Tag Archives: integrated oil

Chevron Rides High Oil Prices to Record $35.5 Billion Annual Profit

Chevron Corp.

CVX -4.44%

banked historic profit last year as the pandemic receded and the war in Ukraine pushed oil prices to multiyear highs, with its shares climbing 53% for the year while other sectors tumbled.

The U.S. oil company in its quarterly earnings reported Friday that it collected $35.5 billion in its highest-ever annual profit in 2022, more than double the prior year and about one-third higher than its previous record in 2011. Almost $50 billion in cash streamed in from its oil-leveraged operations, another record that is underpinning plans to pay investors through a new $75 billion share-repurchase program over the next several years.

That payout, announced Wednesday, is roughly equivalent to the stock-market value of companies such as the big-box retailer

Target Corp.

, the pharmaceutical firm

Moderna Inc.

and

Airbnb Inc.

Chevron, the second-largest U.S. oil company after

Exxon Mobil Corp.

, posted revenue of $246.3 billion, up from $162.5 billion the previous year. The San Ramon, Calif., company reported a fourth-quarter profit of $6.4 billion, up from $5.1 billion in the same period the prior year.

The fourth-quarter results came short of analyst expectations, and Chevron shares closed down more than 4% Friday.

For all of its recent winnings, though, Chevron and its rival oil-and-gas producers could face a rockier year in 2023, according to investors and analysts, if an anticipated slowdown in U.S. economic growth dents demand for oil, and if China’s reopening from strict Covid-19 restrictions unfolds slowly.

U.S. oil prices have held steady this year, but are off about 36% from last year’s peak. The industry is proceeding with caution, holding capital expenditures for 2023 below prepandemic levels and saying production will grow only modestly. Chevron has said it plans to spend about $17 billion in capital expenditures this year, up more than 25% from the prior year, but $3 billion less than it planned to spend in 2020 before Covid-19 took root.

Oil companies are still outperforming other sectors such as tech and finance, which have seen widespread job cuts in recent weeks. The energy segment of the S&P 500 index has climbed 43.7% over the past year, compared with a 6.7% drop for the broader index.

Chevron Chief Executive Mike Wirth said the company is unsure of what 2023 will bring after global energy supplies were squeezed because of geopolitical events last year, particularly in Europe following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. He said markets appeared to be stabilizing.

“We certainly have seen a very unusual and volatile year in 2022,” Mr. Wirth said, noting the European energy crisis has proven less dire than anticipated thanks to milder winter weather, growing natural gas inventories in Europe. “China’s economy has been slow throughout the year, which looks to be turning around. It’s good that markets have calmed.”

Chevron projects its output in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico to grow at a slower pace this year.



Photo:

David Goldman/Associated Press

Chevron hit a record in U.S. oil-and-gas production in 2022, increasing 4% to about 1.2 million barrels of oil equivalent a day, stemming from its increased focus on capital investments in the Western Hemisphere, particularly in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico, where it boosted output 16% last year. Worldwide, Chevron’s oil-and-gas production was down 3.2% compared with the prior year, at 2.99 million barrels of oil-equivalent a day.

Its overall return on capital employed came in at 20%, it said.

“There aren’t many sectors generating the type of free cash flow that energy is right now,” said

Jeff Wyll,

an analyst at investment firm Neuberger Berman, which has invested in Chevron. “The sector really can’t be ignored. Given the supply-demand balance, you have to have some things go wrong here to see a pullback in oil prices.”

Even so, institutional investors have shown limited interest so far in returning to the energy sector, after years of poor returns and heightened concerns about their environmental impact prompted large financiers to sell off their stakes in oil-and-gas companies or stop investing in drillers outright.

Pete Bowden,

global head of industrial, energy and infrastructure banking at

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.,

said energy companies in the S&P 500 index are throwing off 12% of the group’s free-cash flow, but only account for about 5% of the index’s weighting—an indication their stock prices are lagging behind.

Investors’ concerns around environmental, social and governance-related issues are a constraint on the share prices of energy companies, “yet the earnings power of these businesses is superior to the earnings power of companies in other sectors,” he said.

Chevron and others have faced criticism from the Biden administration and others that they are giving priority to shareholder returns over pumping oil and gas at a time when global supplies are tight and Americans are feeling pain at the pump. On Thursday, the White House assailed Chevron’s $75 billion buyout program, saying the payout was proof the company could boost production but was choosing to reward investors instead.

Pierre Breber,

Chevron’s finance chief, said the company expects oil prices to be volatile but within a range needed to sustain its dividend and investments. There are some optimistic signs, he added, including that the U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter, at 2.9%.

“Supply is tight. Oil-field services are near capacity, and we continue to have sanctions on Russian production,” Mr. Breber said. “You’re seeing international flights out of China are way up, and low unemployment in the U.S.”

Mr. Breber said Chevron’s output in the Permian this year is expected to grow at a slower pace, around 10%, because it has exhausted much of its inventory of wells that it had drilled but hadn’t brought into production.

Exxon, which has typically posted quarterly earnings on the same day as Chevron, will report Tuesday. Analysts expect it will also post record profit for 2022, according to FactSet.

Both companies expect to slow their output growth this year in the Permian, considered their growth engine. The two U.S. oil majors, which had been growing output faster in the U.S. than most independent shale producers, are beginning to step up their focus on shareholder returns and allow output growth to ease, said Neal Dingmann, an analyst at Truist Securities.

“This has all been driven by investor requirements,” Mr. Dingmann said.

Write to Collin Eaton at collin.eaton@wsj.com

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Chevron Gets U.S. License to Pump Oil in Venezuela Again

WASHINGTON—The U.S. said it would allow

Chevron Corp.

CVX -0.29%

to resume pumping oil from its Venezuelan oil fields after President Nicolás Maduro’s government and an opposition coalition agreed to implement an estimated $3 billion humanitarian relief program and continue dialogue in Mexico City on efforts to hold free and fair elections.

Following the Norwegian-brokered agreement signed in Mexico City, the Biden administration granted a license to Chevron that allows the California-based oil company to return to its oil fields in joint ventures with the Venezuela national oil company, Petróleos de Venezuela SA. The new license, granted by the Treasury Department, permits Chevron to pump Venezuelan oil for the first time in years.

Biden administration officials said the license prohibits PdVSA from receiving profits from Chevron’s oil sales. The officials said the U.S. is prepared to revoke or amend the license, which will be in effect for six months, at any time if Venezuela doesn’t negotiate in good faith.

Venezuela produces some 700,000 barrels of oil a day, compared with more than 3 million in the 1990s.



Photo:

Isaac Urrutia/Reuters

“If Maduro again tries to use these negotiations to buy time to further consolidate his criminal dictatorship, the United States and our international partners must snap back the full force of our sanctions,” said Sen.

