Tag Archives: Investment strategy

Wait before trading on company earnings

CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Friday warned investors not to make trading decisions fresh off a company’s earnings report.

Stocks made a comeback on Friday after falling initially on quarterly earnings reports and recession warnings from major banks. All three major indexes ended the week up, as investors digested a slate of earnings reports and economic data that suggested inflation is cooling. 

Cramer, who earlier this week offered investors a set of guidelines for earnings season, called Friday’s trading session an example of why investors should be disciplined with their portfolios.

“Every quarter I make the same argument about how you should wait and do more work before you pull the trigger, but a lot of people remain unconvinced,” he said.

He also went over next week’s slate of quarterly reports. All estimates for earnings, revenue and economic data are courtesy of FactSet.

Tuesday: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, United Airlines

Goldman Sachs

  • Q4 2022 earnings release at 7:30 a.m. ET; conference call at 9:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $5.56
  • Projected revenue: $10.76 billion

The company’s stock could soar higher if the earnings report beats expectations, he said.

Morgan Stanley

  • Q4 2022 earnings release at 7:30 a.m. ET; conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $1.29
  • Projected revenue: $12.54 billion

Cramer said he expects a “terrific” report from the bank.

United Airlines

  • Q4 2022 earnings release at 4:30 p.m. ET; conference call on Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $2.11
  • Projected revenue: $12.23 billion

The company will put up great numbers, since consumers are still spending on travel, he predicted.

Wednesday: J.B. Hunt Transport, Alcoa

J.B. Hunt Transport

  • Q4 2022 earnings release before the bell; conference call at 9 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $2.45
  • Projected revenue: $3.83 billion

Cramer said he’ll be watching for any sign that there’s a slowdown in commerce.

Alcoa

  • Q4 2022 earnings release at 4:10 p.m. ET; conference call at 5 p.m. ET
  • Projected loss: 69 cents per share
  • Projected revenue: $2.65 billion

The metals “have become insane stock growers. … The aluminum company knows if the metals move is merely a squeeze or the real deal with actual demand,” he said.

Thursday: Procter & Gamble, Netflix

Procter & Gamble

  • Q2 2023 earnings release at 6:55 a.m. ET; conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $1.58
  • Projected revenue: $20.70 billion

He said he expects the company to report a solid quarter as raw costs come down and foreign exchange headwinds abated.

Netflix

  • Q4 2022 earnings release at 4 p.m. ET; conference call at 6 p.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: 58 cents
  • Projected revenue: $7.84 billion

“I think Netflix could be one of the strongest stories out there,” he said.

Friday: SLB

  • Q4 2022 earnings release at 7 a.m. ET; conference call at 9:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: 68 cents
  • Projected revenue: $7.78 billion

“SLB will tell us where the new finds are. They will play with an open hand. I bet you they give you a little update on Russia, too,” he said.

Disclaimer: Cramer’s Charitable Trust owns shares of Morgan Stanley and Procter & Gamble.

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SEC charges Genesis and Gemini with selling unregistered securities

SEC chairman Gary Gensler testifies before a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing on Sept. 14, 2021 in Washington.

Evelyn Hockstein-Pool/Getty Images

The Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday charged crypto firms Genesis and Gemini with allegedly selling unregistered securities in connection with a high-yield product offered to depositors.

Gemini, a crypto exchange, and Genesis, a crypto lender, partnered in February 2021 on a Gemini product called Earn, which touted yields of up to 8% for customers.

According to the SEC, Genesis loaned Gemini users’ crypto and sent a portion of the profits back to Gemini, which then deducted an agent fee, sometimes over 4%, and returned the remaining profit to its users. Genesis should have registered that product as a securities offering, SEC officials said.

“Today’s charges build on previous actions to make clear to the marketplace and the investing public that crypto lending platforms and other intermediaries need to comply with our time-tested securities laws,” SEC chair Gary Gensler said in a statement.

Gemini’s Earn program, supported by Genesis’ lending activities, met the SEC’s definition by including both an investment contract and a note, SEC officials said. Those two features are part of how the SEC assesses whether an offering is a security.

Regulators are seeking permanent injunctive relief, disgorgement, and civil penalties against both Genesis and Gemini.

The two firms have been engaged in a high-profile battle over $900 million in customer assets that Gemini entrusted to Genesis as part of the Earn program, which was shuttered this week.

Gemini, which was founded in 2015 by bitcoin advocates Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, has an extensive exchange business that, while beleaguered, could possibly weather an enforcement action.

But Genesis’ future is more uncertain, because the business is heavily focused on lending out customer crypto and has already engaged restructuring advisers. The crypto lender is a unit of Barry Silbert’s Digital Currency Group.

SEC officials said the possibility of a DCG or Genesis bankruptcy had no bearing on deciding whether to pursue a charge.

