Tag Archives: Ross Stores Inc

Stock futures rise as investors assess the prospect of higher interest rates

Stock futures rose Friday as investors continued evaluating earnings reports and tougher language from Federal Reserve speakers.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 80 points, or 0.2%. The S&P 500’s futures traded higher by 0.4%, while Nasdaq-100 futures advanced 0.5%.

Ross Stores and Palo Alto Networks popped after the two companies posted their latest quarterly results. Investors also appeared to cheer Gap’s most recent results.

Friday’s moves come after a down session on Wall Street after comments from Federal Reserve officials raised concern over tighter U.S. monetary policy.

St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said Thursday that “the policy rate is not yet in a zone that may be considered sufficiently restrictive.” He suggested that the appropriate zone for the federal funds rate could be in the 5% to 7% range, which is higher than what the market is pricing.

Investors have responded to each new piece of economic data or any language in recent weeks that could indicate what the Fed will do next with interest rates, said Shelby McFaddin, investment analyst at Motley Fool Asset Management. In this case, she said the comments on inflation led investors to believe the Fed does not think the economy has cooled enough.

“There’s absolutely been a thirst for relief and a tug of war,” she said of investor response over recent days. “But at the end of the day, it really just depends on this inflationary period becoming deflationary slower than it ramped up, and on what the Fed decides to do next.”

Investors will watch Friday for data on existing home sales for any indication of a cooling economy. Boston Fed President Susan Collins will speak in the morning.

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Xerox, Logitech, Upstart, Hibbett, Planet Fitness & more

Tony Avelar | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading.

Logitech — The computer peripherals maker jumped 11.8% after Logitech reiterated its full-year guidance, which was lowered in July. Logitech has struggled with weaker demand after a boom in sales during the height of the pandemic.

Upstart — Shares surged 9.8% even after Mizuho initiated Upstart with an underperform rating, saying that there are more challenges ahead for the consumer lending company.

Stem — The stock rose 12.3% after UBS initiated Stem as a buy, saying that AI-driven energy storage company is a market leader that will get a boost from the Inflation Reduction Act.

Hibbett — The sporting goods stocks advanced 9.2% following an upgrade from Bank of America to a buy rating. The bank highlighted the company relationship with Nike and product availability among its reasons for liking the stock.

Xerox — Shares plunged 15% after the seller of print and digital document products and services reported disappointing earnings and cut its full-year revenue guidance. Xerox CEO Steve Bandrowczak said in a release that “profitability remains challenged by persistently high inflation and continued supply chain constraints.”

Brown & Brown — Shares of the insurance company dropped 11% after Brown & Brown missed earnings expectations. Brown & Brown posted earnings of 50 cents per share on revenue of $927.6 million. The company was expected to report earnings of 60 cents per share on revenue of $945.8 million, according to consensus estimates on FactSet.

Qualtrics International — Shares of the customer feedback software company jumped 7.7% after Qualtrics reported earnings that exceeded expectations, and raised its full-year outlook.

Ross Stores — Shares of the off-price retail jumped 5.8% following an upgrade to overweight from Wells Fargo. The bank called Ross Stores one of the “best ways” to trade the sector.

SAP — Shares of the German business software company advanced 6% after SAP reported quarterly results that topped expectations and maintained its full-year forecast.

PulteGroup — The home construction company jumped 5.9% despite disappointing earnings expectations. PulteGroup posted earnings of $2.69 per share on revenue of $3.94 billion. Analyst surveyed by Refinitiv were expecting earnings of $2.82 per share on revenue of $4.17 billion.

JetBlue — The airline slid 3.6% after a third-quarter earnings miss of 21 cents per share, versus a Refinitiv consensus estimate of 23 cents. Revenue was in line with estimates, at $2.56 billion. JetBlue had a quarterly profit of $57 million, due to elevated travel demand and higher fares, which helped offset rising costs.

Planet Fitness — The gym stock jumped 4.5% after Piper Sandler upgraded Planet Fitness to overweight from neutral, saying that shares are attractive and will get a boost from participation from younger generations.

General Motors — Shares of General Motors rose 3.6% after the automaker handily beat third-quarter earnings expectations. The company also maintained its full-year outlook.

United Parcel Service — Shares of the delivery company gained 1% after UPS reported stronger-than-expected earnings for the third quarter. The company earned an adjusted $2.99 per share, 15 cents better than analysts expected, according to Refinitiv. Revenue fell short of expectations, however, as its supply chain solutions segment declined year over year. UPS did maintain its full-year guidance.

