by 7. Patrick Mahomes started this playoff run by ushering a classic vet, Ben Roethlisberger, into retirement in the AFC wild-card round. He continued the playoffs with a duel to the death with current star, Josh Allen, in the divisional round. And now Mahomes, in what will feel like an odd role as the veteran star, will be opposite young gun Joe Burrow and the surprising Bengals. It’s easy to think Kansas City, in its fourth straight AFC title game, will dispatch the spunky Bengals easily. That would be easy to think, and wrong. Joe Burrow doesn’t care about football royalty. He threw for 446 yards and four TDs when he met Mahomes for the first time three weeks ago in a 34-31 Cincinnati win.

NFC Championship Game, 6:40 p.m. ET, FOX

San Francisco (6 seed, 12-7) at Los Angeles Rams (4 seed, 14-5), SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles. Opening line: L.A. by 3.5 points.

On the surface, it seems like a great match for the Rams, with a healthy and hot Matthew Stafford playing at home in his redemption story against a wounded survivor, Jimmy Garoppolo and the upstart Niners. In the last 15 days, the Niners trailed the Rams 17-0 and came back to win at SoFi, found a way to win at Dallas, then used the entire roster to win at Green Bay. Plus, since New Year’s Day 2019, the Niners are 6-0 against the Rams—by an average of 8.5 points per game. So the Rams might feel good about this matchup, but the Niners have history on their side.

You think the head-coaching hires have proceeded glacially this year? Well, good. It’s always mystified me how teams sprint to hire the most important person (non-quarterback) in the organization. It’s frustrating the candidates, the agents, and even some teams. “I’ve never seen a year with such uncertainty,” one veteran agent who represents some coaches said Saturday afternoon. “Especially this deep into the process.”

It’s Jan. 24, and NFL teams have filled none of their eight head-coaching openings. Certainly what I’m about to say has something to do with the fact that the NFL season stretched this year to Jan. 9, a week later than normal with the advent of the 18-week, 17-game regular season. But look at these NFL coaching factoids:

• Since 2013, not including in-season interim hires, NFL teams have made 63 head-coaching hires or commitments. Only two occurred after Jan. 24: David Culley in Houston last year (Jan. 27) and Frank Reich in Indianapolis in 2018 (Feb. 11, after Josh McDaniels dropped out). Some hires were made official after the Super Bowl, with contracts agreed to before Jan. 24 in that season. I call those commitments.

• Let’s account for the extra week, and let’s figure out how many commitments to new coaches were made as of Jan. 17 in each hiring season. Of the 63 coaches hired, 53 had been hired/committed to by Jan. 17.

• In four of the last nine hiring seasons, every team had hired its coach by Jan. 17.

Former Dolphins coach Brian Flores. (Getty Images)

There are reasons for this, and for the slow pace of GM-hiring. Giants president/co-owner John Mara elucidated one when he said after his coach and GM both were gone after this season: “I don’t want to rush into anything. We made that mistake in the past.” Dave Gettleman, hired as Giants GM on Dec. 28, 2017 is the perfect example. What was the rush? No one was hiring Gettleman. But Mara felt safe with him because Gettleman was a longtime Ernie Accorsi lieutenant. This time, it’s different. The Giants vetted nine GM candidates with interviews, and brought three back for more interviews, before hiring Buffalo assistant GM Joe Schoene on Friday.

Another reason: There’s no superstar coaching candidate out there. Even the coveted ones, former coaches Dan Quinn and Brian Flores, have zits. Quinn was 7-9, 7-9 and 0-5 in his last three Falcons seasons, not able to capitalize on the team’s Super Bowl appearance, before getting fired; Flores coached three straight non-playoff seasons in Miami, though to his credit Miami was getting good in 2021—he had a seven-game winning streak for the Dolphins. But there’s this: In three seasons, Flores had an alarming revolving door on the offensive coaching staff, with four offensive line coaches, four offensive coordinators (including the George Godsey/Eric Studesville job-share in 2021) and four QB coaches. You shuffle coaches that often, particularly with a young quarterback, and there’s going to be some mayhem.

We’ll see how it shakes out, but the fact that teams are slow-playing the coaching carousel, I think, is a very good thing. For a moment, consider the two coaches in the opening game of the divisional weekend. Mike Vrabel was hired 20 days after the end of the regular season in 2018. Zac Taylor reached a commitment with the Bengals 21 days after the end of the regular season in 2019. (He couldn’t sign till after his 2018 team, the Rams, played in the Super Bowl.) Patience paid, for Tennessee and Cincinnati.

Offensive Players of the Week

Josh Allen, quarterback, Buffalo. No idea how Allen would be feeling this morning, but I bet he wakes up feeling like crap. He shouldn’t. His team was valiant, and he has been incredible in the 2021 postseason. Consider that, in a win over New England and a loss to Kansas City, Allen was on the field for 16 possessions in the past nine days—and produced 12 touchdowns. His nine-TD, zero-pick performance in the playoffs led to a 149.0 rating, and he was a commanding presence in running for 134 yards. More of this, please, in future playoff seasons.

Patrick Mahomes, quarterback, Kansas City. Mahomes threw for 188 yards and two touchdowns after the two-minute warning of the fourth quarter. That is all. No … one more thing. He completed the great Kent Teckulve-submarine style pass, under the outstretched arm of Bills edge rusher Gregory Rousseau, that was the craziest completion of a crazy weekend.  

Cooper Kupp, wide receiver, L.A. Rams. Not just for the nine catches and 183 yards and one touchdown, and not just for how he came back from a big fumble in the 30-27 win over the Bucs, knocking the Super Bowl champs from the playoffs. Kupp caught two straight passes in the final minute of the game, for 20 and 44 yards, that led to the game-winning field goal. Amazing that even when the Bucs knew the ball was coming to Kupp, he shined.

Defensive Players of the Week

Jeffery Simmons, defensive tackle, Tennessee. The loss to Cincinnati was not Simmons’ fault, I’ll tell you that. “Unreal bro,” Joe Burrow told Simmons, with massive respect, when the Titan interrupted his CBS post-game interview. Saturday evening was the coming-out party for the Titans’ first-round pick in 2019. In the Titans’ loss to Cincinnati, Simmons couldn’t have inflicted much more damage on Bengals QB Joe Burrow. He had three of Tennessee’s playoff-record nine sacks, for a combined loss of 27 yards, plus four pressures of Burrow, plus eight tackles. Not bad for a guy who had 13.5 sacks in 45 career regular-season and postseason games. One other sack note for the Titans: Nine is the most sacks in a playoff game in the last 28 years.

D.J. Reader, defensive tackle, Cincinnati. At 6-3 and 347 pounds, Reader was going to be huge—no pun intended—in the Bengals’ attempt to stunt the impact of Derrick Henry. Second carry by Henry: Reader stopped Henry for a loss of one. Fifth carry: Reader stopped Henry for a loss of one. Fourth quarter, last Tennessee drive of the day: Reader stoned Henry for no gain. Henry being made mortal was job one for Cincinnati, and that’s what he was in both halves: 10 carries for 30 yards in the first, 10 carries for 32 in the second. Reader led the way for a Cincinnati defensive front that handled Henry.

Special Teams Players of the Week

Evan McPherson, kicker, Cincinnati. With the fifth pick of the fifth round last April, the Bengals chose the one and only kicker picked in the 2021 draft, Florida’s Evan McPherson. They chose wisely. McPherson scored all of Cincinnati’s points in the first half of the divisional playoffs at Tennessee, with field goals of 38, 45, and 54 yards. Then, of course, he kicked the game-winner from 52 yard at the final gun. What a wow moment, for the franchise and for the rookie kicker. Of all NFL kickers, McPherson now has the most field goals from 50 yards or longer this season, 11, folding in regular-season and postseason kicks, in 13 attempts. Something else good: In two narrow playoff wins over Las Vegas and Tennessee, McPherson has made all eight field-goal tries.

Jordan Willis, defensive end, San Francisco. With the Niners’ offense sputtering in the snow globe of Lambeau and 4:50 left in the game and the Packer hanging on to a 10-3 lead, Willis, playing with a bum ankle, powered through the middle of the Green Bay line and got one massive arm on a punt. The block was picked up by safety Talanoa Hufanga and returned six yards for the tying TD. That’s not all Willis did. Earlier, it was Willis fighting off a block on a 39-yard field-goal try by Mason Crosby, allowing Jimmie Ward to bust through and block the chippy field goal. “I cannot say enough about [Willis’] determination to get ready to play in a game when we really needed him,” coach Kyle Shanahan said.

