Tag Archives: Real Estate/Property

Foreclosures are on the rise. Here’s what that says about the housing market

The foreclosure uptick indicates that the economic — and especially employment recovery — is not complete, an expert says.


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In January there was a seven-fold increase in foreclosure starts as compared to December, with roughly 33,000 loans referred to foreclosure, according to a report from mortgage data and analytics company Black Knight. What’s more, data from real estate data analytics firm ATTOM Data Solutions revealed that lenders repossessed 2,634 U.S. properties through completed foreclosures in February 2022, which is an increase of 70% from last year (though it’s still down 45% from last month). 

What do these foreclosures say about the housing market?

Realtor.com senior economist George Ratiu says the uptick in foreclosures during January is an early signal that many of the regulatory protections implemented during the pandemic to help Amercans stay in their homes are starting to wear off. Indeed, millions of people got mortgage forbearances during the pandemic that put their mortgage payments on hold. Most of them got back on their feet and ended their forbearances in 2020 and 2021, pros say.

The people who remained in forbearances into 2022 might be more likely to be suffering permanent financial hardships. “When their forbearances end, they’re less likely to be able to resume their payments and more likely to end up in foreclosure,” says Holden Lewis, home and mortgage expert at NerdWallet. What’s more, for many, the forbearance period is scheduled to come to a close soon and there is a backlog of loans who are either in loss mitigation or past due even after coming out of mitigation which may still enter foreclosure in the months ahead,” says Ratiu. 

The foreclosure uptick “also indicates that the economic, and especially employment recovery, is not complete. We lost 20.2 million jobs in April 2020 alone as the government imposed wide-ranging lockdowns and since then, the economy has added 18.8 million jobs back, but we’re still short of the pre-pandemic level,” says Ratiu. 

That said, “the silver lining for housing markets and homeowners is that January’s foreclosure rate remains 40% below the value registered before the pandemic,” says Ratiu. In fact, pros say, the housing market is still going strong, thanks in part to mortgage interest rates that are still near record lows (though they have ticked up recently). “With demand for homes exceeding supply by so much, no one is going to get a foreclosure for a steal. Competing buyers are bidding up prices for all homes, including foreclosures,” says Lewis.

Should I buy a foreclosure?

While no one wants to gain from another’s misfortune, you may come across foreclosed properties in your search for a home. Here’s what you need to know about potentially buying one.

First, it’s important to understand the different types of foreclosures listed for sale. Depending on the stage of the delinquency process, you may find pre-foreclosures where a lender notifies the homeowner that they’re in default; short-sales where a homeowner tries to sell the home for less than the mortgage value due to financial distress; sheriff’s sale auction where properties in default are sold at courthouses; bank foreclosures known as real estate owned (REO) properties; and government foreclosures where properties are purchased with loans from the Federal Housing Finance Agency or Veterans Administration.

Properties in foreclosure can be found on the multiple listing service (MLS), among other spots. They “are also listed in newspapers, bank offices and websites. For buyers considering a foreclosed property, auctions are another venue to find available houses,” says Ratiu. 

But, in today’s market, where a shortage of homes for sale keeps prices elevated, buyers may not necessarily find a steal when looking at foreclosed properties. “Banks who own REO homes have an incentive to sell them quickly, but they are aware of market prices and also vested in recouping the value from the home. For buyers considering a foreclosed property, it’s important to get through an inspection to determine the physical condition of the home. Obtain an estimate for the cost of repairs, which should also determine the offer price they may want to make,” says Ratiu. Adds Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors: “Many real estate investors are looking for a deep foreclosure bargain, but it’s still a seller’s market.”

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Russian Billionaire Roman Abramovich, Owner of Chelsea Soccer Club, Is Sanctioned by U.K.

LONDON—The British government ratcheted up pressure on Kremlin-linked businesspeople, sanctioning a handful of Russian oligarchs, including

Roman Abramovich,

the billionaire owner of British soccer club Chelsea FC.

It was the first time any Western government has moved on Mr. Abramovich. His trophy assets, including Chelsea, high-end property in London and mega yachts, have helped turn him into one of the highest-profile oligarchs now facing scrutiny from officials in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The U.S., U.K. and European Union have led global efforts to punish and pressure Russian President

Vladimir Putin

for the invasion through a raft of sanctions on banks and the country’s central bank, as well as through restrictions on oil purchases in some cases and by targeting the assets of Putin associates, Russian government officials and business people viewed as close to Moscow.

