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The Pandemic Didn’t Unfold How Dr. Christine Hancock Expected

On Feb. 26,

Christine Hancock

thought Jaime Milton was about to die. Her 48-year-old patient had skipped the dialysis that kept him alive. The day before, she called him six times before he picked up. He was gasping for breath and unable to complete a full sentence.

Dr. Hancock told him he might not live until the next day. He promised to go to the hospital. When he failed to arrive at the emergency room, she called the police. He wouldn’t go with the paramedics who came to his house.

Mr. Milton was on a downward spiral, and Dr. Hancock, a primary-care doctor in Bellingham, Wash., felt powerless to stop it.

A year earlier, at the start of 2020, Mr. Milton had been stable, years after Dr. Hancock helped him get off heroin. He had lost weight and completed treatment for hepatitis C. But, isolated and fearful of Covid-19, he had become anxious and began missing medical appointments and using drugs again. His health had declined rapidly—even though he never caught the viral disease.

“It’s just such a hopeless and helpless feeling,” Dr. Hancock said that day, as she weighed whether to send another ambulance to his house. “I literally do not know what else to do….I care deeply for this man, I’ve taken care of him for over five years. I don’t want him to die.”

When the pandemic started, Dr. Hancock believed it would be a calamity for her patients, many of whom suffered from health conditions that made them vulnerable. She was right, but not for the reasons she thought. In the end, the pandemic’s worst victims weren’t those who had worried her most in the spring of 2020. And they weren’t sickened by Covid-19 itself.

The biggest impact, which became clear only this year, came instead from other health problems that worsened amid the loneliness and stress of the pandemic.

A young girl developed crippling anxiety and compulsive behaviors, sometimes refusing to leave the house. A 65-year-old with schizoaffective disorder stopped taking his medication and had a series of run-ins with police that got him committed to a residential facility. A frail, homebound woman lost her caregiver and couldn’t find a replacement.

So far in 2021, Dr. Hancock has seen more than three times as many deaths among her patients as she did in all of 2020, and none have been from Covid-19.

The Wall Street Journal followed Dr. Hancock for 21 months, along with colleagues, patients, family members and others, to track the wider impact of the pandemic.

Her story shows how the virus put an enormous strain on a healthcare safety net that was already fraying. It left some patients’ non-Covid conditions untreated and placed impossible demands on caregivers like Dr. Hancock who struggle to fill the widening gaps.

The clinic where Dr. Hancock works, part of the nonprofit Sea Mar Community Health Centers, has contended with staffing problems and burnout as exhausted employees left their jobs amid the grind of the virus’s rise and fall and resurgence. Its mental-health service stopped taking new patients for months. Sea Mar, which is federally funded, serves as the primary-care provider for a large population of people who are on Medicaid or uninsured.

Dr. Hancock, an athletic 40-year-old who is the mother of two young children, cares for more than 1,900 patients. She often works past 9 p.m. in addition to being on call during off hours and is regularly double-booked during her 15-minute slots.

I care deeply for this man, I’ve taken care of him for over five years. I don’t want him to die.

Collateral impact from the Covid-19 pandemic is being felt around the U.S., and researchers say data show that patients with disadvantages, such as low incomes and limited access to healthcare, often bear the brunt. American life expectancy dropped sharply in 2020, with the biggest declines among the Latino and Black populations. The shift was driven largely by Covid-19, but also by diabetes and liver disease, among other causes. A study published this April in JAMA, the Journal of the American Medical Association, pointed to increases in deaths due to Alzheimer’s disease, heart disease and diabetes during parts of last year.

Dr. Hancock’s patients mirror what is happening nationally, said Donald Lloyd-Jones, chair of the department of preventive medicine at Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine and president of the American Heart Association.

“We’re going to be living with the ripple effects and the echoes of this pandemic for a long time,” he said. “We’re going to see not only more deaths in the ensuing years, we’ll see a lot more disease in people who are living.”

At the start of March 2020, Seattle was the epicenter of the pandemic in the U.S., with schools shutting down and a growing death count tied to the outbreak at a nursing home in Kirkland, Wash.

Bellingham, a city of around 90,000 located about 90 minutes north, still felt distant from the emerging crisis. But Dr. Hancock and others at Sea Mar, a two-story building with a worn-looking pink facade, were bracing for what seemed like the inevitable.

Dr. Hancock found the biggest impact of Covid-19 on her patients came from other health problems that worsened amid the loneliness and stress of the pandemic.

Dr. Hancock arrived there in 2013 after medical school at the University of California, San Francisco, a master’s degree and residency. She deferred her own goal of an academic career when her husband, a geologist, got hired at a nearby university.

Calm and meticulous, she quickly began drawing the most challenging patients, who often became so attached they refused to see other doctors. One periodically dropped off homemade piñatas. A chain-smoking older man crocheted a blanket after her daughter’s birth, its pink yarn bearing the baby’s full name and the strong scent of cigarettes. Dr. Hancock tracked their complex conditions in notes known among the staff for their lucidity and detail.

Mr. Milton was one of her earliest patients, and one of the sickest, with heart failure, gallbladder issues and diabetes in addition to his kidney trouble. During appointments he stared at the floor and mumbled answers to her questions. He had open sores from constantly picking at his rashy skin. He had started taking Vicodin prescribed after a back injury—he used to be a laborer—then OxyContin, then heroin. He had been dependent on various drugs for more than 17 years.

Dr. Hancock “didn’t judge me, she didn’t flinch,” Mr. Milton said. “A lot of doctors will judge you just right off the bat…but she didn’t, not at all.”

In 2017, he began taking Suboxone, a treatment for opioid dependence, and was able to get off heroin. “I’d tell her, ‘I’m having a hard time, will you just talk to me for a few minutes?’ And she’d just talk to me,” he said. Dr. Hancock saved his life, “by being there, no matter what.”

Gradually, he changed. He looked up when they spoke, and smiled for the first time that Dr. Hancock recalled. His clothes were clean, the picked-over scabs gone. He lost 145 pounds and stopped needing insulin. He quit smoking. Dr. Hancock urged him to try for a kidney transplant, a long shot given his history. In early 2020, before the coronavirus arrived, he was treated for a longstanding hepatitis C infection.

On March 10, 2020, an alert popped up on Dr. Hancock’s computer screen, with a headline from the local newspaper: “First case of novel coronavirus in Whatcom County confirmed by local health department.”

Dr. Hancock texted Shannon Boustead, another doctor at Sea Mar, whose mother had recently visited the hospital with a high fever and difficulty breathing.

“Was it your mom?” she asked.

“Yep. Holy shit,” he sent back. He had gone home to quarantine.

Patients largely stopped coming in for routine visits, which moved to phone and video. Dr. Hancock began wearing full scrubs and a mask. Terrified of infecting her husband, 3-year-old daughter and 6-year-old son, she stripped down each night before coming into the house.

“A large number of my patients are probably going to die in the next six months,” she said that March. “It’s a staggering thing to think about.”

Her first patient tested positive on April 4.

Dr. Hancock found her job, and her life, transformed. Her children’s day-care center and school shut down. She and her husband made arrangements with friends to share child care, including hiring a student to take care of Dr. Hancock’s daughter. That left her babysitting two 6-year-olds—her son and a friend—at least one day a week as she faced a growing flood of emails, questions and meetings about Covid-19.

Dr. Hancock made dinner at home with her daughter, Juniper, while her son, Calder, played with the dog.

On April 6, she wrote in a journal she occasionally kept. “I’m barely able to wrap my mind around what I need to do for tomorrow, let alone how I’m going to shepherd my kid through the rest of his kindergarten year…and not commit any medical errors in the process.”

One day, she took her son and his friend to wade in a shallow area of a nearby river. Exhausted, she nodded off, then started awake. The children were safe, but she was terrified that she might have put them at risk.

Another time, when she took them out for a bike ride and lunch, her son’s friend refused to eat his meal. After a long standoff, she threw out the ice cream cone she had bought him for dessert.

“I just felt like literally the worst person,” she said. “I just felt like, wow, I am so unhappy in this moment, this other kid is so unhappy, everything just sucks.”

She didn’t judge me… A lot of doctors will judge you just right off the bat… but she didn’t, not at all.Jaime Milton, one of Dr. Hancock’s patients

Under lockdown, patients were needier than ever, anxiously confiding job losses, marital problems and other worries during virtual visits, as the routines that had kept them stable collapsed. Dr. Hancock became a lifeline for people whose lives had been upended. She created a list of resources for job help, housing and food aid to include with medical instructions. She wrote letters for disability-benefits filings. For one patient, she testified for a jail deferral on the basis of Covid-19 risk.