Coach of the Week

DeMeco Ryans, defensive coordinator, San Francisco. “Come on,” linebacker Fred Warner told me afterward. “How much more do you have to see to figure out what a great coach DeMeco is? He had an answer for everything tonight.” Ryans, based on this pressure-packed defensive game plan, should have earned multiple additional looks from teams with head-coaching openings. (Listening, Houston?) Ryan’s D held the Packers to 193 total yards and zero touchdowns in the game’s final 54 minutes while tormenting Aaron Rodgers all the while. Ryans took advantage of the unexpected absence of all-pro David Bakhtiari—inactive; his surgically repaired ACL didn’t respond well enough to play—to work on both tackles, Billy Turner and Dennis Kelly.

Goats of the Week

Ryan Tannehill, quarterback, Tennessee. Threw an interception on the first Titans play of the game that led to the first points of the game, a Cincinnati field goal. Threw an interception (albeit tipped) on the last Titans play of the game that led to the last points of the game, a winning Cincinnati field goal. And threw another pick from the Bengals’ 9-yard line to ruin the Titans’ chances for a TD in the third quarter. Almost forgot this gem: Tannehill converted one third down all game. In short, this was the easiest Goat of the Week on a playoff weekend in a long time … at least until the Saturday night game kicked off in Green Bay.

Maurice Drayton, special teams coordinator, Green Bay. The Packer special teams had one of the biggest meltdowns of any position group in years. The Packers had a field-goal attempt blocked in the first half; if converted, the kick would have given Green Bay a 10-0 lead. A 49ers field goal in the third quarter was set up by a 45-yard kick return by Deebo Samuel. The Niners’ lone TD came on a blocked punt scooped and returned for a touchdown. And then, on the winning Robbie Gould field goal, Green Bay had 10 men on the field and got zero pressure on the kick in the biggest moment of the 2021 season. “Abject disaster” would be an apt description for Drayton’s unit.

I

“I didn’t have a great night tonight … I’m still super competitive, still know I can play at a high level, so it’s going to be a tough decision. I have a lot of things to weigh in the coming weeks.”

—Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who may retire, ask for a trade, or return to the Packers to play in 2022.

II

“That’s totally up to Tom.”

—Tampa Bay coach Bruce Arians, on whether Tom Brady will return to play for the Bucs in 2022.

III

“I’m tired of the underdog narrative. We’re a really good team. We’re here to make noise.”

—Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow, who will play in the AFC Championship Game.

IV

“I support him 100 percent. I’m a big believer in using data to make decisions, as is he. It doesn’t mean that there isn’t context involved in that—I mean, we’re not robots—but we’re trying to put our players in a position of strength, in a position of advantage, as much as we can. I love the identity that we play with. I know on the outside that not everyone may agree with how we play, but it’s who we are and I love it.”

—Chargers GM Tom Telesco, on coach Brandon Staley’s unorthodox play-calling, particularly on fourth down, in his first season as a head coach.

V

“All options are on the table, but those decisions are interrelated based on our global needs.”

—Steelers coach Mike Tomlin, always one of the most interesting quotes in the league, on the post-Roethlisberger Steelers QB situation. I’m surprised he didn’t add, “Of course, there’s got to be a quarterback somewhere in the supply chain we all like.”

Black head coaches, NFL, Jan. 24, 2018: 7.

Black head coaches, NFL, Jan. 24, 2022: 1. 

I

Game that all networks will brawl over before the schedule is announced in early May: Buffalo at Kansas City.

This will be episode five in the Allen-Mahomes series, four at Arrowhead Stadium. Patrick Mahomes is 3-1 versus Josh Allen. Mahomes has won by 9, 16 and 6, Allen by 18.

II

RIP, Meat Loaf.

Meat Loaf was the softball coach at Joel Barlow (Conn.) High School in Redding, Conn., in the nineties. One of his players, Jen Carlson, wrote a story for Deadspin a few years ago with a tremendous headline: “Meat Loaf Was My Softball Coach.” She said the players called him Coach Meat.

He was not fond of being Meat Loaf when he was coaching—he just wanted to be a good coach. Carlson did say, though, that after the team won its first game one year, he sang in celebration, “I’d Do Anything For Love (But I Won’t Do That).”

That must have been fun.

On Friday night in Green Bay, I joined Rob Demovsky, the ESPN reporter (and Ohio Bobcat) I’ve gotten to know a bit, and another ESPN reporter, Nick Wagoner, who covers the Niners, at the DePere High-Sheboygan North High boys basketball game. Big reason: Young Hogan Demovsky is a backup guard on state power DePere. I hadn’t been to a high school basketball game in … I have no idea how long. Thirty years? Forty?

I walked into the gym early in the first half, and what’s the first thing I see? Hogan Demovsky driving through the Sheboygan North D for a pretty layup.

ESPN reporter Rob Demovsky (right) watches DePere (Wisc.) High School basketball on Friday night. (NBC Sports)

The Redbirds run a high-powered operation. A roster sheet for frosh, JV and varsity teams for both schools comes with the $4 admission. Fifty-one players in the DePere program, eight coaches, two “speed and strength” coaches. Spirited PA announcer. Games are streamed on YouTube; Hogan’s grandparents watch from their retirement home in Florida. Music during timeouts. At one point in the second half, I looked up on the scoreboard to see the scoring and rebounding leaders in the Fox River Classic Conference listed. Students in the Redbird student section stand for games.

Two 18-minute halves. No shot clock. Intense defense. The Redbirds, 11-1, came in ranked second in the state in the big-school division, but the Golden Raiders, 7-4 and feisty, cut the lead to 56-53 midway through the second half. Then DePere’s John Stockton-esque guard, John Kinziger, dribble-drove the length of the floor, like he was saying, Enough of this, and laid it in and the Redbirds took control. DePere, 81-66.

There was a handshake line, and parents clapping backs, and the friendly PA guy directing his final words to the visitors from 58 miles south: “We wish you a safe drive back to Sheboygan!”

At a nearby pub, Graystone, the players and a few girlfriends gathered at a long corner table for pizzas and cokes. Parents sat elsewhere, not daring to intrude. I stopped Kinziger to ask him about his play when it was a tight game, 56-53, and what was in his mind right then. He said somebody had to make a play—we had to stop their rally right there.

The universal-ness of sports.

Thanks for the invite, Rob. A great evening.

I

From the Hall of Fame QB, on Matthew Stafford’s 44-yard bomb to Cooper Kupp to set up the game-winning field goal.

II

Golic works for ESPN and ESPN Radio.

III

Julian Edelman, the former Patriot, is a clever guy.

IV

The Baltimore cornerback with praise for departed defensive coordinator Wink Martindale.

V

Deitsch covers sports media for The Athletic.

VI

Noted author Maraniss wrote the acclaimed Vince Lombardi biography.

VII

Touche, Mr. Siciliano. Touche.

Reach me via email at peterkingfmia@gmail.com, or on Twitter @peter_king.

I blew this one. From Marc Ryan: “No mention of Don Maynard? Gee whiz! [Maynard died Jan. 10 at 86.] Not long ago, I watched some games from the 70s on YouTube. Running pass routes was to endure legalized mugging. And, 19 yards per catch for a career!”

You’re right, Marc. Don Maynard was one of the game’s best receivers in the first 50 years of pro football. I should have recognized his passing. He was the most dangerous receiver in football in 1967 and ’68 as the Jets rose to greatness. Joe Namath loved him. No one intimidated the soft-spoken Texan. In the last five games in 1968 leading up to the Super Bowl III upset of the Colts, Maynard caught 34 passes from Namath for 775 yards and eight touchdowns. He caught the AFL Championship Game-winner in the fourth quarter at Shea Stadium against the Raiders (their final game before John Madden took over as coach in 1969), but Maynard pulled a hamstring on the catch and was used as a decoy in the Super Bowl. Maynard, as much as any Jet but Namath, was responsible for getting the franchise to its only Super Bowl ever. RIP, sir.

Not a fan of my MVP vote. From Jim Shaffar: “You’re a bum! There is no way that lying SOB Aaron Rodgers should be the NFL MVP. If he wins the MVP that will show the system is totally compromised and corrupted. Rogers put his teammates and others in mortal danger by disregarding official NFL protocols regarding the coronavirus, lied to the public, and set a terrible example of how a role model should conduct himself. If Tom Brady doesn’t win the MVP it will be a travesty. I don’t know how you can sleep at night defending Rodgers the way you do.”

