Tag Archives: pulp

Paradox declares pulp strategy The Lamplighters League a $22m flop – Eurogamer.net

  1. Paradox declares pulp strategy The Lamplighters League a $22m flop Eurogamer.net
  2. The Lamplighters League a ‘Big Disappointment’ for Paradox as It Confirms $22 Million Write-Down IGN
  3. Day One Xbox Game Pass Game Labeled ‘Big Disappointment’ GameRant
  4. Paradox says The Lamplighters League sales were ‘a big disappointment,’ confirms recent layoffs at developer Harebrained Schemes PC Gamer
  5. Pulpy XCOM-a-like Lamplighters League written off as a “big disappointment” and $22m loss by publisher just a week after release Rock Paper Shotgun
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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Ray Dalio says watch out for rates reaching this level, because Wall Street stocks will take a 20% hit

After that CPI shock earlier in the week, Wall Street is fielding a fresh batch of data on Thursday, with the headline retail sales number coming in stronger than expected. And a disastrous rail strike may be inverted.

But there’s no cheering up billionaire investor and hedge-fund manager Ray Dalio who in our call of the day asserts the Fed has no choice but to keep driving up interest rates, at a high price to stocks.

And he’s putting some fairly precise guesswork out there. “I estimate that a rise in rates from where they are to about 4.5% will produce about a 20% negative impact on equity prices,” Dalio said in a LinkedIn post dated Tuesday.

Some are forecasting the Fed could hike interest rates by 100 basis points next week, a move not seen since the likewise inflationary 80s. The central bank’s short-term rate hovers between 2.25% to 2.5%, but Nomura, for one, sees that rate headed to 4.75% by 2023.

But Dalio thinks interest rates could even reach the higher end of a 4.5%-to-6% range. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending, and hence the economy down with it,” he says.

Behind this prediction is the Bridgewater Associates founder belief that the market is severely underestimating where inflation will end up — at 2.6% over the next 10 years versus what he sees as 4.5% to 5% in the medium term, barring shocks.

Read: Why a single U.S. inflation report roiled global financial markets — and what comes next

As for what happens when people start losing money in the markets — the so-called “wealth effect” — he expects less spending as they and their lenders grow more cautious.

“The upshot is that it looks likely to me that the inflation rate will stay significantly above what people and the Fed want it to be (while the year-over-year inflation rate will fall), that interest rates will go up, that other markets will go down, and that the economy will be weaker than expected, and that is without consideration given to the worsening trends in internal and external conflicts and their effects.”

The markets

Stock futures
ES00,
-0.25%

YM00,
+0.02%

NQ00,
-0.48%
are slightly lower post data, as Treasury yields
TMUBMUSD10Y,
3.437%

TMUBMUSD02Y,
3.852%
keep climbinging and the dollar
DXY,
-0.10%
firms up.

Oil prices
CL.1,
-1.63%
are lower, along with gold
GC00,
-0.83%.
China stocks
SHCOMP,
-1.16%

HSI,
+0.44%
slipped after the country’s central bank left rates unchanged. European natural-gas prices
GWM00,
+4.13%
are on the rise again. Bitcoin
BTCUSD,
+0.64%
is trading at just over $20,000.

The buzz

Shares of Union Pacific
UNP,
-3.69%,
Norfolk Southern 
NSC,
-2.16%
and CSX
CSX,
-1.05%
 are rallying in premarket after the White House said it has reached a tentative railway agreement with unions. No deal by Friday would mean strikes and havoc for supply chains, grain markets and even the coming holidays. Read more here.

August retail sales rose a stronger-than-expected 0.3% as Americans spent on new cars while weekly jobless claims came in lower for a fifth-straight week and import prices dropped 1%. Elsewhere, the Empire State manufacturing index perked up on the heels of a deep negative reading, but the Philly Fed factory index worsened. Industrial production and business inventories are still to come.

Adobe shares
ADBE,
+0.85%
are dropping after a report the software company is mulling a $20 billion deal to buy graphic design startup Figma .

