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Tesla is not alone: 18 (and a half) other big stocks are headed for their worst year on record

In the worst year for stocks since the Great Recession, several big names are headed for their worst year on record with just one trading day left in 2022.

The S&P 500 index
SPX,
+1.75%
and Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+1.05%
are both headed for their worst year since 2008, with declines of 20.6% and 9.5% respectively through Thursday. But at least 19 big-name stocks — and half of another — are headed for a more ignominious title for 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data: Worst year ever.

Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
+8.08%
is having the worst year among the group of S&P 1500 constituents with a market capitalization of $30 billion or higher headed for record annual percentage declines. Tesla shares have declined 65.4% so far this year, which would be easily the worst year on record for the popular stock, which has only had one previous negative year since going public in 2010, an 11% decline in 2016.

Tesla may not be the worst decliner on the list by the time 2023 arrives, however, as another Silicon Valley company is right on its heels. Meta Platforms Inc.
META,
+4.01%,
the parent company of Facebook, has fallen 64.2% so far this year, as Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg has stuck to spending billions to develop the “metaverse” even as the online-advertising industry that provides the bulk of his revenue has stagnated. It would also only be the second year in Facebook’s history that the stock has declined, after a 25.7% drop in 2018, though shares did end Facebook’s IPO year of 2012 30% lower than the original IPO price.

Only one other stock could contend with Tesla and Meta’s record declines this year, and Tesla CEO Elon Musk has some familiarity with that company as well. PayPal Holdings Inc.
PYPL,
+4.46%,
where Musk first found fame during the dot-com boom, has declined 63.2% so far this year as executives have refocused the company on attracting and retaining high-value users instead of trying to get as many users as possible on the payments platform. It would be the second consecutive down year for PayPal, which had not experienced that before 2021 since spinning off from eBay Inc.
EBAY,
+4.76%
in 2015.

None of the other companies headed for their worst year yet stand to lose more than half their value this year, though Charter Communications Inc.
CHTR,
+1.99%
is close. The telecommunications company’s stock has declined 48.2% so far, as investors worry about plans to spend big in 2023 in an attempt to turn around declining internet-subscriber numbers.

In addition to the list below, Alphabet Inc.’s class C shares
GOOG,
+2.88%
are having their worst year on record with a 38.4% decline. MarketWatch is not including that on the list, however, as Alphabet’s class A shares
GOOGL,
+2.82%
fell 55.5% in 2008; the separate class of nonvoting shares was created in 2012 to allow the company — then still called Google — to continue issuing shares to employees without diluting the control of co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page.

Apart from that portion of Alphabet’s shares, here are the 19 large stocks headed for their worst year ever, based on Thursday’s closing prices.

Company % decline in 2022
Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
+8.08%
65.4%
Meta Platforms Inc.
META,
+4.01%
64.2%
PayPal Holdings Inc.
PYPL,
+4.46%
62.6%
Charter Communications Inc. 48.0%
Edwards Lifesciences Corp.
EW,
+2.87%
41.9%
ServiceNow Inc.
NOW,
+3.67%
39.9%
Zoetis Inc.
ZTS,
+3.00%
39.3%
Fidelity National Information Services Inc.
FIS,
+2.03%
37.8%
Accenture PLC
ACN,
+2.00%
35.3%
Fortinet Inc.
FTNT,
+2.82%
31.5%
Estee Lauder Cos. Inc.
EL,
+1.52%
32.5%
Moderna Inc.
MRNA,
+1.34%
29.6%
Iqvia Holdings Inc.
IQV,
+2.94%
26.3%
Carrier Global Corp.
CARR,
+2.17%
22.8%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
HLT,
+1.63%
19.2%
Broadcom Inc.
AVGO,
+2.37%
16.2%
Arista Networks Inc.
ANET,
+2.27%
15.2%
Dow Inc.
DOW,
+1.32%
10.7%
Otis Worldwide Corp.
OTIS,
+2.16%
9.2%

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PayPal earnings forecast heads higher, but revenue outlook sends the stock lower yet again

PayPal Holdings Inc.’s cost-savings story began to play out in the latest quarter, but that wasn’t enough to satisfy investors as the digital payments giant also cut its revenue forecast for the full year in light of the “rough macro environment.”

Shares fell 10% in after-hours trading after PayPal
PYPL,
-3.65%
executives trimmed their revenue guidance for 2022, saying that they were now looking for 10% growth on a currency-neutral basis, whereas the prior forecast called for 11% growth.

Management has cut expectations on a series of guidance metrics throughout the year.

“We’re executing against all the things we can control…and preparing prudently for a rough macro environment,” Chief Executive Dan Schulman told MarketWatch. He added that PayPal was “seeing a pullback in discretionary goods that are being spent on by consumers,” hence why he and the executive team felt the need to have a “prudent” revenue outlook for the fourth quarter. 

