Tag Archives: Proven

Formula 1 picks, odds, race time: 2023 Hungarian Grand Prix predictions, F1 best bets from proven model – CBS Sports

  1. Formula 1 picks, odds, race time: 2023 Hungarian Grand Prix predictions, F1 best bets from proven model CBS Sports
  2. The remarkably simple reason for Lewis Hamilton’s return to pole – ESPN ESPN
  3. What To Watch For in the Hungarian Grand Prix – Hamilton vs Verstappen into Turn 1 and Ricciardo’s racing return | Formula 1® Formula 1
  4. Zhou sets the bar high: ‘Going to fight McLaren or Aston Martin’ GPblog
  5. Alpine’s Stroke of Genius Slapped as Benchmark to Expose Ferrari’s Screw Up With Carlos Sainz EssentiallySports
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Heat vs. Celtics odds, prediction: 2023 NBA Eastern Conference finals picks, Game 7 bets by proven model – CBS Sports

  1. Heat vs. Celtics odds, prediction: 2023 NBA Eastern Conference finals picks, Game 7 bets by proven model CBS Sports
  2. Did officials put too much time on clock before Derrick White’s game-winner? Yardbarker
  3. How the Celtics snatched victory from the jaws of defeat and secured a chance to make NBA history in Game 7 Yahoo Sports
  4. A sneaky good challenge, some airport trolling, and eight other observations from another season-saving win The Boston Globe
  5. Heartbreaker Heat loss has Miami facing road Game 7 & biggest playoff collapse in NBA history | Opinion Miami Herald
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Heat vs. Celtics line, picks: Proven NBA computer model releases selections for Eastern Conference Finals Game 7 matchup – SportsLine

  1. Heat vs. Celtics line, picks: Proven NBA computer model releases selections for Eastern Conference Finals Game 7 matchup SportsLine
  2. How the Celtics snatched victory from the jaws of defeat and secured a chance to make NBA history in Game 7 Yahoo Sports
  3. Did officials put too much time on clock before Derrick White’s game-winner? Yardbarker
  4. A sneaky good challenge, some airport trolling, and eight other observations from another season-saving win The Boston Globe
  5. Heartbreaker Heat loss has Miami facing road Game 7 & biggest playoff collapse in NBA history | Opinion Miami Herald
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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Formula 1 odds, picks, race time: Surprising 2023 Monaco Grand Prix predictions, F1 bets from proven computer – CBS Sports

  1. Formula 1 odds, picks, race time: Surprising 2023 Monaco Grand Prix predictions, F1 bets from proven computer CBS Sports
  2. Verstappen snatches pole position from Alonso in thrilling Monaco GP qualifying session Formula 1
  3. 2023 F1 Monaco Grand Prix picks, preview & betting lines for Sunday – FanNation | A part of the Sports Illustrated Network Sports Illustrated
  4. Delighted Hamilton survives crash to take sixth Malay Mail
  5. FP3: Verstappen narrowly leads Perez as Hamilton crashes out in final practice session in Monaco Formula 1
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Prince Harry and Megan Markle are being singled out as ‘proven compulsive liars’, per report – Marca English

  1. Prince Harry and Megan Markle are being singled out as ‘proven compulsive liars’, per report Marca English
  2. Prince Harry And Meghan Markle Claimed To Be Chased By The Paparazzi In New York—But The NYPD And Witnesses Tell A Different Story SheFinds
  3. Piers Morgan mocks Gayle King’s defense of Harry and Meghan’s ‘car chase’: ‘Diminishes her own credibility’ Fox News
  4. I’m very troubled by Gullible Gayle buying Harry and Meghan’s fables New York Post
  5. Harry and Meghan’s paparazzi chase has exposed job distress | Mint Mint
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Lakers vs. Nuggets prediction, odds: 2023 NBA Western Conference finals picks, Game 1 bets from proven model – CBS Sports

