Tag Archives: Plummeting

Costco just planted the ‘death star’ on Bud Light cases — a sign that it won’t restock the beer amid controversy, plummeting sales. Wild speculation or 1 more devastating blow to the brand? – Yahoo Finance

  1. Costco just planted the ‘death star’ on Bud Light cases — a sign that it won’t restock the beer amid controversy, plummeting sales. Wild speculation or 1 more devastating blow to the brand? Yahoo Finance
  2. Costco Sends a Quiet (but Powerful) Message on Bud Light TheStreet
  3. Costco places ‘star of death’ on Bud Light cases — suggesting it won’t restock beer New York Post
  4. Costco selling its last round of Bud Light, gives beer its fatal ‘death star’ Colorado Springs Gazette
  5. Is Costco set to drop Bud Light from its shelves? Daily Mail
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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Costco just planted the ‘death star’ on Bud Light cases — a sign that it won’t restock the beer amid controversy, plummeting sales. Wild speculation or 1 more devastating blow to the brand? – Yahoo Finance

  1. Costco just planted the ‘death star’ on Bud Light cases — a sign that it won’t restock the beer amid controversy, plummeting sales. Wild speculation or 1 more devastating blow to the brand? Yahoo Finance
  2. Costco Sends a Quiet (but Powerful) Message on Bud Light TheStreet
  3. Costco Just Planted The ‘Death Star’ On Bud Light Cases — A Sign That It Won’t Restock The Beer Amid Controversy, Plummeting Sales. Wild Speculation Or 1 More Devastating Blow To The Brand? MoneyWise
  4. Costco places ‘star of death’ on Bud Light cases — suggesting it won’t restock beer New York Post
  5. Costco selling its last round of Bud Light, gives beer its fatal ‘death star’ Colorado Springs Gazette

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US tuberculosis rates went up more than 9% in 2021 after plummeting early in pandemic, study shows

The study, published Thursday in the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, analyzed CDC data to quantify and characterize trends in tuberculosis cases.

According to the report, cases increased from 7,173 to 7,860 in 2021. This follows a 19.9% drop in cases between 2019 and 2020. However, 2021 cases are still 12.6% lower than they were in 2019.

Before the pandemic, case rates dropped an average of 1% to 2% yearly.

Tuberculosis cases increased for both US-born and non-US-born people between 2020 and 2021, the study says. About 71% of cases in 2021 were identified in people not born in the US, similar to years prior. Among the non-U.S.-born population, 9.1% were diagnosed within one year of immigrating to the US, compared with 9.7% in 2020 and 15.6% in previous years.

Many factors at play

The researchers offered several theories about the changes in tuberculosis trends over the past three years, many of them related to the Covid-19 pandemic.

They said it was possible that infection control efforts and travel restrictions led to a true reduction in tuberculosis cases since 2019. Disarray in the US health care system probably also meant missed or delayed diagnoses, in addition to potential misdiagnoses of tuberculosis as Covid-19 due to overlaps in respiratory symptoms.

Minnesota’s recent tuberculosis trends echo those of the country as a whole, and officials think the same factors may be at work.

Cases there increased from 2.05 per 100,000 people in 2020 to 2.35 in 2021, but they’re still below the 2019 rate of 2.62.

State Department of Health Tuberculosis Control Program supervisor Sarah Gordon thinks the same causes posited in the CDC study apply in her state.

“There is a true decrease in TB incidence due to Covid-19 mitigation and from changes in immigration patterns and travel to the US during the pandemic,” Gordon wrote in an email. “There is a decline from misdiagnosis or delayed diagnosis of TB due to providers not initially screening for TB or from patients less likely to seek medical care during the pandemic.”

Gordon also noted that missing cases can increase transmission, fueling further spread.

Gordon said she does not expect 2022 case rates in Minnesota or the US in general to exceed those from 2019, but misdiagnosis or delayed diagnosis is “still a concern.”

“Our prediction would be a slow increase in cases over the next few years if the global pool of infection is higher, but we need to keep in mind that our case counts in MN differed in range over the years, from over 200 cases/year in the early 2000’s to our extreme low in 2020,” Gordon said.

According to the TB Elimination Alliance, the decrease in testing is in part a result of diverted labor efforts due to Covid-19.

“Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, staff and resources have been diverted from the public health infrastructure to Covid-19 response efforts,” the group’s steering committee wrote in an email.

