Tag Archives: wage

California residents to pay the price for Newsom’s $20 fast food minimum wage: McDonald’s and Chipotle confirm they will HIKE menu costs in the Golden State to off-set Governor’s new labor bill – Daily Mail

  1. California residents to pay the price for Newsom’s $20 fast food minimum wage: McDonald’s and Chipotle confirm they will HIKE menu costs in the Golden State to off-set Governor’s new labor bill Daily Mail
  2. McDonald’s, Chipotle to hike menu prices after California Gov. Newsom approves $20 fast food minimum wage Fox Business
  3. McDonald’s & Chipotle Raising Menu Prices In California After Minimum Wage Increase TMZ
  4. California’s latest minimum wage hike is already making things worse Washington Examiner
  5. Chipotle’s Labor Costs Are Rising. Customers Will See It in Pricing. The Wall Street Journal
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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‘Expensive taste without the expenses’: Minimum wage worker wears Lululemon, Versace, Apple AirPods Max to work – The Daily Dot

  1. ‘Expensive taste without the expenses’: Minimum wage worker wears Lululemon, Versace, Apple AirPods Max to work The Daily Dot
  2. Money coach with 287K TikTok followers says she sees this savings error too much. MarketWatch
  3. Here’s what to know before turning to social media for tax advice CNBC
  4. ‘Cost of living in 2023 is so bad’: This woman on TikTok earns nearly $100K/year — but claims she was better off in 2012 making minimum wage. 3 simple ways deflate your budget Yahoo Finance
  5. The austerity influencers of TikTok: ‘I wanted to share the things I have given up’ The Guardian
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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How Leah Remini plans to wage war on Church of Scientology: ‘She will call Tom Cruise as a witness’ – New York Post

  1. How Leah Remini plans to wage war on Church of Scientology: ‘She will call Tom Cruise as a witness’ New York Post
  2. Leah Remini, Vocal Scientology Critic, Files Suit Against Church The New York Times
  3. Leah Remini Claims She Received This Astonishing Punishment for Her Behavior at Tom Cruise & Katie Holmes’ Wedding Yahoo Entertainment
  4. Leah Remini branded ‘bigot’ and ‘horrible person’ by Church of Scientology following ‘ludicrous’ lawsuit Toronto Sun
  5. Scientology Fired Back At Leah Remini Amidst Lawsuit: ‘She Should Consider Emigrating To Russia’ CinemaBlend
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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How Leah Remini plans to wage war on Church of Scientology: ‘She will call Tom Cruise as a witness’ – New York Post

  1. How Leah Remini plans to wage war on Church of Scientology: ‘She will call Tom Cruise as a witness’ New York Post
  2. Leah Remini, Vocal Scientology Critic, Files Suit Against Church The New York Times
  3. Leah Remini Claims She Received This Astonishing Punishment for Her Behavior at Tom Cruise & Katie Holmes’ Wedding Yahoo Entertainment
  4. Leah Remini branded ‘bigot’ and ‘horrible person’ by Church of Scientology following ‘ludicrous’ lawsuit Toronto Sun
  5. Scientology Fired Back At Leah Remini Amidst Lawsuit: ‘She Should Consider Emigrating To Russia’ CinemaBlend
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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‘I haven’t been the same since’: This TikToker was shocked to find out that Buc-ee’s pays janitors the same wage as her office job — why the demand for blue collar work is soaring – Yahoo Finance

  1. ‘I haven’t been the same since’: This TikToker was shocked to find out that Buc-ee’s pays janitors the same wage as her office job — why the demand for blue collar work is soaring Yahoo Finance
  2. Woman Joins Burger King Because It Pays $16/Hr, Finds Out She’ll Earn Almost $3 Less A Week After Bored Panda
  3. This Woman Says Her “Daily Pay” System at Work Is a Trap and She’s Getting Less Money Than She Thought Twisted Sifter
  4. ‘im going to work at 3’: Worker says she was let go at 9am. Then she got another interview at noon. She went straight to her new job from there The Daily Dot
  5. TikToker Was Shocked to Find Out That Buc-Ee’s Pays Janitors the Same Wage As Her Office Job — Why The Demand For Blue Collar Work Is Soaring MoneyWise

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Walmart raises minimum wage as retail labor market remains tight

An employee arranges beauty product gift boxes displayed for sale at a Wal-Mart Stores Inc. location in Los Angeles, California.