Robert Menendez

(D., N.J.), the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

The U.S. policy shift could signal an opening for other oil companies to resume their business in Venezuela two years after the Trump administration clamped down on Chevron and other companies’ activities there as part of a maximum-pressure campaign meant to oust the government led by Mr. Maduro. The Treasury Department action didn’t say how non-U.S. oil companies might re-engage with Venezuela.

Venezuela produces some 700,000 barrels of oil a day, compared with more than 3 million barrels a day in the 1990s. Some analysts said Venezuela could hit 1 million barrels a day in the medium term, a modest increment reflecting the dilapidated state of the country’s state-led oil industry.

Some Republican lawmakers criticized the Biden administration’s decision to clear the way for Chevron to pump more oil in Venezuela. “The Biden administration should allow American energy producers to unleash DOMESTIC production instead of begging dictators for oil,” Rep. Claudia Tenney (R., N.Y.) wrote on Twitter.

Biden administration officials said the decision to issue the license wasn’t a response to oil prices, which have been a major concern for President Biden and his top advisers in recent months as they seek to tackle inflation. “This is about the regime taking the steps needed to support the restoration of democracy in Venezuela,” one of the officials said.

The Wall Street Journal reported in October that the Biden administration was preparing to scale down sanctions on Venezuela’s regime to allow Chevron to resume pumping oil there.

Jorge Rodriguez led the Venezuelan delegation to the talks in Mexico City, where an agreement was signed.



Photo:

Henry Romero/Reuters

Under the new license, profits from the sale of oil will go toward repaying hundreds of millions of dollars in debt owed to Chevron by PdVSA, administration officials said. The U.S. will require that Chevron report details of its financial operations to ensure transparency, they said.

Chevron spokesman Ray Fohr said the new license allows the company to commercialize the oil currently being produced at its joint-venture assets. He said the company will conduct its business in compliance within the current framework.

The license prohibits Chevron from paying taxes and royalties to the Venezuelan government, which surprised some experts. They had been expecting that direct revenue would encourage PdVSA to reroute oil cargoes away from obscure export channels, mostly to Chinese buyers at a steep discount, which Venezuela has relied on for years to skirt sanctions.

“If this is the case, Maduro doesn’t have significant incentives to allow that many cargoes of Chevron to go out,” said

Francisco Monaldi,

director of the Latin America Energy Program at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. Sending oil to China, even at a heavy discount, would be better for Caracas than only paying debt to Chevron, he said.

The limited scope of the Chevron license is seen as a way to ensure that Mr. Maduro stays the course on negotiations. “Rather than fully opening the door for Venezuelan oil to flow to the U.S. market immediately, what the license proposes is a normalization path that is likely contingent on concessions from the Maduro regime on the political and human-rights front,” said

Luisa Palacios,

senior research scholar at the Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy.

The license allows Venezuelan oil back into the U.S., historically its largest market, but only if the oil from the PdVSA-Chevron joint ventures is first sold to Chevron and doesn’t authorize exports from the ventures “to any jurisdiction other than the United States,” which appears to restrict PdVSA’s own share of the sales to the U.S. market, said Mr. Monaldi.

The license prohibits transactions involving goods and services from Iran, a U.S.-sanctioned oil producer that has helped Venezuela overcome sanctions in recent years. It blocks dealings with Venezuelan entities owned or controlled by Western-sanctioned Russia, which has played a role in Venezuela’s oil industry.

Jorge Rodriguez,

the head of Venezuela’s Congress as well as the government’s delegation to the Mexico City talks, declined to comment on the issuance of the Chevron license.

Freddy Guevara,

a member of the opposition coalition’s delegation, said the estimated $3 billion in frozen funds intended for humanitarian relief and infrastructure projects in Venezuela would be administered by the United Nations. He cautioned that it would take time to implement the program fully. “It begins now, but the time period is up to three years,” he said.

The Venezuelan state funds frozen in overseas banks by sanctions are expected to be used to alleviate the country’s health, food and electric-power crises in part by building infrastructure for electricity and water-treatment needs. “Not one dollar will go to the vaults of the regime,” Mr. Guevara said.

Chevron plans to restore lost output as it performs maintenance and other essential work, but it won’t attempt major work that would require new investments in the country’s oil fields until debts of $4.2 billion are repaid. That could take about two to three years depending on oil-market conditions, according to people familiar with the matter.

PdVSA owes Chevron and other joint-venture partners their shares of more than two years of revenue from oil sales, after the 2020 U.S. sanctions barred the Venezuelan company from paying its partners, one of the people said. The license would allow Chevron to collect its share of dividends from its joint ventures such as Petropiar, in which Chevron is a 30% partner.

Analysts said the new agreement raises expectations that will take time and work to fulfill. “Ensuring the success of talks won’t be easy, but it’s clear that offering gradual sanctions relief like this in order to incentivize agreements is the only way forward. It’s a Champagne-popping moment for the negotiators, but much more work remains to be done,” said Geoff Ramsey, Venezuela director at the Washington Office on Latin America.

Write to Collin Eaton at collin.eaton@wsj.com and Andrew Restuccia at andrew.restuccia@wsj.com

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Apple, Amazon, McDonald’s Headline Busy Earnings Week

Amazon.

com Inc.,

Apple Inc.

and

Meta Platforms Inc.

are among the tech heavyweights featured in a packed week of earnings that investors will probe for indicators about the broader economy.

Other tech companies scheduled to report their latest quarterly reports include Google parent company

Alphabet Inc.

and

Microsoft Corp.

Investors also will hear from airlines such as

Southwest Airlines Co.

and

JetBlue Airways Corp.

, automotive companies

General Motors Co.

and

Ford Motor Co.

, and energy giants

Chevron Corp.

and

Exxon

Mobil Corp.

Nearly a third of the S&P 500, or 161 companies, are slated to report earnings in the coming week, according to FactSet. Twelve bellwethers from the Dow Jones Industrial Average, including

Boeing Co.

and

McDonald’s

Corp., are expected to report as well.

The flurry of results from a broad set of companies will give a sense of how businesses are faring as they deal with inflation denting consumer spending, ongoing supply-chain challenges and a stronger dollar.

People awaited the release of Apple’s latest iPhones in New York last month. The company will report quarterly results on Thursday afternoon.



Photo:

ANDREW KELLY/REUTERS

One area holding up to the challenges has been travel. Several airline companies have reported that consumers still have an appetite to spend on trips and vacations. On Friday,

American Express Co.

raised its outlook for the year in part because of a surge in travel spending.

“We expected the recovery in travel spending to be a tailwind for us, but the strength of the rebound has exceeded our expectations throughout the year,” American Express Chief Executive

Stephen Squeri

said.

In addition to airlines reporting, companies such as car-rental company

Hertz Global Holdings Inc.

and lodging companies

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

and

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.

will offer reads into leisure spending.