  1. Lakers vs. Nuggets prediction, odds: 2023 NBA Western Conference finals picks, Game 1 bets from proven model CBS Sports
  2. Stephen A. & JJ Redick preview Lakers-Nuggets Game 1 + discuss Ja Morant’s future | First Take ESPN
  3. Lakers Vs. Nuggets Game 1 Preview: Looking To Steal Another Opening Game On Road LakersNation.com
  4. Lakers vs. Nuggets Game 1: LeBron, Jokic – Fastbreak on FanNation Sports Illustrated
  5. Keeler: The best way for Anthony Davis, Lakers to slow down Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic? Kidnapping might actually be it. The Denver Post
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2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected leaderboard, surprising predictions

The 2022-23 PGA Tour season continues this week with a trip to California for the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Play gets underway from a trio of course on Thursday, Feb. 2. Jordan Spieth, a 13-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 9-1 favorite according to the latest 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds. He’s followed by Viktor Hovland (10-1), Matt Fitzpatrick (10-1), Maverick McNealy (16-1) and Tom Hoge (17-1) on the PGA odds board.

We simulated the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 10,000 times, and there are some MAJOR surprises.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been RED-HOT since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,600 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. The model also included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 longshot. The model was also all over Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend! Anyone who has followed it has seen MASSIVE returns!

One major surprise the model is calling for at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2023: Hoge, the defending champion and one of the favorites at 17-1, stumbles this week and doesn’t even crack the top-five. Another surprise: Keith Mitchell, a 31-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday!

Also, the model is targeting THREE other golfers with odds of 24-1 or longer who will make a STRONG run at the title, including a massive 48-1 longshot who makes a strong run! Anyone who backs these golfers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks!

So who wins the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2023? And which HUGE longshots make a serious run at the title? … Join SportsLine right now to see who you can bank on to win the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and see which longshots make a run at the title, all from the model that’s nailed 8 majors!

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2023 Australian Open: Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas odds, picks, best bets for men’s final from proven expert

Novak Djokovic can join Rafael Nadal atop the list of career grand slam winners when he squares off against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the 2023 Australian Open men’s final on Sunday at Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne. The 35-year-old Djokovic has 21 major titles, one shy of the record held by Nadal. Djokovic also owns a record nine Australian Open titles. To win grand slam title No. 22 and Australian Open title No. 10, he must get by Tsitsipas, who is playing in just his second grand slam final.

The match is set to begin at 3:30 a.m. ET. Djokovic is a -525 favorite (risk $525 to win $100) in the latest Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Tsitsipas is a +350 underdog. The over/under for total games is 36.5. 

Before you make any Australian Open men’s final picks or Tsitsipas vs. Djokovic predictions, you must see the Australian Open 2023 picks from tennis handicapper Jose Onorato.

Onorato grew up playing competitive tennis in Caracas, Venezuela. After coming to the U.S., he trained with famed coach Nick Bollettieri at IMG Academy in Florida and faced players like Robert Farah, now one of the world’s top-ranked doubles players.

Onorato, who holds dual degrees in finance and economics from the University of Miami, does extensive research before placing any tennis bets. He studies current form, players’ tendencies on a particular surface, weather conditions and many other relevant factors. That systematic approach helped Onorato go 96-67-7 — up 60.42 units — in 2022!

Onorato knows that the storyline entering the Australian Open was Djokovic returning to Melbourne. He famously was not allowed to play last year and was deported out of the country for not being vaccinated against COVID-19. Djokovic had won the previous three Australian Open titles.

So far in Melbourne he has been dominant. He has dropped only one set in six matches, and that was in a tiebreak. Over his last three matches he has lost just 20 games combined. He has won 27 straight matches at the Australian Open, the second longest streak in tournament history.

Now, Onorato has scrutinized the Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas matchup in the men’s final of the 2023 Australian Open and released his pick. We can tell you that he is picking Under 36.5 games, but he has another wager that pays plus-money. You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any 2023 Australian Open picks of your own!

Who wins the Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas men’s final at the 2023 Australian Open? And where does all the betting value lie? … Join SportsLine right now to see Jose Onorato’s prediction and analysis for the 2023 Australian Open men’s final match, all from the tennis expert who went 96-67-7 in 2022!

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Fantasy football rankings: 2022 NFL Week 15 projections from proven model that outperformed experts

Before setting your Week 15 Fantasy football lineups for the 2022 NFL season, you NEED to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say. When it comes to ranking players, SportsLine’s model beat human experts for the past several seasons, especially when there were big differences in ranking! That could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.