Vitalik Buterin, one of the co-founders of Ethereum, says the so-called “merge” is done, meaning the birth of a more environmentally friendly crypto. Ethereum
ETHUSD,
-1.22%
is up just a little right now.

A new lawsuit claims Tesla
TSLA,
+3.59%
has made false promises over Autopilot and Full Self Driving features. And move over Tesla, Apple
AAPL,
+0.96%
is now Wall Street’s biggest short bet.

Ericsson
ERIC,
-3.32%

ERIC.A,
-1.78%

ERIC.B,
-3.34%
is dropping after a double downgrade at Credit Suisse, who cited inflationary headwinds. Analysts lifted Nokia
NOKIA,
-0.51%

NOK,
-0.40%
to outperform, though the stock is barely moving.

Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management went on a dip-buying spree after Tuesday’s market meltdown, scooping up chiefly Roku
ROKU,
+0.44%.

Opinion: Pinterest never considered itself a social network. Until now.

Patagonia billionaire Yvon Chouinard is donating his entire company — worth $3 billion — to the climate fight.

Best of the web

No U.S. shale rescue for Europe.

Turkey finds an extra $24.4 billion laying around.

Queue to pay respects to Queen is 2.6 miles long and counting.

The tickers

These were the top-searched tickers on MarketWatch as of 6 a.m. Eastern Time:

Ticker Security name
TSLA,
+3.59%
Tesla
GME,
+1.01%
GameStop
AMC,
+1.95%
AMC Entertainment
BBBY,
+4.66%
Bed Bath & Beyond
HKD,
+311.78%
AMTD Digital
NIO,
-0.14%
NIO
AAPL,
+0.96%
Apple
APE,
+0.94%
AMC Entertainment preferred shares
AMZN,
+1.36%
Amazon
NVDA,
-0.02%
Nvidia
Random reads

Scientists try to teach robots comedic timing

Sausage, mozzarella, batter. Meet South Korea’s hot dog.

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Oscars 2022: Pulp Fiction’s John Travolta, Uma Thurman and Samuel L. Jackson reunite at Oscars

John Travolta and Uma Thurman recreated their famous twist contest scene from Pulp Fiction while presenting at the 94th Academy Awards alongside their former costar Samuel L. Jackson on Sunday evening. 

Before the trio called Will Smith up to the stage to accept the Best Actor Oscar at the 2022 Academy Awards for his role in King Richard, the performers earned applause for channeling the iconic scene for their 1994 Quentin Tarantino-directed film. 

As the duo showed off their dance moves, Jackson, 73, stood behind the podium and joked: ‘Some actors stay in character through any entire shoot… and some, well, they just never let it go.’ 

Two decades later: John Travolta and Uma Thurman recreated their famous twist contest scene in Pulp Fiction while presenting at the 94th Academy Awards alongside their former costar Samuel L. Jackson on Sunday

‘Maybe later we’ll have a $5 milkshake,’ Thurman, 51, says to Travolta, 68, while repeating one of her character Mia Wallace’s famous lines.

In response, Travolta repeated his character Vincent Vega’s line: ‘How about a royale with cheese?’ 

‘See what I mean?’ Jackson asks the audience. ‘Pulp Fiction was a masterpiece, but these two think it was all about a dance contest.’ 

Iconic: Before the trio called Will Smith up to the stage to accept the Best Actor Oscar at the 2022 Academy Awards for his role in King Richard, the performers earned a standing ovation as they channeled the famous scene fro their 1994 Quentin Tarantino-directed film (pictured)

Nailed it: Thurman wore a silk white blouse and a long black skirt, which bore resemblance to what she was wearing in the film

 Reunited! As the duo showed off their dance moves, Jackson, 73, stood behind the podium and joked: ‘Some actors stay in character through any entire shoot… and some, well, they just never let it go’

To which, Travolta interjects: ‘That’s not true, Sam,’ before they all turn their attention to a briefcase in front of them.

 ‘All of the murder and mayhem that occurred in two hours and 45 minutes was about what was in here. And at the end of the film, they stopped the reveal, and the audience was left to draw their own conclusions about the meaning,’ they teased.

