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NFL mock draft 2021 – Mel Kiper’s new predictions for all 32 first-round picks, including two trades, needs for Patriots, Dolphins, Panthers

Let’s dig into my third mock for the 2021 NFL draft, with post-free agency projections for pick Nos. 1-32 of April’s draft. After a flurry of moves last week, this is when we can finally see what teams really need — and which teams filled holes with multiyear free-agent deals.

After I put three trades in my Mock Draft 2.0, I have two more in this edition. One is for a team moving up to take a quarterback, and the other is to get a player who might be a top-five lock in any other year. I think you’ll find them interesting.

With no NFL scouting combine this year, there is still a lot up in the air before Round 1 begins on April 29. Pro days are finishing up soon, and that’s when I’ll set my rankings. There are dozens of intriguing prospects who have yet to work out for teams.

We’ll start with the Jaguars at the top of, course, and end with the Super Bowl champion Buccaneers, with some surprises along the way. The Jets have a huge decision looming at No. 2, with only a few more weeks left until we know for sure what they’re planning.

More draft coverage: Mailbag
Full draft order: Nos. 1-259
McShay’s Mock Draft 3.0
Jump to a trade: No. 3 | No. 9

Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson

With four picks in the top 45, new Jaguars coach Urban Meyer and general manager Trent Baalke can get Lawrence some premier help. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them take a wide receiver with one of their second-rounders (Nos. 33 and 45), and there should be stellar options on the board (Minnesota’s Rashod Bateman, Ole Miss’ Elijah Moore or LSU’s Terrace Marshall Jr. would be ideal weapons). Offensive line and tight end are other positions to prioritize. But c’mon, this pick is Lawrence all the way. And the Jags have the No. 25 selection to add a high-end talent, as well.

Notable free-agent additions: CB Shaquill Griffin, S Rayshawn Jenkins, DT Roy Robertson-Harris, WR Marvin Jones Jr., TE Chris Manhertz

Notable free-agent losses: WR Keelan Cole, QB Mike Glennon


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Patriots, 49ers Among N.F.L. Free Agency’s Biggest Spenders

A good chunk of the $164.9 million the 49ers spent in free agency went to adding two of the best blockers in football to protect quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo against the N.F.C. West’s aggressive pass rushers, Rams Aaron Donald and Arizona Cardinals’ J.J. Watt. An upright quarterback tends to have a positive effect on a team’s offense.

By trading expensive players such as Jalen Ramey and Yannick Ngakoue in recent seasons, the Jacksonville Jaguars entered free agency with a bevy of available cap space. They have offered $144 million in total value for contracts. They focused primarily on defense, after finishing 1-15 with the league’s second-worst defense, signing cornerback Shaquill Griffin to a three-year, $40-millon contract, safety Rayshawn Jenkins to a four-year, $35-million deal and defensive end Roy Robertson-Harris to three years and $23.4 million.

Offensively, the Jaguars’ rebuild starts with the draft, where the team will mostly likely use the No. 1 overall pick to select Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence. First-time N.F.L. head coach Urban Meyer, who team owner Shahid Khan said will have roster control, is using free agency to plug holes before the new face of the franchise arrives. But Meyer has already voiced his displeasure with some aspects of running an N.F.L. team, calling the league’s legal tampering period “awful.”

A strong free agency market for defensive talent led the woeful Bengals (4-11 in the 2020 season) to prioritize that side of the ball with $122.75 million in free agent contracts. The team also signed Vikings tackle Riley Reiff to a one year, $7.5-million deal, the first step in fixing a weak offensive line charged with protecting Joe Burrow, who tied for ninth-most sacked quarterback in the league last season.

Derrick Henry’s legs can only carry the Titans so far. Despite a season where the running back again led the league in rushing yards, Tennessee was bounced from the playoffs in the wild-card round. This off-season, general manager Jon Robinson bolstered the pass rush by adding former Steelers outside linebacker Bud Dupree on a five-year, $82.5-million contract. Dupree had eight sacks for the Steelers in the 2020 season. The Titans are paying him to help contain opposing quarterbacks with the potential to burn them on the ground as the Ravens’ Lamar Jackson did in key moments of that playoff loss to Baltimore.

