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Scientists say planetary intelligence is real, but Earth doesn’t qualify yet

A new study by a group of astrophysicists suggests that planets can become intelligent if they reach certain thresholds. (Image credit: Shutterstock)

A group of astrophysicists has proposed that individual planets are capable of developing intelligence — not the kind of smarts like knowing your ABCs, but rather an intelligence associated with the interconnectedness of the life inhabiting them. However, don’t assume that our planet is in this intelligent league. Earth is still one major step away from developing true planetary intelligence, a milestone that, if achieved, could help us prevent the impending climate catastrophe, the scientists said. 

In the new study, published Feb. 7 in the International Journal of Astrobiology, a group of researchers argues that a planet can be deemed intelligent if it demonstrates cognition — the capacity to know something about what’s happening and act on that knowledge. This could happen if nature and technology on planets like Earth can evolve to the point where they are so interconnected that they can recognize potential issues and create feedback loops to counter them.

“To be clear, cognition is not consciousness,” the researchers wrote in an article for The Atlantic. “We don’t imagine some kind of planetary super-being making self-aware decisions for the world.” Instead, the team believes that cognition is a natural product of the relationship between life and the planets on which they develop.

Related: Changing Earth: 7 ideas to geoengineer our planet 

However, Earth hasn’t entered this stage, at least not yet. “Even though Earth might be full of intelligent life, at this point in its cosmic history, it certainly doesn’t seem very smart,” they wrote in The Atlantic. But the new study does outline the remaining final hurdle Earth must overcome to gain true planetary intelligence. 

The Gaia hypothesis 

The new study is built upon a principle known as the Gaia hypothesis, an idea introduced by British scientist James Lovelock and American evolutionary biologist Lynn Margulis in the early 1970s. (Gaia is the personification of Earth from Greek mythology.)

The Gaia hypothesis states that, as life-forms evolve on Earth, they affect the evolution of the planetary system as a whole. The idea is that the biosphere — the global ecological system integrating all living things and their relationships — can physically alter other systems, such as the atmosphere (air), cryosphere (ice), hydrosphere (water) and lithosphere (land). This back-and-forth effect has been happening since life first began on Earth, but it has become more noticeable than ever due to humanity’s impacts on the planet, including human-caused climate change, pollution and deforestation.

The researchers wanted to know if this interconnectedness between life and a planet could become so interwoven that the planet could eventually be deemed intelligent. “The biosphere tells us that once life appears in a world, that world can take on a life of its own,” the researchers wrote in The Atlantic. “But if a planet with life has a life of its own, can it also have a mind of its own?”

The Gaia hypothesis states that as life evolves on Earth it in turn shapes the evolution of the planet. (Image credit: Shutterstock)

The idea of a collective entity like a planet having some sort of intelligence goes against the notions we have about our own intelligence. “Intelligence tends to be conceived of as something that happens in individual heads, and usually those heads sit on the shoulders of animals like humans,” the researchers wrote. However, there are many examples of collective intelligence in the natural world.

For instance, colonies of social insects, like bees, show a collective and often superior intelligence than the individuals that form them. “A single bee holds only a small amount of information about the world, but its colony as a whole knows and responds to the environment,” the researchers wrote.

Related: Landsat satellites: 12 amazing images of Earth from space

Recent discoveries about fungal networks, known as mycorrhizal networks, that share water and nutrients between individual trees in forests also reveal a form of collective intelligence. “Such fungal networks allow forests stretching hundreds of miles to recognize and respond to changing conditions,” the researchers wrote.

Meanwhile, the human brain is made from trillions of connections between different neurons, meaning our own intelligence is more collective than we think.

Stages of planetary intelligence 

The researchers define true planetary intelligence as the point at which all the living systems on a planet work in unison for the benefit of the entire system. This would involve feedback loops in which negative changes to the planet, such as rapid climate change, are identified and counteracted. 

“We consider planetary intelligence to be life’s collective response to changes in the state of the entire planet,” the researchers wrote. “The collective result is that life doesn’t doom itself over time.”