Patrick T. Fallon | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Walmart said Tuesday that it is raising its minimum wage for store employees to $14 an hour, representing a roughly 17% jump for the workers who stock shelves and cater to customers.

Starting in early March, store employees will make between $14 and $19 an hour. They currently earn between $12 and $18 an hour, according to Walmart spokeswoman Anne Hatfield.

With the move, the retailer’s U.S. average wage is expected to be more than $17.50, Walmart U.S. CEO John Furner said in an employee-wide memo on Tuesday.

About 340,000 store employees will get a raise because of the move, Hatfield said. That amounts to a pay increase for roughly 21% of Walmart’s 1.6 million employees.

The retail giant, which is the country’s largest private employer, is hiking pay at an interesting moment. Some economists are calling for a recession. Prominent tech companies, media organizations and banks, including Google, Amazon and Goldman Sachs, have laid off thousands of employees and set off alarm bells. And weaker sales trends have prompted retailers, including Macy’s and Lululemon, to recently warn investors about a tougher year ahead.

But so far, retailers have largely avoided job cuts. Instead, they are still grappling with a tight labor market.

Retail, compared with other industries, tends to have higher churn than other industries — which allows employers to manage their headcount by slowing the backfilling of jobs said Gregory Daco, chief economist for EY Parthenon, the global strategy consulting arm of Ernst & Young.

Yet he said retailers may also be planning cautiously. For the past 18 months, they have had to work harder to recruit and retain workers. If they lose too many employees, he said, hiring and training new employees can be costly.

“Any retailer is going to have to think carefully and think twice about laying off a good share of their workforce,” he said.

In Walmart’s employee memo, Furner said the wage hike will be part of many employees’ annual increases. Some of those pay increases will also go toward store employees who work in parts of the country where the labor market is more competitive, the company said.

Walmart is sweetening other perks to attract and retain employees, too. Furner said the company is adding more college degrees and certificates to its Live Better U program, which covers tuition and fees for part- and full-time workers. It is also creating more high-paid roles at its auto care centers and recruiting employees to become truck drivers, a job that can pay up to $110,000 in the first year. 

This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

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Hiring, Wage Gains Eased in December, Pointing to a Cooling Labor Market in 2023

The U.S. labor market is losing momentum as hiring and wage growth cooled in December, showing the effects of slower economic growth and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate increases.

After two straight years of record-setting payroll growth following the pandemic-related disruptions, the labor market is starting to show signs of stress. That suggests 2023 could bring slower hiring or outright job declines as the overall economy slows or tips into recession.

Employers added 223,000 jobs in December, the smallest gain in two years, the Labor Department said Friday. Average hourly earnings were up 4.6% in December from the previous year, the narrowest increase since mid-2021, and down from a March peak of 5.6%.

All told, employers added 4.5 million jobs in 2022, the second-best year of job creation after 2021, when the labor market rebounded from Covid-19 shutdowns and added 6.7 million jobs. Last year’s gains were concentrated in the first seven months of the year. More recent data and a wave of tech and finance-industry layoffs suggest the labor market, while still vibrant, is cooling.

“I do expect the economy to slow noticeably by June, and in the second half of the year we’ll see a greater pace of slowing if not outright contraction,” said

Joe Brusuelas,

chief economist at RSM U.S.

Friday’s report sent markets rallying as investors anticipated it would cause the Fed to slow its pace of rate increases. The central bank’s next policy meeting starts Jan. 31. The Fed’s aggressive rate increases aimed at combating inflation didn’t significantly cool 2022 hiring, but revisions to wage growth showed recent gains weren’t as brisk as previously thought.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 700.53 points, or 2.13%, on Friday. The S&P 500 Index was up 2.28% and NASDAQ Composite Index advanced 2.56%. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield declined 0.15 percentage point to 3.57%. Yields fall as bond prices rise.

The unemployment rate fell to 3.5% in December from 3.6% in November, matching readings earlier in 2022 and just before the pandemic began as a half-century low. Fed officials said last month the jobless rate would rise in 2023. December job gains were led by leisure and hospitality, healthcare and construction.