General Electric — The stock declined 1.8% after General Electric cut its full-year outlook because of supply chain issues. The company otherwise posted stronger-than-expected revenue.

— CNBC’s Michelle Fox, Jesse Pound, Carmen Reinicke and Samantha Subin contributed reporting.

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5 things to know before the stock market opens Friday, May 20

Here are the most important news, trends and analysis that investors need to start their trading day:

1. Stock futures rise after S&P 500 closes on brink of a bear market

Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., May 19, 2022. 

Andrew Kelly | Reuters

U.S. stock futures bounced Friday, one day after continued selling on Wall Street that saw the S&P 500 close on the doorstep of the joining the Nasdaq in a bear market. Those two stock benchmarks were headed for their seventh straight weekly losses. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which also closed lower Thursday, was poised for its eighth down week in a row. The Dow was locked in a steep correction, as defined by a drop of 10% or more from a prior high. A bear market is signified by a decline of 20% or more from a prior high.

Bond prices, which move inversely to yields, fell Friday as stocks rebounded in the premarket. The 10-year Treasury yield was trading around 2.9%. That’s just under the key 3% level that’s been breached on and off for weeks as traders push yields higher on the belief that the Federal Reserve will have to hike interest rates more aggressively to get inflation under control.

2. China cuts a key rate to try to boost its Covid-hampered economy

High-rise buildings in downtown Shanghai, China, on March 12, 2018. China cut its benchmark reference rate for mortgages by an unexpectedly wide margin on Friday, its second cut this year as Beijing seeks to revive the ailing housing sector to prop up the economy.

Johannes Eisele | Afp | Getty Images

China is going the other way with borrowing costs, cutting its benchmark reference rate for mortgages by an unexpectedly wide margin Friday. That’s the second reduction this year in this key rate as Beijing seeks to revive the country’s ailing housing sector to prop up the world’s second-largest economy. Senior Chinese officials have pledged further measures to fight a slowdown in economic growth due to lockdowns and other restrictive measures under that country’s zero Covid policy. Many private sector economists expect China’s economy to shrink this quarter from a year earlier, compared with first quarter’s 4.8% growth.

3. Ross Stores becomes the latest retailer crushed by inflation

Pedestrians pass in front of a Ross Stores location in San Francisco.

Noah Berger | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Back in the U.S., Ross Stores became the latest retail stock slammed after signaling that inflation was a problem. Shares of the off-price retailer sank 26% in the premarket, following quarterly misses on profit and revenue. In its first-quarter earnings release, out after the closing bell Thursday, Ross Stores also issued downbeat guidance. The company said Russia’s war in Ukraine has “exacerbated inflationary pressures,” adding that it faced tough year-over-year comparisons in the first half of 2022 due to expiring government Covid stimulus and pent-up demand normalizing.

4. CDC recommends a booster of Pfizer’s Covid vaccine for kids 5-11

A healthcare worker administers a Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine to a child at vaccination site in San Francisco, California, U.S., on Monday, Jan. 10, 2022.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is recommending a Pfizer Covid booster shot for kids 5 to 11 at least five months after their primary vaccination series. The CDC’s move Thursday comes as Covid infections are on the rise across the country and immunity from the first two doses wanes. The agency is rolling out boosters for 5- to 11-year-olds even though most children in that age group haven’t received their first two doses yet. Only 29% of that cohort is fully vaccinated. CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky, in a statement Thursday, sought to reassure parents that the shots are safe and encouraged them to get their kids vaccinated.

5. Musk denies ‘wild accusations’ in an apparent reference to a harassment report

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk participates in a postlaunch news conference inside the Press Site auditorium at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida on May 30, 2020, following the launch of the agency’s SpaceX Demo-2 mission to the International Space Station.

NASA/Kim Shiflett

SpaceX founder and CEO Elon Musk said in a tweet late Thursday that “wild accusations” against him are not true. He did not explain what those accusations were. But his response came after a Business Insider report on Thursday said the aerospace company had paid $250,000 in severance to a flight attendant who accused the billionaire of sexual misconduct. The report, which cited interviews and documents obtained by Insider, said the woman claimed that during a massage she was giving Musk he exposed his erect penis, touched her thigh without her consent and offered to buy her a horse if she performed sex acts. CNBC could not independently verify those allegations.

— CNBC’s Fred Imbert, Sarah Min, Vicky McKeever, Spencer Kimball and Dan Mangan as well as Reuters contributed to this report.

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Four takeaways as child tax credit kicks off this month

A woman wears a face mask while shopping for a baby shower gift during the Covid-19 pandemic, at Madison’s Niche boutique in Huntington, New York on April 21, 2021.