“For example, 30% of San Francisco’s Population Health Division staff were diverted to Covid-19 response,” they said, adding that the number of people who lost health insurance after losing their jobs could have also limited access to care.

Latent infections could be part of the increase

Tuberculosis is a bacterial infection, usually in the lungs, which can cause coughing, chest pain and fever.

The World Health Organization data says that of all infectious diseases, tuberculosis kills the most people each year. WHO estimates show that about a quarter of the global population is infected with TB, but only 5% to 15% of those infected will become sick.

Tuberculosis works in part through “latent infections,” which are distinct from active illness.

“Latent infection is a dormant or inactive stage of TB when the person is not sick or infectious. Latent infection can progress to active disease, which is when a person is sick,” Gordon said.

Those latent infections could be one reason for some of the increase seen in certain groups in the CDC study.

In the CDC data, the overall decrease in tuberculosis diagnoses in people moving to the US within one year of immigrating aligned with reductions in travel and immigration associated with the pandemic. However, cases among non-US-born people who have been in the country for more than 20 years increased in the past year.

“Even in the U.S. we saw delayed diagnosis of TB patients,” Gordon said. “This resulted in people being sicker and untreated longer, and therefore people who were infectious longer. This means there was a potential for more transmission and now there is a larger pool of people with latent TB.”

On World Tuberculosis Day, the worst death rate in years

March 24 is World Tuberculosis Day. This year, it comes as tuberculosis death rates are the worst in 10 years, WHO says.

“WHO has reported an increase in TB deaths for the first time in more than a decade,” Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said Thursday.

The organization’s October 2021 Global Tuberculosis Report found that global tuberculosis deaths increased from 1.2 million in 2019 to 1.3 million in 2020. This is the first time these deaths have risen since 2005, bringing death rates back to the level last seen in 2017.

At the time of that report, the authors said that “the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic has reversed years of global progress in reducing the number of people who die from TB.” Today, according to WHO, there’s an additional concern for future spread.

Funding to battle tuberculosis “is especially critical in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic, coupled with conflicts across Europe, Africa and the Middle East, which are disrupting services for TB and putting an even heavier burden on those affected,” Tedros said.

“We are especially concerned for the health of people with TB in Afghanistan, Ethiopia, Syria, Ukraine and Yemen, where conflict is jeopardizing their access to services — and their very lives,” he said.

“Given that Ukraine has a high burden of drug-resistant TB, WHO is working closely with partners to support access to TB care services, including for refugees and displaced populations.”

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Netflix warning on subscriber growth sends stock plummeting

Netflix has warned that subscriber growth would slow substantially in early 2022, sending its stock tumbling 20 per cent in pre-market trading on Friday in the latest instance of investors dumping shares in companies that have thrived during the pandemic.

The streaming company projected after the close of trade on Thursday that it would add just 2.5m subscribers in the first three months of this year, far fewer than the 4m it added in the first quarter of 2021 and well below analysts’ expectations that also stood at 4m.

Netflix shares dropped to $402 in pre-market trading on the Nasdaq on Friday, down almost $100 from Thursday’s closing price. The fall would wipe about $46bn from the group’s market value. Nasdaq 100 futures were down about 0.5 per cent in European dealings on Friday, while Europe’s Stoxx 600 tech index was down 2.1 per cent.

Netflix’s disappointing forecast came as Peloton was forced to rush out preliminary second-quarter earnings to shore up investor confidence after CNBC reported the company was temporarily halting production of its connected fitness products. Shares in Peloton, one of the biggest beneficiaries of early Covid-19 lockdowns, fell about a quarter following the report.

John Foley, Peloton’s co-founder and chief executive, said “rumours that we are halting all production of bikes and [treadmills] are false” but conceded the company was “right-sizing our production . . . as we evolve to more seasonal demand curves”. Peloton’s market value has plummeted in the past 12 months to less than $8bn, from $50bn.

Netflix and Peloton were among a clutch of “stay at home” stocks that investors snapped up at various stages of the pandemic, and the sharp decline in their share prices came amid growing investor angst over shares in companies that benefited from the pandemic.

BlackRock’s “virtual work and life” ETF, which was launched during the first wave of the virus to track companies that would prosper from people spending more time at home, is trading close to a record low. It is down 9 per cent since the start of the year and more than 40 per cent below the peak it hit last year.