The lack of in-person visits presented new problems. Many who came in regularly now disappeared. To avoid in-person contact, the clinic wasn’t requiring such frequent urine screening tests for those on medication-assisted treatment for opioid dependence, making it hard to quickly detect when patients relapsed.

On July 7, 2020, Mr. Milton went to Seattle to meet with a kidney-transplant specialist. He had been to the emergency room only once all year and had shown no signs of heroin use. Dr. Hancock read the note from the specialist in her electronic medical record. “He is very motivated,” it said. “The patient expressed that he has turned his life around in the last three years.” The specialist wrote that she would recommend him for the kidney-transplant list.

To Dr. Hancock, it was a moment of hope in a dark time—here was one patient who had truly transformed his life.

In late August, Mr. Milton tested positive for methamphetamine. He started missing appointments. In October, he confessed to Rose Keller, a nurse at the clinic, who had texted him at Dr. Hancock’s request. He had used heroin, and he knew the cost. He could lose his spot on the transplant list.

“just DON’T use again!!” Ms. Keller wrote.

“I’m not going to, I CAN’T use again,” he replied. “I know I screwed up as soon as I used. I worked 3 years to get where I am and now this.”

Mr. Milton kept using heroin. His ex-wife and closest friend, Cindy Treadway, had relapsed too. He was frightened of the virus and isolated from other family members, including their daughter. He stopped outdoor activities he had loved, like fishing and crabbing in nearby Bellingham Bay.

“It got to be too much, the stress of all of it, afraid to go out,” he said. Ms. Keller kept trying to contact him and Dr. Hancock tried to schedule appointments, but he repeatedly skipped them. “I couldn’t look her in the face,” he said.

Dr. Hancock became a lifeline for people whose lives had been upended by the pandemic, creating a list of resources for job help, housing and food aid.

The autumn brought Dr. Hancock some glimmers of normality. On Nov. 12, her son returned to in-person school. Her daughter’s daycare had earlier reopened. “This is amazing, I don’t have anyone asking me for peanut butter crackers,” she said on her son’s second day in a first-grade classroom.

Covid-19 cases in Whatcom County ticked upward as winter began. Dr. Hancock was relieved that it wasn’t worse. The dozens of Covid-19 deaths she feared among her patients hadn’t materialized. In fact, she lost only three in 2020, and none died of Covid-19.

On Christmas Eve, she posted an exuberant picture on Facebook—herself, masked, holding up a white card. She had gotten her first dose of the Moderna vaccine. “I have never been so excited to get a shot, nor so grateful or relieved at the protection it will afford me, my family, and my patients,” she wrote.

After she got her second shot in January, Dr. Hancock managed to enjoy some moments of pre-pandemic life—a long bike ride with a friend, an outing with colleagues for margaritas. To celebrate her 40th birthday at the start of February, her husband had friends and family answer a questionnaire about her.

Her son’s contribution: “My mom’s good at doing stuff really fast. She’s really energetic. She can also be mischievous, which I like.”

Dr. Hancock’s piñata-making patient created a papier-mache SARS-CoV-2, its spikes rendered in pink, purple and blue tissue paper. She brought it home and hung it on a tree branch for her kids to hit with a stick.

The real virus was far harder to beat. Covid-19 case numbers surged to new heights in Whatcom in early 2021, despite the vaccines’ roll out.

At work, Dr. Hancock saw growing signs of the pandemic’s broader damage. Kids had gained weight, some crossing over into dangerous obesity. Though many had returned to at least some in-person school, she saw some struggling with depression and other psychological issues.

On New Year’s Eve, Dr. Hancock examined an 11-year-old patient she hadn’t seen in more than a year. The girl had been an organized, careful child, who took care of tasks such as filling out school forms and making grocery lists, according to her mother, Leah Botton.

During 2020, stuck at home, and hearing constantly of friends infected with the virus in the close-knit Miami, Fla., community where the family used to live, she had begun showing signs of anxiety and compulsive behavior. She would shake, and start knocking her hand against her chest, repeatedly counting. Sometimes she would have meltdowns, screaming, that her mother couldn’t soothe. She was scared to leave the house.

She had received some counseling, but the behavior hadn’t abated. Returning to in-person school had led to panic attacks.

Dr. Hancock offered to prescribe medication and suggested the family find a child psychiatrist—Sea Mar didn’t have one. She thought the girl might have obsessive-compulsive disorder. Mrs. Botton declined medication but agreed to seek a psychiatric evaluation.

On Feb. 1, Elizabeth Whittemore, an 85-year-old, wheelchair-bound woman with heart failure, told Dr. Hancock that she hadn’t left her apartment in a month. She had long been fragile and isolated—Dr. Hancock had once driven to her home to deliver a donated mattress—and recently her longtime caregiver had stopped coming because she was tending to a family member with health problems. The former caregiver’s daughter would buy Ms. Whittemore’s groceries and drop them off, keeping her from starving.

Elizabeth Whittemore, who was isolated without a caregiver during the pandemic, watched television at her apartment last month.

“We can’t abandon this lady,” Dr. Hancock said. She had a growing feeling of foreboding about patients who might be having problems that she didn’t know about. “I know bad things are happening to people,” she said a few days after the appointment with Ms. Whittemore. “I just don’t know all of them, because I can’t keep track of them all.”

She had a staffer reach out to a home-health agency to ask for a replacement caregiver, and the service said it would send someone to evaluate Ms. Whittemore.

After struggling to decide what to do for Mr. Milton on Feb. 26, Dr. Hancock ultimately sent another ambulance. The emergency medical technicians came up to his bedroom, Mr. Milton said. He told them, “Get out of here, I’m fine.” His doctor was really worried about him, one of them said. He sent them away. He didn’t feel like going to the hospital, he said.

The next day, he went to dialysis.

On March 17, when Dr. Hancock arrived at the clinic in the morning, Mr. Milton was sitting in the lobby. He had no appointment, and her schedule was full, but she got him an exam room.

I know bad things are happening to people, but I just don’t know all of them because I can’t keep track of them all.

He didn’t want to use heroin anymore, he told her. He believed he was killing himself and he didn’t want to die. He had been shooting up every day. He had a painful gallbladder attack that scared him. He was still nervous about Covid-19, but, “I knew I had to stop this, it was just getting out of control,” he said later. “I knew it was time.”

Dr. Hancock told him, “I’m really glad you’re here today. I’m glad you made it through.”

On April 6, Mr. Milton got his first Covid-19 vaccine shot. He stopped missing dialysis. His drug screens were coming back clean. He was planning to go crabbing again.

At the very end of a visit with Dr. Hancock on April 22, he mentioned a painful red spot on his skin. A test identified the cause: methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, or MRSA, a dangerous infection. It spread rapidly through his fragile body, despite antibiotics. On May 1, he was admitted to local hospital PeaceHealth St. Joseph Medical Center with septic shock, near death. The intensive care unit doctor told Dr. Hancock Mr. Milton would pull through, and he did. He went home May 10.

Home caregiver Esperanza Rosas helped Ms. Whittemore use a pulse oximeter.

The next day, May 11, a section called “Post Mortem” on the screen of Dr. Hancock’s electronic medical record was bolded, signaling there had been a new death among her patients.

It was a 68-year-old man, diagnosed with cancer and kidney failure, who had a heart attack and, in pain with little hope of recovery, chose to halt dialysis and move to hospice care. She hadn’t seen him since September and he had missed two appointments with her since.

Five days later, she got another death notice. This time, it was a 65-year-old woman who had died from liver failure due to alcohol use. An alcoholic who had been sober for more than a year, sustained by monthly visits to the clinic, she had switched to phone appointments during 2020. In January, she had stopped responding

The death was the sixth among her patients this year. Each time, Dr. Hancock called a family member or sent a card with a note of condolence.

The deaths had different causes, but Dr. Hancock saw a common thread. Many were fragile patients who hadn’t been getting the regular care that had kept them alive.

Many of Dr. Hancock’s patients are on Medicaid or uninsured.

On May 17, as she was sitting in her car, Dr. Hancock got a call on the clinic’s after-hours line about one of her patients, Bob Wysocki. His sister, Jeanne Koetje, was desperately seeking help for the 65-year-old, who had schizoaffective disorder and diabetes. Mr. Wysocki had been behaving erratically for weeks, seemingly not taking his medications and sometimes impaired by alcohol. He had attempted to illegally cross the border into Canada at one point and his car was seized.

