Tag Archives: C&E Industry News Filter

Business

Meta stock spikes despite earnings miss, as Facebook hits 2 billion users for first time and sales guidance quells fears

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Meta Platforms Inc. shares soared in after-hours trading Wednesday despite an earnings miss, as the Facebook parent company guided for potentially more revenue than Wall Street expected in the new year and promised more share repurchases amid cost cuts.

Meta
META,
+2.79%
said it hauled in $32.17 billion in fourth-quarter revenue, down from $33.67 billion a year ago but stronger than expectations. Earnings were $4.65 billion, or $1.76 a share, compared with $10.3 billion, or $3.67 a share, last year.

Analysts polled by FactSet expected Meta to post fourth-quarter revenue of $31.55 billion on earnings of $2.26 a share, and the beat on sales coincided with a revenue forecast that also met or exceeded expectations. Facebook Chief Financial Officer Susan Li projected first-quarter sales of $26 billion to $28.5 billion, while analysts on average were projecting first-quarter sales of $27.2 billion.

Shares jumped more than 18% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of the results, after closing with a 2.8% gain at $153.12.

Alphabet Inc.’s
GOOGL,
+1.61%

GOOG,
+1.56%
Google and Pinterest Inc.
PINS,
+1.56%
benefited from Meta’s results, with shares for each company rising 4% in extended trading Wednesday.

“Our community continues to grow and I’m pleased with the strong engagement across our apps. Facebook just reached the milestone of 2 billion daily actives,” Meta Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg said in a statement announcing the results. “The progress we’re making on our AI discovery engine and Reels are major drivers of this. Beyond this, our management theme for 2023 is the ‘Year of Efficiency’ and we’re focused on becoming a stronger and more nimble organization.”

Read more: Snap suffers worst sales growth yet in holiday quarter, stock plunges after earnings miss

Facebook’s 2 billion-user milestone was slightly better than analysts expected for user growth on Meta’s core social network. Daily active users across all of Facebook’s apps neared, but did not crest, another round number, reaching 2.96 billion, up 5% from a year ago.

Meta has been navigating choppy ad waters as it copes with increasing competition from TikTok and fallout from changes in Apple Inc.’s
AAPL,
+0.79%
ad-tracking system in 2021 that punitively harmed Meta, costing it potentially billions of dollars in advertising sales. Meta has invested heavily in artificial-intelligence tools to rev up its ad-targeting systems and making better recommendations for users of its short-video product Reels, but it laid off thousands of workers after profit and revenue shrunk in recent quarters.

The cost cuts seemed to pay off Wednesday. While Facebook missed on its earnings, it noted that the costs of its layoffs and other restructuring totaled $4.2 billion and reduced the number by roughly $1.24 a share.

Meta executives said they now expect operating expenses to be $89 billion to $95 billion this year, down from previous guidance for $94 billion to $100 billion. Capital expenditures are expected to be $30 billion to $33 billion, down from previous guidance of $34 billion to $37 billion, as Meta cancels multiple data-center projects.

In a conference call with analysts late Wednesday, Zuckerberg called 2023 the “year of efficiency.”

“The reduced outlook reflects our updated plans for lower data-center construction spend in 2023 as we shift to a new data-center architecture that is more cost efficient and can support both AI and non-AI workloads,” Li said in her outlook commentary included in the release.

Meta expects to increase its spending on its own stock. The company’s board approved a $40 billion increase in its share-repurchase authorization; Meta spent nearly $28 billion on its own shares in 2022, and still had nearly $11 billion available for buybacks before that increase.

“Investors are cheering Meta’s plans to return more capital to shareholders despite worries over rising costs related to its metaverse spending,” said Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com.

The results came a day after Snap Inc.
SNAP,
-10.29%
posted fourth-quarter revenue of $1.3 billion, flat from a year ago and the worst year-over-year sales growth Snap has ever reported. But they also arrived on the same day Facebook scored a major win in a California court. The company successfully fended off the Federal Trade Commission bid to win a preliminary injunction to block Meta’s planned acquisition of VR startup Within Unlimited.

Read more: Meta wins bid to buy VR startup Within Unlimited, beating U.S. FTC in court: report

Meta shares have plunged 53% over the past 12 months, while the broader S&P 500 index 
SPX,
+1.05%
has tumbled 10% the past year.

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Business

Dow falls nearly 500 points after strong data, bearish comments by David Tepper

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U.S. stocks traded lower on Thursday, erasing most of their gains from their biggest rally in three weeks after a round of upbeat economic data and a warning from hedge-fund titan David Tepper that he was “leaning short” against both stocks and bonds on expectations the Federal Reserve and other central banks will continue tightening into 2023.

Positive economic news can be a negative for stocks by underlining expectations that monetary policy makers will remain aggressive in their efforts to quash inflation.

What’s happening
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -1.51%
    fell 472 points, or 1.4%, to 32,903.
  • The S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.99%
    shed 71 points, or 1.8%, to 3,807.
  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -2.84%
    fell 272 points, or 2.5%, to 10,437.

A day earlier, all three major indexes recorded their best gain in three weeks as the Dow advanced 526.74 points.

What’s driving markets

Investors saw another raft of strong economic data Thursday morning, including a revised reading on third-quarter gross domestic product which showed the U.S. economy expanded more quickly than previously believed. Growth was revised up to 3.2%, up from 2.9% from the previous revision released last month.

See: Economy grew at 3.2% rate in third quarter thanks to strong consumer spending

The number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits in the week before Christmas rose slightly to 216,000, but new filings remained low and signaled the labor market is still quite strong. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast new claims would total 220,000 in the seven days ending Dec 17.

