Tag Archives: New Zealand

These countries are looking beyond GDP and economic growth

“The need for a new economic model has never been clearer,” Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon told CNBC. “Which I think is why we’re seeing such growing interest in the well-being economy approach, both here in Scotland and around the world.”

Jane Barlow – Pa Images | Pa Images | Getty Images

LONDON — For a small but growing network of countries, the world’s go-to metric of economic health is no longer fit for purpose.

Mostly led by women, Finland, Iceland, Scotland, Wales and New Zealand are all members of the Wellbeing Economy Governments partnership. The coalition, which is expected to expand in the coming months, aims to transform economies around the world to deliver shared well-being for people and the planet by 2040.

That means abandoning the idea that the percentage change in gross domestic product is a good indicator of progress, and instead reframing economic policy to deliver quality of life for all people in harmony with the environment.

“The need for a new economic model has never been clearer,” Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon told CNBC. “Which I think is why we’re seeing such growing interest in the well-being economy approach, both here in Scotland and around the world.”

Encouraging other policymakers to consider an economic approach centered on well-being, Sturgeon said multiple global crises, such as the climate emergency, biodiversity loss and the cost-of-living crisis, “raise fundamental questions about what we value — and what our economies are actually for.”

“Building a wellbeing economy is a huge challenge for any country, at any time, and the current crises we are facing make it harder — but they also underline why we need to make this transformation as a matter of urgency,” Sturgeon said. “We’ve made progress over the past five years, but we still have much more to do.”

I often say that we need to shift from power, profit and patriarchy to people, planet and prosperity.

Sandrine Dixson-Declève

Co-president of the Club of Rome

In just the last few months, New Zealand published its first national Wellbeing Report; the European Union recognized the need to shift to a well-being economy; and the World Health Organization launched an initiative that calls for well-being to be at the heart of economic recovery.

Australia, Canada and Costa Rica are among some of the countries to have worked closely with the Wellbeing Economy Governments partnership in recent months, and “post-growth” advocates believe it is just a matter of time before more countries embrace the well-being movement. A post-growth society is one that resists the demand for constant economic growth.

‘Building the plane as we fly it’

Dominick Stephens, chief economic advisor at the Treasury in New Zealand, hailed the country’s first well-being report as a “landmark moment,” saying it aims to provide lawmakers with a big-picture view of what life is like in the South Pacific nation.

“We want to look beyond GDP to understand progress, but we don’t have a singular measure of wellbeing — so we need to look across a range of indicators and evidence to understand progress in this broader sense,” Stephens told CNBC.

“This helps us all to understand where New Zealand is doing well, where we are lagging and how wellbeing is experienced differently for different people in our country.”

Among the findings published on Nov. 24, the report highlighted the wide and growing gap between the well-being of older citizens and that of younger citizens, with older citizens faring better on a range of metrics.

Mostly led by women, Finland, Iceland, Scotland, Wales and New Zealand are all members of the Wellbeing Economy Governments partnership.

Fiona Goodall | Getty Images News | Getty Images

The Treasury identified three priority areas in need of improvement: mental health; educational achievement; and housing affordability and quality.

Stephens said that while the report would not be the final word, it’s now up to New Zealanders to decide on the extent to which they are concerned about those issues and the actions needed to address them.

“We do not have a silver bullet in New Zealand on how to do Wellbeing Reporting well,” Stephens said. “Different countries have taken different approaches. We are, in some ways, building the plane as we fly it.”

“More countries trying different approaches to integrating wellbeing analysis into policy means more opportunities for New Zealand, and other countries, to learn from the experiences of others,” he added.

The ‘Limits to Growth’ — 50 years on

The gathering momentum for a transformation of the current economic system comes half a century after the Club of Rome think tank published its groundbreaking “Limits to Growth” report.

The 1972 book warned that the planet’s resources would not be able to support the exponential rates of economic and population growth and would therefore collapse before the end of this century. Broadly speaking — and following a sharp backlash to its dire predictions at the time — the world has gone down the path that the book’s authors predicted it would.

Academics and economists told CNBC that an ultimatum from the world’s top climate scientists about the dangers of exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius of global heating — a critically important temperature threshold beyond which dangerous tipping points become more likely — underscores the need to end an obsession with growth at all costs.

“If they hadn’t realized it 50 years ago that we already needed to shift, I think now is the time because we are confronted with a polycrisis,” Sandrine Dixson-Declève, co-president of the Club of Rome think tank, told CNBC via telephone.

The term “polycrisis” refers to crises that occur in multiple global systems and become entangled in such a way that they produce harms greater than those crises would in aggregate.

“Not only is our planet sick from continued growth scenarios, because we have gone way beyond a healthy use of natural resources, but our people are getting increasingly sick, and our young people are making less and less money,” Dixson-Declève said.