On May 15, he had ended up in the local emergency room for the third time in the past few weeks and he had been swearing and throwing water. The designated crisis responder had said he should be admitted, but there were no beds, according to Mrs. Koetje and notes later reviewed by Dr. Hancock. He was allowed to leave.

PeaceHealth officials said that under state law, a designated crisis responder can’t put a hold on a psychiatric patient without an available bed. The hospital’s inpatient behavioral-health unit “runs near capacity all the time,” said Doug Koekkoek, chief physician executive of PeaceHealth. “So if you catch us on a particular day with a particular mix of patients, we may not have any availability.” A hospital spokeswoman declined to comment on Mr. Wysocki’s case, citing privacy rules.

Dr. Hancock was shocked at what she heard from Mrs. Koetje. Mr. Wysocki had been her patient for six years. A tall, gentle man, who enjoyed cooking and visits to a local casino, he had been stable for decades, living in his own mobile home. He had regularly helped with the care of his mother, who lived with Mrs. Koetje and her husband.

In the fall of 2020, he began smoking, after quitting six years earlier, soon going through more than a pack a day. In February 2021, he told Dr. Hancock that he was thinking of stopping his psychiatric medication. She urged him not to do it. She tried to get him in for appointments that spring, but he missed them.

On May 18, after hearing from Mrs. Koetje, Dr. Hancock called the local mobile mental-health crisis unit and asked if he could be evaluated, saying he was likely a danger to himself.

Photos of Bob Wysocki as a young adult, left, and fishing.

That same day, Mr. Wysocki ended up in the ER again after employees of a local grocery store found him lying on the ground and called 911.

The next day, May 19, Dr. Hancock saw Mr. Milton, with Ms. Treadway, his ex-wife. He had been home from the hospital for more than a week, but he hadn’t truly recovered. The MRSA infection hadn’t been cleared, and he had newly diagnosed heart-valve disease and liver damage. He was in constant pain, but he hadn’t gone back to heroin, he said. He didn’t want to die a junkie, he told her.

Dr. Hancock now believed that with multiple organ systems failing, Mr. Milton was unlikely to ever fully recover. She also felt Mr. Milton’s own attitude toward treatment had changed.

“Normally, every conversation you have when you walk into a doctor’s office is how are we going to make x, y, and z better,” she said. Now, she gently asked if he wanted to consider palliative or hospice care at his home, which would focus on easing the pain. It wasn’t a death sentence, she said. But if his aim was to improve the time he had left, it was likely the best option. Crying, Mr. Milton and Ms. Treadway agreed.

Ms. Keller called repeatedly to get a palliative-care provider to Mr. Milton’s house. Dr. Hancock called too, and was told by PeaceHealth that a visit would occur the week after Memorial Day, May 31. PeaceHealth didn’t schedule it for that week, though.

PeaceHealth said home palliative-care visits in Bellingham rose to around 300 in the first eight months of 2021, compared with 180 in all of 2020 and 226 in all of 2019. The hospital hasn’t been able to hire as many providers as it needs, said Dr. Koekkoek, and it generally takes weeks for a patient to be seen. A PeaceHealth spokeswoman declined to comment on Mr. Milton’s case, citing patient privacy rules.

On June 8, Dr. Hancock got a notice that Mr. Milton was back in the ICU with dangerously low blood pressure. He had fallen while getting out of bed, screaming when he hurt his back and injured his eye, which was filled with blood.

It was exactly the situation that Dr. Hancock tried to avoid—putting him back in the hospital, his pain worse than ever. “That’s such a failure,” she said. “I feel like we pulled out all the stops to get him the services he needed, and it hasn’t happened.”

Ms. Whittemore called an ambulance to her apartment because she was struggling to breathe.

That same week, in early June, Ms. Whittemore, the wheelchair-bound heart-failure patient, had called an ambulance to her apartment because she was struggling to breathe. “For months I didn’t have anybody to help me,” she said in an interview. “Los llamé como pude,” she said in Spanish, meaning, “I called them with what little strength I had.”

She also ended up in the ICU. Dr. Hancock and others at the clinic had been trying to get her a new caregiver since February, calling repeatedly, with Dr. Hancock at one point offering her personal cell number to a case manager at the Northwest Regional Council, an agency that arranges home care for Medicaid recipients like Ms. Whittemore.

This year, the agency has struggled more than ever to fill positions, said Dan Murphy, its executive director, who declined to comment on Ms. Whittemore’s specific case. “It’s the worst that we’ve seen,” he said, as the pandemic intensified existing issues. Some caregivers left the field or dialed back their availability, leading to longer gaps for patients, he said. It’s even harder to find caregivers who speak Spanish, Ms. Whittemore’s primary language.

Nationally, staff shortages have reached an all-time high during the pandemic, according to the Home Care Association of America, an industry group.

Dr. Hancock’s clinic was short-staffed, too. Out of 11 healthcare-provider positions, three were empty by early summer. The clinic manager left in March. The director of the medication-assisted treatment program left in May, partly to be closer to family who hadn’t been able to see his new baby during the pandemic. An interpreter who had been screening people entering the clinic was stressed by the work and left that same month. A manager of a small satellite clinic also quit, and her replacement, who lived in Canada, had her visa denied because of pandemic-related restrictions.

Dr. Hancock’s boss was retiring and Dr. Hancock was taking on a new role as a medical director. She had no open appointments for months, and couldn’t get through patients’ litanies of untreated conditions during their 15-minute slots.

Dr. Hancock’s clinic has been short-staffed during the pandemic, in line with a national shortage of medical workers.

During her daughter’s 5th birthday party one Sunday in June, she was paged seven times over two hours. She was out on a scavenger hunt in her neighborhood with 10 bike-riding kids when she took a call from an operator. A patient needed an urgent call back about his bloody discharge. Dr. Hancock waited until the scavenger hunt was over.

The clinic’s mental-health counseling service had three open positions for therapists by June. Therapists were leaving to go into private practice because new pandemic-era flexibility in billing and remote care opened up new opportunities, according to Claudia D’Allegri, Sea Mar’s chief behavioral-health officer.

One of two behavioral healthcare providers who could prescribe medications had a baby at home in Canada, then was blocked from returning to the U.S. because of pandemic restrictions. The remaining prescriber, overbooked, stopped seeing new patients unless they were in crisis or discharged from a hospital.

A Whatcom County report on the public-health impact of the pandemic, issued in July 2021, found “increased demand for behavioral healthcare and ongoing shortage of providers; limited services and long wait lists.” It said the average weekly demand for mental-health-crisis services provided by a local agency rose by more than 70%.

Dr. Hancock found herself writing prescriptions for desperate patients who she felt needed psychiatric expertise—lithium for a mother with a history of bipolar disorder, an antipsychotic for a schizophrenic man who showed up with a knife at the clinic, threatening to hurt himself if his lapsed prescriptions weren’t renewed.

She was also still trying to get help for the 11-year-old with signs of obsessive behavior. In months of calling around the state, the mother, Mrs. Botton, whose family is covered by a Medicaid plan, hadn’t found an appointment. “They’re like, ‘with Covid, we’re just overwhelmed, we just don’t have any vacancies right now,’ ” Mrs. Botton said. “That’s the line…it’s everyone.”

In May, desperate to get through to someone, Dr. Hancock called the psychiatric on-call consult line for Seattle Children’s Hospital. She said she was at her wits’ end and that the girl needed help right away. The psychiatrist mentioned an outpatient group for children with OCD, which was full.

The wait lists for psychiatric care for children are incredibly long, both for Seattle Children’s Hospital and elsewhere, said Alysha Thompson, a psychologist and clinical director at Seattle Children’s. Demand rose sharply at the start of 2021, she said, and “we just don’t have enough people.” A Seattle Children’s spokeswoman declined to comment on Mrs. Botton’s daughter’s case.

They’re like, you know, with Covid, we’re overwhelmed, we just don’t have any vacancies right now. That’s the line — and it’s everyone.Leah Botton, mother of one of Dr. Hancock’s patients

At 4:30 a.m. on June 29, Mr. Milton went back to the ER in an ambulance, struggling to breathe. His kidneys, liver and heart were shutting down. That night in the hospital, he was hallucinating and tried to rip the IV from his arm. On June 30, he started vomiting blood.

A little after 1 p.m., he died. His daughter and Ms. Treadway were both with him at the end.

Ms. Treadway immediately texted Ms. Keller, the Sea Mar nurse: “He’s gone Rose!!!! My baby’s gone.”

Dr. Hancock was in the middle of seeing patients when Ms. Keller messaged her. That night, she called Ms. Treadway, who picked up the phone and began sobbing. “He was always afraid of dying in the hospital, and that’s exactly what happened,” Ms. Treadway said later in an interview.

