The NFL’s Tennessee Titans delayed its scheduled noon CT game by an hour due to rolling blackouts in the region, which have since ended, stemming from the winter storm and brutal cold.
“Due to the extreme weather and power outages affecting our region, kickoff for today’s game has been postponed one hour to 1 p.m. CT,” the Titans said in a statement.
“This decision was made in partnership with the NFL, Office of Emergency Management, Nashville Electric Service and the Mayor’s Office in an abundance of caution to ensure that the game would not negatively impact our community in any way. We are exploring every possibility to minimize non-essential power around the stadium.”
The Titans (7-7), losers of four straight games, began their game against the Houston Texans (1-12-1) at Nissan Stadium in Nashville at 1 p.m. CT. The temperature was 22 degrees at kickoff, making it the coldest game in Nissan Stadium history, according to the CBS broadcast.
The Tennessee Valley Authority, the federally owned electric utility company that powers seven states in the region, had directed local power companies to reduce their power load for periods on Friday and Saturday due to weather-related record-high demand and power generation issues.
Chief Operating Officer Don Moul said the agency “lost some generation” due to the extreme cold and high winds, and the authority urged residents to conserve power. Still, the TVA said Saturday it supplied more power in the past 24 hours than at any other time in its history.
The authority ended the rolling blackouts midday Saturday after temperatures rose slightly and the power system’s conditions improved, the TVA said.
“We recognize that these planned temporary disruptions are a challenge, but it was needed to maintain grid stability for 10 million people across seven states,” the authority said. “Thank you for doing your part, conserving energy, and helping us manage this extreme weather event.”
On Saturday morning, local power companies said that they were directed to interrupt power for short spurts. CDE Lightband, a power company out of Clarksville, Tennessee, said the TVA told it to interrupt power in 15-minute intervals.
Similarly, the Nashville Electric Service told customers Saturday morning to expect “rotating, intermittent power outages” in about 10-minute increments every one-and-a-half to two hours.
Amid the blackouts, Nashville Mayor John Cooper had urged the Titans to postpone their game, saying that “all non-essential businesses should reduce power usage.” He issued a follow-up tweet saying he appreciated the decision to delay the game an hour.
In general, prolonged cold snaps can overwhelm the power grid by simultaneously knocking out power supply and causing a sharp increase in demand as residents turn up the heat. For example, in Texas in February 2021, a winter storm and lengthy cold period caused mass outages in areas served by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, leaving millions of residents in the cold and dark for nearly a week.
The TVA informed residents on Friday there would be rolling blackouts due to the winter storm, though that directive was later rescinded.
Memphis Mayor Jim Strickland told CNN on Friday hospitals and medical offices were exempt. The TVA did not anticipate the extent of the situation prior to the storm, he said.
“This is a real struggle. This has never happened in my lifetime, this hasn’t happened in Memphis in at least 50 years,” Strickland said Friday.
On Saturday morning, he said the rolling blackouts across Memphis impacted more than 50,000 people for about 30 to 60 minutes at a time, likely two to three times per day.
“TVA has always prided itself on reliability. This is the first time TVA has required rolling blackouts,” Strickland told CNN. “It’s going to take a deeper dive into the reasons this happened.”
Strickland said that temperatures are not expected to rise above 32 degrees Fahrenheit for at least the next two days.
The outages and rolling blackouts have affected much of the US, particularly the Southeast.
As of 11 a.m. ET Saturday, Tennessee has about 250,000 customers without power, and North Carolina has over 380,000 customers without power, according to the website PowerOutage.US. In Davidson County, Tennessee, which includes Nashville, more than 60% of customers were without power, the site says.
Duke Energy, the electric power company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, on Saturday morning announced “emergency outages” as extremely cold temperature drive unusually high energy demand across the Carolinas.
“We have begun short, temporary power outages. These emergency outages are necessary to protect the energy grid against longer, more widespread outages. We appreciate your patience,” the energy provider said in a tweet.
The NFL is so volatile, not even Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers can count on winning this season.
The New York Giants and New York Jets tied for the league’s worst record over the previous five seasons, but both will take winning records into Thanksgiving, despite rough outings Sunday. The Minnesota Vikings, humbled 40-3 at home by Dallas, are nonetheless 8-2 and running away with the NFC North after some thought they should have blown up their roster to initiate a rebuild.
So volatile is the league that teams over the past couple seasons have gone all-in to acquire Matthew Stafford, Deshaun Watson, Tyreek Hill, Russell Wilson, Carson Wentz, A.J. Brown and others.
Through all this tumult, only two teams have winning records this season and in each of the previous four: the Kansas City Chiefs, who would have been your first guess, and the Tennessee Titans, who have outperformed oddsmakers’ preseason expectations every year under coach Mike Vrabel and crushed the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field to kick off Week 11.
The Pick Six column leads this week by revealing from league sources and research what other teams can learn from the 7-3 Vrabel-led Titans, who maximize their chances for winning through tactics available to everyone, but rarely discussed or even noticed.
“They are New England 2.0,” a rival coach said of the Titans.
The full Pick Six menu this week:
• What your team can learn from Titans • Commanders’ defense transcends Sunday • Bench Zach Wilson? He’s 41st out of 41 • Great day for Lions, now and in future • Jerry, can the Cowboys handle success? • Two-minute drill: Browns, Raiders, Broncos
1. The Titans own the NFL’s fifth-best record since Vrabel became head coach in 2018. That includes 29-19 (.604) outside the AFC South and 41-21 vs. teams that had winning records. Here’s how they keep proving skeptics wrong.
Some coaches call plays. Not Vrabel. He coaches the entire team and focuses on gaining competitive edges in critical moments.
Because of the Titans, the league closed a loophole that Vrabel exploited against New England in the 2019 playoffs when Tennessee, leading 14-13 with 6:39 remaining, incurred intentional penalties to drain the clock to 4:44 without running a play. Tennessee won other games after taking intentional penalties while seeking competitive advantages. The Titans also are known for being better than others at laying on offensive players during two-minute situations, and for incurring well-timed injuries to defensive players, which opponents see as buying time for defenders to regroup.
There is more than that beneath the surface.
“They are not known for analytics at all, but in terms of difference-making plays in crucial situations and coaching it better, they have won multiple games off stuff they have done situationally, tactically,” an exec from another team said on the condition of anonymity for competitive reasons.
When Vrabel gave his acceptance speech in February after winning Coach of the Year at the NFL Honors Show, he thanked the people coaches of the year typically thank — the team owner, his own family, players and assistant coaches. There was one conspicuous addition.
Before Vrabel acknowledged Titans players and coaches, he nodded toward a very important person in the audience and said, “I want to thank Stretch,” even though nobody outside a tight circle of NFL insiders had any idea who “Stretch” could have been.
John “Stretch” Streicher is the Titans’ football development coordinator. He is Vrabel’s answer to Ernie Adams, the retired Patriots researcher and strategist Bill Belichick said he “leaned heavily on” for decades. Adams’ role in New England became mystical as opponents suspected the Patriots of stretching or outright breaking rules to gain whatever edge they could gain.
Many teams employ staffers in Adams-type roles, but there’s evidence beyond Vrabel’s NFL Honors shout-out that Tennessee does a better job than anyone of implementing competitive advantages.
For example, the Titans under Vrabel lead the league in opponent false starts, according to TruMedia. They have drawn more of them overall, more of them on field goals and extra points, more of them on fourth-and-1, more of them when opponents were on the fringes of field-goal range, more of them inside their own 10-yard line — basically more of them when it matters most. Their defensive linemen are known among opponents for moving subtly or not so subtly — “stemming” is the parlance — to draw offensive movement in critical moments.
Nose tackle Teair Tart sometimes aligns in a stance with one knee on the ground. As the snap nears, he raises the knee off the ground, sometimes triggering movement from the offense. Fellow nose tackle Naquan Jones and other linemen sometimes shift abruptly, with similar results. The Titans have done this so well in critical situations, they lead the league in expected points added (EPA) on opponent false-start penalties since Vrabel took over, and it’s not particularly close: plus-58.5 EPA for the Titans, which is 1.5 times the league average. The Pittsburgh Steelers, who have employed more formidable outside pass-rushers, rank second since 2018 with 47.4 EPA on these opponent false starts.
The Titans account for two of the three largest EPA gainers on 2,517 regular-season opponent false starts from Vrabel’s hiring through the Titans’ victory at Green Bay. Tennessee owns four of the top 18, nine of the top 76 and 17 of the top 185. The Titans’ top four EPA gainers on opponent false starts all featured stemming, an aggressive arm wave or subtler movement by defensive linemen. That included one at Brady’s expense while the quarterback was still with the Patriots.
The Titans’ biggest EPA gainer on an opponent false start added 2.0 EPA in a 20-17 victory against the San Francisco 49ers last season. The score was 10-10 late in the third quarter when obvious stemming got the 49ers to jump on fourth-and-1 from the Tennessee 35. The 49ers went for it on fourth-and-6 from the 40, failed to convert and then watched Tennessee drive for a touchdown on its ensuing possession. The 2.0-point EPA gain was a little more than the Titans gained from completing a 16-yard touchdown pass against the Packers on first-and-10 early in the fourth quarter Thursday night. That’s adding significant value.
Tennessee opponents have said the Titans, mindful that holding is rarely called on defensive linemen, do a great job holding offensive linemen to maximize pass-rush stunts. They said the Titans have also been known to mimic opposing quarterback cadences. Both tactics became easier when the NFL relocated umpires to the offensive side of the ball.
“Every little thing you can think of to get an advantage, they have,” an opposing coach said. “Vrabel is on the competition committee. He has come from New England. He doesn’t call plays, so he can just work the officials and think of different ways to find an edge. You have to appreciate the gamesmanship and the attention to detail that they do it with.”
Vrabel’s membership on the competition committee lends itself to gaining an even firmer grasp of the rules and how to maximize advantages within them, while also giving him influence over potential changes. Earlier this season, Vrabel tweaked the league’s officiating department with a “reply-all” email to all head coaches and general managers suggesting the league focus more on getting basic officiating correct instead of drilling down on finer points of emphasis featured in weekly officiating videos.
None of this would matter much if the Titans did not do the basic things well. They play a physical brand of football rooted in some of the game’s most established fundamentals: running the ball, stopping the run, maximizing pass efficiency through the use of play-action. The offense has fallen off since the start of last season as the weaponry has declined, but the Titans are still outscoring opponents by 2.7 points per game, same as their average margin from 2018-20, because the defense has improved with an assist from Jim Schwartz’s hiring as a senior defensive assistant in 2021.
Players matter, too.
“It’s not like they are barren of talent like everyone thinks,” an exec said. “There is a toughness to Ryan Tannehill that, as maligned as he has been, he has had some really good performances. Jeffery Simmons and Denico Autry are really physical, tough players. You have Kevin Byard, one of the better safeties, and then David Long at linebacker is really coming along.”
Analysts still might question how the Titans keep winning after missing on some high-profile draft choices such as 2020 first-rounder Isaiah Wilson, while subtracting talented weapons in free agency (Jonnu Smith) and via trade (A.J. Brown), and while suffering injuries to key contributors such as left tackle Taylor Lewan and pass-rusher Harold Landry.
“Because they play complementary football, that is why,” another coach said. “If you play complementary football, you avoid the downfalls of certain jolts that come via draft picks. New England plays a lot of complementary football, but they also have six or seven guys who are special-teams only guys, guys who help them transition from one phase to the next.”
All bets on the Titans might be off if something happened to Derrick Henry, their tone-setting running back, except that Tennessee went 6-3 without him down the stretch last season while earning the AFC’s top seed.
“All their pieces work really well together,” the exec said. “What they try to do is have heavy run, great play-action. Well, Tannehill is really good under center off play-action. He is really good at throwing those in-cuts. If they are covered, he is really good at scrambling and taking off. That makes them unstoppable in the red zone when you add that to what Derrick Henry does.
“Defensively, what do they like to do? Rush four, get after you with those big guys up front and grab and hold on the back end, almost like Legion of Boom, to where officials are just sick of calling illegal contact and defensive holding. They limit turnovers on offense and create turnovers because they are stuffing the run, putting you in longer distances and playing from the back end with tight man coverage and guys being really handsy.”
It’s all pointing toward another winning season for Tennessee, which should be the expectation by now.
2. The Washington Commanders’ defense is suddenly one of the NFL’s best. Before you point out that Houston was the opponent Sunday, check this out.
Houston suffered its worst offensive game of the season (minus-18.4 EPA) against Washington. If you look at all the games Washington’s defense has played this season, a pattern emerges. No team has enjoyed better than its fifth-best offensive EPA game of the season against Washington, which is now 6-5 after winning for the fifth time in six games.
The table lays it out below. Detroit (Week 2) and Indianapolis (Week 8) enjoyed their fifth-best offensive games against the Commanders. That’s as good as it has gotten for any team against Washington. Philadelphia had its seventh- and eight-best offensive games against Washington.
The Commanders now rank ninth in defensive EPA per game, up from 25th last season. They held the Texans to five first-half yards in their 23-10 victory Sunday, the lowest total for any NFL team in a first half since the Jets held Kansas City to four in 2011 Week 14.
We know the Texans are bad on offense — really bad. But they were worse against the Commanders than they were against any other team, which reflects well on Washington. The Commanders are getting dominant play from tackles Jonathan Allen and Daron Payne. They are getting strong play from young safeties Kamren Curl and Darrick Forrest, who were late-round picks in 2020 and 2021, respectively. They unloaded unhappy cornerback William Jackson III before the trade deadline. And they could be getting an emotional boost from quarterback Taylor Heinicke, who will remain the starter after Carson Wentz’s return for obvious reasons, and because coach Ron Rivera, as a former defensive player, knows how all these things fit together.
3. Jets coach Robert Saleh said there’s zero thought about benching quarterback Zach Wilson even though the offense performed like “dog s—” in the second half Sunday. How bad is the QB situation?
The Jets, like the Commanders, have a defense that is high-performing enough to deliver victories if the offense simply doesn’t screw up the games. Unlike Washington, the Jets also have a young, highly drafted quarterback they are trying to bring along, which is why Saleh sounded adamant that Wilson would remain his starting quarterback, even after a brutal showing Sunday.
How long can this go on?
With Wilson completing 9 of 22 passes and taking four sacks during a 10-3 defeat to New England, the Jets finished the game with minus-21.4 EPA on offense. That was their worst figure of the season and third-worst in 27 games under Saleh. It was the second-worst figure for any team in Week 11, better only than Carolina’s irredeemable performance against Baltimore.
It was unsustainably bad for a team that could contend for the playoffs with even moderately below-average play from the quarterback position.
“What does more for your program, seeing Zach play a couple more weeks, or trying to squeak in the playoffs and lose the first wild-card game?” an exec from another team said. “Do you thoroughly vet him or mess around with Mike White, who has barely any starting experience?”
That’s a conversation for Saleh to have with general manager Joe Douglas. Wilson’s postgame comments about the windy conditions sounded like excuse-making. His refusal to say he let down the defense seemed clueless.
Zach Wilson was asked if he feels like he let the defense down?
“No.”
— Zack Rosenblatt (@ZackBlatt) November 20, 2022
Wilson is 20 starts into his career. He has averaged minus-0.17 EPA per pass play, which ranks last through 20 starts among 41 quarterbacks who were drafted since 2012 and have started at least 20 times. Wilson is last by a wide margin, too. Davis Mills ranks 40th at minus-0.10 EPA per pass play, with Blake Bortles just ahead of him. The leaders were all on better teams. That list, from the top, features Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Dak Prescott, Russell Wilson, Robert Griffin III, Jimmy Garoppolo, Justin Herbert, Deshaun Watson, Nick Foles and Andrew Luck.
The last time the Jets were coming off an especially bad performance on offense, they still emerged with a 16-9 victory against Denver in Week 7. After that game, the team elevated White into the No. 2 QB spot, moving him ahead of Joe Flacco. I thought it could have been a sign the Jets were considering a change. But Saleh said the team simply planned to evaluate White if an injury sidelined Wilson. Whatever the case, Flacco tossed as many touchdown passes in a Week 2 game against Cleveland (four) as Wilson has tossed in seven starts. White hasn’t played since suffering through a four-pick game against Buffalo last season.
4. The Lions are 3-0 since we noted Dan Campbell had a worse record through his first 24 games than Matt Patricia had in his final 24. That’s not the only good news for Detroit.
Campbell was 4-19-1 through 24 games with the Lions, the second-worst start for any coach in franchise history with at least that many games. Only Jim Schwartz (4-20) started worse, but he was able to turn it around, delivering the Lions to the postseason. Campbell is not close to that point, but he’s closer now than he was three weeks ago. There is hope again.
With the Los Angeles Rams in a free-fall, Detroit could be in line for a top-five 2023 draft choice as part of the Matthew Stafford trade, after getting the 32nd pick from Los Angeles in 2022. That was the trend Sunday for teams that traded away their 2023 first-round picks. Denver lost, meaning Seattle would hold the fifth pick under current draft order, thanks to the Wilson trade. Cleveland also lost, which means Houston would pick seventh, with a choice acquired from the Browns in the Watson trade.
The Rams lost Stafford to what could be his second concussion of the season Sunday. They likely will be starting their 11th offensive line combination in 11 games next week, after losing another left tackle to injury. They have lost four in a row heading into a closing stretch featuring games against Seattle (twice), Kansas City, the Chargers, Denver, Green Bay and the Raiders.
Some luck is breaking the Lions’ way. The bad news is, they play Buffalo on Thursday in Detroit, where the Bills won Sunday after their game against Cleveland was relocated to avoid the western New York snowpack.
The Lions under Campbell will go down swinging, at the least. They lead the league in fourth-down go-for-its in first halves with 13. They are one of four teams to try an onside kick in the first three quarters. They are one of three teams to execute more than one fake punt this season.
“Detroit is interesting, just how Campbell does things,” an exec with NFC North experience said. “He does everything different, but at least they are consistently different. They are biting kneecaps, firing non-coordinator assistants, which is rarely done during the season, and saying it’s all the best thing for their program. Their fourth-down strategy, their special-teams fakes — they are squeezing every last drop.”
5. The Cowboys exposed the Vikings, which raises the question we always have to ask about Dallas.
The Cowboys’ 40-3 pummeling of the previously 8-1 Vikings showcased Dallas at its best: nine pressures and two sacks from Micah Parsons, 109 yards receiving from running back Tony Pollard, Dak Prescott completing 22 of 25 passes for 276 yards and two touchdowns. It also showcased the Cowboys at their worst: owner Jerry Jones embracing Super Bowl talk after the game, as if that helps anyone in Week 11.
After 10 games, does Jerry Jones see this Cowboys team as a championship contender? “A resounding yes. Yes. Unequivocally yes. … I sure do think what I see out here right now is a team that you could go get a Super Bowl with.” pic.twitter.com/HhUZtt39yU
— Jon Machota (@jonmachota) November 21, 2022
“Jerry acts like he is talking to Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott, the guys who can handle that kind of a scope,” an exec from an AFC team said. “He thinks by talking about it, they will live up to his expectations. The opposite is true. For most of the guys on these teams, you literally want them to be on time to the facility, park in the right spot, sit up straight with their notebooks and pens ready, making sure the next drill gets done correctly.”
The Cowboys did dominate in all three phases. They became the seventh team since 2000 to finish a game two touchdowns better than average in both offensive and defensive EPA, and one touchdown better than average in the special-teams realm.