Last week, the model was extremely high on Lions quarterback Jared Goff, saying he’d finish as a top-10 player at his position. The result: Goff completed 27 of 39 passes for 330 yards and three touchdowns in Detroit’s 34-23 win over the Vikings. Anybody who had him in their lineup was well on their way to a HUGE week.

Now the model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has revealed its latest Week 15 Fantasy football rankings.

One player the model is high on this week: Jets running back Zonovan Knight, who has a mouthwatering matchup against the Lions. And a massive shocker: Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans, who’s accumulated over 1,000 receiving yards in each of the past eight seasons, stumbles big-time and doesn’t even crack the top 25 at his position! He’s a player to consider leaving on the bench.

The model is also calling for a SHOCKING quarterback you aren’t even thinking about to finish in the top 10 of its Fantasy football rankings! This pick could be the difference between winning BIG and going home with nothing. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in your lineups.

So who should you start and sit in Week 15? And which surprising quarterback could lead you to victory? … Join SportsLine now to get Fantasy football rankings for every single position, and see which shocking QB comes out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that has out-performed experts big-time!

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Five practical and proven methods to living better, longer

This is what scientists call “squaring the curve.” Put differently, it means that our “health span” — the years in which we are healthy and active — can last almost our entire lives. And that’s something that, to a significant extent, we can control.

Up to age 80 or so, longer life is mostly due not to genetics, but to environmental factors, including healthy behaviors such as physical activity, says Daniel Lieberman, chair of the department of human evolutionary biology at Harvard University.

Before modern medicine, Lieberman adds, “Life span was determined by health span. Our hunter-gatherer ancestors had to be active until they died. In turn, staying active turns on the processes that keep the body healthy.”

Steven Austad, a bio-gerontologist at the University of Alabama at Birmingham and senior scientific director of the American Federation for Aging Research, says: “As a species, we did a lot of physical activity for 300,000 years, until very recently.”

For us modern folk, the formula for maximizing our health span can be as straightforward as getting off the couch and walking or doing some other physical activity — you don’t even have to call it exercise — almost every day. It means eating right — more veggies, fewer doughnuts. Connecting with other people to keep loneliness at bay. And avoiding hazards like scatter rugs and cluttered hallways that lead to broken hips, and, all too often, shortened lives.

We now live in a world with growing numbers of old people, including people older than 100. So, what is accounting for longer lives?

Essentially, we have had a safer environment since the 1900s, with basic public health standards when it comes to such things as water, working conditions, refrigeration, and vaccinations, says Tom Perls, professor of medicine at Boston University and director of the New England Centenarian Study, the world’s largest ongoing study of people age 100 and older. Those factors have allowed more people to live past childhood illnesses and injuries into adulthood.

But making it to 100? Or 105? At that point, Perls says, it’s not good behavior so much as pure luck — in the form of genes. The centenarians he has studied all fit 27 genetic patterns. These genes slow aging and decrease the risk of age-related illnesses such as heart disease, stroke, cancer, diabetes, and dementia.

There may actually be an evolutionary advantage to having older folks around. Think about the resources that grandparents often provide — food, baby-sitting, college tuition — that can help family genes get passed down by supporting younger generations to reach reproductive age.

Then there’s the invaluable knowledge that older people bring to our communities. I saw this firsthand in 1993 when the Globe sent me to a Navajo reservation to report on a deadly outbreak of hantavirus — a group of viruses associated with rodents — rocking the Four Corners region of the Southwest. It was the tribal elders, speaking to researchers from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, who provided key information.

The elders remembered that earlier in the 20th century, they had observed increased rainfall, which led to more piñon nuts, which led to more deer mice, which led to more mouse poop, which aerosolized. Then, when inhaled, this toxic dust infected tribal members’ lungs.

The bottom line is that an increased health span can benefit not only you, but your loved ones as well. Here are five ways that you can live a healthier, longer life.

1. Exercise your body . . . for your brain

Exercise Adobe Stock photos/Illustration by Greg Klee and Maura Intemann/Globe staff

Scientists have long known that exercise is crucial for protecting against heart disease, the leading killer of Americans.

A study published in 2008 by the European Journal of Cardiovascular Prevention and Rehabilitation found that physical activity reduced the risk of dying from heart disease by 35 percent, and the risk of dying of any cause by 33 percent.