When asked whether that means she believes there is no alternative to a well-being strategy, Dixson-Declève replied, “Yes, absolutely. I often say that we need to shift from power, profit and patriarchy to people, planet and prosperity.”

Just how important is GDP?

U.S. Senator Robert F. Kennedy once said a country’s GDP measures everything “except that which makes life worthwhile.”

Critics of GDP, which represents the total value of goods and services over a specific time period, argue that the indicator is misleading because it measures “the good, the bad and the ugly” of economic activity and calls it all good.

GDP does not, for instance, take into account unpaid work, nor does it distinguish between economic activity which contributes positively or negatively to the health and well-being of people and the natural environment.

I think it just shows our lack of imagination. We can’t even imagine an economy that is better than growth.

Katherine Trebeck

Co-founder of the Wellbeing Economy Alliance

In the U.K., Rishi Sunak said in his first speech as prime minister that his predecessor Liz Truss was not wrong to want to improve economic growth in the country. “It is a noble aim,” Sunak said outside Downing Street on Oct. 25.

Three months earlier, opposition Labour Party leader Keir Starmer said Britain needed three things to fix its broken social contract. “Growth. Growth. And growth.”

“I think it just shows our lack of imagination. We can’t even imagine an economy that is better than growth,” said Katherine Trebeck, co-founder of the Wellbeing Economy Alliance, a network of academics, businesses and social movements.

“The best we can do is put some nice adjectives in front of growth — sustainable growth, green growth, inclusive growth, shared growth — but we are almost not allowed to entertain the prospect that a growing economy is a 20th-century recipe,” she added.

“High-income nations have got enough in overall terms but there are huge profound inequalities within the richest countries. So, what they need to do is think about how to share and cherish those resources,” Trebeck said.

“I use the phrase that they need to recognize that they’ve arrived. The job of growth has been done and they need to now move to a second project which is about making themselves at home.”

Trebeck described well-being economics as a “picnic blanket term,” which encompasses movements such as “degrowth,” “doughnut” economics or circular and regenerative models rather than an alternative policy.

“I think there is a profound moral obligation [on high-income countries] because they are taking up more than their ecological fair share which is implicitly saying that countries around the world that don’t have enough to meet the basic material needs of their citizens are effectively going to stay there,” Trebeck said.

“It is about really saying how do we live fairly on this one finite planet?”

‘GDP is not a way to measure richness’

The push to look beyond economic growth comes at a time of growing calls to end fossil fuel production worldwide.

“Basically, with a growth commitment, you have a commitment to more energy and material use which then consequently results in environmental impacts — and it makes decarbonization harder,” Julia Steinberger, ecological economist at the University of Lausanne, told CNBC via telephone.

“What you need to do for decarbonization is you need to stop using all fossil fuels and replace energy demand with renewable or low or zero-carbon energy sources and that is harder to do [and] it is going to take longer to do if we have constantly growing energy demand,” Steinberger said. “That’s the climate case for it.”

The South Pacific island nation of Tuvalu last month became the first country to use the U.N.’s annual climate summit to push for a fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty. The European Parliament, the Vatican and WHO have all backed the proposal.

But only a handful of small countries have endorsed the initiative to date, and the fossil fuel industry has typically sought to underline the importance of energy security in the planned transition to renewables.

The burning of fossil fuels — such as coal, oil and gas — is the chief driver of the climate emergency.

U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres recently called out what he described as the “massive public relations machine raking in billions to shield the fossil fuel industry from scrutiny.”

Sean Gallup | Getty Images News | Getty Images

U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres also recently joined a chorus of voices calling for GDP to be dropped as the world’s go-to indicator of economic growth, pushing instead for policymakers to shift to a circular economy.

This refers to an economic system that is based on the reuse and repair of materials to extend the life cycle of products for as long as possible and moves away from the world’s current “take, make, throw away” model.

“We need to change course — now — and end our senseless and suicidal war against nature,” Guterres said at a major international environmental meeting in early June.

“We must place true value on the environment and go beyond Gross Domestic Product as a measure of human progress and wellbeing,” Guterres said. “Let us not forget that when we destroy a forest, we are creating GDP. When we overfish, we are creating GDP. GDP is not a way to measure richness in the present situation in the world.”

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Asia-Pacific markets mixed as Japan stocks see second day of losses

Indonesia to ban bauxite exports starting June 2023

India’s central bank chief warns that the next financial crisis will come from private cryptocurrencies

The next financial crisis will come from private cryptocurrencies, Shaktikanta Das, India’s central bank governor said on Wednesday.