The U.K. government said Thursday that it was sanctioning Mr. Abramovich due to his “preferential treatment and concessions from Putin” and said that a U.K.-listed steel company he partly owns is supplying steel to the Russian military. A spokeswoman for Mr. Abramovich didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Mr. Abramovich has a net worth estimated at 9.4 billion pounds, equivalent to $12.4 billion, the British government said. His U.K. assets will now be frozen, and he will be barred from traveling to Britain, the government said. Mr. Abramovich has already said he is in the process of trying to sell Chelsea, and a person familiar with the matter said he has put his London properties on the market.

The government said that it would provide a special license to allow Chelsea to continue to operate, despite the sanctions. The sales of the club and Mr. Abramovich’s houses are now blocked. The U.K. Treasury must grant a license to allow any sale to proceed. Mr. Abramovich won’t be permitted to receive any proceeds of the sale, according to the government.

The sanctions effectively exile Mr. Abramovich: He can’t pay for electricity to his properties or buy a cup of coffee in the U.K., officials said.

The U.K. also announced a swath of sanctions against several other Russian oligarchs including tycoon Oleg Deripaska;

Igor Sechin,

the chief executive of

Rosneft

;

Andrey Kostin,

chairman of VTB Bank; and

Alexei Miller,

chief executive of Russian energy giant

Gazprom.

The announcement marks the U.K.’s most high-profile sanctions sweep to date. Representatives for these individuals weren’t immediately available to comment.

Since Russia invaded Ukraine at the end of February, the U.S. and allied countries have imposed heavy sanctions on Russia. WSJ’s Shelby Holliday dives into how these sanctions are affecting everyone from President Vladimir Putin to everyday Russian citizens. Photo: Pavel Golovkin/Associated Press

U.K. agencies, like those of other governments including the U.S., have powers to temporarily freeze assets of individuals or entities in their jurisdiction, without proving criminality. Owners are typically barred from selling or benefiting from them until sanctions are lifted or successfully contested. Governments typically can’t move to take ownership of the assets, though, except after often-lengthy legal proceedings that would require proof of lawbreaking. The U.K. government, however, is considering laws that would give itself the powers to seize sanctioned assets.

Across the West, Russian oligarchs are facing an unprecedented coordinated assault on businesses they built up in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union. Anger at the invasion of Ukraine—and hope that sanctions can pressure Mr. Putin to change tack—has triggered a hunt for these oligarchs’ assets by U.S., British and European governments. London has become an epicenter of scrutiny.

From the mid-1990s, it was a welcome recipient of Russian investment. But in the wake of the invasion of Ukraine, Britain’s Parliament is voting through an emergency law to make it easier to freeze the assets of those with ties to the Kremlin. British Foreign Secretary

Liz Truss

said this would enable the country to sanction hundreds of individuals by March 15.

“There can be no safe havens for those who have supported Putin’s vicious assault on Ukraine,” said British Prime Minister

Boris Johnson.

The British government had recently been criticized for failing to sanction enough oligarchs, giving them space, critics said, to sell assets or transfer them to associates. British officials had previously held off sanctioning Messrs. Abramovich and Deripaska, in part over cautiousness about protracted legal battles, officials said. New laws due to come into effect next week will limit the amount of damages the government is liable to pay if people sue over being sanctioned.

Representatives for Mr. Deripaska and for

United Co. Rusal

PLC, the aluminum giant that he partly owns, weren’t immediately available for comment. Mr. Deripaska hasn’t been in London for over two years, a person familiar with the matter said. Mr. Abramovich once maintained a relatively high profile in London, attending Chelsea games, for instance. He has rarely been seen here though in recent years.

Underlining the difficulties that authorities may have going after oligarchs’ property, many are owned by family or through a complex system of offshore companies. The house that Mr. Deripaska used in London’s exclusive Belgravia is owned by a family member, according to the person familiar with the matter.

Oligarch

Alexey Mordashov,

sanctioned in the European Union but not in the U.K, moved control of his majority stake in British-registered mining company Nord Gold PLC to his wife, according to company filings, days after Mr. Putin ordered troops into Ukraine. Nord Gold declined to comment.

Mr. Mordashov, in a statement, said he has “absolutely nothing to do with the emergence of the current geopolitical tension, and I do not understand why the EU has imposed sanctions on me.” A spokeswoman declined to comment further.