Historically low unemployment and solid hiring, however, might mask some signs of weakness. The labor force participation rate, which measures the share of adults working or looking for work, rose slightly to 62.3% in December but is still well below prepandemic levels, one possible factor that could make it harder for employers to fill open positions.

The average workweek has declined over the past two years and in December stood at 34.3 hours, the lowest since early 2020.

Hiring in temporary help services has fallen by 111,000 over the past five months, with job losses accelerating. That could be a sign that employers, faced with slowing demand, are reducing their employees’ hours and pulling back from temporary labor to avoid laying off workers.

The tech-heavy information sector lost 5,000 jobs in December, the Labor Department report showed. Retail saw a 9,000 rise in payrolls, snapping three straight months of declines.

Tech companies cut more jobs in 2022 than they did at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, according to layoffs.fyi, which tracks industry job cuts. On Wednesday,

Salesforce Inc.

said it would cut 10% of its workforce, unwinding a hiring spree during the pandemic. The Wall Street Journal reported that

Amazon.com Inc.

would lay off 18,000 people, roughly 1.2% of its total workforce. Other companies, such as

Facebook

parent

Meta Platforms Inc.,

DoorDash Inc.

and

Snap Inc.,

have also recently cut positions.

Companies in the interest-rate-sensitive housing and finance sectors, including

Redfin Corp.

,

Morgan Stanley

and

Goldman Sachs Group Inc.,

have also moved to reduce staff.


Months where overall jobs gained

Months where overall jobs declined

By the end of 2022, the U.S. had added nearly 2 million jobs since the end of 2019

More than 20 million jobs were lost near the start of the pandemic

Employment returns to prepandemic level

A monthly gain of more than 4 million jobs

Months where

overall jobs gained

Months where

overall jobs declined

By the end of 2022, the U.S. had added nearly 2 million jobs since the end of 2019

More than 20 million jobs were lost near the start of the pandemic

Employment returns to prepandemic level

A monthly gain of more than 4 million jobs

Months where

overall jobs gained

Months where

overall jobs declined

By the end of 2022, the U.S. had added nearly 2 million jobs since the end of 2019

More than 20 million jobs were lost near the start of the pandemic

Employment returns to prepandemic level

A monthly gain of more than 4 million jobs

Months where

overall jobs gained

Months where

overall jobs declined

By the end of 2022, the U.S. had added nearly 2 million jobs since the end of 2019

More than 20 million jobs were lost near the start of the pandemic

Employment returns to prepandemic level

A monthly gain of more than 4 million jobs

Months where

overall jobs gained

Months where

overall jobs declined

By the end of 2022, the U.S. had added nearly 2 million jobs since the end of 2019

More than 20 million jobs were lost near the start of the pandemic

Employment returns to prepandemic level

A monthly gain of more than 4 million jobs

Other data released this week point to a slowing U.S. economy. New orders for manufactured goods fell a seasonally adjusted 1.8% in November, the Commerce Department said Friday. Business surveys showed a contraction in economic activity in December, according to the Institute for Supply Management. Manufacturing firms posted the second-straight contraction following 29 months of expansion, and services firms snapped 30 straight months of growth in December.

Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal last fall saw a 63% probability of a U.S. recession in 2023. They saw the unemployment rate rising to 4.7% by December 2023.

“We’ve obviously been in a situation over the past few months where employment growth has been holding up surprisingly well and is slowing very gradually,” said

Andrew Hunter,

senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics. “There are starting to be a few signs that we’re maybe starting to see a bit more of a sharp deterioration.”

Max Rottersman, a 61-year-old independent software developer, said he had been very busy with consulting jobs during much of the pandemic. But that changed over the summer when work suddenly dried up.

“I’m very curious to see whether I’m in high demand in the next few months or whether—what I sort of expect will happen—there will be tons of firing,” he said.

Despite some signs of cooling, the labor market remains exceptionally strong. On Wednesday, the Labor Department reported that there were 10.5 million job openings at the end of November, unchanged from October, well more than the number of unemployed Americans seeking work.

Some of those open jobs are at Caleb Rice’s home-renovation business in Calhoun, Tenn., which has been consistently busy since the start of the pandemic. The small company has raised pay and gone to a four-day week in an effort to hold on to workers.