Overall, earnings for the S&P 500 companies are on track to rise 1.5% this period compared with a year ago, while revenue is projected to grow 8.5%, FactSet said.

Other companies will serve as a gauge for how consumers have responded to higher prices and whether they have altered their spending as a result.

Coca-Cola Co.

and

Kimberly-Clark Corp.

on Tuesday and

Kraft Heinz Co.

on Wednesday will show how consumers are digesting higher prices.

Mattel Inc.,

set to report on Tuesday, will highlight whether demand for toys remains resilient. Rival

Hasbro Inc.

issued a warning ahead of the holiday season.

United Parcel Service Inc.

will release its results on Tuesday and provide an opportunity to show how it is faring ahead of the busy shipping season. The Atlanta-based carrier’s earnings come weeks after rival

FedEx Corp.

warned of a looming global recession and outlined plans to raise shipping rates across most of its services in January to contend with a global slowdown in business.

Results from credit-card companies

Visa Inc.

and

Mastercard Inc.

will offer insights into whether inflation has finally put a dent in consumer spending after both companies reported resilient numbers last quarter.

Wireless carrier

T-Mobile US Inc.’s

numbers on Thursday will give more context to mixed results from competitors

Verizon Communications Inc.

and

AT&T Inc.

AT&T

issued an upbeat outlook on Thursday after its core wireless business exceeded the company’s expectations, whereas Verizon on Friday said earnings tumbled as retail customers balked at recent price increases.

Other notable companies lined up to report include

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

on Tuesday, chicken giant

Pilgrim’s Pride Corp.

on Wednesday and chip maker

Intel Corp.

on Thursday.

Write to Denny Jacob at denny.jacob@wsj.com

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Opinion: Elon Musk pumps Tesla stock with ridiculous $4 trillion target. Is a dump coming next?

Another Tesla Inc. earnings call, and another fanciful Elon Musk prediction that likely encouraged yet another open file at the Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday.

The chief executive of Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
+0.84%
told investors Wednesday that he believes the valuation of the electric-car maker will exceed the combined market capitalization of the two most valuable companies in the world: Apple Inc.
AAPL,
+0.08%
and Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
2222,
+0.42%.

“I am of the opinion that we can far exceed Apple’s current market cap,” Musk said. “In fact, I see a potential path for Tesla to be worth more than Apple and Saudi Aramco combined.”

Based on Wednesday’s closing prices, the combined market capitalization of those two companies is about $4.4 trillion U.S. dollars. But at least he added a caveat — “That doesn’t mean it will happen or that it will be easy, in fact it will be very difficult, require a lot of work, very creative new products, expansion and always good luck.”

Full earnings coverage: Elon Musk teases massive Tesla stock buyback as CFO trims forecast for annual deliveries and stock falls

This type of outrageous prediction is not new for Musk. He already predicted that Tesla would be worth as much as Apple, and its market cap now is roughly the same size as Apple’s was then, though his explanation for why Tesla would spike to that level was way off.

The situation Musk is in right now, though, is new. As the soap opera that has erupted from his deal to buy Twitter Inc.
TWTR,
+0.10%
draws to a close, he is believed to need somewhere between $5 billion and $8 billion to finish off that deal, as our colleagues at Barron’s recently reported, and his only real avenue to that kind of cash is to sell Tesla stock.

Musk was precluded from selling shares before Tesla’s earnings report due to SEC rules, so what better way to try and pump Tesla’s stock before that blackout ended than to make some far-out predictions on the company’s earnings call?

From Barron’s: A Tesla stock sale is coming. We know who, why and when, but not how much.

A $4 trillion-plus price target wasn’t the only eye-opening claim Musk made in Wednesday’s call. He also told investors that he expected Tesla to perform the first stock buyback in its corporate history next year, and a large one at that: $5 billion to $10 billion.

“Even in a downside scenario next year, given next year is very difficult, we still have the ability to do a $5 [billion] to $10 billion buyback. This is obviously pending board review and approval,” he said. “So it’s likely that we will do some meaningful buyback.”

It is very odd to announce a share repurchase plan before it is approved and officially put in place by a board of directors, though sharing the news early is not automatically a violation of securities laws, said Stephen Diamond, an associate professor at Santa Clara University School of Law.

“Best practices would suggest waiting until you have your ducks in a row before making such an announcement, but I doubt it creates any obvious legal problems,” he said.

He added that the Tesla board is likely seeking approval from its auditors and legal counsel for the share repurchase, which would be why it isn’t approved yet.

“There is an accounting test under Delaware law that the company must meet in order to buy back shares,” Diamond said in an email. “Generally, it can only buy back shares if there is a ‘surplus’ available. To assess that would require support from their internal finance team to the board and likely as well outside opinions from their auditors and legal counsel.” 

While early disclosure of buyback plans would not register alarms at the SEC office automatically, these types of pronouncements from Musk specifically will perk up some ears at the regulator’s offices. Musk has already faced recriminations from the agency for earlier statements, and been targeted for failing to live up to the settlement he agreed to in that case. Musk is also reportedly actively being investigated for his behavior as he moved to acquire Twitter, which Twitter seemed to confirm in a legal filing earlier this month.

More: Elon Musk’s legal battle with Twitter may be over, but his war with the SEC continues

On the call, Musk would only say that he is “excited about the Twitter situation,” while admitting that “myself and the other investors are obviously overpaying for it right now.”

Tesla officials did not respond to a request for comment or answer a question about whether Musk does need to sell more Tesla shares to complete the Twitter deal.

The question for Tesla investors, though, is whether they have overpaid for Tesla stock before another round of stock sales from Musk, who has already offloaded billions in shares in the past year, which reportedly resulted in yet another SEC inquiry. On Wednesday, though, shares fell more than 6% in after-hours trading despite the chief executive’s boosterism, which seemed to be overshadowed by a revenue miss and trimmed forecast.

Perhaps investors are finally seeing through Musk’s earnings-call bloviating that boosted the value of Tesla’s shares in the past. But if Musk sells Tesla shares in the coming days after trying to talk up the company’s value, it won’t be the investors who knock on his door, it might be the SEC yet again.

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European Gas Prices Surge on Nord Stream Shut Down

European energy prices surged after Russia shut down natural-gas flows through a major pipeline, threatening to add to economic woes for businesses and households across the continent.

Natural-gas futures in northwest Europe, which reflect the cost of fuel in the wholesale market, jumped more than 30% in early trading Monday. They remain below the all-time high recorded in late August.

State-controlled Gazprom PJSC extended a halt to flows through Nord Stream late Friday. Moscow blamed the suspension on technical problems. European governments described it as an economic attack in retaliation for their support of Ukraine.