Speaking at the BFSI Insight Summit 2022 organized by Business Standard, Das said he stands firm that cryptocurrencies should be prohibited, adding that it has no underlying value and poses risks for macroeconomic and financial stability.

Bitcoin was last higher by about 0.24% at $16,840, according to Coin Metrics. Ether rose 14% to $1,211.77.

— Charmaine Jacob

Japan’s 2-year yield briefly tops zero for first time since 2015

The yield on 2-year Japanese government bonds briefly rose above zero for the first time since 2015 in Wednesday morning trade. The note gained 2.7 basis points to stand just below the flatline.

Japan’s 2-year yield rises above zero for the first time since 2015

The yield on the 10-year JGB jumped more than 3 basis points to stand at 0.451%, also reaching 2015 highs, while the yield on the 30-year JGB inched up 2 basis points to trade at 1.6%.

Yields move inversely to price, and a basis point is equal to 0.01%.

— Jihye Lee

HKEX launches New York office in boost to expand international reach

Hong Kong’s stock exchange operator launched its New York office in a bid to expand its international reach and grow its global client base.

The new office of the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) will be promoting its connectivity with Mainland China’s markets and its liquid primary and secondary cash markets, it said.

“At HKEX, we are fully focused on supporting the growth ambitions of our customers around the globe,” said HKEX CEO Nicolas Aguzin.

“We look forward to deepening our relationships with investors, companies and risk managers across the region, connecting capital with opportunities and East with West,” he added.

About 41% of Hong Kong’s cash equities market trading turnover are attributed to international investors. HKEX currently has offices in Beijing, Shanghai and Singapore. 

— Lee Ying Shan

Bank stocks in Tokyo rise again as wider index falls

Japanese yen at strongest in more than four months

The Japanese yen strengthened further overnight, after the Bank of Japan announced to widen its yield curve control band.

The currency strengthened by more than 5% against the Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar – while it strengthened past 3% against the U.S. dollar.

The yen strengthened after the Bank of Japan announced to expand its yield curve control band

CNBC Pro: Fund manager says a recession is ‘imminent’ — and names cheap stocks to play it

Market watchers are increasingly worried about a looming recession and fund manager Steven Glass is no exception.

Against this backdrop, he says he’s focusing on companies with earnings visibility that are trading at attractive valuations.

His picks include a Big Tech name that he said is “extremely cheap” with “huge margin potential.”

Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Zavier Ong

Stocks hold onto gains, snap 4-day loss streak

Stocks eked out a gain Tuesday, snapping a four-day streak of losses.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 92.47 points, or 0.28%, to close at 32,850.01. The S&P 500 gained 0.11% to 3,821.73, while the Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.01% to close at 10,547.11.

—Carmen Reinicke

Bank of Japan is more hawkish sooner-than-expected, signals

The Bank of Japan’s surprise policy shift sent interest rates rising globally, as investors reacted to more evidence central bankers around the world will continue to pressure interest rates higher.

“It was definitely a surprise. I don’t think there was anyone out there who expected it,” said Ben Jeffrey, rate strategist at BMO. The Japanese central bank moved sooner-than-expected to tighten policy. The BOJ changed its yield curve policy to allow the yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond to move 50 basis poins either side of its zero target rate, up from 25 basis points.

The announcement drove rates higher around the world, as yields on Japanese government bonds (JGBs) rose to 7-year highs. Rates move opposite yield. The U.S. 10-year jumped o 3.68%.

“They were definitely the last one standing in terms of being dovish, and now they’re still dovish but less so,” said Jeffrey. “It’s obviously bearish JGBs and fixed income globally, but in the longer term it should help the yen which will make Treasurys more attractive to Japanese investors next year.”

–Patti Domm

Expect a more challenging environment ahead, says Atlantic Equities

Atlantic Equities analysts are anticipating a more challenging backdrop for the global consumer in 2023.

“Inflation may well have peaked on a headline basis but input costs still remain elevated and companies will be looking to at least hold if not take further pricing in some cases,” analyst Edward Lewis said in a note Tuesday. “That may become more challenging as levels of elasticity are beginning to normalize with U.S. retailers starting to push back against pricing, in line with where European peers have been all year.”

He highlighted Coca-Cola and Pepsi as some of his favorite consumer picks, citing “category momentum, ongoing investment and strong execution supporting elevated growth.”

— Tanaya Macheel

Stock market has shed $11.7 trillion so far this year

It’s been a rough year for stocks, which are currently in a bear market and down year to date.

From the market’s yearly high on January 3 to this morning, U.S. stocks have shed $11.7 trillion in market cap, according to data from Bespoke Group.

“The max drawdown was $13.6 trillion at the low on 9/30, so we’ve seen market cap increase by just under $2 trillion since then,” analysts wrote Tuesday. “In dollar terms, this drawdown has been more extreme than anything investors have ever experienced. That’s pretty deflationary if you ask us!”

