Tag Archives: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)

U.S. stock futures rise ahead of last trading week of 2022

U.S. stock futures rose Monday night, ahead of the final trading week of 2022.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures
YM00,
+0.44%
gained more than 150 points, or 0.5%, as of 11 p.m. Eastern. S&P 500 futures
ES00,
+0.59%
and Nasdaq-100 futures
NQ00,
+0.71%
were also logging solid gains, indicating positive market moves when regular trading resumes Tuesday from the three-day Christmas holiday.

Oil prices rose
CL.1,
+0.85%,
as the U.S. Dollar Index
DXY,
-0.30%
slipped.

Last week, the Dow gained nearly 1%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell for a third straight week.

See more: What to expect for the stock market in 2023 after the biggest decline since the financial crisis

On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average 
DJIA,
+0.53%
rose 176.44 points, or 0.5%, to close at 33,203.93. The S&P 500 
SPX,
+0.59%
 gained 22.43 points, or 0.6%, finishing at 3,844.82, for a weekly decline of 0.2%. The Nasdaq Composite 
COMP,
+0.21%
 closed at 10,497.86, up 6.85 points, or 0.4%. For the week, the Nasdaq fell 1.9%.

Friday marked the start of the so-called Santa Claus rally period — the final five trading days of the calendar year and the first two trading days of the new year. That stretch has, on average, produced gains for stocks, but failure to do so is often read as a negative indicator.

Read more: How a Santa Claus rally, or lack thereof, sets the stage for the stock market in first quarter

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U.S. stocks push higher as Powell sees path back to 2% inflation while sustaining strong labor market

U.S. stock indexes pushed higher after a wobbly start Wednesday, leaving Wall Street potentially on to gain ground after back-to-back losses, as investors tune in to remarks by central bankers while fretting that soaring inflation is damaging the world’s biggest economy.

How are stock indexes trading?
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.12%
     was up 196 points, or 0.6%, at 31,143.
  • The S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.23%
     traded up 15 points, or 0.4%, at 3,836.
  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.43%
    gained 42 points, or 0.4%, to 11,223.

On Tuesday, the Dow fell 491.27 points, or 1.6%. The S&P 500 fell 2% and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 3%. All three booked their worst daily percentage declines since June 16, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

What’s driving markets?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday at a European Central Bank forum on central banking that he sees a path back to 2% inflation while sustaining strong labor market, but warned there was “no guarantee that we can do that.”

Investors were also listening to remarks from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, Bank of England Gov. Andrew Bailey and Augustin Carstens, head of Bank for International Settlements, to speak at speak at the same conference.

On U.S. economic data, the first-quarter GDP was revised to show an 1.6% decline, compared with the prior 1.5% drop.

Equities were limping toward the end of a miserable first half of the year. The S&P 500 is down 19.6% so far in 2022, hit by concerns that inflation rates at multidecade highs are badly damaging household sentiment and that the Federal Reserve’s response to surging prices may tip the economy into recession.

Read: What’s next for the stock market after the worst 1st half since 1970? Here’s the history.

On Tuesday, the Conference Board’s consumer-confidence index dropped in June to a 16-month low of 98.7, with consumers’ outlook on the state of the economy at the most cautious in nearly 10 years. The news helped turn early gains for Wall Steet into heavy losses, with the Nasdaq Composite shedding 3%, leaving the tech-heavy index nursing a loss of 28% for the year to date.

“Last week, U.S. equity markets rallied on the back of the arcane logic that a U.S. recession would mean a lower terminal Fed funds rates and thus, was bullish for stocks… That premise was boosted by weak Michigan Consumer Sentiment data,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA, in a note to clients.

See: Wall Street’s favorite stock sector has potential upside of 43% as we enter the second half of 2022

On Tuesday, “even weaker U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence data provoked the opposite reaction, with U.S. stocks plummeting,” he added.

Wall Steet’s dive left Asian and European bourses floundering. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng
HSI,
-1.88%
fell 2% and the Nikkei 225
NIK,
-0.91%
in Japan slipped 0.9%. China’s Shanghai Composite
SHCOMP,
-1.40%
shed 1.4% after President Xi Jinping reiterated that the regime’s strict COVID-19 policy was “correct and effective.”

The comments added to worries that supply constraints in China could exacerbate global inflationary pressures. And such concerns were illustrated in Spain on Wednesday, where data showed prices rising by 10.2% in June, their fastest pace in 37 years. Europe’s Stoxx 600
SXXP,
-0.41%
fell 0.8%.

Oil prices crept higher, with WTI crude
CL.1,
+1.61%,
up 1.5% to $113.41 a barrel.

The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note
TMUBMUSD10Y,
3.135%
eased 1.3 basis points to 3.167%.

