Tag Archives: steepest

S&P 500 closes the book on its steepest first-half slide since 1970

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 22, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

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  • U.S. May consumer spending rises moderately; inflation stays hot
  • Nasdaq notches biggest-ever Jan-June percentage drop
  • Indexes down: Dow 0.82%, S&P 0.88%, Nasdaq 1.33%

NEW YORK, June 30 (Reuters) – Wall Street ended lower on Thursday, crossing the finish line of a grim month and quarter, a dismal coda to the S&P 500’s worst first half in more than half a century.

All three major U.S. stock indexes finished the month and the second quarter in negative territory, with the S&P 500 notching its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970.

The Nasdaq had its largest-ever January-June percentage drop, while the Dow suffered its biggest first-half percentage plunge since 1962.

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All three indexes posted their second straight quarterly declines. The last time that happened was in 2015 for the S&P and the Dow, and 2016 for the Nasdaq.

The year began with spiking cases of COVID-19 due to the Omicron variant. Then came Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, decades-high inflation and aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, which have stoked fears of a possible recession. read more

“All year it’s been a tug-of-war between inflation and slowing growth, balancing tightening financial conditions to address inflation concerns but trying to avoid outright panic,” said Paul Kim, chief executive officer at Simplify ETFs in New York. “I think we are more than likely already in a recession and right now the only question is how harsh will the recession be?”

“I think it’s very unlikely that we’ll see a soft landing,” Kim added.

Economic data released on Thursday did little to allay those fears. Disposable income inched lower, consumer spending decelerated, inflation remained hot and jobless claims inched higher. read more

“We’ve started to see a slowdown in consumer spending,” Said Oliver Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New York. “And it seems that inflation is taking its toll on the average consumer and that translates to corporate earnings which is what ultimately drives the stock market.”

The graphic below shows year-on-year growth of core inflation indicators, all of which suggest that while a peak appears to have been reached in March, they all continue to soar well above the Fed’s average annual 2% target:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 253.88 points, or 0.82%, to 30,775.43, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 33.45 points, or 0.88%, to 3,785.38 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 149.16 points, or 1.33%, to 11,028.74.

Eight of the 11 major S&P sectors ended down, with utilities (.SPLRCU) leading the gainers and energy (.SPNY) notching the largest percentage drop.

But energy was to only major sector to post a year-to-date gain, aided by crude prices spiking over supply concerns due to Russia-Ukraine conflict.

The major stock indexes lost ground in June, with the S&P 500 logging its largest June percentage decline since the financial crisis.

Second-quarter reporting season begins in several weeks, and 130 of the companies in the S&P 500 have pre-announced. Of those, 45 have been positive and 77 have been negative, resulting in a negative/positive ratio of 1.7 stronger than the first quarter but weaker than a year ago, according to Refinitiv data.

Worries over inflation dampening consumer demand and threatening profit margins will have market participants listening closely to forward guidance.

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (WBA.O) fell 7.3% as its quarterly profit plunged 76%, hurt by its opioid settlement with Florida and a decrease in U.S. pharmacy sales on waning demand for COVID-19 vaccinations. read more

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.75-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.

The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 42 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 17 new highs and 367 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.58 billion shares, compared with the 12.86 billion average over the last 20 trading days.

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Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Shreyashi Sanyal and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by David Gregorio

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Week of rate hikes has stocks on course for steepest slide since 2020

  • Everyone except the BOJ is hiking
  • Stocks sink as economy risks grow
  • Yen slips as BOJ leaves policy unchanged

SINGAPORE, June 17 (Reuters) – World stocks headed for their worst week since markets’ pandemic meltdown in March 2020, as interest rate hikes in the United States and Britain and a surprise one in Switzerland set investors on edge about future economic growth.

The Bank of Japan was the only outlier in a week where money prices rose around the world, sticking with its strategy of pinning 10-year yields near zero on Friday. read more

The yen was down more than 1% to 133.88 per dollar in volatile trade. U.S. futures attempted a bounce and Chinese stocks gained, but that was set against a week of losses and worry that rate hikes are going to smother growth for years.

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MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell to a five-week low, dragged by selling in Australia where the ASX 200 (.AXJO) dropped 1.8%. Japan’s Nikkei (.N225) fell 1.7% and headed for a weekly drop of almost 7%.

S&P 500 futures rose 0.8% and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1% but they are well underwater on the week.

EuroSTOXX 50 futures rose 1% and FTSE futures rose 0.5%.

“We are entering a tough phase of the regime shift, as the risks over economic growth add to the already hot inflationary backdrop,” said Vincent Mortier, chief investment officer at Europe’s biggest fund manager, Amundi.

“The current repricing is taking most of the overvaluation out of the market, but current levels are vulnerable to any deterioration in corporate fundamentals.”

World stocks (.MIWD00000PUS) are down 5.7% for the week so far, on course for the steepest weekly percentage drop in more than two years.

ONE WAY

Bonds and currencies were jittery after a rollercoaster week. In recent sessions, the has dollar pulled back from a 20-year high, but it hasn’t fallen far and looks set to end the week steady.

The Swiss franc’s leap made for an additional drag this week since it is used as a funding currency and often changed for dollars before those are swapped for high yielders – meaning dollars get sold when that trade reverses.

The greenback was firm on Friday and apart from surging on the yen, it lifted about 0.3% to $1.0518 on the euro and rose about 0.5% to $0.7012 per Aussie .

“The path of least resistance is lower stocks and higher dollar,” said Spectra Markets’ Brent Donnelly. “The Fed don’t know where inflation is going, and neither do we.”

As well as the Fed and the Swiss central bank, the Bank of England announced a 25 basis point rate rise this week. It was smaller than expected but prompted gilts to sell and sterling to rise on bets that future hikes would come thick and fast. read more

“If a central bank does not move aggressively, yields and risk price in more in the way of rate hikes down the road,” said NatWest Markets’ strategist John Briggs.

“Markets may just be continuously adjusting to an outlook for higher global policy rates … as global central bank policy momentum is all one way.”

Sterling rose 1.4% on Thursday and held gains into Friday as it heads for a steady week. Two-year gilts rose 18 basis points on Thursday to 2.143%.

U.S. labour and housing data came in soft on Thursday, on the heels of disappointing retail sales figures, with the worries knocking the dollar and helping Treasuries. read more

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell nearly 10 bps overnight but wobbled higher to 3.2313% during Asia’s morning. Yields rise when prices fall.

Growth fears took oil on a brief trip lower before prices steadied. Brent crude futures were last at $119.70 a barrel. Gold held at $1,844 an ounce and bitcoin was kept under pressure at $20,700.

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Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Lincoln Feast.

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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