Alejandra Villa Loarca | Newsday | Getty Images

Child tax credit payments are an “underappreciated stimulus” that could lift sales across the retail, restaurant and travel industries — especially as shoppers emerge from the pandemic and get ready for back-to-school season, according to a research note published Tuesday by Cowen analysts.

The monthly payments, which begin Thursday, could benefit a wide range of companies, from grocers including Walmart to fast food chains such as Jack in the Box, according to the note.

Families have gotten child tax credits for years, but the American Rescue Plan made several key changes. It increased the amount per child from $2,000 to $3,000 for those between the ages of 6 and 17, and to $3,600 for each child under age 6. It qualified low-income families who have little or no taxable income. And it changed the way it is paid out, so that families receive half the money through direct deposits that run from July to December. Families will receive the other half after filing taxes.

That will translate to $250 or $300 per child each month. Families who make up to $150,000 for a couple or $112,500 for a family with a single parent, called a head of household; or $75,000 as an individual taxpayer will get the full amount. The payments will be phased out above that amount — but even those who get less money will receive advance payments.

Parents and caretakers of nearly 90% of children in the U.S. will receive the payments, according to the Internal Revenue Service.

Here are four major takeaways from the analysts:

More dollars mean more spending

The child tax credit will amount to an estimated $150 billion in stimulus over the next year, according to Cowen. Analysts at the equity research firm say the extra dollars may surprise both Americans and the economy at large, calling it “an underappreciated catalyst for discretionary consumer spend.”

As families get the money, Cowen predicts, they will spend it on food for the home, dining out and shopping online. The analysts named retailers and restaurants that are best-positioned to attract those dollars. On the grocery side, they pointed to Walmart, Target and Grocery Outlet. Among fast-food chains, they named Jack in the Box, Wingstop, Papa John’s and Darden, based on a survey of consumers that looked at their incomes and what places they frequent. And among e-commerce companies, they named Amazon.

Coinciding with ‘pent up demand’

Many families have already ramped up spending on new shoes and clothes as they emerge from their homes after getting Covid-19 vaccinations. Analysts from Cowen said that child tax credit dollars will likely feed into that spending spree.

Already, some retail industry watchers have predicted an usually hot back-to-school season as families crave a new start and a sense of more normalcy — and potentially channel that toward fresh notebooks and first-day-of-school outfits.

Cowen analysts expect that retailers that cater to back-to-school or team sports are positioned well to attract child tax credit dollars, including Walmart, Kohl’s, Foot Locker, Dick’s Sporting Goods and Nike. They also said retailers that focus on value, such as off-price retailers Burlington, Ross and T.J. Maxx, could get a boost since they cater to low-income families that are receiving child tax credit payments. They also said American Eagle Outfitters is in a good spot to attract the payments, as it caters to styles that teens crave, such as looser-fitting denim and casualwear.

Spilling over into adult categories

Parents, grandparents and other caretakers may spend some of the child tax credit dollars on themselves in the form of beer, cigarettes and plane tickets, according to Cowen.

Analysts estimated that the tobacco industry could pick up about $1.2 billion and alcoholic beverages could pick up roughly $2.7 billion of the estimated $150 billion impact of the child tax credit. That could mean good news for tobacco company Turning Point Brands and beer industry players, Constellation Brands and Boston Beer.

Cowen estimated air travel will get an approximately $1.15 billion bump from child tax credits, as the July payments arrive just in time for vacation season. That will be most noticeable for airlines that cater to leisure travel and lower prices, such as Allegiant, Frontier and Spirit, the analysts predicted.

A renewal looks likely

The monthly payments will end in December — but Cowen analysts are betting that they will be renewed. In the note, they said they expect the one-year program will be extended through 2025 through a reconciliation bill.

In the note, the analysts cited the size and scope of the government program, which is intended to fight childhood poverty. They called it a “huge policy change” that acts as “universal basic income for low-middle income parents.”

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Golf courses, offices turn into warehouses as industrial demand rises

A worker stacks boxes inside of an Amazon fulfillment center in Robbinsville, New Jersey.

Lucas Jackson | Reuters

The next big industrial warehouse might find itself on top of a former golf course. Or in an empty office building. Maybe in a vacated shopping mall.

The Covid pandemic has accelerated e-commerce sales globally, with digital sales driving a larger portion of retailers’ and grocers’ businesses. That has sparked a race for warehouse space and caused companies to seek creative commercial real estate alternatives as they strive to fulfill online orders and avoid delivery delays.