Mr. Abramovich has sold out of many of his early business interests, which used to include an energy giant now owned by natural-gas company Gazprom. Mr. Abramovich, though, still owns around 2% of MMC Norilsk Nickel PJSC, one of the world’s largest producers of critical minerals, and 29% of

Evraz

PLC, a London-listed steel and mining company with operations in Russia, the U.S. and elsewhere. The U.K. said Thursday Evraz provided steel to the Russian military. Mr. Abramovich has also invested in a number of startup companies, according to a person familiar with the matter.

The U.K.’s Financial Conduct Authority said that it has temporarily suspended Evraz from trading pending clarification of the impact of the U.K. sanctions. Later Thursday afternoon, Evraz said that it doesn’t think the sanctions on Mr. Abramovich apply to the company. It said over the last five years, two directors have been appointed by Mr. Abramovich, and that it therefore doesn’t consider him as a person exercising effective control of the company. Evraz said it supplies steel to the infrastructure and construction sectors only.

Mr. Abramovich’s acquisition of Chelsea in 2003 was the start of a wider splurge in London. He purchased several luxury properties, including a 15-bedroom mansion on a street in London dubbed “millionaire’s row.” He has also bought numerous pieces of art and one of the world’s largest yachts.

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That 553-foot yacht, called Eclipse, is currently near Philipsburg, in the Dutch Antilles, in the Caribbean, according to ship tracking sites FleetMon and MarineTraffic. Another of his yachts, My Solaris, 460-feet long, set sail earlier this week from Barcelona, where it had been berthed for three months, according to the tracking sites. As of Thursday, the vessel was sailing south of the Sicilian port of Ragusa.

Mr. Abramovich, a college dropout who was orphaned at a young age, made his money in the oil business. He combined forces with Boris Berezovsky, a mathematician turned entrepreneur with tight ties to former President

Boris Yeltsin.

The two merged their oil interests to create OAO Sibneft, which was later privatized.

The deal turned Mr. Abramovich into a multibillionaire. After creating

Sibneft,

he went on to help found Rusal, the world’s second-biggest aluminum group.

The U.K. government said Mr. Abramovich and Mr. Putin had a close relationship for decades and that the tycoon benefited financially from this relationship. That included tax breaks received by companies linked to him, buying and selling shares from and to the Russian state at favorable rates and contracts his companies received in the run-up to the FIFA 2018 World Cup, the government said.

Corrections & Amplifications
Roman Abramovich acquired Chelsea in 2003. An earlier version of this article misspelled the soccer club’s name as Chelsa. (Corrected on March 10)

Write to Max Colchester at max.colchester@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Walmart, Kroger Raise Prices of Covid-19 Test Kits

Prices are going up for some of the cheapest and most popular at-home Covid-19 test kits in the U.S.

Walmart Inc.

WMT -1.83%

and

Kroger Co.

KR 2.17%

are raising their prices for BinaxNOW at-home rapid tests, after the expiration of a deal with the White House to sell the test kits at cost for $14.

The two U.S. retail giants and

Amazon.com Inc.

agreed with the Biden administration last summer to discount the tests, which are made by

Abbott Laboratories

ABT -2.35%

and generally cost $24 or more for a box with two tests.

Abbott Laboratories’ FDA-approved BinaxNOW kit is among the most commonly used rapid Covid-19 antigen tests in the U.S.



Photo:

Paul Hennessy/Zuma Press

BinaxNOW, approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, is among the most commonly used over-the-counter, rapid antigen tests, which have been in high demand as the highly contagious Omicron variant spreads across the U.S.

The deal with the White House expired in December, and Walmart said this week that it is raising the kits’ price to $19.98 a box. Kroger now sells them for $23.99. The BinaxNOW tests aren’t currently available on Amazon.

Representatives for Walmart and Kroger said they fulfilled their commitment to sell tests at cost for three months and are taking steps to make tests more available. The White House didn’t respond to a request for comment.

An Amazon spokeswoman said the company is working with suppliers to alleviate shortages. She said Amazon made a large investment to develop its own FDA approved PCR test, which sells for $39.99, lower than most similar tests. The effort, she said, involved setting up an in-house laboratory to process results.

Pharmacy chains

CVS Health Corp.

and Walgreens Boots-Alliance Inc., along with other big retailers, have been selling the tests for $23.99 a box. Other retailers already are charging even more.