Yr-Wk
Score
OFF | DEF | ST
Total
2012-14
SEA, 58-0 (AZ)
+14.1 | +34.0 | +9.9
+58
2011-02
DET, 48-3 (KC)
+15.4 | +20.3 | +9.3
+45
2011-05
SF, 48-3 (TB)
+19.2 | +18.4 | +7.4
+45
2009-14
BAL, 48-3 (DET)
+22.5 | +14.5 | +7.9
+45
2008-16
NE, 47-7 (AZ)
+16.6 | +15.3 | +8.1
+40
2010-09
GB, 45-7 (DAL)
+15.7 | +14.9 | +7.4
+38
2022-11
DAL, 40-3 (MIN)
+14.2 | +15.7 | +7.1
+37
As for the Vikings, we knew they were fortunate to be 8-1 heading into Week 11. The Vikings knew it, too. They were a ridiculous 7-0 in one-score games, tied with the 2006 Colts for the most through Week 10 for any team since at least 2000. We knew all that, and knew the Vikings could be vulnerable at home against Dallas. But 40-3 vulnerable? The losing margin for Minnesota was the NFL’s second-largest since 2000 for a team that entered the game seven or more games above .500. Only the 2010 Jets lost by more under such circumstances, 45-3 to New England.
6. Two-minute drill: Browns, Broncos, Raiders and more
Browns general manager Andrew Berry was optimistic during the offseason when the team drafted kicker Cade York and signed veteran special-teamers Corey Bojorquez and Jakeem Grant in free agency.
“It was a big priority for us this offseason to make sure that we had added some competition and talent to the kicking game,” Berry said then, before a torn Achilles ended Grant’s season in training camp.
As the Browns suffered a 31-23 defeat to Buffalo, they had a field-goal try blocked for the third time this season, and their coverage units allowed long returns. Cleveland lost the special-teams battle by 14.2 EPA, nearly double the second-worst differential for any team in Week 11.
The Browns have the NFL’s youngest starters on defense this season, which could affect the special teams as well. Whatever the case, the chart above shows the special teams and defense heading south this season while the offense continues upward, even without Watson, who becomes eligible to replace Jacoby Brissett behind center beginning Dec. 4. …
The Eagles’ late 75-yard drive to beat the Colts 17-16 featured nine rushes for 28 yards, two passes for eight yards and one pass-interference penalty for 39 yards. Yes, it was a fourth-quarter comeback victory for Philly, which never even trailed in a second half this season until last week, but the drive began with 4:37 remaining and didn’t reveal much new about the Eagles. As for the third-and-goal execution on Jalen Hurts’ quarterback draw, could the running lane have been any wider?
The Broncos’ offense looked better at times against the Raiders’ struggling defense, but Denver’s 22-16 overtime defeat at home moved quarterback Russell Wilson closer to joining a short list featuring JaMarcus Russell and Joey Harrington.
This was Wilson’s seventh start of the season in which his offense failed to exceed 16 points. If it happens against Carolina next week, Wilson will join a group of quarterbacks since 2000 with eight such starts in the first 12 weeks of a season. Akili Smith did it nine times with the Bengals in 2000. Five other quarterbacks endured a similar fate eight times: Russell, Harrington, Jake Plummer (2000), Marc Bulger (2008) and Sam Bradford (2011).
While injuries to offensive linemen, receivers and star running back Javonte Williams have contributed to the Broncos’ struggles, Wilson throwing incomplete on third-and-10 when the Broncos needed to keep the clock running while protecting a three-point lead late in regulation was puzzling. Coach Nathaniel Hackett said keeping the clock moving was the top priority and Wilson needed to take a sack unless there were an open receiver deep downfield. It’s probably the closest Hackett has come to criticizing his quarterback. Wilson didn’t offer a clear explanation for the error, which gave the Raiders time to move downfield for the overtime-forcing field goal after taking multiple shots at the end zone. …
With two touchdown catches Sunday, including the game-winner in overtime, the Raiders’ Davante Adams has 10 TD receptions, putting him on pace to challenge his career-best total of 18, which ranks tied for third in league history behind Randy Moss (23) and Jerry Rice (22). With Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow sidelined, Adams has set career highs through the first 10 team games of a season for targets (112) and yards per reception (14.5). His 925 yards are the second-most for him to this point in a season. His 10 touchdowns match his career high through the first 10 games of a season, set in 2020.
(Top photo illustration: Sean Reilly / The Athletic; photo: Stacy Revere / Getty Images)
With 2022 NFL training camps getting ready to hit high gear, young starting quarterbacks around the league are getting valuable reps.
At the New England Patriots camp on Friday, onlookers anticipated that quarterback Mac Jones would raise his level of performance after the offense was almost shut out completely, scoring just one touchdown on 11 repetitions in a red zone drill at the end of Thursday’s practice.
Jones didn’t disappoint, showing that his connection with tight end Jonnu Smith is in a better place than it was for most of 2021. On one play, Jones lofted about a 20-yard pass to Smith in the back of the end zone, with safety Kyle Dugger in coverage, and Smith leaped high to snare the pass for a touchdown. Smith, who later caught another touchdown from Jones, then followed with an emphatic spike.
While he was mostly sharp, Jones did throw his first interception of camp — right into the chest of cornerback Jalen Mills.
In Philadelphia, quarterback Jalen Hurts and the offense had a rocky outing Friday following a strong showing in the opening practice. In Tennessee and Washington, it was young receivers who made their mark.
Here’s what you need to know from camps across the league:
What our NFL Nation reporters saw today
Washington Commanders: Second-year receiver Dyami Brown needs to be a bigger threat for Washington in his second season. A third-round pick in 2021, he caught just eight passes. But his speed still excites Washington, and Friday he made a terrific catch. On the play, quarterback Carson Wentz threw deep down the left side to Brown. Corner Kendall Fuller was in perfect position to intercept the ball with Brown pinned to his side. But as Fuller extended for the ball, Brown jumped and reached over the veteran and snagged the ball as they fell to the ground.— John Keim
Philadelphia Eagles: Quarterback Jalen Hurts and the offense struggled following a strong showing in the opening practice.
“It didn’t look good,” center Jason Kelce said.
Corner Avonte Maddox provided one of the defensive highlights, elevating to intercept a floating Hurts pass intended for tight end Dallas Goedert.
“It’s Day 2 of camp. We’ll get it right,” Goedert said.— Tim McManus
Tennessee Titans: Rookie wide receiver Treylon Burks turned in another outstanding day of work. He used his size to create separation and win reps in one-on-one period. The momentum rolled over to group periods of practice when he caught a couple of passes from Ryan Tannehill in traffic across the middle.— Turron Davenport
Green Bay Packers: Given his injury history, it would’ve been easy to say “Same old Sammy Watkins” when he began camp on the non-football injury (NFI) list. But the veteran receiver the Packers signed in the offseason was relieved after he was able to start practicing on Day 3 of camp. He said he felt what he called “a tweak” in one of his hamstrings following a pre-camp workout.
“The next day I went out and ran routes and ran around and felt great, and I think I was kind of in my own head [thinking], ‘Man, this happened again,'” Watkins said. “But it was really nothing.” His return to practice on Friday came on a day when the Packers conducted only a short, half-speed practice. Still, Watkins was able to catch a few passes from Aaron Rodgers as he eased his way back.— Rob Demovsky
Kansas City Chiefs: Newly signed defensive end Carlos Dunlap was not at practice. Dunlap told the Chiefs he needed a few days to get some things in order at home and won’t return to camp until the middle of next week. — Adam Teicher
New England Patriots: Rookie guard Cole Strange, the team’s first-round pick, ended practice with an exclamation point as coach Bill Belichick summoned him as part of a punt-catching competition. The 6-foot-5, 305-pound Strange hauled in one punt, and then when undrafted rookie defensive lineman DaMarcus Mitchell (Purdue) missed his attempt, Strange followed by catching another with a football already in his grasp. That set off a wild celebration by the offense, which didn’t necessarily win anything other than bragging rights. — Mike Reiss
New York Jets: Newly-signed linebacker Kwon Alexander will be brought along slowly as he gets into football shape. The Jets’ plan is to have him work on his own for a couple of days before getting on the practice field next week for limited work. He was unsigned since the end of last season, so he had no offseason program. He will be used in the ‘Sam’ and ‘Will’ linebacker spots, starting off as a backup.
“No expectations,” said coach Robert Saleh, who coached him in San Francisco. “(He) just has to do what he always does, which is to bring a lot of juice, a lot of energy.” — Rich Cimini
Carolina Panthers: The Panthers ranked in the bottom half of the NFL last season in scoring points before halftime, so at the end of practice coach Matt Rhule gave quarterbacks Sam Darnold and Baker Mayfield each a chance to see what they could do with 1:45 left on the clock. Darnold engineered a touchdown drive thanks to pass interference on a deep pass and a circus catch in the end zone by wide receiver Shi Smith after the ball was tipped by a defender.
Mayfield’s group produced a long field goal as time expired. Carolina also ranked in the bottom half of the league in red zone scoring in 2021. Darnold went 0-for-4 on his first series there Friday. Mayfield went 1-for-4. Darnold did complete his first deep pass of practice with a 40-plus yard strike to Terrace Marshall Jr. — David Newton
Buffalo Bills: Starting safety Micah Hyde was injured while trying to intercept a Josh Allen pass. Hyde dropped the ball as he came to the ground. After a couple of seconds, starting safety Jordan Poyer motioned to the team’s athletic trainers, who came over to attend to Hyde. Multiple Bills players took a knee while Hyde was looked at and the music playing was turned off.
He limped off the field with their assistance and held the back of his leg at one point before sitting in the passenger seat of cart, which took him to the team’s locker room. Hyde is dealing with a hip/glute injury that is still being evaluated. He and Poyer make up arguably the best safety tandem in the NFL, so any time missed would be a big loss for this Bills defense. Jaquan Johnson and Damar Hamlin filled in for Hyde the rest of practice. — Alaina Getzenberg
Top NFL news of the day
Commanders’ Chase Young to miss at least season opener
Washington defensive end Chase Young will miss at least the season opener — and possibly more — because of a knee injury he suffered late last year. One team source had told ESPN this month that Young would return mid-September at the earliest.
Cardinals’ J.J. Watt not a fan of ‘bobblehead’ Guardian Cap
Arizona’s Watt is not a fan of wearing the Guardian Cap during training camp and wasn’t shy in sharing his thoughts on Friday.
“You feel like a bobblehead,” Watt deadpanned. “Like you’re gonna fall over. I’ll probably get fined for this. This is great. … There’s 15 grand gone.”
The Guardian Cap is required for all offensive linemen, defensive linemen, tight ends and linebackers during training camp practices until the second preseason game.
More:
Best NFL videos
Some wholesome content for your Friday morning 💙❤️🥹 pic.twitter.com/bEdtVdjSvG
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) July 29, 2022
🔥 @juliojones_11 pic.twitter.com/UZAEsJhveL
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) July 29, 2022
Training Camp Touchdown 💪@Tua 👉 @b_sanders pic.twitter.com/wzkagNuaan
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) July 29, 2022
Sammy Watkins (11) is on the field after missing the first two days on the NFI list with a hamstring. pic.twitter.com/h2GDAtRBj3
Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill feels his comments about it not being his job to mentor 2022 third-round NFL draft pick Malik Willis have been blown out of proportion.
“I meant no disrespect to Malik or anything like that,” Tannehill said on Tuesday. “We’ve been in constant communication since he was drafted. I’m disappointed in how things got spun and twisted a little bit. I pride myself on being a great teammate my whole career going back to when I was a kid playing youth sports.”
When asked about mentoring Willis earlier this month, Tannehill said he understood the dynamics of a competitive quarterback room, but it isn’t his job to mentor the rookie quarterback. Titans coach Mike Vrabel added that Tannehill’s “job is to make sure the team is prepared to win games.”
Tannehill said Tuesday he reached out to Willis as soon as his comments made headlines. Tannehill made it clear that he and Willis will compete, but he emphasized that he is willing to help Willis and be a great teammate. He also said that as a leader on the team, it’s his charge to help the rookie out.
“As soon as it blew up, I reached out to him and said, ‘Hey, I’m going to be a great teammate to you, I’m going to support you. They’re making this out to something that it’s not to be. It’s not what it’s been made out to be at all,'” he said. “He’s been good. He was great with it throughout the whole time. It’s been great to have him in the room and build that relationship.”
Tannehill said he takes the word mentor “seriously,” which might be why his earlier comments were misunderstood.
“There’s a few people that I count as mentors. There’s hundreds of people that helped me out throughout my career, but there’s only a few people that I would consider mentors,” he said. “A mentorship is something that both people have to want, both people have to agree to enter into that, and it’s going to have to take a lot of time, energy and focus.”
Tennessee began to entertain the idea of selecting a quarterback of the future heading into the draft this year. The Titans were the No. 1 seed in the AFC but lost to the Cincinnati Bengals at home in the divisional round of the playoffs last season. Tannehill’s three interceptions played a part in the loss.
The Titans took the field as a team for the first time on Monday. So far, the relationship between Tannehill and Willis appears to be headed in the right direction.
“It’s been cool,” Willis said. “He’s a great guy that works super hard and wants everybody to get their work. He’s definitely someone that you can look up to.”
The jet lag from Sunday’s flight home from the 2022 NFL draft in Las Vegas has barely worn off, but I’m already digging in on the 2023 class. I’m that excited about this group. After only one quarterback was selected in the first 73 picks this year, we could see a handful in the first round next April. There are also truly special prospects on the defensive side of the ball, and I think we could see five-plus receivers in Round 1 yet again. So let’s project the early scope of the first round.
Now, this is an extremely early prediction. I haven’t spent much time with the 2023 class’ tape yet, and a lot of this is based on what I’ve seen while watching prospects in person over the past two seasons and early buzz around the league. Expect big changes between now and next April. My 2022 way-too-early mock, for example, featured 10 prospects who ultimately were first-rounders and predicted five top-10 picks — but eight players listed ultimately didn’t enter the draft, and 14 others weren’t selected in Round 1. It’s still 12 months out, and we have a full college season and a long pre-draft process ahead.
Then there is the draft order, which I did not decide. We opted to project the order using the inverse of Super Bowl odds from Caesars Sportsbook, though we broke some ties and tweaked the end of the order to ensure seven teams from each conference in the playoffs. That puts Houston on the clock to get things going in Round 1.
Note: Underclassmen are noted with an asterisk. Traded picks are shown below as well.
C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State*
The Texans believe in quarterback Davis Mills, but if they actually end up picking No. 1 next April, something went terribly awry for Mills during his sophomore season. Stroud has a big arm, completing 71.9% of his passes for 4,435 yards, 44 touchdowns and just six interceptions in 2021. The third-year sophomore has only 12 career starts, though, so all eyes will be on him this season.
Bryce Young, QB, Alabama*
Detroit wisely focused on the rest of its roster last week, but it will likely have to find its franchise quarterback in 2023 and has a prime chance to do so at No. 2 with Young still on the board. A former five-star recruit, Young is only 6-foot but has solid accuracy and plenty of mobility in the pocket. And he clearly has chemistry with receiver Jameson Williams, one of the Lions’ first-round picks this year, considering nearly a third of Young’s 4,872 passing yards in 2021 went Williams’ way. Jared Goff’s dead money dips to just $10 million next offseason, making the Lions’ QB easier to move on from.
Will Anderson Jr., DE, Alabama*
Anderson is probably the best player in the 2023 draft class and is here at No. 3 only because the teams picking at Nos. 1 and 2 need quarterbacks. The 6-foot-4, 243-pounder is a special player with elite traits and great burst to the quarterback. He led the nation in sacks (17.5), tackles for loss (34.5) and pressures (79) last year. Pairing Anderson with Jermaine Johnson II (a first-rounder this year) could give New York one of the least expensive yet best overall edge tandems in the NFL.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State*
If you don’t know the name yet, go watch some Rose Bowl highlights. Smith-Njigba caught 15 passes for 347 yards (a bowl game record) and three touchdowns in Ohio State’s win against Utah — putting him over 1,600 receiving yards for the season. It’s very possible he is a better prospect than Garrett Wilson or Chris Olave, who both just went in the top 11 picks. The Jags signed Christian Kirk and Zay Jones in March, but they still need a true WR1 for Trevor Lawrence. JSN can be that guy.
Jalen Carter, DT, Georgia*
Another Georgia defender? The 6-foot-3, 310-pounder is extremely disruptive and would help shore up Atlanta’s run defense while providing a pass-rush spark from the interior. And yes, Grady Jarrett just signed an extension, but he will be 30 years old when the draft comes back around. Carter is the best player available here and a difference-maker.
As for quarterback, it’s a very possible direction for the Falcons. But Stroud and Young are off the board, and I get the sense that they would like to develop Desmond Ridder and give him a chance if there isn’t another clear and obvious upgrade on the table.
Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida*
The Panthers, however, should start scouting the 2023 signal-callers. I’m not so sure they view Matt Corral as a long-term option, and Sam Darnold will be off the books after this season. Plus, Carolina could have a new regime in place, especially if it’s picking this early again. Now, Richardson is a huge projection — the 6-foot-4, 236-pound passer played in just eight games and started once last year — and has some turnover issues. But he’s extremely talented and poised for a breakout season in his first as a full-time starter.
Jordan Addison, WR, Pittsburgh*
Addison entered the transfer portal, so where he’ll be suiting up this season is still up in the air. He was among the best receivers in college football last season with 100 catches for 1,593 yards and 17 trips to the end zone. The Bears opted to wait until Round 3 to draft a receiver (Velus Jones Jr.) and still need a legitimate outside starter opposite Darnell Mooney.
Will Levis, QB, Kentucky
The Giants didn’t pick up Daniel Jones’ fifth-year option, which leaves the QB seat up for grabs next season. Levis needs to find more consistency, but he has a live arm and a big 6-foot-3, 232-pound frame. He has thrived in the quick game at Kentucky, with a lot of run-pass options and screen-type stuff, but there are some Josh Allen-like traits here for new Giants coach Brian Daboll. Oh, and Levis connected with receiver Wan’Dale Robinson — whom the Giants drafted in Round 2 this year — 104 times last season.
play
1:00
Mel Kiper Jr. breaks down which players teams should keep their eye on for the 2023 NFL draft.
Tyler Van Dyke, QB, Miami*
Van Dyke didn’t consistently play like a first-rounder in nine starts last season, but the 6-foot-4, 224-pounder has the talent of a future franchise passer. The third-year sophomore just needs to take the next step this year. Seattle GM John Schneider and coach Pete Carroll seem to still legitimately like Drew Lock’s potential as an NFL starter, but if the Seahawks have another disappointing season and another top-10 pick, they could be in the market for an upgrade.
Eli Ricks, CB, Alabama*
After a four-interception freshman year at LSU, Ricks missed most of 2021 with an injured shoulder and then transferred to Alabama. He’s a smooth press corner who can take away an opponent’s No. 1 receiver. The Commanders’ top two corners — William Jackson III and Kendall Fuller — are both under contract for only two more years, and the team’s pass defense has struggled, so adding a playmaker on the outside makes a lot of sense. One more note here: Ricks was arrested on Monday for speeding and possession of marijuana.
Paris Johnson Jr., OT, Ohio State*
Only the Dolphins had a worse pass block win rate than the Steelers last season (48.8%), and I don’t think Pittsburgh did enough to fix the line. When it decides to turn the offense’s keys over to new quarterback Kenny Pickett, the protection has to be there. Johnson has 13 career starts (all at right guard) and allowed only one sack last season. He will slide outside to left tackle this year.