Do you often start letters or emails to total strangers with “You’re a bum?” Catchy. I got scores of emails/tweets castigating me for my Rodgers-as-MVP vote, which I explained at length in my column last Monday. A lot of thought went into my decision. Many disagree. That’s America.

Some good points here. From Carl Lasker, of Arlington, Va.: “You are my favorite sports writer, and I welcome your transparency. Thanks for all you do. I feel weird writing you for the first time with a critique. However, I feel you shortchanged your readers when you described your thought process behind choosing Nick Folk as your first team All-Pro kicker. You wrote: ‘Justin Tucker and Daniel Carlson are both deserving at kicker, to be sure. But Folk was 29 of 29 on kicks inside 50 yards—Tucker was 29 of 31, Carlson 34 of 36 on such kicks—and I can’t forget the 34- and 41-yarders he made with the wind gusting up to 40 mph in Buffalo last month.’ You neglected to mention Tucker was six of six on kicks outside of 50 yards, and Carlson was six of seven. Meanwhile Folk was five of eight. Tucker was also perfect on extra points, while Carlson missed three and Folk missed five.”

Thanks for the kind words, Carl. All good points. Tucker has the best argument versus Folk, and—as you also pointed out—his 66-yard game-winning field goal in a dome in Detroit was huge. I just couldn’t get past Folk’s incredible December night in Buffalo when, in warmups, field-goal tries were Tim Wakefield knuckleballs in a galestorm, and his 41- and 34-yard kicks were the difference in a 14-10 win. But Tucker or Carlson would be good choices too.

On Hub Arkush. From Jerry Kohn, of Skokie, Ill.: “You’ve mentioned how Hub Arkush, one of the 50 voters for the NFL’s MVP award, stated that he would not vote for Aaron Rodgers because ‘he’s a bad guy.’ You were absolutely right to call Arkush out on this. You know who would agree with you? Hub Arkush. I’m a life-long Chicagoan and Bears fan and have listened, watched, and read Hub Arkush for decades. He is an absolute class act. The next day after he made that comment he apologized profusely. He acknowledged that it was wrong. My point is that, if you are going to write about Arkush’s misstep, you should also write that he acknowledged that his comments were wrong and apologized.”

Thanks, Jerry. For those who want to read Arkush’s walk-back of his comments, for which he should be commended, here they are. But there still is an issue relating to whether Arkush should be a voter for the AP awards and all-pro team. If his opinion that a player is a jerk or a bad guy factors into his vote for the NFL awards, he shouldn’t be a voter.

1. I think I’ll update you on the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2022 here. A few things are different now. Because the Hall of Fame class will be announced on the NFL Honors show, and the show has been moved from Saturday night before the Super Bowl to the previous Thursday night, we won’t know the final results till that Thursday, Feb. 10. That’s 23 days between the vote and publicizing it. Normally it’s a few hours. The 49 voters met on Zoom, with new Hall president Jim Porter presiding. Porter took over for David Baker, who retired. The meeting, my 30th as a Hall voter, lasted 7 hours, 26 minutes. A few points:

• The meeting started with presentations on the candidates for contributor (Art McNally), senior (Cliff Branch) and coach (Dick Vermeil). All were selected as candidates before the meeting by HoF subcommittees. The presentations in each case consisted of a five-minute statement by a voter close to each candidate, then discussions; voters hit the “raise hand” function on Zoom and in turn would make a point or give an opinion. After those three candidates had their cases heard, the voters voted yes or no on each candidacy in secret; each candidate needs 80 percent of the vote, or at least 40 of the 49 voters to vote yes, for enshrinement.

• Then the 15 modern-era finalists had their cases heard in the same way. But this round of voting is different. After hearing all 15 candidates discussed, we voted in secret for our top 10. The votes were tabulated, and then we were told the 10 men who were the top vote-getters. A few more points were made by voters who wanted to say something. Then we voted in secret for our top five. Then the top five got announced to the group. Then we voted yes or no on each of the five, with each candidate needing at least 40 of 49 yes votes to get in.

• Although the voters know the top 10, and then the top five, we were asked not to disclose them in advance of the show on Feb. 10. We do not know the outcome of any of the final yes-or-no votes.

• What I really liked about this year’s session: There were no slam dunks, and so we could enter the meeting knowing it was a free-for-all. Fifteen spots, five true openings. And with five first-time finalists (Willie Anderson, Devin Hester, Andre Johnson, DeMarcus Ware, Patrick Willis) and three second-years (Jared Allen, Ronde Barber, Bryant Young), there were lots of fresh faces and new cases to consider. That made the discussions new and interesting. Again, I can’t be specific because we aren’t allowed to spill on the discussions, but it’s compelling to me, for instance, to hear and debate the merits of a truly great return man, Hester, and consider him versus guys who played 1,100 snaps a year at a high level. (I am bullish on Hester’s case, by the way.) I am similarly bullish on Bryant Young, the 49ers’ rock at defensive tackle; his case is relatively unknown because he’s one of the most unassuming big stars in the years I’ve covered the game.

Former Texans wide receiver Andre Johnson, December 2012. (Getty Images)

• The big questions: Would this finally be the year Tony Boselli overcame the short-career knock and got in? Would there be enough of a difference to break a logjam between three excellent receiver candidates, Johnson and Torry Holt and Reggie Wayne—or could two or three make it to the doorstep? What of the inside ‘backer competition between Sam Mills and Zach Thomas, both terrific overachievers who started their careers as longshots and became tackling machines? Did Ronde Barber do enough as a corner and physical nickel to be the fourth Tampa defender to earn a bust in Canton? Would Richard Seymour, the versatile total team guy, finally earn his bust in his fourth year of eligibility?

• It is fantastic to have Joe Horrigan, the smartest man about pro football history in the United States, back in the room after a 2.5-year retirement. Porter got him to come back. Great move. No one can replace Horrigan’s institutional knowledge.

2. I think one of my long-term questions is what the committee is going to do about all the productive wide receivers and quarterbacks who will be in the queue in the next, say, five to eight years. Receivers, particularly. Right now, 14 receivers have 1,000 or more catches, and only seven are in the Hall. Stefon Diggs (595), Davante Adams (669), Jarvis Landry (688), Keenan Allen (730), DeAndre Hopkins (789), Julio Jones (879) and Antonio Brown (928) certainly have a chance to push their numbers up around 1,000, and among all the young and talented ones (Justin Jefferson, 196 catches by age 22), who knows how high they’ll climb? I don’t think we should have a magic number—say, if a receiver catches 1,000 balls, he’s in. I think a lot of it should be what voters saw with their own eyes. For instance, to me, I look at what I’d call the physical grace of the 6-3, 228-pound Johnson, along with his production, along with the fact that he didn’t have Peyton Manning throwing to him, or he wasn’t in the Greatest Show on Turf offense, and that means something to me. Johnson just looks like a Hall of Fame receiver to me. And he produced like one as well. But that’s a big question for Hall voters to contemplate in the future.

3. I think we need to stop this Deebo Samuel-as-Shohei Ohtani thing that’s getting legs. Ohtani has done something that no player since Babe Ruth has done—pitch and bat at a high level. They are separated by a century. If Samuel was similar in football, he’d be doing what Sammy Baugh did in the forties or others like Chuck Bednarik did in the fifties and early sixties—playing offense and defense. (Baugh, in 1943, did more. He led the NFL in passing accuracy, in punting average, and with 11 interceptions as a safety. That is a versatile player.) Catching it and being a running back in the same game is valuable, to be sure, but not revolutionary. Cordarrelle Patterson does it too—and he also has been a returner.

4. I think the combo platter of two Patriots—offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and director of player personnel Dave Ziegler—is in contention to be the next coach/GM team running the Las Vegas Raiders. I didn’t say “will be” the next coach and GM, but it’s in play.

5. I think I would just say this to anyone who is fine with the NFL overtime rule: No matter how good your defense is, if you win the toss at the start of overtime, are you going to choose to kick off? No. Only in exceedingly rare cases—like, if your quarterback is Spergon Wynn and your defense is the ’85 Bears—would you ever choose to kick off to start OT. That is the definition of the coin flip having too much bearing on the outcome of games.

6. I think the best player of the playoff weekend, and this is no slight to Patrick Mahomes, was Josh Allen. Amazing football player. Tremendous thrower, obviously, and a runner who chooses when to be physical and when to run out of bounds.

