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NC weather forecast: Ice, sleet, freezing rain more likely Sunday than snow in North Carolina

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) — The system threatening to bring winter weather to central North Carolina this weekend continues to slow down.

As of Thursday morning the system remained off the Oregon coast. It is expected to move ashore sometime Thursday.

As it moves ashore, it will make forecasting its impacts in North Carolina more reliable. Keep a close eye on the forecast from your First Alert Weather Team over the next 24-48 hours for the most accurate and up-to-date details about what this storm will bring to your neighborhood.

Right now, the system looks like it will bring more of a wintry mix than snow.

Sleet, freezing rain and ice combined with strong winds are shaping up to be the biggest threats–which means slick roads, falling trees, and power outages could be the main dangers you need to watch out for.

WATCH: First Alert to Winter Weather

TIMING

High temperatures Saturday will be in the upper 30s, but they will dip into the mid to upper 20s Saturday night into Sunday morning.

The low pressure system that will bring moisture into the ABC11 viewing area is expected to arrive around daybreak Sunday.

A wintry mix with sleet and freezing rain will likely begin in the Sandhills and move its way north and east across central North Carolina.

By midday and early afternoon, all of central North Carolina will be seeing some sort of precipitation. With areas north and west more likely to be seeing snow, a wintry mix likely in and around the Triangle and mostly rain in areas more to the south and east.

According to the Weather Prediction Center’s probabilistic forecast, there is there is a 30-50 percent chance snow/sleet will exceed 0.25″ liquid equivalent Sunday morning to early Monday morning. However, just west into the Triad, that chance rises to 50-70 percent.

Warmer air will push in Sunday evening, causing much of the snow and wintry mix to transition into rain. This is when flooding could become a problem.

Specifics of this forecast could change significantly in the next 24-48 hours. Keep checking back for updates, but in the meantime go ahead and start making a plan for how you’re going to prepare for this event.

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NC weather forecast: Ice, sleet, freezing rain more likely Sunday than snow in North Carolina

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) — The system threatening to bring winter weather to central North Carolina this weekend continues to slow down.

As of Thursday morning the system remained off the Oregon coast. It is expected to move ashore sometime Thursday.

As it moves ashore, it will make forecasting its impacts in North Carolina more reliable. Keep a close eye on the forecast from your First Alert Weather Team over the next 24-48 hours for the most accurate and up-to-date details about what this storm will bring to your neighborhood.

Right now, the system looks like it will bring more of a wintry mix than snow.

Sleet, freezing rain and ice combined with strong winds are shaping up to be the biggest threats–which means slick roads and falling trees could be the main dangers you need to watch out for.

WATCH: First Alert to Winter Weather

TIMING

High temperatures Saturday will be in the upper 30s, but they will dip to around freezing Saturday night into Sunday morning.

The low pressure system that will bring moisture into the ABC11 viewing area is expected to arrive around daybreak Sunday.

A wintry mix with sleet and freezing rain will likely begin in the Sandhills and move its way north and east across central North Carolina.

By midday and early afternoon, all of central North Carolina will be seeing some sort of precipitation. With areas north and west more likely to be seeing snow, a wintry mix likely in and around the Triangle and mostly rain in areas more to the south and east.

Warmer air will push in Sunday evening, causing much of the snow and wintry mix to transition into rain.

Specifics of this forecast could change significantly in the next 24-48 hours. Keep checking back for updates, but in the meantime go ahead and start making a plan for how you’re going to prepare for this event.

Copyright © 2022 WTVD-TV. All Rights Reserved.



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NC weather: Severe weather leaves central North Carolina mostly unharmed

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) — Severe weather warnings dotted the central North Carolina on Thursday, but the majority of the region escaped unharmed.

Despite several tornado warnings, the only damage report in the region happened in Orange County.

In the Cedar Grove neighborhood, trees were uprooted, roofs were damaged, a basketball hoop was snapped in half and a trampoline was seen flying down the street.

The National Weather Service is deploying a survey team to look at the damage and determine if it was caused by a tornado or straight line winds.

That team will start looking at damage in Guilford County at 8 a.m. and then work its way east.

The storms moved out of the region by Thursday night, but some rain will linger into Friday.

Temperatures Friday started in the 50s but will actually get colder as the day goes on. You can expect it to also be rather breezy for most of the day.

Saturday and Sunday will see temperatures in the 50s, with more sun Saturday and more warmth Sunday.

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NC weather: Freezing rain, ice expected throughout parts of central North Carolina Saturday morning

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) — Thousands across central North Carolina are currently without power as freezing rain moves throughout the state.

