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GameStop stock surges to highest point since January, market cap tops $17 billion

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Shares of GameStop Corp. shot higher again Tuesday, closing at its highest point since the end of January and pushing its market cap back above $17 billion.

After plunging about 90% from its highs of the meme-stock-buying frenzy in January, GameStop stock
GME,
+26.94%
has skyrocketed more than 108% in the past five trading sessions, including Tuesday’s 27% gain. Shares closed Tuesday’s regular session at $246.90, off from a record close of $347.51 on Jan. 27, and were up another 3% in after-hours trading.

GameStop shares are up more than 1,200% year to date, and more than 5,700% over the past 12 months.

Shares started spiking again Monday after GameStop announced a new  strategy committee to identify ways to accelerate its transformation, which will be led by activist investor and Chewy Inc.
CHWY,
+5.37%
co-founder Ryan Cohen.

Late Tuesday, GameStop said it will report fourth-quarter and fiscal-year earnings after the market closes March 23.

Earlier in the day, the Senate Banking Committee started hearings into financial speculation and the easy-trading practices of Robinhood and other zero-commission firms that, combined with chatter from Reddit forums, helped fuel the historic buying of heavily shorted stocks — such as GameStop and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.
AMC,
+13.02%
— earlier this year.

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Business

A tangled market web of Tesla-bitcoin-ARK Investment could spell trouble for investors, warns strategist

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Tuesday is shaping up to be a tough one for technology stocks, after a selloff greeted investors to start the week.

The Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
-2.03%
— up 40% over the past 12 months — tumbled 2.5% on Monday over concerns rising bond yields could make those tech stocks look pricey. When so-called “risk-free” yields are climbing, it is that much tougher to justify equity valuations that seem lofty.

Leading techs lower in premarket is electric-car maker Tesla
TSLA,
-5.41%,
down 6% after a roughly 8% drop on Monday. Our call of the day comes from Saxo Bank’s head of equity strategy, Peter Garnry, who has been warning clients that Tesla is tangled up in a “risk cluster” that involves bitcoin and Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment Management firm.

Tesla announced a $1.5 billion bitcoin investment earlier this month. Along with Tesla weakness, bitcoin was down 10% early Tuesday, which some attributed to criticism from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen (see below). That crypto drop will “obviously illustrate the earnings volatility that Elon Musk has delivered to Tesla,” said Garnry.

Read: Tesla bitcoin gambit already made $1 billion, more than 2020 profit from car sales, estimates analyst

Meanwhile, Tesla “is also the biggest position across all ARK Invest ETFs which added pressure to its biggest fund the ARK Disruptive Innovation Fund
ARKK,
-6.11%
losing 6% yesterday. This is exactly the risk cluster that we have been worrying about and wrote about two weeks ago,” said the strategist.

Read: Stocks aren’t in a bubble, but here’s what is, according to fund manager Cathie Wood

In the Saxo note that deep-dived into the hugely popular, actively managed fund’s holdings, Garnry highlighted ARK’s concentration in biotech names that he said could be risky if the market decides to reverse. And Tesla shares represents 6.7% of total assets under management across ARK’s five actively managed ETFs, according to the data Saxo crunched two weeks ago.

“What it means is, that a correction in equities for whatever reasons, could be higher interest rates or prolonged COVID-19 lockdowns, could set in motion selloffs across either biotechnology stocks or Tesla shares and cause performance to deteriorate which could start net outflow of AUM and then the feedback loop has started,” said Garnry, at the time.

For her part, Wood, the chief executive of ARK Invest and manager of the popular ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund, last week said she was surprised by how fast companies are adopting bitcoin, and that her “confidence in Tesla has grown.”

The markets

Stocks
DJIA,
-0.43%

SPX,
-0.78%

COMP,
-2.03%
are selling off, led by techs, with European stocks
SXXP,
-0.49%
sinking apart from some travel stocks. Asian markets had a mixed day
000300,
-0.32%.
Oil prices
CL00,
-0.19%
are rising, while the closely watched yield on the 10-year Treasury note
TMUBMUSD10Y,
1.360%
is trading at around 1.35%.