Acting Chief Financial Officer Gabrielle Rabinovitch added on the company’s earnings call that PayPal “didn’t see the early start to the holiday season” during October that the company saw back in 2021.

See also: Block stock rockets higher after earnings as Square parent posts a ‘strong beat all around’

Though PayPal cut its revenue forecast for the full year, it outperformed on the top line during the third quarter. Revenue climbed to $6.85 billion from $6.18 billion, while analysts had been projecting $6.81 billion. PayPal’s total payment volume rose to $337 billion from $310 billion a year prior. Venmo volume was $63.6 billion.

The reduced full-year revenue forecast outweighed progress on the cost-savings program that executives outlined in the previous earnings report.

PayPal reported adjusted earnings of $1.08 a share in the latest quarter, down from $1.11 a share a year before but ahead of the FactSet consensus, which was for 96 cents a share. Executives now model $4.07 a share to $4.09 a share in adjusted earnings for the full year, which is ahead of the prior forecast that called for $3.87 a share to $3.97 a share.

“While there are a number of unknowns regarding the macro environment, we can largely control our spend and its implication on earnings growth,” Schulman said on the earnings call “Of course, we’re also focused on investing for growth and we are balancing efficient spend with continued investment to drive future top-line growth.”

He added that the uncertain environment could also present opportunity for PayPal.

“We think this is a time where market-share leaders get stronger,” Schulman said.

PayPal shares have fallen nearly 60% this year, as the S&P 500 index
SPX,
-1.06%
has declined 21.1%

Read: Amazon rolling out Venmo payment option

The company recognized a boost in engagement during its latest quarter as transactions per active account rose 13% to 50.1 over a trailing 12-month period. PayPal added 2.9 million net new active accounts in the third quarter, bringing its total to 432 million. The FactSet consensus was for 432.9 million active accounts.

Earlier this year, PayPal began to shift its focus more on generating engagement among existing users than on attracting and retaining less active customers.

Schulman told MarketWatch that the company’s digital wallet has helped drive improved engagement trends, as PayPal sees two times the level of engagement among those who use the app versus those who don’t.

PayPal executives announced several initiatives in progress with Apple Inc.
AAPL,
-4.25%,
including future participation in the Tap to Pay on iPhone program that lets people use their smartphones as payment-acceptance devices without requiring additional hardware. Additionally, PayPal and Venmo debit and credit cards will be eligible next year for inclusion in Apple Wallet. PayPal also plans to add Apple Pay as a payment option in its unbranded checkout platform.

Those developments mark a “meaningful step forward,” Schulman told MarketWatch.

He added on the earnings call that the arrangement with Apple is “a bigger deal than most people realize” given trends the company has observed with Alphabet Inc.’s
GOOG,
-4.11%

GOOGL,
-4.07%
Google Pay: “We’ve seen, for instance, that Google Pay users in Germany when they add their PayPal credentials there, there’s a 20% increase in their branded checkout transactions.”

See more: Apple will let merchants accept in-person payments with only an iPhone

Executives offered a first look at 2023 expectations in an investor presentation Thursday. They’re targeting adjusted EPS growth of at least 15% as well as at least 100 basis points of operating-margin expansion.

Schulman said that EPS growth at the targeted range would put PayPal in the top quartile of S&P 500 components on the metric.

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Disappointing Meta, PayPal Earnings Send Shudders Through Stock Market

Facebook’s parent company shed more than $230 billion in market value Thursday, a one-day loss that would be the biggest ever for a U.S. company and increase the pressure on a stock market long powered by technology shares.

The setbacks reflect the increased scrutiny companies are under as major U.S. stock indexes remain near record highs and the Federal Reserve is preparing to raise interest rates for the first time since 2018. Rising rates tend to reduce the multiples that investors are willing to pay for a share of company profits, a trend that stands to mean pain for stocks that are already trading at lofty valuations.

That has put heightened pressure on the companies to show their financial results justify their price tags. In recent days, several have fallen short, raising concerns among investors that further declines in major indexes could lie ahead.

“The level of forgiveness has gone down,” said

Daniel Genter,

chief executive and chief investment officer at RNC Genter Capital Management. “When boards come to their shareholders to confess their sins, they’re just not going to be pardoned with one Hail Mary.”

Some strategists say the recent slide in shares of speculative tech companies should serve to remind investors that a robust market rally relies on advances by a variety of stocks. And they warn they expect more big stock swings ahead at any hint of slowing growth.

“The market can’t just be driven by a small number of megacap companies or tech companies,” said

Yung-Yu Ma,

chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management. “There should start to be more of a recognition that it’s not going to be technology that leads us out of this pullback.”

Earnings season had been overshadowed until recent days as investors fretted over the Fed’s plans to raise rates. They sold stocks across sectors, helping to send the S&P 500 down 5.3% in January, its worst monthly performance since the March 2020 slump.

