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Playoff predictions: Ohio State vs Georgia, Michigan vs TCU

The College Football Playoff is here, as the sport sends out the year 2022 with a pair of compelling semifinal clashes. In the first, undefeated No. 2 Michigan battles No. 3 TCU, a program making its first CFP appearance, at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN. In the second, two football bluebloods will meet as unbeaten No. 1 Georgia takes on upset-minded No. 4 Ohio State at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. The winners will then play for the national championship on Monday, Jan. 9 in Los Angeles.

Who will prevail in the Playoff semifinals? A quartet of Sports Illustrated college football writers preview each game, complete with score predictions and their pick for game MVP.

Peach Bowl: No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Ohio State

Pat Forde: Georgia 35, Ohio State 21

If the Buckeyes had trouble holding up in the second half against the power of Michigan, what are they going to do here? Georgia is the most physically dominant team in the nation, punishing on both sides of the ball, and Ohio State flunked a test it had a year to study for in that regard against the Wolverines. The Buckeyes have five weeks to get better in an area where that’s not easy to do. If they are going to pull this off, they will need their best players to perform like superstars—quarterback C.J. Stroud and receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka, specifically. That’s certainly possible, which is underscored by the roasting the Georgia secondary got from LSU in the SEC championship game. But the Ohio State defense will also need to avoid the glaring lapses it had against Michigan, because Georgia can befuddle the Buckeyes with misdirection and eye candy to spring some big plays in the passing game and on the perimeter—then finish them off between the tackles with the power running attack.

Forde’s pick for game MVP: Stetson Bennett. The Georgia quarterback is a master distributor of the ball who can also make plays with his legs. He could have another in a series of big games in big spots.

Ross Dellenger: Georgia 31, Ohio State 20

The Bulldogs are a more complete team than the one that won it all last season. Sure, their defense is rock solid as always, but QB Stetson Bennett and his offense have put together one of the best offensive seasons in the country. The unit ranks eighth in total offense, 17 spots better than last season. It’s scored more than 30 points in all but three games this season, hitting 45 points in five games. Don’t sleep on the Bulldogs’ offense. We don’t expect the Buckeyes to be napping defensively, but we do expect Kirby Smart’s defense to swallow an Ohio State offense that, while talented and explosive, has struggled against good (and some bad) teams this year (it didn’t score more than 23 points in games against Notre Dame, Northwestern and Michigan).

Dellenger’s pick for game MVP: Georgia TE Brock Bowers. Bowers will add to his three rushing touchdowns and six TD catches this year in route to the MVP honors.

Bennett and Bowers are both among our picks for Peach Bowl MVP.

Jordan Prather/USA TODAY Sports

Richard Johnson: Georgia 34, Ohio State 30

The Buckeyes offense, led by receiver Marvin Harrison Jr., will push the Dawgs on defense like they haven’t been yet this season. But in the end, Georgia’s offense surprisingly will be the thing that takes it over the top when Stetson Bennett outduels C.J. Stroud thanks to the help of his matchup-nightmare tight ends.

Johnson’s pick for game MVP: Georgia TE Brock Bowers

John Garcia: Georgia 34, Ohio State 24

The more I read into the game, from a casual personnel perspective or a more specific research-based one, it keeps coming back to Georgia. The program has been the juggernaut of the sport since the 2020 pandemic season and could be wrapping up its best campaign relative to its offensive ability climbing closer to the dominant nature of the Bulldogs’ defense. The Buckeyes argument has me playing more hypotheticals than pure matchups—IF Ohio State can establish the run against the vaunted UGA front, then the passing game could open up. IF C.J. Stroud uses his legs and Ryan Day’s staff works a mobile pocket, perhaps Marvin Harrison Jr., Emeka Egbuka and a talented wide receiver corps can win one-on-one matchups with the Bulldogs’ secondary.

It’s the opposite on the defending champions’ front, where the feel is Georgia can adjust to whatever nature the game presents with ease. It could dominate time of possession and combine its run game and short passing game to keep the ball away from Stroud, creating fewer possessions and a fresher defense to attack the Buckeyes in the process. Even in the event of a shootout, Georgia has shown the capabilities to operate more freely offensively in 2022 with the best tight end room in the country and an all-of-a-sudden healthy wide receiver group available for the first time since its demolition of Oregon to open the season. Familiarity seems to be the best formula to slow down Stetson Bennett & Co., as select SEC teams have come close over the years, compared to nonconference opponents that have been met with Georgia power and aggression on both sides of the ball.

The last non-SEC program to beat the Bulldogs was the “We’re Back!” Texas Longhorns and Sam Ehlinger back on Jan. 1, 2019. Nearly four years to the day later, it’s tough to imagine it happening again.

Garcia’s pick for game MVP: With Ohio State’s defensive focus on Brock Bowers & Co., Georgia RB Kenny McIntosh will make big plays on the ground and in the air against an OSU defense vulnerable to a power scheme. The last time we saw the Buckeyes, Michigan ran for 250-plus yards without its lead back.

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Fiesta Bowl: No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 TCU

Forde: Michigan 38, TCU 28

The crux of the matter is whether the Horned Frogs can hold up defensively enough to give their offense a chance to win the game. The data suggests no. TCU is a middling defensive unit, entering bowl season ranked 56th nationally in yards allowed per play (5.41) and 118th in number of scrimmage plays allowed of 20 yards or longer (69). That’s a bad combination against an opponent with newfound explosiveness (Donovan Edwards on the ground, several receivers through the air) but also the mentality to patiently grind out five-yard runs all day.

Max Duggan will be able to make some plays passing and probably will make some running, as well. It would certainly help TCU’s cause if Kendre Miller can get untracked early in the running game, but doing that against the No. 3 rushing defense in the nation will be difficult. Sonny Dykes needs to come to the desert ready to get risky, whereas Harbaugh can arrive relatively certain that his preferred gameplan is probably good enough to carry the day.

Forde’s pick for game MVP: Donovan Edwards. The Michigan running back has been on fire at the end of the season, and that probably won’t stop against TCU.

Dellenger: Michigan 37, TCU 31

Like Georgia, I feel like Michigan is even better than the squad we saw advance to the CFP last season. The Wolverines play a more traditional offensive game mixed with a sturdy and talented defense. But can they corral the Comeback Kids? QB Max Duggan and TCU have put together one of the more unexpected and magical seasons in recent college football history. Coach Sonny Dykes and the Horned Frogs have won six games this season in which they trailed by double digits in the second half. The fairy tale will come to an end in Phoenix, where the Big 12 regular-season champs meet their toughest test of the year. Even without RB Blake Corum, the Wolverines will roll.

Dellenger’s pick for game MVP: Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy. Against TCU, McCarthy will continue to be one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the country. He has thrown just three picks this year to go with 20 touchdowns.

Both Duggan and McCarthy’s mobility could be critical in the matchup. AB, the Michigan QB tries to evade a tackle.

Junfu Han/USA TODAY Network

Johnson: Michigan 31, TCU 20

In the end, I think Michigan’s running game simply will prove too fierce. Expect a heavy dose of Donovan Edwards, although the Wolverines have other capable backs in the stable. But the Joe Moore Award–winning offensive line will be the difference in this one.

Johnson’s pick for game MVP: Edwards

Garcia: Michigan 37, TCU 31

While the other semifinal is getting more run on my timeline, it is the battle of elite mascots that should play to more conventional college football entertainment. Both offenses are led by intriguing mobile quarterbacks who have come into their own this year en route to the big stage. TCU Heisman finalist Max Duggan may very well lead the team in rushing before all is said and done; he’s a true dual-threat approach that Michigan’s dominant defense hasn’t quite had to contend with thus far. Duggan’s creativity and grit should help to keep the Horned Frogs in it, though the Wolverines’ attack presents more balance and ball control. Even without Blake Corum, UM presents a lot of issues for opposing defenses with breakout star Donovan Edwards—who is also more comfortable in space than the injured back. That combination should open things up for J.J. McCarthy and one of the most well-distributed and efficient passing attacks in the nation.

Naturally, in a game where the expectation may call for plenty of points, it will be a defensive movement that alters the course of the result. This is where the Michigan secondary, possibly even true freshman Will Johnson, could make that late splash to either help the favorites get the ball back late for a game-winning drive or play catalyst to a clock-milking possession to hold off TCU’s Cinderella ride one final time.

Garcia’s pick for game MVP: McCarthy has shown plenty of flashes in taking over in 2022, but this will be his most complete effort to date—as both a passer and a runner. 



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NFL trade deadline: nine deals we’d like to see

When it comes to the trade deadline, good general managers are now like the eBay consumer who selects the “buy it now” option instead of waiting for the final moments of the auction. The old adage that deadlines spur action really applies only to contracts in the NFL now (because owners are some combination of stingy, distant and performative). The trade deadline, as it stands, has all but fizzled out.

Robert Quinn (Eagles), James Robinson (Jets), Christian McCaffrey (49ers), Johnathan Hankins (Cowboys) and Robbie Anderson (Cardinals) have already found new homes. If a team really wanted someone, they’ve gone out and acquired them, instead of waiting for an arbitrary time and date (in this case, 4 p.m. ET Tuesday) to tell them when they should.

But that doesn’t mean we can’t still have fun (or that you shouldn’t still try a few eBay auctions, because sniping someone with the suggested bid increase at the final second for that Bailey Zappe rookie card is incredibly satisfying). While another blockbuster may shake the league’s very foundation, it’s up to us to come up with the best trades that should have happened. Or still might! Teams can’t believe this, but the advice we offer here is completely and totally free.

In preparation for this exercise, I suggested a Robinson-to-the-Jets trade in our editor-to-writer Slack channel. While my editor, Mitch Goldich, offered a suggestion of Jameis Winston to the Colts the day before Indianapolis benched Matt Ryan for the season. We have time stamps to prove it and everything. I’d take that as an indication that our radar is at least somewhat functional.

But first …

The 5–2 Jets have been one of the surprises of the season. Could they make a move to chase a playoff spot?