To help combat Omicron, the Biden administration is opening up more Covid testing sites and delivering 500 million Covid tests to Americans. WSJ’s Daniela Hernandez breaks down why testing is still a pain point in the U.S., two years into the pandemic. Photo Illustration: David Fang

Even at the higher prices, tests are difficult to find. BinaxNOW is sold out on many major retailers’ websites or takes more than a week to arrive. A Walmart spokeswoman said the BinaxNOW tests are more readily available in physical stores.

Abbott said it is running plants around the clock, seven days a week to pump out 70 million tests a month. “Despite rising U.S. material and labor costs, we have not passed along any of these costs to our customers and the price at retail has not changed since we launched the test,” the company said.

Covid-19 tests—both at-home kits and those done on location in clinics or at drugstores—remain costly and difficult to find in many places as the Omicron-driven surge pushes many Americans to seek out the diagnostic tools. The Biden administration has said it is working to expand access to free testing and has pledged to distribute 500 million free at-home tests. Some cities and states have established similar programs.

The White House said last month that it would begin delivering at-home tests in January and that they would be available to the public free by mail through a new website. Officials haven’t provided details of the plans to mail out tests or to cover the costs of testing.

Kroger now sells BinaxNOW Covid-19 test kits for $23.99 a box.



Photo:

Barrett Lawlis/Eagle-Gazette/USA TODAY NETWOR/Reuters

The cost and availability of tests varies widely. BinaxNOW tests are hard to find online for $24 but can be purchased for twice the price. At-home PCR tests are more readily available but generally cost close to $100 for a single test. Other rapid tests approved by the FDA for home use include the Ellume Covid-19 Home Test and the QuickVue test made by

Quidel.

Free testing is generally offered at medical and community clinics and at retail pharmacies. In places where demand for testing is especially high, people face hours-long lines or scarce appointment slots. How much people pay for in-person tests varies based on a number of factors including whether a person is insured, if they are symptomatic and how quickly they want results.

“When the prices are that high, people will rationalize not using a kit. They’ll wait until they’re sick or need it for school or something,” said Eric Feigl-Ding, an epidemiologist and health economist and a senior fellow at the Washington, D.C.-based Federation of American Scientists. “The problem with this pricing, besides creating a lack of access, is that it creates a perverse incentive for people not to use them.”

The tests need to be free or cost closer to $1, as is the case in much of Europe, to be an effective tool, Dr. Feigl-Ding said. That is because people who have few or no symptoms can still spread the virus.

Write to Sharon Terlep at sharon.terlep@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Zillow Gets Outplayed at Its Own Game

Zillow, it seems, has over-flipped.

The company that has prided itself on its technology to outsource a lot of human work is suddenly referring the work right back to humans. Zillow Group’s automated home-flipping business has stopped pursuing new home acquisitions temporarily, Bloomberg reported on Sunday. In a statement for this article, a Zillow spokesperson said in an email it is “beyond operational capacity in [its] Zillow Offers business.” Zillow said it is now connecting homeowners looking to sell their home to its local Premier Agent partners.

The pause seems to be a case of poor planning—a surprising lapse for a company that has been in the online real-estate business for nearly 17 years. Rather than a cash issue, Zillow is saying it experienced supply constraints having to do with on-the-ground workers and vendors. Leave it to a technology company to develop an algorithm to predict home values, but mismanage the human aspect of its business.

To add insult to injury, Zillow’s biggest competitor seems to be handling high volumes just fine.

Opendoor Technologies

OPEN 3.20%

said it is “open for business and continues to scale and grow,” noting it has worked hard over the past seven years to ensure it can continue to deliver as it expands. While Zillow long predates Opendoor as a company, it mainly offered an online marketing platform for agents before adding iBuying in 2018.

Zillow said it purchased a record number of homes in the second quarter at 3,805, but that still paled in comparison to the 8,494 homes Opendoor purchased in the same period. It doesn’t seem as though the near-term business has completely flopped: The company says it is continuing to process the purchases of homes from sellers who are already under contract as quickly as possible. That means home purchases could still continue to grow sequentially in the fourth quarter, even with the pause. Zillow hasn’t publicly commented on its fourth-quarter buying forecast, but has said its third-quarter outlook implies a “step up” in purchase activity.