Kelee Ringo, CB, Georgia*
I thought Philadelphia might look at a cornerback in Round 1 this year, but the long-term spot opposite Darius Slay remains open — and Slay is currently primed to hit free agency in 2024. Ringo broke up eight passes and picked off two in 2021 as part of the dominant Bulldogs defense. One of those interceptions was a memorable one in the College Football Playoff national title game.
Peter Skoronski, OT, Northwestern*
Skoronski already has a lot of experience (21 starts), and the 6-foot-4, 294-pound lineman has the makings of a future franchise tackle, as long as he tacks on more weight. Las Vegas needs another bookend for the line opposite Kolton Miller.
Bryan Bresee, DT, Clemson*
The Vikings had one of the worst run defenses in the NFL last season and didn’t draft a defensive tackle this year, and Dalvin Tomlinson is entering the final year of his contract. Bresee suffered a torn ACL in September, but he’s primed to return for a big 2022 campaign.
Noah Sewell, ILB, Oregon*
The brother of 2021 first-rounder Penei Sewell, Noah Sewell can impact multiple areas of the game. The 6-foot-3, 251-pound linebacker had 110 tackles, four sacks and six pass breakups last season. And the Patriots are still looking for a leader in the middle of their defense.
Myles Murphy, DE, Clemson*
The Dolphins tied for fifth in sacks last season and just re-signed Emmanuel Ogbah, but Murphy would be another playmaker off the edge who can get home on opposing QBs. He has 11.5 sacks over two seasons at Clemson and looks like a future impact player at the next level.
Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame*
Mayer finished his sophomore season with 71 catches (third among tight ends) and 840 receiving yards (fourth). He has tremendous 6-foot-4, 251-pound size and good hands. The Titans would love a playmaking tight end like Mayer for quarterback Ryan Tannehill — or Malik Willis, should the Titans make that move going into 2023.
Derick Hall, DE, Auburn
Hall broke out in 2021, recording nine sacks and 13 tackles for loss in his first season as a full-time starter. Will he take another step in 2022? The Colts are coming off a 33-sack season, and while they traded for Yannick Ngakoue and should see more from Kwity Paye in his second year, you can never have enough productive pass-rushers.
Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas*
Zero running backs were taken in Round 1 this year, but I expect we’ll return to seeing at least one come off the board on Day 1 next April. After going cornerback earlier, Philly could look to spark the run game here. At 6-foot and 214 pounds, Robinson is a unique talent both as a runner and receiver. He piled up 1,127 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns last season, but he also caught 26 passes for 295 yards and four more scores. Miles Sanders is entering the final year of his current deal, and the Eagles played their best football last season when they leaned on the run.
Clark Phillips III, CB, Utah*
Phillips is already a two-year starter, and he broke up 12 passes last season. Arizona’s cornerback room has holes, and that’s before factoring in that Byron Murphy Jr. is entering the final year of his contract.
Kayshon Boutte, WR, LSU*
Everyone loved the Ravens’ 2022 draft, but remember that they traded away Marquise Brown, leaving Rashod Bateman and Devin Duvernay as their top two wide receivers. Boutte is a top-15-caliber prospect who had nine touchdown catches in six games last year before a leg injury ended his season.
Trenton Simpson, ILB, Clemson*
The Bengals drafted a pair of versatile defensive backs in the first two rounds this year, and they spent on the offensive line in free agency. If the fixes prove effective, one area they could instead look at in 2023 is linebacker. Simpson had 63 tackles and six sacks last season, and he can drop in coverage.
BJ Ojulari, DE, LSU*
We already got Houston a quarterback, so how about a high-end edge rusher for new coach Lovie Smith’s defense? I love Ojulari’s burst and bend off the edge.
Henry To’oTo’o, ILB, Alabama
The Cowboys just used a fifth-rounder on linebacker Damone Clark, who will miss 2022 because of a back injury but should be ready to roll in 2023. Even so, adding another top-flight linebacker could help free up Micah Parsons in a more versatile role in which he thrives. To’oTo’o made 106 tackles last season.
Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State*
At 6-foot-2 and 192 pounds, Porter has size on the outside and some versatility, though he has only one career interception. I like the upside of defensive backs Coby Bryant and Tariq Woolen, midround picks for Seattle this year, but the Seahawks really need a potential star to improve this pass D.
Zion Nelson, OT, Miami*
I actually had Nelson in my way-too-early mock this time last year, and he’s back again after opting to return to Miami. Nelson has 33 starts and could be the answer opposite Rashawn Slater on the Chargers’ offensive line.
Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Alabama*
Gibbs was a hidden gem at Georgia Tech, and now I expect him to explode onto the national stage after transferring to Alabama. His pass-catching ability out of the backfield will get a lot of attention. Pairing Gibbs with Chase Edmonds (Myles Gaskin and Raheem Mostert are under contract for only 2022) would give Miami a very strong rushing attack.
Tony Grimes, CB, UNC*
Grimes has 6-foot-1 size and good speed, and he broke up seven passes last season. A duo of Grimes and Jeff Okudah should help turn things around for Detroit’s lackluster pass defense.
Emil Ekiyor Jr., G, Alabama
We’ll see how Green Bay’s moves at wide receiver play out; if quarterback Aaron Rodgers can’t find a reliable target this year, the Packers might be looking for a first-round pass-catcher next April. Another way to help Rodgers? Drafting Ekiyor, a versatile lineman with 28 starts under his belt.
Nolan Smith, OLB, Georgia
The 6-foot-3, 235-pound defender’s sack production isn’t overwhelming (3.5 in 2021 and 8.5 over three seasons), but he forced three fumbles last year and has a lot of upside. I’m excited to see what he can do in 2022 with much of the Georgia defense heading to the NFL. Smith could help the Chiefs keep the AFC West’s talented quarterbacks in check.
Josh Downs, WR, UNC*
Downs is an explosive route runner who caught 101 passes for 1,335 yards last season and excelled after the catch. He’d be dangerous in Tampa Bay’s offense. Also keep an eye on the QB situation here; the Buccaneers could potentially turn to Kyle Trask or sign a free agent if Tom Brady retires after the 2022 season, but they could also focus on the draft class for a replacement.
Marvin Mims, WR, Oklahoma*
Another year, another loaded wide receiver class. Mims is undersized at 5-foot-11 and 177 pounds, and he hasn’t caught more than 37 passes in a season. But his 22.0 yards per reception ranked third in the nation last season, and he’d be yet another target for quarterback Josh Allen.
In an offseason that has seen record-breaking contracts for wide receivers, three of the NFL’s top young players at the position are looking for new deals of their own.
Sources told ESPN’s Adam Schefter that 49ers star Deebo Samuel, Titans wideout A.J. Brown and Commanders receiver Terry McLaurin all are seeking new contracts and are not expected to participate in any on-field work during their respective teams’ offseason programs.
The Titans and Commanders begin their offseason programs Monday, while the Niners start Tuesday. McLaurin still plans to report on time for the start of Washington’s program while his contract remains unresolved, a source told Schefter.
Samuel and Brown were second-round picks in the 2019 draft while McLaurin was a third-round selection that year. All three players have one year remaining on their rookie contracts and are in line for new deals amid an exploding wide receiver market.
The Raiders signed Davante Adams to a record-setting five-year contract last month after acquiring him in a trade with the Packers. The deal is worth up to $142.5 million, includes $67.5 million in guarantees and will pay Adams an annual average of $28.5 million — at the time, an NFL record for a non-quarterback.
The Dolphins topped those numbers one week later, signing Tyreek Hill to a four-year, $120 million deal after their blockbuster trade with the Chiefs. Hill will make a record $30 million annually, receiving $72.2 million guaranteed and also $52.535 million at signing.
Several other receivers signed lucrative deals this offseason, including the Bills’ Stefon Diggs (four years, $104 million), the Jaguars’ Christian Kirk (four years, $72 million), the Chargers’ Mike Williams (three years, $60 million) and the Buccaneers’ Chris Godwin (three years, $60 million).
Seahawks star DK Metcalf, another second-round pick in 2019, also wants a new deal but also has been the subject of widespread trade rumors as Seattle mulls a complete roster rebuild after trading Russell Wilson.
The Seattle Times recently reported that, despite the uncertainty about his future, Metcalf is planning to participate in Seattle’s on-field workouts, which begin Tuesday.
Samuel, 26, is coming off a breakthrough season during which he helped San Francisco reach the NFC Championship Game. He finished fifth in the league with 1,405 receiving yards, caught six touchdown passes and also rushed for eight touchdowns — an NFL single-season record for a receiver.
Brown, 24, battled injuries last season after eclipsing 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first two years with the Titans. He had 63 catches for 869 yards and five TDs in 13 games; Tennessee went 11-2 in the games Brown played.
McLaurin, 26, enjoyed another productive season in 2021 despite Washington’s inconsistency at the quarterback position. He had 1,053 yards — his second straight 1,000-yard season — and five TDs on 77 receptions.
Here we go: Two weeks (OK, 15 days) until the start of the 2022 NFL draft.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are on the clock, of course, but they’re not the most interesting team in this draft. There are a whopping eight teams with two first-round picks — a record if it shakes out that way on April 28 — including Super Bowl contenders such as the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs. There are a lot of ways Round 1 could go, especially with the questions (and concerns) around the quarterback class.
Let’s get into my annual two-round mock draft, projecting Picks 1-64. I have four quarterbacks and 12 wide receivers here, plus four edge defenders in the top seven picks. I have interesting landing spots for the offensive tackles. And I have one trade for a team moving back into Round 1 to get a critical need — and leaping another franchise that needs that position.
I’m projecting these 64 picks based on a combination of my updated rankings, team needs and what I’m hearing from execs, scouts and coaches in the league. For the second round, in particular, so much could change between now and when teams are on the clock, so I’m using my Big Board as a guide on value.
If you want to go deeper than the first two rounds, check out Jordan Reid’s seven-round mock. And you can catch the one-hour SportsCenter Special on Wednesday breaking down these picks at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN2 and ESPN+.
Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan
There’s really no need to overthink things here. Hutchinson is the best prospect in this class — an edge rusher who could average 12 sacks a year for a decade — and he plays a premier position. He could play as a stand-up outside linebacker or hand-in-the-dirt end for the Jaguars, meeting quarterbacks in the backfield with 2019 first-rounder Josh Allen.
Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner, CB, Cincinnati
Can I interest you in a 6-foot-3 corner with long arms and 4.41 40-yard dash speed who didn’t allow a single touchdown in coverage in college? That’s Gardner. The Lions have several needs and would likely jump at Aidan Hutchinson if he somehow fell here. But if they select Gardner and get something out of Jeff Okudah, the No. 3 overall pick in the 2020 draft who has played just 10 games in two seasons, they could have a much-improved secondary.
Travon Walker, DE, Georgia
I don’t think anyone outside the organization really knows what the Texans will do in Round 1. For this mock, I’m trying to think long-term with Houston, which just has to add some talent. Walker is a bit of risk in the top 10; NFL teams are betting that his physical tools will win out over his subpar college production (9.5 sacks in three seasons). Coaches want to try to maximize that upside. There is a lot of buzz on Walker going early.
Kayvon Thibodeaux, DE, Oregon
I’m not buying a Thibodeaux drop. He might be the most talented prospect in this class. The Jets have to add some juice to their pass rush, and this is the spot to do it. It’s also not out of the question that they take a receiver here — Drake London or Garrett Wilson? — because their top guy might be off the board by the time they pick at No. 10.
Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State
If the board shakes out this way, the Giants would have to be thrilled to get their pick of the top two offensive tackles. I have Ekwonu just slightly over Evan Neal, but it’s tough to go wrong with either — they are my Nos. 2 and 3 prospects in this class. Ekwonu answered every question about his pass-protection ability last season. If left tackle Andrew Thomas keeps improving, these two could form one of the NFL’s best bookend pairings.
Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
Doesn’t Carolina coach Matt Rhule have to take a swing on a quarterback here? The Panthers don’t have second- or third-round picks. Rhule will enter the season on the hot seat, and this is his chance to buy some time with a high-ceiling rookie signal-caller. Willis is going to make some mistakes, but he will be fun to watch. He might nail a perfect deep ball to Robby Anderson and then throw a pick in the red zone on the next play. But he’s going to keep getting better with more time, and Carolina does have some skill position talent to help him.
Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State
The Giants can get their tackle at No. 5 and then focus on their defense, which allowed 4.7 yards per play last season (31st in the NFL). Johnson had 12 sacks last season and was one of the most impressive prospects at the Senior Bowl in January. He already has a few veteran pass-rush moves and can be an instant starter. He also played a lot of outside linebacker for the Seminoles, so he has some versatility in Wink Martindale’s defense. And if you’re keeping track, this makes four edge rushers in the top seven picks.
Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State
I’m going to stick with this prediction because … who is Marcus Mariota going to throw to next season? The Falcons just don’t have any starting-caliber receivers. Wilson can run every route and beat defenders after the catch. He could be the early favorite for rookie of the year if he lands here — he’d get a bunch of targets. Atlanta will likely be tracking the edge rushers closely, but there isn’t value at this point on my board.
play
1:45
Look back at Garrett Wilson’s college career and why he is a star in the making at WR.
Evan Neal, OT, Alabama
This is another team that ends up with an ideal scenario. Veteran left tackle Duane Brown is still unsigned, so Neal could start from Day 1. It just makes too much sense. I’m not a huge believer that Drew Lock will be Seattle’s quarterback answer for the long term, but Neal could be a stalwart on the left side for years to come.
Drake London, WR, USC
If the Jets can pull this off — a top-tier receiver here and a high-upside edge rusher at No. 4 — shouldn’t they be considered one of the most improved teams of the offseason? I like what they’ve done, and they haven’t had to break the bank. Of course, that doesn’t mean they’re going to be AFC East contenders just yet. London is a 6-foot-4 target who will dominate in the red zone and pull down 50-50 balls to boost Zach Wilson’s completion percentage.
Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
Hamilton has been dinged a little bit because of his 40 time, which was a 4.59 at the combine and a little slower at his pro day. He’s a fantastic player, but he doesn’t have rare physical tools, which means he could fall out of the top 10. I would want him on my team. At 6-foot-4, he could play multiple positions, from center fielder to box linebacker. He would make plays for a Washington defense that disappointed in 2021.
Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU
This is a great fit for both sides. The Vikings could get a corner with an elite, All-Pro ceiling and plug a hole, while Stingley could join a team with a few other former LSU stars (Justin Jefferson, Danielle Hunter, Patrick Peterson). The worry on Stingley is that his best tape is from 2019, when he starred as a true freshman. Can he return to form in the NFL — and stay healthy? That’s a risk teams will have to consider. Still, I feel better making that bet at No. 12 than if I was picking in the top five.
Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State
I’m going to stick to my board here, and since my top-11 prospects have all been picked (plus Malik Willis), I’ll move on to No. 12. Cross is a superb pass-blocker who needs some refinement in the run game — because he just didn’t get the reps to do so while playing for Mike Leach. Ultimately, if the Texans are going to give Davis Mills the 2022 season to prove he’s their guy at quarterback, Mills needs a better right tackle. That could be Cross.
Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
The Ravens could go in several directions here, including offensive tackle (will Ronnie Stanley ever be the same again?) and defensive end (Calais Campbell is back, but he’s 35). When I look at this depth chart, though, I see corner depth as an issue. McDuffie has the versatility to play outside and in the slot, and he also will wrap up and bring down ball carriers in the run game. He’s physical.
Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
After last week’s trade with the Saints, the Eagles now have one fewer first-round pick, but you have to think they’ll take a receiver with one of them, right? If they’re committed to using 2022 as an evaluation year for Jalen Hurts, the best way they can evaluate him is to give him the tools to succeed. Olave had seven touchdowns out of the slot last season, but he can move outside, too, and use his 4.39 40 speed to get open. Hurts would love throwing to him and DeVonta Smith, with Dallas Goedert working the middle of the field.
Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa
Speaking of the Saints, I have a hard time believing the trade with the Eagles was to take a quarterback. Why wouldn’t they try to move up higher? (Unless there’s another move to come.) It’s possible they think they are NFC contenders this season and could be put over the edge with two more starters. With that in mind, here’s a tackle who could replace Terron Armstead on the left side. Penning is a nasty, physical blocker who is ready to play immediately.
Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia
The Chargers need a right tackle, but with Trevor Penning off the board, I don’t feel great about the value here. In fact, my next tackle in this mock doesn’t go off the board until No. 42. Let’s move instead to another need for L.A. and fill it with Davis, who at 6-foot-6 and 341 pounds is used to being a hole-filler. He has unique physical tools for his size, and he makes everyone around him better because of the space he eats. This is how Brandon Staley’s defense can level up in 2022.
Nakobe Dean, ILB, Georgia
I see a massive void in the middle of the Eagles’ front seven, and we’re getting to the point in this draft in which an off-ball linebacker will be taken. I have Devin Lloyd just ahead of Dean in my rankings, but there are teams that will fall in love with Dean’s intangibles. He’s a tremendous teammate who was the leader of the national champs’ historic defense. He’s a little undersized, but he can play sideline to sideline.
Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
Even if Michael Thomas comes back healthy, the Saints should address wide receiver with one of their two first-round picks. Williams would have been in the discussion to be the No. 1 wideout in this class, but he tore his ACL in the national title game in January and could miss a little time in 2022. He could be a superstar once he’s healthy; he has explosive speed and was uncoverable for the Crimson Tide last season. ACL injuries aren’t even close to career-ending anymore, so I don’t see this as a risky pick. Williams is worth it.
play
1:32
Check out the best moments from Jameson Williams at Alabama as he gets ready for the NFL draft.
Kenny Pickett, QB, Pitt
I’d feel much more comfortable taking Pickett here than I would in the top 10. Best-case scenario is that he’s Derek Carr, and his floor is as an Andy Dalton-type, which isn’t a bad quarterback by any means. Pittsburgh can win with that. Still, those two were taken in Round 2 and didn’t have Round 1 expectations surrounding them. If Pickett falls into the Steelers’ laps here, he’d be tough to pass up. And he has a little more upside than Mitch Trubisky.
Devin Lloyd, ILB, Utah
I thought about a wide receiver and cornerback here, but Lloyd just feels like a Bill Belichick-type player. He’s always around the ball, is a great blitzer from the middle of the defense and makes plays. The Patriots allowed 4.5 yards per carry last season, which ranked 25th in the league. This fills a void with an impact player.
Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State
There could be a run on wide receivers in the 20s, starting with the Patriots and Packers. We know Green Bay needs one after the Davante Adams trade, but I don’t think general manager Brian Gutekunst is going to force it. Watson is a riser, as teams see a 6-foot-4 receiver with 4.36 40 speed and elite measurables and think he can be a big-play threat who can grow into a better route runner. Watson averaged 20.4 yards per catch in his college career. Watson is ready to contribute for Aaron Rodgers as a rookie.
Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
Burks can be used in different roles — he even ran 19 routes out of the backfield last season — and will be dynamic after the catch. He will take screens and short passes for scores. For Arizona, this is about helping replacing Christian Kirk and getting some help for an offense that struggled when DeAndre Hopkins went down last season.
Arnold Ebiketie, DE, Penn State
McShay is getting tired of me talking up Ebiketie, but I’m a fan. I wanted to find a fit for him in Round 1. The Temple transfer really improved last season, putting up 9.5 sacks. He has a powerful lower body and knows how to use his hands. The Cowboys have to find a way to replace Randy Gregory, and Ebiketie could help. They could also target a guard or wide receiver here.
Daxton Hill, DB, Michigan
I just moved Hill way up on my Big Board. NFL teams love his versatility — he played more than 550 snaps at nickelback in 2021 — and think he could play both corner and safety. He might be a slot corner if he ends up in Buffalo, which lost Levi Wallace in free agency and has Tre’Davious White returning from an ACL tear. Andrew Booth Jr. (Clemson) and Kyler Gordon (Washington) are two other corners to keep an eye on. The Bills have one of the best rosters in the league.
Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State
The Titans need to get faster at receiver next to A.J. Brown. That’s not Robert Woods’ game. Dotson, who ran a 4.43 40 at the combine, caught 91 passes last season, 33 coming from the slot. He would give Ryan Tannehill more easy throws because he can scoot after the catch. Tennessee could also target the best offensive lineman available with this pick. On my board, that would be center Tyler Linderbaum (Iowa), and he could play some guard.
Devonte Wyatt, DT, Georgia
The Bucs are another team that could take a guard in Round 1, but I see a fit with Wyatt, who could take Ndamukong Suh’s spot next to Vita Vea. Wyatt played mostly as a 3-technique tackle for the Bulldogs, but he could play end in a 3-4 defense, too. He wasn’t a super productive pass-rusher (2.5 sacks last season), but he has the physical tools that coordinators will want to mold. Cornerback could be a possibility for Tampa Bay as well.
Zion Johnson, G/C, Boston College
Johnson’s positional flex is impressive to teams, as he dominated as a guard last season — he didn’t allow a single pressure — and took snaps at center at the Senior Bowl. He’d most likely play guard in Green Bay, which lost Lucas Patrick in free agency. Packers fans (and Aaron Rodgers) should be happy with this first-round haul, and the franchise has two second-round picks as well.
Andrew Booth Jr., CB, Clemson
The loss in free agency of cornerback Charvarius Ward shouldn’t go unnoticed. He had developed into a really solid player. The Kansas City defense improved as the 2021 season went along, but it has to get deeper in the secondary. Booth is a smooth 6-foot corner with good ball skills who played both outside and in the slot in college.
George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue
No wide receiver? Let me explain. First, the Chiefs also have two second- and two third-round picks. They could take one (or two) wide receivers with those selections. This is a deep class, and they could find better value there. And second, defensive end is a need as well. If Karlaftis is on the board, he’d be an ideal end next to Chris Jones, who does his best work from the interior. Karlaftis didn’t always get home to quarterbacks last season (only 4.5 sacks), but he created pressures in their face.
Projected trade: Jets move up for … a center?
How about a third first-round selection from the Jets? In this scenario, with a glaring hole at center and the top guy still on the board, they deal No. 35 and a Day 3 pick to get back into Round 1. And crucially, they keep their pick at No. 38, which allows them to get more help.
The Bengals would move down just four spots and pick up an extra fourth-rounder. They signed center Ted Karras in free agency among other moves to upgrade their O-line, so their need isn’t as big.
Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa
Could Linderbaum be the Jets’ new Nick Mangold? They took Mangold at pick No. 29 in 2006 and have been trying to fill that void at center since he left the team after the 2016 season. Some NFL teams are putt off by Linderbaum’s short arms, but just watch the tape. He has the physical traits to be an All-Pro and is exceptional as both a run and pass blocker. He’s exactly what the Jets need, and this is tremendous value.
Lewis Cine, S, Georgia
The more I talk to people in the league, the more I think the Lions will stand pat on a quarterback with their three picks in the top 34. Jared Goff can be the starter in 2022, and if he struggles, chances are Detroit will be right back in the mix for the No. 1 overall pick, which it can use on a signal-caller. Cine is the fifth Georgia defender in the top 32 picks here (with more to come). He’s a good cover safety who is rising after he ran a 4.37 40 at the combine.
ROUND 2
Kenyon Green, G, Texas A&M
Green is my top-ranked guard, and a I could see a team falling in love with him in the 20s. He might not be on the board here. Green played everything except center for the Aggies, but he should stick at guard in the NFL. The Jaguars, who have spent a lot of money in free agency — including on guard Brandon Scherff — should try to trade this pick and add extra assets. Taking Green helps them immediately, though.
David Ojabo, OLB, Michigan
Ojabo is my top-ranked outside linebacker, even after he tore his Achilles last month and could miss most of the season. If the Lions are thinking long-term, they could get a steal with a high-ceiling edge rusher.
Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida
Cornerback is the position the Bengals should target if they keep the No. 31 pick, and they should be thrilled with Elam here. He locked down receivers for the Gators and then ran a 4.39 40 at the combine. He could be a Day 1 starter for Cincinnati.
Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor
This makes five safeties off the board in the top 36 picks. Pitre was stellar against the run last season; he had 20 run stops, according to ESPN Stats & Info, which were the most by any FBS defensive back. He impressed teams at the Senior Bowl. The Giants could target a wide receiver here, depending on how the board falls. The 6-foot-3 George Pickens (Georgia) could make sense.
Jaquan Brisker, S, Penn State
Brisker is a physical defensive back with versatility. He played down in the box at times for the Nittany Lions, blowing up running lanes. The Texans let Justin Reid leave in free agency, and they have multiple holes in the secondary.
Breece Hall, RB, Iowa State
Day 2 is when teams should take running backs, and the Jets would be getting the clear top back in this class. Hall can do it all, from forcing missed tackles to catching passes. If the Jets are serious about helping Zach Wilson, they should take Hall. This scenario gives them Hall, Kayvon Thibodeaux, Drake London and Tyler Linderbaum with their first four picks, which would have them well on the way to an “A” grade.
Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington
The Bears could go several ways here, including offensive tackle, wide receiver and guard. With Gordon still available, though, I’d pounce. He has lockdown traits and didn’t allow a single touchdown in coverage last season. There has been a great history of teams finding starting corners in the second round, and Gordon has a great chance to play early.
play
0:52
Check out some of CB Kyler Gordon’s highlights from his time with the Washington Huskies.
Desmond Ridder, QB, Cincinnati
Here’s a landing spot for the third quarterback in this class. Are the Seahawks really going to start Drew Lock all year? I don’t buy it. Ridder is an experienced, savvy signal-caller (43 college wins) who can be a little erratic at times. If he can get his accuracy issues under control, he could be a starter, especially with the type of targets Seattle has. This might be the best-case scenario for the franchise, because Ridder won’t have the expectations of a first-round pick while playing in the shadow of Russell Wilson.
Quay Walker, LB, Georgia
The sixth Georgia defender off the board so far, Walker is a big and tough linebacker who could try to fill the void left by Bobby Wagner’s departure. I was a big fan of the Seahawks taking Jordyn Brooks in Round 1 in 2020, and this would give them two off-ball linebackers to crush ball carriers and get their hands in passing lanes.
Bernhard Raimann, OT, Central Michigan
There’s a drop off in the tackle class after the top four guys, but there could be a run of them in Round 2. Raimann, who started his college career as a tight end and moved to tackle in 2020, has the physical tools that will entice teams. He needs to be coached hard. This is the Colts’ only pick in the first two rounds, so they have to make it count.
Boye Mafe, OLB, Minnesota
The Falcons had just 18 sacks last season, which ranked last in the league. Outside of Grady Jarrett, who in their front seven will scare teams? Mafe had seven sacks last season and was really good during Senior Bowl practices. At 6-foot-3 and 261 pounds, he fits in Atlanta’s 3-4 scheme.
Travis Jones, DT, Connecticut
Like the Colts, the Browns have just one pick in the first two rounds, and Jones would fill a need. The 6-foot-4 and 325-pound nose tackle can eat up space and allow the rest of the defense to find the football. He might end up as only a two-down defender; I’d feel better about taking him in Round 2 than in the top 32.
Channing Tindall, LB, Georgia
OK, this is the last of the Georgia defenders in my mock draft, and this guy never even made a start for the national champs (in 50 career games). He still played a lot, of course, and had 19 pressures last season. His 4.47 40 at 230 pounds at the combine was extremely impressive. For the Ravens, he could compete for a starting spot at inside linebacker and be a core contributor on special teams.
Perrion Winfrey, DT, Oklahoma
Winfrey is more of a classic 3-technique penetrating tackle, and he was one of the biggest risers after his performance at the Senior Bowl. Linemen couldn’t block him. He didn’t always get the chance to create havoc at Oklahoma. Winfrey could be great next to nose tackle Dalvin Tomlinson for Minnesota.
George Pickens, WR, Georgia
I love this for Washington, which could get a 6-foot-3 outside receiver with No. 1 traits. He tore his ACL last spring and returned late in the 2021 season, making an impact down the stretch. It’s no guarantee he lasts until Round 2 — teams could think long-term and be patient with him — but the Commanders should try to pair him with Terry McLaurin.
Tyler Smith, OT/G, Tulsa
I mentioned Chicago’s offensive line need at No. 39, and Smith could play a role at guard or tackle. He played left tackle for the Golden Hurricane, but some teams view him as a better guard at the next level. He has to be more consistent and work on his technique — he was called for a whopping 12 penalties last season — but the tools are there.
Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss
Corral is a tough evaluation. He wants to play like Josh Allen but doesn’t have the size — he’s only 6-foot-2. He was the only player in the country last season with 3,300-plus passing yards and 500-plus rushing yards. Will he be able to consistently make every throw in the NFL? That’s why I think he’s a safer bet on Day 2. He would make a lot of sense in New Orleans, where he could get an evaluation year behind Jameis Winston.
Skyy Moore, WR, Western Michigan
Happy now, Chiefs fans? Here’s a speedy 5-foot-10 wide receiver who will look just a little similar to Tyreek Hill. I’ve called Moore the most underrated player in this class. I love what he does after the catch — he forced 30 missed tackles last season, which ranked second in FBS among receivers — and he doesn’t drop passes. He has huge hands. He’s not going to be a straight replacement for Hill, but he’ll contribute as a rookie.
Drake Jackson, DE/OLB, USC
There was a time when I thought Jackson might be a top-10 pick, but he never quite put everything together for the Trojans. Still, NFL teams will see his size (6-foot-3, 254 pounds) and physical traits and think they can coach him to hit his ceiling. For the Eagles, Jackson might be a situational pass-rusher at first while he develops his game. Edge rush is a clear need for Philly.
John Metchie III, WR, Alabama
Metchie tore his ACL in December, but he was having a fantastic season, with 96 catches for 1,142 yards and eight scores. He can play in the slot and make a difference in the middle of the field for the Steelers, which let JuJu Smith-Schuster walk in free agency. Metchie should be able to recover to play in Week 1 — and potentially help Kenny Pickett.
Alec Pierce, WR, Cincinnati
My comp for Pierce will be familiar to Packers fans — it’s Jordy Nelson. And Green Bay got Nelson in the second round, too. The 6-foot-3 Pierce ran a 4.41 40 at the combine and also had a 40.5-inch vertical. He has rare physical tools, which have him climbing draft boards. He could thrive on go routes from Aaron Rodgers.
Logan Hall, DL, Houston
This is another Patriots-type pick, because Hall is a bit of a tweener. At 6-foot-6 and 283 pounds, he might be best suited for a defensive end spot in a 3-4 scheme, or he could kick inside and play as a 3-technique tackle. Bill Belichick & Co. will be able to use him in different ways. Hall has put on more than 50 pounds since high school, so he’s still growing into his frame.
Roger McCreary, CB, Auburn
McCreary is fundamentally sound and advanced in his technique, but he’s undersized (5-foot-11) with short arms. He’s also not as explosive as a few other corners in this class. Still, he has some great tape, and I don’t think he’ll drop past Round 3, because he could be a great nickel corner. Arizona has to add quality depth in the secondary.
Abraham Lucas, OT, Washington State
The Cowboys released La’el Collins and think Terence Steele, a former undrafted free agent, can be the starter at right tackle. Let’s add some competition, though. Lucas impressed at the combine, and he stonewalled edge rushers on the right side for the Cougars. If he doesn’t start at tackle, he could move inside to guard. The O-line is a clear area to upgrade for Dallas.
Kenneth Walker III, RB, Michigan State
Bills fans would be thrilled with these two picks, right? Buffalo would address its hole in the secondary with Daxton Hill in Round 1, then get a starting-caliber late in Round 2. Walker is a bulldozer with some juice through the hole. He wasn’t used much as a receiver in college (just 19 career catches), so that’s a question mark. But for a team that needs to take pressure off its quarterback and has excellent receivers, Walker could thrive.
Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State
Andersen played as an off-ball linebacker — and quarterback, running back — in college, racking up 150 tackles last season. He impressed at the combine, running a 4.42 40 at 6-foot-3 and 243 pounds. That’s an elite number. Atlanta just has to focus on replenishing its roster, so this is great value.
play
0:45
Check out the best highlights from Troy Andersen’s collegiate career at Montana State.
Myjai Sanders, DE/OLB, Cincinnati
Sanders weighed just 228 pounds at the combine and reportedly had lost weight because of a stomach bug. He should settle in the 240-range in the NFL, and he might be best suited as an outside linebacker. But he has some explosive traits off the edge, and he could be an interesting high-upside pick on Day 2. The Packers have to add young edge talent in this draft.
Cole Strange, G, Chattanooga
Super Bowl contenders are allowed to use the draft to fill needs, because they don’t have many holes. And really, the Bucs and Bills are the two teams with the fewest number of obvious holes. With Ali Marpet retiring and Alex Cappa signing with the Bengals, Tampa will have two new starters at guard. Strange made 44 starts in college and showed at the Senior Bowl that he could play with the best of the best.
Cam Taylor-Britt, DB, Nebraska
This is the 49ers’ debut pick in this draft, but this late in Round 2, they’re not going to be guaranteed to get a starter. They can take a need position, sure, but they shouldn’t reach to make it happen. Taylor-Britt makes sense because he has some raw tools with which to work and has the skill set to play multiple spots. He had 11 pass breakups last season. San Francisco signed Charvarius Ward but should add corner depth.
Jalen Tolbert, WR, South Alabama
How about one more wideout for the Chiefs? Tolbert had 2,559 receiving yards over the past two seasons. At 6-foot-1 and 194 pounds, he has the ability to run every route, and coach Andy Reid can scheme him open around the formation. This lets Kansas City try to replace Tyreek Hill with two wideouts (I also gave it Skyy Moore earlier in the round), both of whom will need some time to adjust to the NFL.
Greg Dulcich, TE, UCLA
Let’s end this projection with the top tight ends in the class. Dulcich averaged 17.3 yards per catch last season, lining up mostly next to offensive tackles. He ran some routes out of the slot, but if the Bengals want to replace C.J. Uzomah with a similar tight end, that’s Dulcich.
Trey McBride, TE, Colorado State
McBride is more advanced as a pass-catcher than Dulcich, which is what the Broncos need with new quarterback Russell Wilson. With Noah Fant off to Seattle, there are targets available. McBride had 90 catches for 1,121 yards last season; he could stretch the seams in Denver.
Here we go: Two weeks (OK, 15 days) until the start of the 2022 NFL draft. The Jacksonville Jaguars are on the clock, of course, but they’re not the most interesting team in this draft. There are a whopping eight teams with two first-round picks — a record if it shakes out that way on April 28 — including Super Bowl contenders such as the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs. There are a lot of ways Round 1 could go, especially with the questions (and concerns) around the quarterback class.
Let’s get into my annual two-round mock draft, projecting pick Nos. 1-64. I have four quarterbacks and 12 wide receivers here, plus four edge defenders in the top seven picks. I have interesting landing spots for the offensive tackles. And I have one trade for a team moving back into Round 1 to get a critical need — and leaping another franchise that needs that position.
I’m projecting these 64 picks based on a combination of my updated rankings, team needs and what I’m hearing from execs, scouts and coaches in the league. For the second round, in particular, so much could change between now and when teams are on the clock, so I’m using my Big Board as a guide on value.
If you want to go deeper than the first two rounds, check out Jordan Reid’s seven-round mock. And you can catch the one-hour SportsCenter Special on Wednesday breaking down these picks at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN2 and ESPN+.
Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan
There’s really no need to overthink things here. Hutchinson is the best prospect in this class — an edge rusher who could average 12 sacks a year for a decade — and he plays a premier position. He could play as a stand-up outside linebacker or hand-in-the-dirt end for the Jaguars, meeting quarterbacks in the backfield with 2019 first-rounder Josh Allen.
Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner, CB, Cincinnati
Can I interest you in a 6-foot-3 corner with long arms and 4.41 40-yard dash speed who didn’t allow a single touchdown in coverage in college? That’s Gardner. The Lions have several needs and would likely jump at Aidan Hutchinson if he somehow fell here. If they can get something out of Jeff Okudah, the No. 3 overall pick in the 2020 draft who has played just 10 games in two seasons, they could have a much-improved secondary.
Travon Walker, DE, Georgia
I don’t think anyone outside the organization really knows what the Texans will do in Round 1. For this mock, I’m trying to think long-term with Houston, which just has to add some talent. Walker is a bit of risk in the top 10; NFL teams are betting that his physical tools will win out over his subpar college production (9.5 sacks in three seasons). Coaches want to try to maximize that upside. There is a lot of buzz on Walker going early.
Kayvon Thibodeaux, DE, Oregon
I’m not buying a Thibodeaux drop. He might be the most talented prospect in this class. The Jets have to add some juice to their pass rush, and this is the spot to do it. It’s also not out of the question that they take a receiver here — Drake London or Garrett Wilson? — because their top guy might be off the board by the time they pick at No. 10.
Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State
If the board shakes out this way, the Giants would have to be thrilled to get their pick of the top two offensive tackles. I have Ekwonu just slightly over Evan Neal, but it’s tough to go wrong with either — they are my Nos. 2 and 3 prospects in this class. Ekwonu answered every question about his pass-protection ability last season. If left tackle Andrew Thomas keeps improving, these two could form one of the NFL’s best bookend pairings.
Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
Doesn’t Carolina coach Matt Rhule have to take a swing on a quarterback here? The Panthers don’t have second- or third-round picks. Rhule will enter the season on the hot seat, and this is his chance to buy some time with a high-ceiling rookie signal-caller. Willis is going to make some mistakes, but he will be fun to watch. He might nail a perfect deep ball to Robby Anderson and then throw a pick in the red zone on the next play. But he’s going to keep getting better with more time, and Carolina does have some skill position talent to help him.
Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State
The Giants can get their tackle at No. 5 and then focus on their defense, which allowed 4.7 yards per play last season (31st in the NFL). Johnson had 12 sacks last season and was one of the most impressive prospects at the Senior Bowl in January. He already has a few veteran pass-rush moves and can be an instant starter. He also played a lot of outside linebacker for the Seminoles, so he has some versatility in Wink Martindale’s defense. And if you’re keeping track, this makes four edge rushers in the top seven picks.
Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State
I’m going to stick with this prediction because … who is Marcus Mariota going to throw to next season? The Falcons just don’t have any starting-caliber receivers. Wilson can run every route and beat defenders after the catch. He could be the early favorite for rookie of the year if he lands here — he’d get a bunch of targets. Atlanta will likely be tracking the edge rushers closely, but there isn’t value at this point on my board.
play
1:45
Look back at Garrett Wilson’s college career and why he is a star in the making at WR.
Evan Neal, OT, Alabama
This is another team that ends up with an ideal scenario. Veteran left tackle Duane Brown is still unsigned, so Neal could start from Day 1. It just makes too much sense. I’m not a huge believer that Drew Lock will be Seattle’s quarterback answer for the long term, but Neal could be a stalwart on the left side for years to come.
Drake London, WR, USC
If the Jets can pull this off — a top-tier receiver here and a high-upside edge rusher at No. 4 — shouldn’t they be considered one of the most improved teams of the offseason? I like what they’ve done, and they haven’t had to break the bank. Of course, that doesn’t mean they’re going to be AFC East contenders just yet. London is a 6-foot-4 target who will dominate in the red zone and pull down 50-50 balls to boost Zach Wilson’s completion percentage.
Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
Hamilton has been dinged a little bit because of his 40 time, which was a 4.59 at the combine and a little slower at his pro day. He’s a fantastic player, but he doesn’t have rare physical tools, which means he could fall out of the top 10. I would want him on my team. At 6-foot-4, he could play multiple positions, from center fielder to box linebacker. He would make plays for a Washington defense that disappointed in 2021.
Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU
This is a great fit for both sides. The Vikings could get a corner with an elite, All-Pro ceiling and plug a hole, while Stingley could join a team with a few other former LSU stars (Justin Jefferson, Danielle Hunter, Patrick Peterson). The worry on Stingley is that his best tape is from 2019, when he starred as a true freshman. Can he return to form in the NFL — and stay healthy? That’s a risk teams will have to consider. Still, I feel better making that bet at No. 12 than if I was picking in the top five.
Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State
I’m going to stick to my board here, and since my top-11 prospects have all been picked (plus Malik Willis), I’ll move on to No. 12. Cross is a superb pass-blocker who needs some refinement in the run game — because he just didn’t get the reps to do so while playing for Mike Leach. Ultimately, if the Texans are going to give Davis Mills the 2022 season to prove he’s their guy at quarterback, Mills needs a better right tackle. That could be Cross.
Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
The Ravens could go in several directions here, including offensive tackle (will Ronnie Stanley ever be the same again?) and defensive end (Calais Campbell is back, but he’s 35). When I look at this depth chart, though, I see corner depth as an issue. McDuffie has the versatility to play outside and in the slot, and he also will wrap up and bring down ball carriers in the run game. He’s physical.
Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
After last week’s trade with the Saints, the Eagles now have one fewer first-round pick, but you have to think they’ll take a receiver with one of them, right? If they’re committed to using 2022 as an evaluation year for Jalen Hurts, the best way they can evaluate him is to give him the tools to succeed. Olave had seven touchdowns out of the slot last season, but he can move outside, too, and use his 4.39 40 speed to get open. Hurts would love throwing to him and DeVonta Smith, with Dallas Goedert working the middle of the field.
Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa
Speaking of the Saints, I have a hard time believing the trade with the Eagles was to take a quarterback. Why wouldn’t they try to move up higher? (Unless there’s another move to come.) It’s possible they think they are NFC contenders this season and could be put over the edge with two more starters. With that in mind, here’s a tackle who could replace Terron Armstead on the left side. Penning is a nasty, physical blocker who is ready to play immediately.
Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia
The Chargers need a right tackle, but with Trevor Penning off the board, I don’t feel great about the value here. In fact, my next tackle in this mock doesn’t go off the board until No. 42. Let’s move instead to another need for L.A. and fill it with Davis, who at 6-foot-6 and 341 pounds is used to being a hole-filler. He has unique physical tools for his size, and he makes everyone around him better because of the space he eats. This is how Brandon Staley’s defense can level up in 2022.
Nakobe Dean, ILB, Georgia
I see a massive void in the middle of the Eagles’ front seven, and we’re getting to the point in this draft in which an off-ball linebacker will be taken. I have Devin Lloyd just ahead of Dean in my rankings, but there are teams that will fall in love with Dean’s intangibles. He’s a tremendous teammate who was the leader of the national champs’ historic defense. He’s a little undersized, but he can play sideline to sideline.
Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
Even if Michael Thomas comes back healthy, the Saints should address wide receiver with one of their two first-round picks. Williams would have been in the discussion to be the No. 1 wideout in this class, but he tore his ACL in the national title game in January and could miss a little time in 2022. He could be a superstar once he’s healthy; he has explosive speed and was uncoverable for the Crimson Tide last season. ACL injuries aren’t even close to career-ending anymore, so I don’t see this as a risky pick. Williams is worth it.
play
1:32
Check out the best moments from Jameson Williams at Alabama as he gets ready for the NFL draft.
Kenny Pickett, QB, Pitt
I’d feel much more comfortable taking Pickett here than I would in the top 10. Best-case scenario is that he’s Derek Carr, and his floor is as an Andy Dalton-type, which isn’t a bad quarterback by any means. Pittsburgh can win with that. Still, those two were taken in Round 2 and didn’t have Round 1 expectations surrounding them. If Pickett falls into the Steelers’ laps here, he’d be tough to pass up. And he has a little more upside than Mitch Trubisky.
Devin Lloyd, ILB, Utah
I thought about a wide receiver and cornerback here, but Lloyd just feels like a Bill Belichick-type player. He’s always around the ball, is a great blitzer from the middle of the defense and makes plays. The Patriots allowed 4.5 yards per carry last season, which ranked 25th in the league. This fills a void with an impact player.
Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State
There could be a run on wide receivers in the 20s, starting with the Patriots and Packers. We know Green Bay needs one after the Davante Adams trade, but I don’t think general manager Brian Gutekunst is going to force it. Watson is a riser, as teams see a 6-foot-4 receiver with 4.36 40 speed and elite measurables and think he can be a big-play threat who can grow into a better route runner. Watson averaged 20.4 yards per catch in his college career. Watson is ready to contribute for Aaron Rodgers as a rookie.
Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
Burks can be used in different roles — he even ran 19 routes out of the backfield last season — and will be dynamic after the catch. He will take screens and short passes for scores. For Arizona, this is about helping replacing Christian Kirk and getting some help for an offense that struggled when DeAndre Hopkins went down last season.
Arnold Ebiketie, DE, Penn State
McShay is getting tired of me talking up Ebiketie, but I’m a fan. I wanted to find a fit for him in Round 1. The Temple transfer really improved last season, putting up 9.5 sacks. He has a powerful lower body and knows how to use his hands. The Cowboys have to find a way to replace Randy Gregory, and Ebiketie could help. They could also target a guard or wide receiver here.
Daxton Hill, DB, Michigan
I just moved Hill way up on my Big Board. NFL teams love his versatility — he played more than 550 snaps at nickelback in 2021 — and think he could play both corner and safety. He might be a slot corner if he ends up in Buffalo, which lost Levi Wallace in free agency and has Tre’Davious White returning from an ACL tear. Andrew Booth Jr. (Clemson) and Kyler Gordon (Washington) are two other corners to keep an eye on. The Bills have one of the best rosters in the league.
Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State
The Titans need to get faster at receiver next to A.J. Brown. That’s not Robert Woods’ game. Dotson, who ran a 4.43 40 at the combine, caught 91 passes last season, 33 coming from the slot. He would give Ryan Tannehill more easy throws because he can scoot after the catch. Tennessee could also target the best offensive lineman available with this pick. On my board, that would be center Tyler Linderbaum (Iowa), and he could play some guard.
Devonte Wyatt, DT, Georgia
The Bucs are another team that could take a guard in Round 1, but I see a fit with Wyatt, who could take Ndamukong Suh’s spot next to Vita Vea. Wyatt played mostly as a 3-technique tackle for the Bulldogs, but he could play end in a 3-4 defense, too. He wasn’t a super productive pass-rusher (2.5 sacks last season), but he has the physical tools that coordinators will want to mold. Cornerback could be a possibility for Tampa Bay as well.
Zion Johnson, G/C, Boston College
Johnson’s positional flex is impressive to teams, as he dominated as a guard last season — he didn’t allow a single pressure — and took snaps at center at the Senior Bowl. He’d most likely play guard in Green Bay, which lost Lucas Patrick in free agency. Packers fans (and Aaron Rodgers) should be happy with this first-round haul, and the franchise has two second-round picks as well.
Andrew Booth Jr., CB, Clemson
The loss in free agency of cornerback Charvarius Ward shouldn’t go unnoticed. He had developed into a really solid player. The Kansas City defense improved as the 2021 season went along, but it has to get deeper in the secondary. Booth is a smooth 6-foot corner with good ball skills who played both outside and in the slot in college.
George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue
No wide receiver? Let me explain. First, the Chiefs also have two second- and two third-round picks. They could take one (or two) wide receivers with those selections. This is a deep class, and they could find better value there. And second, defensive end is a need as well. If Karlaftis is on the board, he’d be an ideal end next to Chris Jones, who does his best work from the interior. Karlaftis didn’t always get home to quarterbacks last season (only 4.5 sacks), but he created pressures in their face.
Projected trade: Jets move up for … a center?
How about a third first-round selection from the Jets? In this scenario, with a glaring hole at center and the top guy still on the board, they deal No. 35 and a Day 3 pick to get back into Round 1. And crucially, they keep their pick at No. 38, which allows them to get more help.
The Bengals would move down just four spots and pick up an extra fourth-rounder. They signed center Ted Karras in free agency among other moves to upgrade their O-line, so their need isn’t as big.
Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa
Could Linderbaum be the Jets’ new Nick Mangold? They took Mangold at pick No. 29 in 2006 and have been trying to fill that void at center since he left the team after the 2016 season. Some NFL teams are putt off by Linderbaum’s short arms, but just watch the tape. He has the physical traits to be an All-Pro and is exceptional as both a run and pass blocker. He’s exactly what the Jets need, and this is tremendous value.
Lewis Cine, S, Georgia
The more I talk to people in the league, the more I think the Lions will stand pat on a quarterback with their three picks in the top 34. Jared Goff can be the starter in 2022, and if he struggles, chances are Detroit will be right back in the mix for the No. 1 overall pick, which it can use on a signal-caller. Cine is the fifth Georgia defender in the top 32 picks here (with more to come). He’s a good cover safety who is rising after he ran a 4.37 40 at the combine.
ROUND 2
Kenyon Green, G, Texas A&M
Green is my top-ranked guard, and a I could see a team falling in love with him in the 20s. He might not be on the board here. Green played everything except center for the Aggies, but he should stick at guard in the NFL. The Jaguars, who have spent a lot of money in free agency — including on guard Brandon Scherff — should try to trade this pick and add extra assets. Taking Green helps them immediately, though.
David Ojabo, OLB, Michigan
Ojabo is my top-ranked outside linebacker, even after he tore his Achilles last month and could miss most of the season. If the Lions are thinking long-term, they could get a steal with a high-ceiling edge rusher.
Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida
Cornerback is the position the Bengals should target if they keep the No. 31 pick, and they should be thrilled with Elam here. He locked down receivers for the Gators and then ran a 4.39 40 at the combine. He could be a Day 1 starter for Cincinnati.
Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor
This makes five safeties off the board in the top 36 picks. Pitre was stellar against the run last season; he had 20 run stops, according to ESPN Stats & Info, which were the most by any FBS defensive back. He impressed teams at the Senior Bowl. The Giants could target a wide receiver here, depending on how the board falls. The 6-foot-3 George Pickens (Georgia) could make sense.
Jaquan Brisker, S, Penn State
Brisker is a physical defensive back with versatility. He played down in the box at times for the Nittany Lions, blowing up running lanes. The Texans let Justin Reid leave in free agency, and they have multiple holes in the secondary.
Breece Hall, RB, Iowa State
Day 2 is when teams should take running backs, and the Jets would be getting the clear top back in this class. Hall can do it all, from forcing missed tackles to catching passes. If the Jets are serious about helping Zach Wilson, they should take Hall. This scenario gives them Hall, Kayvon Thibodeaux, Drake London and Tyler Linderbaum with their first four picks, which would have them well on the way to an “A” grade.
Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington
The Bears could go several ways here, including offensive tackle, wide receiver and guard. With Gordon still available, though, I’d pounce. He has lockdown traits and didn’t allow a single touchdown in coverage last season. There has been a great history of teams finding starting corners in the second round, and Gordon has a great chance to play early.
play
0:52
Check out some of CB Kyler Gordon’s highlights from his time with the Washington Huskies.
Desmond Ridder, QB, Cincinnati
Here’s a landing spot for the third quarterback in this class. Are the Seahawks really going to start Drew Lock all year? I don’t buy it. Ridder is an experienced, savvy signal-caller (43 college wins) who can be a little erratic at times. If he can get his accuracy issues under control, he could be a starter, especially with the type of targets Seattle has. This might be the best-case scenario for the franchise, because Ridder won’t have the expectations of a first-round pick while playing in the shadow of Russell Wilson.
Quay Walker, LB, Georgia
The sixth Georgia defender off the board so far, Walker is a big and tough linebacker who could try to fill the void left by Bobby Wagner’s departure. I was a big fan of the Seahawks taking Jordyn Brooks in Round 1 in 2020, and this would give them two off-ball linebackers to crush ball carriers and get their hands in passing lanes.
Bernhard Raimann, OT, Central Michigan
There’s a drop off in the tackle class after the top four guys, but there could be a run of them in Round 2. Raimann, who started his college career as a tight end and moved to tackle in 2020, has the physical tools that will entice teams. He needs to be coached hard. This is the Colts’ only pick in the first two rounds, so they have to make it count.
Boye Mafe, OLB, Minnesota
The Falcons had just 18 sacks last season, which ranked last in the league. Outside of Grady Jarrett, who in their front seven will scare teams? Mafe had seven sacks last season and was really good during Senior Bowl practices. At 6-foot-3 and 261 pounds, he fits in Atlanta’s 3-4 scheme.
Travis Jones, DT, Connecticut
Like the Colts, the Browns have just one pick in the first two rounds, and Jones would fill a need. The 6-foot-4 and 325-pound nose tackle can eat up space and allow the rest of the defense to find the football. He might end up as only a two-down defender; I’d feel better about taking him in Round 2 than in the top 32.
Channing Tindall, LB, Georgia
OK, this is the last of the Georgia defenders in my mock draft, and this guy never even made a start for the national champs (in 50 career games). He still played a lot, of course, and had 19 pressures last season. His 4.47 40 at 230 pounds at the combine was extremely impressive. For the Ravens, he could compete for a starting spot at inside linebacker and be a core contributor on special teams.
Perrion Winfrey, DT, Oklahoma
Winfrey is more of a classic 3-technique penetrating tackle, and he was one of the biggest risers after his performance at the Senior Bowl. Linemen couldn’t block him. He didn’t always get the chance to create havoc at Oklahoma. Winfrey could be great next to nose tackle Dalvin Tomlinson for Minnesota.
George Pickens, WR, Georgia
I love this for Washington, which could get a 6-foot-3 outside receiver with No. 1 traits. He tore his ACL last spring and returned late in the 2021 season, making an impact down the stretch. It’s no guarantee he lasts until Round 2 — teams could think long-term and be patient with him — but the Commanders should try to pair him with Terry McLaurin.
Tyler Smith, OT/G, Tulsa
I mentioned Chicago’s offensive line need at No. 39, and Smith could play a role at guard or tackle. He played left tackle for the Golden Hurricane, but some teams view him as a better guard at the next level. He has to be more consistent and work on his technique — he was called for a whopping 12 penalties last season — but the tools are there.
Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss
Corral is a tough evaluation. He wants to play like Josh Allen but doesn’t have the size — he’s only 6-foot-2. He was the only player in the country last season with 3,300-plus passing yards and 500-plus rushing yards. Will he be able to consistently make every throw in the NFL? That’s why I think he’s a safer bet on Day 2. He would make a lot of sense in New Orleans, where he could get an evaluation year behind Jameis Winston.
Skyy Moore, WR, Western Michigan
Happy now, Chiefs fans? Here’s a speedy 5-foot-10 wide receiver who will look just a little similar to Tyreek Hill. I’ve called Moore the most underrated player in this class. I love what he does after the catch — he forced 30 missed tackles last season, which ranked second in FBS among receivers — and he doesn’t drop passes. He has huge hands. He’s not going to be a straight replacement for Hill, but he’ll contribute as a rookie.
Drake Jackson, DE/OLB, USC
There was a time when I thought Jackson might be a top-10 pick, but he never quite put everything together for the Trojans. Still, NFL teams will see his size (6-foot-3, 254 pounds) and physical traits and think they can coach him to hit his ceiling. For the Eagles, Jackson might be a situational pass-rusher at first while he develops his game. Edge rush is a clear need for Philly.
John Metchie III, WR, Alabama
Metchie tore his ACL in December, but he was having a fantastic season, with 96 catches for 1,142 yards and eight scores. He can play in the slot and make a difference in the middle of the field for the Steelers, which let JuJu Smith-Schuster walk in free agency. Metchie should be able to recover to play in Week 1 — and potentially help Kenny Pickett.
Alec Pierce, WR, Cincinnati
My comp for Pierce will be familiar to Packers fans — it’s Jordy Nelson. And Green Bay got Nelson in the second round, too. The 6-foot-3 Pierce ran a 4.41 40 at the combine and also had a 40.5-inch vertical. He has rare physical tools, which have him climbing draft boards. He could thrive on go routes from Aaron Rodgers.
Logan Hall, DL, Houston
This is another Patriots-type pick, because Hall is a bit of a tweener. At 6-foot-6 and 283 pounds, he might be best suited for a defensive end spot in a 3-4 scheme, or he could kick inside and play as a 3-technique tackle. Bill Belichick & Co. will be able to use him in different ways. Hall has put on more than 50 pounds since high school, so he’s still growing into his frame.
Roger McCreary, CB, Auburn
McCreary is fundamentally sound and advanced in his technique, but he’s undersized (5-foot-11) with short arms. He’s also not as explosive as a few other corners in this class. Still, he has some great tape, and I don’t think he’ll drop past Round 3, because he could be a great nickel corner. Arizona has to add quality depth in the secondary.
Abraham Lucas, OT, Washington State
The Cowboys released La’el Collins and think Terence Steele, a former undrafted free agent, can be the starter at right tackle. Let’s add some competition, though. Lucas impressed at the combine, and he stonewalled edge rushers on the right side for the Cougars. If he doesn’t start at tackle, he could move inside to guard. The O-line is a clear area to upgrade for Dallas.
Kenneth Walker III, RB, Michigan State
Bills fans would be thrilled with these two picks, right? Buffalo would address its hole in the secondary with Daxton Hill in Round 1, then get a starting-caliber late in Round 2. Walker is a bulldozer with some juice through the hole. He wasn’t used much as a receiver in college (just 19 career catches), so that’s a question mark. But for a team that needs to take pressure off its quarterback and has excellent receivers, Walker could thrive.
Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State
Andersen played as an off-ball linebacker — and quarterback, running back — in college, racking up 150 tackles last season. He impressed at the combine, running a 4.42 40 at 6-foot-3 and 243 pounds. That’s an elite number. Atlanta just has to focus on replenishing its roster, so this is great value.
play
0:45
Check out the best highlights from Troy Andersen’s collegiate career at Montana State.
Myjai Sanders, DE/OLB, Cincinnati
Sanders weighed just 228 pounds at the combine and reportedly had lost weight because of a stomach bug. He should settle in the 240-range in the NFL, and he might be best suited as an outside linebacker. But he has some explosive traits off the edge, and he could be an interesting high-upside pick on Day 2. The Packers have to add young edge talent in this draft.
Cole Strange, G, Chattanooga
Super Bowl contenders are allowed to use the draft to fill needs, because they don’t have many holes. And really, the Bucs and Bills are the two teams with the fewest number of obvious holes. With Ali Marpet retiring and Alex Cappa signing with the Bengals, Tampa will have two new starters at guard. Strange made 44 starts in college and showed at the Senior Bowl that he could play with the best of the best.
Cam Taylor-Britt, DB, Nebraska
This is the 49ers’ debut pick in this draft, but this late in Round 2, they’re not going to be guaranteed to get a starter. They can take a need position, sure, but they shouldn’t reach to make it happen. Taylor-Britt makes sense because he has some raw tools with which to work and has the skill set to play multiple spots. He had 11 pass breakups last season. San Francisco signed Charvarius Ward but should add corner depth.