As viewers almost got a peek of what was inside, all that was there was an announcement with the name of the winner of Best Actor in a Leading Role. 

‘Maybe later we’ll have a $5 milkshake,’ Thurman, 51, says to Travolta, 68, while repeating one of her character Mia Wallace’s famous lines

Too funny:  In response, Travolta repeated his character Vincent Vega’s line: ‘How about a royale with cheese?’

While Thurman chose to wear a silk white blouse and black bottoms, like in the original scene, the Saturday Night Fever star chose to wear a burgundy jacket. 

Despite deciding not to recreate their exact outfits from over two decades ago, their moves, including dancing the Batusi were pretty much exact.

This marks Travolta’s first time presenting at the Oscars since infamously mispronouncing Idina Menzel’s name eight years ago.

‘See what I mean?’ Jackson asks the audience. ‘Pulp Fiction was a masterpiece, but these two think it was all about a dance contest’

Still a mystery: As viewers almost got a peek of what was inside, all that was there was an announcement with the name of the winner of Best Actor in a Leading Role

The move came as a surprise to many – considering how he mistakenly introduced Idina, 50, as ‘Adele Dazeem’ at the 86th Academy Awards in 2014. 

Taking to the stage, the Grease star became a viral sensation when he said: ‘Please welcome the wickedly talented, one and only, Adele Dazeem.’ 

The bit was immediately buzzed about on social media, with viewers rewatching it on repeat in the days after, wondering just how he got her name so terribly wrong. 

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The Hidden Ways Companies Raise Prices

Lettuce Entertain You Enterprises Inc., a Chicago-based restaurant group, has added a 3% “processing fee” to checks at many of its restaurants.

Harley-Davidson Inc.

added a charge last year to its motorcycles to cover rising material costs.

Peloton Interactive Inc.

in January began charging $250 for delivery and setup of some of its indoor bikes, a service that was previously included free.

Companies are finding all kinds of ways to make consumers pay for rising costs. Often that is not reflected in the posted price.

The Labor Department’s consumer-price index, which measures how much consumers pay for goods and services, rose to 7.5% in January compared with the same month a year earlier—the biggest rise since February 1982.

The index accounts for some changes that raise consumers’ costs, such as smaller package sizes and some fees attached to hotel packages or car purchases. But it can miss other ways in which dollars don’t stretch as far– a hotel that changes sheets only between guests, a theme park that cancels its free airport shuttle, or an auto dealer that requires customers to buy a protective paint coating with a car.

With supply-chain challenges, pent-up demand and a tight labor market leading to inflation, businesses are looking for subtle ways to pass along rising costs. Particularly in the food business, companies have long used what the industry calls weight-outs, or shrinking package contents instead of raising prices, during economic distress periods such as the 2007-2009 recession.

“There is a lot more to come,” said

Doug Baker,

head of industry relations for FMI, a food-industry trade organization. “Everything is on the table in an effort to deal with those cost increases, and at the same time, not make it too difficult for consumers to shop.”

A global computer-chip shortage has reduced vehicle inventories just as Americans were buying cars in record numbers, pushing up prices for new vehicles. In many cases, they are selling for thousands of dollars above manufacturers’ suggested retail prices, said Tom McParland, founder of Automatch Consulting, which helps consumers find vehicles.

“They’re calling it a market adjustment fee,” said Mr. McParland. “That’s the new thing they are doing: hiding markups with substantially overpriced accessories like mud flaps and cargo protectors.”

Ford Motor Co.

and

General Motors Co.

have said they are cracking down on dealerships using that tactic.

Harley fees

Base prices on Harley-Davidson’s motorcycles haven’t gone up much in recent years, the Milwaukee company said. But to cover rising costs, it added a mandatory materials surcharge last year, which dealers are passing on to customers. Dealers said the fee, which varies based on the model, is easier for the company to adjust than base motorcycle prices when costs decrease.

Dealers said the fee is $850 to $1,500 a bike. Harley this week told analysts that the surcharges helped boost revenue during the fourth quarter last year.