However, this does not happen overnight, and there are major obstacles planets must overcome before they can be deemed intelligent. In the new study, the researchers propose four main stages in planetary intelligence: immature biosphere, mature biosphere, immature technosphere and mature technosphere.

Depictions of each stage of planetary intelligence and their atmospheric compositions. (Image credit: University of Rochester illustration / Michael Osadciw)

An immature biosphere is characteristic of Earth when life first emerged, when tiny microbes were the only life-forms on the planet. At that point, the atmosphere was mainly carbon dioxide and methane, which made the planet inhospitable to more advanced life-forms that we see today. “During this early period, life was not yet a major planetary player,” the researchers wrote. “There was life, but there were few global feedback loops and hence no emergence of intelligence.”

But the microbes created oxygen via photosynthesis, which began to slowly change the chemistry of the atmosphere. This allowed for the development of a mature biosphere, where multicellular life — such as animals and, most importantly, vegetation — emerged and further increased the oxygen in the atmosphere. This oxygen-rich environment allowed the protective ozone layer to form and plants and animals to develop on land and further transform the planet. 

“This thick tangle of feedback loops between living and nonliving components comprised a network that could be said to hold and respond to information in a meaningful way,” the researchers wrote. “Earth, in other words, started to become smart.”

Next, the researchers looked at the technosphere, or the relationship between artificial technology and natural systems. The immature technosphere materialized when humans began to develop technology and build networks for communication, transport, energy and food production. However, at this stage, these technologies come at the expense of the planet by using energy and resources from other living and physical systems. This rapidly transforms the planet by increasing the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and introducing other damaging pollutants, as well as by destroying physical systems and ecosystems.

Related: 10 Signs that Earth’s climate is off the rails

Earth is currently stuck at the immature technosphere stage, the researchers said. Our advancements in energy production are allowing us to achieve some remarkable technologies for ourselves, but those actions are significantly altering the planet. “Our technosphere is, in the long run, working against itself. It’s formally stupid,” the researchers wrote. “It leaves the entire planet unguided, careening into new and uncharted territory.”

If Earth ever reaches the mature technosphere stage — a pivotal feat that would signify that Earth is “intelligent” — the technology on our blue dot will advance to a point where it does not require planetary energy and resources and instead can be used to repair and improve the systems it was destroying. This would allow the technosphere to co-evolve with the biosphere in a way that allows both to thrive. 

“This would be a technosphere rooted in the biosphere, which itself is rooted in the other planetary systems — a technosphere that self-maintains the entire Earth system,” the researchers wrote.

The final hurdle 

Progressing to the final stage of planetary intelligence is more than just a curiosity for the researchers — it is a necessity. They believe that it may be the only way to prevent a climate catastrophe, which is nearing ever closer due to the immaturity of our technosphere. 

“Humanity stands at a most precipitous moment in both our and our planet’s evolution,” the researchers wrote. It is “caught in a climate crisis brought on by our supposed advancement as a civilization.” 

However, thinking about intelligence on a wider scale could help us solve this problem. “Making sense of how a planet’s intelligence might be defined and understood helps shine a little light on humanity’s future on this planet — or lack thereof,” the researchers wrote.

A representation of the four stages of planetary intelligence from immature biosphere (left) to mature technosphere (right). (Image credit: University of Rochester illustration / Michael Osadciw)

But it is unclear exactly how we should go about advancing our technosphere, what further discoveries or breakthroughs we need to make in order to do this. “The million-dollar question is figuring out what planetary intelligence looks like and means for us in practice because we don’t know how to move to a mature technosphere yet,” lead author Adam Frank, an astrophysicist at the University of Rochester in New York, said in a statement.

However, there is hope that humans can help the planet take the final step toward intelligence, because we are smart enough to realize that it is even a possibility. “Humans at least are intelligent enough to comprehend the calamitous direction we’re headed in,” the researchers wrote. “That level of self-awareness opens some possibility of choice.”