Indeed, physical activity is “the single most important thing for healthy aging,” says Austad. “It doesn’t have to be sweat-dripping-in-the-eyes exercise. Any kind of physical activity helps.”

But what many do not know is that exercise is also the best thing you can do for your brain. It does two important things: It boosts cognition and elevates mood.

This is thanks to something known as brain-derived neurotrophic factor, a chemical dubbed “Miracle-Gro for the brain” by Dr. John Ratey, an associate professor of psychiatry at Harvard Medical School. “BDNF is the magic factor, both in mood and cognition,” Ratey says. “Nothing protects the brain more than exercise. We make the most BDNF with exercise.”

According to Ratey, while games such as Wordle activate a small part of the brain, brain-derived neurotrophic factor activates more areas, including the hippocampus, the brain’s chief memory center, increasing the nerve cells there. A shrinking hippocampus is involved in both Alzheimer’s disease and major depressive disorder.

In July, researchers reported that when regular participants in cycling classes increased their workouts from one or two sessions a week to four, they saw significant increases in both cognition and mood.

Lack of exercise has been found to be a leading modifiable risk factor for preventing Alzheimer’s disease. According to a 2013 study by the Ontario Brain Institute, if everyone who is currently inactive were to change their lifestyle and become active, 1 in 7 cases of Alzheimer’s could be prevented.

And all it would take is moderate-intensity exercise, such as brisk walking, for 150 minutes a week — or 30 minutes a day for five days, according to the study. (If you’re still looking to bolster your brain, here’s an extra sweetener: chocolate. The biomolecules in chocolate have been found to boost cognition.)

Research also shows that physical activity can lift your mood. A meta-analysis conducted by an international team of researchers and published in 2016 showed that exercise has a significant effect on depression. Other researchers have found that a single session of aerobic exercise can improve mood.

Moreover, BDNF appears to be the link between antidepressant drugs and the brain changes that result in reduced depressive symptoms, a team of researchers from Sweden and Texas found.

BDNF, they noted, has consistently been highlighted as a “key player in antidepressant action.” Even just one infusion of BDNF into the brain is “sufficient to induce a relatively rapid and sustained antidepressant-like effect,” they said.

The bottom line, dare we say, is a no-brainer. As Ratey puts it, “Get outside and move. The best exercise is something that is fun and will have you coming back to do it.”

2. Unlock the mysteries of the microbiome

Usually, when we think of the bugs — mostly bacteria — that live in our guts, noses, mouths, and other nooks and crannies, it is only when they make us sick.

But in recent years, researchers have been studying the “good” bacteria, fungi, viruses, and other teeny organisms that live inside us and actually keep us healthy. These microbes have been evolving alongside us for eons. (A person’s microbiome is the collection of all the microbes in the body.)

MicrobiomeAdobe Stock photos/Illustration by Greg Klee and Maura Intemann/Globe staff

A healthy gut microbiome has been shown to play a key role in providing energy, producing vitamins and nutrients, and creating a strong immune system. An unhealthy microbiome — one with a less diverse microbial population — has been correlated with numerous digestive and other problems.

Diet has a huge role to play in maintaining a healthy microbiome.

“The best diet is one that is rich in prebiotics,” says Dr. Dariush Mozaffarian, dean for policy at the Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy at Tufts University. Prebiotics, a food source for good bacteria in your body, are different from probiotics, which are bacteria, and often sold as supplements. Prebiotics are found in blueberries, cocoa, tea, coffee, and other foods rich in fiber, such as nuts, seeds, fruits, vegetables, beans, and minimally-processed whole grains, he adds.

Also important are probiotics, which can be found in fermented foods like yogurt, kefir, sauerkraut, and kimchi, as well as cheeses that have been aged but not heated afterward, such as aged feta, Swiss, provolone, Gouda, cheddar, Gruyere and cottage cheese. A study conducted in India found that babies given a microbiome boost from probiotics were 40 percent less likely to contract infantile sepsis.

As for commercially available probiotics, Mozaffarian is cautious. “We know [probiotics] are critical, but we don’t know the exact strains of bacteria or the doses right now. There’s more noise than science in the marketing.”