Rather than flip out, iBuying investors may want to look at Zillow’s news as an opportunity for its competitors. Opendoor is now active in 44 markets, including all but two of Zillow’s 25 markets. Zillow’s pause therefore spells a golden opportunity for Opendoor. Zillow hasn’t yet said when it will resume new home purchases, but an email from a Zillow Offers Advisor to an agent seen by the Journal suggests the pause will last through the end of 2021 at the least.

Zillow’s mismanagement also highlights a key strength for smaller competitor

Offerpad Solutions.

OPAD -0.24%

Led by a former real-estate agent, that company has long touted its ground game. Offerpad, which is now a publicly traded company after closing its merger with a special-purpose acquisition company in September, seems to have been ahead of the curve in terms of understanding how many workers to employ and where, which repairs need to get done and how to execute them efficiently. An analysis by BTIG Research shows Offerpad’s contribution profit per home sold was over 4.7 times that of Zillow’s last year.

Opendoor is now active in 44 markets, including all but two of Zillow’s 25 markets.



Photo:

Conor Ralph for The Wall Street Journal

But the news is also a signal that investors may want to start to tread more lightly around what has thus far been a banner year for the sector. The reality is that iBuyers have incredible amounts of market data, can plan acquisitions and inventory months in advance and have a number of levers to pull to slow or accelerate the business, according to Mike DelPrete, a real estate tech strategist and scholar-in-residence at the University of Colorado Boulder. Given that, it is unusual that Zillow’s pause happened so suddenly and across all its markets.

The U.S. real-estate market has finally started to cool a bit. On Friday, Redfin reported the median home sale price rose 14% year-over-year in September—the lowest growth rate since December 2020. Meanwhile, closed home sales and new listings of homes for sale both fell from a year earlier, by 5% and 9% respectively.

Thus far, no other major iBuyer has said it was pausing new acquisitions this year. As Mr. DelPrete notes, it is possible Opendoor and Offerpad began to slow their own buying commitments as the market started to change, while Zillow missed the signs. More likely, Zillow, which has consistently prophesied what it calls the “Great Reshuffling” amid a permanence in remote work, just neglected to do its own reshuffling on the ground.

The U.S. mortgage market involves some key players that play important roles in the process. Here’s what investors should understand and what risks they take when investing in the industry. WSJ’s Telis Demos explains. Photo: Getty Images/Martin Barraud

Write to Laura Forman at laura.forman@wsj.com

Copyright ©2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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The Beauty of Buying a Ski Home in Idaho? Nobody Knows a Thing About It

Schweitzer Mountain has 2,900 acres, great snow and stunning lake views; it’s Idaho’s largest ski terrain area.

Most people have never heard of it.

“We have no lift lines. It’s low-key, it isn’t pretentious and there’s a strong sense of community,” says David Thompson, a retired surgeon from Houston who bought a ski-in, ski-out house there with views of Lake Pend Oreille in 2009 for $850,000.

It isn’t easy to get to Schweitzer—the closest major airport is in Spokane, Wash., about a two-hour drive, including a steep road with sharp switchbacks. The two fastest routes from Idaho’s capital, Boise, are 10-12 hours and involve going through either Washington or Montana.

There aren’t many shops and hotels right at the mountain’s base, and cell and internet service can be spotty in the area. Residents have to pick up their mail in the village.

But Schweitzer is in the midst of a dramatic transformation, aiming to become a destination resort. Last season it added seven runs and two lifts and joined the Ikon Pass, a 47-mountain destination ticket that gives members access to elite ski areas around the world, including Aspen, Colo., Jackson Hole, Wyo., Utah’s Deer Valley, Vermont’s Killington and Zermatt in Switzerland.

The resort village, with a year-round population of about 65, currently looks like a giant construction site, as the resort embarks on a multiphase rollout of residential development. An angled, contemporary glass-and-steel hotel and restaurant, designed by hip Portland, Ore., firm Skylab Architecture, is rising amid the more traditional alpine condos and lodges. The skeletons of new modern houses and townhouses bolstered by steel rods now inundate the steep slopes.

Demand for real estate is so high that there are currently no houses on the market for sale and only two condos—a stark difference from the 40-50 units for sale in the wider area at any given time in the past, says Patrick Werry, an agent with Century 21 Riverstone. Home prices have risen 40% over the past year in this resort village of about 700 homes.