“Jobless claims ticking slightly up but coming in below expectations could be a sign that the Fed’s wish of a slowing labor market will have to wait until 2023. While weekly jobless claims aren’t the best indicator of the overall labor market, they have remained in a robust range these last two months suggesting the labor market remains strong and has withstood the Fed’s tightening, at least for the time being,” said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office, in emailed comments.

“While weekly jobless claims aren’t the best indicator of the overall labor market, they have remained in a robust range these last two months suggesting the labor market remains strong and has withstood the Fed’s tightening, at least for the time being,” he wrote. “It’s no surprise to see the market take a breather today after yesterday’s rally as investors parse through earnings data, and despite some beats this week, expectations that earnings will remain as resilient in 2023 may be overblown.”

Stocks were feeling pressure after Appaloosa Management’s Tepper shared a cautious outlook for markets based on the expectation that central bankers around the world will continue hiking interest rates.

“I would probably say I’m leaning short on the equity markets right now because the upside-downside doesn’t make sense to me when I have so many people, so many central banks, telling me what they are going to do, what they want to do, what they expect to do,” Tepper said in a CNBC interview.

Key Words: Billionaire investor David Tepper would ‘lean short’ on stock market because central banks are saying ‘what they’re going to do’

A day earlier, the Conference Board’s consumer confidence survey came in at an eight-month high, which helped stoke a rally in stocks initially spurred by strong earnings from Nike Inc. and FedEx Corp. released Tuesday evening. This optimistic outlook helped stocks clinch their best daily performance in three weeks.

Volumes are starting to dry up as the year winds down, making markets more susceptible to bigger moves. According to Dow Jones Market Data, Wednesday saw the least combined volume on major exchanges since Nov. 29.

Read: Is the stock market open on Monday after Christmas Day?

In other economic data news, the U.S. leading index fell a sharp 1% in November, suggesting that the U.S. economy is heading toward a downturn.

Many market strategists are positioned defensively as they expect stocks could tumble to fresh lows in the new year.

See: Wall Street’s stock-market forecasts for 2022 were off by the widest margin since 2008: Will next year be any different?

Katie Stockton, a technical strategist at Fairlead Strategies, warned clients in a Thursday note that they should brace for more downside ahead.

“We expect the major indices to remain firm next week, helped by oversold conditions, but would brace for more downside in January given the recent downturn,” Stockton said.

Others said the latest data and comments from Tepper have simply refocused investors on the fact that the Fed, European Central Bank and now the Bank of Japan are preparing to continue tightening monetary policy.

“Yesterday was the short covering rally, but the bottom line is the trend is still short and we’re still fighting the Fed,” said Eric Diton, president and managing director of the Wealth Alliance.

Single-stock movers
  • AMC Entertainment Holdings 
    AMC,
    -14.91%
    was down sharply after the movie theater operator announced a $110 million equity capital raise.
  • Tesla Inc. 
    TSLA,
    -8.18%
    shares continued to tumble as the company has been one of the worst performers on the S&P 500 this year.
  • Shares of Verizon Communications Inc. 
    VZ,
    -0.53%
    were down again on Thursday as the company heads for its worst year on record.
  • Shares of CarMax Inc. 
    KMX,
    -6.60%
    tumbled after the used vehicle seller reported fiscal third-quarter profit and sales that dropped well below expectations.
  • Chipmakers and suppliers of equipment and materials, including Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    -8.60%,
    Advanced Micro Devices 
    AMD,
    -7.17%
    and Applied Materials Inc.
    AMAT,
    -8.54%,
    were lower on Thursday.

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Business

20 dividend stocks with high yields that have become more attractive right now

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Income-seeking investors are looking at an opportunity to scoop up shares of real estate investment trusts. Stocks in that asset class have become more attractive as prices have fallen and cash flow is improving.

Below is a broad screen of REITs that have high dividend yields and are also expected to generate enough excess cash in 2023 to enable increases in dividend payouts.

REIT prices may turn a corner in 2023

REITs distribute most of their income to shareholders to maintain their tax-advantaged status. But the group is cyclical, with pressure on share prices when interest rates rise, as they have this year at an unprecedented scale. A slowing growth rate for the group may have also placed a drag on the stocks.

And now, with talk that the Federal Reserve may begin to temper its cycle of interest-rate increases, we may be nearing the time when REIT prices rise in anticipation of an eventual decline in interest rates. The market always looks ahead, which means long-term investors who have been waiting on the sidelines to buy higher-yielding income-oriented investments may have to make a move soon.

During an interview on Nov 28, James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and a member of the Federal Open Market Committee, discussed the central bank’s cycle of interest-rate increases meant to reduce inflation.

When asked about the potential timing of the Fed’s “terminal rate” (the peak federal funds rate for this cycle), Bullard said: “Generally speaking, I have advocated that sooner is better, that you do want to get to the right level of the policy rate for the current data and the current situation.”

Fed’s Bullard says in MarketWatch interview that markets are underpricing the chance of still-higher rates

In August we published this guide to investing in REITs for income. Since the data for that article was pulled on Aug. 24, the S&P 500
SPX,
-0.50%
has declined 4% (despite a 10% rally from its 2022 closing low on Oct. 12), but the benchmark index’s real estate sector has declined 13%.

REITs can be placed broadly into two categories. Mortgage REITs lend money to commercial or residential borrowers and/or invest in mortgage-backed securities, while equity REITs own property and lease it out.

The pressure on share prices can be greater for mortgage REITs, because the mortgage-lending business slows as interest rates rise. In this article we are focusing on equity REITs.