Of the $11.7 trillion, more than $5 trillion in losses come from just five companies – Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Tesla.

—Carmen Reinicke

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Japanese yen strengthens as central bank widens yield target range, Asia markets fall

Bank of Japan holds rates steady, widens yield curve control band

The Bank of Japan held its benchmark interest rates steady and announced it will modify its yield curve control band, the central bank said in a statement.

The BOJ will expand the range of 10-year Japan government bond yield fluctuations from its current plus and minus 0.25 percentage points to plus and minus 0.5 percentage points, it said.

The adjustment is intended to “improve market functioning and encourage a smoother formation of the entire yield curve, while maintaining accommodative financial conditions,” the BOJ said.

The Japanese yen strengthened nearly 2% to stand at 134.33 against the U.S. dollar shortly after the announcement.

– Jihye Lee

Reserve Bank of Australia minutes show range of options were considered in December

Minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s December meeting showed that the central bank had considered a number of options for its cash rate decision, including a complete pause in hikes.

“The Board considered several options for the cash rate decision at the December meeting: a 50 basis point increase; a 25 basis point increase; or no change in the cash rate,” the minutes said.

RBA board members also noted the importance of “acting consistently,” adding that the central bank will continue to consider a range of options for the upcoming year as well.

– Jihye Lee

China keeps key lending rates unchanged

The People’s Bank of China kept its one-year and five-year loan prime rates unchanged in December, according to an announcement.

The central bank maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.65% and its five-year loan prime rate at 4.30%, in line with expectations in a Reuters poll.

The offshore and onshore Chinese yuan were relatively flat at 6.9808 and 6.9783 against the U.S. dollar, respectively.

– Jihye Lee

CNBC Pro: Is China set for a rebound in 2023? Wall Street pros weigh in — and reveal how to trade it

What’s next for China after it rolled back a slew of Covid-19 measures?

Market pros weigh in on the prospect of a rebound in the world’s second-largest economy and reveal opportunities for investors.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Zavier Ong

Bank of Japan expected to hold rates steady

The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its interest rates steady at -0.10%, according to survey of economists by Reuters.

The rate decision is expected after the central bank’s two-day monetary policy concludes Tuesday.

Separately, Japan’s government and the BOJ are reportedly aiming revise a statement committing to a 2% inflation target at the earliest possible date, according to Kyodo News, citing government sources.

Jihye Lee

The Fed is overdoing rate hikes, Evercore ISI says

The Federal Reserve is likely overdoing it’s rate hikes to tame inflation and could end up tipping the U.S. economy into a recession, Ed Hyman of Evercore ISI wrote in a Sunday note.

The Federal Funds rate is now 6.5% versus a core PCE of 4.7% on the year and bond yields at 3.5%, Hyman wrote.

“And it’s not just the Fed tightening: ECB, BoE, Mexico, Switzerland, and Norway also tightened last week,” he said. “Perhaps more profoundly, the money supply is contracting.”

In addition, Evercore’s economic diffusion index is approaching recession territory along with other indicators such as company surveys, inflation data and layoff announcements. And, wage gains have started to slow and high rents are showing early signs of easing, signaling that inflation has likely run its course.

“In any event, 87 percent of American voters are concerned about a recession,” said Hyman.

—Carmen Reinicke

S&P 500 headed for worst December in four years

The S&P 500 has dropped more than 6% this month, as Wall Street struggles heading into year-end. That puts in on track for its worst monthly performance since September. It would also be its biggest December decline since 2018, when it slid 9.18%.

Stocks close lower for fourth day in a row

Recession fears and dashed hopes of a year-end rally weighed on stocks Monday, sending them to the fourth consecutive negative close.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 163.85 points, or 0.50%, to close at 32,756.61. The S&P 500 fell 0.91% to 3,817.47, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 1.49%to 10,546.03 weighed down by shares of Amazon, which slipped 3%.

—Carmen Reinicke

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New Zealand PM Ardern caught name-calling rival on hot mic

WELLINGTON, New Zealand (AP) — New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern was caught on a hot mic Tuesday using a vulgarity against a rival politician in a rare misstep for a leader known for her skill at debating and calm, measured responses.

After five years as prime minister, Ardern faces a tough election campaign in 2023. Her liberal Labour Party won reelection two years ago in a landslide of historic proportions, but recent polls have put her party behind its conservative rivals.

The comment came after lawmaker David Seymour, who leads the libertarian ACT party, peppered Ardern with questions about her government’s record for around seven minutes during Parliament’s Question Time, which allows for spirited debate between rival parties.