Related: 7 ways to prove the Earth is round (without launching a satellite)

In the past, humanity has made some choices that benefit the planet, such as the 1987 establishment of the Montreal Protocol, in which countries around the world agreed to ban hazardous chemicals that were destroying the ozone layer. “That was, perhaps, an early example of what the new version of planetary intelligence could look like,” the researchers wrote.

The researchers’ study focuses mainly on Earth’s journey toward intelligence. But the same interconnectedness between life and host planets is likely to be the same on any alien worlds that may harbor life elsewhere in the cosmos. 

“We have discovered that the universe is teeming with worlds, many of which might host life and even intelligence,” the researchers wrote. However, current searches for intelligence tend to focus on whether planets might harbor intelligent life and not on whether the planets are intelligent themselves, they added.

Most alien-life hunters are focused on finding evidence of an intelligent species reaching outward, such as radio signals. But examples of planetary intelligence, known as technosignatures, are more likely to be on the planets themselves, like solar panels or pollution.  

“Understanding planetary intelligence might help point the way to knowing what kind of technosignatures we should be looking for, as well as how to look for them,” the researchers wrote. Frank is now the principal investigator on the first NASA project looking for non-radio technosignatures, according to the statement. 

Originally published on Live Science.

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Astronomers Detect Up to 170 Rogue Planets Hurtling Aimlessly Through Space

Interstellar space is a graveyard of lost souls. Adrift far from any star, these planets float in the darkness like ghost ships in the night.

Catching sight of one requires patience, and a good eye. But a new approach based on tens of thousands of images collected by the European Southern Observatory’s facilities has resulted in the identification of as many as 170 potential ‘rogue’ worlds in our corner of the galaxy.

 

If a good fraction of them are confirmed to be planets, it would suggest the Milky Way is swarming with solar exiles.

“There could be several billions of these free-floating giant planets roaming freely in the Milky Way without a host star,” says Hervé Bouy, an astronomer at the Laboratoire d’Astrophysique de Bordeaux in France.

Rogue planets all start their existence in the same swirls of gas and dust that give rise to a typical solar system, but some of these clouds of matter may be too small to form the star part of the system.

How many are virgin births, created without a star in sight, and how many are kicked out of their nest is hard to say. We just don’t have enough information. 

Being planets, they don’t glow with the ferocity of a star. Detached from a solar system, they don’t follow an orbital path that might otherwise identify them as an exoplanet. 

Most suspects have been glimpsed indirectly as dimples in space-time as their massive bodies briefly distort the background of starlight, a method that usually doesn’t lend itself to a second look.  

 

What we really need is a sizable sample of rogues we can return to time and again to track and analyze.

Astronomers behind this latest data trawl took advantage of the fact newborn planets continue to glow with residual heat for many millions of years.

By scanning for this weak radiation signature amid images taken using ESO’s high powered telescopes, they were able to amass a huge list of candidate ‘free-floating planets’ within the Upper Scorpius and Ophiuchus constellations.

“We measured the tiny motions, the colors and luminosities of tens of millions of sources in a large area of the sky,” says Laboratoire d’Astrophysique de Bordeaux astronomer and first author, Núria Miret-Roig. 

“These measurements allowed us to securely identify the faintest objects in this region, the rogue planets.”

It’s unlikely all will turn out to be planets. Of the 170 signatures, as few as 70 might actually qualify.

Where gravitational lensing effects or the tell-tale wobble of a star being tugged by a heavy companion can give clear clues on the size of a planet, it’s harder to estimate mass from the light alone.

 

A brighter rogue could be a bigger one. Or it could be a sign that it’s freshly baked.

Associating each candidate with the approximate age of the star-generating region of space it’s found in helps set limits on its likely mass, but some could still turn out to be big enough to technically qualify as a dimly burning, low mass star.

While there’s plenty of work to be done chasing up these potential dark nomads, the success of the technique puts us on a path for gathering the numbers needed to better understand their origins.