While prebiotics and probiotics can be beneficial for a healthy microbiome, unfortunately for steak lovers, red meat may be a serious no-no, as well as for a healthy heart, according to Tufts researchers.

Published earlier this year and co-led by postdoctoral fellow Meng Wang at the Friedman School, the study looked at nearly 4,000 men and women over 65. Higher meat consumption was linked to a higher risk of cardiovascular disease, as expected, but equally important, 10 percent of this risk was explained by increased blood levels of three chemicals made by gut bacteria.

“To reduce blood levels of these chemicals,” says Wang, “limiting red and processed meat intake is a good idea.”

The role of diet in maintaining a healthy microbiome shouldn’t be underestimated. In a 2015 study, researchers asked a group of African Americans, who are disproportionately impacted by colon cancer, to switch to the low fat, high fiber diet typical of rural South Africans, who are far less impacted by the disease. The South African participants, in turn, switched to a “western-style” diet higher in fat and lower in fiber.

The microbiomes of both groups changed markedly — in a healthy direction for those switching to a high-fiber diet and in an unhealthy direction for those decreasing fiber.

3. Win the inflammation war

InflammationAdobe Stock photos/Illustration by Greg Klee and Maura Intemann/Globe staff

Inflammation is a sneaky thing.

When we cut a finger and see the hot, red swelling around the cut, or take a flashlight and look at the swollen tonsils of a bad cold, the inflammation is obvious, proof of the body’s healthy immune response to injury and infection.

After that cut heals or the sore throat goes away, the inflammation subsides and we go on with life. Indeed, we couldn’t survive without this powerful immune defense.

But there’s another kind of inflammatory response — an insidious one that actually threatens our survival. This is what happens when that good inflammatory response doesn’t shut down properly when the danger is over, but keeps on going for days, months, and years at a low level.

This chronic inflammation is what underlies many of the conditions that plague us, especially as we age: insulin resistance (a precursor of diabetes), atherosclerosis, Alzheimer’s, stroke, and neurodegeneration, to name just a few.

The culprit behind this bad inflammation is what is known as visceral fat. This is not fat that is visible under our skin, but the kind that is hidden deep in our abdomens and is actually an active endocrine organ.

Visceral fat pumps out inflammatory chemicals called adipokines, part of the family of chemicals called cytokines. Some cytokines shut inflammation down, others trigger it. It’s the constant output of the latter that is so harmful.

“It can be thought of as the immune system running amok,” says Dr. I-Min Lee, an epidemiologist and professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School. “High levels of chronic inflammation contribute to development of heart disease, cancer, even dementia.”

With atherosclerosis — often described as a “hardening of the arteries” — for instance, the problem begins with the buildup of fat and cholesterol in artery walls. The body sees these deposits as foreign and sends in white blood cells — inflammation — to attack the problem, causing plaques. Over time, these plaques can narrow the arteries and trigger blood clots. “Inflammation inside artery walls causes plaque to thicken and harden,” Lee says.

Exercise is a powerful weapon in this regard. “Even without weight loss, exercise leads to a lower level of chronic inflammation,” Lee says.

Austad, of the American Federation for Aging Research, says exercise has additional benefits when it comes to inflammation.

“Exercise induces anti-inflammatory chemicals and helps prevent senescent cells, which pump out harmful pro-inflammatory chemicals,” he says. Dubbed “zombie” cells because they are difficult to kill, senescent cells are alive but cannot reproduce.

A good diet also helps reduce chronic inflammation, especially one low in trans fats from meat and deep-fried or processed foods.

4. Reduce fall dangers at home

Fall risks Adobe Stock photos/Illustration by Greg Klee and Maura Intemann/Globe staff

Little kids do it for fun. Skiers do it by accident, but usually survive. But when older people fall, the results can be disastrous.

Compared with the many other health hazards that older people face, falls may not make it onto the public radar. But they can be not only life-altering, but, all too often, fatal. Falls are the leading cause of injury and injury deaths in older Americans, according to the CDC.

If you break your hip, there’s a more than 20 percent chance that you will die in the first year afterward, according to a 2010 study, though some estimates put the risk much higher.