The chart

Treasury Secretary Yellen may have let some steam out of bitcoin
BTCUSD,
-13.19%
after repeating some concerns about the cryptocurrency in an interview with the New York Times’ Dealbook. Bitcoin was last down 13% to $48,886, taking a bunch of other cryptos down with it.

The buzz

All eyes on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is kicking off two-day testimony on Capitol Hill. With more than 10 million Americans still jobless, “Mr. Powell will go out of his way, I am sure, to put tapering to bed and rightly so, as I dread to think what a taper-tantrum of the 2020s will look like,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst, Asia Pacific, Oanda.

We’ll also get the latest home-price indexes from S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller and the Federal Housing Finance Agency, along with an update on consumer confidence.

Shares of home-improvement retailer Home Depot
HD,
-4.49%
are dropping despite upbeat results.

Shares of special-purpose acquisition company Churchill Capital
CCIV,
-31.65%,
also known as a blank-check company, are sinking. After weeks of rumors, Churchill finally announced a deal to buy electric-vehicle company Lucid Motors.

Mourning 500,000-plus American lives lost to COVID-19, President Joe Biden observed a moment of silence late on Monday and urged the public to “mask up.”

Social-media group Facebook
FB,
+0.83%
says it will restore links to news articles in Australia, five days after proposed media law changes in the country.

Random read

“I can mouth obscenities at people and they don’t have a clue.” Redditors on pandemic positives.

Need to Know starts early and is updated until the opening bell, but sign up here to get it delivered once to your email box. The emailed version will be sent out at about 7:30 a.m. Eastern.

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Business

Tesla Inc. stock underperforms Friday when compared to competitors

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Shares of Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
-0.77%
shed 0.77% to $781.30 Friday, on what proved to be an all-around positive trading session for the stock market, with the NASDAQ Composite Index
COMP,
+0.07%
rising 0.07% to 13,874.46 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+0.00%
rising 0.00% to 31,494.32. This was the stock’s second consecutive day of losses. Tesla Inc. closed $119.10 below its 52-week high ($900.40), which the company achieved on January 25th.

The stock underperformed when compared to some of its competitors Friday, as Toyota Motor Corp. ADR
TM,
+0.07%
rose 0.07% to $153.55, General Motors Co.
GM,
+0.79%
rose 0.79% to $52.57, and Honda Motor Co. Ltd. ADR
HMC,
-0.73%
fell 0.73% to $28.49. Trading volume (18.8 M) remained 20.6 million below its 50-day average volume of 39.4 M.


Editor’s Note: This story was auto-generated by Automated Insights using data from Dow Jones and FactSet. See our market data terms of use.

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Business

Despite surging stocks and home prices, U.S. inflation won’t be a problem for some time

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When America’s amusement parks and baseball stadiums no longer must serve as COVID-19 mass vaccination sites, some investors believe that households pocketing pandemic financial aid from the government might start to splurge.

While a consumer splurge could initially boost the parts of the economy devastated by the pandemic, a bigger concern for investors is that a sustained spending spree also could cause prices for goods and services to rise dramatically, dent financial asset values, and ultimately raise the cost of living for everyone.

“I don’t think inflation is dead,” said Matt Stucky, equity portfolio manager at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company. “The desire by key policy makers is to have it, and it’s the strongest it’s ever been. You will see rising inflation.”

Wall Street investors and analysts have become fixated in recent weeks on the potential for the Biden Administration’s planned $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus package that targets relief to hard-hit households to cause inflation to spiral out of control.

Economists at Oxford Economics said on Friday they expect to see the “longest inflation stretch above 2% since before the financial crisis, but it’s unlikely to sustainably breach 3%.”

Severe inflation can hurt businesses by ratcheting up costs, pinching profits and causing stock prices to fall. The value of savings and bonds also can be chipped away by high inflation over time. 

Another worry among investors is that runaway inflation, which took hold in the late 1970s and pushed 30-year mortgage rates to near 18%, could force the Federal Reserve to taper its $120 billion per month bond purchase program or to raise its benchmark interest rate above the current 0% to 0.25% target sooner than expected and spook markets.