Dr. Hancock felt sad, but also angry and frustrated. “If he hadn’t relapsed, if he hadn’t been under all this stress, and been properly monitored, and he had gotten a kidney transplant, he might have been on a completely different trajectory,” she said. “He might have had a 10- or 20-year life expectancy instead of a six-month life expectancy….Why didn’t he get that next chance?”

At the end, Mr. Milton had kept control over one thing that was important to him: There were no signs he had started using heroin again.

If he hadn’t relapsed, if he hadn’t been under all this stress… he might be on a completely different trajectory.

On July 7, a staffer in Dr. Hancock’s office reached out to inform Mr. Wysocki of a coming appointment. He had spent weeks in a residential mental-health crisis-recovery facility. The facility hadn’t shared its treatment or discharge plan with Sea Mar, leaving Dr. Hancock in the dark about his progress.

Instead of reaching Mr. Wysocki, the staffer got Mrs. Koetje, his sister. Eight days earlier, after he didn’t answer his phone or his door, Mrs. Koetje had crawled through a window of his home. Inside, she found his body, sprawled on the floor. A few days before, he had been discharged from the residential center with a list of medications and no home help. His cause of death wasn’t clear.

Dr. Hancock felt awful. She wondered, if she had known about the circumstances of Mr. Wysocki’s discharge, could she have scrambled to get him a home-health aide or some other help?

It turned out he had died on June 29, one day before Mr. Milton, who was now the eighth of Dr. Hancock’s patients to pass away in 2021. Two more patients have died since then, one from heart failure and the other from breast cancer, bringing the total to 10 by late November. In 2019, before the pandemic, she had lost only three, the same number as in 2020.

A photo of Mr. Wysocki with his mother among other mementos at the home of his sister, Jeanne Koetje.

Dr. Hancock is still trying to find a source of psychiatric care for the young girl. Her family recently pulled her out of in-person school because of her panic attacks and other symptoms.

Ms. Whittemore, the homebound patient, finally got a new home caregiver in July, but returned to the hospital and then was discharged to a nursing home. Recently, her longtime former caregiver has returned, which allowed her to leave the nursing home. Ms. Whittemore said she felt happier being home, in her care.

The staffing crunch at Dr. Hancock’s clinic and its mental-health service eased somewhat, with two new doctors coming on board in October and newly added mental-health counselors clearing the backlog of new patients. But some unvaccinated employees left when a state Covid-19 vaccination mandate for healthcare workers took full effect in October.

Ms. Treadway has been struggling with deep depression since Mr. Milton’s death, staying largely in his old bedroom with an urn holding his ashes sitting on the dresser. She often listens to “Whiskey Lullaby,” a song about a tragic couple who drink themselves to death, which she and Mr. Milton had liked to sing together.

She has kept in close touch with Dr. Hancock and Ms. Keller, who have pushed to get her mental-health care. At her first appointment with Dr. Hancock after Mr. Milton’s death, she started crying. Dr. Hancock asked if she could give her a hug. It would help them both, she said.

Washington’s Bellingham Bay, where Mr. Milton used to go crabbing, last month.

Write to Anna Wilde Mathews at anna.mathews@wsj.com

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Why Some Healthcare Workers Would Rather Lose Their Jobs Than Get Vaccinated

Carole Funk gets a flu shot most years and is up-to-date on all her other vaccines. She refuses to get the Covid-19 shot.

A nurse practitioner for nearly 10 years, she believes Covid-19 can kill—she knows people who have died. Still, she lost her job running an urgent-care clinic in Strasburg, Va., in September due to her refusal to vaccinate, and remains unmoved. “Getting fired is not enough for me to overcome my fear that the side effects or adverse events of these vaccines are grossly underreported,” Ms. Funk said.

Ms. Funk, 50 years old, is among more than 200 workers at Virginia and West Virginia-based Valley Health System who resigned or were fired over requirements that the company’s 6,200 employees be vaccinated. They belong to a group of people who have made up their minds that Covid-19 vaccines could harm their health or infringe on their liberties.

There’s no evidence of the kind of underreporting Ms. Funk cited, doctors and public-health experts say.

The fact that these holdouts are healthcare workers makes them one of the most confounding challenges for the vaccination drive. Around one-third of the eligible population in the U.S. remains unvaccinated against Covid-19. Some of the vaccine holdouts, health officials believe, will ultimately be persuaded to get the shot—the so-called movable middle. Others might never be persuaded. Their resistance and potential influence threaten public-health efforts to defeat the virus, say epidemiologists and other health experts.

Carole Funk, at home in Virginia, is a nurse practitioner who lost her job running an urgent-care clinic because she refuses to be vaccinated.

“We want to get the virus to a point where we can manage it,” said Ali Mokdad, professor of health metrics sciences at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington.

He estimates that 85% of the population will need to be vaccinated before that is the case, and even the relatively small percentage of people who are opposed to getting the vaccine could be a barrier to that, considering it isn’t known when children under the age of five will be eligible. Shots for those between five and 11 years old could be approved within the month.

Most healthcare workers are required by employers to get immunizations for other infectious diseases, such as measles, mumps, rubella and chickenpox. Why are some resisting the Covid-19 vaccine?

The Valley Health urgent-care clinic where Ms. Funk worked in Strasburg, Va.

After years of experiencing federal oversight and health regulation up close, some nurses and other medical workers are skeptical of the system. They say they are overworked and burned out and have taken on enough risk during the pandemic without adding the dangers they perceive in vaccines they consider unproven.

Some believe the vaccine’s development was too rushed and are worried about the possible unknown long-term effects on their health.

The Covid-19 vaccines, with unprecedented investment and international focus, were developed faster than any other vaccines, with the next fastest being the four-year process to develop the mumps vaccine, licensed in the 1960s.

Eventually, those who refuse to get a vaccine will likely get some immunity by getting infected themselves, epidemiologists say. But they are more likely to face a serious case of Covid-19 and long-term symptoms than those who are vaccinated. They also pose a threat to those who are immunocompromised or not yet able to get the shot, such as very young children or infants, public-health experts say.

Nurses and other staff who refuse to get vaccinated have a double impact on the pandemic response because healthcare workers are already in short supply. Two Valley Health urgent-care clinics, including Ms. Funk’s former workplace, temporarily closed after several staff members left or were terminated for refusing to get vaccinated. Valley Health plans to shift vaccinated employees into the vacancies and reopen the clinics in the late fall.

The vast majority of Valley Health employees complied with a requirement to get at least a first shot by Sept. 7, according to Chief Executive Officer Mark Nantz. He said he was troubled that a group of medically trained workers would rather lose their jobs. He said he is partly relieved that people opposed to such effective vaccines are no longer treating Valley Health patients.

“The idea that they feel their individual rights trump a global pandemic that’s killed so many Americans—I can’t reconcile that,” Mr. Nantz said. “It makes me incredibly sad.”

Mark Nantz, President and CEO of Valley Health System, which required its staff to be vaccinated against Covid-19.

Valley Health’s departed workers cited a range of reasons for their refusal, such as the belief that pharmaceutical companies have undue influence over vaccine policy. Others believe health authorities haven’t thoroughly investigated reports of post-vaccination health problems to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s adverse-event reporting system.

Katherine Hart, 32, a nurse practitioner at a Valley Health clinic in Martinsburg, W.Va., said her own refusal to get the vaccine is motivated by mistrust in the government and frustration with mandates and restrictions—such as economic shutdowns and vaccine mandates—that have disrupted her and her girlfriend’s lives for more than a year and a half.

Her own mistrust in the government comes from a conservative upbringing and worldview, she said, one that emphasizes individual rights and personal autonomy. “The government shouldn’t be telling us what to do,” she said.

Nurse practitioners, unlike registered nurses, can prescribe treatments, order tests and diagnose patients—duties normally carried out by doctors.

Ms. Hart came down with Covid-19 in November 2020, she said, and believes there is no need for her to get the vaccine because she thinks she is unlikely to get infected again. She also wears a mask and washes her hands when working, which she said offers additional protection in addition to her immunity from prior infection.

Research suggests that unvaccinated people are more than twice as likely than people who are fully vaccinated to be reinfected.

Ms. Hart said she gets the flu shot every year and is up-to-date on all her other vaccines. The Covid-19 vaccine is different, she said, because she feels that she is being forced to get it. She is also suspicious of the public-messaging around the vaccine, calling it propaganda.

She submitted what she called a “very half-assed religious exemption” to keep her job. “My Body is my temple and taking this shot/vaccine would not glorify Him,” she wrote in the request. She was granted an exemption.