Dan Powers/USA TODAY Network-Wisconsin/USA TODAY Network

Who should be buying

New York Jets

It all depends on what the Jets want to do here. Their remaining strength of schedule is brutal, and they will need to fortify, as they started to do with the Robinson trade. While it is not easy to play in this offensive line, there are now a lot of teams that have players who can do it. Ultimately, GM Joe Douglas will have to decide whether the unit he has can jell, which would be better than going star-hunting at the position. If he wants to gamble, for example, that the Browns would not pay Jack Conklin next year, it’s worth making a phone call. There is still time before he has to pay his quarterback, and George Fant is a free agent next year. The versatile Justin Pugh is from the Northeast and will be a free agent next year, as will the Panthers’ Cameron Erving, who has played every position under the sun on offense.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs are now (probably) looking at the Bills the way the Bills have looked at the Chiefs the last few seasons. What matters now is a pass rush. They know they will be in contention late this season, and they know that Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson or Justin Herbert is going to be standing on his own 20 with 2:35 remaining on the clock needing a touchdown to tie it up. George Karlaftis will end up being a good player in this league. Frank Clark is nearing 30 and is currently serving a two-game suspension. They need help. Chris Jones has the highest pass-rush win rate for an interior lineman in the NFL; now imagine being able to collapse the pocket from all sides.

Buffalo Bills

At this point, the Bills have to be looking at depth in the secondary as a major need. While their defense has played extraordinarily well, and we’ve seen how expertly coached-up their replacement players are, it would be inexcusable to allow the most talented team in the league to lose a game in late January, because they didn’t feel like spending a third- or fourth-round pick at the deadline. They also need to be looking at any versatile offensive weapon on the market, because so is any other team hoping to contend with them for a conference title.

Green Bay Packers

This one is obvious. Their offensive line is broken, their wide receiving corps is, according to Aaron Rodgers, mistake-prone and underperforming. Their power/factor back AJ Dillon can’t break tackles. Take your pick. In the remaining time Rodgers has in the league, every season has to be an all-in proposition. Let’s see whether management feels the same way.

Miami Dolphins

With Tua Tagovailoa healthy, the Dolphins have to decide whether they want to push the gas pedal or settle into a more conservative rhythm with their roster-building strategy. They still have a first-round pick from the 49ers coming this year, despite losing another one due to the Stephen Ross tampering scandal. The Dolphins are inching toward that 10–7 or 9–8 purgatory. It’s safe to say that their coaching staff should have them dreaming a little bigger.

Tennessee Titans

The AFC South is an absolute mess right now, and the Titans have uppercutted their way out of a dismal start to the season. They should now allow themselves the luxury of supplementing the offense. Give Derrick Henry a spell with one of the hundred talented running backs theoretically on the market. Give Ryan Tannehill somewhere to throw the ball. Robert Woods can’t do this by himself.

Minnesota Vikings

The Packers are reeling, so it’s time to put a foot on the pedal. Simple as that. The Vikings are a little bit better than their division rivals right at this moment. The Packers are going to wake up at some point, and when they do, the Vikings would like to be so comfortably ahead in the NFC North that it doesn’t matter to them. Luckily, help may not be that hard to find for the league’s 24th-best defense, according to DVOA rankings. Their defense is a Vic Fangio tribute, and so are most in the league right now.

Philadelphia Eagles

Similar to the Bills, the Eagles have to be looking at the opportunities presented to them, the age of their offensive line and some of their best defensive players, and the contractual window in which Jalen Hurts sits and think: “no excuses.” They are comfortably the best team in the NFC right now and have the juice to make a deep playoff run. While they would obviously like to protect the chemistry that coach Nick Sirianni has in place, they cannot allow another divisional contender to steal a difference-maker.

Who should be selling

It is time for the Saints to think about turning the page from this era.

Matt Kartozian/USA TODAY Sports

New York Jets

Yes, we are listing the Jets in both sections. I think if you’re Douglas, it’s O.K. to have a fluid situation. You can be building for the future and building for now. Coach Robert Saleh has his thumb on the culture there, and if a pair of malcontent wide receivers, Elijah Moore and Denzel Mims, are weighing down the operation, they should let them go. Teams need wide receiver talent across the board, and while he may not be able to recoup the purchase price, he could possibly outdo what he’d receive in the compensatory formula.

New Orleans Saints

Time has run out on this version of the Saints, sadly, as we got into more last week. Their best defensive players are creeping into their mid-30s. They have great component pieces everywhere that could aid other teams in a deep run but no first-round pick next year. They need to at least bolster the mid-rounds of this draft to build a healthy middle class for their next great roster. We know Jeff Ireland is a whiz. Let him work.

Chicago Bears

The Bears have overperformed significantly to this point. They have overcome the narrative (to some degree) that they’ve completely hamstrung Justin Fields because they are brilliantly scheming games for him and putting him in positions to win. So, it would be a complete backbreaker if the club traded both Robert Quinn (already gone) and Darnell Mooney (still on the block) at this point, especially after an inspiring prime-time win over the Patriots. That said, the Bears have to ask themselves whether they’re prepared to hand Mooney a massive extension following the 2023 season (given the price of the receiver market), just as it was a prudent decision to decide Quinn isn’t worth more than $25 million in his age-33 and age-34 seasons. The Bears need more early- to mid-round picks to beef up this roster, as they’ll be using their high-end picks to replace premium positions of need.

Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have obviously begun their fire sale. Christian McCaffrey is gone. Robbie Anderson is gone. Brian Burns and D.J. Moore could be next. Shaq Thompson has been fantastic and is in the second-to-last year of his contract. Teams should be salivating over a linebacker who can still cover and defend the run, especially as we creep into the deepest part of the season when missed tackles and tiny checkdowns breaking for big gains could alter the course of a season.

Denver Broncos

The Broncos are going to pin this season on Nathaniel Hackett to spare us the fact that this roster is O.K. and pinned together by a declining quarterback who doesn’t seem to have an interest in running the offense. If GM George Paton is here for the long haul, he’ll want to stockpile some picks for the next draft. Bradley Chubb is in the final year of his rookie deal, the Broncos have some expiring offensive line contracts and Hackett’s system translates to a lot of places around the league, including the tattered Packers from which Hackett came.

Houston Texans

Texans’ EVP Jack Easterby is out, which means so, too, will be any fingerprinting he had on the roster or the coaching staff. This is a young, bare-bones roster, and Brandin Cooks, one of their lone veteran talents, doesn’t have much of a tradeable contract, despite the fact that a burner would be extremely valuable to a few contenders right now. Jerry Hughes has been playing well and was in for his fewest number of snaps last week. The 34-year-old end could be a critical piece for a team in need of some veteran defensive line help.

Time to imagine players like Jeudy and Watt in different uniforms to close out this season.

Illustration by Bryce Wood; Cooper Neill/Getty Images (Jeudy); Michael Owens/Getty Images (Watt)

Trades we’d like to see

Jerry Jeudy to the Packers

The Broncos’ wide receiver would not be a replacement for Davante Adams, but would help the Packers build a more typical version of the Kyle Shanahan offense, which requires a burner and a bully. The Packers already have their bully in Allen Lazard (injury notwithstanding); now they need a burner, with most of their wide receivers sidelined by injury. Jeudy is not necessarily your route running technician, but he’s going to blow up defenses when paired with capable quarterback play.

Mac Jones to the Raiders

O.K., let’s get weird. The Raiders are on a year-to-year contract with Derek Carr, and Jones would provide them the flexibility to possibly move Carr if he isn’t jibing with Josh McDaniels’s offense. Remember, Jones looked good playing under McDaniels as a rookie. In return, the Patriots can get some draft capital that may help them take another swing at the position. Bill Belichick is the only person who could get away with something like this, and he’s the only coach who may be motivated to trade away an unhappy player regardless of draft position and status.

Kareem Hunt to the Titans

The Titans could outduel the Rams for Hunt, a versatile backfield threat who had a comfortable hold on the Browns’ passing-down role for a while. He’d be a capable checkdown option for Ryan Tannehill, whose running backs are second and third, respectively, on his target list. Hunt can add another big body to the backfield to help the Titans grind down opponents and bolster the play-action game for Tannehill.

Chase Claypool to the Rams

The Rams missed out on Christian McCaffrey but could find another way to bolster their motion and misdirection game in the backfield. Claypool has a fair amount of experience there with Matt Canada, the Steelers’ offensive coordinator who inspired some of Sean McVay’s best concepts. The Steelers are loaded at the wide receiver position and have to be imagining a scenario where they’re unable to pay everyone at this current wide receiver market rate.

Nyheim Hines to the Rams

Psych, Les Snead isn’t done yet. If Hines’s medical situation improves, the Colts could see a way to get some return for their backfield receiving threat. Hines has twice caught more than 60 balls in a season and, given the Rams’ thirst for Christian McCaffrey, they may be sending out feelers around the league for another back who can handle pass-catching responsibility and add an obvious speed flavor to the offense.

Shaq Thompson to the Chargers

In the age of the off-ball linebacker, the Chargers have struggled. As my podcast cohost Gary Gramling pointed out on this week’s MMQB Podcast, this is where Los Angeles truly needs a difference-maker. Thompson is on the Panthers, a team that is going to be selling at the deadline. He doesn’t miss a ton of tackles, he can blitz and he can cover adequately. This could help the Chargers stabilize their front seven.

J.J. Watt to the Chiefs

The Cardinals are never going to admit they’re out of it, and thus, will probably not be a factor at the deadline. However, they know this roster is developing one hole after another, and the ill-fated trade for Hollywood Brown didn’t come close to masking those tears in the fabric. We said the same thing a year ago before ultimately getting our hearts broken: Watt deserves to run out the clock on his career (however long that is) with a contender. He could mentor Karlaftis and provide an immediate spark.

Stephon Gilmore to the Ravens (or back to the Bills!)

Gilmore, at age 32, is having one of his best seasons in years. The heady cornerback star, once the best in the NFL at his position, is still trustworthy on top wide receiver talent and has experience in myriad defenses. The Ravens, who have one of the worst dropback success rates in the NFL, could see this as a typical move under GM Eric DeCosta and coach John Harbaugh, to add a high-character vet who would pay immediate dividends. The same could be said for the Bills, the team that drafted Gilmore in the first place.

Jerry Hughes to the Bills

How cool would it be if the Bills brought back both Hughes and Gilmore for the stretch run? We’re talking about playing perfect situational football in big moments and also not messing with team chemistry. Hughes can mentor the young pass rushers and provide critical moments of sound football. Gilmore, similarly, could be a dependable asset on the back end and ensure their quality depth stays that way. 

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Joe Burrow doesn’t have all the answers, but he’s close

This was in the heat and humidity of a downtown Cincinnati summer day, and nearly a month deep into camp, with the Super Bowl champions on the other side—Jalen Ramsey, Aaron Donald and the rest of the Rams’ defense. And to hear Bengals offensive coordinator Brian Callahan tell the story, his quarterback Joe Burrow was just kind of sick of L.A.