It’s the latest in a series of recent crypto enforcement actions led by Gensler after the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX in November. Gensler was roundly criticized on social media and by lawmakers for the SEC’s failure to impose safeguards on the nascent crypto industry.

Gensler’s SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, chaired by Rostin Benham, are the two regulators that oversee crypto activity in the U.S. Both agencies filed complaints against Bankman-Fried, but the SEC has, of late, ramped up the pace and the scope of enforcement actions.

The SEC brought a similar action against now bankrupt crypto lender BlockFi and settled last year. Earlier this month, Coinbase settled with New York state regulators over historically inadequate know-your-customer protocols.

Since Bankman-Fried was indicted on federal fraud charges in December, the SEC has filed five crypto-related enforcement actions.

This is breaking news. Check back for updates.

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Bed Bath & Beyond jumps 50% to lead ‘nonsense’ rally in meme stocks; AMC gains 15%

A “Store Closing” banner on a Bed Bath & Beyond store in Farmingdale, New York, on Friday, Jan. 6, 2023.

Johnny Milano | Bloomberg | Getty Images

A group of highly speculative stocks rallied double digits on Wednesday as retail investors pushed meme names up again in the new year following a dismal 2022.

Bed Bath & Beyond rallied a whopping 50% to trigger the trend in morning trading Wednesday. Shares of GameStop, the original star of 2021’s meme stock mania, climbed more than 10%. AMC Entertainment soared 18%.

Meme stocks rallying one more time

Stock Short interest % float Wed. Gain % off 52W high
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) 48.9% 60% -89%
AMC (AMC) 21% 15% -78%
GameStop (GME) 21% 8% -62%

Source: FactSet

The rally in Bed Bath & Beyond was initially triggered by news that it would lay off more employees in an attempt to reduce costs and stay in business.

The home goods retailer told employees that it is eliminating the chief transformation officer role, which is held by Anu Gupta, on the same day it reported disappointing fiscal third-quarter results. Bed Bath & Beyond is approaching a potential bankruptcy, as its sales decline and losses grow. 

“We don’t love the strength in nonsense stocks like AMC, CVNA, GME, BBBY, PRTY, etc.,” said Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge. “This just means people are blindly chasing.”

During early 2021, a band of retail traders joined forces on social media to bid up a slew of heavily shorted stocks, creating massive short squeezes that inflicted high pain on short sellers. These meme stocks experienced big pullbacks last year when risk sentiment shifted amid aggressive rate hikes. GameStop fell 50% in 2022, while AMC tumbled 75% and Bed Bath & Beyond plunged 82%.

While the short interest in these names has come down from its peak after the jaw-dropping episode, it still remains much higher than average.

About 48% of Bed Bath & Beyond’s float shares are sold short, compared with an average of 5% short interest in a typical U.S. stock, according to S3 Partners. For GameStop, the short interest stands at 21%, down from more than 100% at the height of the meme stock mania in 2021, according to FactSet. AMC has also 21% of shares sold short.

A short squeeze happens when a stock jumps sharply higher, it forces short sellers to buy back shares in order to limit their losses. The short covering tends to fuel the stock’s rally further.

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Stock futures are little changed after Nasdaq’s third-straight winning day

Stock futures were slightly higher early Wednesday as Wall Street looked to build on what has been a positive start to 2023 so far.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ticked up 30 points, or 0.09%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed.

The moves come after the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.01% on Tuesday to clinch its first three-day winning streak since November. The S&P 500 and Dow rose 0.70% and 0.56%, respectively, and all three averages are positive for the young year.

The moves have featured a relief rally for more risky areas of the market, such as tech, but many investors are still cautious ahead of earnings season and further expected rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

“I think it is going to be a challenge to try to time when the Fed will ultimately start to cut rates. There is some evidence that when rates start to decline from the Federal Reserve, better markets are ahead. But whether that ends up being in 2024 or late 2023, at least at this point in time, sitting the middle of January, it’s just too difficult a situation,” said Matthew Palazzolo, senior investment strategist at Bernstein Private Wealth Management.

Wednesday features a light schedule for economic data, but investors will be gearing up for a key inflation report on Thursday and major bank earnings on Friday.

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Energy Transfer is a very good stock

Nvidia Corp: “Nvidia is a terrific company but it sells at a very high price-to-earnings multiple. … We have pulled back a little bit [for the Charitable Trust].”

Blackstone Minerals Ltd: “I do not know Blackstone Minerals. I am going to have to do some more work on that situation.”

EVgo Inc: “Our biggest fear is, again, losing money, and it does not fit our criteria anymore for what we’re recommending.”

Energy Transfer LP: “ET is actually a very good stock. … Times change and it’s become a better, better stock.”