7. I think this is the football story of the week: the well-respected Keith Van Valkenburg of ESPN on the Year of Aaron Rodgers. Interesting piece. I enjoyed this Rodgers line about why we should read and think more: “I can read something and not immediately have it overtake my personal ideologies. And that’s the problem with society, is everything is triggering and offensive. It’s wild.”

8. I think this is an excellent column, by Kurt Streeter of the New York Times, about the conflict between loving football and not loving so many aspects of league business.

9. I think Streeter hits it just right. The drama sucks us all in. And it makes it very easy to say, “Hey, remember the WFT scandal? The one with all the women who were sexually harassed and the culture not stopped by owner Daniel Snyder until it was way too late? Later with that stuff. The game’s on.” As I wrote recently, the NFL counts on the white noise of the great games to paper over the moral and ethical stuff that really stinks. Writes Streeter:

The N.F.L. doesn’t give a rip about diversifying its ranks. And it doesn’t give a rip what any of us think about its pathetic hiring practices.

And yet even when not reporting, I watch the games, grappling with internal conflict all along. I’m hardly a rabid fan, but the game that helped me bond with my father as we watched the 1980s and 1990s Seattle Seahawks now helps connect me with my 11-year-old son.

My boy will never play football because his parents know the risks of brain damage, and he does too. But the N.F.L. is sucking him in. He loves Patrick Mahomes, partly because they share a mixed-race heritage. He hangs on Pete Carroll’s every move. To him, Russell Wilson is always “Danger Russ!” and Aaron Rodgers is always “Rodgers Rate!”

10. I think these are my other thoughts of the week:

a. I am not a participation-trophy person. But I like the Naomi Osaka I see in this snippet from her post-loss press availability at the Australian Open. Look at her face, the tone of her voice—Osaka looks and sounds like a person a lot more content with her life than the last few times we saw her. And good for her.

b. “I fought for every point. I can’t be sad about it … I feel I grew a lot in this match … Of course I lost, but I’m happy with how it went.”

c. The Rick Gosselin special-teams rankings are always significant. What I found interesting: Baltimore, always good in the kicking game, is number one … Interesting that the Packers can overcome the worst special teams in the league to be the NFC’s top seed … Daniel Carlson’s great year was huge in lifting the Raiders to number 11 … The game is fortunate that Gosselin continues to measure one of the hard-to-measure areas of the game. Much respect to him for diving deep into so many important areas of the game that get overlooked.

d. Podcast of the Week: “Torched: Three Seconds on the Clock,” by Molly Bloom, written by Albert Chen, about the Olympic Gold Medal basketball game at the 1972 Games in Munich.

e. This is one of those forever stories, now approaching the 50th anniversary. Soviet Union 51, United States 50. But it’s much more than that. I guarantee whether you know the story or not, you’ll be captive to this pod. Well written, well told.

f. I was 15 when we got robbed in this game by the officials and by the international basketball hierarchy. I am 64 and the feelings came back listening to this.

g. I did enjoy the perspective of players, who recognize the murders of the Israeli athletes in a terrorist attack earlier in the games make the theft of a basketball medal seem pretty small. It’s worth 37 minutes of your time.

h. The joy of living in New York is often dampened by the shock of living in New York. I still like it, to be sure. But the happiness of living in the city comes with warning labels. Now there’s another one: When you’re waiting for a subway train, always stand either facing the crowd or with your back close to a wall.

i. Earlier this month, a mentally ill man pushed a 40-year-old woman onto the subway tracks at the Times Square Station. Tracey Tully and Ashley Southall of the New York Times wrote about the woman who died, and the man who pushed her. Wrote Tully and Southall of the victim, Michelle Go:

While working in finance, she had also volunteered for 10 years for the New York Junior League, coaching women and children on nutrition with a goal of stabilizing at-risk and homeless families, the league’s president, Dayna Barlow Cassidy, said in a statement. While on a committee that focused on empowering young adults and teenagers, Ms. Go prepared job candidates for interviews, helped fine-tune résumés and offered tips on personal finance.

Ms. Go was standing near a group of women, preparing to board the train as it pulled into the station.

“She had her back to this crazy person,” [a witness] said. “She never saw anything.”

She became known in her apartment building for her wide, open smile and her generosity. At Christmastime, she left a neighbor a large box of chocolates with a thoughtful note. When she was on Long Island for work, she volunteered to stop at a nearby Ikea to pick up items for Ms. Henderson.

j. The 61-year-old man who was arrested for the crime served two terms in prison for robbing taxi drivers. He proclaimed after the incident that he was God.

k. The whole thing is so disturbing, so sad. It’s been hard to get out of my mind.

l. Cool Inside Reporting of the Week: Nina Totenberg of National Public Radio, on the inner strife at the Supreme Court.

m. Totenberg, 78, has covered the Supreme Court for NPR for 51 years. A half century of legal reporting at the highest level. So when she reports on the Supreme Court, I listen, and read. Reported Totenberg:

It was pretty jarring earlier this month when the justices of the U.S. Supreme Court took the bench for the first time since the omicron surge over the holidays. All were now wearing masks. All, that is, except Justice Neil Gorsuch. What’s more, Justice Sonia Sotomayor was not there at all, choosing instead to participate through a microphone setup in her chambers.

Sotomayor has diabetes, a condition that puts her at high risk for serious illness, or even death, from COVID-19. She has been the only justice to wear a mask on the bench since last fall when, amid a marked decline in COVID-19 cases, the justices resumed in-person arguments for the first time since the onset of the pandemic. Now, though, the situation had changed with the omicron surge, and according to court sources, Sotomayor did not feel safe in close proximity to people who were unmasked. Chief Justice John Roberts, understanding that, in some form asked the other justices to mask up.

They all did. Except Gorsuch, who, as it happens, sits next to Sotomayor on the bench. His continued refusal since then has also meant that Sotomayor has not attended the justices’ weekly conference in person, joining instead by telephone.

n. So I donate blood quite often. I mention that now to tell a story at a vitally important time for the cause of blood donation. The other day, I went to my blood-donation site near Grand Central Station in Manhattan. I had set up an appointment for 8:50 a.m., to give what they call a double-red donation, a concentrated dose of red blood cells. It takes maybe 75 minutes. Anyway, when I got to the blood center, I was surprised to see … no one. There are 16 or so donation beds there (I should have counted), and when I sat down to get my left arm jabbed, I looked around and I was the only one there. Four phlebotomists, one customer—me. A few of the beds filled as my appointment wore on, but this is a pretty bad time for the New York Blood Center and for all blood donation sites because people don’t want to be close to others any more than they have to with the Omicron surge. I understand, and I empathize. But the lack of donors is exactly the reason we all should think very seriously about donating. It’s easy, you’re masked, they’re masked, and the monumental good that you’re doing will make your day. Promise. Please consider doing it. Thanks.

o. NPR had two good stories about the blood shortage. National. And in one state, Wisconsin. The shortage is real.

p. Good luck in retirement, Tom Haudricourt. Congrats on a great career writing baseball in Milwaukee.

q. And congratulations, Jeff Passan of ESPN, on being named the National Sports Media Association’s sportswriter of the year. Richly deserved. Soak it in. That’s a heck of an honor.

r. NSMA Awards Winner Story of the Week: Dom Amore, who was voted the Connecticut sportswriter of the year, wrote about the UConn player who is ever mindful of the legendary Pistol Pete Maravich, right down to the number.

s. What a cool story, particularly if, like many of us of certain ages, Maravich will always be the basketball phenom of phenoms. Who averages 44.2 points a game in the SEC, as he did at LSU? Wrote Amore:

Before he started playing for Albany Academy, Jackson sat down with [basketball trainer] Clymer and watched “The Pistol: The Birth of a Legend,” a 1991 biographical film focusing on Maravich’s eighth-grade season in 1959. Jackson says it changed his life.

Soon Jackson was watching and reading anything he could find on Maravich, who died in 1988. There’s plenty out there — films, books, documentaries, even a song, “Pistol Pete” released by The Ziggens in 2002.

Jackson, now a sophomore, is just beginning to come into his own at UConn, hitting three 3-pointers and getting his first double-double in the Huskies’ 76-59 win over Butler on Tuesday night. Before a game, you might see Jackson, averaging 7.9 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists, doing a ball-handling trick from Maravich’s 1987 instructional series, “Homework Basketball.”