Not really the team or the players, so much as what they were trying to do to him.

“The Rams play this particular style—it’s an off-catch technique where they get vision on the quarterback, so they can break fast on the ball,” Callahan explained. “And he was like, O.K., we’re not doing this anymore.”

So Burrow looked over at Ja’Marr Chase, signaling in their own language, for a double move. Then, Burrow called for the snap, and from there it didn’t matter how many All-Pros or Super Bowl champions were lining up against them. None of them had a chance.

“It was a good rep,” Burrow said, recalling it Wednesday. “They have Aaron Donald and their pass rush, in my opinion, is the best in the league, so they can play more aggressive outside, because they know the pass rush will get home eventually. So you gotta just throw it by them every now and then to get a little more respect. And in practice, there’s not a lot of repercussions; there’s no seven points on the board in front of millions of people.

“But it did feel nice to get a long one like that.”

You could almost see the smile across Burrow’s face through the phone.

He and the Bengals have plenty to smile about these days. That “good rep” happened after Burrow missed three weeks of camp after an emergency appendectomy in July. It happened against a team that kept Cincinnati from winning a championship just seven months earlier. And while Burrow may shrug it off, it’s just another example not just of where Burrow’s taken the Bengals but where he’s capable of taking them from here.

Oftentimes, those of us on the outside of the NFL define a player’s potential through his measurables—height, weight, speed and strength. That’s where so many experts missed on Burrow over the years, for the same reasons Tom Brady was pegged as a system quarterback 20 years ago in New England.

Because what sets Burrow’s ceiling is what you can’t see.

“His command over the last year really grew,” Callahan said. “And that’s the fun part. You got all these reps invested, you know the guys you’re playing with, they know the offense, you can have a ton of fun as a quarterback. You can do all kinds of cool stuff. That’s what made Peyton [Manning] great. They could never be right. The defense could never be right, because he would see whatever was across from him, know what they were playing and know what the answer was.

“That’s the evolution you want, that Joe has the capability to be at.”

Simply put, it’s where Burrow is going, and where he’s taking the Bengals.

Katie Stratman/-USA TODAY Sports (Burrow); Jasen Vinlove/USA TODAY Sports (McDaniel); Bill Streicher/USA TODAY Sports (Hurts)


This is the last MMQB before the season starts when these columns become more game-centric, and so I’ve got a lot to give you all. Inside this week’s column, you’ll find …

• A look at Mike McDaniel, and how he knows what you’re thinking.

• How Jalen Hurts is getting better in areas quarterbacks normally don’t.

• The training secrets of the Bosa brothers.

And a whole lot more. But we’re starting with Burrow, the Bengals and where they’re capable of going in 2022 and beyond.


This immeasurable quality Burrow carries has to be, at least in part, God-given, because it seems pretty impossible that a third-grader would have somewhere learned it.

Burrow was 8, just starting tackle football, just starting as a quarterback, and it was then that he first showed this innate ability to process what’s in front of him better than just about anyone else.

Seeing Burrow was a smart kid, and knowing he was the son of a coach—his dad, Jimmy Burrow, had just gotten the job as defensive coordinator at Ohio University—his first coach in Athens gave him a very specific piece of freedom. He allowed for the new QB, if the center was uncovered, to tap the lineman on his side and run a quarterback sneak. Early that season, it might’ve been in his pee-wee team’s first game, the coach called a play with four receivers to Burrow’s left and an empty backfield. The call was a spot screen.

The young quarterback counted the defenders in the far flat, where the receivers were, then counted the number in the box, saw his center uncovered and tapped him on the side.

“And then he went about 70 yards on a quarterback sneak for a touchdown,” Jimmy Burrow said. “And literally that was third grade. So he’s been given the responsibility, the leeway to do those types of things for a long time.”

“I don’t really remember that part—I’m pretty sure it was called by our coach,” said Joe, when I recounted his dad’s story. “But that was one of our good plays. It was in third grade; teams really aren’t super dialed up to defend that sort of thing, so I took a couple of those to the house.”

The video shows a kid in a helmet and shoulder pads that look too big (the way they do for all kids that age) quickly pulling away from a defense that reacted a full tick slow—almost like the footage was a warning for how this 8-year-old would always look like he was a step ahead on a football field.

But to say that this is just a natural gift of his would be wrong, and even unfair. As Burrow himself looks at it, his unlearned talent is his ability to see the field. But having just that would be worthless without having answers for all the questions he’s presented with when he breaks the huddle and looks at the defense. All these years later, so much of the work he’s done is to match the number of answers he has to the number of things he sees.

“I could always just tell whether a play was gonna work or wasn’t gonna work based off the look,” he continued. “Like, I always knew whether it was gonna work or not, but I didn’t always know what to get to, to make it work. So I’ve worked really hard to have answers to every look I could see. And maybe I change it; maybe I don’t. But I’ve always had that feel.”

And that much has been clear pretty much from the jump in Cincinnati.

“He sees it so well,” Bengals coach Zac Taylor said. “If you got a check in that week, he’s not gonna miss it. He’s gonna understand what we’re trying to get to. Now as you grow further, I think his comfort level—just getting out of a play entirely, something totally new because he likes what he sees—is there. He’s got full rein to do that.”

Of course, at the NFL level, that needs to be earned. In this case, it absolutely was by Burrow.


Burrow on his secret to success: “I’ve worked really hard to have answers to every look I could see.” Jeffery A. Salter/Sports Illustrated

Jeffery A. Salter/Sports Illustrated

Having the freedom to make decisions at the line of scrimmage hasn’t taken long because of the rare combination Burrow has to add his gift (for seeing it) to his work ethic (to weaponize that with the answers).

But there are examples, plenty of them, that his coaches rave about from the past two years.

Here are four such plays only 30 starts into Burrow’s career:

Week 7, 2020 season

Opponent: Browns

Situation: Fourth quarter, 4:23 left, down four; 1st-and-10, Bengals 37

Outcome: 15-yard completion to Tyler Boyd

The call, a pick play, was identical to the one the Bengals ran on a fourth-and-4 the first time they’d played the Browns in Week 2 of Burrow’s rookie year—and Burrow found Boyd on that one with a tight back-shoulder throw to move the sticks. But Burrow also learned something on that particular play, watching the Browns’ defensive backs communicate and adjust for the corner covering Boyd out of the slot to bail out, run around the pick and cover him over the top (which was why the throw was a tough one to make).

This time, Burrow had the recall at the line to react in real time in a way few quarterbacks can.

“So Joe sees it, and counters that play,” Callahan said. “When you know they’re teaching guys to play over the top, you fake the pick and go vertical—fake it, and he comes back underneath. We never call that play because you gotta be dead right on it. But it’s in his toolbox, Hey, if you see the look, you can do it. So he remembered that moment, you can see him, he signals the initial play, wants to run this, then he sees those guys communicating, sees them talking to each other, and then he changes it to this one and TB hits it.

“And it’s a conversion, first down, it’s not a huge play, but it’s a 15-yard gain. It was that moment where I was like, Holy s—, that’s impressive. It’s his rookie year. He has the capability mentally to say, O.K., first and foremost, I’m gonna change the play. That’s the first thing. This makes more sense. Second of all, he had the wherewithal and recall to know that they were gonna play it that particular way once he saw them communicating. Watch out for the pick. Then signaled it, and then changed it, in probably 25 seconds.

“To be able to do that, and then it hits for a first down, those are the things, man. Those are things through the first season where we were like, God, this dude is on another level, processing-wise. Football is just easy for him.”

On tape, it looks like Boyd ran a little drag and found a dead spot in the defense—easy money. The truth is it only looked that way because Burrow made it so.

“Yeah, that was a fun one,” Burrow said. “That was exciting.”

The Bengals took the lead seven plays later on a fourth-down scoring pass from Burrow to Gio Bernard before the Browns came back to win the game on the following drive.

Week 4, 2021 season

Opponent: Jaguars

Situation: Fourth quarter, 1:09 left, tied; second-and-13, Jaguars 46

Outcome: 25-yard completion to C.J. Uzomah

Inside two minutes and with just one timeout, having battled back from a rough start to pull even with the Jaguars, this play happened with the clock running after Boyd picked up seven yards to cut first-and-20 to second-and-13. The key was the defensive coordinator, Joe Cullen, because he was new in Jacksonville from the Ravens.

“I’d known their coordinator had come from Baltimore, had a lot of experience there, and so I figured in some critical situation I was gonna get a zero pressure,” Burrow said. “And so I knew my answer as soon as I saw it because I’d prepared for that before the game.”

Indeed, before the snap, all 11 defenders crowded the line of scrimmage.

“We’re in empty (no running backs behind Burrow), and they show zero,” Callahan said. “And Joe knows, 100% I’m checking to this screen, except we were in a formation where C.J., the tight end, was all the way outside. We had never run it that way before. Joe didn’t care.”

“Like Brian said, we usually don’t throw that screen to tight ends,” Burrow said, “but I knew C.J. was gonna make it happen for me, so no hesitation.”

“It was just, I’m gonna check to the screen, I’m gonna beat the blitz,” Callahan said. “He checks to it, we get it communicated, throws it to C.J., C.J. rips off a 25-yard run. Now we’re at the 20-yard line and we’re gonna kick a field goal to win the game. … In that moment, with the pressure on to win the game, he sees zero. He recognizes it. Checks the play. Knows he’s gonna get hit. Gets the ball off.”

The Bengals did get that kick from Evan McPherson, minutes later, to win the game.

Week 5, 2021 season

Opponent: Packers

Situation: Overtime, 7:27 left, tied; second-and-12, Bengals 28

Outcome: 12-yard run by Samaje Perine

Taylor remembered this one fondly—even though he couldn’t quite place it in the moment.

This wasn’t Taylor directing Burrow to do anything, even in a If they show this, do this, sort of way. It was Burrow seeing something and doing something all on his own.

“We called a pass on first-and-15 or second-and-12 or something, and all of a sudden, he’s handing the ball off for a 10-yard gain,” Taylor said. “And it’s like, O.K., well, I guess we’re doing that now. And that’s great to see, because most guys are gonna take every opportunity they can to throw it. But he sees something in the defense and he’s gonna take advantage of it any way we can.”

“That would’ve been against the Packers,” Burrow said. “We got a light box, and the Packers were playing [their safeties] really deep. It was either first-and-15 or second-and-12, something like that. We were able to get it back to a third-and-manageable, which was ideal.”