Already the density of the rogues alone suggests the isolated ‘core collapse’ model can’t be the only way to produce them, lending credibility to a significant portion of the planets being outcasts.

Excitingly, we’re on the verge of a whole new generation of space-watching technology which should help us expand our knowledge on such elusive objects even further, potentially allowing us to study their fates as well as their past.

“These objects are extremely faint and little can be done to study them with current facilities,” says Bouy. 

“The ELT [Extremely Large Telescope] will be absolutely crucial to gathering more information about most of the rogue planets we have found.”

This research was published in Nature Astronomy.

 

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Manchester City defeat Paris Saint-Germain as both teams qualify for Champions League knockout stages

Having been on the back foot throughout the first half, PSG took the lead at the start of the second period when Lionel Messi’s deflected cross was finished by Kylian Mbappe.

But the lead lasted little more than 10 minutes as City equalized through Raheem Sterling’s poked shot from close range — just reward for City, which had dominated possession for most of the match.

And with 15 minutes remaining, Gabriel Jesus grabbed the winner for the home side after he was teed up by Bernardo Silva inside the PSG box.

RB Leipzig’s 5-0 win against Club Brugge in the group’s other game means that both PSG and City go through to the knockout stages.

READ: Bayern stars Joshua Kimmich and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting test positive for Covid-19 as club grapples with virus

The entertaining contest in Manchester — which pitted two of the Champions League’s best sides against each other, both of whom reached the final of the competition in the past two seasons — came to life in the second half after City had controlled the first 45 minutes.

Pep Guardiola’s side could have taken the lead in the game’s opening minutes, but Rodri’s header was cleared off the line by Presnel Kimpembe.

Then midway through the first half, Man City had further chances as Ilkay Gundogan’s powerful shot rattled off the post and Riyad Mahrez had an attempt saved by PSG goalkeeper Keylor Navas.

PSG had few chances and was suffocated by City’s passing and high press, but with Messi, Mbappe and Neymar in attack, a breakaway goal always seemed a possibility.

That’s exactly what happened at the start of the second half when Messi broke down the left and crossed to Mbappe, who slid a shot through the legs of Ederson to give PSG the lead with his ninth goal of the season.

READ: Barcelona’s UCL hopes on a knife edge, but club may have found new star in Yusuf Demir

Man City continued to attack the PSG goal and hit back through Sterling after Kyle Walker’s cross went past Jesus and found the England forward at the back post.

Neymar had a golden opportunity to give PSG the lead on 73 minutes after a slaloming run through the Man City defense, but he pushed his shot wide.

It proved a costly miss, as moments later City took the lead through Jesus’ goal, handing his side a deserved victory.

The result means City has 12 points and is guaranteed to finish top of the group with PSG on eight points.

“We’re very happy — very happy with the three points, very happy because we qualified first in the group, which is very important for us, and very happy as well because our fans deserved a good performance and a good win,” Silva told BT Sport after the match.

Buildup to the game had been dominated by speculation linking PSG manager Mauricio Pochettino with City’s rival Manchester United, which parted ways with Ole Gunnar Solskjaer at the weekend.

But Pochettino, whose contract with PSG runs until 2023, declined to get drawn into the rumors.

“We cannot talk about that (because of) my respect to my club, to Paris Saint-Germain, my respect to another club. What another club are doing in that moment is not my business, is not my problem,” he told reporters ahead of the game.

“I need to be focused on Paris Saint-Germain. I’m not going to make the mistake to talk … I am so happy at Paris Saint-Germain and I am focused on trying to give my best like I’m doing.”

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All US adults qualify for COVID-19 boosters; which is best?

A woman receives the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine as a booster dose at Skippack Pharmacy in Schwenksville, Pennsylvania, Aug. 14. (Hannah Beier, Reuters)

Estimated read time: 3-4 minutes

CHICAGO — The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Friday expanded availability of COVID-19 booster shots to all American adults, hoping to preserve vaccine protection against the fast-spreading delta variant.