Jalen Tolbert, WR, South Alabama
How about one more wideout for the Chiefs? Tolbert had 2,559 receiving yards over the past two seasons. At 6-foot-1 and 194 pounds, he has the ability to run every route, and coach Andy Reid can scheme him open around the formation. This lets Kansas City try to replace Tyreek Hill with two wideouts (I also gave it Skyy Moore earlier in the round), both of whom will need some time to adjust to the NFL.
Greg Dulcich, TE, UCLA
Let’s end this projection with the top tight ends in the class. Dulcich averaged 17.3 yards per catch last season, lining up mostly next to offensive tackles. He ran some routes out of the slot, but if the Bengals want to replace C.J. Uzomah with a similar tight end, that’s Dulcich.
Trey McBride, TE, Colorado State
McBride is more advanced as a pass-catcher than Dulcich, which is what the Broncos need with new quarterback Russell Wilson. With Noah Fant off to Seattle, there are targets available. McBride had 90 catches for 1,121 yards last season; he could stretch the seams in Denver.
As we approach two weeks until the start of Round 1 of the 2022 NFL draft (April 28 on ESPN and ABC), teams are putting the finishing touches on their boards, using college tape and data from the all-star game circuit, combine and pro days to help stack prospects. Most pro days have been completed, but USC wide receiver Drake London, who will work out Friday, has a chance to lock in his top-10 status with a great workout.
This draft class is unlike any we’ve seen in recent memory, as there are a record eight teams with multiple first-round picks, including the New York Giants and New York Jets, who each have two in the top 10. As we saw with the Saints-Eagles trade recently, there could be a lot of maneuvering in Round 1, with franchises trying to trade up to get their guy.
Below is my prediction for how all seven rounds will play out later this month, as I projected all 262 picks, which is the most in a draft since 2003. I have write-ups on my picks in the first three rounds, then matched names to teams for the final four rounds. I also picked my favorite prospect-team fits for Rounds 4-7.
Let’s start with the Jacksonville Jaguars at No. 1 and keep going until we finish with the San Francisco 49ers at No. 262. Compensatory picks are denoted with an asterisk.
Jump to a round: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7
ROUND 1
Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan
This pick points toward an edge rusher, based on what the Jags have done this offseason. Hutchinson has the ability to pressure quarterbacks from day one; he’s already polished as a pass-rusher. He would give the Jaguars an instant-impact defender.
Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
As I wrote in my QB mock draft last week, either you love this idea or you’re absolutely against it. Jared Goff is under contract for two more seasons, which would allow the Lions to bring Willis along slowly.
There’s no guarantee that the franchise can position itself next year to be in contention for a top 2023 signal-caller. This is an ideal situation for Willis, as the team is set to have plenty of draft capital to continue to build the roster in the future.
Evan Neal, OT, Alabama
With arguably the worst roster in the NFL right now, the Texans are in a position to accumulate as much talent at premium positions as possible. Neal is a high-floor player who can play immediately and bolster an offensive line that already includes Laremy Tunsil and Tytus Howard.
Kayvon Thibodeaux, DE Oregon
The Jets need pass-rushers. Carl Lawson will return after tearing his Achilles in training camp last season, but they need more talent and depth. The franchise hasn’t had a player reach double-digit sacks since Muhammad Wilkerson in 2015.
Pairing Thibodeaux alongside Lawson gives the Jets a formidable tandem moving forward.
Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State
The Giants could have four new starters along the offensive line in 2002. Ekwonu could play right tackle and pair with Andrew Thomas as bookends to build around. He brings physicality and nastiness to a front that sorely lacks that type of attitude, and he’s a consistent player.
Kenny Pickett, QB, Pitt
The Panthers’ quarterback of the future isn’t on the roster. Of all the signal-callers in this class, Pickett and Desmond Ridder (Cincinnati) are the two most ready to step into an NFL game and produce. With coach Matt Rhule having history with Pickett, this pick makes sense.
Travon Walker, DE, Georgia
Walker, a hot name in draft circles, is a massive end with unique physical traits. Teams in the top 10 could bank on his upside and potential and take him early, even if he had only 9.5 career sacks.
General manager Joe Schoen, who came from Buffalo, was in a regime that wasn’t afraid of taking risky, high-ceiling prospects, as he played a part in the selections of Josh Allen and Greg Rousseau.
Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
The Falcons need talent at nearly every position across the board. General manager Terry Fontenot could focus instead on taking the best prospect available. The 6-foot-4, 220-pound Hamilton brings a tremendous skill set to the defensive backfield. He can be a playmaker and tone-setter for Atlanta.
Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner, CB, Cincinnati
With plenty of draft capital over the next two years following the Russell Wilson trade, the Seahawks have an opportunity to reshape the roster on both sides of the ball. Gardner fits well into the defensive scheme and has the traits of the prototype they have coveted in previous years.
With the potential to be a lockdown corner, he could land in a situation in which he will be relied upon early.
Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State
General manager Joe Douglas is one of the most tight-lipped executives in the league — basically, pay attention to his actions rather than his quotes. After making an aggressive move for Tyreek Hill, it’s clear that he wants a high-end receiver on the roster. Wilson brings ability reminiscent of Stefon Diggs when he came out of Maryland.
Drake London, WR, USC
With Carson Wentz in the picture now, the Commanders would be wise to set him up with as many prime targets as possible. Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel are on the roster, and London is a 6-foot-4 X receiver who complements both of their skill sets.
He is a big, physical target and underrated route runner, and he reminds me a lot of former Clemson wideout Mike Williams, who was taken in Round 1 by the Chargers in 2017.
Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU
The Vikings still need a corner, even after bringing back Patrick Peterson. Plus, there are already a lot of LSU connections on the roster. Along with Peterson, the Vikings recently hired Darone Jones, the defensive coordinator and defensive backs coach for the Tigers a season ago.
Ability isn’t the question with Stingley — it’s availability. He has missed 13 games over the past two seasons after a standout freshman season in 2019. Minnesota could bet on the traits to overcome the durability concerns and select Stingley here, which is where I see the floor of his draft range.
Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia
At 6-foot-6, 341 pounds, Davis is a wide-bodied interior defender with unheard-of physical tools at that size. I projected offensive tackle Evan Neal to Houston with its first pick, and general manager Nick Caserio could keep building up the trenches by selecting Davis.
Three-down value will be a big factor for Davis’ draft range, but he has the potential to up his production. His presence impacts the 10 other players on the field with him, even if it doesn’t always show up in the box score.
Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State
After getting five sacks and three forced fumbles from rookie Odafe Oweh, their first-round pick last year, the Ravens could try to pair him with another edge rusher in Johnson.
He is a ready-made run defender as well as a mature pass-rusher. Johnson is firm at the point of attack and has a determined mentality throughout games and a playing style that would fit well in Baltimore.
Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
Time to break the streak for the Eagles? They haven’t drafted a corner in the first round since Lito Sheppard in 2002. McDuffie makes a lot of sense here. Although he doesn’t have the prototypical size (5-foot-11) or length for an outside corner, he plays much bigger than his size.
He is an intense run defender and isn’t afraid to come up to the line of scrimmage and strike ball carriers. He played primarily zone coverage with the Huskies but has potential as a man corner because of his quick feet, patient technique and strong instincts.
Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State
Cross is the most polished pass-protector of this class of offensive tackles, but evaluators in the league have mixed opinions about his ceiling. Because of his inexperience as a run-blocker, he projects better to a team that wants to throw the ball heavily.
With Terron Armstead now in Miami, Cross can slide into the left tackle spot as a day one starter in New Orleans.
Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa
A receiver here could be a possibility, but protecting Justin Herbert is more valuable. After cutting Bryan Bulaga, the only right tackles on the roster are Storm Norton and Foster Sarell.
The Chargers struck gold with left tackle Rashawn Slater in Round 1 last season, and general manager Tom Telesco could get his right tackle of the future in Penning, who brings a tone-setting presence to the line.
George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue
Karlaftis is a tough defender with plenty of pop in his hands, but he won’t be a fit for every defense. His versatility to play down the line of scrimmage will likely appeal to the Eagles even though his upside might not be as high as that of some of the other edge rushers in this class.
Karlaftis projects as a starter in defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon’s scheme as a base end.
Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
Williams would have been in contention to be the top wide receiver before he tore his ACL in the national title game in January. He has tremendous vertical speed that places stress on defenses.
In need of a wide receiver, the Saints could bet on him overcoming the injury as he said at the combine that the injury will take “five to seven months” to overcome. Pairing Williams with Michael Thomas gives the team a dynamic outside duo.
Zion Johnson, G, Boston College
Even after adding James Daniels in free agency, the Steelers could continue to add along the offensive line.
There hasn’t been a player that I’ve been more impressed with throughout the pre-draft process than Johnson. With versatility at guard and tackle throughout his career, he gained experience at center during the all-star game circuit and didn’t suffer any type of drop-off. He could compete with free-agent signing Mason Cole for the top center spot.
Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah
This pick will likely come down to a wide receiver, linebacker or corner. Lloyd is a former safety with easy movement skills and versatility. He was at the center of it all for the Utes’ defense and was able to generate lots of negative plays against opposing offenses.
Lloyd is rangy when scraping over the top while also providing value as a blitzer. He has a game that revolves around speed and instincts and could be an ideal selection for New England.
Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
The Packers’ philosophy of waiting until Day 2 to draft wide receivers will be put to the test. They haven’t selected a first-round receiver since Javon Walker in 2002, and general manager Brian Gutekunst could nix the trend as Olave is too tough to pass up.
Olave is a smooth route runner whose strengths align perfectly with what Green Bay wants to execute on offense. He is a dynamic three-level threat who would quickly become a dangerous target with Aaron Rodgers.
play
1:27
Check out Chris Olave’s best moments in college that make him a top prospect in the 2022 NFL draft.
Devonte Wyatt, DT, Georgia
In need of help along the defensive line as well as at cornerback, the Cardinals have to get players who can create pressure on passers. Wyatt was somewhat of an unsung hero on Georgia’s talented defensive front, and his stock has skyrocketed since the conclusion of the season.
He is an explosive and heavy-handed 3-technique tackle, a true gap penetrator who quickly can pierce the first level of the line. Combining that with a rugged base as a run defender, he fits what the Cardinals are sorely lacking.
Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa
The Cowboys must replace guard Connor Williams and provide competition for center Tyler Biadasz. Linderbaum is a hard-nosed run-blocker who can win by cutting off angles and punishing interior defenders with physicality.
He needs to get stronger to improve his anchor as a pass protector, but he’s a significant upgrade over what Dallas has at left guard now.
Andrew Booth Jr., CB, Clemson
While Buffalo needs help along the defensive line, it has been hesitant to fill the CB2 spot, with Levi Wallace now with the Steelers and top corner Tre’Davious White recovering from the ACL tear he suffered last November. That leaves the team with a huge hole on the perimeter.
Even though Booth missed the combine after straining his quad and recently had surgery for a sports hernia, his traits, intensity as a run defender and ball skills are too good to pass up. Those are all attributes that general manager Brandon Beane and coach Sean McDermott will love about him.
Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
Burks is a jack-of-all-trades player who can thrive in many roles. After playing everything except offensive line as a sophomore at Arkansas, he gained more experience on the perimeter, showing flashes of his potential if he played solely as a receiver.
Coach Arthur Smith is the exact type of offensive coordinator Burks will need in order to take advantage of his skill set. The Titans should upgrade the wide receiver room, and Burks has the traits to become a great option with Ryan Tannehill’s playing style.
play
1:11
Check out the best highlights that helped Arkansas WR Treylon Burks have an excellent college career.
Kenyon Green, G, Texas A&M
Ali Marpet’s retirement was surprising, but the team quickly moved to acquire Shaq Mason. The Bucs still have a need at the other guard spot, though. At 6-foot-4, 323 pounds, Green is a sturdy option who played all five positions up front during his career with the Aggies,
He has the strength, awareness and physical traits necessary to immediately step into an NFL role.
Travis Jones, NT, UConn
Jones has helped himself during the pre-draft process more than any other prospect. At 6-foot-4, 325 pounds, he can play 0- or 1-technique with success because of how stout he is against the run while providing juice as a pass-rusher to collapse the pocket.
Whether it’s Gilbert Brown, B.J. Raji, Mike Daniels and now Kenny Clark, historically, the Packers’ defense has been at its best when there is a rock-solid option along the interior. Jones brings that skill set.
Boye Mafe, DE/OLB, Minnesota
An explosive and bendy edge rusher, Mafe could put his hand in the dirt or stand up as a 3-4 outside linebacker. His ability to shave the cup of the pocket and finish at the quarterback makes his traits appealing to the Chiefs, who are in need of consistent pass-rushers. He is also a strong-handed run defender and is consistent with slamming the door and pinning outside runs back inside.
Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State
In search of replacing Tyreek Hill, the Chiefs are likely to do it by committee instead of finding one player who can fully satisfy that role. Dotson has some of Hill’s traits. A precise route runner, he’s creative with a lot of his movements in order to gain separation.
Outside of his 5-foot-11 size, there aren’t a lot of holes to Dotson’s game. Along with Drake London, he has the biggest catch radius of any receiver in this class. It’s routine for him to catch passes well outside of the strike zone and put his body into uncomfortable spots in order to haul in throws.
Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida
Elam, who has gone under the radar in a loaded defensive back class, is a long and physical corner (6-foot-1, 192 pounds). He has easy movement skills, and teams will covet his length. He also has the ability to fight through the hands of receivers at “the moment of truth.”
Elam projects well into the Bengals’ scheme and would be a great supplement to a defense largely built through free agency. It wouldn’t be surprising if he goes higher than this spot, but landing with the Bengals is an ideal scenario.
Nakobe Dean, LB, Georgia
At the controls of one of the best defenses in college football history, Dean is a magnetic energizer bunny who doesn’t stop. The Lions could stick to their board of taking the best prospect available here.
Dean would provide an instant vocal leader on a defense that lacks that quality right now. His physicality and infectious energy make him the exact type of player general manager Brad Holmes and coach Dan Campbell want to continue to build this roster.
play
0:50
Check out the highlights from Georgia’s superstar linebacker Nakobe Dean.
ROUND 2
Daxton Hill, S, Michigan
Nickel corners have essentially become starters in the NFL, so think of Hill as a versatile chess piece. He has the ability to play multiple positions. Hill could provide competition to Andrew Wingard at free safety or he can join a talented young cornerback room that already includes Shaquill Griffin, Tyson Campbell and free-agent signing Darious Williams.
Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State
Amon-Ra St. Brown, a rookie last season, is on the fast track to being a fourth-round steal, while the Lions recently added DJ Chark Jr. on a one-year deal. Let’s add another target for them, though.
Watson is a 6-foot-4 receiver who could be the X receiver while Brown occupies the slot and Chark plays the Z. Perimeter pass-catchers are near the top of the Lions’ list of holes.
Jaquan Brisker, S, Penn State
The Jets signed Jordan Whitehead in free agency to fill the free safety role, and Brisker is a versatile safety who can play multiple spots to help the defense.
Quay Walker, LB, Georgia
In need of more speed on the second level, Walker brings a long, rangy and physical presence that is only scratching the surface of his potential. He was only a one-year starter at Georgia.
Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington
The Texans have to keep taking the best prospect available. Gordon would add competition in the corner room alongside Lonnie Johnson Jr. and Desmond King II.
Arnold Ebiketie, DE/OLB, Penn State
I projected the Jets to take Kayvon Thibodeaux in Round 1, and they could double up here. Ebiketie is a weakside end who could help as a pass-rusher early and be insurance in case Carl Lawson doesn’t return to form.
Tyler Smith, OT, Tulsa
A physical but raw blocker, Smith would bring more depth to an offensive front that lacks young talent. The Bears need to protect quarterback Justin Fields.
Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss
The Seahawks could take a chance on Corral here as a replacement for Russell Wilson. Corral is a fast processor with a lightning-quick release and quick feet. They could get a steal here.
Drake Jackson, DE/OLB, USC
With their second of two second-round selections, the Seahawks could take Jackson to provide help off the edge. He’s a quick-footed and long rusher who fits this scheme.
Desmond Ridder, QB, Cincinnati
The Colts have a few holes on their roster, so this could be a luxury pick to try to find the long-term successor to Matt Ryan. Still, the value is simply too good here to pass up.
DeMarvin Leal, DL, Texas A&M
Leal’s skill set and inside-out versatility make him an ideal fit in Dean Pees’ 3-4 defensive front. The Falcons must get bigger bodies along the D-line.
Perrion Winfrey, IDL, Oklahoma
Winfrey, who has helped himself throughout the pre-draft process, satisfies the Browns’ prospect thresholds and fits a hole in the middle of the defense.
Tariq Woolen, CB, UTSA
The 6-foot-4 Woolen is one of the most physically gifted corners we’ve seen in the past decade. In need of depth on the perimeter, the Ravens could take a liking to him as a developmental player behind Marlon Humphrey, Marcus Peters and Iman Marshall.
Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor
Pitre is a do-it-all chess piece in the secondary. I projected Derek Stingley Jr. to Minnesota in Round 1, and he and Pitre could help replenish this defense. Pitre is a playmaker with great size and speed.
Sam Howell, QB, North Carolina
The Commanders could look to give themselves a security blanket in case Carson Wentz doesn’t play well. Howell would be a welcome addition to a team searching for a long-term answer under center.
Skyy Moore, WR, Western Michigan
The Bears have patchworked the roster with calculated additions, but wide receiver is one spot they could aggressively attack in the draft. Moore is a compactly built wideout who has plenty of range as a pass-catcher.
Lewis Cine, S, Georgia
The Saints are in search of a Marcus Williams replacement, and Cine brings a lot of similar qualities as a single-high center fielder.
play
0:59
Jordan Reid lists Georgia safety Lewis Cine as his favorite under-the-radar player.
David Ojabo, DE/OLB, Michigan
After he was projected as a potential top-20 pick prior to his torn Achilles last month, Ojabo’s slide could end here. The Chiefs could take multiple pass-rushers with their six picks in the first three rounds.
Christian Harris, LB, Alabama
General manager Howie Roseman is notorious for devaluing the second level of the defense, but Harris provides a lot of value for a team that desperately needs help at off-ball linebacker.
Phidarian Mathis, IDL, Alabama
With his body type (6-foot-4, 310 pounds), strength at the point of attack and pass-rush improvement during his senior season, Mathis checks the boxes of the qualities the Steelers search for in defensive linemen.
George Pickens, WR, Georgia
The Packers are strict about their thresholds in the early rounds, but the 6-foot-3 Pickens has a lot of the prerequisites the team has looked for when drafting other receivers. Green Bay has to get a boundary receiver, and Pickens has some high-end traits.
John Metchie III, WR, Alabama
We know the Patriots like to draft Alabama players, and Metchie has familiarity with former teammate Mac Jones. Metchie, who tore his ACL in the SEC title game in December, brings traits that make him a high-quality No. 2 WR on the next level.
Roger McCreary, CB, Auburn
McCreary is only 5-foot-11, and his overall length could push him to the slot full-time. Still, size hasn’t been a factor for defensive backs the Cardinals have drafted in previous years. They could add him to a secondary that must continue to add young depth.
Jalen Tolbert, WR, South Alabama
Amari Cooper is now in Cleveland, and Michael Gallup could miss time early in the season because of his ACL injury, so the Cowboys have to think about wideout. Tolbert has a great overall skill set that translates well to the next level.
Breece Hall, RB, Iowa State
In search of a 1A type of rusher, the Bills could look to Hall, a young and versatile back who can be a three-down player for a team that has lacked consistency in the backfield and in the running game.