Industry numbers

The National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (Nareit) reported that third-quarter funds from operations (FFO) for U.S.-listed equity REITs were up 14% from a year earlier. To put that number in context, the year-over-year growth rate of quarterly FFO has been slowing — it was 35% a year ago. And the third-quarter FFO increase compares to a 23% increase in earnings per share for the S&P 500 from a year earlier, according to FactSet.

The NAREIT report breaks out numbers for 12 categories of equity REITs, and there is great variance in the growth numbers, as you can see here.

FFO is a non-GAAP measure that is commonly used to gauge REITs’ capacity for paying dividends. It adds amortization and depreciation (noncash items) back to earnings, while excluding gains on the sale of property. Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) goes further, netting out expected capital expenditures to maintain the quality of property investments.

The slowing FFO growth numbers point to the importance of looking at REITs individually, to see if expected cash flow is sufficient to cover dividend payments.

Screen of high-yielding equity REITs

For 2022 through Nov. 28, the S&P 500 has declined 17%, while the real estate sector has fallen 27%, excluding dividends.

Over the very long term, through interest-rate cycles and the liquidity-driven bull market that ended this year, equity REITs have fared well, with an average annual return of 9.3% for 20 years, compared to an average return of 9.6% for the S&P 500, both with dividends reinvested, according to FactSet.

This performance might surprise some investors, when considering the REITs’ income focus and the S&P 500’s heavy weighting for rapidly growing technology companies.

For a broad screen of equity REITs, we began with the Russell 3000 Index
RUA,
-0.18%,
which represents 98% of U.S. companies by market capitalization.

We then narrowed the list to 119 equity REITs that are followed by at least five analysts covered by FactSet for which AFFO estimates are available.

If we divide the expected 2023 AFFO by the current share price, we have an estimated AFFO yield, which can be compared with the current dividend yield to see if there is expected “headroom” for dividend increases.

For example, if we look at Vornado Realty Trust
VNO,
+1.01%,
the current dividend yield is 8.56%. Based on the consensus 2023 AFFO estimate among analysts polled by FactSet, the expected AFFO yield is only 7.25%. This doesn’t mean that Vornado will cut its dividend and it doesn’t even mean the company won’t raise its payout next year. But it might make it less likely to do so.

Among the 119 equity REITs, 104 have expected 2023 AFFO headroom of at least 1.00%.

Here are the 20 equity REITs from our screen with the highest current dividend yields that have at least 1% expected AFFO headroom:

Company Ticker Dividend yield Estimated 2023 AFFO yield Estimated “headroom” Market cap. ($mil) Main concentration
Brandywine Realty Trust BDN,
+1.82% 		11.52% 12.82% 1.30% $1,132 Offices
Sabra Health Care REIT Inc. SBRA,
+2.02% 		9.70% 12.04% 2.34% $2,857 Health care
Medical Properties Trust Inc. MPW,
+1.90% 		9.18% 11.46% 2.29% $7,559 Health care
SL Green Realty Corp. SLG,
+2.18% 		9.16% 10.43% 1.28% $2,619 Offices
Hudson Pacific Properties Inc. HPP,
+1.55% 		9.12% 12.69% 3.57% $1,546 Offices
Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. OHI,
+1.30% 		9.05% 10.13% 1.08% $6,936 Health care
Global Medical REIT Inc. GMRE,
+2.03% 		8.75% 10.59% 1.84% $629 Health care
Uniti Group Inc. UNIT,
+0.28% 		8.30% 25.00% 16.70% $1,715 Communications infrastructure
EPR Properties EPR,
+0.62% 		8.19% 12.24% 4.05% $3,023 Leisure properties
CTO Realty Growth Inc. CTO,
+1.58% 		7.51% 9.34% 1.83% $381 Retail
Highwoods Properties Inc. HIW,
+0.76% 		6.95% 8.82% 1.86% $3,025 Offices
National Health Investors Inc. NHI,
+1.90% 		6.75% 8.32% 1.57% $2,313 Senior housing
Douglas Emmett Inc. DEI,
+0.33% 		6.74% 10.30% 3.55% $2,920 Offices
Outfront Media Inc. OUT,
+0.70% 		6.68% 11.74% 5.06% $2,950 Billboards
Spirit Realty Capital Inc. SRC,
+0.72% 		6.62% 9.07% 2.45% $5,595 Retail
Broadstone Net Lease Inc. BNL,
-0.93% 		6.61% 8.70% 2.08% $2,879 Industial
Armada Hoffler Properties Inc. AHH,
-0.08% 		6.38% 7.78% 1.41% $807 Offices
Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. IIPR,
+1.09% 		6.24% 7.53% 1.29% $3,226 Health care
Simon Property Group Inc. SPG,
+0.95% 		6.22% 9.55% 3.33% $37,847 Retail
LTC Properties Inc. LTC,
+1.09% 		5.99% 7.60% 1.60% $1,541 Senior housing
Source: FactSet

Click on the tickers for more about each company. You should read Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

The list includes each REIT’s main property investment type. However, many REITs are highly diversified. The simplified categories on the table may not cover all of their investment properties.

Knowing what a REIT invests in is part of the research you should do on your own before buying any individual stock. For arbitrary examples, some investors may wish to steer clear of exposure to certain areas of retail or hotels, or they may favor health-care properties.