Indeed, situationally, Burrow’s job was to dig the Bengals out after a two-yard loss by Joe Mixon put the offense behind the sticks, and his audible to a Perine run led to an easy jaunt through that light box and into third-and-2. Cincinnati then capitalized by getting aggressive with a 21-yard back-shoulder connection to Chase to help set a 49-yard kick from McPherson to win it in OT. He missed, and the Packers won. But still …

Divisional playoff, 2021 season

Opponent: Titans

Situation: Second quarter, 5:16 left, tied; third-and-3, Bengals 32

Outcome: Five plays, 48 yards gained

The Bengals were coming out of a timeout and heading down the stretch of the first half.

And then the earpiece in Burrow’s helmet went dead.

“Zac was in the middle of calling the third-down play, and it went out halfway through it,” Burrow said. “I knew the rest of the play, based off the beginning of the formation, so I called that. But then, if I remember right, we were out of timeouts, so we couldn’t call one to get it switched out. So I knew I was on my own. I wound up calling four plays in a row.”

Burrow’s actually wrong about one thing there—the Bengals did have a timeout left. They didn’t use it. And in that spot? A lot of coaches would’ve called it. Cincinnati didn’t.

“Certainly they would,” Callahan said. “And some quarterbacks would panic.”

Burrow didn’t.

On the first play, he handed the ball off left tackle to Mixon for a yard. Then, the broadcast showed Burrow holding his hands over his helmet, and recognizing that, yes, the headsets were out, while Taylor was flipping over his playsheet and trying to talk through them. The quarterback had started toward the sideline, but instead of using the timeout, turned and went back to the line, and called the play. Taylor allowed it.

On his next call, he hit Tee Higgins for 15 yards on an out-cut to convert second-and-9, then he went to Mixon in the flat for another four yards. And then things got interesting on second-and-6 from the Titans’ 42.

“I had called one play that we usually pair with another play in case we get a certain look that we don’t like,” Burrow said. “And we got that look. So I had to change that play call to the play that we’d normally pair with it, and get the protection directed. So that was fun.”

Not so much for the Titans. Burrow did all the communicating necessary, on the road, in the playoffs, against the AFC’s top seed, while dropping from center into the shotgun—and then he decisively got the ball out for 22 yards to Higgins, on a dig, as the clock ticked down to the two-minute warning. Which, of course, isn’t easy. “And to do it in a way that is still attacking the defense and putting us in that position,” Callahan said.

“And after that we started joking with him. It’s like, Oh, yeah, the headset went out again,” Callahan continued. “It’s like the headset can’t always go out, dude. But I think he kinda liked that. He liked having that kind of control and command. … On that one, I just said, Good job to him. But that’s who he is. He never panics.”


Burrow checked to the right play to win the Super Bowl but didn’t have enough time to execute it.

Matt Rourke/AP

Then there was the one that didn’t work, on the last game snap Burrow took. But even that one can be instructive to the point—a fourth-and-1 with the season on the line in the Super Bowl. And it’s best illustrated with differing perspectives on Donald’s signature play.

The Rams, as we detailed back in a story a week after the Super Bowl, saw nickel corner David Long as the hero of the play. Long felt Uzomah’s speed to the flat to Burrow’s left, and thought he was being cleared out to allow for the quarterback an easy window to throw a slant to Higgins. So Long stepped in Burrow’s vision, and the Rams thought that was what gave Donald the split second he needed to get to the quarterback.

But, it turns out, that wasn’t what Burrow was doing. Burrow, before the snap, had identified man coverage, and checked Chase to go over the top—in a Let’s end this now sort of way. He was never going to his left. His eyes were only there to pull safety Nick Scott out of the deep area to which Chase would run.

“We were going there the whole way,” Burrow said. “We got man and if we get man, I’m going to Ja’Marr. The safety [Scott] was off the hash, kind of helping on [Chase’s] side, so I knew I had to move him a little bit. And in the process of doing that, I didn’t have quite enough time to move the safety and get back to it.”

Sure enough, by the time Burrow had successfully moved Scott and pivoted to get to Chase who was running free past Ramsey, he had a faceful of Donald and that was that.

“He did check to me; he definitely checked to me,” Chase says. “I mean, at the end of the day, nobody really knows what would’ve happened. Nobody knows what would’ve happened, if it would’ve happened, I can’t dwell on that play.”

“I’m past it,” Burrow said. “Obviously, you would’ve liked to have that one, but we’re on to this year and making the most out of this year.”

Both, of course, have a better idea than they let on of what would’ve happened. In a way, though, the result only goes further to show why Burrow’s mastery of the details, and an ability to see and win on the margins, matters so much in just how close things were to everything being so different.

And that validates (as if he needed more validation) the work he’s always done sharpening the finer points of his game and the continuation of that as, now, he works furiously to make up for the time lost when his appendix burst. Last year, as he was coming back from ACL surgery, the focus was on increasing the velocity on his ball. This year, his progress as a pro has him at the point where what he’s doing is more granular.

Taylor, for his part, is looking for another leadership step. He’s facilitating it in empowering Burrow to teach new linemen Ted Karras, Alex Cappa and La’El Collins, along with the young guys, the offense. “His voice gets louder now in meeting rooms, whereas the installs are less Cally and I saying, This is how we’re doing it,” Taylor said. “It’s now way more, Joe, you got anything you want to add? Joe, you want to lead us off here with how you see this?

Callahan, meanwhile, could stand to see a little less courage from his quarterback. “The first quarter of the third game of the year on some heroic scramble where you’re gonna get smoked, if you make a 20-yard gain, it’s like All right, I mean, I get it. That’s just who he is,” Callahan said. “But sometimes just letting it go, living for the next one, is O.K.”

Burrow hears all that. He’s taken the leadership piece to heart with teammates. He knows there are plays he can give up on. But, really, there’s not one thing that he’s working on. Again, the steps he’s taken to plug holes left in his game now, at this point, just 28 months into his NFL career, have given him the freedom to work on, well, a little bit of everything.

“At this point, I think I’m happy with where I’m at everywhere,” he says. “So I can disperse that work throughout the entirety of my game and make incremental improvements on my overall game.”

Then, Burrow related that to where his team is, and how the Bengals came on at the end of last year, and what it’ll take to make that not what they were but now who they are.

“You want to be hitting on all cylinders early in the year, so you’re not going into the bye week 7–6 like we were last year,” he continued. “We want to be one of the top offenses in the league, and we have the capacity to do that year in and year out. But like I said, it’s gonna take consistency of work and preparation and practice. And so, yeah, I’d say [last year was] the start of something. But it’s not just gonna happen.”

That’s Burrow’s own way of saying that, no, at 25, he doesn’t have all the answers.

But he’s trying to get there. And the scary thing, for the other 31 teams, is he’s already a lot closer than almost everyone else.


McDANIEL IS UNAPOLOGETICALLY HIMSELF

McDaniel has faced a lot of arched eyebrows over his nonfootball-coach-ish appearance and presentation.

Jasen Vinlove/USA TODAY Sports

Mike McDaniel knows what you’re thinking.

In fact, the new Dolphins coach knows what everyone is thinking. And for a while, the stereotyping did get to him.

“It did early in my career,” he said. “I try to empathize. And I got comfortable with the thought of like, O.K., am I going to be mad at people for not expecting uncharted territory? People are playing percentages. You do it 100% of the time like when the receiver from Alabama that won the Heisman that we’re practicing against [DeVonta Smith] is skinnier than a lot of receivers. And I’m sure there’s a small percentage of the league that was like, That doesn’t look like what we’re used to.

“I’m not mad at people for not being visionaries. … They’re going in the abstract. At first, maybe it bothered me. But then it’s like, I understand. I have not spent any time being angry at people. How many times have I heard the whole Can he lead men? I guess we’ll see.”

Maybe the most interesting thing about the point he was making—McDaniel brought it up on his own after we’d started our on-the-record conversation with a discussion of his leadership style. I’ve known the skinny, 5’9″ former Yale receiver for quite some time, and while I can say it’s accurate that he’s faced a lot of arched eyebrows over his nonfootball-coach-ish appearance and presentation, I did wonder whether we’d get to it when we sat down and talked.

That he took me there, and not the other way around, I think, is proof positive he has and will continue to take those sorts of questions head-on.

At least for now, it seems to be working. On the steamy, triple-digit-heat-index day I stopped by to watch practice, the quarterback that McDaniel’s been charged with advancing was asked in his press conference what’s been different about this year vs. the past two, under Brian Flores, and Tua Tagovailoa answered simply “everything.” He then added that McDaniel is perhaps the most optimistic person he knows, and that the team’s confidence has soared as a result over the past few months.

That, by the way, is because of who McDaniel is, which if you can’t tell, is unapologetically himself. And to sort out how to pull the idea of that altogether, Miami PR chief Anne Noland asked him how he’d explain what leadership means to him. The two workshopped it down to five words—Leadership is sacrifice and service.

“I really looked at what, on the day-to-day, that I view leadership as, and one part of it is service,” he said. “So you’re serving all these people. I mean, you’re doing the whole situation injustice if you’re not looking at how it’s that person’s dream to work here—the people in the lunchroom, the weight staff, the coaches, the players. So on a daily basis, I don’t have to give myself a pep talk. I’m organically motivated to serve them because I’m acknowledging that is my role.

“So I have to do everything in my power to make sure that time that they’re with me, which is a very large piece of the pie of their dream, that I max that out. That service is something that’s in the forefront of my mind all the time. In doing that, there’s a great deal of sacrifice if you’re gonna do it the right way, where I have to sacrifice feelings. It doesn’t matter if I feel like just shutting my door and having people leave me alone. I don’t feel like that’s right, because people need that role in one way, shape or form.”

And that part of the job is, well, different, too, than where McDaniel was working with Kyle Shanahan in San Francisco, where he’d be given carte blanche to disappear on Monday and resurface Wednesday with that week’s run game plan—which is a big reason why the 49ers were such a nightmare to deal with on the ground the past five years.

All the same, by making himself available and setting an optimistic tone, McDaniel isn’t avoiding the harsh realities that a head coach has to deal with, even if those realities are packaged, again, differently than you might see them with another head coach. McDaniel’s been effusive in his praise of Tyreek Hill but isn’t afraid to call him out in a team meeting, the way he’ll criticize anyone who doesn’t have something down the way they need to.