As an aside to her deputy Grant Robertson, Ardern said what sounded like, “He’s such an arrogant pr———,” after sitting down. Her words are barely audible on Parliament TV but are just picked up in the background by her desk microphone as House Speaker Adrian Rurawhe talks.

Ardern’s office said she apologized to Seymour for the comment. When asked by The Associated Press to clarify, Ardern’s office did not dispute the comment. In an interview with the AP, Seymour said she had used those words.

“I’m absolutely shocked and astonished at her use of language,” Seymour said. “It’s very out of character for Jacinda, and I’ve personally known her for 11 years.”

He said it was also ironic because his question to the prime minister had been about whether she had ever admitted a mistake as leader and then fixed it. “And she couldn’t give a single example of when she’s admitted she’s wrong and apologized,” Seymour said.

Seymour said that in her text, Ardern wrote that she “apologized, she shouldn’t have made the comments, and that, as her mom said, if you don’t have anything nice to say, don’t say it.”

Seymour, who said he admired some of Ardern’s political skills immensely, said he’d written back to Ardern thanking her for the apology and wishing her a very Merry Christmas.

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Asia-Pacific shares, U.S. CPI, inflation

Pedestrians cross a road in front of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), operated by Japan Exchange Group Inc. (JPX), in Tokyo, Japan, on Thursday, Oct. 29, 2020.

Kiyoshi Ota | Bloomberg via Getty Images

Asia-Pacific shares opened in positive territory as investors look ahead to a highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting and U.S. CPI data reading.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was up 0.67% after Chief Executive John Lee announced further easing of Covid restrictions.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was up 0.17%. The Nikkei 225 in Japan added 0.29%, while the Topix inched up 0.40%.

Korean benchmark Kospi dropped fractionally and the Kosdaq shed 0.22%. The MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan climbed 0.42%.

In mainland China, the Shenzhen Component shed 0.174%, while the  Shanghai Composite climbed 0.07%.

Hong Kong will post its industrial production data for the third quarter, and the Bank of Korea will also post minutes from its November meeting.

Australian business sentiment fell into negative territory for the first time since December last year.

Traders are bracing for the release of the U.S. consumer price index report for November and hoping for signs of easing inflation. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect a 0.3% increase on a monthly basis, which would mark a step down from October’s 0.4%

Overnight in the U.S., the blue-chip Dow gained 528.58 points, or 1.58%, to 34,005.04, marking its first close over 34,000 since Dec. 2. The S&P 500 climbed 1.43% to close at 3,990.56, and the Nasdaq Composite added 1.26% to stand at 11,143.74.

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Asia-Pacific markets, CPI data, Fed, Hang Seng Index

Southeast Asian markets are in for a ‘bungee jump’ in 2023, according to JPMorgan

Southeast Asian markets will move in a trajectory resembling that of a “bungee jump” next year — taking a plummet before surging in the second half of 2023, JPMorgan wrote in a report.

That is likely to bee characterized by a “sharp fall followed by a rapid increase in altitude (bear market rally) followed by another decline until eventually markets come to rest at rock-bottom,” analysts led by Rajiv Batra wrote.

They attributed that to weakened purchasing power in light of monetary policy tightening, lower savings and the higher cost of borrowing.

Additionally, JPMorgan forecasts the MSCI ASEAN Index will “re-test this year’s lows and potentially move even lower” in the first half of 2023, on the back of tightening financial conditions and weaker external demand, among other factors.

The MSCI ASEAN index plunged 22% from February’s high to the year’s lowest in October, but rebounded 10%.

— Lee Ying Shan

Janet Yellen sees much lower inflation by end of 2023, but says recession risks remain

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen speaks at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing Western Currency Facility on December 8, 2022 in Fort Worth, Texas.

Andy Jacobsohn | Afp | Getty Images

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen foresees a “substantial reduction in inflation” by the end of next year, provided there’s no “unanticipated shock.”

Yellen, speaking in an interview on CBS’ “60 Minutes,” premised her optimism on shipping costs and gas prices coming down.

She cautioned, however, that recession risks remain and that the economy is still prone to shocks. But she said this could be buffered by a “very healthy” banking system, as well as business and household sectors.

“There’s a risk of a recession. But it certainly isn’t, in my view, something that is necessary to bring inflation down.”

The latest reading for the U.S. consumer price index is expected Tuesday. Analysts polled by Reuters expect the index rose 0.3% in November. Before this, October’s consumer price index inched up less than expected. Even with the slowdown in the inflation rate, it still remains well above the Fed’s 2% target.

—Lee Ying Shan

Oil prices climb more than a dollar on Moscow’s threat to cut output

Oil prices rose more than a dollar on the back of further China reopening optimism and Moscow threatening to slash oil production in retaliation for price caps on Russian crude exports.