Ms. Watson and Ms. Hart walked their dogs last week.

Valley Health granted exemptions to 300 employees, Mr. Nantz said, about half for religious reasons and half on medical grounds. The majority of medical exemptions were for women who were pregnant, trying to get pregnant or breast-feeding, who were worried about the possible effects of the vaccine on their fertility or baby. Many said they would get the vaccine later. The CDC has encouraged pregnant women to get the shots, citing studies indicating that they are safe.

Those who were granted a religious exemption had to demonstrate a “closely held belief, even if it’s not fact based,” said Mr. Nantz. Most were approved, and rejected applications were often clearly political, he said.

Ms. Hart’s fiancée, Brittany Watson, 32, a registered nurse at Valley Health who was also granted a religious exemption, is currently on strike. The two have led picketing efforts outside Valley Health’s Winchester Medical Center in Virginia protesting vaccine mandates and gathered like-minded supporters on Facebook and TikTok. One TikTok video shows a montage of the picketing sessions, with healthcare workers holding up signs declaring “My Body, My Choice.”

A colleague of Ms. Hart’s, a vaccinated nurse practitioner, said she sympathized with Ms. Hart’s conviction that people should be able to decide what goes into their bodies without fear of reprisal. She also said she believes it’s vital for medical workers to be vaccinated to keep their patients safe, and that she would want vaccinated workers taking care of her own family.

She added, though, it was a loss to have good health providers leave jobs because of the mandate.

Mr. Nantz said Valley Health had worked to limit disruptions to staffing and patient care. Months before the vaccine deadline, managers estimated how many people might leave and made more than 300 hires. The departure of 210 employees who refused to be vaccinated among 6,200 total employees hasn’t hurt Valley Health’s ability to care for patients, he said.

Robbie Dusing, a nursing director at Valley Health, said he listens to concerns that some nurses have about the vaccine and shares information to try to persuade them.

Robbie Dusing, a nursing director at Valley Health’s Winchester Medical Center, said he got his second vaccination shot in early January. He said he had been hospitalized with Covid-19 in March 2020 and continues to have heart problems related to the infection.

The 36-year-old said he has shared that experience in some of the many conversations he has had with his staff about getting inoculated. He listens to the concerns some nurses have, shares available research and cites expert opinions. Some remained unmoved. Many of those say they need more time to decide, while with others, “There’s this feeling of, ‘You can’t tell me what to do,’ ” he said.

Ms. Hart and Ms. Watson oversee a

Facebook

group in which 2,400 healthcare workers and their supporters urge each other to “hold the line” against vaccine mandates. Some post messages praising immunity to Covid-19 through infection over immunity through vaccination.

Research has shown that getting inoculated boosts immunity even in people who were infected earlier, and that vaccine-induced immunity generally appears to be stronger and longer-lasting than immunity conferred by natural infection.

Some members promote Ivermectin, an antiparasitic drug that some conservative media outlets have promoted to treat Covid-19. It is ineffective against Covid-19 and can be dangerous when used improperly, doctors and health officials have said.

“Just because you’re in healthcare doesn’t mean that science drives your core values,” said

Leana Wen,

former Baltimore City Health Commissioner and health policy professor at George Washington University. “There are other factors in people’s lives—family members, close friends, other beliefs and sources of information.”

Ms. Funk said she thinks media and officials are withholding relevant information about the vaccine.

Ms. Funk, who has been offered a telehealth nurse-practitioner job since being fired from Valley Health, occasionally shares videos and articles in the Facebook group, including one of a family physician who pushed back against masking and vaccination requirements at a school board meeting. YouTube has since removed the video for violating community guidelines.

Ms. Funk said her mind is made up for now on the Covid-19 vaccine, though she said she might get the shot in the years ahead if “any negative information about the vaccine isn’t actively being scrubbed.” She believes that now, mainstream media outlets, tech firms and public-health officials are withholding relevant information about the vaccine.

Public-health experts say they may never persuade people as skeptical as Ms. Funk to get the vaccine.

The proportion of adults saying they wanted to “wait and see” before getting the vaccine shrank to 7% in September from 39% last December, according to a recent poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation. However, the proportion of people who say they will “definitely not” get the vaccine has only dropped to 12% in September from 15% last December.

Heidi Larson, director of the Vaccine Confidence Project at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, thinks the best way to raise vaccination rates is to make connections with people still on the fence and address their concerns, to keep them from taking guidance from people who are against vaccinations.

Ms. Hart doesn’t believe she and her peers are spreading lies or conspiracy theories. People should be able to trade information they have come across and talk about what has worked for them, she said.

“We’re Americans, and there shouldn’t be any censorship,” she said. More than 230 people joined her Facebook group in the past four weeks. She and Ms. Watson are hoping to hold another picketing event before the end of the month.

Ms. Watson and Ms. Hart showed signs they have used during protests of Valley Health’s vaccine mandate.

Write to Sarah Toy at sarah.toy@wsj.com

Copyright ©2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Beyond Evergrande, China’s Property Market Faces a $5 Trillion Reckoning

It might not be the last.

As China enters what many economists say is the final stage of one of the largest real-estate booms in history, it is confronting a staggering bill: More than $5 trillion in debt that developers took on when times were good, according to economists at

Nomura Holdings Inc.

That debt is nearly double what it was at the end of 2016 and is more than the entire economic output of Japan, the world’s third-largest economy, last year.

Global markets are braced for a possible wave of defaults, with warning signs flashing over the debt of about two-fifths of development companies that have borrowed from international bond investors.

Chinese leaders are getting serious about addressing the debt, with a series of moves meant to curb excessive borrowing. But doing so without torpedoing the property market, crippling more developers and derailing the country’s economy is quickly turning into one of the biggest economic challenges Chinese leaders have faced in years, and one that could reverberate globally if mismanaged.

Luxury developer

Fantasia Holdings Group Co.

failed to repay $206 million in dollar bonds that matured Oct. 4. In late September, Evergrande, which has more than $300 billion in obligations, missed two interest-payment deadlines for bonds.

Asia’s junk-bond markets suffered a wave of selling last week. On Friday, bonds from 24 of the 59 Chinese development companies in an ICE BofA index of Asian corporate dollar bonds were trading at yields of above 20%, levels that indicate high risk of default.

Some prospective home buyers are balking, forcing the companies to cut prices to raise cash, and potentially accelerating their slide if the trend continues.

The Evergrande Fairyland complex in Lu’An, China, with towers under construction. Evergrande recently missed two bond-interest deadlines.



Photo:

Raul Ariano for The Wall Street Journal

Total sales among China’s 100 largest developers were down by 36% in September from a year earlier, according to data from CRIC, a research unit of property services firm

e-House (China) Enterprise Holdings Ltd.

It showed that the 10 biggest developers, including China Evergrande,

Country Garden Holdings Co.

and

China Vanke Co.

, saw sales down 44% from a year ago.

Economists say that most Chinese developers remain relatively healthy. Beijing also has the firepower and tight control of the financial system needed to prevent a so-called Lehman moment in which a corporate collapse snowballs into a financial crisis, they say.

In late September, The Wall Street Journal reported that China had asked local governments to prepare for problems potentially intensifying at Evergrande.

But many economists, investors and analysts agree that even for healthy ventures, the underlying business model—in which developers use debt to fund a steady churn of new construction despite demographics becoming less favorable for new housing—is likely to change. Some developers might not survive the transition, they say.

Of particular concern is some developers’ practice of relying heavily on “presales,” in which buyers pay in advance for still-uncompleted apartments.

The practice, more common in China than the U.S., means developers are in effect borrowing interest-free from millions of households, making it easier to continue expanding but potentially leaving buyers without finished apartments should the developers fail.

Presales and similar deals were the sector’s biggest funding source this year through August, according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China.

A model of a residential compound by China Vanke, a large developer, at its showroom in Dongguan, China.



Photo:

china stringer network/Reuters

“There is no return to the previous growth model for China’s real-estate market,” said

Houze Song,

a research fellow at the Paulson Institute, a Chicago think tank focused on U.S.-China relations. He said China is likely to keep in place a set of limits on corporate borrowing it imposed last year, known as the “three red lines,” which helped trigger the recent distress at some developers, though he said China might ease some other curbs.

While Beijing has avoided clear public statements on its plans for dealing with the most indebted developers, many economists believe leaders have no choice but to keep the pressure on them.

Policy makers appear determined to revamp a model driven by debt and speculation as part of President

Xi Jinping’s

broader efforts to defuse hidden risks that could destabilize society, especially ahead of important Communist Party meetings next year. Mr. Xi is widely expected then to break with precedent and extend his rule into a third term.