First-year head coach Robert Saleh’s defensive background showed in free agency when the Jets signed defensive end Carl Lawson to a three-year, $45-million deal. It’s the largest the Jets finalized in free agency thus far, contributing to the $110.25 million in total contracts.

Pairing Lawson, whose speed helped him to 5.5 sacks last season with the Bengals, on the edge should complement the power of third-year defensive lineman Quinnen Williams. The Jets hold the No. 2 overall pick in the draft, and are a rumored landing spot for Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson. Their roster could still see major additions.

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Patriots Receive Additional 2021 NFL Draft Pick As Order Gets Announced

It appears the New England Patriots gained an additional compensatory pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.

The Patriots only were expected to have nine picks in the draft, but they were listed as having an additional fifth-round compensatory selection that previously was not announced.

Here are all of New England’s picks, per NFL Communications:

Round 1, 15th overall
Round 2, 46th overall
Round 3, 96th overall (compensatory pick)
Round 4, 120th overall
Round 4, 122nd overall (from Arizona Cardinals through Houston Texans)
Round 4, 139th overall (compensatory pick)
Round 5, 177th overall (compensatory pick)
Round 6, 188th overall (from Houston Texans)
Round 6, 197th overall
Round 7, 242nd overall

The Patriots received the 122nd and 188th overall picks in their recent trade with the Texans when they dealt away offensive tackle Marcus Cannon.

The Patriots’ original third-round pick was forfeited as part of their punishment for taping the Cincinnati Bengals’ sideline during the 2019 season.

New England traded away fifth- (158th overall) and sixth- (195th overall) round picks in the Cannon trade.

UPDATE (7 p.m. ET): Here’s the explanation for why the Patriots received an additional pick from an NFL spokesperson:

“The inclusion of a 33rd compensatory selection in this year’s Draft resulted from a correction by the Management Council to the calculation of average yearly compensation. As a result of the correction, the Patriots were awarded the first compensatory pick in Round 5, and the Falcons’ first compensatory selection in Round 5 has moved down two slots. By agreement with the NFLPA, the Bears will retain their compensatory selection at the end of Round 6, previously the 32nd awarded, now the 33rd.”

Originally, the Patriots received third- and fourth-round comp picks for losing Tom Brady, Jamie Collins, Ted Karras, Danny Shelton and Kyle Van Noy and gaining Beau Allen, Damiere Byrd and Adrian Phillips in 2020 free agency. It seems New England was granted the extra fifth-round pick for the difference between Byrd (one-year contract, $1.6 million) and Collins (three-year contract, $30 million).

Thumbnail photo via
Ken Blaze/USA TODAY Sports Images



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Longtime New England Patriots safety Patrick Chung reverses course, announces NFL retirement

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. — Longtime New England Patriots safety Patrick Chung, who had intended to play this season after opting out of the 2020 NFL campaign, has reversed course and announced his retirement Thursday.

Chung, 33, said on Instagram that “it’s time to start a new life.”

This would have been Chung’s 12th season in the NFL and 11th with the Patriots. He has played in 153 career regular-season games (122 starts) in addition to 23 playoff games (20 starts).

Having originally joined the team as a second-round draft choice in 2009 out of the University of Oregon, Chung was part of three Super Bowl championship teams in New England. He had spent one season with the Philadelphia Eagles, in 2013, but returned the next season and said the only coach he planned to play for was Bill Belichick.

In his Instagram post, Chung said he was making his retirement announcement through tears, thanking Belichick for “teaching me life on and off the field.”

Chung, whose toughness, versatility and work ethic were often noted by Belichick, is the only player in NFL history to appear in the playoffs in each of his first 11 seasons. He was selected as a member of the Patriots’ 2010s All-Decade Team.