Largest REITs

Several of the REITs that passed the screen have relatively small market capitalizations. You might be curious to see how the most widely held REITs fared in the screen. So here’s another list of the 20 largest U.S. REITs among the 119 that passed the first cut, sorted by market cap as of Nov. 28:

Company Ticker Dividend yield Estimated 2023 AFFO yield Estimated “headroom” Market cap. ($mil) Main concentration
Prologis Inc. PLD,
+1.29% 		2.84% 4.36% 1.52% $102,886 Warehouses and logistics
American Tower Corp. AMT,
+0.68% 		2.66% 4.82% 2.16% $99,593 Communications infrastructure
Equinix Inc. EQIX,
+0.62% 		1.87% 4.79% 2.91% $61,317 Data centers
Crown Castle Inc. CCI,
+1.03% 		4.55% 5.42% 0.86% $59,553 Wireless Infrastructure
Public Storage PSA,
+0.11% 		2.77% 5.35% 2.57% $50,680 Self-storage
Realty Income Corp. O,
+0.26% 		4.82% 6.46% 1.64% $38,720 Retail
Simon Property Group Inc. SPG,
+0.95% 		6.22% 9.55% 3.33% $37,847 Retail
VICI Properties Inc. VICI,
+0.41% 		4.69% 6.21% 1.52% $32,013 Leisure properties
SBA Communications Corp. Class A SBAC,
+0.59% 		0.97% 4.33% 3.36% $31,662 Communications infrastructure
Welltower Inc. WELL,
+2.37% 		3.66% 4.76% 1.10% $31,489 Health care
Digital Realty Trust Inc. DLR,
+0.69% 		4.54% 6.18% 1.64% $30,903 Data centers
Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. ARE,
+1.38% 		3.17% 4.87% 1.70% $24,451 Offices
AvalonBay Communities Inc. AVB,
+0.89% 		3.78% 5.69% 1.90% $23,513 Multifamily residential
Equity Residential EQR,
+1.10% 		4.02% 5.36% 1.34% $23,503 Multifamily residential
Extra Space Storage Inc. EXR,
+0.29% 		3.93% 5.83% 1.90% $20,430 Self-storage
Invitation Homes Inc. INVH,
+1.58% 		2.84% 5.12% 2.28% $18,948 Single-family residental
Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. MAA,
+1.46% 		3.16% 5.18% 2.02% $18,260 Multifamily residential
Ventas Inc. VTR,
+1.63% 		4.07% 5.95% 1.88% $17,660 Senior housing
Sun Communities Inc. SUI,
+2.09% 		2.51% 4.81% 2.30% $17,346 Multifamily residential
Source: FactSet

Simon Property Group Inc.
SPG,
+0.95%
is the only REIT to make both lists.

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World

Central banks must buy bitcoin to hedge against sanctions: Harvard Ph.D. candidate

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A research paper published at Harvard University is advocating that central banks should buy bitcoin
BTCUSD,
+2.41%
as a hedge against sanctions by other countries.

The paper, titled “Hedging Sanctions Risk: Cryptocurrency in Central Bank Reserves,” was authored by Ph.D. candidate Matthew Ferranti from Harvard’s economics department, and likens central banks’ gold reserves to potential bitcoin holdings.

Ferranti points out that central banks in countries across the globe should look into holding bitcoin as a hedge against possible financial sanctions. He gives the example of the unprecedented financial sanctions levied against Russia by the U.S. and many western nations following its invasion of Ukraine — billions in Russian assets were frozen after the Ukraine war began.

“Sanctions risk may diminish the appeal of U.S. Treasuries, propel broader diversification in central bank reserves, and bolster the long-run fundamental value of both cryptocurrency and gold,” Ferranti writes.

In the paper, Ferranti says El Salvador is a model for central banks owning bitcoin. The country, headed by bitcoin bull Nayib Bukele, has purchased millions of dollars worth of the crypto and has even made bitcoin an official national currency.

See also: ‘We just bought the dip’: El Salvador expands bitcoin holdings

Since the inception of popular cryptos like bitcoin and ether
ETHUSD,
+3.74%,
part of its appeal has been the lack of involvement from central banks, in favor of the decentralized nature of the digital asset.

In the wake of the recent crypto winter and collapse of popular crypto exchange FTX, as well as financial issues for crypto companies Voyager and Celsius, some crypto bulls have called for increased regulation and transparency for the industry.

The paper comes after FTX struggled with liquidity issues in November, eventually leading to a bankruptcy filing. Sam Bankman-Fried resigned as CEO and later apologized for the collapse of his former company.

See: Why do people invest in crypto? ‘It’s partly fraud and partly delusion,’ says Charlie Munger.

Also see: Tom Brady, Steph Curry and Kevin O’Leary set to lose big from FTX bankruptcy filing

Bitcoin’s price is down over 70% over the past year, and the price for ether is also down over 70% over the same period. The total market cap for all crypto nearly hit $3 trillion during parts of 2021, but is now around $800 billion.

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Business

Opinion: This record number in Nvidia earnings is a scary sight

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Nvidia Corp.’s financial results had a bit of a surprise for investors, and not on the good side — product inventories doubled to a record high as the chip company gears up for a questionable holiday season.

Nvidia reported fiscal third-quarter revenue that was slightly better than analysts’ reduced expectations Wednesday, but the numbers weren’t that great. Revenue fell 17% to $5.9 billion, while earnings were cut in half thanks to a $702 million inventory charge, largely relating to slower data-center demand in China.

Gaming revenue in the quarter fell 51% to $1.57 billion. Nvidia said it is working with its retail partners to help move the currently high-channel inventories.

While the company was writing off the inventory for China, its own new product inventory was growing. Nvidia
NVDA,
-4.54%
reported that its overall product inventory nearly doubled to $4.45 billion in the fiscal third quarter, compared with $2.23 billion a year ago and $3.89 billion in the prior quarter. Executives cited its coming product launches, designed around its new Ada and Hopper architectures, when asked about the inventory gains.

In the semiconductor industry, high inventories can make investors nervous, especially after the industry had so many supply constraints in recent years that quickly swung to a glut of chips in 2022. With doubts about demand for gaming cards and consumers’ willingness to spend amid sky-high inflation this holiday season, having all that product on hand just amps up the nerves.