McDaniel’s message to his players: Everyone is accountable, including the player they pay the most.

Sam Navarro/USA TODAY Sports

“Who should be the most secure person in the building?” McDaniel said. “Probably the guy we pay the most. So what happens when you start meetings off every time and you praise him for stuff but immediately you explain, Hey, do this better; Or Yeah, it’s good, but this could be that much better?”

So when McDaniel puts GPS speed-tracking numbers from practice for every player up on the projector in a meeting, no one blinks. If Hill can be held accountable, everyone else can be, too.

And the message gets sent on a team-wide basis, too. For example, the Dolphins came out sluggish in their first practice, a nonpadded session, after a preseason win over the Buccaneers. As a result, McDaniel put the team in full pads the day before their joint sessions with the Eagles, for their first practice after their second preseason game.

“Why do you have to be an a–hole about it? Why can’t you just say, Hey, look, this is not good enough?” McDaniel continued. “I’ve always thought it was funny how there’s a misconception with players, that as a coach, people want to be liked. They’ll like you if you can help them. And if they know that you’re 100%, without an agenda, just flat-out trying to make them better.”

So in exchange for pushing them in these ways—McDaniel said a lot of players told him this spring’s OTAs were the most challenging set they’ve been through as pros—there’s a lot of other things that he’ll let go.

If Hill wants to go on a podcasting tour, so be it. On the day I was there, McDaniel joked that “Jaelan Phillips was wearing three-inch pants today, they were the highest things I’ve ever seen.” Other than maybe taking some crap from the guys over it, Phillips was going to get zero pushback on his choice of attire.

And in that particular case, McDaniel did have a more serious point to make. “I think it’s super important for him not to give a s— if I care,” he said. “Like, What are we talking about?” Even better, as McDaniel sees it, if he lets everyone be themselves, he’ll have a better shot that they’ll buy into the coach being himself.

“Nowhere in the building do people ever think that I’m worried about how I’m coming off,” he said. “That’s not what it’s about. It’s about the meat and potatoes of what we’re doing. That whole comfort in the skin, there’s probably times I willed myself to be comfortable in that weird, steep auditorium that’s gigantic in there, as team rooms are, because I know that it’s my job to make people feel comfortable. If I am just … whoever myself is, then eventually they’ll realize that I’m not judging them for stupid, trivial stuff.”


So sure, there was a time when McDaniel let perception get to him, but one thing he never did was allow doubt about his fitness for a head coaching job creep in. In fact, he thinks it’s something he’s had in him since he was a kid, and the light bulb came on for him in making the correlation in his first year as NFL assistant under Mike Shanahan in Denver in 2005.

That team lost its first game, and fell behind 10–0 in its second game, before coming back to win that one, finishing 13–3 and making it to the AFC title game. What impressed McDaniel the most, looking back, was how the elder Shanahan—“this is a freaking football God to me”—drew belief out of the group, and a certain young assistant, too, to the point where by the end of the year, they didn’t think that team could be beaten (and they were shocked when it was).

And that belief shone brightest at the darkest time, which is where the leader-of-men questions loom largest. This is where some of the doubt on McDaniel has lived, and he’s not afraid to address that one, either. Because even if some keep harboring that doubt, he’s always known, even when he couldn’t show it, how prepared he is for those situations.

“I’ve been preparing for my whole life,” he said. “I’ve seen the world in a certain way from when I was super young. And I’ve always been able to see from a broader scope how things in the moment that seem terrible end up being the best thing that ever happened to you. Case in point: Pretty dark time when I stopped drinking. O.K., well, if I just observed life, that’s one of the better things that’s ever happened to me.

“I’ve always been able to look at things from that perspective, whether I was in high school, talking with teammates, college, friends, I’ve always been able to help motivate people in times of distress. I think what you’re talking about, that’s the part that no one’s been able to ever see, that I’ve always known was there. I mean, s—, I was the only child, single mom. No one had gone to college. I’m from nothing, but I’ve known that type of perseverance.”

McDaniel then told the story of how his wife looked into “some type of Eastern medicine” and it led them to a therapist of some sort. The woman met with the coach, to assess him, and called him an empath, meaning he had a strength in his ability to relate to other people’s experiences. “I’ve always known I can reach people,” he explained. “I think I’m pretty tough. I’ve overcome a lot. I’m already playing with house money in life in general.”

And that’s why, when the Dolphins aren’t undefeated anymore, a feeling every team over the past 50 seasons has had to reckon with, and more serious issues come up, he doesn’t have an inch of the uneasiness some on the outside might of his ability to manage that.

“That’s how I see the job, in the hardest moments where people are gonna be most uncertain about themselves or the team or really everything, that is my moment that I’m supposed to lead,” McDaniel said. “That is the moment that gives you purpose to be in the position if you’re trying to be in. … Why are you the person for the job? Well, that’s defined in those types of moments, and that’s what’s cool about the position.”

In those moments, McDaniel might surprise other people. But he won’t surprise himself.


HURTS FINDS A WAY TO GET BETTER

Hurts enters a pivotal third season leading one of the best rosters in the NFL.

Eric Hartline/USA TODAY Sports

There are reasons, of course, to have doubts about Jalen Hurts.

He is, after all, the guy pulled from a national title game because his college coaches wanted to get aggressive throwing the ball, and didn’t think he could facilitate it. The same guy who, months later, lost a quarterback competition and, months after that, had to transfer to find playing time at a second school. And regardless of how well he played at that second school—he was a Heisman finalist—the NFL showed where it stood on Hurts by letting him slip to the 53rd pick (and many thought he was overdrafted there).

But here Hurts is going into a pivotal third NFL season not just a starter in the league, but one entrusted to pilot one of the better rosters in football, one that made the playoffs last year and has been to the postseason in four of the past five years. And that’s where we can get to the reason to believe in the 24-year-old Hurts.

He just keeps finding a way to get better.

“He loves football,” Eagles coach Nick Sirianni told me just before a joint practice with the Dolphins. “He’s such a gym rat; he’s always into it. You expect that from a coach’s kid, right? Frank Reich would always say guys that love football that are tough, that are competitive, find a way to reach their ceiling. And that’s what I see in Jalen. He has all the intangibles. You just know he’s gonna get better.

“And he’s done it every year of his career, dating back to his freshman year at Alabama—getting better, getting better, getting better. Goes to Oklahoma, gets better. Then from his first year in the NFL to this year, you keep seeing big improvements.”

Of course, that’s not all that unusual. What is unusual is just how Hurts is getting better as a quarterback.

Normally, quarterbacks don’t get to the NFL and get a whole lot more accurate. Hurts has. Normally, quarterbacks don’t get to the NFL and make big strides in throwing with anticipation. Hurts has done that, too. And normally, a quarterback can’t do a ton to improve his presence in the pocket, either. And, yes, Hurts has also made strides there.

But what those close to Hurts will tell you is before he could make those leaps, he first needed to see himself as capable of it. Going from true freshman starter to benched sophomore to junior backup at Alabama wasn’t easy. And beyond just that, there was the simple truth—from high school into college, Hurts really was a dual-threat quarterback in the truest sense of the term. He needed his legs to cover up what he couldn’t do with his arm. So there was a reason why he lacked a certain level of confidence in that part of his game.

“I don’t think he’d seen himself do it at a high enough level,” said Quincy Avery, his throwing coach. “His time in high school, he wasn’t a great thrower of the football. College, he wasn’t that great of a thrower of the football. Tua [Tagovailoa] was markedly better than him.”

What Avery saw when he started working with Hurts, after his sophomore year with the Crimson Tide, was a rocked-up athlete who was built like a running back, strong as an ox. The problem was that created some natural stiffness in his body that restricted him as a thrower.

Over time, Avery said, Hurts has gotten more mobility and fluidity in his motion, a result of working smarter, not necessarily harder, in the weight room. And that opened the door for Hurts to enter a new world when it came to playing the position—seeing the improvement in how he threw the ball then changed his mindset, which gave him confidence, and then led to upticks in, again, accuracy, anticipation and pocket presence.

“So I agree that those aren’t usually things you can improve a ton,” Avery continued. “I think that it had kind of a cascading effect. His accuracy has improved. He’s just gotten more consistent in how he throws the ball, so he has more confidence now, which allows him to play with a higher level of anticipation. He just feels like he can make the throws. And they may have been throws he could’ve made before, but his confidence is so high that he’s playing with greater anticipation because he’s throwing the ball early.

“And I think that’s the biggest factor in all this, a level of confidence that I’ve never seen him with before in the way that he throws the football.”

It’s also, in Sirianni’s eyes at least, a result of Hurts’s resilience, which has always been there, whether it materialized in his decision to stay at Alabama after the title-game benching to compete with Tagovailoa for the job, or the one to go to Oklahoma where he knew the quarterback talent wouldn’t allow for him to slip much and keep a stranglehold on the job.

Hurts kept chipping away, regardless of how scattershot he might have been four or five years ago. And while he needed to build confidence in himself over time, he never let himself think doing the work somehow wouldn’t pay off.

“What I’m amazed with is he’s just unfazed by things,” Sirianni said. “It could be anything from a play in the game that doesn’t go the way it’s supposed to go to me yelling at him on the sideline or him scoring one of the biggest touchdowns of the year. And I know there’s been a lot of good touchdowns in the history of Philadelphia, but that one he had against New Orleans, kids all over Philadelphia are gonna be imitating that run where he jukes the defensive end, goes and scores to put the game away, for the next 20 years.

“And he’s unfazed by that. He’s got the same demeanor. The stadium falls on him in Washington, he’s unfazed. The guy hits him out of bounds in the first preseason game, the first drive; he’s unfazed. So I think it’s just who the man is. He’s unfazed by things, which is what you want. You want a guy that doesn’t ride the waves of the season. You want that with all your guys, but especially at that position.”

And, again, this is a pretty big year for Hurts. He’ll be eligible for a second contract after the season. The Eagles have two first-round picks with a promising quarterback class on the horizon in 2023. The team is built to win with strength on the lines of scrimmage, and a blend of youth and experience that few boast.

So maybe Hurts will have a massive year, and the Eagles will be cutting him a huge check in the offseason. Or maybe he’ll just be O.K., and can’t get Philly past Matthew Stafford and Tom Brady in the NFC.

Which way that goes remains to be seen. But regardless of what happens, it’s pretty cool to see how Hurts has become this sort of self-made passer and it’ll be fascinating to see where he takes it next—because if one thing is a safe bet, it’s probably that if there is a way to get better, Hurts is going to find it.