Last year Schweitzer joined the Ikon pass, a 47-mountain destination ticket that gives members access to elite ski areas around the world, including Aspen, Colo., Jackson Hole, Wyo., Utah’s Deer Valley, Vermont’s Killington and Zermatt in Switzerland.



Photo:

Schweitzer

“Everyone is trying to get on the bandwagon,” says Craig Mearns of M2 Construction, which has a three-year waiting list to even start building a custom house. Its latest spec project sold out in a month, even when prices increased from $550,000 to $950,000 for a unit.

What’s happening at Schweitzer is happening all over Idaho. The state is in the midst of a ski renaissance. As its resorts expand their ski terrain and add amenities, demand for homes is booming.

“Idaho is attracting people who want a smaller resort experience—the feel that other Western resorts used to offer but don’t anymore,” says Thomas Wright, president of Summit Sotheby’s International Realty.

Idaho’s ski resorts are scattered across the state and their characters are as different as the terrain that surrounds them, from the arid, celebrity-infused Sun Valley, to the insular, pine-tree dense village of Tamarack, north of Boise. All the way east is the wilder, remote Grand Targhee, in the Teton Range, located in Alta, Wyo., just on the border with Idaho. But the appeal of all these places is the same: low-key, uncrowded skiing with consistent snow.

At Tamarack, the insular, pine-tree dense village north of Boise, the snow is consistently powdery, there are almost never lift lines and there’s lots of backcountry skiing. Opened in 2004, then shut in 2008 due to bankruptcy, Tamarack is in the midst of a resurgence. The resort’s lifts currently service about 1,000 acres of skiable terrain. VIDEO: Todd Meier for The Wall Street Journal

Real-estate agents say the demand for ski resort homes is an offshoot of the demand for homes in Idaho overall, a movement fueled by the pandemic, with people looking for properties with more space and, in some cases, more lax Covid restrictions. (Idaho is currently in a hospital resource crisis because of its high rate of Covid.)

Idaho’s home prices have grown 42% in the past two years—twice the national average and the highest of all the states, according to Nik Shah, CEO of Home LLC., a down payment assistance provider.

“Most of my friends are like ‘Idaho, what’s there?’ My response is, ‘exactly—it’s because you don’t know about it,’ ” says Harmon Kong, a 57-year-old investment adviser from Lake Forest, Calif.

Mr. Kong and his wife, Lea Kong, fell hard last year for Tamarack and bought two places: a ski-in ski-out, three-bedroom, three-bathroom penthouse condo in the fall of 2020 for $1.8 million, and three-bedroom, three-bathroom chalet nearby for $1.28 million.

Mr. Kong was used to skiing at Heavenly Ski Resort in Lake Tahoe, Calif., which he likens to Disneyland because of the crowds. At Tamarack, he says the snow is routinely powdery, there are hardly ever lift lines and there’s lots of backcountry skiing.

Opened in 2004, then shut in 2008 due to bankruptcy, Tamarack is in the midst of a resurgence. The resort’s lifts currently service about 1,000 acres of skiable terrain and it has applied to the U.S. Forest Service for permits to add seven to nine new lifts, including a gondola, and more than double its size by adding 3,300 new acres of ski terrain and a new summit lodge.

Building is underway on ambitious, multiphase residential development projects, which will result in 2,043 residential units, including about 1,000 hotel rooms and a mix of condos, estate homes, townhomes, cottages and chalets. Tamarack is in the process of starting a charter school. The average sold price for a home in Tamarack, which has about 450 homes in all, has grown 80% over the past two years, according to the Mountain Central Association of Realtors.

To attract more skiers, this past year Tamarack joined the Indy Pass, which includes small, independent resorts around North America. The resort’s president Scott Turlington is aiming for 500,000 skier visits over the next couple of seasons (up from 120,000 last season), which he acknowledges might make him persona non grata among some of the current homeowners. “If I do my job properly I won’t be the most popular person,” he says.

Ski Magazine readers voted Sun Valley the country’s top ski resort in Western North America in 2021, in part because of its comparably short lift lines. However, last year it became a partner in the Epic pass, a move that could bring more skiers. Sun Valley has been growing its ski operations. Last season it added 380 acres of skiable terrain on Bald Mountain and a new high-speed chairlift. VIDEO: Sun Valley Resort

Still, Mr. Turlington says, “We want to maintain our rugged individualism and independent spirit. It’s a very different feeling here than at one of the top resorts.”