Jamaree Salyer, OL, Georgia
Salyer is a solid option who has played all five positions up front. For a team simply trying to add talent, he could be a plug-and-play option at any interior spot.
Trey McBride, TE, Colorado State
There are many directions the franchise could go here, but I’ll project the best prospect available. McBride is an F tight end Green Bay could use from multiple platforms in the passing game.
Logan Hall, IDL, Houston
Without many holes on the roster, the Bucs could take Hall, a scheme-versatile interior defender. He had six sacks last season, mostly coming from the 3-technique position.
Cam Jurgens, C, Nebraska
Write this one in pen for one of my favorite team-player fits. Jurgens’ gap-to-gap style is a perfect fit in Kyle Shanahan’s scheme. For a team searching for interior help and a young center, he could turn into a contributor quickly here.
Martin Emerson, CB, Mississippi State
Emerson’s stock has been quiet, but the 6-foot-2 corner put up good numbers last season, The Chiefs like size on the outside based on general manager Brett Veach’s past draft class, so he could be a Day 2 option.
Jelani Woods, TE, Virginia
Woods has skyrocketed up draft boards because of his stellar measurables and testing numbers. He is raw but has a high ceiling. The Bengals lost C.J. Uzomah in free agency and have a hole at tight end.
Bernhard Raimann, OT, Central Michigan
There’s a chance Raimann goes much high than here, but I see him more as a Day 2 pick. In this situation, he’d get a chance to compete immediately at right tackle.
ROUND 3
Dylan Parham, C, Memphis
After the retirement of Brandon Linder, the Jaguars have a hole at center. Parham could step in right away and compete to start.
Cameron Thomas, DE, San Diego State
Thomas was one of the most disruptive defensive players in the country last season (27 tackles for loss). He has the skill set that will pique the interest of the Lions’ front office.
Greg Dulcich, TE, UCLA
Evan Engram is now gone, and the team released Kyle Rudolph this offseason. Dulcich could play a major tight end role in a position that has lacked consistency for the Giants over the past few seasons.
Kenneth Walker III, RB, Michigan State
With 11 picks in the draft, the Texans should stockpile talent, and this is a pick for the best prospect left on the board. Walker is a stocky rusher and natural tackle-breaker — he forced 85 missed tackles last season — who would add some playmaking in the backfield behind quarterback Davis Mills.
play
0:45
Kenneth Walker III sets the Michigan State record for longest play from scrimmage with this 94-yard TD run.
Sean Rhyan, OT, UCLA
The Jets could keep building up the trenches with Rhyan an option at guard or tackle. Mekhi Becton’s situation is still working itself out and George Fant is entering a contract year, which means Rhyan could serve as future insurance.
Channing Tindall, LB, Georgia
He was one of the unsung heroes of Georgia’s tenacious defense, and many scouts believe Tindall’s best football is ahead of him. He never started a game in college. The 230-pound linebacker ran a 4.47 40 at the combine.
Ed Ingram, IOL, LSU
I gave the Bears Tyler Smith in Round 2, so let’s add some more O-line help. Ingram is one of the best versatile midround options in this class.
Darian Kinnard, OL, Kentucky
The Seahawks could use help at offensive tackle, and the 6-foot-5, 322-pound Kinnard is a perfect fit in the team’s downhill running scheme. There are mixed opinions in the NFL on his best position — he could move inside to guard — but he is extremely strong at the point of attack.
Abraham Lucas, OT, Washington State
An experienced and nimble lineman, Lucas has the ability to play either tackle spot. He’s a ready-made pass-protector who shows promise as a run-blocker.
Calvin Austin III, WR, Memphis
There’s a strong case to be made that wide receiver is the Falcons’ No. 1 hole. Austin is only 5-foot-8, but he brings a vertical dynamic and speed that few can match on the field. He ran a 4.32 40 at the combine.
Chad Muma, LB, Wyoming
Even though the Broncos brought back Josey Jewell and signed Alex Singleton to a one-year deal, that shouldn’t stop general manager George Paton from finding depth at the second level. Muma is an instinctive linebacker who is a ball-location magnet against the run. He had 125 tackles last season.
Rasheed Walker, OT, Penn State
After signing Morgan Moses, the Ravens still need developmental depth. Walker makes sense, as he has spurts of positive play, but his technique leaves him still far away from being ready to step in and play meaningful snaps.
Josh Paschal, DL, Kentucky
Paschal’s versatility as a base end in a 3-4 defense makes him an ideal prospect in Minnesota’s new scheme. His lower-half strength, hand maturity and penetrating ability could make him an early contributor in Ed Donatell’s defense.
Alec Pierce, WR, Cincinnati
Pierce could get to stay in-state in this scenario, as the 6-foot-3 wideout would meet the physical requirements of what the Browns look for in prospects.
Leo Chenal, LB, Wisconsin
Chenal, who had 22 tackles for loss last season, impressed at the combine with his testing numbers at 6-foot-3, 250 pounds. He’s a spark plug against the run. For a team that struggled mightily in that area a season ago, his intensity could make them better.
Khalil Shakir, WR, Boise State
Shakir has quietly had an impressive pre-draft process. From the Senior Bowl to the combine, he has proved to be one of the most consistent wideouts in this class. He’s the type of prospect Houston should covet.
Kerby Joseph, S, Illinois
With only two safeties on the roster entering the draft, it’s clear the Giants could use a running mate alongside Xavier McKinney. Joseph, an ascending prospect who is only beginning to hit his stride, would complement McKinney’s skill set.
Isaiah Spiller, RB, Texas A&M
With Cordarrelle Patterson re-signing with the team on a one-year deal, the Falcons could still be in search of a younger, cost-controlled option. Spiller would be a great value pick at this point in the draft.
play
0:29
Isaiah Spiller hits the jets from 48 yards out to extend Texas A&M’s lead.
Wan’Dale Robinson, WR, Kentucky
Robinson had a magical season for the Wildcats after transferring from Nebraska. At 5-foot-8, 178 pounds, he could line up all over the offense. With a creative offensive mind like Nick Sirianni, his skill set could flourish.
Daniel Faalele, OT, Minnesota
The Steelers should continue their offensive line overhaul, and the 6-foot-8, 384-pound Faalele could compete at right tackle after some time adjusting to the NFL. With Dan Moore Jr. and newly re-signed Chukwuma Okorafor manning the starting tackle spots, he could be brought along slowly as a development option.
Jalyn Armour-Davis, CB, Alabama
Let’s continue with the Alabama-New England pipeline, as Armour-Davis would be a fit in the Patriots’ scheme. He also has value as a core-four special-teams player, which he did during his first few seasons with the Crimson Tide before becoming a starter last season.
Matthew Butler, IDL, Tennessee
The Raiders have to get some help in the trenches, and Butler is an explosive interior defender with a quick first step.
Kingsley Enagbare, DE/OLB, South Carolina
A strong edge setter with the versatility to kick inside on passing downs, Enagbare has the strength levels necessary to see playing time early in his career.
DeAngelo Malone, DE/OLB, Western Kentucky
Malone is one of the most disruptive and flexible edge rushers in this class. He’s a natural pass-rusher but will need to get stronger against the run. He has the potential to eventually be a Randy Gregory replacement if he can continue to add more weight to his 6-foot-3, 243-pound frame.
Marquis Hayes, IOL, Oklahoma
Hayes is a strong interior lineman who must clean up his technique to be a starter in the NFL. He wouldn’t be asked to start immediately for the Bills, but he could be a solid utility developmental prospect.
Nicholas Petit-Frere, OT, Ohio State
The Titans lack depth at offensive tackle, and Petit-Frere has starter-level traits that could be unlocked.
Cam Taylor-Britt, CB, Nebraska
Taylor-Britt, who has six interceptions over the past three seasons, is always around the ball. He’s tough and physical against the run and comes downhill with conviction. With Jamel Dean and Sean Murphy-Bunting entering contract years, Taylor-Britt is a future option at the position.
Alex Wright, EDGE, UAB
At 6-foot-5, 271 pounds, Wright is an edge rusher with upside who could play a specific role for Green Bay. He has flown under the radar during the pre-draft process, but don’t count out him playing early and often as a rookie.
Nick Cross, S, Maryland
The 49ers are in need of help on the back end, and Cross is an underrated prospect in a loaded safety class. As a traditional single-high, high-post safety, he provides a unique presence on the third level.
Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State
After striking gold with Nick Bolton in the second round a year ago, the Chiefs could keep upgrading the speed on the second level, as Andersen is an instinctive and rangy linebacker. He ran a 4.42 40 at the combine while weighing 243 pounds.
Max Mitchell, OT, Louisiana Lafayette
The Bengals have rebuilt their offensive line this offseason but now need depth there. Mitchell could serve as the swing tackle behind La’el Collins and Jonah Williams.
Nik Bonitto, DE/OLB, Oklahoma
The Broncos could get a steal in Bonitto, who could develop into an asset off the edge in a multiple-front defense.
David Bell, WR, Purdue
Bell didn’t test nearly as well as some thought he would at the combine, but the Lions could still take a chance here. They need pass-catchers to overhaul their offense. He has some Quintez Cephus to his game.
Carson Strong, QB, Nevada
With Jameis Winston and Andy Dalton already established in the New Orleans quarterback room, the Saints could still look at a mid-to-late-round option. Considering that they have a pass-happy offense, Strong’s traits align well.
play
0:26
Carson Strong airs it out for 33-yard TD Pass
Myjai Sanders, DE/OLB, Cincinnati
Finding help for Myles Garrett should be a point of emphasis for general manager Andrew Berry. Sanders is a long and explosive defender who plays the game with determination and effort off the edge. At 6-foot-5, 228 pounds, he needs to add some strength to become an every-down player.
Zach Carter, DL, Florida
A stout and consistent player at the point of attack, Carter is a 3-4 base end who is ready to play early as a run defender. If he becomes a more consistent pass-rusher, he could be a starter. He fits well in the Ravens’ odd defensive front.
Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati
After I projected the Eagles to add Trent McDuffie in the first round, here’s another defensive back for them.
The muscle of the Bearcats’ secondary, Cook is a physical safety who changes the outlook of a team’s run defense from the first day he’s on the field. He also has value in coverage in split-safety looks, which is what Philadelphia specializes in under defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon.
James Cook, RB, Georgia
After adding Tyreek Hill last month, the Dolphins now have one of the fastest offenses in the league, as Hill and Jaylen Waddle can fly. Even though they recently signed Chase Edmonds and Raheem Mostert, Cook makes sense as insurance.
Isaiah Likely, TE, Coastal Carolina
The Chiefs have the most picks in this draft (12), and this would be a selection to create competition, not address a hole. The No. 2 tight end spot is up for grabs as Likely could compete with Noah Gray.
Cole Strange, C, UT Chattanooga
A perfect fit in the Rams’ zone scheme, Strange played mostly guard during his career but looked good during his first stint at center during the week of practices at the Senior Bowl. His strength at the point of attack is underrated, and he has the quick feet to develop into a starter.
Marcus Jones, CB, Houston
Primarily a nickel corner on the next level, Jones was a touchdown waiting to happen in college. Whether it was as a return specialist or creating turnovers, good things seemed to always occur when he was around the football. The 49ers should create some competition at the nickel spot, and Jones is a serviceable option with the potential to make an impact defensively and on special teams.
ROUND 4
106. Jacksonville Jaguars: Justyn Ross, WR, Clemson 107. Houston Texans (via CLE/DET): Tyreke Smith, DE, Ohio State 108. Houston Texans: Verone McKinley III, S, Oregon 109. Seattle Seahawks (via NYJ): Brandon Smith, LB, Penn State 110. Baltimore Ravens (via NYG): Darrian Beavers, LB, Cincinnati 111. New York Jets (via CAR): Jerome Ford, RB, Cincinnati 112. New York Giants (via CHI): Luke Fortner, C, Kentucky 113. Washington Commanders: Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati 114. Atlanta Falcons: Christopher Allen, EDGE, Alabama 115. Denver Broncos: Joshua Williams, CB, Fayetteville State 116. Denver Broncos (via SEA): Tyler Allgeier, RB, BYU 117. New York Jets (via MIN): Otito Ogbonnia, DT, UCLA 118. Cleveland Browns: Brian Asamoah, LB, Oklahoma 119. Baltimore Ravens: Jesse Luketa, EDGE, Penn State 120. New Orleans Saints: Jeremy Ruckert, TE, Ohio State 121. Kansas City Chiefs (via MIA): JT Woods, S, Baylor 122. Indianapolis Colts: Romeo Doubs, WR, Nevada 123. Los Angeles Chargers: Haskell Garrett, DT, Ohio State 124. Philadelphia Eagles: Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State 125. Miami Dolphins (via PIT): Dohnovan West, C, Arizona State 126. Las Vegas Raiders: Mario Goodrich, CB, Clemson 127. New England Patriots: Joshua Ezeudu, OT, North Carolina 128. Baltimore Ravens (via ARI): Kevin Austin Jr., WR, Notre Dame 129. Dallas Cowboys: Markquese Bell, S, Florida A&M 130. Buffalo Bills: Kyle Philips, WR, UCLA 131. Tennessee Titans: Chigoziem Okonkwo, TE, Maryland 132. Green Bay Packers: Kellen Diesch, OT, Arizona State 133. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Malcolm Rodriguez, LB, Oklahoma State 134. San Francisco 49ers: Thomas Booker, DT, Stanford 135. Kansas City Chiefs: Pierre Strong Jr., RB, South Dakota State 136. Cincinnati Bengals: Eric Johnson, DT, Missouri State 137. Carolina Panthers (via LAR/HOU): Thayer Munford, OT, Ohio State 138. Pittsburgh Steelers*: Tyquan Thornton, WR, Baylor 139. Baltimore Ravens*: Sam Williams, EDGE, Ole Miss 140. Green Bay Packers*: Leon O’Neal Jr., S, Texas A&M 141. Baltimore Ravens*: Damone Clark, LB, LSU 142. Los Angeles Rams*: Alec Lindstrom, C, Boston College 143. Tennessee Titans*: Bailey Zappe, QB, Western Kentucky
My favorite prospect-team fit in Round 4: WR Justyn Ross to the Jaguars (106). The 6-foot-4 former Clemson star knows quarterback Trevor Lawrence well and could be a high-upside outside target. The problem is durability, as Ross had surgery on his foot and for a congenital fusion in his spine over the past two years. He had 46 catches for 514 yards and three scores last season.
ROUND 5
144. Carolina Panthers (via JAX): Dominique Robinson, EDGE, Miami (OH) 145. Denver Broncos (via DET/DEN): Alontae Taylor, CB/S, Tennessee 146. New York Jets: Mykael Wright, CB, Oregon 147. New York Giants: Rachaad White, RB, Arizona State 148. Chicago Bears (via HOU): Neil Farrell Jr., DT, LSU 149. Carolina Panthers: Tyrese Robinson, G, Oklahoma 150. Chicago Bears: Decobie Durant, CB, South Carolina State 151. Atlanta Falcons: Micheal Clemons, EDGE, Texas A&M 152. Denver Broncos: Yusuf Corker, S, Kentucky 153. Seattle Seahawks: Percy Butler, S, Louisiana 154. Philadelphia Eagles (via WSH): Amare Barno, EDGE, Virginia Tech 155. Dallas Cowboys (via CLE): Cade Otton, TE, Washington 156. Minnesota Vikings (via BAL): Dawson Deaton, C, Texas Tech 157. Jacksonville Jaguars (via MIN): Hassan Haskins, RB, Michigan 158. New England Patriots (via MIA): Sterling Weatherford, S, Miami (OH) 159. Indianapolis Colts: Charlie Kolar, TE, Iowa State 160. Los Angeles Chargers: Tariq Castro-Fields, CB, Penn State 161. New Orleans Saints: Jake Ferguson, TE, Wisconsin 162. Philadelphia Eagles: Brian Robinson Jr., RB, Alabama 163. New York Jets (via PIT): Zamir White, RB, Georgia 164. Las Vegas Raiders (via NE): Spencer Burford, OT, UTSA 165. Las Vegas Raiders: Ben Brown, G, Ole Miss 166. Philadelphia Eagles (via ARI): Cade Mays, G, Tennessee 167. Dallas Cowboys: Terrel Bernard, LB, Baylor 168. Buffalo Bills: Matt Araiza, P, San Diego State 169. Tennessee Titans: Dameon Pierce, RB, Florida 170. New England Patriots (via TB): Daniel Bellinger, TE, San Diego State 171. Green Bay Packers: Zach Tom, OL, Wake Forest 172. San Francisco 49ers: Tyler Badie, RB, Missouri 173. New York Giants (KC/BAL): Velus Jones Jr., WR, Tennessee 174. Cincinnati Bengals: Micah McFadden, LB, Indiana 175. Los Angeles Rams: Jeffrey Gunter, EDGE, Coastal Carolina 176. Dallas Cowboys*: Jayden Peevy, DL, Texas A&M 177. Detroit Lions*: JoJo Domann, S, Nebraska 178. Dallas Cowboys*: Luke Goedeke, OT, Central Michigan 179. Indianapolis Colts*: Damarri Mathis, CB, Pittsburgh
My favorite prospect-team fit in Round 5: RB Zamir White to the Jets (163). One of the draft priorities for general manager Joe Douglas should be to find a running mate to play with Michael Carter. White is a tough and explosive runner who complements the versatile skill set of Carter. He had 22 rushing touchdowns over the past two seasons.
ROUND 6
180. Jacksonville Jaguars: Grant Calcaterra, TE, SMU 181. Detroit Lions: Josh Thompson, CB, Texas 182. New York Giants: Isaiah Thomas, DE, Oklahoma 183. Houston Texans: Ja’Tyre Carter, G, Southern 184. Minnesota Vikings (via NYJ): Danny Gray, WR, SMU 185. Buffalo Bills (via CAR): Matt Waletzko, OT, North Dakota 186. Chicago Bears: Erik Ezukanma, WR, Texas Tech 187. San Francisco 49ers (via DEN): Bo Melton, WR, Rutgers 188. Jacksonville Jaguars (via SEA): Eyioma Uwazurike, DT, Iowa State 189. Washington Commanders: Braxton Jones, OT, Southern Utah 190. Atlanta Falcons: Dontario Drummond, WR, Ole Miss 191. Minnesota Vikings (via BAL/KC): Cole Turner, TE, Nevada 192. Minnesota Vikings: Jack Jones, CB, Arizona State 193. Dallas Cowboys (via CLE): Cameron Dicker, K, Texas 194. New Orleans Saints (via IND/PHI): John Ridgeway, DT, Arkansas 195. Los Angeles Chargers: Noah Elliss, IDL, Idaho 196. Baltimore Ravens (via MIA): Lecitus Smith, G, Virginia Tech 197. Jacksonville Jaguars (via PHI): Cordell Volson, OT, North Dakota State 198. Jacksonville Jaguars (via PIT): Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State 199. Carolina Panthers (via LV): Akayleb Evans, CB/S, Missouri 200. New England Patriots: Esezi Otomewo, DE, Minnesota 201. Arizona Cardinals: Kyren Williams, RB, Notre Dame 202. Cleveland Browns (via DAL): Cade York, K, LSU 203. Buffalo Bills: Emeka Emezie, WR, North Carolina State 204. Tennessee Titans: Chris Paul, OT/G, Tulsa 205. Houston Texans (via GB): Derion Kendrick, CB, Georgia 206. Denver Broncos (via TB/NYJ/PHI): Jean Delance, OT, Florida 207. Houston Texans (via SF/NYJ): Tay Martin, WR, Oklahoma State 208. Pittsburgh Steelers (via KC): Ellis Brooks, LB, Penn State 209. Cincinnati Bengals: Matt Henningsen, EDGE, Wisconsin 210. New England Patriots (via LAR): Jaivon Heiligh, WR, Coastal Carolina 211. Los Angeles Rams*: Jack Coan, QB, Notre Dame 212. Los Angeles Rams*: Ty Chandler, RB, North Carolina 213. Atlanta Falcons*: Kalon Barnes, CB, Baylor 214. Los Angeles Chargers*: Lucas Krull, TE, Pittsburgh 215. Arizona Cardinals*: Justin Shaffer, G, Georgia 216. Indianapolis Colts*: Jequez Ezzard, WR, Sam Houston State 217. Detroit Lions*: D’Marco Jackson, LB, Appalachian State 218. Los Angeles Rams*: Jordan Stout, P, Penn State 219. Tennessee Titans*: Jeremiah Hall, FB, Oklahoma 220. San Francisco 49ers*: David Anenih, EDGE, Houston 221. San Francisco 49ers*: Ryan Van Demark, OT, UConn
My favorite prospect-team fit in Round 6: CB Jack Jones to the Vikings (192). For a team in search of help at nickel corner, Jones is a perfect match for the Vikings. He’s an aggressive tackler who has polished technique in the slot. He had three picks and three forced fumbles last season.