At the same time, it’s not far-fetched to argue that some financial assets already have been inflated by the Fed’s pedal-to-the-metal policy of low rates and an easy flow of credit, and might be due for some cooling off.

U.S. stocks, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+0.09%,
S&P 500 index
SPX,
+0.47%
and Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
+0.50%
closed on Friday at all-time highs, while debt-laden companies can now borrow in the corporate “junk” bond, or speculative-grade, market at record low rates of about 4%.

Read: Stock market stoked by stimulus hopes — what investors are counting on

In addition to rallying stocks and bonds, home prices in the U.S. also have gone through the roof during the pandemic, despite the U.S. still needing to recoup almost as many jobs from the COVID-19 crisis as during the worst of the global financial crisis in 2008.

This chart shows that jobs lost to the pandemic remain near to levels seen in the aftermath of that last crisis.

Job losses need to be tamed


LPL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Wednesday that he doesn’t expect a “large or sustained” outbreak of inflation, while also stressing that the central bank remains focused on recouping lost jobs during the pandemic, as the U.S. looks to makes serious headway in its vaccination program by late July. 

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Friday reiterated a call on Friday that the time for more, big fiscal stimulus is now.

“Broadly, the guide is, does it cost me more to live a year from now than a year prior,” Jeff Klingelhofer, co-head of investments at Thornburg Investment Management, said about inflation in an interview with MarketWatch.

“I think what we need to watch is wage inflation,” he said, adding that higher wages for upper income earners were mostly flat for much of the past decade. Also, many lower-wage households hardest hit by the pandemic have been left out of the past decade’s climb in financial asset prices and home values, he said.

“For the folks who haven’t taken that ride, it feels like a perpetuation of inequality that’s played out for some time,” he said, adding that the “only way to get broad inflation is with a broad overheating of the economy. We have the exact opposite. The bottom third are no where near overheating.”

Klingelhofer said it’s probably also a mistake to watch benchmark 10-year Treasury yields for signs that the economy is overheating and for inflation since, “it’s not a proxy for inflation. It’s just a proxy for how the Fed might react,” he said.

The 10-year Treasury yield
TMUBMUSD10Y,
1.209%
has climbed 28.6 basis points in the year to date to 1.199% as of Friday.

But with last year’s sharp price increases, is the U.S. housing market at least at risk of overheating?

“Not at current interest rates,” said John Beacham, the founder and CEO at Toorak Capital, which finances apartment buildings and single family rental properties, including those going through rehabilitation and construction projects.

“Over the course of the year, more people will go back to work,” Beacham said, but he added that it’s important for policy makers in Washington to provide a bridge for households through the pandemic, until spending on socializing, sporting events, concerts and more can again resemble a time before the pandemic.

“Clearly, there likely will be short-term consumption increase,” he said. “But after that it normalizes.”

The U.S. stock and bond markets will be mostly closed on Monday for the Presidents Day holiday.

On Tuesday, the only tidbit of economic data comes from the New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State manufacturing index, followed Wednesday by a slew of updates on U.S. retail sales, industrial production, home builders data and minutes from the Fed’s most recent policy meeting. Thursday and Friday bring more jobs, housing and business activity data, including existing home sales for January.

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Business

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. stock outperforms market on strong trading day

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Shares of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
NCLH,
+0.25%
inched 0.25% higher to $24.14 Wednesday, on what proved to be an all-around mixed trading session for the stock market, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+0.20%
rising 0.20% to 31,437.80 and the S&P 500 Index
SPX,
-0.03%
falling 0.03% to 3,909.88. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. closed $30.14 short of its 52-week high ($54.28), which the company achieved on February 12th.

The stock outperformed some of its competitors Wednesday, as Royal Caribbean Group
RCL,
-0.17%
fell 0.17% to $68.77, Carnival PLC ADR
CUK,
-1.95%
fell 1.95% to $18.11, and Carnival Corp.
CCL,
-0.57%
fell 0.57% to $20.93. Trading volume (13.7 M) remained 4.9 million below its 50-day average volume of 18.5 M.