Chung opted out of the 2020 season for family considerations, telling CBS in an interview, “It was a tough decision. You want to play football. I’m in the latter end of my career, but when it comes down to it, I feel money is not that important. I have a girlfriend who is pregnant, a baby girl coming soon, my son has a little asthma, my dad is 75 years old. I just felt like this was the best decision for my family to keep everyone safe. It’s not over, it’s just postponed a little bit.”

Along those lines, Chung had been working out recently at Gillette Stadium, signifying his plans to play again in 2021. But things obviously changed in recent weeks.

The Patriots are deep at safety, with returning starters Devin McCourty and Adrian Phillips, and top 2020 draft pick Kyle Dugger returning. They also struck a four-year, $24 million agreement with free-agent defensive back Jalen Mills, who had switched from cornerback to safety last season with the Eagles.



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New England Patriots welcome LB Kyle Van Noy back into fold after just one season with Miami Dolphins

The New England Patriots have reunited with their former linebacker Kyle Van Noy, the veteran confirmed on social media Wednesday night.

The Miami Dolphins released Van Noy last week, just one season after signing him to a four-year, $51 million contract. The team tried unsuccessfully to trade the linebacker before releasing him.

Van Noy, who played both inside linebacker and edge rusher for the Dolphins, had 69 tackles and six sacks for the Dolphins in an up-and-down 2020 campaign.

Van Noy received a two-year contract with a maximum value of $13.2 million from the Patriots, a source confirmed to ESPN.

The Patriots have focused heavily on the front seven in free agency, having reached agreements with Dolphins defensive tackle Davon Godchaux, New York Jets defensive lineman Henry Anderson and Baltimore Ravens outside linebacker Matthew Judon, while re-signing defensive lineman Deatrich Wise Jr.

A combination of Van Noy and Judon on the edges of the defense could help address one of the Patriots’ big struggles from 2020.

The Patriots’ run defense ranked 26th in the NFL last season, with opponents averaging 131.4 rushing yards per game. In addition, opposing rushers averaged 4.5 yards per carry.

A second-round draft pick of the Detroit Lions in 2014, Van Noy established himself as a starter after being traded to the Patriots in 2016. In four seasons with the Patriots, he had 16.5 sacks, 5 forced fumbles and 221 tackles. He also was a part of two Super Bowl-winning teams.

Van Noy, 29, has 358 tackles, 23.5 sacks, 7 forced fumbles and 2 interceptions in 95 regular-season games over seven seasons.

ESPN’s Cameron Wolfe contributed to this report.



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Patriots to sign Hunter Henry

Getty Images

For the second day in a row, the Patriots have agreed to terms with a free agent tight end.

This time it’s veteran tight end Hunter Henry who is signing a three-year contract with New England, according to Adam Schefter of ESPN.

Yesterday the Patriots agreed to sign former Titans tight end Jonnu Smith. That means they have the top two tight ends on our list of the NFL’s Top 100 free agents.

When healthy, Henry has been one of the top tight ends in the NFL, although he has struggled to stay healthy. Last year Henry played 14 games and had 60 catches for 613 yards and four touchdowns.

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NFL free agency 2021: Patriots clear winners on Day 1 after huge spending spree, Titans among losers

Day 1 of the legal tampering period kicked off with a bang on Monday. Serious money was being thrown around the NFL leading up to the start of the new league year and some of the biggest free agents are now starting to come off the board. Of course, all of these deals cannot become official until the new year actually begins on Wednesday but these handshake agreements are as concrete as you can get at this time of the year.

While Monday’s action is merely just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to player movement this offseason, we’re going to dissect some of the most notable signings and determine who is currently leading the pack with their haul after Day 1. Below, you’ll find our winners and losers from the unofficial start of free agency. 

Bill Belichick rolled into free agency like his stimulus check just cleared. The Patriots wasted no time in trying to rebuild a roster that went 7-9 in 2020 and were quick to address key positions of need. The first major splash was signing tight end Jonnu Smith to a four-year, $50 million deal that solidifies a position that the club has been trying to fill ever since Rob Gronkowski retired. Smith is as well-rounded of a tight end as they come with the ability to block and be a lethal receiver, particularly after the catch. From Day 1, he should be looked at as the Patriots’ top pass-catching option. Not only did the Patriots add a tight end, but they also brought in receivers Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne. Agholor will help Josh McDaniels’ offense stretch the field while Bourne could be an option for the club out of the slot. 

