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Exclusive: Ant investor Boyu Capital targets $6 billion for new private equity fund

By Kane Wu

HONG KONG (Reuters) – Chinese private equity firm Boyu Capital, an investor in Chinese technology titans including billionaire Jack Ma’s Ant Group, is raising a new, China-focused fund targeting as much as $6 billion, three people with knowledge of the matter said.

Its fifth and largest U.S. dollar-denominated fund is likely to close in the near term, said one of the people, who declined to be identified as the information is confidential.

Boyu did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The fundraising by a firm widely associated with tech startups amounts to a high-profile test of investor appetite at a time when heightened oversight of China’s tech giants clouds the near-term outlook of those companies.

It follows authorities’ November suspension of Ant’s Shanghai and Hong Kong dual listing, which delayed the hefty returns early investors such as Boyu could have expected from the world’s biggest initial public offering (IPO).

The financial technology giant was set to raise $37 billion at a valuation of $315 billion. Since the suspension, China has sharpened oversight of its home-grown champions which has also exposed their investors to more public scrutiny.

A central bank official said Ant’s IPO was suspended to safeguard consumers and investors. Ant has since agreed a restructuring plan with regulators, Reuters reported this month.

ALIBABA AID

Boyu was founded in 2010 by, among others, Alvin Jiang, grandson of former President Jiang Zemin. The firm has offices in Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Singapore, and invests in consumer and retail, financial services, healthcare and media and technology sectors, its website showed.

It is known for its 2012 investment in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd which helped Ma buy back half of Yahoo! Inc’s 40% stake in the e-commerce firm, Reuters has reported.

At $6 billion, Boyu’s new fund would be one of the region’s largest focusing on China. It last raised $3.6 billion in 2019.

Past investors include Hong Kong’s richest man Li Ka-shing and Singapore state investors Temasek Holdings Ltd and GIC Pte Ltd, Reuters has reported. The New York Common Retirement Fund has also been an investor, showed the website of the state comptroller.

Private equity managers in Asia raised $108 billion for 481 new funds last year, down 45% by dollar value from 2019, showed Preqin data, as the COVID-19 pandemic dampened fundraising.

Activity has picked up in 2021 with $21 billion raised via 56 funds so far, the data showed.

TECH INVESTMENTS

Boyu invested in Ant’s $4.5 billion fundraising in 2016 and $14 billion funding round two years later. In the interim, Ant’s valuation leapt from $60 billion to $150 billion.

The private equity firm has invested in other booming Chinese tech and healthcare startups in recent years that generated lucrative returns,two of the people said.

Portfolio firms include ride-hailer Didi Chuxing, artificial intelligence (AI) firm MegVii and live-streaming app operator Kuaishou Technology, according to media reports and public information.

In January, it participated in a $700 million fundraising by AI firm 4Paradigm, Dealogic data showed.

(Reporting by Kane Wu; Editing by Sumeet Chatterjee and Christopher Cushing)

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‘Big Short’ investor Michael Burry says the stock market is ‘dancing on a knife’s edge’ – and fears he’s being ignored again

Christian Bale as Michael Burry in “The Big Short.”
  • Michael Burry sounded the alarm on the stock market over the weekend.
  • The “Big Short” investor said extreme speculation and debt could cause a crash.
  • Burry said his warnings were being ignored as they were during the housing bubble.
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

Rampant speculation and widespread betting with borrowed money have driven the stock market to the brink of collapse, Michael Burry said over the weekend.

“Speculative stock #bubbles ultimately see the gamblers take on too much debt,” the investor tweeted along with a chart showing the S&P 500 index and levels of margin debt both soaring in recent months.

“The market is dancing on a knife’s edge,” Burry added.

Burry said the flow of cash from actively managed funds to index trackers and the boom in day traders sharing tips on social media and touting meme stocks had helped to fuel the market upswing.

“Passive investing’s IQ drain, and #stonksgoup hype, add to the danger,” he said.

In another tweet, the Scion Asset Management chief highlighted a “massive spike” in the volume of bullish call options being traded. He added the hashtags #cautiontothewind and #blowofftop to emphasize his view that those types of wagers are propelling stocks to extreme levels.

Burry is best known for his billion-dollar bet on a crash in the US housing market in the mid-2000s, immortalized in “The Big Short.” Christian Bale portrayed him in the movie adaptation of the book.

The investor also laid the groundwork for the GameStop short squeeze when he backed the video-game retailer in 2019 and wrote several letters to its bosses.

Burry tweeted on Sunday that his latest warning was being ignored just as Wall Street dismissed his warnings during the housing bubble.

“People say I didn’t warn last time,” he said. “I did, but no one listened. So I warn this time. And still, no one listens. But I will have proof I warned.”

Burry doubled down on his view by adding that quote to his Twitter bio. His display name is Cassandra, a reference to the priestess from Greek mythology who was cursed to share true prophecies but never to be believed.

Read more: Bank of America says buy these 14 cheap stocks that are best positioned to soar on the strongest economic comeback in nearly 40 years



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This Ace Investor Just Trimmed Her Tesla Stake — Should You?

Many people have made huge profits by owning shares of Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). Even those who only have a year under their belt with the electric automaker’s stock have seen mind-blowing gains. Truly long-term investors have found life-changing wealth.

Ace investing pro Cathie Wood has benefited tremendously from Tesla’s rise. The chief investment officer at active exchange-traded fund pioneer ARK Invest has dramatically boosted the performance of several of her ETFs by owning shares of the auto giant.

So when two of ARK Invest’s ETFs trimmed their stakes in Tesla last week, it raised questions. Could the star investor be losing confidence in Tesla? Or is she just making prudent portfolio management decisions? Let’s look at what Wood did and what it means for Tesla investors.