Shares in Zoom, the videoconferencing service that became ubiquitous as people worked from home, have fallen more than 11 per cent since the start of the year. Other pandemic beneficiaries such as e-signature specialist DocuSign and Netflix rival Roku have tumbled more than 20 per cent in 2022.

Investors have also soured on the tech sector in anticipation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates more quickly than previously expected to tame soaring inflation. Higher rates reduce the value investors place on future profits of fast-growing companies. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index entered correction territory this week, meaning it has fallen more than 10 per cent from its high in November.

Streaming companies such as Netflix and Disney Plus hoovered up huge numbers of subscribers during the 2020 lockdowns, but a return to more normal routines has hit growth just as they are spending billions of dollars on content to attract and keep viewers.

Netflix also undershot expectations for net new subscribers in the last quarter of 2021, adding 8.3m versus expectations ranging from 8.4m to 8.7m. That brought the total number of paying customers to 222m.

The slowdown in Netflix subscriber growth came even as it has assembled one of the strongest catalogues of original content since its launch, including the Korean hit drama Squid Game and Don’t Look Up, a film starring Leonardo DiCaprio and Jennifer Lawrence.

The streaming wars are leading the big services to spend more on content. Netflix said the amount it was spending had compressed operating margins to 8 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2021 — down 6 percentage points compared with a year earlier. However, Netflix did not spend as much on content as it had forecast.

Netflix noted that “competition . . . has only intensified over the last 24 months as entertainment companies all around the world develop their own streaming offering”.

The company acknowledged that the increased rivalry “may be affecting our marginal growth” but said it continued to grow in every country in which its competitors had launched.

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GameStop stock is plummeting but the Reddit rebellion is just beginning

That’s partly due to trading restrictions from Robinhood and other brokers on how many shares of volatile stocks like GameStop, AMC (AMC), Express (EXPR) and Nokia (NOK) that retail investors can purchase in a single stock at a time.

But heavily shorted stocks could wind up rallying again. In fact, on Tuesday Mark Cuban urged members of Reddit’s WallStreetBets community to stay the course with stocks like GameStop.

“I have no doubt that there are funds and big players that have shorted this stock again thinking they are smarter than everyone on WSB,” the Dallas Mavericks owner and Shark Tank investor said on a Reddit AMA. “I know you are going to hate to hear this, but the lower it goes, the more powerful WSB can be stepping up to buy the stock again.”
After all, retail investors have proven that they can push hedge funds around — and they are likely to start focusing on other stocks and commodities that they think can (and should) move higher.

“Social investing is not going away,” said Kerim Derhalli, CEO and founder of Invstr, a trading app. “This is a powerful commercial trend and we are just at the beginning of it. People have more information and power.”

Younger investors have taken control of the market

Derhalli pointed out that as younger investors increasingly start buying and selling stocks, the market will need to adapt. He said the rise of other popular stocks, such as Tesla (TSLA) and Beyond Mea (BYND)t are due partly to Millennials and Gen Zers investing in brands that they know and like.

“Younger retail investors are in touch with changes taking place. They understand consumer trends because they are the ones making and creating them,” Derhalli said. “There are some Millennials making a lot of money and there are hedge funds pissed off that retail investors have joined the game and are beating them at it.”

Yet a number of Wall Street veterans are concerned that this won’t end well for smaller investors.

They point to the dot-com/tech stock collapse in 2000 as a sign of what can happen when retail investors get too excited and lose focus of fundamentals such as sales and earnings — not to mention valuations.

Back then, the trading frenzy was built on message boards like Raging Bull and Yahoo Finance as opposed to Reddit and Twitter.

“This is troubling and disconcerting. It could be like March 2000 all over again,” said Richard Smith, CEO of The Foundation for the Study of Cycles, a research firm.

“What this has done more than anything is expose how gamified the stock market environment is, and it will hopefully have people ask questions about whether or not this is how we want markets to work,” Smith added.

If average investors wind up getting burned by stocks like GameStop, that could lead to less confidence in Wall Street and the wider market.

Some lesser experienced investors may just give up on owning stocks altogether — as many individuals did after the 2000 crash and again when Lehman Brothers imploded in 2008.

“The market is going to be destabilized. Too many people will lose money. Fewer people will participate in the stock market — not more,” said Sergey Savastiouk, founder and CEO of Tickeron, an artificial intelligence platform for traders and investors.

