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The Widening Web of Phil Lord and Chris Miller – Hollywood Reporter

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OPEC+ oil output cut shows widening rift between Biden and Saudi royals

WASHINGTON/LONDON, Oct 8 (Reuters) – The OPEC+ organization’s decision this week to cut oil production despite stiff U.S. opposition has further strained already tense relations between President Joe Biden’s White House and Saudi Arabia’s royal family, once one of Washington’s staunchest Middle East allies, according to interviews with about a dozen government officials and experts in Washington and the Gulf.

The White House pushed hard to prevent the OPEC output cut, these sources said. Biden hopes to keep U.S. gasoline prices from spiking again ahead of midterm elections in which his Democratic party is struggling to maintain control of the U.S. Congress. Washington also wants to limit Russia’s energy revenue during the Ukraine war.

The U.S. administration lobbied OPEC+ for weeks. In recent days, senior U.S. officials from energy, foreign policy and economic teams urged their foreign counterparts to vote against an output cut, according to two sources familiar with the discussions.

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Amos Hochstein, Biden’s top energy envoy, along with national security official Brett McGurk and the administration’s special envoy to Yemen Tim Lenderking, traveled to Saudi Arabia last month to discuss energy issues, including the OPEC+ decision.

They failed to prevent an output cut, just as Biden did after his own July visit.

US officials “tried to position it as ‘us versus Russia,'” said one source briefed on the discussions, telling Saudi officials they needed to make a choice.

That argument failed, the source said, adding that the Saudis said that if the United States wanted more oil on the markets, it should start producing more of its own.

The United States is the world’s No. 1 oil producer and also its top consumer, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

The Saudi government media office CIC did not respond to Reuters emailed requests for comment about the discussions.

“We are concerned first and foremost with the interests of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and then the interests of the countries that trusted us and are members of OPEC and the OPEC + alliance,” Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz told Saudi TV Wednesday.

OPEC weighs its interests with “those of the world because we have an interest in supporting the growth of the global economy and providing energy supplies in the best way,” he said.

Washington’s handling of the Iran nuclear deal and withdrawal of support for a Saudi-led coalition’s offensive military operations in Yemen have upset Saudi officials, as have actions against Russia after the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

A U.S. push for a price cap on Russian oil is causing uncertainty, Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman told Bloomberg TV after the OPEC cut, noting the “lack of details and the lack of clarity” about how it will be implemented.

A source briefed by Saudi officials said the kingdom views it as “a non-market price-control mechanism, that could be used by a cartel of consumers against producers.”

A Biden-directed sale of 180 million barrels of oil in March from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve put downward pressure on oil prices. In March, OPEC+ said it would stop using data from the International Energy Agency (IEA), a Western oil watchdog, due to Saudi-led concerns the United States had too much influence.

On Thursday, Biden called the Saudi decision “a disappointment”, adding Washington could take further action in the oil market.

“Look it’s clear that OPEC Plus is aligning with Russia,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said on Wednesday. She would not elaborate on how the output cut would affect U.S.-Saudi relations.
In the U.S. Congress, Biden’s Democrats called for the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Saudi Arabia and spoke about taking back weapons.

“I thought the whole point of selling arms to the Gulf States despite their human rights abuses, nonsensical Yemen War, working against US interests in Libya, Sudan etc, was that when an international crisis came, the Gulf could choose America over Russia/China,” Senator Chris Murphy, a Democrat, said on Twitter.

Saudi minister of state for foreign affairs Adel Al-Jubeir, said in remarks to Fox News on Friday when asked about the U.S. criticism: “Saudi Arabia does not politicize oil or oil decisions.”

“With due respect, the reason you have high prices in the United States is because you have a refining shortage that has been in existence for more than 20 years,” he added.

CROWN PRINCE AND BIDEN

Weeks after Biden took office as president, Washington released a report tying the 2018 killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

The prince, son of King Salman, 86, has denied ordering the killing but acknowledged it took place “under my watch”.

The prince became prime minister last month and his lawyers have been arguing in a U.S. court that this makes him immune from prosecution in the Khashoggi death.

Biden’s trip to Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, in July for a Gulf summit was aimed at patching up relations, but he also levied harsh criticism of bin Salman over Khashoggi’s murder.

Ben Cahill, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said the Saudis hope the production cuts will give OPEC+ control over oil prices and ensure enough oil revenue to protect their country from a recession.

“The macroeconomic risk is getting worse all the time, so they have to respond,” Cahill said. “They are aware that a cut will irritate Washington, but they are managing the market.”

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Reporting By Steve Holland, Timothy Gardner and Jarrett Renshaw in Washington; Dmitry Zhdannikov in London, Aziz El Yaakoubi in Riyadh, Ghaida Ghantous in Dubai and Ahmed Tolba in Cairo. Editing by Heather Timmons, David Gregorio and Jane Merriman

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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The Atlantic Ocean is widening. Here’s why.

The Atlantic Ocean is getting wider, shoving the Americas to one side and Europe and Africa to the other. But it’s not known exactly how. 

A new study suggests that deep beneath the Earth’s crust, in a layer called the mantle, sizzling-hot rocks are rising up and pushing on tectonic plates — those rocky jigsaw pieces that form Earth’s crust — that meet beneath the Atlantic. 

Previously, scientists thought that the continents were mostly being pulled apart as the plates beneath the ocean moved in opposite directions and crashed into other plates, folding under the force of gravity. But the new study suggests that’s not the whole picture.