Companies in focus
  • Shares of Pinterest Inc.
    PINS,
    -2.36%
    rose 0.2% after the social-media company said co-founder Ben Silbermann is stepping down as chief executive and is being replaced by an e-commerce executive from Google.
  • Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.
    BBBY,
    -22.21%
    shares fell 18.7% after it announced disappointing fiscal first-quarter results and the ouster of its chief executive, Mark Tritton.
  • General Mills Inc.
    GIS,
    +5.31%
    shares rose 4.7% after beating quarterly expectations. The company posted fourth-quarter net income of $822.8 million, or $1.35 per share, nearly double $416.8 million, or 68 cents per share, last year. Adjusted EPS of $1.12, ahead of the FactSet consensus for $1.01 per share. 
Other assets
  • The ICE U.S. Dollar Index
    DXY,
    +0.30%
     edged down 0.01%.
  • Bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    -1.04%
     fell 4.6% to trade near $20,120.
  • August gold futures
    GCQ22,
    -0.12%
    gained $6.30, or 0.4%, to settle at $1,827.90 an ounce.

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U.S. stocks struggle for direction as opening gains fizzle despite strong durables data

U.S. stocks struggled for direction Monday afternoon, trading near unchanged, as investors weighed stronger-than-expected data on durable-goods orders against expectations for a slowing economy that could limit the magnitude of Federal Reserve rate increases.

What’s happening
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.09%
    was almost unchanged at 31,503.
  • The S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.01%
    was down 4 points, or 0.1%, at 3,907.
  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.35%
    shed 71 points, or 0.6%, at 11,537.

Last week, the S&P 500 jumped 6% to snap a three-week losing run. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 5% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 7%.

What’s driving markets

Stocks struggled to hang on to gains after data showed U.S. durable-goods orders rose by 0.7% in May, versus forecasts for a 0.2% rise, and pending home sales rebounded last month, reversing a six-month decline. Investors were caught between recession and inflation fears.

“Stocks can’t win right now, either the economic data softens and the economy is much weaker than we thought or robust readings pave the way for the Fed to be more aggressive with their inflation fight,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a note.

Stocks had bounced last week in a move analysts credited to expectations a slowing economy could see the Federal Reserve hike rates less aggressively than previously expected. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell warned lawmakers that achieving a so-called soft landing for the economy as the Fed tightens interest rates would be “very challenging.”

JPMorgan quantitative strategist Marko Kolanovic published a note saying the market could rise 7% this week, due to the need for portfolios to rebalance as the month, quarter and first-half closes. That effect already played out near the end of the first quarter, and near the end of May.

“The S&P 500 is nearly 8% up from its lows at the start of the month and rallied 3% on Friday,” according to analysts at ING, in a Monday note. “Helping the rally has no doubt been last week’s repricing of tightening cycles around the world where 25-50 basis points of expected tightening were removed from some money market curves in just a few days. Driving that pricing seemed to be the much broader discussion — including from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell — over the risks of recession.”

Strategists at Credit Suisse say bond yields may have seen their peak, particularly for Treasury-inflation protected securities, which in turn means the dollar
DXY,
-0.34%
 is close to its summit. They say their lead indicators are consistent with 0% GDP growth, as evidenced by the collapse in housing affordability, the weakness of corporate confidence and the weakness in the employment gauge of the Institute for Supply Management manufacturing index.

Group of Seven economic powers are meeting in Germany where they expect to announce an agreement on a price cap on Russian oil.

Companies in focus
  • Frontier Airlines parent Frontier Group Holdings Inc.
    ULCC,
    -11.01%
    issued a letter to Spirit Airlines Inc.
    SAVE,
    -7.55%
    shareholders, urging them to support the air carriers’ agreed upon merger deal. In the letter, Frontier Chairman William Franke and Chief Executive Barry Biffle said the recently amended Frontier-Spirit deal offers Spirit shareholders value “well in excess” of JetBlue Airways Corp.’s
    JBLU,
    +1.86%
    “illusory proposal, which lacks any realistic likelihood of obtaining regulatory approval.” Frontier shares fell more than10%, while Spirit shares dropped 8% and JetBlue shares gained 1.3%.
Other assets
  • The yield on the 10-year Treasury note
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.186%
    rose 4 basis points to 3.166%. Yields and debt prices move opposite each other.
  • The ICE U.S. Dollar Index
    DXY,
    -0.34%
    edged down 0.4%.
  • Bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    -3.09%
    fell 3.4% to trade near $20,675.
  • Oil futures traded higher in choppy trade, with the U.S. benchmark
    CL.1,
    +2.24%
    up 1.3% near $109.04 a barrel. Gold
    GC00,
    -0.21%
    was off 0.2% below $1,827 an ounce.
  • The Stoxx Europe 600
    SXXP,
    +0.52%
    finished 0.5% higher, while London’s FTSE 100
    UKX,
    +0.69%
    gained 0.7%.
  • The Shanghai Composite
    SHCOMP,
    +0.88%
    ended 0.9% higher, while the Hang Seng Index
    HSI,
    +2.35%
    jumped 2.4% and Japan’s Nikkei 225
    NIK,
    +1.43%
    rose 1.4%.

— Steve Goldstein contributed to this article.

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