Over the weekend, governments in Sweden and Finland offered billions of dollars of guarantees to utilities to prevent a meltdown in energy trading. Officials fear the loss of imports through Nord Stream could lead to a further leap in power prices and saddle utilities with cash payments to energy trading exchanges that they may struggle to meet. A wave of failed payments could undermine financial stability, officials said.

“This has had the ingredients for a kind of a Lehman Brothers of energy industry,” Finland’s Economic Affairs Minister

Mika Lintilä

said Sunday. 

Swedish and Finnish government officials worked through the weekend on programs designed to make sure electricity producers can meet exchange payments known as margin calls. Stockholm is home to

Nasdaq

Clearing AB, a subsidiary of

Nasdaq Inc.

that processes most derivative trades in the Nordic power market, which includes Finland and the Baltic countries.

Under the Swedish plan, the government would provide guarantees to eligible companies, which could then use the guarantees to borrow from banks and pay the exchange clearinghouse. The Swedish government would have license to extend up to 250 billion kroner, or $23 billion, in guarantees, said a finance-ministry official.

The Finnish government plans to offer 10 billion euros, or $10 billion, in guarantees. 

Nasdaq Clearing spokesman David Augustsson said the measures would help the power market act in an orderly manner Monday. “This is an extreme time of uncertainty and the addition of government liquidity guarantees will add an extra layer of stability,” he said.

Last week, European Energy Exchange AG, the main European venue for power trading outside the Nordics, said Germany and other European Union members should help companies fund margin payments. A spokesperson didn’t respond to requests for comment on Sunday.

Russia’s state-controlled Gazprom PJSC extended a halt to flows through the Nord Stream pipeline late Friday.



Photo:

HANNIBAL HANSCHKE/REUTERS

Armed with the guarantees, utilities and other energy companies would find banks more willing to lend money to cover margin payments, the Swedish official said. The Swedish parliament will vote on the program Monday and it would take effect the same day if approved. One concern is that the clearinghouse itself might default, the official said.

“This threatens our financial stability. If we don’t act soon it could lead to serious disruptions in the Nordics and Baltics,“ Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson said Saturday at a news conference outlining the plan. “In the worst-case scenario we could fall into a financial crisis,” Ms. Andersson added.

When utilities agree to deliver gas or power, they lock in prices by selling futures contracts. Exchanges charge one payment, known as initial margin, when trades are placed to collect collateral. They then call for or return money each day depending on whether the position gains or loses value.

As prices rise, utilities’ short positions shed value and the companies pay the exchange. They recoup the money when they deliver gas or power, but the difference in timing has led to massive outflows of cash that some firms have struggled to fund. At times a vicious cycle has emerged in which extreme price moves boost margin calls, prompting companies to bail out of trades and sparking more volatility.

“No one’s got the money to pay to trade,” said Justin Colley, an analyst at Argus Media. “Putting up these margin payments every day is just causing problems for everyone—not just the small companies, but also the big companies, the national utilities.”

The guarantees could add to the mounting cost for governments of aiding households and businesses through a historic rise in energy prices largely caused by Moscow’s move to cut gas exports. On Sunday, Germany unveiled its third energy relief package this year, worth €65 billion, to shield consumers.

European energy ministers are due to hold an emergency meeting Friday to discuss options for dealing with skyrocketing electricity prices, such as a possible price cap for non-gas sources of power generation.

They will also consider energy companies’ cash concerns. The Czech Republic, which holds the EU’s rotating presidency, is expected to put forward several options for ministers to consider, including the temporary suspension of power derivatives markets and a European credit line for energy market participants, an EU diplomat said.

European gas and power prices have been wildly volatile. They shot to records in late August before slumping last week after the European Union said it would change the structure of the power market to bring down prices for consumers and businesses. Nordic and Baltic prices have been especially turbulent, in part because a drought curbed hydropower generation in Norway.

Tom Marzec-Manser, gas analyst at ICIS, said he expected gas and electricity prices to rise again Monday in response to Gazprom’s shut-off. “Meeting demand, whatever that might turn out to be, is going to be that much harder,” he said.

To a certain extent, energy markets were already girding for Russia to completely cut off gas supplies. Gazprom had reduced Nord Stream flows to 20% capacity in the weeks before the shutdown.

Some factors could act to bring prices down after an initial leap, traders and analysts said—including the action taken by Nordic governments. Weather forecasts suggest there might be greater power generation from wind farms, reducing demand for gas. 

Uniper,

one of the two biggest buyers of Russian gas in Europe until recently, said last week it had fully drawn down a €9 billion credit line from German state lender KfW. The company said it had asked to borrow an extra €4 billion to make margin payments and buy gas to make up for lost deliveries from Gazprom.

—Kim Mackrael contributed to this article.

Write to Joe Wallace at joe.wallace@wsj.com

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Russia to Keep Nord Stream Pipeline Shut, Citing Mechanical Problems

Russia indefinitely suspended natural gas flows to Europe via a key pipeline hours after the Group of Seven agreed to an oil price cap for Russian crude—two opposing blows exchanged between Moscow and the West in an economic war running parallel to the military conflict in Ukraine.

Kremlin-controlled energy company Gazprom PJSC said late Friday it would suspend supplies of gas to Germany via the Nord Stream natural-gas pipeline until further notice, raising the pressure on Europe as governments race to avoid energy shortages this winter.

Gazprom said it had found a technical fault during maintenance of the pipeline, which connects Russia with Germany under the Baltic Sea. The company said the pipeline will remain shut down until the issue is fixed, without giving any timeline.

The pipeline was due to resume work early Saturday after three-day maintenance. Before the maintenance, the pipeline was operating at 20% of its capacity.

Russia first began throttling supplies via Nord Stream in June, saying that needed maintenance was being prevented by Western sanctions imposed following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The notion was dismissed by European officials as an excuse for Russian President

Vladimir Putin’s

regime to use its gas exports to punish Europe for its support of Ukraine.

Western leaders are preparing for the possibility that Russian natural gas flows through the key Nord Stream pipeline may never return to full levels. WSJ’s Shelby Holliday explains what an energy crisis could look like in Europe, and how it might ripple through the world. Illustration: David Fang

A complete shutdown of Nord Stream will compel European governments to accelerate their push to become independent of Russian gas ahead of the winter months and could force them to ration energy—a move that would hurt industrial companies and tip the continent’s already fragile economy into a recession.

“By further reducing gas deliveries, Russia is tightening the screws on the EU,” said Janis Kluge, an expert on Russia at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs. “Europe will now have to take its efforts up a notch to conserve more gas.”

At the same time, the move deprives Moscow of its most potent economic leverage on the continent and could remove any remaining misgivings in European capitals about raising sanctions on Moscow for fear of retribution.

“Until it is repaired, gas transport via Nord Stream is completely stopped,” Gazprom said Friday.

Moscow and the West have been engaged in an economic war since Russia invaded Ukraine in February. Western democracies have inflicted economic and financial sanctions on Russia, and Moscow has tried to choke unfriendly countries’ access to its natural gas, which Europe uses for heating and electricity production.