Full earnings coverage: Nvidia profit chopped in half, but tweaked servers to China offset earlier $400 million warning

Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress told MarketWatch in a telephone interview Wednesday that the company’s high level of inventories were commensurate with its high levels of revenue.

“I do believe….it is our highest level of inventory,” she said. “They go hand in hand.” Kress said she was confident in the success of Nvidia’s upcoming product launches.

Nvidia’s revenue reached a peak in the April 2022 quarter with $8.3 billion, and in the past two quarters revenue has slowed, with gaming demand sluggish amid a transition to a new cycle, and a decline in China data-center demand due to COVID-19 lockdowns and U.S. government restrictions.

For its data-center customers, the new architectures promise major advances in computing power and artificial-intelligence features, with Nvidia planning to ship the equivalent of a supercomputer in a box with its new products over the next year. Those types of advanced products weigh on inventory totals even more, Kress said, because of the price of the total package.

“It’s about the complexity of the system we are building, that is what drives the inventory, the pieces of that together,” Kress said.

Bernstein Research analyst Stacy Rasgon believes that products based on Hopper will begin shipping over the next several quarters, “at materially higher price points.” He said in a recent note that he believes Nvidia’s numbers were likely hitting a bottom in this quarter.

“We remain positive on the Hopper ramp into next year, and believe numbers have at this point likely reached close to bottom, with new cycles brewing and an attractive secular story even without China potential,” Rasgon said in an earnings preview note Tuesday.

Read also: Warren Buffett’s chip-stock purchase is a classic example of why you want to be ‘greedy only when others are fearful’

Nvidia Chief Executive Jensen Huang reminded investors on a conference call that the company’s inventories are “never zero,” and said everyone is enthusiastic about the upcoming launches. But it doesn’t take too long of a memory to conjure up a time when Nvidia went into a holiday with an inventory backlog that included new architecture and greatly disappointed investors: Four years ago, Huang had to cut his forecast for holiday earnings twice amid a “crypto hangover” with similar dynamics to the current moment

Investors need faith that this holiday season will not be the same, even as demand for some videogame products declines after a pandemic boom just as the market for cryptocurrency — some of which has been mined with Nvidia products — hits a rough patch. Huang said that Nvidia’s RTX 4080 and 4090 graphics cards based on the Ada Lovelace architecture had an “exceptional launch,” and sold out.

Nvidia shares gained more than 2% in after-hours trading Wednesday, suggesting that some are betting that this time will be different. That enthusiasm needs to translate into revenue for Nvidia so that this big gain in inventories does not end up being part of another write-down at some point in the future.

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Business

FTX bankruptcy is ‘somebody running a company that’s just dumb-as-f___ing greedy,’ says Mark Cuban

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Billionaire Dallas Maverick’s owner Mark Cuban recently offered his perspective on the implosion of crypto platform FTX late this week.

“‘That’s somebody running a company that’s just dumb-as-fucking greedy.’”


— Mark Cuban

Cuban, speaking on Friday at a conference in Washington, D.C. hosted by Sports Business Journal, shared the view that avarice was at the root of the downfall of one-time crypto darling Sam Bankman-Fried, whose firm FTX Group just filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy.

“So what does Sam Bankman [Fried] do, he’s just–‘gimme more, gimme more, gimme more.’ So I’m gonna borrow money, loan it to an affiliated company and hope and pretend to myself that the FTT tokens that are in there on my balance sheet are gonna to sustain their value.”

Check out: Mark Cuban says buying metaverse real estate is ‘the dumbest shit ever

FTX’s collapse marks a stunning turnabout for a company, which was once valued at $26 billion, and whose founder, Bankman-Fried was viewed by many in the crypto industry as a venerable actor in the Wild West of digital exchanges.

On Thursday, the 30-year-old entrepreneur tweeted: “I f—ked up, and should have done better,” referencing the collapse of his exchange.

Embattled FTX, short billions of dollars, sought bankruptcy protection after the exchange experienced the crypto equivalent of a bank run. FTX, an affiliated hedge fund Alameda Research, and dozens of other related companies also filed a bankruptcy petition in Delaware on Friday morning. Boasting a nearly $16 billion fortune recently, Sam Bankman Fried’s net worth had all but evaporated in the wake of the FTX implosion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

The price of FTX’s native token FTT went down about 88.8% over the past seven days to around $2.74, according to CoinMarketCap data.

The U.S. Justice Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission are looking into the crypto exchange to determine whether any criminal activity or securities offenses were committed.

Regulators and are examining whether FTX used customer deposits to fund bets at Alameda Research, a no-no in traditional markets, according to reports.

Cuban, who is one of the stars of the investing show “Shark Tank” and owns the NBA’s Dallas Mavericks, is a big investor in crypto and blockchain-related platforms. According to a CNBC report, he has said that 80% of his investments that aren’t on Shark Tank are crypto-centric.

See: Tom Brady, Steph Curry and Kevin O’Leary set to lose big from FTX bankruptcy filing

For his part, Cuban is part of a class-action lawsuit accused of misleading investors into signing up for accounts with crypto platform Voyager Digital, which filed for bankruptcy in July. The suit alleges that Cuban touted his support for Voyager and referred to it “as close to risk-free as you’re gonna get in the crypto universe.”

Cuban mentioned Voyager in his Friday interview. Representatives for the billionaire investor didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

The Mavericks owner took to Twitter on Saturday to say that the crypto implosions “have been banking blowups. Lending to the wrong entity, misvaluations of collateral, arrogant arbs, followed by depositor runs.”