WHY THE BOSA BROTHERS COULD MAKE HISTORY

John Bosa (middle) vowed to tell his kids (Joey, left; Nick, right) everything about the NFL he wishes he had known as a first-round pick in the 1987 draft. 

Jeffery A. Salter/Sports Illustrated

About 10 minutes into our conversation about training and injuries, and where he can get better, the 49ers’ star 24-year-old edge rusher, Nick Bosa, let his frustration come out about the ACL he tore in September 2020.

It happened in Week 2 of that year against the Jets at MetLife Stadium. I’d asked whether he ever dwelled on his unfortunate injury luck, with the ACL injury added to a hip injury that ended his career at Ohio State two years earlier, and another torn ACL he’d suffered three years before that, putting an end to his playing days at St. Thomas Aquinas, the Jesuit high school he attended in Fort Lauderdale.

“Yeah, after it happens,” he responded. “But yeah … the only thing is I really think FieldTurf is a problem in the NFL. And the turf I played on in New York was brand new. It was super soft, and apparently, they rolled a cement roller over it twice after the game because we had two ACLs and a bunch of other injuries on it. So I think if the NFL cared about our safety at all, then we’d all play on grass like top soccer teams do. So that’s kinda b.s. to me.”

So, as you can tell, it’s something Bosa feels strongly about.

“Yeah, extremely,” he continued. “But when it comes to that play, like I do go on the field with a mindset of being aware and awake. Sometimes you could go on the field and early in the game just be kinda like out there without being super locked in.”

Which was a reference to it being a 10 a.m. body-clock game, another NFL creation he’s not wild about, and the lessons he’ll take from the experience.

That leads us here—Nick and his older brother, Joey, could be on the precipice, with better luck health-wise, on the type of season that no siblings this side of the Mannings have had in NFL history. Little brother is coming off a 15.5-sack season and has had a full, healthy offseason leading into a contract year. Big brother, meanwhile, was able to resolve a nagging neck issue last year, is in Year 2 with Brandon Staley and now has former Defensive Player of the Year Khalil Mack playing opposite him in Staley’s 3–4 front.

And just as important is how my discussion with Nick Bosa got to his stance on FieldTurf.

The reason he’s so willing to stick his neck out and say something about the surface he’s playing on traces right back to the level to which the Bosas have broken down the science of putting themselves in the right spot to succeed (something I did a story on predraft with Nick). A lot of players say that, for them, football is a business. Few put that into action like the sons of John Bosa, the Dolphins’ first-round pick in the 1987 draft, who made his mistakes as a player, and vowed to tell his kids everything he wishes he had known.

This offseason, all that kicked back into overdrive. After losing in the NFC title game, Nick Bosa did short getaways on four consecutive weekends to, more or less, get the need for vacation out of his system—“that was really enough”—and spent the rest of his time in Fort Lauderdale (he did buy a boat to make sticking around a little more fun) with his brother, working out in a gym Joey built in a building he bought downtown. And to hear Joey tell it, the time together was just as good for him as it was for the kid three years behind him.

“He motivates me just as much as I help him out,” Joey said. “He’s the guy that shows up every single day, no matter how I’m feeling. I’m b—-ing and moaning about the sun or whatever, because I’m old now—at least I feel old. And he’s a huge motivating factor for me. Just the way he trains, how physically insane he is, the way he lifts and everything …”

Joey’s voice trailed off a little.

“But I always kinda look back to the tough times that we’ve had, because you spend that much time together and see your brother go through pain and with my neck, too,” Joey continued. “It’s easy to try to take it out on other people when you’re feeling like crap all the time, but I think those tough times really grew our bond.”

And it grew the bond with the third member of their offseason team—trainer Todd Rice who, the story goes, was let go by the Chargers amid a coaching change, and was quickly hired by Joey after the two had long talks about the methodology of strength training.

More or less, what Rice was saying made sense to Joey, which then led to Nick moving in with his brother after his college injury to start working with Rice, too.

“It’s not a new concept at all, actually,” Joey said. “Olympic lifters have been doing this since the beginning, when they started. He’s almost 60 years old, so he’s definitely not a new-school guy. He’s been doing it for many years. People just don’t like to listen. But, yeah, I mean, it’s a pretty simple way of training. It’s biomechanically sound. We don’t have 800 different machines in our weight room—this crazy technology or whatever.

“We train very simple. We don’t mix it up. We stick with our plan, and we kinda judge it by percentage and then work the weeks.”

“When you train in college, it’s a lot of just bodybuilding. It’s bulls—, honestly,” Nick added. “You’re just trying to prove that you’re a leader, and you’re not really optimizing what you could do as an athlete on the field. You’re just lifting a bunch of weight and getting as big as you can, and then going out there and risking things. Now that I’ve been with Todd, I’ve really stacked three amazing years.”

“I was just a meathead,” Joey continued. “So it’s not perfect. I wish more than anything I could’ve gotten a hold of this in high school when I was still flexible as a freshman, and it wasn’t this complete process of working backwards before we go forwards. Where, I mean, if you have flexibility, it’s easy to keep it, as long as you’re doing the right things. But if you’re super tight like I was, trying to get it back is a tough process. It’s changed the way I play. I definitely don’t think I’d be the same player without it. I know I wouldn’t.”

So inside this tight circle, for the first time, you had a new gym, a full offseason with two healthy players, a trainer who’d moved to Florida to work with them, and everyone fully committed and all in for almost a half year. They trained. They commiserated. Both guys grew. And just as Joey said Nick motivated him, Nick used Joey as a sounding board for some of his frustrations, stemming from little inconsistencies, from 2021.

The cool thing was the biggest issue that Nick had was something his brother, and very few others, could help with—how the frustration from the inconsistency was being caused by the constant stream of double teams and protection schemes geared up to slow him down.

“I wasn’t really ready for the attention I was gonna get as a player because I was double-teamed the most and I got chipped every play, and I kinda started feeling bad for myself,” he said. I was like, I can’t help this game. I’m getting doubled.”

And while he’s thought about reaching out to guys such as Aaron Donald for advice, it was easy this offseason to just get advice from Joey, and take it to his position coach, Kris Kocurek, in San Francisco. The wisdom is pretty technical—such as where to line up on a tight end to avoid setting up too wide, but also not so far inside so you’re a sitting duck for the tackle—but much of it boils down to how he’ll approach these situations going forward.

“This year, I’m coming in with the mindset that I’m gonna get doubled,” Nick said, “and need to be able to beat doubles.”

Which leaves him in a place to improve off a season in which he finished fourth in the NFL in sacks coming off a torn ACL, and leaves the brothers in the spot they’re in collectively, where some dreams they have could become reality.

“No numbers or anything like that, but I think we’d both like to be sitting together one day at NFL Honors, maybe for Defensive Player of the Year. “As long as we go out there every day and just play hard, we’ll be proud of where we end up. … He’s primed. I mean, he’s a total freak. He’s ridiculous. The shape he’s in right now is amazing. I can’t stay on my diet like he does. If I could, I’d have his six-pack, but I like cheating too often.

“And yeah, every year we want to have a great year, but I think mentally, more importantly than anything, I’m just feeling good—which will make it that much easier to come out and work hard every day. And we have that connection, so we can talk. He’s in great shape, obviously, and we all gotta try our best to stay healthy but it’s a long season. But knock on wood, it should be a good one for both of us.”

Which in this case could mean some history gets made. 


TEN TAKEAWAYS

The Russell Wilson deal is really smart business for the Broncos. Before explaining why, getting through the particulars of the blockbuster five-year, $245 million extension is important. Some of what you need to know …

• Wilson gets $124 million fully guaranteed at signing—that adds up to the first three years of the deal.

• The $37 million he’s due in 2025 vests at the start of the ’24 league year. That means they’d have to cut him by March ’24 to avoid the guarantee climbing to $161 million. In that scenario, the Broncos would be paying Wilson $124 million over two years before saying goodbye ($62 million per!), which obviously isn’t happening.

• So as a practical matter, this is a four-year, $161 million deal with three team-option years tacked on at the end. In those first four seasons, Wilson will turn 34, 35, 36 and 37.

• That puts what the team is paying at $40.25 million per year. And from Wilson’s perspective he was set to make $51 million over the next two years, so this gets him $110 million in new money over the first two new years of the deal.

O.K., so why does this make so much sense for the Broncos?

To me, it’s relatively simple. The minute they gave what they did for Wilson in March (two first-round picks, two second-rounders, Noah Fant, Shelby Harris, Drew Lock and a swap of Day 3 draft picks), they hitched the futures of coach Nathaniel Hackett and GM George Paton to Wilson. In other words, if Wilson wasn’t going to be around three or four years from now, there’s a pretty good chance those guys wouldn’t be, either.

And with that as the backdrop—that this was happening sooner or later—sooner, with a quarterback especially, is just about always better. This offseason alone, the number of signal-callers with base pay topping $40 million per year went from three to nine, and that number is likely to keep climbing with Lamar Jackson’s situation still unresolved (we’ll get to that), and Burrow and Justin Herbert eligible for new deals in early 2023.

Plus, if you wait and go through another year, not only will the price go up, but you’d have one less existing year on the old contract to fold into the new contract to help manage the dollars (which is how Denver kept that four-year total around $40 million per year).

So that means all the work the Broncos did, from first broaching a new deal with agent Mark Rodgers around the league meeting in March, to new co-owner/CEO Greg Penner jumping in the past three weeks, to Rodgers flying to town early last week, was worthwhile. And now everyone can move forward with certainty, knowing what the future looks like, both from a team-building standpoint and a financial standpoint.

Julio Cortez/AP

If Jackson’s looking for a fully guaranteed contract, Wilson’s deal likely means that he’ll have to wait. And that’s what’s so interesting about his situation with the Ravens—Jackson might just be willing to wait. I had a really smart exec tell me once that his job wasn’t to give a player what he was worth or what he wanted. Rather, it was to find the number he couldn’t say no to. That, to be sure, is a part of all these quarterback contracts. The Broncos found a number Wilson couldn’t say no to, the same way the Bills did with Josh Allen, the Packers did with Aaron Rodgers and so on and so forth.

Does Jackson have that number? Absent Baltimore being willing to do a fully guaranteed deal (I don’t think that’s happening), they’ll find out in a hurry. And if he doesn’t, that probably means he’s ticketed for the exclusive franchise tag next year (that one will likely change based on other negotiations, but would be set at $45.46 million right now), and maybe a second tag in 2024 (as it stands, he’d be at $54.55 million for that one).