Meanwhile, the most surprising splash of the day for the Patriots came on the defensive side of the ball by agreeing with linebacker Matt Judon on a four-year, $56 million contract. He brings elite talent to a Patriots pass-rushing unit that will also boast Josh Uche, Chase Winovich, and Dont’a Hightower. All of a sudden, that grouping is shaping out to be pretty lethal. Finally, the Patriots solidified the interior of their defensive line by adding Henry Anderson and Davon Godchaux. 

It wasn’t all positives for the Patriots, however, as they did lose star left guard Joe Thuney (more on him below). 

Loser: Ravens pass rush

While the Ravens did make a big addition to their O-line by adding guard Kevin Zeitler, John Harbaugh’s front seven did take a hit with the club losing both Yannick Ngakoue (Raiders) and Matt Judon (Patriots). Judon led the team in sacks and quarterback hits while Ngakoue wasn’t too far behind after only joining the club for nine games following a mid-season trade from the Vikings. While the Ravens have a history of restocking their defense on the fly — and should see even more production from middle linebacker Patrick Queen in Year 2 — the edge will need to catering as free agency and the draft moves forward.    

Give Bruce Arians credit, his declaration during Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl LV celebration that the Buccaneers would be bringing back all of their key pending free agents proved to be true. While the club had already reached an agreement with linebacker Lavonte David and franchised receiver Chirs Godwin, the status of Shaq Barrett was still hanging in the balance. However, the club was able to retain the star pass rusher by inking him to a four-year, $72 million deal on Monday. Not only were the Bucs able to keep Barrett, but they also re-upped Rob Gronkowski to a one-year deal. As things stand currently, Tampa Bay is well-positioned to defend its title. 

With the uncertain status looming over Russell Wilson, one would think it’d behoove Seattle to come in hot on the first day of free agency and give the star quarterback what he wants: protection. However, the Seahawks remained quiet on Monday as the likes of guards Joe Thuney and Kevin Zeitler came off the board along with star center Corey Linsley. If the Seahawks were to take Wilson’s previous comments this offseason about adding to the offensive line to heart and came out of the gate firing, that could have been a key olive branch to possibly mend some fences. At the moment, it doesn’t seem like Seattle has done much of anything to smooth things over with their franchise cornerstone. 

Patrick Mahomes clearly doesn’t want to get beaten up like he did in Super Bowl LV ever again. The quarterback recently restructured his contract with the Chiefs to give the club more cap space and it has provided immediate dividends with the team signing left guard Joe Thuney to a five-year deal. Thuney has been a key piece to the Patriots offense through two Super Bowl championships and now he’ll look to add to his résumé by blocking for Mahomes for the next half-decade. According to PFF, Thuney has allowed just three sacks dating back to 2018. Not only does he bring elite production, but he’s also proven to be one of the more durable offensive linemen around. 

Clearly, Mahomes likes what his team is doing on Day 1 of free agency. 

With tight end Jonnu Smith signing with the Patriots and Corey Davis inking a deal with the Jets, Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill is losing two of his top three pass-catchers from a season ago. Smith and Davis combined for 1,432 yards of Tannehill’s 3,819 passing yards in 2020, which is roughly around 37.5% of his production. Of Tannehill’s 33 touchdowns last season, 13 were either to Smith or Davis. Of course, Tannehill can still lean on receiver A.J. Brown and running back Derrick Henry to help push Tennessee’s offense down the field, but it likely just got a bit more difficult with both Smith and Davis moving on. 

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Patriots To Sign Jalen Mills

The Patriots just won’t stop. After signing Jonnu Smith, Davon Godchaux, and Matt Judon to big deals already, New England is adding another high profile player.