Medical Properties Trust Inc: “This one, I don’t like that particular part of the real estate investment trusts. I think that they are too high-yielding, which therefore causes me to be concerned that they will not be able to make the distribution.”

Axcelis Technologies Inc: “Some of these companies in this business are doing amazingly well. And you’ve got to hand it to them.”

Disclaimer: Cramer’s Charitable Trust owns shares of Nvidia.

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Click here to download Jim Cramer’s Guide to Investing at no cost to help you build long-term wealth and invest smarter.

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Stock futures are little changed after Nasdaq’s third-straight winning day

Stock futures were quiet on Tuesday evening as Wall Street looked to build on what has been a positive start to 2023 so far.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ticked up 19 points, or less than 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed.

The moves come after the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.01% on Tuesday to clinch its first three-day winning streak since November. The S&P 500 and Dow rose 0.70% and 0.56%, respectively, and all three averages are positive for the young year.

The moves have featured a relief rally for more risky areas of the market, such as tech, but many investors are still cautious ahead of earnings season and further expected rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

“I think it is going to be a challenge to try to time when the Fed will ultimately start to cut rates. There is some evidence that when rates start to decline from the Federal Reserve, better markets are ahead. But whether that ends up being in 2024 or late 2023, at least at this point in time, sitting the middle of January, it’s just too difficult a situation,” said Matthew Palazzolo, senior investment strategist at Bernstein Private Wealth Management.

Wednesday features a light schedule for economic data, but investors will be gearing up for a key inflation report on Thursday and major bank earnings on Friday.

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Stock futures are little changed as traders mull prospects of higher rates

Stock futures were little changed Tuesday as concern over higher rates lingered among traders.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 60 points, or 0.2%, while S&P 500 fell less than 0.1%. Nasdaq-100 futures hovered just above the flat line.

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said Monday that interest rates should rise above 5% and stay there for a “long time.” Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said the central bank should continue raising rates, albeit at a slower pace. Treasury yields rose slightly on Tuesday.

Those comments came ahead of a speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell slated for 9 a.m. ET.

Investors came into the new year worried that higher Fed rates could tip the economy into a recession. However, many appear to be mounting bets that inflation is starting to ease.

The Nasdaq Composite on Wednesday posted a 0.6% gain, helped by a 6% rally in Tesla. Meanwhile, the Dow erased a 304-point gain and ended down almost 113 points, while the S&P fell 0.1%.

Monday also marked the end of the first five trading days of 2023, during which the S&P 500 gained 1.1%. According to a classic stock market indicator, that kind of early strength could bode well for the rest of the year.

Tom Lee of Fundstrat called it a “strong omen” and said the market is set up for a 20% rally this year.

The Fed wants financial conditions “to stay tight,” Lee said on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime.” “Dollar, stocks, bonds – everything’s kind of easing so they’re probably a little worried and they want to be sure inflation is in fact dead. But one of the changes especially since October is that inflation has been under shooting.”

Depending on how CPI data fares Thursday, the bond market could push the Fed to make February the last rate hike before cuts, Lee added.

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5 things to know before the stock market opens Monday, January 9

Here are the most important news items that investors need to start their trading day:

1. Second day of gains?

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on January 04, 2023 in New York City. 

Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

Stock futures rose Monday morning, looking to building on Friday’s gains — which marked the first real rally of 2023. On Friday the Dow surged 700 points, more than 2%. The S&P 500 added 2.28% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 2.56%. Investors are hopeful the Federal Reserve is finished with its most aggressive action to bring down inflation, after data at the end of last week suggested the U.S. economy might be cooling off. This Thursday, Wall Street will get the latest consumer price index readout, and the major banks report earnings on Friday. Read CNBC’s live markets coverage here.

2. McCarthy sets an agenda

Representative Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, stands under a Speaker of the House sign outside his office after becoming House speaker following a meeting of the 118th Congress at the US Capitol in Washington, DC, US, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.

Al Drago | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The House finally has a speaker. Kevin McCarthy secured enough support to win a 15th vote in the early hours of Saturday morning, and he wasted no time in setting out an agenda for his time leading the chamber. McCarthy promised to pursue conservative, America-first initiatives, including cutting funding to the IRS and tackling what he called “America-last” energy policies. He also plans to tackle issues such as debt, immigration and U.S. relations with China.