Then, he’d get to free agency, unless the Ravens decide to tag him a third time at a number that would probably be around $80 million.

To me, that Kirk Cousins path to the market might be the only way for Jackson to get to where Cousins and Deshaun Watson are contractually, unless Baltimore is willing to start budging. Because if you look at the history of these things, those two guys were very different for a very specific reason.

When I asked agents back in 2018 whether Cousins’s fully guaranteed deal that March was a real turning point, the answer I got from most was simply that it depended on what happened with the next few guys. Then, Matt Ryan did a conventional quarterback deal, Rodgers did a conventional quarterback deal, Wilson did a conventional quarterback deal and, really, that was that.

Same thing this year in the aftermath of the Watson trade. Derek Carr, Kyler Murray and Wilson almost certainly got theirs, but fell short of getting fully guaranteed contracts, which allows for owners to say the Watson deal, like the Cousins deal, is an outlier.

So what did Cousins and Watson have in common? Simple. Both had multiple bidders, Cousins on the free-agent market, and Watson in a frenzied trade situation. And when you pit one team against another, as we’ve seen for nearly 30 years in free agency, teams will move off their principles or their rules to land someone. The Browns were trying to keep Watson away from the Falcons, Saints and Panthers, just like the Vikings were trying to keep Cousins from the Jets, who also offered a fully guaranteed deal for more money.

The Ravens aren’t competing against anyone for Jackson, and if they use the more expensive exclusive tag the next two years, they won’t have to worry about that until March 2025. Which is, again, why the next week has Jackson in a fascinating spot. And I will say that part of what made Jackson great is how he’s always done things his own way. Maybe this is another example of that.

I picked up a really fun nugget from Jets-Giants joint practice. You’ll remember last year ex-Jets coach Rex Ryan went off on New York radio about the comparisons made between him and Robert Saleh. Specifically, he said, “This guy is supposed to be a defensive guru. I take it personal. Everything I heard was this guy is a lot like myself, but without the bad part. Some of the bad part you need, because the team doesn’t want to play with any damn heart. That’s the thing that’s disappointing me. Don’t ever compare this guy to me.”

Ryan later said he regretted the comments, and talked Saleh in the aftermath, and as I learned a couple of weeks back, that talk went well beyond an apology and a few pleasantries.

In fact, nine months later, there are marks from the conversation on the Jets’ roster.

“Rex was awesome, he’s the one who reached out. He has the moment on TV and he called,” Saleh told me. “And you know what? I fully understand where he was coming from. … It was a good conversation, it was over a half hour, we had a conversation about different things, and I just asked him about how he handled the things. And I just wanted to pick his brain, he sat in the same chair many years ago, and he had a lot of success, so I was just asking him some questions. 

“And he shared how when he got to the Jets, he brought on guys like Bart Scott, [Jim] Leonhard, all these guys he knew that would not only be champions of the message, flag bearers, but also guys who understood his scheme and understood the style of play that they were looking for. He felt like that was such an instrumental part of his early success that, for us, it triggered thought: Hey, is it too late to take that same approach?

Saleh and GM Joe Douglas decided it wasn’t too late and went to work in March to find their so-called new flag bearers.

“Part of our entire charge since we got here is bringing in guys who love this game,” Saleh continued. “We’ve been talking about it, character’s been such a priority over these first two offseasons. And it’s not that it was deliberate, like we forced the issue, guys just became available. Solomon Thomas was available, and it’s awesome to have him in the building. Marcell Harris. Kwon Alexander. Laken Tomlinson.”

All four of those guys were in San Francisco with Saleh and Jets offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur, and so in all four cases, there was no guessing on what the Jets were getting. They knew it. And even in cases where there were players available that Saleh and Douglas liked that maybe they didn’t know personally, the Jets worked their back channels to make sure who was coming in would fit.

Jordan Whitehead, who’s shown signs of being a home run addition at safety, and played last year in Tampa Bay with a friend of the Jets’ Niners alumni club, is a really good example of it.

“Then Whitehead’s a guy who Sherm [Richard Sherman] called us on just adamant—adamant—that this dude was gonna be everything that we look for,” said Saleh. “So he was an easy one because he fit the mold of guys who love ball. We didn’t quite know him, but Richard Sherman was the one who championed that one, vouching for character and style of play and all that stuff.”

The difference all those guys have made, Saleh says, is palpable already. One is in the togetherness of the team, and the coach cited Alexander as being important in that regard, with Alexander going so far as to create personalized handshakes for each of his teammates. “He has a handshake with everybody on the team—a specific handshake,” he said. “Which, I have no idea how he remembers all of them. Everyone has their own. As soon as he walks in the building it was, Hey, come up with a handshake, and I’ll remember it.”

From a more football-centric standpoint, it shows up in how competitive camp was, which makes sense, because if the field is full of guys passionate about the sport, that would naturally create a strong environment.

“Not that it’s gonna translate to wins and losses, but the one thing that I feel has happened this training camp, at least speaking on the defensive side of the ball, is the volume of their voices—the communication, the chirping, the confidence, the speed—it’s elevated,” Saleh continued. “Not that it’s how you win and lose football games, but when you have that edge and you have that chippy-ness, and you have that relentless pursuit for greatness like these guys do, I think that matters; it does translate. How will it translate to Sunday? We’ll see. “

If it does, interestingly enough, Jets fans could have an old friend, and an unlikely one at that, to thank.

Deshaun Watson will start working this week toward Week 13. My understanding is that ahead of Watson’s suspension, Browns coach Kevin Stefanski, offensive coordinator Alex Van Pelt and quarterbacks coach Drew Petzing worked with Watson’s throwing coach, Quincy Avery, to come up with an individualized plan, and throwing scripts, to keep Watson sharp while he’s away from the team.

That plan will be enacted this week by Avery and Watson who, for the time being, and until Watson’s allowed in the building, won’t be allowed to have contact with Browns coaches or anyone else with the team. As I’ve heard it, Watson and Avery will conduct sessions to include field drills, film and board work four days per week, and that’ll go for the next five weeks, with Watson allowed to return to the Browns’ practice facility Oct. 10, and begin practicing five weeks after that Nov. 14, ahead of his Dec. 4 return to the game field.

At least on paper, that looks like plenty of time for Watson to get reacclimated, though it’s fair to ask how rusty he’ll look after about 23 months without playing in a real NFL game.

I really like where the Vikings are. And it’s not just centered on what my buddy Ty Dunne wrote for his excellent site. It’s also because I love how new Vikings coach Kevin O’Connell and GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah resisted the urge to detonate the roster, mostly because what they found wasn’t really broken, with that feeling backed up by the roll call of Rick Spielman–Mike Zimmer players held over by the new guys.

It’s Kirk Cousins, of course. But it’s also Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson (O.K., that one was easy), Eric Kendricks, Harrison Smith, Danielle Hunter and a bunch of other guys who’ve won a lot of games in Twin Cities.

“I’ve never thought that [it was a rebuild], from the time I really sat down to interview about possibly become the head coach of this team,” O’Connell told me. “I got a lot of respect for the coaches that were here before, the team that was put together, some of the football principles that are in place already. Now, obviously my football philosophy and culture, the things that mean a lot to me, may or may not be different in certain areas. And that’s really where the leadership comes into play. 

“I think we’ve got really good group that’s bought into that. It’s early, Albert, but ultimately in the end I feel like we’ve at least established that standard so now we can coach off of it on the football field, if we need to coach harder or we need to adapt or change to fit what the identity of this team is gonna be.”

And therein lies why, as you’ll see this week in our staff predictions, I have the Vikings in the playoffs.

I really think the blend of old and new in the building, both on the roster and in coaching, plus maybe a little bump from the change in atmosphere, sets the ceiling relatively high for O’Connell’s group. I also believe that the investment he’s made in the current guys, in allowing the team’s leadership council to help chart the course, will help quicken the process of getting new schemes installed and playing fast.

“He wants feedback,” Cousins said. “He’ll ask for a meeting on Zoom just to connect with guys, and tell them the schedule, and ask if they have any thoughts on it. During OTAs, he was telling us what his plan was gonna be for the three weeks. He doesn’t just make decisions in a vacuum. He wants feedback before he does it.”

“I feel like he’s a players’ coach,” Jefferson added, with an arm slung around his QB. “He likes to get feedback from the players, he likes for us to be comfortable, he loves to connect with us, just have fun with us. I like that in a coach. He’s been phenomenal.”

So will that add up to wins? I actually think it will, at least in the short term. Because as the new brain trust’s actions would indicate, there’s a pretty nice core already in place.

It’s good to see that Jordan Poyer will be playing Thursday. Bills coach Sean McDermott indicated as much over the weekend, with Poyer coming back from a hyperextended elbow and a contract dispute that lasted for a good chunk of the offseason. And, to be clear, it’ll be good to see Poyer out there because he, along with his running mate at the position, Micah Hyde, have been at the heart of the Bills’ rebuild since the start, with those coming aboard in McDermott’s first year.

But Poyer’s case is an example of how the strengthened holdout rules have created awkward situations for teams and their players.

Way back, before the 2011 CBA was done, a player like Poyer could take a stand on his contract, and stay away from camp, and those sorts of holdouts could, at times, expedite a resolution (be it a trade, a new contract or an agreement to play out the year). But in ’11, and then ’20, owners tightened up the rules to a point where, just logically, a holdout didn’t make sense to anyone but the Aaron Donalds of the league.

And so now you get these situations where players are sitting out practices while in the building, and teams are acting with less urgency to get deals done and, well, things can get awkward.

I don’t think Poyer’s situation will be like that. And I’m not pining for the era of the 25-day holdout to return. But there are consequences to handing teams this sort of hammer.

While we’re on the Bills, all the best to Dawson Knox’s family. The Buffalo tight end’s 22-year-old brother, Luke, a linebacker at Central Florida, died Aug. 17, an unimaginable tragedy; and over the weekend, Knox shared his thoughts for the first time, via his Instagram account.

“There’s no words to describe these last few weeks,” he said. “All I know is that I am beyond grateful for the outpouring of love and support for my family. Luke is not lost, because we know exactly where he is. God’s got him, and I know I’ll be seeing him again one day. Luke’s legacy will continue [to] live on through all the lives he’s impacted in incredible ways. This isn’t a goodbye, it’s just a see you later. I love you Luke.”