In early Asia hours, Brent crude futures rose 1.53%, or $1.11 to $72.13 a barrel, while U.S. marker West Texas Intermediate futures traded up 1.29%, or close to a dollar at $77.08 a barrel.

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday told reporters in the Kyrgyz capital of Bishkek that Russia “simply will not sell” to countries imposing the West’s price cap on Russian oil, Reuters reported.

– Lee Ying Shan

CNBC Pro: Shares of this under-the-radar global miner are set to rally 50%, analyst says

Shares in a little-known London-listed miner are set to rise by 50%, according to Ben Davis, a mining analyst at Liberum Capital.

The company, which extracts metals such as platinum, palladium, and chrome, also offers an 8% dividend yield.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Ganesh Rao

CNBC Pro: Dan Niles is betting the S&P 500 will hit a new low in 2023. Here’s how he is trading it

Dan Niles’ Satori Fund is beating the market this year. He shares what’s behind the outperformance and how he’s trading the market as recession looms.

Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Zavier Ong

Futures fall slightly

Stock futures have slowly declined throughout the first hour of trading. Dow futures are down about 50 points, or around 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures have dipped about 0.3%.

— Jesse Pound

Wall Street coming off losing week

The major averages fell on Friday to clinch a losing week, snapping a two-week winning streak for Wall Street.

Here are the key stats from last week:

  • The Dow fell 2.77%, suffering its worst stretch since September.
  • The S&P 500 fell 3.37%, suffering its worst stretch since September.
  • The Nasdaq composite fell 3.99%, suffering its worst weekly stretch in a month.
  • The Russell 2000 fell 5.08%, marking the worst week since September for small caps.
  • All 11 sectors were negative for the week, led to the downside by energy.

—Jesse Pound, Christopher Hayes

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Hong Kong stocks briefly notch 2%; China reports inflation data in line with expectations

Hong Kong movers: Property, tech stocks rise on reopening optimism

CNBC Pro: Wall Street says a recession is coming. One investment pro names her favorite stocks to tough it out

Wall Street pros are increasingly sounding the alarm on a looming recession.

As economic growth slows and inflation stays higher for longer, how should investors position? Veteran investor Nancy Tengler shares her favorite dividend stocks with CNBC.

Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Zavier Ong

There’s confusion, optimism over China’s shift away from zero-Covid: British Chamber of Commerce

Beijing’s “U-turn” on Covid policies is leading to both confusion and optimism, said Steven Lynch, managing director at the British Chamber of Commerce in China.

“There’s a lot of optimism and hope for 2023, but there is huge amounts of confusion,” he told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia,” describing the departure from strict Covid rules as happening “almost overnight.”

He said there may still be “enormous inconsistencies” between local policies and the central government’s rules, and people remain concerned about falling sick.

“One thing is very clear Covid is now here. Covid is pretty rife here in Beijing. And I think that brings a whole new set of challenges to what’s going to face China,” he said.

— Abigail Ng

Credit Suisse says inflation is still not a problem in China

China’s inflation is likely to stay below 3% in the next 12 to 18 months, and the central bank is comfortable with this range, according to Jack Siu, Greater China chief investment officer at Credit Suisse.

“We don’t think CPI is an issue in China, in fact, it’s going to be remaining steady within this range of 1% to 3% in the foreseeable future,” he told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia.” Inflation soared in many economies, but consumer prices in China remained moderate due to weak demand.

But China is likely to see “a resurgence in consumer activity” in the coming six months as people get used to living with the virus after some back and forth in the reopening of the economy, Siu said.

“In the second quarter, we expect the GDP to rally to 6.1% — partly it’s base effects, partly because people are living more normally,” he said.

— Abigail Ng

China’s producer prices fell in November, while consumer prices rose

China’s producer price index fell 1.3% in November compared to a year ago, extending its decline after shedding 1.3% in October, and slightly beating estimates for a 1.4% contraction in a Reuters poll.

The nation’s consumer price index rose 1.6% in November on an annualized basis, in line with expectations and easing from October’s reading of 2.1%.

The onshore and offshore Chinese yuan strengthened, and were around 6.94 per dollar shortly after the economic data releases.

— Lee Ying Shan

CNBC Pro: These 4 global consumer tech stocks are set to win on China reopening, HSBC says

Some global consumer tech companies could gain as China relaxes some Covid-19 restrictions, and shares of four firms could rise by more than 40%, according to HSBC.

The Asia-focused bank said a faster-than-expected recovery of consumer electronics in the coming months would benefit these companies.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Ganesh Rao

South Korea posts smaller current account surplus for October

South Korea registered a current account surplus of $880 million in October, a decline from September’s $1.6 billion.