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until noon Saturday for much of central North Carolina.

The advisory stretches from Wake, Durham, Orange, Chatham, Nash and Edgecombe counties north into Virginia.

Person, Vance and Granville counties were upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning on Friday afternoon, where an additional .25″ of ice is possible. The Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for the Triangle, northern Orange and Durham counties could see .10″ of ice, less to the south.

The warnings/advisories will now last until Sunday at noon, although there should be little additional icing after Saturday early afternoon.

According to Duke Energy, more than 1,000 customers in Chatham County are experiencing power outages.

The original advisory was issued Friday morning and it included chances for ice Friday and Saturday morning.

The first round of winter weather was mainly felt around the North Carolina-Virginia border. Rain turned to a small amount of ice accumulation on raised surfaces–such as tree limbs and railings.

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However, a second round of rain arrived Friday night and temperatures dipped below freezing.

Freezing rain is likely from the Triangle to the Virginia border.

Only a light glaze is expected in most of the Triangle, with perhaps some bridges or overpasses developing some ice. Temperatures are only forecast to drop to 31 or 32 at RDU, so ice accumulation is pretty difficult at these temperatures.

If we drop just another degree or two, ice accumulation will be greater.

Farther north, temperatures will drop to about 29 or 30, and this is the area where up to .15-.20″ of ice is possible. This amount of ice can lead to a few power outages and roads may be more of a concern in the morning, Hohmann said. Typically, .25″ is the threshold for more effects from freezing rain.

The freezing rain should end by Saturday afternoon.

We have the potential to pick up an inch to an inch and a half of rain on Saturday, through Sunday morning. We could also wake up to a slick spot or two Sunday morning, especially north of I-85.

The ABC11 First Alert Weather Team will be working around the clock to monitor any changes to the forecast. You can catch those updates in this story, on television, or in our apps on your connected devices.

WATCH: Winter weather in a pandemic | What to expect this year

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NC weather: Winter Storm Warning issued for several counties as snow begins to fall

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) — A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for several North Carolina counties as snow started to fall in the area overnight.

The warning is out for Granville, Halifax, Person, Vance and Warren counties until 8 a.m., according to the National Weather Service. The NWS is forecasting these counties could see up to three to four inches of snow accumulation. Many other counties in the area are under a Winter Storm Advisory.

In Roxboro, one of the units in our breaking news fleet already had a coating of snow around 2:30 a.m.

A car was stuck on the side of the road in Roxboro as well.

Get the latest weather updates sent straight to your phone by downloading the ABC11 mobile app

On Wednesday, the Winter Weather Advisory was issued for the northern half of our viewing area from midnight through 8 a.m. on Thursday. The advisory includes the Triangle counties along with areas north, bordering I-85 and I-95.

Accumulations now look to be 3 to 4 inches of snow along the Virginia border and 2 to 3 inches in the Triangle. Areas south of the Triangle should see less than an inch.

Most of the accumulation should be grassy surfaces, but since this will be occurring at night, there could be slick spots in the morning.

“This looks to be similar to our event last February which dropped 1 to 3 inches one evening, but did not accumulate on the roads much,” Chief Meteorologist Chris Hohmann said. “Should be a very wet snow, which will be pretty on the trees, etc. It’s not often we go from the 50s and sunshine to snow in less than 12 hours; should be interesting.”

WATCH: Director of Emergency Management Mike Sprayberry on preps for possible snow Thursday morning

Wednesday night’s rain has the North Carolinas Department of Transportation’s salt and sand trucks on standby due to the possibility that it would wash away. Crews are expected to report for duty between midnight and 4 a.m.

The NCDOT expects much of the winter precipitation to melt quickly, but the main concern is higher-elevation roads and bridges

The Sandhills region will see less accumulation, from flurries to a half-inch.

ABC!! Meteorologist Don “Big Weather” Schwenneker said precipitation will move out of our region between 5 to 8 a.m. beginning in the southwest part of the viewing area. Skies will clear out mid-morning with the sun returning. Temperatures will stay well below average in the 40s and wind chills will be in the 30s for most of the day with a stiff wind gust around 25 MPH.

Winter weather in a pandemic | What to expect this year

Typically, our snow events happen when cold air is already in place, and moisture moves into the area.

That’s what happened 21 years ago in one of the biggest snow events the Triangle has ever seen.

Here’s a look back at that snow and what forecasters learned from it:

Check out the latest weather radar

Winter weather in a pandemic | What to expect this year

Get weather on the ABC11 News app.

Check out the latest weather radar

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