“Clyde showed me the video where Pistol Pete does all the dribbling drills,” Jackson said. “The one where he throws the ball between his legs, all the different drills, and we began to work on those drills. The more I did, I got better at handling the ball, and I became a big fan of Pistol Pete because of the flair that he had in his game.”

t. Now this coach, USC women’s soccer coach Jane Alukonis, is one I would have loved to have mentored my daughters at some point of their youth sports lives. Watch Alukonis explain her Why.

u. Great to see you in Green Bay, Mike Jones.

Yo! Bills Mafia!
Very bright days lie ahead.
Josh Allen’s the man.



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Chiefs’ overtime win over Bills in NFL divisional round ranks among the greatest playoff games in NFL history

The road to the Super Bowl still runs through Kansas City, but it took a herculean effort by Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense to get past the Bills in Sunday’s AFC divisional round playoff game. The Chiefs’ 42-36 overtime win capped off a memorable weekend that saw all four games come down to the wire. The weekend’s first three games were decided on last-second field goals, while the Chiefs needed a 49-yard field goal by Harrison Butker at the end of regulation before winning it in overtime. 

Anyone who watched the Bills-Chiefs game quickly realized that they were witnessing an instant classic unfold in real time. The frantic and furious action in the game’s final stages merits it a place on the all-time list of greatest playoff games in NFL history. Here’s where the game officially stands where compared with the NFL’s other all-time playoff games. 

The criteria used when determining the list was as follows: 

  • How competitive was the game from start to finish 
  • Big plays on both sides of the ball
  • Excitement/entertainment value 
  • Unique factor; what made the game stand out from other great playoff games 

The 12 greatest NFL playoff games 

12. 1971 divisional round: Dolphins 27, Chiefs 24 (OT) 

This game, played on Christmas Day, 1971, remains the longest game in NFL history at 82 minutes and 40 seconds. Miami won despite an all-time performance by Chiefs running back Ed Podolak, who amassed 350 total yards and two touchdowns. The Dolphins won the game in the second overtime on Garo Yepremian’s 37-yard field goal that was set up by Larry Csonka’s 29-yard run through an exhausted Chiefs defense. 

“I lost like 18 pounds that day,” Csonka said years later. “I lost so much weight that my pants were loose.”

11. 1974 divisional round: Raiders 28, Dolphins 26

Sports Illustrated billed it as Super Bowl VIII 1/2, and the game certainly didn’t disappoint. The game started with an 89-yard kickoff return for a touchdown by Dolphins’ rookie Nat Moore. Down 19-14, Cliff Branch’s 72-yard touchdown catch gave Oakland a slim fourth quarter lead. The two-time defending champion Dolphins countered with rookie Benny Malone’s 23-yard score with just over two minutes left. With time running out, Raiders quarterback Ken Stabler moved his team to the Dolphins’ 8-yard line before throwing in heavy traffic to running back Clarence Davis, who managed to pull Stabler’s pass amidst a “Sea of Hands” from Dolphins defenders. The win was one of John Madden’s greatest as the Raiders’ coach, as it ended Miami’s reign as NFL kingpin. 

10. Super Bowl XXV: Giants 20, Bills 19 

The closest Super Bowl ever, this game started with Whitney Houston’s emotional rendition of the national anthem and ended with Scott Norwood missing a game-winning field goal attempt. Down 12-3 in the first half, the Giants got back in the game by controlling the ball for a Super Bowl record 40 minutes and 19 seconds. Despite barely having the ball, the Bills were in position to win the game with eight seconds left. Thurman Thomas ran roughshod over the Giants with 190 total yards in a losing effort. The Giants’ received a gritty effort from backup quarterback Jeff Hostetler, who completed a series of critical third down throws to help the Giants win their second Super Bowl under Bill Parcells. 

9. Super Bowl LI: Patriots 34, Falcons 28 (OT)

Down 28-3, New England scored 25 unanswered points in the final 17 minutes of regulation before winning the first overtime in Super Bowl history. The Patriots’ unprecedented comeback was fueled by Dont’a Hightower’s critical forced fumble of Matt Ryan, Julian Edelman’s fingertip catch and Danny Amendola’s 2-point conversion to force overtime. James White’s 2-yard touchdown in overtime capped off the largest comeback in Super Bowl history. 

8. 1958 NFL Championship: Colts 23, Giants 17 (OT) 

The first-ever overtime NFL game, the Colts’ rode the dominant passing duo of quarterback Johnny Unitas and receiver Raymond Berry to an historic win inside Yankee Stadium. Unitas hit Berry 12 times for 178 yards and a touchdown while defeating a supremely talented Giants team, led by Frank Gifford and Sam Huff. The game played a major role in the NFL eventually surpassing baseball as America’s premier sport. 

7. Super Bowl XLIII: Steelers 27, Cardinals 23 

This game had its dull moments, but it makes the list based on its thrilling ending. Down 20-7, the Cardinals took a late lead after Kurt Warner hit Larry Fitzgerald on a 64-yard touchdown with 2:37 left. Backed up on his own 12, Ben Roethlisberger engineered one of the greatest game-winning drives in NFL history that was capped off by his remarkable touchdown pass to Santonio Holmes, who caught the ball before scraping both of his feet inside the back of the end zone. The game also featured James Harrison’s eye-popping, 100-yard interception return for a touchdown just before halftime. 

6. 1967 NFL Championship: Packers 21, Cowboys 17 

In -13 degree weather, both teams braved the elements with a trip to Super Bowl II at stake. The Cowboys took their first lead when running back Dan Reeves hit Lance Rentzel on a 50-yard bomb in the fourth quarter. With a second consecutive NFL title at stake, Packers quarterback Bart Starr methodically drove Green Bay to the Cowboys’ 1-yard-line with under 20 seconds left. WIth no timeouts left, Vince Lombardi decided to go for the win instead of a tie. Instead of giving the ball to his running back, Starr instead kept the ball while following Jerry Kramer across the goal line for one of the most dramatic scores in league history. 

5. 1981 AFC divisional round: Chargers 41, Dolphins 38 (OT) 

Dan Fouts and the “Charger Power” offense sprinted out to a 24-0 lead before Miami took a 38-31 lead on a series of crazy plays that included a hook and lateral for a score just before halftime. Trailing late in regulation, the Chargers tied the score when Fouts’ overthrown pass for tight end Kellen Winslow was instead caught by running back James Brooks in the end zone. Winslow, who needed to be carried off the field at the game’s conclusion, forced overtime when he blocked the Dolphins’ game-winning field goal attempt at the end of regulation. His clutch catches in overtime set up Rolf Benirschke’s 29-yard field goal. 

4. Super Bowl XLI: Giants 17, Patriots 14 

The greatest upset win since the Jets’ win over the Colts in Super Bowl III. The Giants spoiled the Patriots’ dreams of an 19-0 season when Eli Manning hit Plaxico Burress for the game-winning score with 35 seconds left. The score was set up by Manning’s insane completion to David Tyree, who famously caught the ball by using his helmet. The Giants’ defense put constant pressure on Tom Brady, who threw just one touchdown pass after tossing 50 during the regular season. 

3. 2022 AFC divisional round: Chiefs 42, Bills 36 (OT) 

This game had three lead changes in the final two minutes of regulation before Butker forced overtime after Mahomes moved the Chiefs’ offense 44 yards in 10 seconds. Kansas City won the game when Mahomes hit Travis Kelce on an 8-yard score four minutes into overtime. The Chiefs survived a gallant effort by Bills quarterback Josh Allen, who threw four touchdown passes to Gabriel Davis that included the go-ahead score with 13 seconds left. Along with throwing for a combined seven touchdowns, Allen and Mahomes were also their team’s leading rushers with 68 and 69 yards, respectively. 

2. Super Bowl XLIX: Patriots 28, Seahawks 24 

Ranked as the greatest Super Bowl of all-time by CBS Sports senior writer Will Brinson, the Patriots overcame a 10-point deficit on two Tom Brady touchdown passes. Seattle appeared to be on their way to a second straight title when Russell Wilson hit Jermaine Kearse on an incredible 33-yard completion. One yard away from the game-winning score, Seattle attempt a pass instead of giving ball to Marshawn Lynch. The decision backfired, as Wilson’s pass was picked off by Malcolm Butler, an undrafted rookie who had been on the receiving end of Kearse’s crazy catch two plays earlier. 

1. 1981 NFC title game: 49ers 28, Cowboys 27

Down 27-21, Joe Montana led the 49ers on a 89-yard drive that was punctuated by his game-winning touchdown pass to Dwight Clark. The touchdown, which lives in NFL lore as “The Catch,” sealed San Francisco’s first Super Bowl berth while subsequently ended Tom Landry and the Cowboys’ reign as an NFL powerhouse. 