Direct investment assets in South Korea increased by $2.75 billion, compared to $4.74 billion a month ago. Direct investment liabilities increased from $430 million to $810 million.

South Korea has been posting a current account surplus for the year, except for the months of July and August. A current account surplus indicates that a country sells more to the world than it buys from outside its borders.

— Lee Ying Shan

Stocks finish higher, S&P 500 breaks 5-day losing streak

Stocks closed higher, with the S&P 500 snapping its longest losing streak since October.

The S&P added 0.75% to finish at 3,963.51. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 183.56 points, or 0.55%, to settle at 33,781.48, while the Nasdaq Composite rallied 1.13% to end at 11,082.00.

— Samantha Subin

Interest on 30-year fixed rate mortgages falls

The cost of financing a home has ticked lower for a fourth consecutive week, according to Freddie Mac.

The weekly average rate on a 30-year mortgage is now 6.33%, down from 6.49% last week. Over the past month, the interest rate on these loans has come down about 75 basis points: On Nov. 10, the average rate on a fixed 30-year mortgage was 7.08%.

Even with the decline in the short term, the cost of financing a home loan is up significantly from a year ago. Last year at this time, the rate on a 30-year mortgage averaged 3.1%.

Despite the decline in rates, demand for home loans continues to decline. Mortgage application volume slid 1.9% last week, compared to the week before that, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Darla Mercado, Diana Olick

Part of the yield curve is now most inverted since 2001

The inversion of the 3-month and 10-year Treasury yield curve is now the deepest since January 2001 at nearly 90 basis points, according to CNBC data. The short end of the curve soared to 4.30% from just 0.05% at the beginning of the year as traders priced in higher interest rates.

The yield curve inverts when shorter-term Treasury rates rise above longer-term yields. Many economists view the 2-year 10-year part of the yield curve as more predictive of a potential recession.

Cathie Wood pointed to that part of the yield curve, which is the most inverted since the early 1980s. The popular investor said the bond market is signaling that the Federal Reserve is making a “serious mistake” with its jumbo rate hikes.

— Yun Li

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New Zealand takes custody of ill baby in anti-vax blood case

The New Zealand parents who refused to allow blood transfusions for their sick 4-month-old child unless they came from donors unvaccinated against COVID-19 have been temporarily stripped of medical custody of the baby.

New Zealand’s High Court on Wednesday ordered that the infant, identified in documents only as Baby W, be placed into the guardianship of health authorities until after he undergoes an urgently needed open-heart surgery and recovers.

The boy’s parents remain his primary guardians and are still in charge of decisions about their boy that don’t relate to the medical procedure, according to the court ruling.

The parents’ legal battle has been taken up by anti-vax activists, who gathered outside the courtroom this week as evidence was presented.

High Court Judge Ian Gault said he accepted the affidavits of health experts who said there have been millions of blood transfusions performed around the world since COVID vaccines were introduced, and the vaccines hadn’t caused any known harmful effects.

Citing evidence from New Zealand’s chief medical officer, the judge ruled that there was “no scientific evidence there is any Covid-19 vaccine-related risk from blood donated” by vaccinated donors.

The 4-month-old baby will be placed into the guardianship of health authorities until after he undergoes an open-heart surgery and recovers.
AP

The ruling will likely set a precedent and come as a relief to health care groups that collect and use donated blood.

Baby W’s parents had said they had unvaccinated donors willing to give blood for their son’s surgery, but health officials argued that such directed donations should only occur in exceptional circumstances, such as for recipients with very rare blood types.

Health authorities also said the unvaccinated donors wouldn’t necessarily give them access to all the blood products they might need during the boy’s surgery.

The parents used discredited arguments and fringe theories to try to show that mRNA vaccines were unsafe.

The judge said the baby’s parents were loving and wanted the best for their son and accepted that he needed the surgery.

The judge also noted the relationship between the parents and doctors had suffered and that they should try to improve it before and after the surgery and be respectful of each other.

Doctors will be required to keep the parents informed at all times about their son’s treatment and condition, BBC News reported.

Court rules prevent the baby and parents from being named. Court documents identified the mother as a midwife.

Anti-vax demonstrators support the mother and father of a 4-month-old baby outside the High Court in Auckland, New Zealand.
AP

In an interview with anti-vax campaigner Liz Gunn published last month, the baby’s father talked about his concerns surrounding his son’s surgery to treat severe pulmonary valve stenosis.

“We don’t want blood that is tainted by vaccination,” the dad said. “That’s the end of the deal — we are fine with anything else these doctors want to do.”

With Post wires

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Jacinda Ardern and Sanna Marin hit back at reporter’s question on age and gender

As two of the youngest heads of government and among a small percentage of female world leaders, New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and her Finnish counterpart Sanna Marin have long faced questions about their age and gender.