Cuban’s net worth is $4.6 billion, according to Forbes.



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Business

‘Bedazzled by money’: Democratic ties to Sam Bankman-Fried under scrutiny after FTX collapse

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Sam Bankman-Fried’s fall from grace has dealt an unprecedented blow to the crypto industry’s reputation — and some of this infamy may rub off on politicians who took his money, as well as on former regulators and Capitol Hill staffers who took well-paying jobs representing digital-asset companies before Congress.

Bankman-Fried, founder and CEO of the crumbling cryptocurrency exchange FTX, was one of the most generous donors to political causes during the 2022 election cycle, doling out $40 million, mostly to Democrats, with a particular focus on buoying crypto-friendly politicians in Democratic primaries.

FTX, like many other crypto firms, also aggressively recruited former federal regulators and Capitol Hill staffers, an often-criticized practice but one that has been common in the financial-services industry for decades.

Jeff Hauser, director of the left-leaning Revolving Door Project, said that Democratic politicians who worked closely with Bankman-Fried will have much to explain to the progressive wing of the party.

“A lot of people in the Democratic party got really close to Sam Bankman-Fried, and it reflects very badly on people who took this guy seriously,” he said. “People who in their past lives have taken on corporate power have been bedazzled by money seemingly being thrown their way.”

Bankman-Fried was the primary funder of the Protect Our Future PAC, which spent tens of millions of dollars in Democratic primaries this year. He also floated the idea of spending upwards of $1 billion in the 2024 presidential election to beat Donald Trump if he were the Republican nominee.

Promises of money on this scale likely tantalized many Democratic politicians, Hauser said, whether or not Bankman-Fried ever planned to go through with those contributions.

The crypto industry has also wielded influence by hiring former Capitol Hill staff and federal financial regulators to lobby and advise them on regulatory matters. The Campaign for Accountability, a nonpartisan anticorruption watchdog, published a report in February that found 240 examples of officials with key positions in the White House, Congress, federal regulatory agencies and national political campaigns moving into and out of the industry.

“The crypto industry is following the standard playbook for advancing special interests in Washington, including using all the levers of the influence industry,” Dennis Kelleher, president and CEO of the nonpartisan financial-reform organization Better Markets, told MarketWatch. “One of the most pernicious parts of that is the revolving door, where former officials essentially sell out their public service by using their access and influence on behalf of their private clients.”

Kelleher praised the performance of federal banking and securities regulators who have succeeded in keeping the carnage in the crypto markets segregated from the traditional financial system as popular tokens like bitcoin
BTCUSD,
-1.14%
and ether
ETHUSD,
-1.61%
lost more than 70% of their value over the past year.

Nevertheless, he believes crypto’s influence campaign has convinced lawmakers that what’s needed is to pass legislation that would tailor the financial-regulatory apparatus to be more friendly to the business models of digital-asset companies, rather than increasing funding for market regulators to enforce the regulations already on the books.

A bill put forward in June by Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming and Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York would do just that, granting regulatory authority for the most popular cryptocurrencies to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which critics of the bill say is more crypto-friendly than the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Another bipartisan bill from Senate Agriculture Committee Chairwoman Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, a Democrat, and Sen. John Bozeman of Arkansas, the committee’s ranking Republican, envisions a similar setup.

Kelleher said that these bills are the product of the crypto industry’s intense lobbying efforts, and without that push, lawmakers might see that what is needed is more funding to enforce securities laws that already exist.

“People need to realize that the crypto industry is basically lawless,” Kelleher said, adding that exchanges like FTX could have made the decision to register as a securities exchange with the SEC, whose supervision would have ensured that the company couldn’t engage in the type of activities that led to its downfall.

“The industry made the conscious decision to not comply with the law, to spend hundreds of millions of dollars on public officials to get a special law passed so they get special treatment,” he said.

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Opinion: Tesla investors have been the biggest losers in Elon Musk’s Twitter deal, and those losses continue

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Twitter users have complained a lot about Elon Musk’s early moves after taking control of the social network, but their complaints seem tiny compared with what Tesla Inc. investors have had to suffer.

As the U.S. focused on election returns Tuesday evening, Tesla
TSLA,
-7.17%
Chief Executive Musk tried to slip through disclosure of his long-awaited stock sales, revealing that he had sold nearly $4 billion of Tesla stock in the previous three trading sessions. Musk did not publicly address the stock sales nor his intentions to sell more within 24 hours of the disclosure, even while tweeting roughly 20 times in that period.

[MarketWatch asked him on Twitter to address the sales twice, and did not receive a reply; Tesla disbanded its media-relations department years ago.]

The sales fueled a further downturn in shares of the electric-vehicle maker on Wednesday, when the stock fell 7.2% to $177.59, its lowest closing price since November 2020. Tesla is currently down 49.6% on the year, which would be far and away the worst year yet for the stock — the previous record annual decline was 2016, when it fell 11%.

The problems for Tesla investors go far beyond Musk selling its stock so that he could overpay for a company with limited growth prospects and a host of other problems, but the poor optics certainly start there.

“He sold caviar to buy a $2 slice of pizza,” said Dan Ives, a Wedbush Securities analyst.

Ives was one of several on Wall Street to predict Musk would need to sell more shares to either close a gap in his financing of the $44 billion deal to buy the social-media company, or provide additional operating funds. In a telephone conversation Wednesday, he said the Twitter move is “a nightmare that just won’t end for Tesla investors.”