ArcelorMittal SA,

one of the world’s largest steelmakers, was the latest industrial giant to say it is reducing European production capacity amid the energy crisis. The company said Friday it will close two of its plants in Germany amid soaring electricity costs.

Steelmaking is particularly energy intensive, alongside other industries like fertilizer and chemical production and glass making.

G-7 countries said on Friday they would impose a cap on the price of Russian oil. The mechanism would force buyers seeking to insure their shipment via insurers located in a G-7 or European Union country to observe the price limit on their purchases. The cap, whose level will be set at a future meeting, originated in a U.S. initiative and has been under discussion for months.

Russia has said countries imposing a cap wouldn’t receive any Russian oil. Sales of oil make up a far bigger share of Russian state revenues than sales of natural gas.

Inspectors from the United Nations’ nuclear agency visited the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear-power plant, despite shelling near the facility for which Ukraine and Russia exchanged blame. On Friday, Ukraine accused Russia of hindering access to the plant. Photo: Yuri Kochetkov/Shutterstock

Hours before Gazprom’s Nord Stream announcement, German Finance Minister

Christian Lindner

praised the G-7 decision, saying “Russia is generating big profits from the export of commodities such as oil, which is something we must push back on vigorously.”

The cap, he added, would help combat inflation in the EU.

Russia would have enough capacity via other gas pipelines to Europe to compensate for the Nord Stream shortfall. However, flows via these other routes declined following the start of the war in Ukraine.

Ukraine halted one gas-transit route in May, blaming interference by Russian forces. Deliveries through another, called Yamal, which traditionally transported gas from Russia to Europe, have stopped this year due to sanctions imposed by Russia on the Polish part-owner.

Germany’s economy minister,

Robert Habeck,

said this week that the country can’t count on Nord Stream during the winter.

In reaction to the Nord Stream closure, a spokeswoman for the ministry said on Friday that Germany was far better prepared than a few months ago.

“We have already seen Russia’s unreliability in the past few weeks, and accordingly we have unwaveringly and consistently pursued our measures to strengthen our independence from Russian energy imports,” the spokeswoman said.

Klaus Müller, head of Germany’s energy regulator, said the country would need to boost gas imports from other suppliers, continue to fill up gas stores and cut gas consumption.

European officials had expected that the Kremlin would use gas flows to keep markets and governments on edge and erode support for Ukraine among Western voters.

Gazprom’s shutting down of Nord Stream “under fallacious pretenses is another confirmation of its unreliability as a supplier,” European Commission spokesman Eric Mamer wrote on Twitter.

A senior manager of a German gas company formerly controlled by Gazprom said Friday that he expects local importers of gas channeled via Nord Stream to stop paying for their contractual obligations with Gazprom.

Natural-gas prices have broken records in recent weeks amid the energy crunch, though they have also dropped sharply in the past days, with some analysts crediting the speed at which Europeans have been filling up their gas storage facilities through the summer.

Goldman Sachs analysts said that the Nord Stream outage would cause prices to surge again. The Gazprom decision “will reignite market uncertainty regarding the region’s ability to manage storage through winter, driving a significant rally,” the bank said in a note to clients.

Gazprom began throttling gas flows in June, citing technical problems with the turbines. The company insists that a key turbine couldn’t be sent to Russia after it was maintained in Canada because of international sanctions on Moscow. But Germany, where the turbine was located, said that there are no obstacles, and that Moscow was in fact blocking the turbine’s return to Russia.

On Friday, Gazprom said that it found an oil leak in a turbine at the compressor station of the pipeline. Gazprom said that similar issues had been found with other turbines this summer that have led to the reduction of the gas flows.

Gazprom said it had notified German company

Siemens Energy AG

, which maintains the turbines, of the new leak. Gazprom said that the necessary repairs could only be done in a specialized repair facility. Previously, some turbines for the pipeline had been repaired by Siemens Energy in Canada.

Siemens Energy said that Gazprom’s announcement wasn’t a technical reason for stopping operation. “Such leakages do not usually affect the operation of a turbine and can be sealed on site. It is a routine procedure during maintenance work,” the company said. It said it wasn’t currently contracted for maintenance work but is ready to assist.

Europe has been preparing for a possible Russian gas cutoff, with EU gas- storage facilities filling up faster than expected this summer, to over 80%.

Still, if Nord Stream remains shut, Europe’s gas stores would end the winter at 26% of their capacity, which would complicate Europe’s situation next winter, Massimo Di Odoardo, vice president for gas and liquefied natural gas research at energy consulting firm Wood Mackenzie, wrote this week.

Germany, which received more than half of its gas from Russia before the war in Ukraine, has been racing to diversify its supply of gas and to install floating liquefied natural gas terminals to ship in gas from the U.S. and elsewhere. In recent months, Germany’s gas imports from Norway, Belgium and the Netherlands have far outweighed the reduced Russian flows.

The country is close to hitting its 85% gas storage target, initially set for Oct. 1. German officials, however, have warned that reaching the next milestone of 95% by Nov. 1 would be challenging unless companies and households cut consumption.

The 760-mile-long Nord Stream pipeline first opened in 2011. Russia and a consortium of European energy companies built a second pipeline, Nord Stream 2, running alongside the original one, that would have doubled capacity. But the German government froze the project in February over the war in Ukraine.

Write to Georgi Kantchev at georgi.kantchev@wsj.com and Andrew Duehren at andrew.duehren@wsj.com

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Russia Resumes Nord Stream Natural-Gas Supply to Europe

BERLIN—Russian natural gas began flowing again at a reduced volume through a critical pipeline into Europe on Thursday, according to its operator, buying time for governments to decouple from the Kremlin’s exports amid what they expect will be an increasingly unreliable supply of energy from Moscow heading into the winter.

The Nord Stream pipeline connecting Russia with Germany under the Baltic Sea resumed operation after its annual maintenance, ending 10 days of tense speculation about whether President

Vladimir Putin’s

regime would cut off the gas flow to Europe in retaliation for Western sanctions after his invasion of Ukraine.

The operator, Nord Stream AG, said the pipeline was in the process of restarting, which would take a few hours. “Gas is flowing,” a spokesman for the operator said.

The spokesman said flows are expected to be at pre-maintenance level of around 40% of total capacity, but it would take a few hours to reach that volume. One of the German network operators, NEL Gastransport GmbH, later said Thursday that this volume of gas was currently flowing through the pipe, as also confirmed by Nord Stream’s own online monitoring tool.

The German energy regulator said gas flows could reach 40% of capacity Thursday.

“Unfortunately, the political uncertainty and the 60% cut from mid-June remain,” the regulator’s head, Klaus Müller, said on Twitter.