But they were quick to shoot down a journalist who asked about the purpose of the first-ever visit to New Zealand by a Finnish prime minister on Wednesday.

“A lot of people will be wondering are you two meeting just because you’re similar in age and, you know, got a lot of common stuff there,” the journalist said during a joint news conference in Auckland.

Ardern, 42, was quick to cut off the questioner.

“I wonder whether or not anyone ever asked Barack Obama and John Key if they met because they were of similar age,” she said, in reference to the former prime ministers of the United States and New Zealand.

“We, of course, have a higher proportion of men in politics, it’s reality. Because two women meet it’s not simply because of their gender.”

Marin, 37, who is in New Zealand with a Finnish trade delegation, emphasized the country’s growing trade ties.

“We are meeting because we are prime ministers,” she said in response.

She ends her visit to the southern hemisphere in Australia later this week.

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Fed minutes, Bank of Korea decision, Sri Lanka

Foxconn says new hires raised pay concerns, adds communication underway

Major Apple supplier Foxconn said that new recruits to its iPhone factory in Zhengzhou “appealed to the company” in regards to compensation, according to a statement on its website.

The statement comes after media reported a mass protest of hundreds of workers appeared to be triggered by a delay in bonus payment, with videos circulating on social media showing people smashing surveillance cameras and windows.

“The company has emphasized that the allowance has always been fulfilled based on contractual obligation and will continue to communicate with relevant colleagues,” Foxconn said in its statement, adding that reports of Covid-positive employees residing in the factory’s dormintories is “patently untrue.”

“Regarding any violence, the company will continue to communicate with employees and the government to prevent similar incidents from happening again.”

Taiwan-listed shares of Hon Hai Technology Group, the formal name of Foxconn, traded 0.5% lower in the early Thursday session.

– Jihye Lee

Bank of Korea hikes rates by 25 basis points, meets expectations

The Bank of Korea raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%, a smaller hike than its previous move and widely in line with expectations.

A Reuters poll of economists had expected the move amid signs of slowing domestic growth.

The nation’s inflation rate for October was 5.7%, according to the latest figures released earlier this month – much higher than the central bank’s target of 2%.

BOK Governor Rhee Chang-yong is slated to hold a press conference later in the day on the monetary decision.

– Jihye Lee

CNBC Pro: Asset manager says investors must buy this large-cap stock right now

There’s one large-cap stock that investors must buy into right now, according to Rob Luna, chief investment strategist at asset manager Surevest.

He calls its CEO a “significant visionary.”

While Luna has picked the one large-cap stock, he advised investors generally to reallocate into smaller names, naming two stocks that he called “best in breed.”

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Weizhen Tan

Stocks rise for second day as Wall Street cheers Fed signaling smaller rate hikes ahead

Stocks rose Wednesday and notched the second straight day of gains as investors cheered minutes from the Federal Reserve that signaled a slower pace of interest rate hikes ahead.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 95.96 points, or 0.28%, to 34,194.06. The S&P 500 gained 0.59% to close at 4,027.26 and the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.99% to 11,285.32.

Shares of Nordstrom fell 4.24% after the department store chain reaffirmed its forecast. However, Nordstrom beat profit and sales expectations in its latest results, according to consensus expectations on Refinitiv. Tesla rose 7.82% after Citi upgraded shares to neutral from sell. Deere surged 5.03% on an earnings beat.

—Carmen Reinicke

CNBC Pro: Betting against a British supermarket, short-seller expects nearly 50% collapse in share price

There’s more pain to come for investors in a British supermarket company if short-seller’s a prediction comes through.

The hedge fund currently holds a bearish bet worth £32.6 million and expects shares in the grocer to fall by 44%.

The fund’s chief investment officer also believes the supermarket will raise fresh capital by diluting shareholders year after year to keep itself afloat in a challenging environment.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Ganesh Rao

Fed minutes show smaller rate hikes ahead, stocks gain

Stocks rose Wednesday afternoon following the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s November meeting. The report showed that the central bank sees progress in its fight to lower inflation and expects to slow the pace of interest rate hikes going forward.

“A substantial majority of participants judged that a slowing in the pace of increase would likely soon be appropriate,” the minutes stated. “The uncertain lags and magnitudes associated with the effects of monetary policy actions on economic activity and inflation were among the reasons cited regarding why such an assessment was important.”

That means that the Fed will likely deliver a smaller rate hike in December and in the early months of 2023.

Markets cheered the news. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 130 points, or 0.38%. The S&P 500 gained 0.70% and the Nasdaq Composite increased 1.10%.

—Carmen Reinicke

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