Image source: Tesla.

2 sales of Tesla stock

The nice thing about the active ETF model is that you get to see the moves that Wood is making in her funds almost in real time. The funds make daily disclosures of their buys and sales, and you can track them to see when there are changes in sentiment at ARK Invest.

Last week, ARK made two moves involving Tesla. The ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEMKT:ARKK) sold about 137,000 shares of Tesla stock on Jan. 19, raising roughly $115 million. The ARK Next Generation Internet (NYSEMKT:ARKW) followed up on Jan. 20 with a much smaller sale of 10,500 shares, producing about $9 million in cash proceeds.

The sales were part of a broader reallocation. For Next Generation Internet, the ETF used the money to add to positions in Synopsys (NASDAQ:SNPS). Meanwhile, the six stocks that the Innovation ETF bought the day it sold Tesla included Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN) and Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT), among others.

Still a big Tesla owner

ARK Invest’s sales didn’t change the prominent role that Tesla stock plays in these two ETFs’ portfolios. The Innovation and Next Generation Internet ETFs still have Tesla as their largest positions, with a total of more than $2.8 billion invested in the stock across both portfolios. For both ETFs, Tesla makes up more than 9% of their respective assets under management.

It would therefore be unreasonable to conclude that ARK Invest has lost any confidence in Tesla’s ability to retain its leadership role in the electric vehicle industry. But it does raise an age-old dilemma: Do you let winners run even after they make up a large percentage of your overall holdings? Or do you cut back your positions in favor of reallocating money to other investment opportunities?

Risk vs. reward

Long-term investors like to hold onto stocks as long as they can. When a company’s underlying business is successful, it can generate huge growth rates in sales and earnings over periods of years or even decades. The stock usually follows suit, as investors have seen with Tesla as its vehicle deliveries have skyrocketed and it has started to generate a consistent profit.

That doesn’t mean long-term investors never sell. But it usually takes a massive change in a company’s fortunes to prompt a complete liquidation of a long-term investor’s position in a stock — something that fundamentally goes against the investor’s thesis for buying the stock in the first place.

However, when it comes to trimming a winning stock, there’s more debate. Some say it’s prudent to diversify to reduce the risk of having a concentrated position. Others argue that if a stock is winning, you shouldn’t mess with success.

When to trim

The question to ask yourself is this: Are you reducing your position because you have a stock you think has even better prospects for the future, or are you simply selling to lock in a gain?

Trimming a winning position in favor of investing in an even bigger possible winner can be a great move, especially in a retirement account for which you don’t have to worry about capital gains taxes. It doesn’t signal a loss of confidence in your original stock but rather the belief that you can do better elsewhere.

On the other hand, trimming for trimming’s sake isn’t always as clear. Raising cash as you search for better growth prospects isn’t a bad idea, but you have to be prepared for your original stock to keep rising even as you look. Taking money from winning stocks to reinvest in losing stocks, however, often turns out badly — especially when there were good reasons for those losers to underperform.

It certainly appears that ARK Invest’s motivation for trimming its Tesla position was to redeploy capital to other high-conviction stock ideas. That’s a worthy move — and it doesn’t say anything negative about Tesla’s ability to keep dominating its industry for years to come. If you have another stock you think will do even better than Tesla, you might want to consider doing the same thing ARK Invest did.



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Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham says Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus plan will make the stock market bubble even worse


Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham warned investors during a Bloomberg interview that the $1.9 trillion in federal aid President Joe Biden is seeking from Congress will further inflate the stock market bubble.

The GMO co-founder told Erik Schatzker that he has “no doubt” some of the stimulus aid will end up in the market. He said the “sad truth” about the last stimulus bill passed in 2020 was that it didn’t increase capital spending and didn’t increase real production, but it certainly flowed into stocks. 

The plan that Biden is proposing contains a $1,400 boost to stimulus checks, robust state and local aid, and vaccine-distribution funds. Grantham said that if the package passed is worth $1.9 trillion, it could lead to the dangerous end of the bubble.  

“If it’s as big as they talk about, this would be a very good making of a top for the market, just of the kind that the history books would enjoy,” said Grantham.

“We will have a few weeks of extra money and a few weeks of putting your last, desperate chips into the game, and then an even more spectacular bust,” he added. 

Read more: A notorious market bear who called the dot-com bubble says he sees ‘fresh deterioration’ in the market indicator that first signaled the 1929 and 1987 crashes – and warns that stocks are ripe for a 70% drop

Grantham has long-warned of the ballooning bubble he sees in the US stock market. In his investor outlook letter in the beginning of January, he detailed how extreme overvaluations, explosive price increases, frenzied issuance, and “hysterically speculative investor behavior” all demonstrate that the stock market is in a bubble that not even the Fed can stop from bursting.

“When you have reached this level of obvious super-enthusiasm, the bubble has always, without exception, broken in the next few months, not a few years,” Grantham told Bloomberg.

Grantham also said that the combination of fiscal stimulus and emergency Fed programs that helped inflate the bubble could increase inflation.

“If you think you live in a world where output doesn’t matter and you can just create paper, sooner or later you’re going to do the impossible, and that is bring back inflation,” Grantham said. “Interest rates are paper. Credit is paper. Real life is factories and workers and output, and we are not looking at increased output.”

He told investors to seek out stocks outside of US markets, as many other countries haven’t seen the huge bull market the US has. He called emerging markets stocks “handsomely priced.”

“You will not make a handsome 10- or 20-year return from U.S. growth stocks,” said Grantham. “If you could do emerging, low-growth and green, you might get the jackpot.”

Read more: GOLDMAN SACHS: These 22 stocks still haven’t recovered to pre-pandemic levels – and are set to explode amid higher earnings in 2021 as the economy recovers

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