Previously, the agency had recommended booster shots only for people age 65 and older, or at high-risk from COVID-19, and said they could choose a different vaccine from the one they received for their initial inoculation.

Now, millions more Americans face the choice of which booster to use. Here is what some experts advise:

The latest guidelines

Prior CDC booster guidance was based on meeting specific age, health or other risk requirements that left some people confused about whether they were eligible.

The new guidance aims to clarify that. It says all adults 18 and older who received their second dose of a Pfizer/BioNTech or Moderna vaccine at least six months ago are eligible for a booster shot.

Advisers to the CDC also recommended boosters to adults ages 50 and older. Prior guidance recommended boosters for all ages 65 and older.

Many people 18 to 64 wondered whether they were qualified for boosters under prior guidance, which permitted them for people that age with medical conditions that increase their risk of serious disease, such as obesity or diabetes. It also included people at greater risk due to their professions or living situations.

For adults who initially received the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccine, guidance remains unchanged: they should receive any one of the authorized COVID-19 boosters two months later.

Which booster is right?

U.S. booster guidance permits individuals to mix and match, using the same vaccine as their original series or a different one of their choosing.

Although the choices may seem confusing, Dr. Monica Gandhi, an infectious disease expert at the University of California, San Francisco, tried to break it down simply.

“Fundamentally, you can get whatever you want for your booster, except for something very particular: Johnson & Johnson should be followed by an mRNA (from Pfizer or Moderna), period.”

The FDA cleared a second J&J shot based on data showing increased efficacy against COVID-19 to 94%, up from 72% as a single-dose vaccine.

But a U.S.-government study of mixed booster shots found people who followed a J&J shot with an mRNA booster had significantly higher levels of protective antibodies.

The mix and match policy gives physicians more leeway to advise patients at risk for certain side effects to try a different vaccine. It also allows for the possibility that not every pharmacy or doctor’s office will carry all three types of boosters.

Pfizer or Moderna?

For those who got mRNA vaccines, the evidence suggesting a need for a booster is strongest for older adults who got the Pfizer/BioNTech shots, said Dr. Paul Offit, an infectious disease expert at the University of Pennsylvania and a member of the FDA’s vaccine advisory panel.

For younger individuals initially vaccinated with an mRNA vaccine, the decision is more nuanced. According to data presented on Friday to a CDC vaccine advisory panel, protection from the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine appears to wane more quickly than the Moderna shots, but both still do a good job at preventing hospitalization and death.

Pfizer’s shot contains 30 micrograms of vaccine and so does its booster. Moderna’s original shots were 100-microgram doses, but the booster is approved as a half dose. It is not yet known whether Moderna’s lower-dose booster will have the same durability as the original shots.

Kathryn Edwards, a vaccine researcher at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, said Moderna’s lower dose may reduce the short-term side effects such as fever and body aches associated with the higher-dose Moderna shot.

Vaccines from both Moderna and Pfizer have been linked with a heart inflammation side effect known as myocarditis in younger men, but data presented to CDC advisers on Friday suggests a booster dose does not increase that risk.

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What medical conditions qualify you for Social Security checks?

Social Security payments don’t just cover seniors, they cover the disabled as well. Both the Supplementary Security Income (SSI) and the Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) payments can be attained by having a disability, but both have different requirements. A recipient can have both payments at once, if they satisfy both criteria.

The SSI is the simpler to attain, being designed to provide financial assistance for seniors or people with disabilities who have a limited income. Most state have their own support programs to assist people on SSI benefits.

To qualify for the SSDI individuals must be registered as disabled, using the list below, and must also satisfy certain work history requirements. Bear in mind that family members working (spouse or parent) can also be used to satisfy the requirements, which would be difficult for many to achieve who are born disabled.