The research began in 2016, when a group of researchers set sail on a research vessel to the widest part of the Atlantic Ocean between South America and Africa; in other words, to “the middle of nowhere,” said lead author Matthew Agius, who was a postdoctoral researcher with the University of Southampton in the U.K. at the time, but is now at the Roma Tre University in Italy. 

Related: Under the sea: 50 breathtaking images from our oceans

The spot is not a particularly popular route for travel, Agius said, noting that sometimes days would go by without seeing a single other ship or a plane. Interaction is limited to the occasional whales and dolphins that swim by and a fleeting signal from the ship’s Wi-Fi. Lightless nights blanket the vast sea in an unobscured view of the galaxy and stars — and it’s very, very quiet, Agius said.

But this vast, empty stretch of ocean rests upon an incredibly important geological spot: the mid-Atlantic ridge, the planet’s largest tectonic boundary that extends 10,000 miles (16,093 kilometers) from the Arctic Ocean to to the southern tip of Africa. This is the spot where the South American and the North American Plates move apart from the Eurasian and African plates, at a speed of about 1.6 inches (4 centimeters) a year, extending the Atlantic Ocean. 

39 seismometers were places across a span of hundreds of miles on the Mid-Atlantic Ridge.  (Image credit: University of Southampton)

Listening to rumbles

Agius and his team spent five weeks sailing across a small portion of the ridge — about 621 miles (1,000 km) — dropping seismometers (instruments that detect seismic waves or vibrations such as those from earthquakes) onto the seafloor. 

A year later, the researchers collected the seismometers. 

Until now, “we never had good images of what’s happening beneath the ocean,” Agius said. Since seismic waves behave differently depending on the material they move through, the researchers could use the data to create images, allowing them to peer into various layers of the Earth. In that year of listening, the seismometers picked up vibrations from earthquakes that propagated from various parts of the world and through Earth’s deep mantle —  a layer of mostly solid, hot rock about 1,800 miles (2,900 km) thick.

A seismometer being deployed into the ocean at the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. (Image credit: University of Southampton)

While the team’s original goal was to learn about how the plates were born and how they aged, and they really intended to study shallower depths of the Earth, the researchers found evidence of a deeper phenomenon at play.

They found that in that area within the ridge, the mantle transition zone —  a higher-density region that serves as a gatekeeper between the upper and lower layers of the mantle — was thinner than average which likely means it was hotter than normal. The hotter temperatures of the transition zone likely facilitated an “upwelling” of hot rock from Earth’s lower mantle to its upper mantle that actively pushed the plates apart, Agius said.

Researchers previously thought that plates mainly diverged from each other due to a “pulling” at subduction zones, places where plates collide and one sinks beneath the other, recycling material into the mantle, Agius said. So if you have one plate being pulled on one side (and crashing with another plate at a subduction zone), and another plate being pulled to the other side (again crashing with another plate at a subduction zone), it would create ridges in the middle, where the hot material from below rises to fill the resulting gap. 

“That is still happening, but it was thought that the ridges are an effect of that process,” he said. But their findings suggest that as subduction zones pull the plates apart, upwellings beneath the ridges might be actively helping to push them apart. However, it’s unclear if this process is just related to the mid-Atlantic ridge or if all the ridges around the world experience the same thing, Agius said. “The pulling is still there, just we would like to determine now if all the ridges are experiencing pushing as well.”

Seismic waves from earthquakes travel deep inside the Earth and are recorded on the seismometers. Analysis of that data allowed researchers to image the inside of our planet and find that the mantle transition zone was thinner than average. That suggests it’s hotter than average likely prompting material to move from the lower mantle to the upper mantle and pushing on the tectonic plates above. (Image credit: University of Southampton)

Pushing and pulling

“The findings “add a piece of the puzzle towards understanding flow in Earth’s mantle,” said Jeroen Ritsema, a professor in the department of Earth and Environmental Sciences at the University of Michigan, who was not a part of the study.

And though their analysis is “excellent,” the study is limited in scope, he said. They looked at only a small portion of the Atlantic seafloor, so it’s not clear if their findings would hold true along the entire mid-Atlantic ridge or even in other mid-ocean ridges. “It is difficult to infer global-scale rock flow in Earth’s mantle from only a single viewpoint,” Ritsema told Live Sceince. “It is like peeking through a keyhole and trying to find out what furniture is in the living room, kitchen and the bedrooms upstairs.”

What’s more, there could be some other explanations for the warmer-than-normal transition zone. 

It’s a very “remarkable data set that they collected at great pains,” said Barbara Ramonowicz, a professor of the University of California, Berkeley’s Earth and Planetary Science Graduate School and professor emeritus of the College de France in Paris, who was also not a part of the study. “I have no doubt about their analysis. …I have reservations about their interpretation,” Ramonowicz told LiveScience. There are well-known plumes nearby that could have been offset and caused that area to heat up, she said.

The crew on the research vessel looking out at an ocean sunset. (Image credit: University of Southampton)

Vedran Lekic, an associate professor at the University of Maryland’s Department of Geology who was also not involved with the study, agrees that their explanation is plausible “but not the only possible one to explain the findings.” But if the findings are replicated elsewhere, it “might bring into question our prevailing view of ridges,” he added.

These and other similar findings could also alter our maps. Some 300 million years ago, all seven continents were smooshed together into a single supercontinent known as Pangaea. Over millions of years, plates split the continents, creating ocean boundaries and the modern map. But the spreading of the Atlantic Ocean and the shrinking of the Pacific Ocean is slowly, inconspicuously aging those maps and making them increasingly inaccurate. “The maps will alter a little bit [for now] and over millions and millions of years will alter significantly,” Agius said.

The findings were published in the journal Nature on Jan. 27.

Originally published on Live Science.

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