One reason it isn’t ending is that Musk’s need for cash in relation to Twitter is not done with the recent sales, portending more in the future. Musk said in a tweet late last week that Twitter had a “massive drop in revenue” due to activists pressuring advertisers to pull their ads, and he will have to continue paying the employees he did not lay off while servicing a debt load that analysts have estimated will cost him $1 billion a year, much more than Twitter has cleared in profit in the past two years. Twitter reported a net loss of $221 million in 2021, and a net loss of $1.13 billion for 2020.

Read more about Elon Musk potentially pumping Tesla stock ahead of a sale

“The first two weeks of ownership have been a ‘Friday the 13th‘ horror show,” Ives said, adding that the verification plan and mass layoffs of 50% of employees — and then trying to rehire some of the engineers, developers and cybersecurity experts — was “really stupid.” And, according to CNBC, Musk has also pulled more than 50 Tesla engineers, many from the Autopilot team, to work at Twitter.

“But it’s consistent with how this thing has been handled,” Ives said, adding that Musk is “way over his skis” with the Twitter acquisition.

Amid all the chaos of his first two weeks running Twitter, how much time has Musk had to run his other companies? Musk was already splitting his Tesla time with SpaceX, The Boring Company, Neuralink and many other endeavors, and now he has taken on the gargantuan task of turning a social-media company that has never been highly profitable, nor valuable, into something worth the $44 billion he paid.

The effort, Ives said, has “tarnished his brand,” which in turn has a big risk of hurting Tesla. Many investors have bought into the Tesla story because they believe Musk is a genius and they back his vision of electrifying the automotive industry. Twitter does not meld into that vision, except as a platform to spout his opinions, vitriol and promote more wacky concepts.

Since Musk began his quest to buy the company, he has endured more criticism than ever before, with even some fans starting to throw shade or question his decisions. Investor Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund LLC, for example, pointed out that Tesla’s top engineers should not be running Twitter, where the news was getting worse.

Tesla is not a company that can just run itself at this point. Musk has claimed he did not want to be chief executive but that there was no one else to take over the car company, which is why he has served as CEO for years. It’s not clear, though, how much effort he actually has made at trying to recruit someone. Now, as Tesla faces its usual multitude of issues, he is off spending his time trying to turn Twitter into a payments company, or maybe a subscription company, or maybe an “everything app,” or whatever he comes up with tomorrow.

“Musk needs to look in the mirror and end this constant merry-go-round of Twitter overhang on the Tesla story, with his focus back on the golden child Tesla, which needs his time more than ever given the soft macro, production/delivery issues in China, and EV competition increasing from all corners of the globe,” Ives wrote in a note Wednesday, in which he reiterated an outperform rating on Tesla stock.

For Twitter to reach anywhere close to the valuation Musk paid for it, it’s going to need a ton of attention from a focused leader, but how can Musk be that leader and give Tesla the attention it deserves? The answer is he cannot, and is very likely to give the attention that Tesla needs to Twitter instead after committing $44 billion (not all of it his) to that endeavor. Tesla investors will be left staring at the sea of red that this year has wrought, and wondering if its leader is about to sell more shares to fund his other effort.



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PayPal earnings forecast heads higher, but revenue outlook sends the stock lower yet again

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PayPal Holdings Inc.’s cost-savings story began to play out in the latest quarter, but that wasn’t enough to satisfy investors as the digital payments giant also cut its revenue forecast for the full year in light of the “rough macro environment.”

Shares fell 10% in after-hours trading after PayPal
PYPL,
-3.65%
executives trimmed their revenue guidance for 2022, saying that they were now looking for 10% growth on a currency-neutral basis, whereas the prior forecast called for 11% growth.

Management has cut expectations on a series of guidance metrics throughout the year.

“We’re executing against all the things we can control…and preparing prudently for a rough macro environment,” Chief Executive Dan Schulman told MarketWatch. He added that PayPal was “seeing a pullback in discretionary goods that are being spent on by consumers,” hence why he and the executive team felt the need to have a “prudent” revenue outlook for the fourth quarter. 

Acting Chief Financial Officer Gabrielle Rabinovitch added on the company’s earnings call that PayPal “didn’t see the early start to the holiday season” during October that the company saw back in 2021.

See also: Block stock rockets higher after earnings as Square parent posts a ‘strong beat all around’

Though PayPal cut its revenue forecast for the full year, it outperformed on the top line during the third quarter. Revenue climbed to $6.85 billion from $6.18 billion, while analysts had been projecting $6.81 billion. PayPal’s total payment volume rose to $337 billion from $310 billion a year prior. Venmo volume was $63.6 billion.

The reduced full-year revenue forecast outweighed progress on the cost-savings program that executives outlined in the previous earnings report.

PayPal reported adjusted earnings of $1.08 a share in the latest quarter, down from $1.11 a share a year before but ahead of the FactSet consensus, which was for 96 cents a share. Executives now model $4.07 a share to $4.09 a share in adjusted earnings for the full year, which is ahead of the prior forecast that called for $3.87 a share to $3.97 a share.

“While there are a number of unknowns regarding the macro environment, we can largely control our spend and its implication on earnings growth,” Schulman said on the earnings call “Of course, we’re also focused on investing for growth and we are balancing efficient spend with continued investment to drive future top-line growth.”

He added that the uncertain environment could also present opportunity for PayPal.

“We think this is a time where market-share leaders get stronger,” Schulman said.

PayPal shares have fallen nearly 60% this year, as the S&P 500 index
SPX,
-1.06%
has declined 21.1%

Read: Amazon rolling out Venmo payment option

The company recognized a boost in engagement during its latest quarter as transactions per active account rose 13% to 50.1 over a trailing 12-month period. PayPal added 2.9 million net new active accounts in the third quarter, bringing its total to 432 million. The FactSet consensus was for 432.9 million active accounts.