Beijing is worried that after years of rapid home-price gains, some people may be unable to get on the housing ladder, potentially fueling social discontent as wealth gaps widen, economists say. Young couples in large cities are beginning to get priced out, making it harder for them to start families. The median apartment in Beijing or Shenzhen now costs more than 40 times the median family annual disposable income, according to J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Authorities have said they are worried about the property market posing risks to the financial system. Reining in the developers’ business models and limiting debt, however, is almost certain to slow investment and cause at least some downturn in the property market, which is one of the biggest drivers of China’s growth.

The real-estate and construction industries account for a large part of China’s economy. A 2020 paper by researchers

Kenneth S. Rogoff

and

Yuanchen Yang

estimated that the industries, broadly construed, accounted for 29% of China’s economic activity, far more than in many other countries. Slower growth in housing could spill into other parts of the economy, affecting consumer spending and employment.

Government statistics show about 1.6 million acres of residential floor space was under construction at the end of last year. That was equal to about 21,000 towers with the floor area of the Burj Khalifa in Dubai, the world’s tallest building.

As restrictions on borrowing imposed last year kicked in, housing construction tumbled in August to 13.6% below its pre-pandemic level, calculations by Oxford Economics show.

The revenue local governments earn by selling land to developers fell by 17.5% in August from a year earlier. Local governments, which are also heavily indebted, count on land sales for much of their revenue.

The Luwan 68 development by Fantasia Holdings Group in Shanghai. The luxury developer failed to repay $206 million of dollar bonds that matured on Oct. 4.



Photo:

Qilai Shen/Bloomberg News

A further slowdown also would risk exposing banks to more bad loans. Outstanding property loans—primarily mortgages, but also loans to developers—accounted for 27% of China’s total $28.8 trillion in bank loans at the end of June, according to Moody’s Analytics.

As pressure on housing mounts, several research houses and banks have cut China’s growth outlook. Oxford Economics on Wednesday lowered its forecast for China’s third quarter year-on-year gross domestic product growth to 3.6% from 5% previously. It trimmed its 2022 growth forecast for China to 5.4% from 5.8%.

As recently as the 1990s, most of China’s city residents lived in drab dwellings provided by state-owned employers. When market reforms started transforming the country and more people moved to cities, China needed a massive new supply of higher-quality apartments. Private developers stepped in.

Over the years, they added millions of new units in modern, well-maintained high-rises. In 2019, new homes made up more than three-quarters of home sales in China, versus less than 12% in the U.S., according to data cited by Chinese property broker

KE Holdings Inc.

in a listing prospectus last year.

In the process, the developers became much bigger than anything seen in the U.S. The largest U.S. home builder by revenue,

D.R. Horton Inc.,

reported $21.8 billion of assets at the end of June. Evergrande had some $369 billion. Its assets included vast land reserves and 345,000 unsold parking spaces.

For much of the boom, the developers were filling a need. In more recent years, policy makers and economists began to fret that much of the market was driven by speculation.

Chinese households are restricted from investing abroad, and domestic bank deposits offer low returns. Many people are wary of the country’s boom-and-bust stock markets. So some have poured money into housing, in some cases buying three or four units without any intention of living in them or renting them out.

As developers bought more locations to build on, land sales pumped up national growth statistics. Dozens of entrepreneurs who had founded development companies showed up in lists of Chinese billionaires. Ten of the 16 soccer clubs in the Chinese Super League are wholly or partly owned by developers.

Residential skyscrapers being built in Shanghai, in November 2016.



Photo:

Johannes EISELE/AFP via Getty Images

The real-estate giants have borrowed not only from banks but also from shadow-banking outfits known as trust companies and from individuals who put their savings into investments called wealth-management products. Abroad, they became a mainstay of international junk-bond markets, offering juicy yields to get deals done.

One builder,

Kaisa Group Holdings Ltd.

, defaulted on its debt in 2015, yet was able to keep borrowing and expanding afterward. Two years later it spent the equivalent of $2.1 billion to buy 25 land parcels, and in 2020 spent $7.3 billion for land. This summer, Kaisa sold $200 million of short-term bonds yielding 8.65%.

Nomura estimated that as of June, Chinese developers had racked up debts of $5.2 trillion. It said the biggest share, 46%, was in bank loans. Bond markets accounted for about 10%, including the equivalent of $217 billion of dollar bonds, many of them junk-rated.

By last year, Chinese policy makers had had enough. In August 2020, they introduced the three-red-lines rules limiting how much borrowing developers could do. Some companies with short-term obligations they couldn’t pay without new funding had to start discounting apartments to raise money.

Authorities have tried to curb demand in some places by slowing mortgage lending. They have put caps on existing-home prices in about a dozen cities to tame speculation, according to state media reports.

When old-fashioned funding sources like bank loans grew harder to access, developers became more reliant on presales of unfinished apartments. These made up 26% of the debt in Nomura’s tally.

Presales are often recorded as contract liabilities, an item that shows up on the balance sheets of sector heavyweights such as Evergrande, Country Garden, China Vanke,

Sunac China Holdings Ltd.

and

China Resources Land Ltd.

For these five combined, contract liabilities have jumped 42% in the past three years to the equivalent of $341 billion as of the end of June, FactSet data show.

Developers have also made more use of other liabilities that, like presales, don’t strictly count as debt, such as borrowing more from business partners by taking longer to pay contractors or suppliers.

The construction site of a Vanke residential building in Dalian, China, in 2019.



Photo:

Reuters

Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

analysts recently estimated Evergrande had the equivalent of $156 billion of off-balance-sheet debt and contingent liabilities, including mortgage guarantees to help home buyers get loans.

Share Your Thoughts

Can China cool developers’ borrowing binge without torpedoing the property market and hurting the economy? Join the conversation below.

The other problem for developers, and for China’s property market overall, is the way some of the trends that fueled the boom are reversing.

China’s population is aging. Its workforce has been shrinking since 2012, and official forecasts last year predicted the total population would peak in 2027.

Homeownership is already over 90% for urban households in China, among the highest in the world, according to Mr. Rogoff and Ms. Yang. They cited earlier Chinese research saying that as of late 2018, 87% of home purchases were by buyers who already had at least one dwelling.

Julian Evans-Pritchard,

an economist at Capital Economics, said his firm has looked at developers’ ability to meet their obligations from cash holdings and doesn’t think most are on the brink of default. But, citing changing demographics and reduced internal migration, he said “we’re now at a turning point where actually demand for new urban housing is going to decline over the coming decade. So they’re going to be fighting over a shrinking pie.”

Deng Lin,

a 33-year-old lawyer in Shanghai, planned to sell two properties she owns to buy a bigger one after she gave birth to twins this summer. The government’s clampdown on debt risks derailing her plan of upgrading to a three-bedroom, which she estimates could cost up to $1.86 million.

Tightened mortgage rules means she would have to pay 80% upfront. Banks have been slow to approve her loan application.

“There’s simply too much uncertainty in the market,” she said.

Write to Quentin Webb at quentin.webb@wsj.com and Stella Yifan Xie at stella.xie@wsj.com

Copyright ©2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Everything Must Go! The American Car Dealership Is for Sale.

For nearly a century, the American car dealership has retained its iconic appearance even as technology transformed every corner of the business landscape. In towns across the country, local business titans lured customers to glass-walled showrooms and large asphalt lots, where buyers bargained for the best price. That model is showing its age.

The way people buy and sell cars is changing. More of it is happening online as buyers get comfortable with completing transactions remotely. It is a shift that started before the pandemic but accelerated over the last 18 months as Covid-19 spurred people to do more of their shopping from home and demand for cars unexpectedly surged.

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The Boss Wants You Back in the Office. Like, Now.

After 16 months of enduring remote work as a viable pandemic-era solution, many CEOs have a message for their staff: Enough.

At healthcare products maker Abbott Laboratories , executives told corporate employees to return to the company’s headquarters near Chicago this month.

In Pontiac, Mich., the 200-acre campus of lender United Wholesale Mortgage is full again after the company brought nearly 9,300 employees back five days a week as of mid-July.

Office attendance at CenterPoint Energy Inc., a Houston company that delivers electric power in Texas, is back to pre-pandemic levels. The company told all corporate employees to return to its headquarters downtown in June after asking some senior-level employees to return last year.

The finally-had-it moment comes just as the highly transmissible Covid-19 Delta variant has injected uncertainty into reopening plans. Apple Inc. said Monday it was delaying its planned September return to the office by at least a month. A number of companies across industries, in particular technology, are maintaining work-from-home arrangements or hybrid plans.