Harley-Davidson added a fee to its motorcycles to cover rising material costs; a dealership in Louisville, Ky., this week.



Photo:

Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg News

Some restaurants are adding new fees in response to escalating costs for food and packaging, and for wage increases executives say are needed to keep cooks and servers.

Brinker International Inc.’s

Maggiano’s Little Italy in October 2020 started charging $5 for a second, to-go pasta dish offered as part of a two-entree deal. For about a decade before the pandemic, the chain had offered a second classic pasta dish free.

“We’ve had no push back,” Maggiano’s president Steve Provost told investors last October. A Brinker spokeswoman said the price change allowed the company to invest more in the value of its carry-out offerings.

When Michael Pfeifer, a marketing professional, picked up the check for his meal at

RPM

Seafood in Chicago this week, he was surprised to find a 3% Covid surcharge added to the bill. “What’s next?” he said. “A dishware rental fee?”

The fee, added in the spring of 2020, offsets the cost of pandemic-related government regulations and mandates, said RJ Melman, president of Lettuce Entertain You, which owns RPM. “These fees can be removed and refunded for any guest that requests,” he said, “no questions asked.”

Peloton, according to its website, is adding the new $250 fees on bikes and a $350 delivery-and-setup fee for some of its treadmills. It cut the price of its original stationary bike in August to $1,495 from $1,895. With the added fees, the total price is now back up to about $1,745, as the company dealt with slowing demand and its own rising costs.

Peloton declined to comment on the fees. In an earnings call on Tuesday, Peloton CFO

Jill Woodworth

said that the fees could cut into consumer demand but that they were part of a “critical learning” process as the company restructures and cuts costs for the post-pandemic era.

Walt Disney Co.

’s Disney World in Orlando stopped offering free airport shuttles—known as the Magical Express—this year, leaving Disney guests to pay for their own transportation. The parks added several fees last year while keeping the base ticket price at $109. A fast-pass system that let park guests make reservations for rides, which used to be free, was discontinued and replaced by a new system that costs $15. And some popular rides, like Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance and Space Mountain, now cost between $7 and $15, on top of the park admission ticket.

Disney offers “a wide range of options to match different budgets and interests,” said Disney spokesman Avery Maehrer.

At its theme-park restaurants, Disney is trying to avoid across-the-board price increases, Disney CFO

Christine McCarthy

told analysts in November. “We can substitute products. We can cut portion size, which is probably good for some people’s waistlines,” she said. “But we aren’t going to go just straight across and increase prices.”

Consumer backlash

Consumer pressure has led some companies to back off added fees, including

Frontier Group Holdings Inc.

The airline, which uses a la carte pricing that lets frugal travelers choose to forgo amenities, in May 2021 added a $1.59-per-flight-segment Covid-related fee. After consumer backlash, Frontier in June stopped breaking it out as a component of its base fare but it didn’t stop charging it. Frontier didn’t respond to requests for comment.

In a press release it said: “The charge, which was included in the airline’s total promoted fare versus an add-on fee, was meant to provide transparency and delineate what portion of the fare was going toward COVID-related business recovery.”

Some of

Marriott International Inc.’s

Autograph Collection hotels had been charging a “sustainability fee” of about $5 a night. The company that manages the properties, Innkeeper Hospitality Services LLC, says it covered things like more-efficient HVAC systems.

They stopped charging the fee several weeks ago, “because we understand that while we believe in environmentally responsible stewardship, not everyone cares about our planet’s health,” IHS CEO Amrit Gill said. He said Marriott had asked the company to stop charging the fee. Marriott declined to comment.

The Biden administration has begun to look into some forms of hidden fees, which it calls “junk fees.” The administration says the amount being charged is not always tied to the costs faced by the company providing the goods or services. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is seeking public input on financial services, such as bank overdraft fees, while the Transportation Department is planning actions on airline baggage fees.

John Fiorello, a father of four in Torrington, Conn., was dismayed to see prices rising in his local grocery-store aisles but was initially pleased to see that the blocks of cheese he usually buys hadn’t gone up much in price—perhaps 10 cents, he said. Then he noticed that the package had shrunk, to 12 ounces from 16.