Editor’s Note: This story was auto-generated by Automated Insights using data from Dow Jones and FactSet. See our market data terms of use.

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Business

AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. Cl A stock rises Friday, outperforms market

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Shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. Cl A
AMC,
+53.65%
rocketed 53.65% to $13.26 Friday, on what proved to be an all-around dismal trading session for the stock market, with the NASDAQ Composite Index
COMP,
-2.00%
falling 2.00% to 13,070.69 and Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-2.03%
falling 2.03% to 29,982.62. AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. Cl A closed $7.10 short of its 52-week high ($20.36), which the company achieved on January 27th.

Trading volume (590.8 M) eclipsed its 50-day average volume of 97.8 M.


Editor’s Note: This story was auto-generated by Automated Insights using data from Dow Jones and FactSet. See our market data terms of use.

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Business

Apple, Tesla and Facebook ready to report record sales in busiest week of earnings

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U.S. companies have barely managed to eke out positive earnings growth so far in this quarterly results season, but the big test arrives in the week ahead.

Nearly a quarter of the S&P 500
SPX,
-0.30%
is set to report results, with those companies representing 39% of the index by market value, according to calculations based on FactSet data. Given that the S&P 500 is weighted by market capitalization, this roster of companies will have an outsize impact on the profit trajectory for the index.

Earnings are expected to decline for the fourth consecutive quarter once all results are in for the latest period, but those companies that have reported thus far have been beating expectations in aggregate.

The FactSet consensus now models a 5% earnings decline for the index, compared with the 6.3% drop projected a week ago. If profit growth for the S&P 500 ultimately ends up positive, it would mark an end to the current earnings recession, which takes place when corporate profits drop for two or more consecutive quarters.

Apple Inc.
AAPL,
+1.61%
and Facebook Inc.
FB,
+0.60%
are among the highlights of next week’s slate, along with Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
+0.20%,
which will deliver results for the first time since it became a member of the S&P 500. All three high-profile companies are scheduled to report Wednesday afternoon and expected to have produced record revenue in the holiday quarter.

The holiday quarter is always crucial for Apple, which releases new iPhones in the fall. With a slightly later launch than usual this year due to the pandemic pushing sales into the period, Apple is widely expected to post its largest quarterly revenue total ever and its first ever total above $100 billion. The technology giant likely also continued to see benefits from remote-work and remote-schooling trends, which have driven strong iPad and Mac sales throughout the COVID-19 crisis.

Full preview: Get ready for Apple’s first $100 billion quarter in history

Facebook is also expected to post what should easily be a record quarter given strong digital advertising trends during the holiday period. Still, the company will face questions about user engagement and a decision to ban Donald Trump from the platform indefinitely over his role in inciting the violent riot at the U.S. Capitol. Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik points to “continued usage fatigue” across social media as well as a “conversation skewed towards unmonetizable political events.”

Full preview: Facebook earnings still flourishing amid pandemic, economic slowdown and antitrust scrutiny

Tesla already disclosed delivery numbers for the full year that came in ahead of analyst expectations, and all eyes will be on the company’s outlook for 2021. RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak anticipates a delivery forecast of 825,000 to 875,000 million units for the full year, even though Chief Executive Elon Musk said on Tesla’s last earnings call that an analyst was “not far off” for expecting 840,000 to a million deliveries during 2021.

Full preview: Can Tesla’s sales growth match stock’s rise?

Here’s what else to watch for in the week ahead, which brings reports from 117 members of the S&P 500 and 13 Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.57%
components.

Up in the air

Boeing Co.’s
BA,
-0.76%
journey remains turbulent even as the company’s 737-MAX jets were recertified after being grounded for almost two years. Though the company began deliveries of these aircraft, “the pace of delivering all 450 parked 737-MAX will be dictated by airline customers ability to absorb aircraft as well as air traffic demand,” according to Benchmark Company analyst Josh Sullivan.

Boeing’s Wednesday morning report will offer perspective on the company’s recovery expectations amid the pandemic, though Sullivan sees volatility ahead stemming from a recent equity offering and the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on airlines.