“If I could get three more skilled hands right now, I’d be comfortable,” Mr. Rice said. “The way it goes is I’ll hire five, two will show up and of those two one won’t be worth a flip.”

Fed officials have been trying to engineer a gradual cooling of the labor market by raising interest rates. Officials are worried that a too-strong labor market could lead to more rapid wage increases, which in turn could put upward pressure on inflation as firms raise prices to offset higher labor costs.

The central bank raised rates at each of its past seven meetings and has signaled more rate increases this year to bring inflation down from near 40-year highs. Fed officials will likely take comfort in the slowdown in wage gains, which could prompt them to raise rates at a slower pace, Mr. Brusuelas, the economist, said.

“We’re closer to the peak in the Fed policy rate than we were prior to the report, and the Fed can strongly consider a further slowing in the pace of its hikes,” he said. “We could plausibly see a 25-basis-point hike versus a 50-basis-point hike at the Feb. 1 meeting.”

Write to David Harrison at david.harrison@wsj.com

Corrections & Amplifications
A graphic in an earlier version of this article showing the change in nonfarm payrolls since the end of 2019 was incorrectly labeled as change since January 2020. (Corrected on Jan. 6)

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Bayonetta’s Original Voice Actor Disputes Claims, Says She Only Asked For ‘A Fair, Living Wage’

Image: Bayonetta 3

Hellena Taylor, the original voice actor for PlatinumGames’ Bayonetta and one of the parties at the centre of a prolonged and messy public dispute over casting and wages, has tonight issued a new statement addressing allegations that have been made against her over the past week.

The saga, which has seen claims of underpayment made, voice actors abused and a prominent developer temporarily disappear from Twitter, began when Taylor made a series of recent videos in which she accused PlatinumGames of offering her an insultingly-low pay offer to reprise her role as Bayonetta for the upcoming third game.

The role was subsequently given to Jennifer Hale—who has issued her own statements—while a Bloomberg report said PlatinumGames had originally offered to pay Taylor somewhere between $3,000 and $4,000 per four-hour session for at least five recording sessions, for a total of at least $15,000. It’s then said that when Taylor instead asked for a “six-figure sum” to voice the character, negotiations broke down.

Tonight, Taylor wrote a series of Tweets disputing some of the figures in these reports, saying:

It has come to my attention that some people are calling me a liar and golddigger. I feel the need to defend myself and my reputation in the industry.

As I posted on part three of my video thread. I explained that their first offer was too low. That offer was 10,000 dollars total. Remember, this is 450 million dollar franchise, (not counting merchandise.) I then wrote in Japanese to Hideki Kamiya, asking for what I was worth. I thought that as a creative, he would understand. He replied saying how much he valued my contribution to the game and how much the fans wanted me to voice the game. I was then offered an extra 5,0000! [Note: it appears this is a typo, and that Taylor means 5,000]

So, I declined to voice the game. I then heard nothing from them for 11 months. They then offered me a flat fee to voice some lines for 4,000 dollars. Any other lies, such as 4,000 for 5 sessions are total fabrications.

There were not “extensive negotiations.” I’ve also been informed of ridiculous fictions, such as I asked for 250,000 dollars. I am a team player. I was just asking for a fair, living wage in line with the value that I bring to this game.

I was paid a shockingly low total of £3000 total for the first game. A little more for the second. I wanted to voice her. I have drummed up interest in this game ever since I started on Twitter in 2011.



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Wage inflation, used car prices could jump higher: Jim Bianco

Washington’s efforts to curb inflation will fall short particularly this year, according to market forecaster Jim Bianco.

And, he believes this week’s key inflation data will help prove it.

“I don’t see anything that will reduce the inflation rate. There are some things that might reduce prescription drug prices and maybe a couple of other things,” the Bianco Research president told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Monday. “But will that bring down CPI? Will that bring down core CPI to a point where we can actually start pricing that in? No, I don’t think so.”

The government releases its Consumer Price Index [CPI], which tracks prices people pay for goods and services, for July this Wednesday. Dow Jones expects the number to come in at 8.7%, down 0.4% from June. The headline number includes energy and food, unlike Core CPI. On Thursday, the government releases its Producer Price Index [PPI].

Bianco contends peak inflation may still be ahead.