The restart sent wholesale European natural-gas prices down 5% Thursday to €154.55, the equivalent of about $157.50, a megawatt-hour. Including Thursday’s fall, prices have fallen by 14% over the past week but have more than doubled this year and are more than four times as high as 12 months ago. The rally has propelled electricity prices to historic highs across Europe. Broader financial markets were steady Thursday as investors awaited earnings reports from major U.S. companies and an expected interest-rate increase by the European Central Bank.

A compressor station in Mallnow, Germany.



Photo:

filip singer/Shutterstock

The pipeline has been operating below capacity since Russia began throttling supplies in June, invoking technical issues related to Western sanctions against Russia.

Mr. Putin earlier this week said Russia would meet its contractual obligations for gas deliveries to Europe. The Nord Stream pipeline is the main conduit for Russian gas into Europe. Mr. Putin also warned that Western sanctions adopted to punish Russia in the wake of the invasion could cause further disruptions and cap pipeline volumes as low as 20%.

European officials and executives had worried the pipeline might not restart at all, or do so at even lower volumes. While gas is now flowing again, how much Russia sends—and for how long—will be closely watched by European capitals, who are in the midst of filling reservoirs for the higher-demand winter just a few months away.

An abrupt cutoff would have pushed Germany, Europe’s largest economy and industrial powerhouse, and several of its neighbors into a severe recession, according to most economists. But even reduced flows and the uncertainty regarding future supplies mean governments may still be forced to ration energy and subsidize mounting costs for households, experts and officials say.

Nord Stream channels gas extracted from Siberia by state-controlled Gazprom PJSC.

Mr. Putin this week blamed the drop on the absence of a turbine that had been held up in Canada after undergoing repairs because of Western sanctions, but is now on its way back to Russia.

Berlin and most Western experts said the cut in supplies was an attempt to pressure the West into easing sanctions and to push up gas prices. Several German officials and a Gazprom manager in Europe told The Wall Street Journal that Nord Stream had an elaborate contingency system with at least one spare turbine available at all times.

German officials say they expect the pipeline to continue to operate at its reduced pre-maintenance capacity—a level they think was deliberately set to prevent Germany and others from building up enough gas reserves for the winter. Because of technical reasons related to the pressure levels in the pipeline, Nord Stream can’t transport volumes below 30% of its capacity of 55 billion cubic meters a year.

A German government minister said that Mr. Putin was deliberately causing anxiety in the global energy markets, but that he was unlikely to sever supplies completely because it would remove his leverage and risk a harsher response from the West.

The reduced flows and uncertainty are already hitting Germany’s economy. The largest gas utility,

Uniper SE,

is in bailout talks with the German government. The company said Monday that it had drawn down a €2 billion, or $2.04 billion, credit line with German state-owned KfW bank. A German Economy Ministry spokesperson said Monday that the government was working with Uniper and its Finnish parent,

Fortum Oyj,

to find ways to help the company.

Germany and other European Union nations, which pledged to end purchases of Russian energy by 2024, are now working on two basic contingency plans.

The Nord Stream pipeline has been operating below capacity since Russia began throttling supplies in June.



Photo:

Markus Schreiber/Associated Press

The first envisages a status quo, with Nord Stream operating at around 40% of its capacity. Under that scenario, Germany, where gas storages are currently 65% full, would have to significantly reduce consumption compared with the previous year to avoid a shortfall in the winter. Some regions, however, are expected to be more severely affected, possibly triggering local measures such as limited factory shutdowns and a cut in supply to some businesses.

Under this scenario, Germany would be unable to completely fill its reserves before year-end, leaving the country vulnerable to new surprise supply cuts and keeping energy prices high.

This could be politically explosive for Berlin, with some 66% of Germans currently feeling that the government isn’t doing enough to tackle high energy prices, while 53% believe the sanctions are hurting Germany more than Russia, according to a Forsa poll published on Wednesday.

“We need to prepare for a war economy…the next two winters will be difficult,” said

Günther Oettinger,

a former chief energy official of the EU and German politician. “Our very democracy is in danger of disruption from the energy costs fallout.”

The second scenario, seen in Berlin as less likely according to German officials, foresees an end to Russian gas supplies before the end of the year, triggering an emergency plan that would allow Chancellor

Olaf Scholz

to take control of the gas market and ration consumption.

Under legislation that protects households and critical infrastructure, rationing would hit mainly businesses, leading to a drop in Germany’s gross domestic product of between 5% and 6% in 2023, according to estimates by

Deutsche Bank.

With many European countries that depend on Russian gas reliant on supplies transiting through Germany, irregular or dwindling supplies through Nord Stream would have effects across the continent.

The EU this week issued guidelines recommending measures to cut gas consumption by 15% between August 2022 and March 2023, including by limiting the temperature in office spaces to 66 degrees this winter.

Germany’s immediate neighbors are working on their own contingency plans.

Germany and Austria negotiated a deal to share their gas-storage capacity and help each other’s regions that are at risk of fuel shortages.

“Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is using energy as a weapon against us. It is clear that the cooperation with Germany, through which almost all gas flows to us, will be essential for us in this direction,” Josef Sikela, the minister of industry and trade of the Czech Republic, told reporters earlier this month.

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Europe is also adjusting its gas infrastructure, which has so far been largely geared to receive supply from Russia. Belgium and Germany are working to expand the capacity of a pipeline connecting the two nations, while Austria and Italy are looking into importing their infrastructure to be able to channel more Norwegian gas into their storage.

The Netherlands, once among the world’s largest gas producers, is considering temporarily prolonging the life of a gas field scheduled for closure after mining work there caused numerous earthquakes.

Many governments are trying to secure gas from other suppliers, from Norway to Algeria, the U.S. and Qatar, which often comes in the form of liquefied natural gas transported by ship.

Germany is building several LNG terminals on its coast to receive shipments from faraway countries and has chartered five floating terminals that can handle those inflows in the short term. Increased LNG purchases by EU nations—Germany alone is investing over €15 billion—have caused a shortage on the global market, leaving countries such as Pakistan struggling to access supply.

Berlin, meanwhile, has said it would review its decision to shut down its three remaining nuclear-power plants. It is already planning to increase use of coal to produce electricity this winter to save gas for heating.

Write to Bojan Pancevski at bojan.pancevski@wsj.com and Georgi Kantchev at georgi.kantchev@wsj.com

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Vladimir Putin Says Russia Will Honor Gas Commitments, but Warns of New Nord Stream Curbs

Russian President

Vladimir Putin

said Russia would fulfill its commitments to supply natural gas to Europe but warned that flows via the Nord Stream pipeline could be curbed soon if sanctions prevent additional maintenance on its components.

Nord Stream, the main artery for Russian gas to Europe, is currently down due to regular maintenance and European governments are worried the Kremlin won’t restore its flow when the work ends Thursday. A prolonged outage could prompt governments to ration energy, hurting industry and hitting already fragile economic growth.