Earlier this year, PayPal began to shift its focus more on generating engagement among existing users than on attracting and retaining less active customers.

Schulman told MarketWatch that the company’s digital wallet has helped drive improved engagement trends, as PayPal sees two times the level of engagement among those who use the app versus those who don’t.

PayPal executives announced several initiatives in progress with Apple Inc.
AAPL,
-4.25%,
including future participation in the Tap to Pay on iPhone program that lets people use their smartphones as payment-acceptance devices without requiring additional hardware. Additionally, PayPal and Venmo debit and credit cards will be eligible next year for inclusion in Apple Wallet. PayPal also plans to add Apple Pay as a payment option in its unbranded checkout platform.

Those developments mark a “meaningful step forward,” Schulman told MarketWatch.

He added on the earnings call that the arrangement with Apple is “a bigger deal than most people realize” given trends the company has observed with Alphabet Inc.’s
GOOG,
-4.11%

GOOGL,
-4.07%
Google Pay: “We’ve seen, for instance, that Google Pay users in Germany when they add their PayPal credentials there, there’s a 20% increase in their branded checkout transactions.”

See more: Apple will let merchants accept in-person payments with only an iPhone

Executives offered a first look at 2023 expectations in an investor presentation Thursday. They’re targeting adjusted EPS growth of at least 15% as well as at least 100 basis points of operating-margin expansion.

Schulman said that EPS growth at the targeted range would put PayPal in the top quartile of S&P 500 components on the metric.

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Opinion: The cloud boom has hit its stormiest moment yet, and it is costing investors billions

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The cloud boom has finally reached a resting altitude, but Wall Street is doing anything but resting.

Amazon.com Inc.
AMZN,
-4.06%,
the original pioneer in cloud computing, confirmed Thursday what rivals Microsoft Corp.
MSFT,
-1.98%
and Alphabet Inc.
GOOGL,
-2.85%

GOOG,
-2.34%
suggested with their earnings reports earlier in the week: Cloud-computing growth has finally reached a plateau, as companies around the world cut costs to address the slowing economy. Amazon Web Services, the backbone of Amazon’s profit, saw revenue hit its slowest growth on record, and executives said that it will slow down even more.

“The back end of the quarter, we were more in the mid-20% growth range, so carry that forecast to the fourth quarter — we are not sure how it’s going to play out, but that’s generally our assumption,” Amazon Chief Financial Officer Brian Olsavsky told analysts after reporting quarterly growth of 27.5%.

It was a jarring slowdown for AWS, which recorded 33% growth in the second quarter, 37% growth in the first, 37% in the fourth quarter of 2021 and 39% growth a year ago. It shouldn’t have been too much of a surprise, though: Smaller rivals reported similar slowdowns earlier in the week.

Microsoft’s Azure cloud business grew 35% in its fiscal first quarter, down from 40% in the previous quarter and 50% the year before, and executives predicted another five-percentage-point fall this quarter. Alphabet’s Google Cloud is also slowing, even though it was the bright spot of double-digit growth in the disappointing quarter for the internet ad and search giant. Google’s Cloud Services grew 37.6% in the third quarter, up from 35.6% growth in the second quarter, but down from 43.8% in the first quarter, and 44.6% in the fourth quarter.

Regular readers of this column should also not be surprised, as we predicted three months ago (perhaps just a tad early) that a slowdown was coming. It probably should have happened in 2020, but the COVID-19 pandemic caused a rush of companies to boost their cloud services, as remote work suddenly made a move to the cloud essential for many businesses.

More recently, though, the largest businesses with the most complex workloads are shutting down or putting off major projects, and cutting their spending on the cloud-computing power they would have needed to support hem.

“There are three parts to the cloud slowdown,” said Maribel Lopez, principal analyst at Lopez Research, who joined MarketWatch in predicting a cloud-spending slowdown earlier this year. “One is related to reigning in and rationalizing the Wild West of spending that companies did during COVID to keep the lights on,” which is leading to the cutbacks we see now. Second, recent waves of cloud workloads by the industries that are still slow-rolling their move to the cloud — such as government, healthcare and education — “are the most complex, time consuming and challenging to move to the cloud quickly.” Lastly, is a general fear related to the macroeconomic environment, leading to cuts anywhere executives can find them.

Read also: The cloud boom is coming back to earth.

Wall Street has reacted swiftly and strongly, ripping more than $300 billion in market cap away from just Microsoft and Amazon this week, if Amazon’s steep decline in Thursday’s after-hours session persists. But this is where it helps to think about a longer-term view: Just because cloud growth is declining does not mean that the technology is still not core to the future.

Microsoft and Amazon will continue to develop and sell their cloud-computing offerings, and they will see healthy margins on them. Google is continuing to invest in its cloud business, adding 2,000 new employees via its acquisition of Mandiant last quarter, and executives said this week that businesses and governments are still in the early days of public cloud adoption.

“We’re pleased with the momentum in Cloud and do continue to be excited about the long-term opportunity,” Alphabet Chief Financial Officer Ruth Porat told analysts this week.

Many analysts agree. Dan Ives, an analyst with Wedbush Securities, said this week in a note about Microsoft that “the shift to cloud is still less than 50% penetrated.” Growth is slowing as inflation continues and the strong dollar outside the U.S. hits the revenue lines of many tech giants, causing many companies to pause in their spending, but that is a short-term problem.

Moving to a cloud provider is not for the faint of heart, and it is a transition that in some cases takes longer than expected. The same will hold true for investing in the cloud for the long term, even as there is some pain now. It’s still a massive and important part of the tech sector, an essential business that enabled companies to keep operating around the world during the pandemic. Whatever the future growth rate, the cloud appears here to stay.

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