“Inflation is persistent. Is it going to stay 9.1%? Probably not. But it might settle down into a 4%, 5% or 6% range,” he said. “What does that mean? We’re going to need a 5% or 6% funds rate, if that’s where inflation is going to settle.”

There’s no near-term solution, according to Bianco. As long as wage numbers come in hot, he warns inflation will continue to grip the economy.

“Wage inflation, from what we saw in the report on Friday, is at 5.2% [year-to-year], and it’s looking pretty sticky there,” Bianco said. “If we have 5% wages, you can pay 5% inflation. So, it’s not going to go much below wages. We need to get wages down to 2% in order to get inflation down to 2% and wages aren’t moving right now.”

‘If you’re not going to pay extra for that car, then you’re going to have to walk’

Bianco lists used car prices as a major example of relentless inflation. He believes high sticker prices won’t meaningfully budge for months due to demand, supply chain issues and chip shortages forcing automakers to reduce features in new cars.

“If you’re not going to pay extra for that car, then you’re going to have to walk because that’s the only way you’re going to get a ride right now,” said Bianco.

According to the CarGurus index, the average price for a used car is $30,886, up 0.2% over the past 90 days and 10.5% year-over-year.

“Used car prices in the last 18 months have actually outperformed cryptocurrencies,” he added .”It’s been one of the best investments that people can have.”

Bianco expects the Inflation Reduction Act, which was passed by the Senate this weekend, would have a negligible impact if it’s enacted.

“A lot of this stuff doesn’t kick in for another couple of more years,” Bianco said. “In a world where we want to know what the Fed is going to do in September and when inflation is going to peak, those are ’22, ’23 stories. Those are going to continue to dominate the markets.”

The House is expected to vote Friday on the legislation.

Disclaimer

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Strong Wage and Jobs Growth Keeps Fed on Track for Big Rate Increase

A surprisingly robust June employment report reinforced that America’s labor market remains historically strong even as recession warnings reach a fever pitch. But that development, while good news for the Biden administration, is likely to keep the Federal Reserve on its aggressive path of interest rate increases as it tries to cool the economy and slow inflation.

Today’s world of rapid price increases is a complicated one for economic policymakers, who are worried that an overheating job market could exacerbate persistent inflation. Instead of viewing roaring demand for labor as an unmitigated good, they are hoping to engineer a gradual and controlled slowdown in hiring and wage growth, both of which remain unusually strong.

Friday’s report offered early signs that the desired cooling is taking hold as both job gains and pay increases moderated slightly. But hiring and earnings remained solid enough to reinforce the view among Fed officials that the labor market, like much of the economy, is out of whack: Employers still want far more workers than are available.

The new data will likely keep central bankers on track to make another supersize rate increase at their meeting later this month as they try to restrain consumer and business spending and force the economy back into balance.

“We’re starting to see those first signs of slowdown, which is what we need,” Raphael Bostic, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, said in a CNBC interview after the report was released. Still, he called the wage data “only slightly” reassuring and said that “we’re starting to inch in the right direction, but there’s still a lot more to do, and a lot more we’ll have to see.”

Fed officials began to raise interest rates from nearly zero in March in an attempt to make borrowing of many kinds more expensive. Last month, the central bank lifted its policy rate by 0.75 percentage points, the largest single increase since 1994.

Central bankers typically adjust their policy only in quarter-point increments, but they have been picking up the pace as inflation proves disturbingly rapid and stubborn. While Fed policymakers have said they will debate a move between 0.5 or 0.75 percentage points at their meeting on July 26 and 27, a chorus of officials have in recent days said they would support a second 0.75 percentage point move given the speed of inflation and strength of the job market.

As the Fed tries to tap the brakes on the economy, Wall Street economists have warned that it may instead slam it into a recession — and the Biden administration has been fending off declarations that one is already arriving. A slump in overall growth data, a pullback in the housing market and a slowdown in factory orders have been fueling concern that America is on the brink of a downturn.

The employment data powerfully contradicted that narrative, because a shrinking economy typically does not add jobs, let alone at the current brisk pace.

Mr. Biden celebrated the report on Friday, saying that “our critics said the economy was too weak” but that “we still added more jobs in the past three months than any administration in nearly 40 years.”

Private sector voices concurred that the employment report showed an economy that did not appear to be tanking.