In comments late Tuesday after his visit to Tehran, Mr. Putin said that Kremlin-controlled energy exporter Gazprom PJSC, pipeline operator’s majority shareholder, “has always fulfilled and will fulfill all of its obligations.”

But the Russian president added that flows might fall to some 20% of capacity as soon as next week if a pipeline turbine that was undergoing repairs in Canada isn’t returned to Russia soon. Mr. Putin said that another turbine had to go for maintenance on July 26.

Even before the maintenance began, Gazprom last month cut deliveries on the pipeline to 40% of its capacity, blaming Canadian sanctions that had prevented the return of the turbine being repaired there. European officials have dismissed the turbine explanation as a pretext for Moscow to try and wreak economic havoc on the continent.

Germany has been racing to return the turbine to Russia after Canada earlier this month tweaked its own sanctions, allowing turbines for the Nord Stream pipeline to be repaired and returned to Russia.

The European Union is pressing governments to step up their energy-conservation campaigns, rolling out new plans for possible rationing on Wednesday. The commission’s plan is expected to offer guidelines for curbing energy use and establish criteria governments can use to determine which industries to give priority to if there isn’t enough gas to go around. The guidelines also call for public buildings to limit air conditioning to 77 degrees Fahrenheit and cap thermostats at about 66 degrees during colder months.

Gazprom has invoked force majeure for its failure to deliver contractually agreed natural-gas shipments in recent weeks, according to European energy companies. It isn’t clear whether the notice—a legal declaration that exempts the company from fulfilling contractual obligations because of circumstances outside its control—covers a potential decision by Russia not to resume Nord Stream flows after the maintenance.

While some European officials have in recent days cast doubt on whether Nord Stream would come back online on Thursday, Mr. Putin’s comments helped fuel expectations the pipeline would restart. Separately, flows of gas through the pipeline spiked several times on Tuesday, which analysts say could be pressure tests ahead of the end of the maintenance.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs said they expected the pipeline to come back online Thursday at its pre-maintenance capacity of 40%.

A full stop “would remove flexibility from Russia’s supply decisions, once you’re at zero, there’s only one place to go: up,” the bank wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday, adding that such a scenario would also deprive Russia of gas revenues.

But Mr. Putin’s new warning that the flows could be curbed to 20% next week shows that Moscow will continue to use gas to squeeze Europe, even if it doesn’t completely cut it off, analysts say.

“It’s absolutely clear that Moscow is cutting supplies for geopolitical reasons—it wants to create a European gas crisis this winter to bring Europe to its knees to the point where it cuts support to Ukraine and forces Kyiv to concede to Moscow’s demands,” said Timothy Ash, senior strategist for BlueBay Asset Management LLP in London.

Mr. Putin also warned the West that its plan to cap the prices of Russian oil would rock global markets and push prices up.

“Now we are hearing all sorts of crazy ideas about limiting the volume of Russian oil and capping the Russian oil price,” Mr. Putin said. “Oil prices will skyrocket,” he added.

Write to Georgi Kantchev at georgi.kantchev@wsj.com

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Saudi Aramco Posts Record Quarterly Profit on Surging Oil Prices

DUBAI—Saudi Arabia’s national oil company said Sunday that its net income rose more than 80% to record highs in the first quarter of the year, a surge that shows how some of the world’s biggest state-owned energy producers are benefitting from a price boom accelerated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Saudi Arabian Oil Co., known as Aramco, said its quarterly profit swelled to $39.5 billion in the quarter, a period during which Saudi Arabia, the de facto leader of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, continued to rebuff U.S. requests to pump more oil to help tame surging crude prices, instead sticking by an agreement with Russia to only marginally increase output.

The agreement with Russia allows for production increases of around 400,000 barrels a day each month, but it has done little to stem the rise in oil prices, and the Saudis have pumped less than their share, according to the International Energy Agency.

Western countries including the U.S. have responded to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine by sanctioning exports of Russian oil, leading to fears of less oil in the market and higher prices. Some of Europe’s biggest economies are scrambling to find new sources of natural gas to replace Russian fuel on which they remain highly dependent.

The result has been a boon for traditional fossil-fuel producers in the Middle East. With oil prices rising as high as $139 a barrel in recent months and consistently above $100, Saudi Arabia has seen its fastest economic growth in a decade.

Last week, Saudi Aramco overtook

Apple Inc.

as the world’s most valuable company, with its market value rising to $2.4 trillion.

The Ukraine invasion and rising global oil prices have benefited Saudi Arabia. A gasoline station in Kenya.



Photo:

simon maina/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

Soaring energy prices have also showered Western oil producers such as

Shell

PLC and

Exxon

Mobil Corp. with cash. But the companies are largely using the cash to reduce debt, accelerate share buybacks and otherwise reward investors, rather than increase exploration and other capital spending. Some have also suffered multibillion-dollar write-downs from their withdrawal from Russia.

For many members of OPEC and a coalition of Russia-led oil producers, known as OPEC+, high oil prices have been a windfall, providing a vital boost to their economies after years of slow growth due to relatively low prices, some OPEC delegates and analysts say.

Though the kingdom is trying to diversify away from oil, Aramco remains the engine of the Saudi economy. The company pumped an average of 10.2 million barrels a day between January and March, the most of any company in the world.

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is seeking to restructure the Saudi economy by 2030.



Photo:

SAUDI PRESS AGENCY/REUTERS

Aramco is spending billions of dollars to up its oil production capacity from 12 million barrels a day to 13 million by 2027 and plans to increase its gas output by more than 50% by 2030.

Aramco is also looking to develop opportunities in refining and petrochemicals, known in the industry as the downstream sector. In recent months it bought a stake in a Polish refinery and said it would invest in a 300,000-barrel-a-day refining and petrochemicals complex in China.

Other Middle East energy producers are profiting from the energy-price boom.

Qatar, one of the world’s biggest natural-gas producers, is in talks to supply Germany, France and other European countries with long-term supplies of liquefied natural gas. In Iraq, one of the world’s biggest oil producers, officials say a windfall of more than $20 billion in oil revenues is putting the country on its strongest financial footing in years. Even Iran, where U.S. sanctions have crippled the oil industry, has ramped up exports in recent months.

In Saudi Arabia, gross domestic product in the first quarter expanded 9.6% from a year earlier, according to the kingdom’s statistics authority. London-based consulting firm Capital Economics estimates the Saudi economy will grow around 10% this year. That is far stronger than the 6.3% growth currently expected by most analysts, it said.

Saudi Arabia recorded a budget surplus equivalent to $15.3 billion for the first three months of 2022, the finance ministry said Sunday, bolstered by a 58% increase in oil revenues compared with the same period last year. It is the biggest surplus since the government began announcing budget figures on a quarterly basis six years ago.