“I picked up the block and said, ‘this is definitely smaller,’ ” Mr. Fiorello said. “It just adds an extra layer of stress.”

Shrinkflation, as economists call it, tends to be easier for companies to pass on to consumers. Despite labels that show price by weight, research shows that most customers look at only the overall price.

The food industry has long shrunk package contents instead of raising prices during economic-distress periods; a Salt Lake City grocery store in October.



Photo:

George Frey/Bloomberg News

“There are sizes that people remember, like a half gallon of ice cream,” said John Gourville, a Harvard Business School professor. “Once you break from iconic sizes, it’s pretty easy to move from 13 ounces to 12 ounces.”

Over the years, tuna cans have come to contain less tuna and toilet-paper rolls less tissue, said

Burt Flickinger III,

managing director of Strategic Resource Group, a consulting firm that works with consumer-product companies. “Historically,” he said, “it’s called a ‘cheater pack.’ ”

Companies have become more sophisticated and use multiple tactics to protect their profitability, he said. They can pull back on discounts, stop making low-selling products and create new varieties that sell for higher prices

Downsized Oreos

Oreo-maker Mondelez International Inc. raised prices by an average of 6% to 7% in the U.S. last month, but it wasn’t enough to make up for its higher costs, the company said. So Mondelez has been introducing new sizes and flavors it says are more profitable.

Oreo’s new 110th Birthday chocolate confetti-cake cookies cost about 10 cents more than regular Double Stuf Oreos at several grocery stores, even though the new flavor comes in a slightly smaller package. At a

Target Corp.

store in Chicago, the limited-edition birthday Oreos, which came out January, cost $3.79 for a 24-cookie package and the Double Stuf ones cost $3.69 for a 30-cookie package.

Retailers set the final prices. Mondelez said it charges the same for the two products, and its limited edition flavors are typically different-sized packages than regular ones. A Target spokesperson said: “We’re priced competitively throughout the markets we do business.”

Economists and analysts at the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics monitor prices of thousands of goods and services. They can account for shrinkflation, because they track the cost of certain products by weight and quantity—so a cereal box that costs the same amount but now has 30% less volume would be registered as a price increase.

They said their efforts can’t identify every fee or dropped amenity, such as a hotel room rate that remains the same but that no longer includes fresh towels or a hot breakfast. “We do not capture the decrease in service quality associated with cleaning a room every two days rather than one,” said Jonathan Church, a BLS economist.

Disney World in Florida added several fees last year while keeping the base ticket price at $109; the Magic Kingdom last summer.



Photo:

Joe Burbank/Orlando Sentinel/Associated Press

Jeremiah Mayfield and Carlos Larrea stayed at Alohilani Resort in Honolulu in December and opted for a $75 a-night upgrade to “club level” for free food and drinks. But they said they could rarely use it because the resort didn’t have enough staff to replenish the club-level amenities. After complaining, they were offered free dinner.

Alohilani General Manager Matthew Grauso said that quality and efficient guest service are top priorities and that he tries to remedy any shortfalls immediately, adding, “The pandemic has presented a unique set of challenges within the hospitality industry.”

“We gave them hell for it,” Mr. Mayfield said. “We paid $800 a night. We never expected it would be so scarce in terms of service and amenities.”

Many hotel chains are replacing complimentary hot breakfast buffets with a snack bag. Some fitness centers and pools remain closed, and housekeeping doesn’t refresh rooms daily. Some guests feel like they are getting less for their money.

InterContinental Hotels Group

PLC, which owns Holiday Inn, said it has been working with hotels to return amenities and make it right if guests aren’t satisfied. “Hotel teams have been overcoming many challenges including supply chain and labor shortages, changing health guidance and regulatory requirements,” an IHG spokesperson said.

On a recent trip to St. Louis, Meg Hinkley booked a Holiday Inn because it said online that it offered room service. When she arrived, the restaurant was closed, so there was no room service. She said she would have stayed at a lower-priced hotel if she had known. “I was paying for that convenience.”