“What’s going on with GameStop and AMC is like driving without a license,” he added.

This time might actually be a little bit different after all

But there are some major differences between now and two decades ago — not to mention the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-2009, a time when social media and free online trading weren’t as ubiquitous as they are now.

Average investors can now trade more efficiently and in a cost-effective manner thanks to no-fee brokerage firms such as Robinhood — a move that essentially forced all the other major brokerages to drop commissions.

The rise of fractional trading (i.e. owning a set dollar amount of a high-priced stock like Amazon or Alphabet) and the popularity of index ETFs also makes it easier for investors to buy small pieces of many stocks.

And Reddit’s megaphone is significantly louder and more influential than the old chat boards of the late 1990s.

“This trend will not end anytime soon. There are some investors who play in the individual stock arena just the one time. But there is a fear of missing out,” said Gust Kepler, founder and CEO of BlackBoxStocks, a trading software firm.

“That may not sound much different from the late 1990s with day traders, but now social media augments the ability for groups of investors to band together and share information in real time,” Kepler added.

Along those lines, even Smith of the Foundation of Cycles expressed begrudging admiration for the Reddit traders who figured out how to stick it to the short sellers.

“I have respect for those who saw what was going on, how it worked and exploited it,” he said. “But what value has been created?”

Stocks like GameStop and AMC aren’t increasing in value because they’re producing high revenue and profit, paying big dividends or adding significant juice to the economy by creating thousands of jobs.

But that misses the point. There is no rule that says investors should only buy large blue chip companies. Some investors are growing tired of buying safer, passively run index funds and want to gamble.

“Individual investors are often thought to be risk averse. But not all of them are,” said Josh White, a finance professor at Vanderbilt University and former SEC economist. “Some have a preference for what’s more like a lottery.”

“They may actually lose often but every now and then they will hit a home run like GameStop,” White said. “As long as there is that one big hit that takes place, people will keep gambling.”

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Europe’s Bankruptcies Are Plummeting. That May Be a Problem.

PARIS — Romain Rozier’s cafe should be bankrupt by now.

Since the coronavirus hit last spring, sales at the once buzzing lunch spot in northern Paris are down 80 percent. The only customers on a recent day were a couple of UberEats couriers and a handful of people spaced far apart at the counter, ordering takeout.

“We’re at death’s door,” Mr. Rozier said, tallying the 300 euros ($365) he had made from the lunch shift, well below the €1,200 he used to pull in. “The only reason we haven’t gone under is because of financial aid.”

France and other European countries are spending enormous sums to keep businesses afloat during the worst recession since World War II. But some worry they’ve gone too far; bankruptcies are plunging to levels not seen in decades.

While the aid has prevented a surge in unemployment, the largess risks turning swaths of the economy into a kind of twilight zone where firms are swamped with debt they cannot pay off but receiving just enough state aid to stay alive — so-called zombie companies. Unable to invest or innovate, these firms could contribute to what the World Bank recently described as a potential “lost decade” of stagnant economic growth caused by the pandemic.

“We need to get off of all of these subsidies at some point — otherwise, we’ll have a zombie economy,” said Carl Bildt, co-chair of the European Council on Foreign Relations and a former prime minister of Sweden.

Bankruptcies fell 40 percent last year in France and Britain, and were down 25 percent on average in the European Union. Without government intervention, including billions in state-backed loans and subsidized payrolls, European business failures would have almost doubled last year, according to a study by the National Bureau of Economic Research, a private American organization.

At the Commercial Court of Paris, Judge Patrick Coupeaud, who has handled bankruptcy cases for nearly a decade, sees the difference. “I have about a third fewer people coming to me, because many troubled businesses are being helped by the state,” he said, gesturing to the court’s nearly empty colonnaded marble halls.

By contrast, Chapter 11 bankruptcy filings in the United States rose in the third quarter to the highest level since the 2010 financial crisis, a trend that is expected to continue in 2021, according to an index compiled by the U.S. law firm Polsinelli.

President Biden has proposed a new $1.9 trillion rescue package to combat the economic downturn and the Covid-19 crisis, and last week, the government reported that 900,000 Americans had filed new unemployment claims.

Those statistics are shaping a debate over whether Europe’s strategy of protecting businesses and workers “at all costs” will cement a recovery, or leave economies less competitive and more dependent on government aid when the pandemic recedes.