The top ski resort in Idaho is Sun Valley. In fact, Ski Magazine readers voted Sun Valley the top ski resort in Western North America in 2021, in part because of its comparably short lift lines. It’s located in an arid, high-altitude and desert-like environment and its famed Sun Valley Lodge has walls lined with photos of celebrities like Marilyn Monroe, Ernest Hemingway and Tom Hanks. Business moguls and world leaders convene there every summer for the annual Allen & Company conference.

Sun Valley has also been growing its ski operations. Last season, it added 380 acres of skiable terrain on Bald Mountain and a new high-speed chairlift. It became a partner in the Epic Pass, which includes mountain resorts like Colorado’s Vail, Utah’s Park City and Whistler in Canada, a move to bring more skiers to the mountains.

Sun Valley Resort’s vice president and general manager Pete Sonntag says the resort has no plans to expand further for now. “Our goal is never about competing for the most skiers. It’s about improving the guest experience,” he says, adding, “The remote location will keep it from feeling overrun.”

But, like many resort towns, the issue of development and affordable housing is a hot topic right now. “There’s a huge concern about people getting priced out,” says Katherine Rixon, a real-estate agent with Keller Williams Sun Valley. Property values have appreciated so much that many owners of rental properties are cashing out of the market, leaving their tenants having to find a new place to live in an already tight rental environment. And at the same time, rental rates have doubled in the past year. There are a number of government and nonprofit groups working on increasing housing for the workforce, she says.

The number of sold homes was up 71% in August compared with a year earlier, the median price was up 20%, and the number of homes for sale down 56%. A three-bedroom, three-bathroom townhouse Ms. Rixon sold at Sun Valley last year for $2 million just resold for $3.6 million.

“People here complain when there’s four people in the lift line,” says Jean-Pierre Veillet, a real-estate developer. He moved with his family this summer from Portland, Ore., to Bellevue, about half an hour from Sun Valley’s main town of Ketchum, in part because his 15-year-old son Oliver is a ski racer and was attending a boarding school in the area.

Mr. Veillet, 50, and his wife, Summer Veillet, 45, bought a four-bedroom, two-bathroom, 3,000-square-foot house with a library, a three-car garage and a barn on 10 acres for $1.3 million in March. They’d been looking for a house in Ketchum and Hailey, the two towns in the area which are closer to the slopes, but gave up after not finding anything for a year.

Mr. Veillet still works in Portland, and even though that’s not far geographically, getting back and forth is strenuous because there are no nonstop flights to the small Sun Valley airport. The Veillets say there are pros and cons of living there: the skiing is great, Oliver is thriving, and their younger son, Zealand, who is 10 and is home-schooled, is getting a great education from the growing, fishing and renovating the family is doing.

On the other hand, the internet is terrible, there can be fierce windstorms and there’s no food delivery service. “It’s been a hard transition. It can be hard to slow down and make a change in life,” says Mr. Veillet.

David and Kimberly Barenborg just moved to Ketchum, into a five-bedroom, five-bathroom, over 4,000-square-foot log cabin-style house with a guest cottage in a quiet neighborhood right along a stream. They bought it for about $4 million in August after they sold their house in the Seattle suburb of Mercer Island.

Mr. Barenborg, 60, who co-founded a financial advisory firm, wanted somewhere that had sun, felt safe and where he could ski, bike and fish. “It’s just play time,” he says. “I’m so happy here.”

The only catch is the threat of development on a 65-acre dog park and green space that’s directly across the creek from their new home. He is working to help the town raise the $9 million the developer is asking for the property. He says the process has been slow going but the community is starting to see the value of protected green space. “Everyone is overwhelmed by what’s going on,” says Mr. Barenborg, referring to the rapid growth that’s stressing the town’s infrastructure.

The rapid growth is also increasing jobs, but Heidi Husbands, a council member in Hailey, says Sun Valley is currently facing a shortage of workers because people can’t afford to live there anymore. Ketchum approved funding for an affordable housing project, but it is still controversial. At one point the town considered allowing workers to put tents in a park, but that idea was canceled.

Schweitzer Mountain resort, owned by Seattle-based McCaw Investment Group, plans to add a whole new ski area, with four new lifts and a new lodge ove the next five to 10 years.