ROUND 7
222. Jacksonville Jaguars: Obinna Eze, OT, TCU 223. Cleveland Browns (via DET): T.J. Pledger, RB, Utah 224. Miami Dolphins (via HOU/NE/BAL): James Empey, C, BYU 225. Pittsburgh Steelers (via NYJ): Myron Tagovailoa-Amosa, EDGE, Notre Dame 226. Cincinnati Bengals (via NYG): Isaih Pacheco, RB, Rutgers 227. Las Vegas Raiders (via CAR): EJ Perry, QB, Brown 228. Green Bay Packers (via CHI/HOU): D.J. Davidson, DT, Arizona State 229. Seattle Seahawks: Ali Fayad, EDGE, Western Michigan 230. Washington Commanders: Derrick Deese Jr., TE, San Jose State 231. Buffalo Bills (via ATL): Cole Kelley, QB, Southeastern Louisiana 232. Denver Broncos: Dane Belton, S, Iowa 233. Kansas City Chiefs (via MIN): Delarrin Turner-Yell, S, Oklahoma 234. Detroit Lions (via CLE): Chase Lucas, CB, Arizona State 235. Jacksonville Jaguars (via BAL): Josh Johnson, WR, Tulsa 236. Los Angeles Chargers: Sincere McCormick, RB, UTSA 237. Philadelphia Eagles (via NO): Chris Hinton, DT, Michigan 238. Los Angeles Rams (via MIA): Isaiah Weston, WR, Northern Iowa 239. Indianapolis Colts: Bubba Bolden, S, Miami (FL) 240. Washington Commanders (via PHI/IND): Jason Poe, IOL, Mercer 241. Pittsburgh Steelers: Kyler McMichael, CB, North Carolina 242. Carolina Panthers (via NE/MIA): Kennedy Brooks, RB, Oklahoma 243. Kansas City Chiefs (via LV/NE): Jeremiah Moon, EDGE, Florida 244. Arizona Cardinals: Kyron Johnson, EDGE, Kansas 245. Houston Texans (via DAL): Connor Heyward, TE/FB, Michigan State 246. Cleveland Browns (via BUF): Samori Toure, WR, Nebraska 247. Miami Dolphins (via TEN): Marquan McCall, NT, Kentucky 248. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Abram Smith, RB, Baylor 249. Green Bay Packers: Smoke Monday, S, Auburn 250. Minnesota Vikings (via SF/DEN): James Houston IV, LB, Jackson State 251. Kansas City Chiefs: Charleston Rambo, WR, Miami (FL) 252. Cincinnati Bengals: Quentin Lake, S, UCLA 253. Los Angeles Rams: Armani Rogers, TE, Ohio 254. Los Angeles Chargers*: Shaun Jolly, CB, Appalachian State 255. Los Angeles Chargers*: Adam Anderson, EDGE, Georgia 256. Arizona Cardinals*: Jalen Wydermyer, TE, Texas A&M 257. Arizona Cardinals*: Zakoby McClain, S, Auburn 258. Green Bay Packers*: Cordale Flott, CB, LSU 259. Kansas City Chiefs*: Josh Jobe, CB, Alabama 260. Los Angeles Chargers*: Montaric Brown, CB, Arkansas 261. Tampa Bay Buccaneers*: Tre Williams, EDGE, Arkansas 262. San Francisco 49ers*: Brock Purdy, QB, Iowa State
My favorite prospect-team fit in Round 7: EDGE Kyron Johnson to the Cardinals (244). He wasn’t invited to the combine, but his Senior Bowl week performance and testing numbers at his pro day made many scouts go back to watch his tape again. At his pro day, he ran an official 4.40 40, had a 39.5-inch vertical and 10-foot broad jump, all at 6-foot-1, 235 pounds. Those are the types of measurables that get picked late in the draft.
The 2022 NFL draft is four weeks away, and I can’t wait. At the moment, 24 teams will have the chance to add at least one impact player in Round 1 — eight teams no longer have a first-round selection — and while this year’s class might be light on surefire franchise quarterbacks, it certainly has plenty of game-changing prospects.
As a former NFL general manager and executive, I’ve been through the draft process, from building a big board to submitting the picks. It’s difficult enough to manage one team’s picks. But today, I’m going to put my GM hat back on and make selections for every team with a first-rounder in 2022.
But this isn’t your traditional mock draft. I’m leaving the actual Round 1 predictions to my colleagues. This isn’t what I’m expecting or what I’m hearing. Instead, what follows is how I’d make each first-round pick if I was representing each of the 24 teams with at least one Day 1 selection. It’s based off my own evaluations and preferences, along with what I believe makes the most sense for every team on the board.
So here are my GM selections for the first 32 picks, starting with a no-brainer for Jaguars GM Trent Baalke at No. 1 overall. And be sure to check out our SportsCenter Special at 5 p.m. ET on Wednesday (ESPN2).
Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan
The Jaguars already have allocated a lot of resources to their offensive line this offseason. They franchise-tagged left tackle Cam Robinson and signed guard Brandon Scherff to a three-year, $52.5 million deal. So while I thought about an offensive tackle here and might have gone that way a month ago, it has to be Hutchinson. He had 66 pressures in 2021, and he can be a culture-setter for Jacksonville for years to come.
Ahmad Gardner, CB, Cincinnati
If I’m Detroit, I’m crossing my fingers that Jacksonville goes another way, leaving Hutchinson for an easy win here at No. 2. That’s not how things happened, though. And yes, I know the Lions used the No. 3 overall pick on cornerback Jeff Okudah just two years ago, but I also know he has ended up on injured reserve in both of his pro seasons and has been limited to 10 total games. The Lions gave up the NFL’s third-best opponent QBR (53.4) last year and still need a corner. Gardner didn’t surrender more than 13 yards in a game or a single TD all season in 2021.
Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
I’m not worried about the underwhelming 40-yard dash times he posted at the combine (4.59) and his pro day. Hamilton has rare versatility and traits for a safety, and he’d be an instant-impact player on the back end. Houston needs help everywhere, but considering it tied for the second-most yards allowed per play in the NFL last season (5.9), defense jumps out.
Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State
The Jets did a nice job in free agency, but they still need a true No. 1 receiver after Tyreek Hill chose Miami over New York in a trade from the Chiefs. Elijah Moore, Corey Davis and Braxton Berrios are a solid trio, but Wilson is a difference-maker. Second-year quarterback Zach Wilson needs that. On 102 targets, Garrett Wilson had only two drops and caught 89.7% of his catchable balls, per ESPN Stats & Information tracking.
Evan Neal, OT, Alabama
An offensive tackle pairing of Neal and Andrew Thomas gives quarterback Daniel Jones the protection he needs. Neal gave up just one sack last season, and he has 40 career starts under his belt. I considered NC State’s Ikem Ekwonu here, too, but I just believe there’s more certainty with Neal considering the level of competition he faced at Alabama. Being that dominant against SEC pass-rushers is something.
Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh
Yes, the Panthers still need a left tackle, and Ekwonu is still available. But as the stand-in GM, I’m instead thinking about the most important position on the field. Carolina missed out on Deshaun Watson and did nothing else to address a glaring weakness at quarterback. It’s a consequential year for coach Matt Rhule, and the Panthers need to start putting wins on the board. Pickett has 49 career starts and is the most NFL-ready signal-caller of the bunch. Maybe it’s a slight reach, but we’re talking about a QB who could start right away for a team that desperately needs a better option.
Kayvon Thibodeaux, DE, Oregon
The Giants managed just 34 sacks last season and have been looking for a game-changing pass-rusher for several years. No way they can pass on Thibodeaux’s ceiling, which is extremely high despite some concerns about his motor. He has the size, speed and power, and he posted 19 sacks over three seasons at Oregon. I’m pretty happy with the haul here for New York, landing Neal and Thibodeaux to address holes in a massive way.
play
1:36
Take a look at Kayvon Thibodeaux’s most aggressive plays at DE and see why he could be the best player to come out of the draft.
Drake London, WR, USC
Atlanta is searching for its next franchise QB after trading Matt Ryan, but Marcus Mariota can hold the fort for a year. The 2023 class promises to have more options under center. In the meantime, the Falcons have a star in Kyle Pitts at tight end, but their wide receiver room is barren. The current group includes the likes of Olamide Zaccheaus, KhaDarel Hodges and Frank Darby. London is a phenomenal talent and makes a lot of sense for the Falcons.
Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State
Pass-rusher is going to be a spot to watch, and the Seahawks also need a quarterback. But they haven’t re-signed tackle Duane Brown — who remains a free agent — and could get a rebuild going with a young franchise left tackle. That’s Ekwonu, who has 6-foot-4, 310-pound size and lots of mobility. Seattle has allowed at least 42 sacks and finished in the bottom 10 in that department every season since 2015. Ekwonu allowed only nine pressures and three sacks during the 2021 season.
Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State
Maybe I’m just trying to make up for trading away John Abraham 16 years ago. But the way I see it, the Jets still lack edge rushing depth even with Carl Lawson set to return from an Achilles injury. Only six teams had fewer sacks than the Jets last season (33), but Johnson had 12 last year at Florida State. He’s a physical edge setter, too, and I see him as a more consistent prospect than Georgia’s Travon Walker, who might also get some consideration here. I’m pumped if I walk away from Round 1 with Wilson and Johnson.
Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
The Commanders were in the bottom half of the league in just about every passing category last season, and while Carson Wentz represents an upgrade at quarterback, his pass-catching group could use a boost, too. Terry McLaurin is a free agent in 2023, and we’re witnessing a receiver market that is only getting more and more expensive. Curtis Samuel missed 12 games last year, and Adam Humphries — the only other Washington wide receiver besides McLaurin to have more than 25 catches in 2021 — is unsigned. Olave joining McLaurin, his former Ohio State teammate, gives the Commanders a solid duo outside.
Travon Walker, DE, Georgia
Walker’s combine workout was tremendous, but production inconsistency (only 9.5 sacks over 36 career games) concerns me. That’s why I have him falling a bit to No. 12 here. But he is a versatile player who can develop into a force off the edge. A trio of Danielle Hunter, Za’Darius Smith and Walker would cause problems for opposing quarterbacks.
Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State
Houston is back on the board thanks to the Deshaun Watson trade, and I’m giving the Texans a smooth-moving pass protector in Cross at No. 13. I drafted Laremy Tunsil in Miami when I was the GM there, and I’m jumping at the chance to draft his bookend on the other side. Cross allowed six pressures on 683 pass-block snaps last season … in the SEC. That’s fantastic. Offensive line is critical for the Texans, after they once again allowed 40-plus sacks last season and are trying to develop Davis Mills, their second-year QB. Houston should be happy with its Day 1 picks, Hamilton and Cross.
Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa
This one is pretty easy. Bradley Bozeman left Baltimore to sign in Carolina, and Linderbaum is a Day 1 starter at center for a team that needs to open running lanes for running back J.K. Dobbins and quarterback Lamar Jackson.
Devin Lloyd, ILB, Utah
April 28 would be a fun night to be the Eagles’ GM. Three picks inside the top 20, starting here! Philadelphia hasn’t taken a first-round linebacker in almost a decade, but Lloyd can be a do-it-all player in the middle of the Eagles’ defense. He’s a three-down defender who plays faster than his 4.66-second time in the 40-yard dash suggests.
Kenyon Green, G/C, Texas A&M
I love this guy’s versatility. He has at least 100 snaps at four different positions along the offensive line, and he’s capable of playing the fifth (center). Center Jason Kelce re-signed but for only a year, and guard Brandon Brooks just retired, so the Eagles could use a player like Green.
Nakobe Dean, ILB, Georgia
Dean reminds me of Jonathan Vilma. He’s slightly undersized at 5-foot-11 and 229 pounds, but he plays with excellent instincts and has the production to be a three-down linebacker up the middle. I could see the Chargers perhaps adding another run-stopper up the middle, but Dean can help there while also affecting multiple other parts of the game. And Los Angeles gets a complete upgrade at every level of the defense, with Khalil Mack coming in off the edge opposite Joey Bosa, J.C. Jackson ballhawking outside, Sebastian Joseph-Day filling gaps against the run and Dean controlling the middle of the field. Los Angeles did take linebacker Kenneth Murray Jr. in the first round two years ago, but he has struggled a bit.
Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa
Penning is a perfect fit to replace Terron Armstead, who signed with Miami. He’s tough and physical at the line of scrimmage, and he’d keep the offensive line as one of the Saints’ strengths. Penning turned in a fantastic combine workout, which included the fifth-fastest 10-yard split in the 40-yard dash among linemen (1.65), despite weighing in at 325 pounds.
Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
So I already got the Eagles a linebacker in Lloyd and a lineman in Green. Now I’m focusing on cornerback, where Philly needs a starter opposite Darius Slay. The Eagles tied for the worst completion percentage against in 2021, allowing opponents to connect on nearly 70% of their attempts. But McDuffie is shutdown material. He allowed just 3.8 yards per pass attempt thrown his way last season, which tied for the third-best number in college football, and he can play in man or zone schemes.
Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
With Mitch Trubisky serving as a bridge starter, the Steelers can take advantage of Willis still being available, draft the big-armed Liberty quarterback and let him develop before taking over in the QB-heavy AFC North. I love his mobility in and out of the pocket, and I think he has a chance to be a very good starting QB in the NFL. Pittsburgh has to find its guy under center following Ben Roethlisberger’s retirement, and this is a great scenario for the Steelers.
Andrew Booth Jr., CB, Clemson
Just two years ago, the Patriots had J.C. Jackson and Stephon Gilmore in their cornerbacks room. Now they are starting Malcolm Butler and Jalen Mills on the outside. Booth has great quickness, scheme flexibility and the ability to play all over. And why Booth over LSU’s Derek Stingley Jr.? Stingley has played only 10 games over the past two seasons, and his production over that time left a lot to be desired. That’s concerning, and I’m leaning toward Booth, because I know what I’m getting from him.
Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State
Dotson kind of plays like Marvin Harrison did; he’s undersized but has tremendous speed and soft hands. The Packers need a possession receiver with Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling out of town, and Dotson caught 91 passes last season at Penn State. He also had only two drops on 142 targets and should be able to gain quarterback Aaron Rodgers’ trust quickly.
play
3:29
Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay break down which teams need to draft a wide receiver.
David Ojabo, OLB, Michigan
Ojabo tore an Achilles during Michigan’s pro day, and there’s a chance he falls even further than this. But Arizona should be excited to land a player with his pass-rushing traits, even if it means he won’t debut until, at the earliest, late in the 2022 season. Chandler Jones is gone. J.J. Watt and Markus Golden are both north of 30 years old. We’ve seen players suffer injuries during the draft process and still go on to be high picks and excel in the NFL, including cornerback Sidney Jones IV and defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons. And once Arizona gets Ojabo back to full strength, it would have a productive disruptor off the edge.
Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU
Imagine Trevon Diggs and Stingley covering up opposing receivers. There is incredible potential there. Stingley is an intriguing yet confusing prospect. At his best, he’s one of the top three or four players in the entire class. But his injury history and uneven play create a lot of risk. But at No. 24 overall, Dallas could get a steal if he plays anywhere near his ceiling.
Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington
Tre’Davious White is coming off an ACL tear, and Levi Wallace signed in Pittsburgh. The cornerbacks are coming off the board quickly, and while Gordon didn’t run anywhere near expectations at the combine (4.52 in the 40), he has good 6-foot size and can play strong man-to-man coverage on the outside. He limited opposing receivers to just 15 catches and zero touchdowns in 2021 while picking off a pair of passes.
Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
The Titans released Julio Jones. They traded for Robert Woods, but he is returning from a knee injury. A.J. Brown is entering a contract year. You get the point. The team has a lot of questions at the receiver position. Burks is 6-foot-2 and 225 pounds, and he plays a physical style. Ryan Tannehill would love to have someone like him in the red zone, and I think he’s a perfect fit for the Titans.
Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia
Ndamukong Suh could still re-sign to fill the Bucs’ void at defensive tackle, but I’m just picturing opponents trying to rush up the middle against Vita Vea and Davis. Remember that NFC South offenses have the likes of Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara taking handoffs. You have to have a great run defense in that division, and Davis is the ultimate run-stopper. His combine workout was legendary, and if he stays in the 340-pound range, he will be a dominant defensive tackle in the NFL for a long time.
Zion Johnson, G/C, Boston College
Johnson can be a Day 1 starter at guard or offensive tackle, and he could potentially develop into a center. He worked hard on taking snaps as a center at the Senior Bowl, and there’s no reason he couldn’t end up there in the NFL. Johnson has 34-inch arms and didn’t allow a single pressure or sack in 2021. Elgton Jenkins is recovering from an ACL tear, so Johnson could step in at left guard or replace Royce Newman or Yosh Nijman on the right side.
Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
The Chiefs traded Tyreek Hill. Now they have the chance to use one of the picks that came to Kansas City in return to draft his replacement. Williams tore his ACL and won’t be ready for Week 1, but his explosion and speed make him the ideal Chiefs draft pick. I was really impressed with Williams’ play in the SEC Championship, when he had seven catches for 184 yards and two touchdowns.
play
1:32
Check out the best moments from Jameson Williams at Alabama as he gets ready for the NFL draft.
Arnold Ebiketie, DE, Penn State
Turning to defense, I want to get a productive edge rusher. Only three teams had fewer sacks than the Chiefs’ 31 in 2021, but Ebiketie posted 9.5 sacks for Penn State last season after transferring from Temple.
Roger McCreary, CB, Auburn
The Bengals did a lot of work to their offensive line in free agency, including signing offensive tackle La’el Collins, guard Alex Cappa and interior lineman Ted Karras. I feel pretty good about that, so I’m focusing elsewhere: cornerback. Competition for Eli Apple and Chidobe Awuzie would be a good thing for Cincinnati, and McCreary is a feisty undersized corner with upside.
Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss
Getting the fifth-year option is important for drafting a quarterback. The Ravens used the 32nd pick on Lamar Jackson in 2018, and it gave them an extra year on Jackson’s rookie deal. Detroit — after drafting Gardner earlier — can do the same with Corral. The Lions have Jared Goff under contract, so there’s no need to rush Corral into action, especially because he’s still working his way all the way back from an ankle injury. But he’s a quick prospect with a smooth release. I’m intrigued by the upside here.