With victory in hand, Montana was approached by Cowboys Pro Bowl pass rusher Ed “Too Tall” Jones, one of the defenders who had pressured Montana on his game-winning touchdown pass. 

“You just beat America’s Team,” Jones said to Montana.

“Well,” Joe Cool replied, “You can sit on your ass with the rest of America and watch the Super Bowl.” 

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Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs prevail against Buffalo Bills, win wild AFC divisional game in overtime

KANSAS CITY, Mo. — The Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen someday might beat Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in the playoffs. But for now, Mahomes and the Chiefs have the solutions for Allen and the Bills in the postseason.

The Chiefs beat the Bills 42-36 in overtime on Sunday night at Arrowhead Stadium in the divisional round of the playoffs. Mahomes also outdueled Allen in last season’s AFC Championship Game victory over the Bills, which sent the Chiefs to Super Bowl LV.

Mahomes will face another young quarterback challenger, Joe Burrow, next Sunday when the Chiefs face the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship Game, also at Arrowhead.

Mahomes’ 8-yard touchdown pass to Travis Kelce on the first possession of overtime won the game.

Mahomes beat the Bills using, in large part, Allen’s game. Mahomes’ running was as big a part of the Chiefs’ victory as his passing. Mahomes rushed for 69 yards and scored the Chiefs’ first touchdown on an 8-yard run.

The Chiefs quarterback also threw for 378 yards, and his first touchdown pass was pure Mahomes. He was chased by pass-rush pressure and seemingly unable to see into the end zone. But with defensive end Jerry Hughes bearing down on him, he jumped and threw into the end zone, and Byron Pringle was there to catch the 2-yard throw.

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Chiefs vs. Bills score: Live updates, highlights, NFL scores for divisional playoff games, watch on CBS

At halftime of their AFC divisional round battle, the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are tied, 14-14. 

The Bills got things started with a 13-play, 71-yard touchdown drive on the opening possession of the game, but the Chiefs came right back with an 11-play, 74-yard touchdown drive of their own. Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes each used their legs to make big plays for their team, while Devin Singletary and Mahomes were the ones who eventually found the end zone. 

The Bills then punted for the first time in nearly three games when their second drive of the night stalled out near midfield thanks to a sack by Chiefs edge rusher Melvin Ingram. Buffalo pinned Kansas City deep and the two teams then exchanged punts again before the Chiefs took off on a 12-play, 86-yard drive that ended with a 2-yard touchdown pass to Byron Pringle. Buffalo had just south of two minutes to put together a drive of its own, and did just that, with Allen leading the way through the air and on the ground. He capped things off with an 18-yard touchdown pass to Gabriel Davis, which tied things up heading into the break. 

The Chiefs had a chance to take a halftime lead when Mahomes got them into range for a long field goal attempt by Harrison Butker, but the kicker’s 50-yard attempt pushed wide right as time expired on the first half. 

Will the Chiefs hold serve at home, or will the Bills pull off the upset on the road? We can’t wait to find out. Keep an eye on our live blog throughout the rest of the evening as we update you with stats, scores, and highlights.

How to watch

Date: Sunday, Jan. 23 | Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City)
TV:
 CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click here)
Follow: CBS Sports App

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Rams vs. Buccaneers odds, prediction, betting trends for NFL divisional playoff game

When the Rams (13-5) take on the Buccaneers (14-4) in Sunday’s NFC divisional playoff game (3 p.m. ET, NBC and Peacock), a trip to the conference championship game will be on the line. The Rams, who beat the Cardinals in the wild-card round, have aspirations of following the Bucs and playing the Super Bowl in their home stadium. The Bucs, who took care of the Eagles, are hoping to win again in Tampa Bay to keep their repeat hopes alive.

The Rams are led by Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp in Sean McVay’s offense and also feature defensive stars Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey and Von Miller. The Buccaneers remain empowered by the GOAT, Tom Brady, and pride themselves on balance and depth for both sides of the ball.

Who will win the rematch of games in the 2020 and 2021 regular seasons? Here’s how Sporting News sees the late afternoon marquee matchup playing out:

DIVISIONAL ROUND PICKS: Against the spread | Straight up

Rams vs. Buccaneers odds for NFL playoff game

  • Spread: Buccaneers by 3
  • Over/under: 48
  • Moneyline: +130, -154

The Buccaneers have been around field-goal favorites all week, which indicates straight-up home-field advantage in a pick ’em game. The Rams are also a very good road team, which came into consideration. The point total is lower based on the defensive strengths of both teams, despite some potentially explosive offenses.

(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)

Rams vs. Buccaneers all-time series

The Rams hold an 18-9 advantage in 27 meetings, including a classic 11-6 win in the 1999 NFC championship game. They beat the Bucs at home 34-24 in September and also won at Tampa Bay 27-24 in the previous season. The Bucs haven’t beaten them with Brady, last winning in 2019. Brady has beaten the Rams in two Super Bowls with the Patriots.

Three trends to know

—58 percent of spread bettors are liking the Buccaneers are only slight favorites and taking them to handle the number at home.

—69 percent of over/under bettors think the point total below 50 is too low given the potency of both teams passing and running.

—The Rams are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 straight up in their past 10 games. The total has gone over only four times. The Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS while going 8-2 SU in their past 10 games with the total also going over only four times.

Three things to watch

The Buccaneers’ offensive line injuries

Center Ryan Jensen and right tackle Tristan Wirfs are both hoping to play effectively through the ankle injuries they suffered against the Eagles in the wild-card round. The Bucs need Jensen to help work on Donald inside and Wirfs, their best blocker overall, is a big boost to Brady and the running game. Not having wide receiver Chris Godwin (knee) already hurts, but any shakeup up front would hurt more, given that’s one area of lacking depth.

Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski vs. Jalen Ramsey

The Rams have one elite shutdown cover man in Ramsey, but they have questions elsewhere in the secondary at corner and safety. Ramsey has taken top tight ends as assignments before but his natural matchup outside here is Evans with no Godwin or Antonio Brown about which to worry. Brady needs to get the ball out quickly and into a favorable spot to avoid Donald, Miller and Ramsey. Gronkowski and the short-to-intermediate game will need to be huge should Evans get contained downfield.

Odell Beckham Jr. does it again?

Kupp has been awesome all season and it’s opened things up for the veteran No. 2, which was Robert Woods earlier and now is OBJ. He was a key dual-threat playmaker against the Cardinals, showing some red zone pop more so than big-play reliability. The Bucs’ secondary has a tall order and needs help from the edge pass rushing to force Stafford to rush throws to either top receiver.

Stat that matters

65.8 percent. That was the Buccaneers’ rate of touchdown scoring when in the red zone, which was No. 2 in the NFL behind the 49ers. The Rams finished middle of the pack at 60.8 percent. A couple drives that the Bucs punch in short with Brady vs. the Rams not doing so with Stafford can be a big key.

Rams vs. Buccaneers prediction

Expect this to be a defensive-minded struggle early as both teams are loaded to contain the downfield passing games of Brady and Stafford. Then it will come down to patience in the short passing attack and running games, who can sustain longer drives without making mistakes and not settling for as many field goals. Stafford gives the Rams a lot of confidence to get past this round, but it’s hard seeing Brady and the Buccaneers’ bevy of defensive playmakers losing to a more limited team. There’s no doubt Stafford would be the choice to make a critical giveaway over Brady, which ends up making the difference.

Buccaneers 31, Rams 23



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NFL games today: Expert picks, predictions, props for NFL playoffs, divisional round schedule 2022

This weekend will decide who makes up our NFL “Final Four.” The divisional round of the playoffs has the potential to be the most entertaining round of the postseason and it certainly got off to a rousing start on Saturday.

The Cincinnati Bengals punched their ticket with a walk-off win on the road over the top-seeded Titans, while the 49ers sent Aaron Rodgers and the top-seeded Packers home early with a walk-off win as well. On Sunday, Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford face off for the second time this year, while the Chiefs and Bills tangle in a rematch of last yea’s AFC title game. If you’re looking for advice on what lines to play this weekend, you’ve come to the right spot.  

Every week, we collect all of the best picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine in one place, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional feature content for each game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine Projection Model, best bets from our staff and more.

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

Which picks can you make with confidence in the divisional round? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Visit SportsLine, as their incredible model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago.