Demand for industrial, big-box facilities — warehouses or distribution centers of 200,000 square feet or more — hit a record in North America last year, according to commercial real estate services firm CBRE. It was the strongest performer among all industrial real estate. Transactions for those spaces totaled 349.3 million square feet in 2020 across the top 22 markets, a nearly 25% jump from 2019, according to CBRE.

The pace of e-commerce growth will likely slow in 2021, as people feel safe shopping at stores again. But real estate executives say industrial space will remain a competitive market.

“We’re really just seeing the tip of the iceberg as far as demand and growth of e-commerce,” said Mindy Lissner, a CBRE executive vice president. “Once you start it, you figure out how easy it is to order things online.”

“The pandemic has had a huge impact on the growth of demand of warehousing and fulfillment,” Lissner added. “But it was already growing anyway. … And the trend is going to continue.”

Time to get creative

With a hot market and supply of industrial space running thin, businesses and their brokers in a land grab are having to get creative.

How about an old golf course? Amazon recently found a shuttered 18 holes in the town of Clay, New York, to build a $350 million distribution center. It’s also plotting a fulfillment center on top of a portion of a former golf course in Alcoa, Tennessee.

The e-commerce giant also has taken old and defunct malls, of which there are plenty in the U.S., and turned them into warehouse spaces. Like the old golf courses, old malls are often situated in communities full of paying customers, which makes the land suitable for distribution facilities looking to be near people’s homes. But developers still face hurdles like rezoning.

Vacant office buildings are becoming an attractive target to flip into warehouse space, Lissner said. She said many have convenient locations and sprawling campuses, just off a highway. More office space could end up on the market, especially if businesses extend remote work policies after the pandemic and need less space for employees’ cubicles.

Experts also point to a pivot away from sprawling warehouse facilities in the middle of nowhere toward spaces closer to customers. In some cities, such as New York, that has inspired companies to build up rather than out. Some have moved into multistory buildings that have been converted into vertical warehouses in outer boroughs and neighborhoods like Long Island City.

“Our customers are preferring more expensive real estate,” said Chris Caton, managing director of global strategy and analytics at Prologis. “They’re no longer going out into really remote locations, like Columbus or Indianapolis or Memphis. Instead, a lot of that demand, and in particular the rent growth in our business over the last decade, has been focused in major 24-hour cities.”

Prologis, a real estate investment trust that owns warehouses and is Amazon’s biggest landlord, estimates that for every $1 billion in sales, e-commerce companies require 1.2 million square feet of distribution space.

Aggressive leasing

The need for industrial space has been especially high among discount retailers like Burlington, TJ Maxx and Ross Stores; home goods and home improvement stores like Wayfair and Home Depot; and meal-kit companies and grocers, Lissner said during a CBRE virtual event.

But the demand is seemingly everywhere you look.

Gap announced in February a $140 million investment to construct a distribution center in Longview, Texas, as part of its effort to double its online business over the next two years. Upon completion, Gap said the 850,000-square-foot facility will be able to process 1 million packages per day. Initially, it will be used for Old Navy’s burgeoning e-commerce business, then expand to other parts of Gap’s business.

Williams-Sonoma recently told analysts it plans to increase its manufacturing and distribution capacity by 20% to 30% over the next year, including adding about 2 million square feet to the company’s distribution-center network.

Home Depot earlier this year opened a 1.5 million-square-foot distribution center to fulfill online and store orders in Dallas.

For those grocery and food businesses, space can be even harder to find. They need special cold-storage facilities where they can keep perishable items, which are pricier and more limited than a typical warehouse that holds apparel or electronics. Real estate executives from CBRE and JLL say demand has grown for those as more Americans cook at home and order their weekly groceries online.

Shares are up about 15% over the past 12 months for Americold, the only publicly traded temperature-controlled warehouse owner in the U.S., in part because of storage requirements for Covid vaccines.

Unlike retail real estate, where rents have been pressured because demand isn’t what it used to be, prices for industrial real estate are still climbing.

Craig Meyer, president of JLL’s Americas industrial division, said “aggressive leasing” among retailers has caused vacancy rates to drop and rents to rise.

“We’re actually concerned about the availability of product beginning in the middle of the year,” he said.

Industrial rents, as a national average, hit $6.47 per square foot in February, up 5.1% year over year, according to data from the real estate tech firm CommercialEdge. New leases signed for the month commanded a 14.7% premium, averaging $7.42 per square foot, the group said.

“On the industrial side, prices are higher than I’ve ever seen in my 30 years,” Lissner said. “I mean, much, much higher than any prediction.”

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