3. Brazil turmoil

BRASILIA, BRAZIL – JANUARY 08: Supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro clash with security forces as they raid the National Congress in Brasilia, Brazil, 08 January 2023. Groups shouting slogans demanding intervention from the army broke through the police barrier and entered the Congress building, according to local media. Police intervened with tear gas to disperse pro-Bolsonaro protesters. Some demonstrators were seen climbing onto the roofs of the House of Representatives and Senate buildings. (Photo by Joedson Alves/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

Anadolu Agency | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images

Supporters of former Brazil President Jair Bolsonaro stormed government buildings on Sunday to protest his election defeat and attempt to overthrow the new regime, spurring chaos and sending stocks in South America’s largest economy lower. Bolsonaro’s supporters stormed the country’s Congress, Supreme Court and presidential palace, refusing to accept the result of an October election that saw leftist Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva come out ahead of the right-wing, Trump-ally Bolsonaro. Lula’s inauguration was on Jan. 1. Bolsonaro condemned the violence and destruction saying, “Peaceful demonstrations, in accordance with the law, are part of democracy. However, depredations and invasions of public buildings like those that happened today, as well as those that were practiced by the Left in 2013 and 2017, evade the rule,” according to a translation.

4. Elite masses

The Sky Lounge during a tour of Delta Air Lines Terminal C at LaGuardia Airport (LGA) in the Queens borough of New York, US, on Wednesday, June 1, 2022.

Stephanie Keith | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The ranks of air travel elites are growing, and that’s posing a problem for airlines. More and more travelers are building up rewards points via credit card spending or deferred travel, and they’re spending those points on lounge access, extra leg room or other cushy perks. But as a United Airlines executive put it, “If everybody has status then nobody has status.” United, American Airlines and Delta Air Lines are all raising the bar to earn rewards status this year, in an effort to keep premium products feeling exclusive — without alienating their newfound frequent flyers.

5. Deja vu-ez

The Suez Canal in Ismailia, Egypt, on Thursday, March 25, 2021.

Islam Safwat | Bloomberg | Getty Images

A bulk carrier got caught up in the Suez Canal Monday morning — reminiscent of a March 2021 incident that garnered worldwide attention — after it suffered an engine failure, the canal authority said. The carrier, Glory, loaded 65,970 metric tons of corn from a port in Ukraine on Dec. 25 and was bound for China, according to the Black Sea Grain Initiative Joint Coordination Center, which facilitates humanitarian maritime exports of grain, other foodstuffs and fertilizers from Ukraine. “The authority’s marine rescue team dealt professionally with a sudden technical failure of the machines of the bulk vessel GLORY,” the Suez Canal Authority said on Twitter, according to a translation. “Work is now underway to tow the idle ship.” The disruption should cause “only minor delays,” said shipping agency Leth.

CNBC’s Samantha Subin, Ashley Capoot, Sam Meredith, Elliott Smith, Leslie Josephs, Ruxandra Iordache and Natasha Turak contributed to this report.

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I’m very concerned about Veru

Veru Inc: “I’m very concerned about it.”

HealthEquity Inc: “Expensive stock, another one of these stocks not making much money. I think we’re going to have to take a major league pass.”

Bumble Inc: “We’re not seeing the kind of profitability that makes me feel like that stock’s inexpensive.”

Axon Enterprise Inc: “It’s a terrific law enforcement package that I think is really good for everybody. I like it.”

Nuscale Power Corp: “If you want small, nuclear modular reactors, I’m going to have to say, the Constellation Energy group. That’s who’s got it.”

Disclaimer: Cramer’s Charitable Trust owns shares of Coterra.

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Jim Cramer says these 5 Nasdaq losers could rebound in 2023

CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Friday named four stocks that he believes could mount a comeback this year.

To come up with his picks, he parsed through last year’s worst-performing stocks listed in the Nasdaq 100. 

“Out of the Nasdaq’s biggest losers, I think Qualcomm, Lam Research, Micron, and Airbnb will work this year, although not necessarily the first half,” he said, adding, “and don’t forget Illumina.”

Here are his thoughts on each stock:

Qualcomm

  • Cramer said that while Wall Street expects the semiconductor company to start losing iPhone orders in 2024, it’s possible the company could hold to at least some of those orders due. The company’s push into the auto market should also help the stock, he added.

Lam Research

  • He acknowledged that the near future could be ugly for chipmakers. However, “you can’t afford to wait around too long after this next bad quarter, because Lam’s stock will bottom months before the business does,” he said.

Micron

  • He advised investors to wait several months to buy shares of Micron, but make sure to do so before the chip glut is over. “Once there’s any sign of a bottom, this thing will bounce back like crazy — always has,” he said.

Airbnb

  • Cramer said that the company should continue to make money this year thanks to the current travel boom. Investors interested in the stock should buy it gradually on the way down, he added.

Illumina

  • He said that while the company is “superb,” he’d rather own shares of Danaher than Illumina.

Disclaimer: Cramer’s Charitable Trust owns shares of Qualcomm and Danaher.

Jim Cramer’s Guide to Investing

Click here to download Jim Cramer’s Guide to Investing at no cost to help you build long-term wealth and invest smarter.

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