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Inside Archegos’s Epic Meltdown – WSJ

Bill Hwang was in trouble.

On Thursday of last week, the firm managing the former hedge-fund trader’s wealth arranged a conference call with executives at some of the largest investment banks in the world. The urgent topic: mounting losses at Mr. Hwang’s family office, Archegos Capital Management, from a handful of large bets on major stocks.

Because the wagers had been made in part with so-called total-return swaps—investments made by banks on behalf of clients for a fee—they had obscured Mr. Hwang’s large exposure to several companies.

Archegos shocked its lenders when it told them the size of its portfolio and how little cash it was holding, said people familiar with the call—not the least because they were all now facing billions of dollars in potential losses themselves.

Now Wall Street is sifting through the aftermath of the biggest single-firm meltdown since the financial crisis. Mr. Hwang alone lost approximately $8 billion in 10 days, a person familiar with the matter said, in what traders and investors say was one of the fastest losses of such a large sum they had ever seen.

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Suez Canal Opens, but Shipping Will Be Snarled for Months

The bridge of the oil tanker Navig8 Aronaldo erupted in cheers after Capt. Malik Naushad told his crew to prepare to weigh anchor midnight Tuesday and start their voyage out of the Suez Canal, where they had been stuck for six days by the grounding of the Ever Given.

Back at the German offices of Jan Held, whose family firm has three different ships stuck at Suez, the mood wasn’t as jubilant. Watching a live feed of the Ever Given move off the bank, Mr. Held knew that uncorking the biggest traffic jam in global shipping in recent years could take a long time to resolve, and set off a scramble for berths and clear routes.

“You see a lot of bizarre things in shipping,” said Mr. Held, a former ship’s captain himself and co-owner of Held Bereederungs GmbH & Co KG, based in the north German city of Haren. “But with this, you knew it would have repercussions around the world.”

Late Tuesday, ships were again moving through the Suez Canal, a day after engineers freed the Ever Given, a 1,300-foot container ship, and cleared the waterway for global traffic. Osama Rabie, chairman of the Suez Canal Authority, which runs the 120-mile shipping route, said at a press conference that 113 ships had crossed in both directions since the route reopened late Monday, and another 95 are expected to pass through in the evening, up from the typical 50 or so daily passages. 

Egyptian officials say the logjam will be cleared in three to four days. Shipping executives say it will take days longer. Leth Agencies, a ship’s services provider in the Suez, said 352 vessels are still awaiting transit.

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United’s Recent Engine Failure Spooked Denver. It’s Happened Before.

When a Boeing 777’s engine cover broke apart and rained parts on a Denver suburb on Feb. 20, the news rang familiar to Christopher Behnam. In February 2018, the 777 he was piloting as captain suffered a similar emergency with the same engine type.

His plane, United Airlines Flight 1175 to Honolulu, was over the ocean 120 miles from the runway carrying more than 370 passengers and crew when a violent blast rocked it.

The jet shook uncontrollably, rolled sharply, and the noise was deafening, said Capt. Behnam. An engine had suffered severe damage. Years of training kicked in, the pilots regained control and shut the engine down. Even so, the plane was hard to handle. A third pilot went into the cabin and looked out the window: The engine hadn’t just failed; its cover had ripped away.

“After the explosion, it felt like she was going to fall apart,” Capt. Behnam said. “I knew I could fly the airplane. The issue was, can I fly it long enough to land it?” The pilots brought the plane to a safe landing in Hawaii.

The National Transportation Safety Board, which investigates U.S. aviation failures, concluded that a roughly 35-pound fan blade broke in the plane’s Pratt & Whitney PW4000 engine due to fatigue, spiraling forward and causing parts of the engine cover to drop into the sea.

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A New Generation Takes the Lead in Myanmar Protests

When massive demonstrations swept Myanmar in opposition to last month’s military coup, 17-year-old Sithu Shein rushed to the front lines. The high-school student, who used to spend his free time playing videogames, organized friends and neighbors and exhorted workers at a nearby garment factory to join what he called a fight for democracy.

A week ago, security forces opened fire at a protest in the neighborhood where he lived in Yangon, the country’s biggest city, and he was shot. One bullet struck his chest, another his hip. He died hours later in a chaotic hospital emergency room.

Myanmar’s young people—who came of age during a period of relative openness and democratic transition in a country that spent decades as an authoritarian state isolated from the outside world—are at the forefront of the movement to restore elected government. Their struggle, following large-scale protests in Hong Kong, Thailand, Belarus and Russia, come at a time when both autocratic rule and resistance to it have been rising, pitting often youthful crowds in the streets against regimes willing to arrest, intimidate and even kill to hold on to power.

Today’s generation in Myanmar glimpsed what it’s like to live in a free society. State censorship was lifted in 2012, and millions of young people connected to the world through the internet for the first time. They saw the promise of foreign investment, and many aspire to jobs in fields like tech and travel. The transition was incomplete, but after half a century of military rule, it opened the door to momentous change.

“Despite the governments of the past decade being far from democratic, a new generation’s come to the fore that has known a good degree of political freedom, a more confident generation that fully expected their lives to be a quantum leap forward from those of their parents,” said author and historian Thant Myint-U, whose books include “The Hidden History of Burma,” the former name for Myanmar.

Since authorities began using force, the young men and women at the front lines of demonstrations have adjusted their tactics and borrowed strategies from Hong Kong’s street battles, staying fluid and using encrypted messaging apps. While many still support the pro-democracy effort that for decades was led by Aung San Suu Kyi—the 75-year-old ousted civilian leader now detained in her home—young people are beginning to view themselves as leaders of what is emerging as a more diverse and decentralized movement than before.

People flash a three-finger sign of resistance during the burial of a protester in Mandalay, Myanmar, on March 4.



Photo:

Associated Press

Police officers search for demonstrators during a protest in Yangon this week.



Photo:

lynn bo bo/EPA/Shutterstock

After the coup on Feb. 1, 20-year-old protester Aung Hein Cho, said at first he lost hope. “My future looked bleak and opaque—I couldn’t let that happen,” he said.

What started off as massive centralized rallies has increasingly shifted to smaller demonstrations in neighborhoods, making them more difficult for authorities to track and control. Many are fortified with makeshift barricades of wooden planks, trash bins and car tires to slow authorities, and volunteers monitor the streets for police or soldiers. If spotted, crowds will often disperse and either move to a safer location or reconvene when the coast is clear.

Arrayed against them are Myanmar’s armed forces, which have violently suppressed past protests and for most of the country’s post-independence history waged bloody civil wars in the borderlands.

In the past two weeks, at least 59 people have died. Among them: a 19-year-old Taekwondo practitioner shot in the head while wearing a T-shirt that read, “Everything will be OK”; a Korean-language student weeks from his 25th birthday who aspired to travel to Seoul as an electrical specialist; and a 23-year-old internet network engineer who bled to death.

While the young are playing a critical role, the resistance is drawing from all layers of Myanmar society, helped by an array of organizations. These organizations are combined forces of student and labor unions, civil-society groups and other networks with longstanding connections allowing for fast transmission of plans, particularly through social media. Adding to that are striking civil servants and state employees—electrical and railways workers, banking staff, doctors and others—threatening to bring government to a standstill.

Live-streams of marches, gunfire and people being beaten with batons and rifle butts flood Facebook daily. Young citizens scan social-media feeds and dozens of encrypted Telegram and Signal groups to stay on top of street battles in real time. One Telegram group, with an anonymous administrator, pings constantly with information about military deployments and road blockages.

Photos: Crackdown on Myanmar Protesters Escalates

Hein Min Oo is part of what he calls the defense team. Geared up in a hard hat, gas mask, red-rimmed goggles and gloves, his job is to smother tear-gas canisters. The 28-year-old studied YouTube videos from Hong Kong, he said, and uses wet blankets and old clothes for the job. Others, equipped with shields, work as “blockers,” forming a phalanx against rubber bullets and water cannons, he said.

Until Feb. 28, Mr. Hein Min Oo wasn’t an active protester. He contributed through the car-rental service he runs, whose fleet of Toyota Alphards offered free rides from protest venues to help participants return home. But a crackdown that killed 18 people convinced him he needed to fight, he said.

Unlike his father, who worked odd jobs, Mr. Hein Min Oo launched a business in 2013 as Myanmar was opening up, and catered to a growing stream of tourists and foreign investors. He says he can’t tolerate the idea of returning to military rule, where soldiers can harass and detain with impunity. On several occasions in recent days, he has sought refuge in strangers’ homes to evade police.