List of impairments

  • Musculoskeletal disorders, such as amputation, chronic joint pain and spinal disorders,
  • Special senses and speech, such as impaired hearing, sight or speech,
  • Respiratory disorders, such as asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and cystic fibrosis,
  • Cardiovascular illnesses, such as arrhythmia, congenital heart disease and heart failure,
  • Digestive system, such as bowel or liver disease,
  • Genitourinary disorders,
  • Blood disorders, such as sickle cell disease and other anemias, bone marrow failure or hemophilia,
  • Skin disorders, such as burns, dermatitis and ichthyosis, a group of about 20 conditions that cause dryness and scaling,
  • Endocrine disorders, such as diabetes and thyroid problems,
  • Congenital disorders, such as Down syndrome that affect multiple body systems,
  • Neurological disorders, such as amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), epilepsy, multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s disease and traumatic brain injuries,
  • Mental health conditions, such as bipolar disorder, dementia, depression, intellectual disabilities and schizophrenia,
  • Cancer,
  • Immune system diseases, such as human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), inflammatory arthritis and lupus.

In-depth information for each section can be found with the links.

My disability isn’t on that list, what do I do?

The listing of impairments is not exhaustive and it is possible to qualify for SSDI or SSI if your disorder is not specified above. This is also true if it doesn’t exactly match the cited medical requirements.

The law defines disability as the inability to engage in any substantial gainful activity (SGA) by reason of any medically determinable physical or mental impairment(s) which can be expected to result in death or which has lasted or can be expected to last for a continuous period of not less than 12 months.


SSA Definition of Disability

However, you will have to make a case to Social Security that your illness or symptoms are as severe as those above in terms of limiting your work or daily functioning.

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U.S. U23s lose to Honduras, fail to qualify for Tokyo Olympics

Jason Kreis and the United States Under-23s’ bid to qualify for the Tokyo Olympics ended in failure on Sunday night, as the U.S. slumped to a 2-1 defeat to Honduras in Guadalajara.

The U.S. would have qualified with a win on Sunday but instead, miss out on qualifying for the Olympics for the third straight time. Meanwhile, Honduras have secured a fourth-consecutive Olympic berth and will be joined by the winner of the second semifinal between Mexico and Canada.

After two wins to start the tournament, the U.S. lost a second-consecutive game and go out at the semifinal stage to Honduras for the second straight qualifying tournament.

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LIVE BLOG

8.35 PM ET: Some quotes from manager Jason Kreis in the aftermath of Sunday’s 2-1 defeat:

8.20 PM ET: Harsh but true words from some former USMNT players turned pundits:

8:15 PM ET: Some final takeaways from Jeff Carlisle on what is another very disappointing night for U.S. Soccer:

A Case of chickens coming home to roost. The U.S. played one decent game out of four, and Kreis will have to answer for some of his roster choices.

This team showed little in the way of attacking verve save for one 30-minute stretch against Dominican Republic.

95 MINS: FULL TIME! The U.S. lose 2-1 to Honduras and will miss out on the Olympics for a third consecutive cycle. A massive disappointment to a campaign that started with such promise and high hopes.

94 MINS: Johnny is left open but he can’t control his header. Seemed like Johnny had found a good pocket of space there to do some damage.

94 MINS: Herrera wins a corner for the United States, their ninth of the game. Is this their last chance of the match?

92 MINS: Honduras go to the corner and win a throw, they’ll be happy to keep the ball as far as they can from their goal.

90 MINS: CHANCE! Aaron Herrera picks out Soto at the near post but Honduras block. Corner for the U.S. and the fourth official announces there will be five minutes of added time.

89 MINS: SUB. One final roll of the dice from Jason Kreis as Johnny Cardoso comes on for Lewis.

85 MINS: FIVE MINUTES TO GO AND THE U.S. NEED A GOAL to force extra-time. Jesus Ferreira fires wide, and the clock keeps ticking. Honduras in no rush to get play moving again as you’d expect.

84 MINS: CHANCE! Tanner Tessmann picks out Jonathan Lewis at the back post but the Colorado Rapids winger gets his feet tangled up and whiffs. Lewis really should have equalized there. Honduras survive a big scare.