Saudi Aramco’s first-quarter capital expenditure stood at $7.6 billion. The firm has previously set its full-year capital expenditure guidance at $40 billion to $50 billion, with further growth expected until around the middle of the decade.

Despite its free cash flow rising 68% to $30.6 billion, Aramco kept its quarterly dividend, a vital revenue source for the Saudi government, unchanged at $18.8 billion and approved the distribution of one bonus share for every 10 shares held in the company. That allowed the firm to reduce its gearing—a measure of debt as a percentage of equity—from 14% at the end of December to 8% at the end of March.

In March last year, Aramco’s gearing rose to 23%, above the company’s self-imposed cap of 15%, forcing Aramco to return to the debt market to meet its dividend commitment.

The Saudi government, with a stake of more than 94% in Aramco, has sought to monetize the country’s massive oil assets and use the proceeds to invest in industries outside of oil as part of Crown Prince

Mohammed bin Salman’s

plan to restructure the economy by 2030.

To help meet that goal, Prince Mohammed has tasked the Public Investment Fund to invest in companies and industries untethered to hydrocarbons. The government also transferred the $29.4 billion it raised from Aramco’s initial public offering on the Saudi stock exchange in 2019 to the PIF to deploy.

Earlier this year, the Saudi government said it transferred Aramco shares worth about $80 billion to the PIF as part of efforts to diversify the kingdom’s hydrocarbon-dependent economy.

Write to Summer Said at summer.said@wsj.com

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Warren Buffett Says Markets Have Become a ‘Gambling Parlor’

OMAHA, Neb.—As recently as February,

Warren Buffett

lamented he wasn’t finding much out there that was worth buying. 

That is no longer the case.

After a yearslong deal drought, Mr. Buffett’s

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

BRK.B -2.55%

is opening up the spending spigot again. It forged an $11.6 billion deal to buy insurer

Alleghany Corp.

Y -0.62%

, poised to be Berkshire’s biggest acquisition in six years. It bought millions of shares of

HP Inc.

HPQ -2.53%

and

Occidental Petroleum Corp.

OXY -3.40%

And it dramatically ramped up its stake in

Chevron Corp.

CVX -3.16%

, making the energy company one of Berkshire’s top four stock investments.

The big question: Why?

“It’s a gambling parlor,” Mr. Buffett said Saturday of the markets over the past few years. He added that he blamed the financial industry for motivating risky behavior among investors. While he finds speculative bets “obscene,” the pickup in volatility across the markets has had one good effect, he said: It has allowed Berkshire to find undervalued businesses to invest in again following a period of relative quiet. 

“We depend on mispriced businesses through a mechanism where we’re not responsible for the mispricing,” Mr. Buffett said.

Mr. Buffett, 91 years old, shared his thoughts on the state of the markets, Berkshire’s insurance business and recent investments at the company’s annual shareholder meeting in downtown Omaha.

Berkshire also held votes on shareholder proposals, with investors ultimately striking down measures that asked Berkshire to make its board chairman independent and called for the company to disclose climate risk across its businesses. 

Shareholders eager to score prime seats lined up for hours before the doors opened in the arena where Mr. Buffett; right-hand-man

Charlie Munger,

98; and Vice Chairmen

Greg Abel,

59, and

Ajit Jain,

70, took the stage. As Mr. Buffett entered, a lone audience member took the opportunity to send a message. “We love you,” the person shouted. 

Mr. Buffett appeared equally enthused to see the thousands of shareholders sitting before him. 

It was a lot better being able to be with everyone in person, he said.

Up until recently, Berkshire had largely been sitting on its cash pile. Its business thrived; a recovering economy and roaring stock market helped push net earnings to a record in 2021. But it didn’t announce any major deals, something that led many analysts and investors to wonder about its next moves. Berkshire ended the year with a near record amount of cash on hand. (After Berkshire’s buying spree, the size of the company’s war chest shrank to $106.26 billion at the end of the first quarter, from $146.72 billion three months earlier.)

Mr. Buffett’s feeling that there were no appealing investment opportunities for Berkshire quickly gave way to excitement in late February, he said Saturday, when he got a copy of Alleghany Chief Executive

Joseph Brandon’s

annual report.

The report piqued his interest. He decided to follow up with Mr. Brandon, flying to New York City to talk about a potential deal over dinner. 

Warren Buffett headed in to speak to shareholders at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting in Omaha, Neb., on Saturday.



Photo:

SCOTT MORGAN/REUTERS

If the chief executive hadn’t reached out, “it wouldn’t have occurred to me to write to him and say, ‘Let’s get together,’” Mr. Buffett said.

Berkshire’s decision to build up a 14% stake in Occidental also came about with a report. Mr. Buffett said he had read an analyst note on the company, whose stock is still trading below its 2011 high, and decided the casino-like market conditions made it a good time to buy the stock.

Over the course of just two weeks, Berkshire scooped up millions of shares of the company. 

“I don’t think we ever had anything quite like we have now in terms of the volumes of pure gambling activity going on daily,” Mr. Munger said. “It’s not pretty.” 

But the amount of speculation in the markets has given Berkshire a chance to spot undervalued businesses, Mr. Munger said, allowing the company to put its $106 billion cash reserve to work.

“I think we’ve made more because of the crazy gambling,” Mr. Munger said.

Another business that caught Berkshire’s eye? Chevron. Berkshire’s stake in the company was worth $25.9 billion as of March 31, up from $4.5 billion at the end of 2021, according to the company’s filing. That makes Chevron one of Berkshire’s four biggest stockholdings, alongside

Apple,

American Express Co. and Bank of America Corp.

Neither Mr. Buffett nor Mr. Munger specifically addressed Berkshire’s decision to increase its Chevron stake.

But the two men offered a defense of the oil industry. It is a good thing for the U.S. to be producing more of its own oil, Mr. Buffett said. Mr. Munger went further, saying he could hardly think of a more useful industry. 

At the meeting, Mr. Buffett also revealed that Berkshire has increased its stake in

Activision Blizzard Inc.

The company now holds a 9.5% position in Activision, a merger-arbitrage bet from which Berkshire stands to profit if

Microsoft Corp.’s

proposal to acquire the videogame maker goes through.

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At the end of the day, Berkshire doesn’t try to make its investments based on what it believes the stock market will do when it opens each Monday, Mr. Buffett said.

“I can’t predict what [a] stock will do…We don’t know what the economy will do,” he said.

What Berkshire focuses on is doing what it can to keep generating returns for its shareholders, Mr. Buffett said. Berkshire produced 20% compounded annualized gains between 1965 and 2020, compared with the S&P 500, which returned 10% including dividends over the same period.

“The idea of losing permanently other people’s money…that’s just a future I don’t want to have,” Mr. Buffett said.

Write to Akane Otani at akane.otani@wsj.com

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