The fourth-quarter reports from U.S. airlines have been bleak so far, and American Airlines Group Inc.
AAL,
-0.06%
and Southwest Airlines Co.
LUV,
-0.80%
offer more on Thursday morning.

Can you hear me now?

Verizon Communications Inc.
VZ,
+0.35%
leads off a busy week of telecommunications earnings Tuesday morning, followed by AT&T Inc.
T,
+0.35%
Wednesday morning and Comcast Corp.
CMCSA,
-0.92%
Thursday morning.

For the wireless carriers, a key issue will be the impact of iPhone 12 promotions on recent results. Investors will also be looking for information about a recent wireless auction offering spectrum that will be crucial for 5G network deployments. Though the bids haven’t been made public yet, the auction drove record spending and AT&T and Verizon are both expected to have paid up handsomely to assert their standing. The question for investors is what impact these bids will have on the companies’ financial positioning.

Full preview: AT&T earnings to kick off a defining year for telecom giant

AT&T and Comcast have more media exposure than Verizon, and those two companies have been trying to contend with the new realities brought on by the pandemic. Both companies have made moves to emphasize streaming more with their film slates given theater closures, and the financial implications of these moves will be worth watching.

Paying up

The evolving situation with the pandemic is reflected perhaps no more clearly than in the results of Visa Inc.
V,
-1.52%,
Mastercard Inc.
MA,
-1.63%,
and American Express Co.
AXP,
-1.01%,
which have a pulse on the global consumer spending landscape. The companies should provide insight on a travel recovery toward the end of the year, as well as the impact of recent lockdowns.

Susquehanna analyst James Friedman wrote recently that his Mastercard revenue projection of $3.97 billion is slightly below the consensus view, though he also asked: “does anyone really care about Q4 2020?” Friedman is upbeat about mobile-payments and online-shopping dynamics that suggest “positive trends ahead” for Mastercard, which reports Thursday morning. Visa follows that afternoon, while American Express kicks of the week with its Tuesday morning report.

The chip saga continues

Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
AMD,
+1.38%
is poised to keep benefiting from Intel Corp.’s
INTC,
-9.29%
stumbles, which analysts expect to last for some time even as Intel prepares for a new, technology-oriented chief executive to take the helm.

“We have low confidence that Intel will be able to close that transistor gap quickly, and therefore expect it to continue to lose share for the foreseeable future,” Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis wrote after Intel’s latest earnings report. AMD will show how that dynamic has played out on its side of the equation when it posts numbers Tuesday afternoon.

Full preview: If Intel gets its act together, can AMD maintain swollen valuation?

Other chip makers reporting in the week ahead include Texas Instruments Inc.
TXN,
-1.31%
on Tuesday afternoon; Xilinx Inc.
XLNX,
+1.26%,
which is in line to be acquired by AMD, on Wednesday afternoon report, when it will be joined by chip-equipment maker Lam Research Corp.
LRCX,
-0.06%
; and Western Digital Corp.
WDC,
-5.23%
on Thursday afternoon.

Busy week for the Dow

Among the 13 members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.57%
set to report this week are 3M Co
MMM,
-0.96%.
, Johnson & Johnson
JNJ,
+1.13%,
American Express, Verizon, and Microsoft Corp.
MSFT,
+0.44%,
all of which report Tuesday.

“Near term, we see the company’s COVID-19 vaccine readout as a key upcoming catalyst and believe efficacy in the 80%+ range would suggest a clear role for the product in the market,” J.P. Morgan analyst Chris Schott wrote of Johnson & Johnson.

Cowen & Co. analyst J. Derrick Wood sees tough comparisons for Microsoft especially in its Azure and server businesses, though he expects a more favorable situation going forward.

Full preview: SolarWinds hack may actually be a good thing for Microsoft

Wednesday brings results from Boeing and Apple, while Thursday features McDonald’s Corp.
MCD,
-0.07%,
Dow Inc.
DOW,
-0.10%,
and Visa. Honeywell International Inc.
HON,
-1.45%,
Chevron Corp.
CVX,
-0.30%,
and Caterpillar Inc.
CAT,
-0.13%
round out the week Friday morning.

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