Photo:

Schweitzer

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Some residents of Schweitzer are also worried about more crowds, traffic and a shortage of housing. The resort, owned by Seattle-based McCaw Investment Group, just sold out a 35-lot subdivision and broke ground on an addition to a condo building. In a few weeks, it will start building a new residential neighborhood with cabins before embarking on several others later next year. In five to 10 years, the resort plans a whole new area, with four new lifts and a new lodge.

The potential impacts from climate change are also an issue. Schweitzer CEO Tom Chasse says, “Strategically, we are concerned about the snow level. We are seeing a change in precipitation. The snow lines have been moving up for the last few seasons. So we want to make sure we have lift access to the higher elevations and we are doing feasibility studies on adding snow-making on the lower levels.”

However, Mr. Chasse says the resort has plenty of room to grow. “We want to increase our sophistication level,” he says.

Schweitzer’s CEO Tom Chasse says the resort has plenty of room to grow. “We want to increase our sophistication level,” he says.



Photo:

Schweitzer

Write to Nancy Keates at nancy.keates@wsj.com

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30-Year Mortgage Rate Tops 3% for First Time Since July

Americans who purchased new homes or refinanced their mortgages over the past few months may have done so at just the right moment.

The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 3.02%, mortgage-finance giant

Freddie Mac

said Thursday. It is the first time the rate on America’s most popular home loan has risen above 3% since July and the fifth consecutive week it has increased or held steady.

Mortgage rates fell throughout most of 2020 after the Covid-19 pandemic ravaged the economy. That helped power the biggest boom in mortgage lending since before the financial crisis, fueled by refinancings. When rates hit 2.98% in July, it was their first time under the 3% mark in about 50 years of record-keeping.

The recent upward moves paint a clear contrast: More vaccinations in the U.S. and recent progress on the latest coronavirus relief bill have brightened investors’ outlook on the economy, a key variable in determining borrowing rates.

Mortgage rates tend to move in the same direction as the yield on the 10-year Treasury, which has been rising. Treasury yields rise when investors feel confident enough in the economy to forgo safe-haven assets such as bonds for riskier ones including stocks. Last week, the yield hit its highest level in a year.

Freddie Mac chief economist

Sam Khater

said he expects a strong sales season, partly because he thinks “the uptrend in rates from here will be more muted than the past few weeks.” The Federal Reserve has said it would maintain ultralow interest rates until the economy improves.

“The Fed has seen the carnage from the last crisis, and they don’t want to pre-empt the recovery by starting to raise rates and choking off that nascent recovery,” Mr. Khater said.

However, rising rates have started to weigh on home purchase and refinance applications in recent weeks.

The U.S. mortgage market involves some key players that play important roles in the process. Here’s what investors should understand and what risks they take when investing in the industry. WSJ’s Telis Demos explains. Photo: Getty Images/Martin Barraud

Higher mortgage rates could discourage some would-be buyers from trying to purchase a home during the key spring selling season, because higher interest rates translate into larger monthly payments. That could prompt people to search for a cheaper house or to put their homeownership goal on hold.

Even before the recent climb in rates, surging U.S. home prices had begun to outweigh the savings afforded by historically low borrowing rates. The typical monthly mortgage payment in the fourth quarter rose to $1,040 from $1,020 a year earlier even as mortgage rates declined, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Rising rates can also put the brakes on refinancings, which accounted for about 60% of mortgage originations in 2020, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

With a 30-year rate of 2.75%, about 18 million U.S. homeowners could reduce their monthly payments through a refinance, according to mortgage-data firm

Black Knight Inc.

When the rate rises to 3.25%, the pool of eligible homeowners shrinks to about 11 million.

Homeowners such as Lindsay Ellis of Charlotte, N.C., who closed on a refinance last month, may have locked in some of the lowest mortgage rates available for the foreseeable future.

Ms. Ellis cut the rate on her condo from about 4.6% to 2.9% through a refinance with

Rocket

Cos. She hasn’t decided where she’ll put the roughly $160 in monthly savings, but she plans to explore different investment options.

“I didn’t have to do a lot of the work to shop around and compare rates because the rate they gave me was great,” she said.

Ms. Ellis wouldn’t have qualified for a refinance when rates began falling last year because unemployment benefits kept her afloat for part of 2020. Ms. Ellis, a fitness director, was furloughed from her job last St. Patrick’s Day and couldn’t return until the fall. She began to consider the refinance shortly after.

Write to Orla McCaffrey at orla.mccaffrey@wsj.com

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