It’s not the damage to the hip itself that is so deadly, but that a person who falls may already be “frail and suffering from other medical conditions — then become immobilized for a long period afterward,” says Dr. David Slovik, an associate professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School. “That lengthy period of bed rest can lead to pneumonia, blood clots, and other medical problems.”

“That’s why exercise and fall prevention are key,” adds Slovik, an endocrinologist and osteoporosis specialist at Massachusetts General Hospital.

Weight-bearing exercise used to be thought of as a powerful way to strengthen bones, even in later life. It turns out, though, that even high-intensity exercise and working out with weights don’t strengthen bones significantly. But exercises such as walking and stair-climbing can strengthen muscles and improve balance. “And good strength and balance mean you’re less likely to fall,” Slovik says.

Indeed, a 2018 Tufts University study conducted at the Somerville Council on Aging showed exactly that. When exercise classes were introduced at the center, there was a 60 percent reduction in falls.

Published in 2022, a study of 61,200 post-menopausal women across 11 US states showed that the risk of hip fracture was lowered by 6 percent for each increase of one hour per week of walking. Participants who walked at least four hours a week, but did no other exercise, had a 41-percent lower risk of hip fracture.

There are also a number of practical things you can do to prevent falls. In addition to strength training for strong muscles, try to practice standing on one foot while holding on to a chair, or consider learning tai chi. If you start to fall, try not to fall sideways but, instead, onto your rear end.

It’s also important to fall-proof your house. Remove hazards such as scatter rugs, long extension cords, and junk that’s lying around. Install good lighting, especially in the bedroom, bathroom, and the spaces between them. Put handrails in the bathroom and use nonskid rugs near the toilet, bath, or shower.

Other tips: Mop up spills. Keep frequently-used items where you can reach them without climbing on foot stools or chairs. Always use the handrails on stairs.

And, of course, try not to trip over the dog.

5. Make time for friends

FriendshipAdobe Stock photos/Illustration by Greg Klee and Maura Intemann/Globe staff

More than a century ago, a small group of Italians left their little village, Roseto Val Fortore, in the foothills of the Apennines, in search of a better life in the slate quarries of eastern Pennsylvania.

When they got there, they named their new village Roseto and quickly reestablished the close-knit ties they’d had in Italy. They lived in three-generation households, their houses so close together that to chat they just headed out to the front porch.

In the 1960s, Roseto became a magnet for researchers. The little town shared a water supply, as well as doctors and hospitals, with nearby towns, but had significantly fewer heart attacks compared with neighboring communities. Not that the Italian villagers were models for healthy habits — they smoked cigars, drank wine, and ate meatballs and sausages fried in lard, not to mention cheese. Yet, they were healthier.

Genetics didn’t explain the discrepancy, now known as the “Roseto effect.” So what made the difference? As researchers would document over and over for decades — most recently in a 2020 report commissioned by the AARP — the answer boils down to human connections.

“We’ve known for decades that social isolation and loneliness are risk factors for poor health and earlier mortality,” says Dr. Nancy J. Donovan, a psychiatrist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital and coauthor of a 2020 analysis of those research results. “Up until recently, these major risk factors have not been addressed in health care settings.”

Social isolation and loneliness are major concerns for people over 50, the report noted, because that age group is more likely than younger people to live alone, to have lost close friends or family members, and to be living with chronic illnesses and sensory impairments.

Being socially isolated is linked to a significantly increased risk of premature mortality from all causes, as well as, specifically, an increased risk of dementia, coronary heart disease, and stroke.

To be sure, not all older people are socially isolated, just as not all lonely people are older. The people at highest risk of loneliness, research shows, are people in their late 70s and older, and those in their late teens and early adulthood, despite, in the latter case, active lives and online connections.

The key is “to stay active and connect with others,” says psychologist Elizabeth Necka, a program director at the National Institute on Aging. “People who engage in meaningful, productive activities with others feel a sense of purpose and tend to live longer.”

It also helps to focus on interests and activities that you truly enjoy and use those to connect with other people, adds Donovan.

“People’s social connections got frayed during the pandemic,” she says. “But I think we can achieve a new normal.”


Judy Foreman is the former Globe Health Sense columnist and author of the 2020 book Exercise is Medicine, from Oxford University Press. Send comments to magazine@globe.com.

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