“It’s like a game of peek-a-boo,” said Thinzar Shunlei Yi, 29, a prominent activist. Stun grenades erupted in the background as she spoke from her Yangon neighborhood, Sanchaung. “They can’t be everywhere all the time. When the police leave, people just get right back on the streets.”

Activist Thinzar Shunlei Yi at a recent protest march in Yangon.



Photo:

Future Nation Alliance

Ms. Thinzar Shunlei Yi is emblematic of her generation. She remembers the first time she felt emboldened to express herself—in 2012, when she was invited to represent her country at a regional youth forum in Cambodia. She and other participants from Myanmar feared they would face backlash when they returned. But when their plane landed in Yangon, “nothing bad happened.”

“That was the moment we knew we could widen the boundaries,” she said.

She went on to host a youth debate platform called Under 30 Dialogue, broadcast by Mizzima, a news outlet that returned to Myanmar in 2012 after years of operating from exile in India. On Monday, the military junta revoked the licenses of Mizzima and four other outlets, effectively banning them.

Ms. Thinzar Shunlei Yi threw herself into the anticoup movement. She attends regular in-person meetings with other activists, where they plan how to spread the word about gathering sites, arrange security for smaller protests and organize street cleanups afterward. Every day, she wakes up and checks her channels on Signal, Telegram and Viber, then she takes to Twitter to send out a few updates before she sets out. She’s prepared to throw away her phone before allowing it to be taken by authorities.

“We’re all aware of what we’re dealing with—we could be killed, arrested, jailed,” she said. “But we know and the security forces know that they can’t kill all of us.”

Nyi Nyi Aung Htet Naing, a 23-year-old internet network engineer, bled to death after being shot at a Feb. 28 protest.



Photo:

Ko Ko Aung Htet Naing

Authorities have rounded up hundreds of protesters, politicians and activists from the streets and in nightly raids on their homes. A politician arrested Saturday night was confirmed dead in a military hospital the next morning, his party said. On Sunday, Yangon residents heard rounds of gunfire and stun grenades erupting after nightfall.

While some democracy fighters are visible, others are behind the scenes, including those who participated in earlier movements in 1988 and 2007. From a hiding place he has called home since shortly after the coup, one activist furnishes protesters with food supplies and shields made of galvanized iron. He also arranges for hide-outs for police defectors and others like him who are being hunted by authorities.

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Another experienced activist said the continuing protests are different from the past in one key way: “This time, the military is taking us towards darkness from the light which we saw in recent years.”

Mr. Aung Hein Cho agrees. The internet’s arrival made it possible to learn about events in the world, he said. More books became available; one of his favorites is a Burmese-language bootleg copy of Francis Fukuyama’s “The End of History and the Last Man.” His family used to read the state-run newspaper, New Light of Myanmar, but after 2012, independent newspapers appeared on newsstands in Myanmar.

These days, the 20-year-old can often be found huddled behind a homemade shield fashioned from old water tanks. His and his friends’ backpacks are filled with firecrackers, bottles of Coca-Cola to wash tear gas from their eyes and sometimes, a few Molotov cocktails, though he said he himself hasn’t used one.

People use their mobile phones to take photographs of a spent shotgun shell, which was believed to contain rubber bullets, as protesters face off with security forces.



Photo:

AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE via Getty Images

Protesters react after riot police fired tear gas canisters during a demonstration in Yangon this week against the military coup.



Photo:

Aung Kyaw Htet/SOPA/Zuma Press

March 3 was the first time he had to run for his life as security forces with guns sent protesters fleeing. “They came using force and tried to kill us, I will never forget that,” he said.

Others didn’t escape. Mr. Sithu Shein, the 17-year-old, became a teenager at a time when having a mobile phone and internet was no longer a novelty. Before that, SIM cards—the chips that connect phones to a mobile network—could cost thousands of dollars in the isolated country.

He played videogames DOTA-2 and Mobile Legends at gaming shops. His father said his son wasn’t interested in the family construction business, and instead thought he might consider a career in travel, one of Myanmar’s most-promising industries since junta rule ended.

The coup jolted him and his friends. Elders at home had shared stories of land confiscations, arrests and scarce economic, educational and travel opportunities during military rule. With the takeover, they saw for themselves how hundreds were detained and the internet cut off every night. They knew the army would “do whatever they want to people whenever they have an opportunity,” said a friend of Mr. Sithu Shein’s.

Mr. Sithu Shein immersed himself. On the day of the coup, he posted on Facebook an illustration of civilian leader Ms. Suu Kyi whose government was deposed, which had the words “Give her back” across the top. Ms. Suu Kyi was detained in her home in a predawn raid and hasn’t been heard from since, except in closed video hearings on the charges against her.

Sithu Shein, 17, died of gunshot wounds sustained during protests in Myanmar on March 3.

Mr. Sithu Shein quickly took on a leadership role mobilizing other young people. He made friends easily, networking among activists he met on the streets and joining forces with groups from other neighborhoods. They exchanged phone numbers, met at each other’s houses and plotted future assemblies.

One of his new friends said Mr. Sithu Shein paid for materials to make a dozen protective shields. On the morning of March 3, Mr. Sithu Shein came to his house to convince him to join a demonstration in a neighborhood further south, he said. Lin Tun Ko declined, still recovering from an ankle injury he sustained when unknown assailants ambushed him one night and warned him to steer clear of protests.

“I feel really sorry and I really regret that I wasn’t able to accompany him to the protests on that day,” Mr. Lin Tun Ko said.

Police broke up the demonstration with flashbangs and tear gas. A bulldozer rammed protesters’ makeshift barricade. Mr. Sithu Shein, accompanied by a different friend, scurried into the nearest home. When police left, they reassembled.

Returning home that afternoon, the pair encountered roadblocks and decided to walk. A crowd had gathered near an overpass in an area called North Okkalapa and they joined the protest. Police hurled tear gas, but it didn’t end there, said the friend, Tin Moe Naing.

Some protesters confronted police and the two watched reinforcements arrive: soldiers in military vehicles. Then the shooting began. Many were hit and fell to the ground. Some lunged forward to help the injured and were gunned down.

The friends were separated in the melee. Mr. Tin Moe Naing called Mr. Sithu Shein’s phone repeatedly but got no answer. He asked other friends to try, without luck. When the search proved fruitless, he headed to Mr. Sithu Shein’s house hoping his friend had escaped. Around him, bleeding men were being dragged into cars and rushed to hospital.

He learned later that Mr. Sithu Shein was one of them. He had been hit in the chest and hip. Doctors performed surgery to try to remove the bullets, but he was losing blood and the influx of wounded patients had overwhelmed the emergency room, his father said. His upper body in bandages, the young man breathed his last after midnight.

Thousands attended the funeral. Symbols of resistance were everywhere: three-finger salutes common to the region’s activists, the pro-democracy party’s red flags and protest poetry. “I will still keep fighting for democracy and freedom until my last breath,” said Mr. Tin Moe Naing.

Mourners flash a three-fingered symbol of resistance as they carry the coffin of Pho Chit, an anti-coup protester who died during a Mar. 3 rally.



Photo:

Associated Press

Write to Niharika Mandhana at niharika.mandhana@wsj.com and Feliz Solomon at feliz.solomon@wsj.com

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Novavax Nears Covid-19 Vaccine Game Changer—After Years of Failure

In January of last year, employees of Novavax Inc. met at a local Maryland bar to discuss how they might salvage their careers. For decades, the small biotech had tried to develop an approved vaccine, with no success. The company had enough cash to survive only another six months or so and its shares traded under $4, with a market value of $127 million.

Today, Novavax is advancing toward authorization of a Covid-19 vaccine. Scientists believe that, if cleared, it could be one of the more powerful weapons against the pandemic, offering key possible advantages over its competitors. Some early data suggest the Novavax shot may be one of the first shown to stem asymptomatic spread of the coronavirus and also potentially provide longer-lasting protection.

If the vaccine is authorized, Novavax will still face the challenge of making and distributing it in large quantities. The firm sold some manufacturing assets in 2019 when it was desperate for cash.

Investors, who left the 33-year-old company for dead last year, are betting that regulators will authorize Novavax’s vaccine in the next couple of months. They have sent shares on Nasdaq up to $229, up 106% so far this year. Late last month, Novavax released preliminary data indicating its shot was effective at protecting against Covid-19, though less so against a new strain identified in South Africa that appears to be a challenge for other shots, too. Results of the vaccine’s late-stage U.S. trial could be released late next month.

Novavax now has a market value of $15.4 billion, greater than that of companies with billions of dollars of annual sales, including generic drug giant Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.

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