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Oil prices fall on worries over China economy and higher crude output

A petrol station attendant prepares to refuel a car in Rome, Italy, January 4, 2012. REUTERS/Max Rossi/File Photo

  • China July factory activity grows at slowest pace since Feb 2020
  • OPEC July oil output hits 15-month high -survey
  • U.S. will not lock down despite coronavirus surge, Fauci says

SINGAPORE, Aug 2 (Reuters) – Oil prices fell on Monday on worries over China’s economy after a survey showed growth in factory activity slipped sharply in the world’s second-largest oil consumer, with concerns compounded by a rise in oil output from OPEC producers.

Brent crude oil futures slid by 74 cents, or 1%, to $74.67 a barrel by 0653 GMT, after dropping to a low of $74.10 earlier in the day.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures dropped 70 cents, or 1%, to $73.25 a barrel after slipping to a session low of $72.77.

“China’s been leading economic recovery in Asia and if the pullback deepens, concerns will grow that the global outlook will see a significant decline,” said Edward Moya, senior analyst at OANDA.

“The crude demand outlook is on shaky ground and that probably will not improve until global vaccinations improve.”

China’s factory activity growth slipped sharply in July as demand contracted for the first time in more than a year, in part on high product prices, a business survey showed on Monday, underscoring challenges facing the world’s manufacturing hub.

The weaker results in the private survey, mostly covering export-oriented and small manufacturers, broadly aligned with those in an official survey released on Saturday that showed activity growing at the slowest pace in 17 months. read more

Also weighing on prices, a Reuters survey found that oil output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) rose in July to its highest since April 2020, as the group further eased production curbs under a pact with its allies while top exporter Saudi Arabia phased out a voluntary supply cut. read more

While coronavirus cases continue to climb globally, analysts said higher vaccination rates would limit the need for the harsh lockdowns that gutted demand during the peak of the pandemic last year.

The United States will not lock down again to curb COVID-19 but “things are going to get worse” as the Delta variant fuels a surge in cases, mostly among the unvaccinated, top U.S. infectious disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Sunday. read more

India’s daily gasoline consumption exceeded pre-pandemic levels last month as states relaxed COVID-19 lockdowns while gasoil sales were low, signalling subdued industrial activity in July. read more

The United States and Britain said on Sunday they believed Iran carried out an attack on an Israeli-managed petroleum product tanker off the coast of Oman on Thursday that killed a Briton and a Romanian, and pledged to work with partners to respond. read more

Reporting by Jessica Jaganathan; Editing by Kenneth Maxwell and Edmund Klamann

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Dollar, yen on back foot as risk sentiment revives; Musk buoys bitcoin

  • Risk appetite returns as strong earnings lift Wall Street
  • Euro firmer against dollar ahead of ECB policy decision
  • Musk hints Tesla will accept bitcoin as payment again

TOKYO, July 22 (Reuters) – The safe-harbour U.S. dollar and yen were on the back foot on Thursday, after pulling back from multi-month highs amid a recovery in risk appetite as strong earnings lifted Wall Street stocks.

Cryptocurrencies held gains after Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) CEO Elon Musk said the company would “most likely” resume accepting bitcoin for payment. read more

The dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, stood at 92.770 after pulling back from a 3 1/2-month high of 93.194 touched on Wednesday.

The yen traded at 129.950 per euro , from an almost four-month top of 128.610 earlier this week, and at 81.07 to Australia’s dollar , from a 5 1/2-month peak of 79.85.

“Strong earnings have swept away Delta concerns in the U.S.,” weighing on haven currencies, National Australia Bank analyst Tapas Strickland wrote in a note to clients.

“The consensus is that (the Delta strain) does not pose an immediate risk to the recovery,” delaying reopening by three months at the most as countries ramp up vaccination drives in response, he said.

Sterling traded at $1.3717, recovering from a 5 1/2-month trough of $1.35725 reached on Tuesday, despite rising Delta variant cases in Britain and confusion about the lifting of restrictions in England.

The Aussie changed hands at $0.7350, from an eight-month low of $0.72895 the previous day, even as coronavirus cases spiked despite half the Australian population being under lockdown. read more

The euro stood at $1.1789, rising off Wednesday’s 3-1/2-month low of $1.1752 ahead of a closely watched European Central Bank policy decision later in the global day.

Policymakers will implement for the first time changes to their strategy and are all but certain to promise an even longer period of stimulus to make good on its commitment to boost inflation. read more

Analysts generally see ECB dovishness weakening the euro over the medium-term.

“On balance, the ECB’s new inflation target suggests monetary policy will remain ultra‑accommodative for an even longer period of time,” which will act as a headwind for the euro, Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategists Kim Mundy and Carol Kong wrote in a research note.

“Indeed, we expect the ECB will be one of the last central banks under our coverage to tighten policy.”

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin held Wednesday’s 7.9% jump – the biggest since mid-June – to trade just north of$32,000.

Rival ether traded slightly below $2,000 following a 12% surge.

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Currency bid prices at 0525 GMT

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Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Sam Holmes

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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