82 MINS: Two corners in quick succession for the U.S. and despite two good deliveries from Yueill, no U.S. heads can get on the end of them.

80 MINS: SUB. Double change for Honduras as Douglas Martinez and Jose Pinto come on for the two goalscorers, Obregon and Palma.

75 MINS: Jonathan Lewis looked to have picked Honduras defender Wesly Decas’ pocket but he is whistled for a foul on the defender. Didn’t look to be a lot in it and a bad break for the USYNT. Lewis would have been in 1v1 with the goalkeeper.

73 MINS: SUB. Tessmann is on for Dotson, the ex-Clemson football recruit coming on. Credit to Dotson for giving it a go even when limited by an ankle injury but he was mostly around the periphery this evening.

71 MINS: SUB. Honduras make a change, as Jonathan Núñez comes on for Rigoberto Rivas. Meanwhile, Tanner Tessmann looks to be preparing to come on for the United States.

69 MINS: Good save from Güity, as the Honduras goalkeeper dives well to his left to deny Yueill an equalizer. Good idea from Yueill and the U.S. have a corner.

67 MINS: Jonathan Lewis takes on a couple of Honduras defenders and is hauled down just outside the box. Free kick for the U.S. and inches away from a penalty. Lewis making things happen since the U.S. went down 2-0.

65 MINS: Dangerous free-kick opportunity for Honduras, as the tricky Rodriguez draws a foul on the edge of the U.S. box. No damage done though, as Palma blazes over.

63 MINS: CHANCE! From a set-piece Jonathan Lewis has a header cleared off the line. Ferreira with the initial header to set up Lewis, his first meaningful contribution of the night.

59 MINS: SUB. Norwich City striker Sebastian Soto comes on for Andres Perea. The U.S. now going with two up top as they chase an equalizer.

53 MINS: Taylor Twellman approved of that Yueill strike!

52 MINS: BANGGGGG! Jackson Yueill hits the top corner with a belter from outside the box. Huge moment from the captain and the U.S. suddenly have a lifeline! 2-1 Honduras.

51 MINS: Honduras have a chance to put the game to bed on the counter but Jose Reyes scuffs wide from in close. Huge let-off for the U.S. whose Olympic dream could have ended right there.

47 MINS: GOAL Honduras… and the mountain to clim just got a whole lot taller. Disaster strikes for David Ochoa whose clearance goes off the onrushing Palma to give Honduras a 2-0 lead.

46 MINS: SUB. The U.S. make their first change:

7:06 PM ET: Quiet half from Jesus Ferreira…

HALF-TIME: Honduras 1-0 United States. Honduras are 45 minutes away from qualifying for a fourth consecutive Olympic Games.

45+4 MINS: Honduras goal! It’s Obregon who bundles it over the line after Denil Maldonado brilliantly headed across goal. A beautiful initial long ball from Edwin Rodriguez but U.S. defense caught sleeping just before the break.

45+3 MINS: Kessler not as lucky this time as he gets a yellow card minutes after escaping the referee’s book. He hauls down Juan Carlos Obregon. That matchup will be one to keep an eye on the rest of the evening.

43 MINS: An end-to-end sequence sees the U.S. have a half-chance in the box. Dotson and Aaron Herrera combine well but Mihaliovic lets Herrera’s cross run through and Honduras clear. Los Catrachos attempt to counter but Henry Kessler takes down a Honduras player away from the ball. The referee didn’t spot it though and Kessler avoids what would have been a deserved yellow card.

42 MINS: Hassani Dotson tries to Ferreira down the right flank but his ball has a bit too much pace on it and goes out for a Honduras throw-in. U.S. completely out of sync thus far.

39 MINS: The U.S. really lacking fluidity so far in midfield as ex-USMNT striker and current ESPN pundit Taylor Twellman points out.

34 MINS: A corner for Honduras but the U.S. clear. This game could really use a goal.

32 MINS: The U.S. win another free kick in a dangerous area but Honduras deals with it. Most of U.S. chances coming from set-piece opportunities so far.