Write to Annie Gasparro at annie.gasparro@wsj.com and Gabriel T. Rubin at gabriel.rubin@wsj.com

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Quentin Tarantino Sued for an Upcoming Auction of Pulp Fiction NFTs – Bitcoin News

Quentin Tarantino, the acclaimed film director, is being sued by Miramax, a Hollywood film producer and distributing company, due to the auction of a series of NFTs related to “Pulp Fiction,” one of the director’s most popular films. The conflict lies in the interpretation that Miramax makes from the initial contract between the parts, arguing that the sale of NFTs does not constitute a publication of any part of the script.

Miramax Sues Quentin Tarantino

Miramax, the Hollywood movie company, sued Quentin Tarantino, the acclaimed film director, for the upcoming auction of a series of Pulp Fiction-themed NFT’s. Tarantino announced it would auction a series of never before seen items of the film in the form of NFTs, including the famous “royale with cheese” handwritten screenplay scene. The auction would utilize a blockchain called the Secret Network, which would allow the content of these NFTs to be secret until the sale of the item.

Miramax affirms that while Tarantino has the rights to any print publication of the script, NFTs are not part of this. The lawsuit states:

The proposed sale of a few original script pages or scenes as an NFT is a one-time transaction, which does not constitute publication, and in any event does not fall within the intended meaning of ‘print publication’ or ‘screenplay publication.

The lawsuit further explains that the right to sell any NFTs is owned and controlled by Miramax.

Tarantino Fights Back

Bryan Freedman, Tarantino’s attorney, challenged the validity of Miramax’s claims, stating that the director had the right to sell “NFTs of his hand-written script for Pulp Fiction and this ham-fisted attempt to prevent him from doing so will fail.” Williams also stressed that the reveal of the details of Miramax’s contract with Tarantino will tarnish the reputation of the company. This means that Tarantino is planning to fight back these allegations in court.

This is one of the first high-profile cases that involve NFTs and Hollywood productions going to court. Many other celebrities and artists have already issued and published NFT drops to take advantage of the NFT craze that ensued earlier this year to open new and alternative sources of revenue. In this sense, Miramax attorney Bart Williams stated that Tarantino’s announcement dilutes the value of the Pulp Fiction IP.

Williams stated:

This one-off effort devalues the NFT rights to ‘Pulp Fiction,’ which Miramax intends to maximize through a strategic, comprehensive approach.

What do you think about the Quentin Tarantino vs. Miramax legal battle? Tell us in the comments section below.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.



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Miramax sues Quentin Tarantino over planned ‘Pulp Fiction’ NFTs

LOS ANGELES — Hollywood studio Miramax sued director Quentin Tarantino on Tuesday over his plans to sell digital collectibles based on his 1994 film “Pulp Fiction.”

Tarantino recently announced that he will sell a series of unique non-fungible tokens, or NFTs, based on his handwritten screenplay for the 1995 Palme d’Or winner, a movie described by the Cannes film festival as a set of “dime-store stories set in lowlife LA.”

A website for the NFT sales says they will include a digital version of the film’s profane and “iconic ‘Royale with Cheese’ scene,” as well as a recording of Tarantino revealing “secrets” about the project.

The lawsuit by Miramax, which produced the film and is owned by Bein Media Group and ViacomCBS, alleges that Tarantino also plans to sell NFTs of page scans and digital film props.

Tarantino’s attorney, Brian Freedman, said in a statement to NBC News on Wednesday, “Miramax is wrong — plain and simple.”

“Quentin Tarantino’s contract is clear: he has the right to sell NFTs of his hand-written script for ‘Pulp Fiction’ and this ham-fisted attempt to prevent him from doing so will fail,” Freedman said. “But Miramax’s callous decision to disclose confidential information about its filmmakers’ contracts and compensation will irreparably tarnish its reputation long after this case is dismissed.”

According to the suit, which seeks unspecified damages, a lawyer responded to Miramax’s Nov. 4 cease-and-desist letter by saying Tarantino holds reserved rights to print publication of the script.

Miramax argued in the suit that print publication and NFTs are not the same.