“Parts of the misery have only been delayed,” said Bert Colijn, chief eurozone economist at the Dutch bank ING. He added that there would be “a catch-up in bankruptcies” and a spike in unemployment whenever support measures were withdrawn.

Analysts say the government programs are already seeding the economy with thousands of inefficient businesses with low productivity, high debt and a high prospect of default once low interest rates normalize.

An estimated 10 percent of companies in France were saved from bankruptcy because of government funds, according to Rexecode, a French economic think tank.

Letting unviable businesses go under, while painful, will be essential for allowing competitive sectors to thrive, said Jeffrey Franks, the head of the International Monetary Fund’s mission for France.

A wave of bankruptcies “is not something that’s necessarily so bad,” he said. “It’s part of the normal creative destruction process of regenerating economies.”

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development is urging governments to fine-tune their support measures to ensure a revival in growth. “Failure to do so could hinder the recovery by trapping resources in nonproductive ‘zombie firms’ and jobs,” the organization said in a recent assessment.

Most European governments planned to end support last autumn, figuring the coronavirus would be under control. But a second wave of cases has filled hospitals, followed by faster-spreading variants of the virus, all leading to extensions in aid. The European Union late last year approved a recovery package worth €2 trillion.

In France, the investments are seen as a way of buying social stability by preventing mass unemployment. The finance minister, Bruno Le Maire, has pledged to maintain the support “as long as the crisis lasts,” a strategy that he described as adding “spirituality” to the economy.

Almost no businesses are being left out of the largess if they lobby hard enough — not even French escargot farmers, who recently won a battle for limited financial aid while restaurants that are their main buyers stay closed.

As governments’ Covid debts skyrocket, European fiscal rules have been suspended. France is among several countries declaring that they don’t plan to pay down the enormous bill until the economy has mended.

For now, financial aid is preventing the collapse of many once-healthy firms whose main misfortune was the pandemic. At the Paris Commercial Court, Judge Coupeaud said the measures had helped avoid a domino effect by encouraging businesses to use state-backed loans and other aid to pay suppliers and debts.

France’s bankruptcy system is unlike those in other countries, in that it encourages troubled companies to come forward before default and offers help in negotiating with creditors.

“Failure is not a word that the French like to use,” said Dominique-Paul Vallée, the judge at the court in charge of helping business owners avoid bankruptcy. “We prefer to say we are saving companies.” He added that there had been a sharp rise in firms going to him for help.

Those that did file for bankruptcy protection in 2020 tended to be big companies with large work forces, such as the retailer Camaïeu, with 3,900 workers, and Alinea, a furniture maker with 2,000 employees. That was a shift from the small and medium-size business cases that the court typically hears.

Still, the safety net extends only so far. Countless businesses face mounting debts, declining profitability and a limited capacity to invest the longer the pandemic lasts.

Mr. Rozier is a case in point. He started his organic-themed cafe, Make Your Lunch, in 2016 in a bustling business and cultural district. The concept was so successful that he opened a second cafe near the high-traffic Paris Opera.

After the pandemic hit, business plunged as offices that housed thousands of workers stood empty and remained largely unoccupied most of the year.

The government helped pay the bulk of his employees’ salaries, and Mr. Rozier got a low-interest €30,000 state-backed loan with payments deferred until May, which the government last week extended for a year. After a new national lockdown in October, restaurants like his got an additional €10,000 a month in direct aid.

But that money hasn’t made up for months of lost sales. “My treasury is drained,” said Mr. Rozier, who sold his cafe near the opera in the summer and spent much of the government loan paying off suppliers. With 80 percent fewer clients, he is three months behind on his €4,000 monthly rent, and he struggles to pay social security taxes, electricity and other expenses.

The government allows restaurants to offer takeout only. Mr. Rozier has become an unofficial spokesman for restaurant owners who demand that the government let them seat patrons again, with social distancing, to survive.

After the New Year’s holiday break, he said, his morale slumped when he reopened the business.

“I waited. And I waited. And three people came in the door,” Mr. Rozier said.

“At this point, there is a real danger I will have to close within a couple of months,” he continued. “I’d rather sell the business than have to go to bankruptcy court.”

Two of his friends, also restaurant owners, have already declared bankruptcy.

“There are many more that will follow in their footsteps,” Mr. Rozier said. “That we know for sure.”

Antonella Francini contributed reporting.

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