Time: Sunday, 3 p.m. ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV (try for free)
Open: Buccaneers -3, O/U 48.5
Current: Buccaneers -2.5, O/U 48

“Tristan Wirfs being injured and his backup being shaken up really gives me concern. At some point, the injuries are going to catch up to the Buccaneers. Plus I had the Rams in the Super Bowl this year.” — CBS Sports NFL Insider Jonathan Jones is eyeing an upset in this matchup. To read his insider notebook and the rest of his divisional round picks, click here.

“Both of these teams turned in strong performances in the wild card round, each winning by multiple scores. While the Rams defeated the Bucs in their regular-season matchup, I do think the calculus changes with this game being played at Raymond James Stadium. At home, the Buccaneers averaged an NFL-best 409.8 yards per game and an average margin of victory of 16.1 points, which also topped the league. 

“The Rams were also a statistically strong team on the road this year but were under .500 away from SoFi Stadium against the spread. Against teams with a winning record, L.A. was also 2-5 ATS over their last seven games. I see Tom Brady being able to negate the Rams pass rush with quick throws from the pocket and pick his way down the field to build up enough of a winning margin that goes above this field goal spread.” — CBS Sports’ Tyler Sullivan is taking the Buccaneers to win and cover the spread this week. To read his column, click here.

Before you make any Rams vs. Buccaneers picks or any other NFL predictions, you need to see which side R.J. White is on. A CBS Sports fantasy and gambling editor, White ended the 2020 season on an 80-59 run on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400 during that span. It’s no surprise, as White has cashed huge twice in the world’s most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest. In addition, White has gone an astounding 33-18-4 on his last 55 picks involving Tampa Bay, returning nearly $1,300. You can see who R.J. is taking in the Rams-Bucs matchup over at SportsLine, and you can also get his top player prop pick for the game, along with more picks from SportsLine’s top NFL experts, in this featured article.

Time: Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ (click here)
Open: Chiefs -2.5, O/U 54.5
Current: Chiefs -2, O/U 54

“This is a rematch from a game earlier this season that the Bills won on the Chiefs’ home field. The Bills and Chiefs are both coming off impressive victories. Both Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen lit up their opponents last week, but this is a big step up for both in terms of defenses. The Bills have the top-ranked defense in the league and built their pass rush in the offseason to beat Mahomes. The Chiefs defense isn’t as good, but it played much better over the course of the second half of the season. The Chiefs love to blitz, which will leave Allen free to run and make throws on the run. I think that will be the difference here. The Bills behind Allen will win a fun shootout for the ages.” — CBS Sports’ Pete Prisco has the Bills pulling off the upset! To read his breakdown of every game, click here.

“What an absolute banger of a game. My CBS bosses are running pure right now, catching 49ers/Cowboys and now this Josh Allen/Patrick Mahomes matchup. If you claim to KNOW how this game will go, you’re a liar. Or Biff Tannen. This is a heavyweight title fight on divisional round weekend. Mahomes gets the edge at QB, even if Allen has played better of late. Andy Reid is a fairly big edge over Sean McDermott, but let’s not forget Reid FIRED McD from the Eagles. These teams have met plenty of times previously, but running through Bill Belichick/New England, Reid/K.C./Mahomes and then maybe even Tom Brady is a gauntlet. The Bills could snuff out some curses with a win here. I don’t think anyone can guarantee a winner here, so I’ll take the points and the scrappy underdog with the better roster in a shootout.” — CBS Sports’ Will Brinson likes the Bills to advance to the AFC Championship game. To read his picks column, click here. 

Before you make Bills vs. Chiefs picks or any other NFL predictions, you need to see which side SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein is on. This season he has been on fire. Hartstein is 70-46-1 in his last 117 NFL sides, for a profit of more than $1800. In addition, Hartstein has gone an astounding 23-8 in his last 31 picks involving Kansas City, returning $1,400 to $100 bettors! Anyone who has followed him is way up. You can see who Larry is taking in the Bills-Chiefs matchup over at SportsLine, and you can also get his top player prop pick for the game, along with more picks from SportsLine’s top NFL experts, in this featured article.

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Packers vs. 49ers: Expert picks, predictions, props for NFL playoffs divisional round Saturday schedule 2022

The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers are set to go head-to-head Saturday night with the winner set to advance the NFC Championship. This will be the Packers’ first taste of the playoffs this year after earning the first-round bye with the No. 1 seed. Meanwhile, the Niners come into Lambeau Field after a thrilling upset win over the Dallas Cowboys. San Francisco enters the divisional round as the biggest underdog on the four-game slate, so it’ll need to bring its best punch in order to move on.  

In this space, we’ll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this matchup has on deck for us. Below, you’ll read picks from both CBS Sports and SportsLine experts on this game, as well as a handful of player props that catch our eye. 

All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.

How to watch 

Date: Saturday, Jan. 22 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wisconsin)
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Odds: Packers -5.5, O/U 47

49ers at Packers spread picks

Latest Odds:

Green Bay Packers
-5.5

“The 49ers impressed going on the road and beating Dallas. But this will be a third straight road game. That’s tough. The Packers are coming off a bye and will be getting injured guys back. That’s a big edge for the Packers. The key to beating the 49ers is blocking them up front. The Packers have done a great job of doing that this year, and now they have left tackle David Bakhtiari back to bolster the front. I think Aaron Rodgers will have success down the field against the 49ers secondary. The key for the Packers defense will be how well they stop the run and put the game on Jimmy Garoppolo. I think they will do a solid job — even if they won’t stop them — to find a way to pull this game out and advance to the title game. The 49ers are a dangerous team, but Rodgers will be the difference.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL analyst Pete Prisco on why he is laying the points and rolling with the Packers. To read the rest of his picks for the divisional round, click here.

CBS Sports fantasy and gambling editor R.J. White has been on a tear with his picks involving the Packers. White has gone a remarkable 50-16-1 on his last 67 picks involving Green Bay, returning more than $3,100 to anyone who has followed him. In this game against San Francisco, White knows a crucial X-factor that has him backing one side of the spread. We can tell you he’s leaning Under the total, but to see his pick for this game you’ll have to go to SportsLine.

“The 49ers were able to pull off the upset against the Cowboys in Dallas, but it was tough to feel great about them coming out of that win. San Francisco was essentially begging the Cowboys to come back in that matchup with Jimmy Garoppolo making a number of mistakes that — against a better opponent — would have sent them home. The Packers, under Aaron Rodgers, are the type of team that the 49ers cannot make those types of late-game mistakes against because that quarterback will be able to make you pay. Rodgers hasn’t been able to beat the Niners in the playoffs in the three previous games they’ve gone head-to-head in his career, but I believe that changes this postseason. 

“The Packers were an NFL-best 7-1 ATS at home this season and are 4-0 ATS in their previous four trips to the divisional round. San Francisco has been a strong road team (6-4 ATS), but I believe this team will have some late-game mistakes that ultimately prove to be its undoing. It also doesn’t help that it may not have star pass rusher Nick Bosa (concussion) to pressure Rodgers.” — CBS Sports NFL writer Tyler Sullivan — who went 5-1 ATS in his Super Wild Card Weekend picks — on why he likes the Packers over the Niners. To read the rest of his picks, click here. 

“The Packers were the only team in the NFL that went undefeated at home this year, and now, they get to play a home game in weather that’s going to make Lambeau Field feel like a giant igloo. I think the 49ers keep this close, but I can’t pick against the Packers here. The prediction is that Aaron Rodgers gets his first career postseason win over the team that passed on him in the 2005 NFL Draft.” — CBS Sports NFL writer and Pick Six Podcast co-host John Breech on why he is picking the Packers to beat the 49ers, 23-20. 

49ers at Packers total picks

“It is expected to be a frozen tundra at Lambeau Field on Saturday with the wind chill forecasted to be below zero and occasional wind gusts of 20 mph. That’ll be tough sledding for even the most experienced players in cold-weather situations, but especially for Jimmy Garoppolo, who — as CBS Sports’ John Breech pointed out in his weekly picks column — has never thrown a professional pass in a game where it’s been under 40 degrees. The Under was 6-4 for the 49ers on the road this season.” — CBS Sports NFL writer Tyler Sullivan on why he is leaning towards the Under in Packers-49ers.  

Best prop picks

Jimmy Garoppolo total interceptions: Over 0.5 (-135). Garoppolo has thrown five interceptions in his past three starts, including that playoff win over Dallas last week. He seems good for at least two or three errant throws a game, which is plenty to open the door for an interception. This season, opposing quarterbacks are averaging 1.5 interceptions thrown per game at Lambeau Field, second most in the NFL. 