30 MINS: The U.S. have a second corner but nothing comes from it again. Honduras with the majority of shots so far but nothing truly dangerous so far from either side.

29 MINS: Honduras go short with their corner and Palma has a go at goal. The shot is well-hit and long but Ochoa drops to his knees and corrals it.

27 MINS: Honduras win their first corner kick of the match but that will have to wait, as the referee signals for a hydration break. With the temperature currently 90 degrees in Guadalajara, don’t be surprised if we see another hydration break later on.

25 MINS: A little flair from the USYNT, as Mihailovic nutmegs a Honduras defender but his ball from Jesus Ferreira is a tad too long. Better from the Stars and Stripes.

21 MINS: Another long-range effort for Honduras, Luis Palma testing Ochoa from distance. The Real Salt Lake keeper has been the busier of the goalkeepers so far, although his three saves have all been of the straightforward variety.

18 MINS: Honduras danger man Edwin Rodríguez has a shot from distance which is comfortably caught by Ochoa in the U.S. goal. As Jeff Carlisle pointed out pregame, controlling Rodriguez will be a big key for the United States defense.

16 MINS: Not to be outdone, Lewis tries to one-up Rosales but also blazes wide. Both teams not shy in the early stages.

14 MINS: A speculative effort from Honduras’ Joseph Rosales soars over as Honduras registers their first shot attempt of the match.

12 MINS: CHANCE! The ball runs through for Jonathan Lewis but he can’t get his boot across it and fires wide. U.S. starting to amount some pressure here.

10 MINS: The subsequent corner is dealt with easily by Honduras. Not the best delivery from Mihailovic.

8 MINS: The U.S. win a free kick in the Honduras half and Djordje Mihailovic whips in a testing ball after an intricate training ground routine. Honduras ‘keeper Alex Güity does well to punch clear but the U.S. will have the first corner of the match. Güity stays down initially after taking some contact but he will stay in.

5 MINS: The first chance of the game goes to Honduras with David Ochoa called upon to make a save. The flag did go up for offsides but an early scare for the United States.

1 MIN: AND WE ARE UNDERWAY FROM GUADALAJARA!

6:00 PM ET: It won’t be long now as the teams have taken the pitch and are poised for the playing of the national anthems.

5:30 PM ET: With a half-hour until kick-off, let’s check in with our U.S. soccer expert Jeff Carlisle to get his keys to the game:

1. U.S. attackers need to step up. The Americans have been relatively quiet offensively in this tournament and the fact that Jackson Yueill is playing in a more advanced role speaks to the fact that more is needed.

2. Keep Edwin Rodriguez in check. The U.S. defense has gotten better with each game. They’ll need to continue that trend in order to contain Rodriguez who tends to float around all over the field, though he’ll be without sidekick Kervin Arriaga, who is suspended. Holding mid Andres Perea will need to be aware as well.

3. How effective will Hassani Dotson be? Dotson has been one of the better players for the U.S., but an ankle injury limited his training ahead of this match. Can he reprise his performances from earlier in the tournament? The level of Dotson’s effectiveness could play a decisive role in what figures to be a closely-contested fixture.

5:00 PM ET: And the lineups are out… with Jason Kreis making five changes from the side that lost 1-0 to Mexico on Wednesday night.

Justen Glad, Jesus Ferreira, Sam Vines, Jackson Yueill, and Jonathan Lewis are all drafted into the side, while midfielder Hassani Dotson starts despite initially being an injury question mark. For Honduras, key midfielder Kervin Arriaga misses out through yellow card accumulation.

4:50 PM ET: It’s Matchday, as we are now just over an hour and a half away from kick-off between the U.S. and Honduras in the semifinals of CONCACAF Olympic qualifying! Remember to keep it locked here throughout the evening as we follow along with this pivotal match, with the winner clinching an all-important berth at this summer’s Olympic Games in Tokyo, Japan.



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