“The proposed sale of a few original script pages or scenes as an NFT is a one-time transaction, which does not constitute publication, and in any event does not fall within the intended meaning of ‘print publication’ or ‘screenplay publication,'” the suit says. “The right to sell NFTs of such excerpts of any version of the screenplay to Pulp Fiction is owned and controlled by Miramax.”

In the suit, which was filed in federal court in Los Angeles, Miramax argues that Tarantino essentially signed away rights to “all media” for “Pulp Fiction” in perpetuity when the film was under development in 1993.

“Miramax holds the rights needed to develop, market, and sell NFTs relating to its deep film library,” the suit says.

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Tesla Stock Is Dropping. Here’s What’s Really Behind the Slide.

Tesla shares are dropping. Recalls and uncertainty could be responsible. A third reason, however, is most likely.


Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Text size


Tesla

stock can’t go up forever, and finally turned lower on Tuesday. Reports of recalls and uncertainty about the company’s deal with Hertz are two potential reasons, but a third factor may be the real key.

Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock was down 1.6% in morning trading, following a slump of as much as 5% before the open. The


S&P 500

and


Dow Jones Industrial Average

were up 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.

Tesla stock has been on a tear. It has risen eight of the past nine trading sessions, and has gained 70% over the past three months. Its shares have been buoyed by signs that the company really has won the EV race, signing a deal with Hertz (HTZ) for 100,000 electric vehicles. Companies such as


Ford

Motor (F) and


General Motors

(GM) have announced enormous spending plans to try to close the gap.

No surprise, then, that the stock would react badly to potentially negative headlines. First, Musk himself tweeted that Tesla had yet to sign a contract with


Hertz

(HTZZ). Then came the announcement that the company would be recalling 11,700 vehicles.

The Musk tweet, however, was intended as a positive. The Hertz deal is Tesla’s first large fleet sale. Fleet sales tend to be lower-margin. Fleet buyers look for volume discounts and don’t often buy all the high-end options individual consumers do.

Musk has assured investors, on


Twitter

(TWTR), a couple of times that Tesla is selling all the cars it can make and isn’t giving any discounts these days.

Hertz shares initially took a hit because of the tweet, starting off with a loss of about 6% in premarket trading. But nothing happens in a vacuum.

Hertz’s peer


Avis Budget

(CAR) reported better-than-expected results Monday evening, sending the stock up about 1% in premarket trading, despite year-to-date gains of about 360%. Rental-car demand and operating metrics are improving.

In late morning trading, it looked as if meme traders were squeezing short sellers, as they did with


GameStop

stock at the start of the year. Avis stock was up 162% to $450 a share, bringing Hertz is along for the ride with a gain of about 16%.

For Tesla stock, the recall might be a bigger deal than the status of the sale to Hertz. The cars are being recalled because of a software-communication error that can activate automatic emergency braking. The fix is an over-the-air software update. Tesla has faced more regulator scrutiny over driver-assistance features in recent months.

What’s more, Tesla recently introduced a “beta” version of its latest full-self-driving software to Tesla drivers who qualified for the upgrade. Tesla believes its software makes vehicles safer. Regulators, however, still need to adjust to cars being improved by software updates and how to handle changes made to software to fix bugs.

Any news, however, could have sparked a selloff in Tesla stock. The stock is extremely overbought, which is to say that it is rising quickly relative to its own history. When things get extreme, stocks can revert to the mean. Tesla’s relative strength reading is at 94. A reading of 50 is, essentially, normal and levels of above 70 generally have traders looking for a drop.

Coming into Tuesday, Tesla stock has outperformed the S&P 500 by about 77 percentage points over the past 100 days, as Datatrek Research pointed out in a Tuesday note. That’s a lot, but not unheard of for Tesla.

“Crazy as it sounds, the stock’s recent rally is pretty normal action for this name,” the research outfit said. With outperformance like that, investors don’t really need an excuse to take profits.

Tesla stock has a long way to go before it will look ripe for a hit.

Write to Ben Levisohn at ben.levisohn@barrons.com

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