Deebo Samuel total rushing yards: Over 37.5 (-115). Over the last two weeks, the 49ers have been doubling down on Samuel’s usage out of the backfield. His 18 rushing attempts last week and in Week 18 were the highest of any two-game stretch this season. With that increased workload, Samuel has rewarded San Francisco by averaging 6.5 yards per carry. It’s hard to see them shying away from him this weekend, especially with the Packers allowing 4.7 yards per game, tied for third most in the NFL. 

Allen Lazard total receiving yards: Over 37.5 (-115). Lazard has gone over this number in three straight games to end the regular season and has been averaging nearly six targets per game over that stretch. With that many looks by Rodgers and Lazard averaging 12.8 yards per reception, it may not take much for him to top this prop. 

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers activate Leonard Fournette off injured reserve prior to NFL divisional playoff game

TAMPA, Fla. — The Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Saturday activated starting running back Leonard Fournette from injured reserve, making him eligible to play in Sunday’s divisional playoff against the Los Angeles Rams.

To make room on the roster, the Bucs waived running back Le’Veon Bell.

Fournette, who suffered a hamstring strain in Week 15, began his 21-day practice window last week to return from IR. While initially there was confidence that Fournette could return for last week’s wild-card game, he felt discomfort when he attempted to reach top speed and wasn’t activated, coach Bruce Arians said.

“He looks fine. He looks good,” Arians said Friday. “He didn’t have the setback he had last week, so we’ll wait and see.”

Fournette earned the nickname “Playoff Lenny” and later “Lombardi Lenny” last postseason, when he had a league-high 448 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns despite not being the starter during the regular season.

It earned him a starting role this year, and he rushed for 812 yards and eight touchdowns in Weeks 1-15 — 10th-most in the league during that span. His 1,266 yards from scrimmage during that span also ranked 10th in the league for any position and sixth among running backs.

“Other guys really stepped up when he was out, but obviously we really love having Lenny in there,” quarterback Tom Brady said this week. “He did a great job in the biggest moments last year. I think everyone believes in him, trusts in him and knows he can really come through for us.”

After Fournette was placed on IR in Week 16, Bell signed with the Bucs — admitting at the time that he thought he might be done with football and was focusing on his boxing career.

Bell tallied 49 scrimmage yards on 12 touches, including a touchdown catch in Week 18 against Carolina.

Fournette’s presence could certainly help offset the potential losses of All-Pro right tackle Tristan Wirfs and Pro Bowl center Ryan Jensen, who are both game-time decisions with ankle injuries, and keep the Rams’ Aaron Donald and Von Miller from teeing off against Brady.

On Friday, the Bucs ruled out wide receiver Breshad Perriman, who started last week against the Eagles but is suffering from hip and abdominal injuries, and running back Ronald Jones, who has been dealing with an ankle injury since Week 17.

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NFL divisional playoffs picks, odds: Two shocking upsets among best bets for divisional round of schedule

Super Wild Card Weekend was a bit of a dud, relative to expectations. But the good news about a less-than-wild first weekend of the playoffs is it usually sets up some pretty epic games the following week. 

And that’s exactly what we’ve got with this year’s divisional round — a bunch of really tight spreads should lead to some really good games. Three of the four games are rematches, which is pretty remarkable considering they’re all non-division games. 

Last week’s 4-2 ATS record isn’t repeatable with only four games, but let’s see if we can stay hot through the postseason with our picks.

All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook

NFL Divisional Round Picks

Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click here)

Latest Odds:

Tennessee Titans
-4

The great Rick Gehman of The First Cut fame (our CBS golf podcast, check it out) always tweets out his Sunday picks based on 🧠 , ❤️ and 💰. As in, who does he thinks will win, who does he hope will win and who does he WANT to win. This Titans-Bengals matchup is a great example of that for me: I really want the Bengals to win this game, because they’re an incredibly fun team. Joe Burrow is a stone-cold killer and on my current list of favorite NFL players (top two along with Deebo Samuel at the moment). They’ve got tons of weapons with Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd and Joe Mixon. It’s fun to see Bengals fans happy after three decades of losing in the playoffs. So my ❤️ is with the Bengals. But my 🧠 tells me the Titans win this game and probably cover. The line quickly moved from Tennessee -2.5 to Tennessee -3.5, which is a key — and potentially telling — move. The Bengals are down a ton of players on their defensive line, which is the worst possible place for cluster injuries when Derrick Henry is coming back from injury. The Titans defensive line is substantially improved and should be able to pressure Joe Burrow. I think I’m going to leave my 💰 out of this and simply bet on my ❤️ : the Bengals have a bad matchup but they’ve got Joe Cool. I’m just going to keep taking a “don’t bet against Joe Burrow in win or go home games” stance here.

The pick: Bengals 28-27

Props, Best Bets: Over 47

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click here)
Follow: CBS Sports App

Latest Odds:

Green Bay Packers
-5.5

It feels like these two teams are constantly squaring off, or maybe it’s simply the rumors of Aaron Rodgers going to the 49ers that cranked up the drama between Matt LaFleur and Kyle Shanahan. The Packers took the regular season matchup here and have a pretty massive advantage with rest coming into this game. The Packers played their guys against Detroit for a half, so they aren’t dealing with two weeks off, but they are extremely healthy, getting David Bakhtiari (who’s listed as questionable) and possibly Jaire Alexander back for this game. Randall Cobb looks like he’ll return as well. So Green Bay is in a great spot. It’s the polar opposite for the 49ers — Nick Bosa (concussion) and Fred Warner (ankle) both left the Cowboys game. They look good to play on Saturday, and so does Jimmy Garoppolo (shoulder) but Jimmy G’s going on the road for a playoff game with a busted shoulder and a busted hand. If the Packers get out to a big lead, this is a big-time trouble spot for the 49ers. If Garoppolo has more than 30 pass attempts this is probably a Packers blowout. The good news is Green Bay’s run defense is extremely questionable, so the 49ers can get into a game script that favors them. Elijah Mitchell and Deebo Samuel both need to top 100 total yards in this game for San Francisco to win. I think they do, I think Jimmy G surprises some people and I think we’re ripe for an upset in Lambeau.

The pick: 49ers 27, Packers 24

Props, Best Bets: 49ers +6

Sunday, 3 p.m. 
TV: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (click here)
Follow: CBS Sports App 

Latest Odds:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-3

Another non-division NFC rematch from earlier in the year on this side of the bracket, although the winner of the first game comes in as an underdog, as the Rams travel to Raymond James Stadium just a field-goal dog to Tom Brady. The number has ticked down to Bucs -2.5 in some spots, which should prompt a flood of money on the GOAT. If it keeps moving down, it’s a major eyebrow raiser. I think the Packers and Bucs got the worst possible matchups — the Rams are a really good football team with tons of stars on the defensive side. And they happen to match up with the Bucs’ bad luck: Chris Godwin (ACL) and Antonio Brown (Antonio Brown) are out leaving just Mike Evans as an alpha wideout. Jalen Ramsey won’t shadow him (we don’t think) but he’ll see some physical coverage or double teams as Ramsey tries to key on another weapon. Ryan Jensen and Tristin Wirfs are both banged up. Not ideal with Aaron Donald and Von Miller on the other side of the ball. Betting on Matthew Stafford against Tom Brady feels crazy, but the Rams can protect and attack that Bucs secondary with Odell Beckham starting to show out. I love the Rams outright here.

The Pick: Rams 24, Bucs 17

Bets: Rams ML

Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click here)  

Latest Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs
-1.5

What an absolute banger of a game. My CBS bosses are running pure right now, catching 49ers/Cowboys and now this Josh Allen/Patrick Mahomes matchup. If you claim to KNOW how this game will go, you’re a liar. Or Biff Tannen. This is a heavyweight title fight on divisional round weekend. Mahomes gets the edge at QB, even if Allen has played better of late. Andy Reid is a fairly big edge over Sean McDermott, but let’s not forget Reid FIRED McD from the Eagles. These teams have met plenty of times previously, but running through Bill Belichick/New England, Reid/K.C./Mahomes and then maybe even Tom Brady is a gauntlet. The Bills could snuff out some curses with a win here. I don’t think anyone can guarantee a winner here, so I’ll take the points and the scrappy underdog with the better roster in a shootout.

The Pick: Bills 35, Chiefs 31

Bets: Over 54

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