“Wage growth remains elevated and rates of job loss are low,” Nick Bunker, economic research director at the job website Indeed, wrote in a reaction note. “We’ll see another recession some day, but today is not that day.”

The contradictory moment in the economy — with prices rising fast, economic growth contracting and the unemployment rate hovering near a 50-year low — has posed a challenge for Mr. Biden, who has struggled to convey sympathy for consumers struggling with higher prices while seeking credit for the strength of the jobs recovery.

Mr. Biden’s approval ratings have slumped as price growth has accelerated. Confidence has taken an especially pronounced battering in recent months amid rising gas prices, which topped $5 a gallon on average earlier this summer.

On Friday, Mr. Biden emphasized that fighting inflation was his top economic priority while also praising recent job market progress.

“I know times are tough,” Mr. Biden said, speaking in public remarks. “Prices are too high. Families are facing a cost-of-living crunch. But today’s economic news confirms the fact that my economic plan is moving this country in a better direction.”

But unfortunately for the administration and for workers across America, tackling high prices will probably come at some cost to the labor market.

As price increases bedevil consumers at the gas pump and in the grocery aisle, the Fed believes that it needs to bring inflation under control swiftly in order to set the economy on a path toward healthy and sustainable growth.

The Fed’s tool to achieve that positive long-term outcome works by causing short-term economic pain. By making money expensive to borrow, the central bank can slow down home buying and business expansions, which will in turn slow hiring and wage increases. As companies and families have fewer dollars to spend, the theory goes, demand will come into better alignment with supply and prices will stop rocketing higher.

Officials expect unemployment to eventually tick up as rate increases bite and the economy weakens, though they are hoping that it will only rise slightly.

Fed policymakers are still hoping to engineer what they often call a “soft landing,” in which hiring and pay gains slow gradually, but without plunging the economy into a painful recession.

But pulling it off will not be easy — and officials are willing to clamp down harder if that is what it takes to tame inflation.

“Price stability is absolutely essential for the economy to achieve its potential and sustain maximum employment over the medium term,” John C. Williams, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, said in a speech in Puerto Rico on Friday. “I want to be clear: This is not an easy task. We must be resolute, and we cannot fall short.”

Stocks fell after the release of the employment numbers, likely because investors saw them as a sign that the Fed would continue constraining the economy.

“The tremendous momentum in the economy to me suggests that we can move at 75 basis points at the next meeting and not see a lot of protracted damage to the broader economy,” Mr. Bostic said Friday.

Fed officials are closely watching wage data in particular. Average hourly earnings climbed by 5.1 percent in the year through June, down slightly from 5.3 percent the prior month. Wages for non-managers climbed by a swift 6.4 percent from a year earlier.

While that pace of increase is slowing somewhat, it is still much higher than normal — and could keep inflation elevated if it persists, as employers charge more to cover climbing labor costs.

“Wages are not principally responsible for the inflation that we’re seeing, but going forward, they would be very important, particularly in the service sector,” Jerome H. Powell, the Fed chair, said at his news conference in June.

“If you don’t have price stability, the economy’s really not going to work the way it’s supposed to,” he added later. “It won’t work for people — their wages will be eaten up.”

Inflation has been above the Fed’s target for more than a year. The Personal Consumption Expenditures index measure excluding food and energy prices, which the Fed monitors for a sense of underlying inflation trends, climbed 4.7 percent in the year through May.

And that is the least dramatic of the major inflation measures. Prices climbed by 8.6 percent in the year through May as measured by the Consumer Price Index, and the June number, set for release next week, may show further pickup.

Central bankers are increasingly worried that high costs are going to seep into consumer inflation expectations, making price gains harder to stamp out. Once workers and businesses start to believe that prices will climb rapidly year after year, they may change their behavior, seeking bigger wage increases and more regular price adjustments. That could make inflation a more permanent feature of the American economy.

The Fed wants to prevent that outcome. If it raises rates by 0.75 percentage points this month, it would bring interest rates to a range of 2.25 to 2.5 percent, and officials have signaled that they will likely push up borrowing costs by another percentage point by the end of the year.

“Supply and demand will be brought back into balance, and inflation will return to our 2 percent longer-run goal,” Mr. Williams said. “This may take some time and may well be a bumpy road.”

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