The market briefly stabilized this week—with all three major stock indexes rising for four consecutive sessions—before tumbling again Thursday. The S&P 500 dropped 2%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 3.1%.

All eyes have now turned to

Amazon.com Inc.,

which reports after the closing bell. The e-commerce company warned in late 2021 of a challenging end of the year as it confronted global supply-chain problems.

Amazon shares dropped more than 7% ahead of the report, while shares of speculative tech stocks like

Snap Inc.

and

Pinterest Inc.

also tumbled. Snap fell 24%, while Pinterest declined 10%.

The giant stock moves show how serious investors have become about demanding that companies deliver on their promises for growth after a steep and swift climb in share prices.

Meta, PayPal and Spotify entered 2022 at rich valuations. While the S&P 500 ended December trading at 21.5 times its projected earnings over the next 12 months, Meta was trading at 23.6 times, PayPal at 36 times and Spotify at 543.9 times, according to FactSet. Spotify isn’t an index constituent.

By Wednesday, Meta’s multiple had pulled back to 22.6 times forward earnings, while PayPal traded at 27.2 times, and Spotify at 287.6 times.

“Those stocks were really priced way beyond perfection,” Mr. Genter said. “People are saying, well, guess what, perfection is not here.”

The Facebook parent company surprised investors late Wednesday with a deeper-than-expected decline in profit and a downbeat outlook. The company said it expects revenue growth to slow and shared that it lost about one million daily users globally. Shares declined 27%, on course for their worst daily performance since they started trading in 2012.

The company’s challenges include a new ad-privacy policy from Apple Inc. that Meta expects to cost it more than $10 billion in lost sales for 2022. The requirement that apps ask users whether they want to be tracked limited the ability to gather data used to target digital ads, driving advertisers to change their spending.

Meta’s $234 billion drop in market value is set to exceed the record that Apple Inc. set in September 2020 when the iPhone-maker lost about $182 billion in a single day, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

PayPal lowered its profit outlook for 2022 and abandoned a target it set last year of roughly doubling its active user base. Executives said business this year will be pressured by forces including inflation, supply-chain problems, the Omicron variant and the runoff in government stimulus. Shares slumped 25% Wednesday in their worst selloff on record and continued sliding Thursday.

PayPal Holdings lowered its profit outlook.



Photo:

Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

And Spotify, which is embroiled in a controversy over

Joe Rogan’s

podcast, said it added users but declined to give annual guidance, pulling shares down 16% on Thursday.

Earnings results out of the tech segment haven’t been all bad. Google parent

Alphabet Inc.

reported robust sales growth and unveiled plans for a stock split this week, helping the company add more than $135 billion in market value Wednesday.

Alphabet has outperformed the other stocks in the popular FAANG trade lately. Its shares are about flat this year, while Meta, Amazon and

Netflix Inc.

are down by double-digit percentages.

Apple Inc.

is off modestly.

Broadly, the corporate earnings season has surpassed expectations. With results in from about half the constituents of the S&P 500, analysts estimate that profits from index constituents rose 26% in the holiday quarter from a year earlier, according to FactSet. That is up from forecasts for 21% growth at the end of September.

Money managers, though, say they have been particularly focused on what company executives have to say about their expectations for the coming months in the wake of higher rates and the continuing Covid-19 pandemic.

“Not too many of them are painting a rosy picture because of the uncertainty,” said

Robert Schein,

chief investment officer at Blanke Schein Wealth Management.

How the Biggest Companies Are Performing

Write to Karen Langley at karen.langley@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Bitcoin Fraud Concerns Draw Scrutiny From Regulators

Regulators are signaling they want more control over an expanded cryptocurrency universe that has pushed further into Wall Street activities without the investor and consumer protections that apply to traditional securities and financial services.

The catch: no single regulator inspects crypto exchanges or brokers, unlike in the securities and derivatives markets. Regulators step in only when they believe U.S. law applies to a particular cryptocurrency or transaction, based on the way the asset was sold or traded.

Once a quirky asset that required navigating special exchanges to buy, cryptocurrencies can now be easily purchased on mobile apps from PayPal Holdings Inc., Square Inc.’s Cash app and Robinhood Markets Inc.

“A lot more money is being put into it, there is a lot of trading and the uses seem to be expanding,” said Dan Berkovitz, a commissioner on the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. “I see a concern about whether we have a shadow financial system developing, and that should be a question for all of the regulators.”

Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler has told House lawmakers that investor protection rules should apply to crypto exchanges, similar to those that cover equities and derivatives. Regulated exchanges are required by law to have rules that prevent fraud and promote fairness. But crypto exchanges face no such standard, Mr. Gensler said at the Piper Sandler Global Exchange and FinTech conference last month.

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