The Pats are signing defensive back Jalen Mills, agent Drew Rosenhaus tells Adam Schefter of ESPN.com (Twitter link). Interestingly, Rosenhaus also represents both Smith and Godchaux, so clearly he and Bill Belichick have a good relationship. It’s a four-year deal for Mills, worth $24MM with $9MM of that guaranteed. The Patriots have been the most active team so far, and it isn’t even close.

New England entered free agency with a lot of cap space, and they weren’t about to let it go to waste. A seventh-round pick of the Eagles in 2016, Mills quickly established himself as a starter and was a huge part of the team that beat the Patriots in Super Bowl LII as he started 15 games that year.

Known for his versatility, Mills has extensive experience at both cornerback and safety. Foot injuries limited him to only eight and nine games in 2018 and 2019, but he again started 15 in 2020. This past year he finished with 74 tackles, 1.5 sacks, three passes defended, and an interception.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.



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Report: Patriots pursued Jimmy Garoppolo before re-signing Cam Newton

Just a few days after their first big personnel move of the offseason — re-acquiring offensive tackle Trent Brown via trade from the Las Vegas Raiders — the New England Patriots made their second: the team re-signed starting quarterback Cam Newton to an incentive-heavy one-year, $5 million contract to keep him from hitting unrestricted free agency next week.

While it remains to be seen how Newton will fit into the picture this season, and which additional moves will be made at the position, it is no secret that the team will continue to stay vigilant and add talent to a quarterback room also currently consisting of Jarrett Stidham and Jake Dolegala. What will that talent look like? That is the big question, but New England is exploring every possible avenue.

One of the apparently also involved San Francisco 49ers starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. According to CLNS Media’s Evan Lazar, the Patriots “did kick the tires” on their former second-round draft pick before eventually bringing Newton back into the fold.

A move never materialized, however, because 49ers continued to say that Garoppolo would not be available via trade. While things can change quickly in the NFL during this time of the year, the Patriots moved in a different direction to bring Newton back into the fold.

Of course, New England inquiring into Garoppolo’s availability and re-signing their 2020 starting quarterback do not necessarily have to be connected. The Patriots will do their due diligence on numerous players to get a feel for the market, and San Francisco’s QB was likely no exception despite his ties to the organization.

At this point in time, and even with Newton staying put, New England very much is in the quarterback market — regardless of whether or not Garoppolo is part of it too.



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Patriots to re-sign quarterback Cam Newton to one-year deal

The Patriots will re-sign quarterback Cam Newton to a one-year deal, according to a league source.

Newton spent the 2020 season in New England as Tom Brady’s replacement, and passed for 2,657 yards and eight touchdowns. He also missed a portion of the season after testing positive for COVID-19.

The former NFL MVP had strong games early in the 2020 season, including a stellar performance in a September loss against Seattle, but was wildly inconsistent down the stretch. A bout with COVID and injuries to significant teammates like Julian Edelman, David Andrews, and Rex Burkhead didn’t help. He finished with career lows (as a starter) in completions, passing yards, and touchdowns as the team finished 7-9.

Newton did set a new franchise record for most rushing yards in a season for a quarterback with 592. The Patriots went 7-9 and missed the playoffs.

In February, Newton said on the “I Am Athlete” podcast that he was interested in re-signing with the Patriots.

“Yes, hell yes,” Newton said. “I’m getting tired of changing, bro. I’m getting to a point in my career where I know way more than I knew last year.”

Newton also believed he’d be better a second time around with the Patriots’ receiving corps.

“Doughboy [N’Keal Harry] knows me. Jakobi [Meyers] knows me. Bud [Damiere Byrd] knows me. The young tight ends know me. The younger guys that are going to come in know me,” he said. “Like, we’re still trying to flush out the 20 years of how it used to be. And I’m going in and I’m saying, ‘That’s not me.’ “

In 2020, the Patriots signed Newton as a free agent just before training camp in July. This time, they have prevented Newton from reaching free agency, which begins on Wednesday when the new NFL “league year” begins.

This story will be updated.


Jim McBride can be reached at james.mcbride@globe.com. Follow him on Twitter @globejimmcbride.



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