If there’s one silver lining in this otherwise-terrible story, it’s that the Bills’ fan base, which always seems to step up in these sorts of situations, has done it again. At last check, close to $200,000 was raised in the younger Knox’s honor to benefit P.U.N.T. Pediatric Cancer (Buffalo fans did similar drives after Josh Allen’s grandmother died, and after Andy Dalton led the Bengals to win over Baltimore that clinched the Bills’ first playoff berth in 17 years).

I think, to close the book on it, the Niners’ decision to renew (temporary) vows with Jimmy Garoppolo is an attempt to make chicken salad out of the chicken you-know-what. I can also say with confidence that, when the team went to its 30-year-old now-backup quarterback, it did so knowing that it was working with an idea that really was not what anyone wanted.

Garoppolo wanted to start. The Niners wanted picks for him.

Garoppolo had shoulder surgery in March, which made it tough for any team to grant his wish, especially since this happens to be a contract year for him. And because it was hard for quarterback-needy teams to reckon with the idea of trading for a quarterback with a balky throwing shoulder, it became impossible for the Niners to get fair value for him.

Which is why we’re here with a compromise that has Garoppolo back as the backup—with Kyle Shanahan having declared Trey Lance the starter—on a deal worth, purposefully, less than the rookie deal Lance is playing on. Doing the deal, which has a $6.5 million base, $500,000 in per-game roster bonuses, and $8.45 million in incentives, buys both sides time to see if, either through injury or poor play, another opportunity arises for a trade.

In the meantime, and if one doesn’t, if Garoppolo does get a chance to play, because of injury or whatever else, between now and the end of the year, there’d be no better place for him to showcase himself for 2023 than with a team and in a scheme he knows inside and out.

So as we said in the mailbag last week, this is in no way ideal. But I understand why the Niners would do it. There’s too much on the line with the roster to worry about hurt feelings. And while I’d heard Lance was a little annoyed in the immediate aftermath, he’s a smart, mature kid who I believe can handle it. Truth is, if he couldn’t, you might have bigger questions about where the Niners are at the position.

Cam Newton is one of the most important figures the NFL has had over the last couple of decades—his impact really changed the game—but I understand why he’s having trouble finding work. And I don’t think it’s really about whether he’s one of the top 32 quarterbacks on the planet. More so, it’s that starting quarterback, and backup quarterback, are very different jobs.

The former has an offense built for him. The latter has to fit one built for someone else.

To maximize Newton, you have to build the scheme around him, and what at least was his pretty rare ability to run the ball from the quarterback position. If he’s your backup, you’re not doing that. And look around. How many offenses are built in a way that would work for Newton? Baltimore, maybe. Anyone else?

That, by the way, isn’t the only issue Newton is facing. But it may be the biggest one.

There’s a reason, of course, why the Panthers signed Newton only when he was in position to become their starter last season, and why the Patriots let him go when he lost the starting job in Foxborough in 2020. Part of it is, sure, it’s hard for people to square his big personality with the job of backup quarterback. But it’s more because, really, from a football standpoint it’s difficult to give him a job that has him holding a clipboard Sundays.

Newton told the Pivot Podcast that last year, with the Panthers, he “put myself in another f up situation.” But as I see it, that’s the sort of situation that’ll have to arise again for him to reemerge in the NFL. Which is too bad. Because, again, he’s a pretty historic player, and it’d be awesome to see him get another shot or two to see whether he can make it work.

We’ve got quick-hitters to close out the takeaways—your last set before game details start to populate (and dominate) the column. So let’s get to those …

• Jason Peters would be a smart signing by the Cowboys, even if just a sort of mentorship/insurance policy for rookie Tyler Smith. And I think they’ll get that one pushed across the goal line shortly.

• Did you know that Tom Brady is the only nonspecialist in his 40s in the league? It’s true. And Cardinals punter Andy Lee is the only other 40-something, period. Peters signing in Dallas would change that, and 49ers kicker Robbie Gould turns 40 in December.

• I think Matthew Stafford’s going to be fine. The Rams and his throwing coaches had to do plenty to manage his elbow issue last year. The difference this year is he’s getting ahead of it more aggressively. Which is a good thing.

• Really cool of the Texans to host the Uvalde High football team at their opener this week.

• Losing Harold Landry for the year merits more attention than it got last week—the Titans’ best pass rusher tore his ACL in practice. No Landry means it’ll be easier for teams to focus on shutting down Jeffery Simmons inside.

• Jalen Thompson’s three-year, $40 million extension in Arizona is very well-deserved. The Cardinals think he already might be their best safety, and everyone knows how they feel about Budda Baker. Having two interchangeable pieces like that has been huge for Cardinals DC Vance Joseph.

• I mentioned this in my camp wrap-up, but I figured I’d put it on the record here—the Giants really like what they’ve gotten from an off-field standpoint from No. 5 pick Kayvon Thibodeaux. They thought going into the draft that others were missing on him from a character standpoint, in reading too much into the team of advisers he had around him. As New York’s new brain trust saw it, that was just a sign of the times in college football’s new NIL-driven world. Thus far, at least, they think they got that one right.

• The Ravens’ preseason streak is still one of the strangest things in the NFL. They’ve won 23 in a row. And I have no idea if there’s a greater meaning to it or not.

• Good for Josh Gordon, doing everything he can to keep playing, by joining the Titans’ practice squad. It’s not hard to root for the guy, after everything he’s been through. And there are a lot of folks who’ve worked with him over the years doing just that.

• That Bears president job, which will be vacated by the retiring Ted Phillips, should be a coveted one, at a pivotal time for one of the league’s flagship franchises, with a potential move to the suburbs on tap.

SIX FROM SATURDAY

1) It was so good to be back at Ohio Stadium on Saturday (and a big shout-out to the journalism students I spoke to ahead of that Friday). The atmosphere in the place was off the charts. And I’m biased but for a big night game like that one, few places in college football bring the stars out and generate atmosphere quite like The Shoe.

2) C.J. Stroud’s got a lot to clean up after Ohio State rode its defense and run game to a bully-ball win over Notre Dame. But he also has time, and it’s understandable why, coming back as a Heisman Trophy front-runner and potential top draft pick, he might be pressing a little.

3) Anthony Richardson’s name is one to know, if you don’t know it already. The Florida quarterback’s always been an outsized talent. And in winning his opener against Utah, the big, fast, strong-armed star showed that he’s come along since last year.

4) It’s wild to think it’s possible the two best prospects among the starters on last year’s Georgia defense might be two guys who weren’t in last year’s draft. But it’s pretty easy to argue that defensive lineman Jalen Carter was the cream of that crop, and corner Kelee Ringo might have an argument to be No. 2. Add their return to that of edge rusher Nolan Smith, and it’s not hard to see how the Bulldogs embarrassed Oregon.

5) North Carolina–Appalachian State is another reason why college football is so great—a game no one expected to matter Saturday morning had everyone’s attention at 3 p.m. And by the way, Carolina QB Drake Maye, who was once an Alabama commit, could be interesting down the line as an NFL prospect.

6) I like the College Football Playoff move to 12 teams (even if I’m an advocate for it to be harder to get in, to maintain the importance of the regular season, I get that this is where the times are taking it). And if there’s one change that’s needed, it’s that the quarterfinals should be on campus. No fan is traveling to three playoff games, and the only people who’d be upset to see these games held in home stadiums would be the bowl execs who’ve been scamming everyone for decades. I think the conferences and schools could afford, at this point, to tell those guys where to get off.

BEST OF THE NFL INTERNET

What a great quote.

Lots of criticism of Bill Belichick this summer, and plenty of it’s valid. But you really can’t question whether the guy’s still all in on the job. He’s shown he is in pretty much every way.

Exactly right.

Those numbers are pretty good, I’d say. #analysis

Jason Jenkins’s celebration of life is Monday at Hard Rock Stadium. RIP, Jason.

Still a weird situation in San Francisco, even if you think (and I do) that Kyle Shanahan will figure it out.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

We’ve got a lot ready to come at you on the site all week. Our annual staff predictions will have all our award picks and Super Bowl matchups. Plus I have a few more things for you before Thursday’s opener.

More NFL Coverage:



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Trey Lance explains the hidden injury that derailed rookie year

SANTA CLARA, Calif. — Trey Lance caught a football, flipped to him from across the room inside Levi’s Stadium, and he worked a grip on it to try to relive how he had to hold it a little more than a year ago just to have a prayer of throwing it. His index finger was almost to the nose of the ball, his middle finger off the laces and his ring finger sitting over and between the first and second cross-laces.

It’s not how anyone would tell a quarterback to do it. But Lance had no choice.

Even more remarkable? He didn’t have much to say about it back then, either—really to anyone. So as his rookie year went up and down, as it looked like his cannon of a right arm might be wearing out, as it might’ve seemed to some like he was shot-putting the ball in games, Lance knew what was wrong. He had a broken finger, with damaged ligaments, and even if excuses would’ve saved him some criticism and grief, he wasn’t about to make any.

“I chipped the bone in my pointer finger, so I had to wait on it. It was super swollen, couldn’t really bend it or straighten it,” he said, as he flexed it over the ball. “It [happened] at the Raiders [preseason] game. We had a bye week after the Raiders game, I had a splint on just to try to get it back straight. So it chipped, it kind of stayed bent like this and we just had to keep working. I wore a little brace that kind of … it pushed down on my knuckle and up on both sides of my finger. I just kept wearing it and stretching it as much as I could, scraping it and just trying to get all the scar tissue out of there.”

As Lance was explaining it, he curled his index finger and held it in place, illustrating how hard it was to summon any strength in it and showing how, at the time, he was really trying to throw with four fingers. Add that to the learning curve he faced coming from North Dakota State, with just 17 college starts on his résumé, and then how hope the finger would straighten out in-season evaporated, and your perception of Lance might change.

No, Lance’s rookie year didn’t go as planned. And sure, there were moments of doubt in some corners of San Francisco. But the full picture wasn’t out there for public consumption, either—which was by the quarterback’s own choice—or even for almost any of the people he was working with day to day.

“I was blown away with the way he handled that, finding a way to get out there and get better every day,” said 49ers GM John Lynch. “And it was hard because of that finger, and it wasn’t always pretty. That’s the finger you throw a football with, and he didn’t have that. It was compromised. It led to some bad habits. But he still found a way to get better, to support Jimmy [Garoppolo], to be a great teammate and earn the respect of our guys.”

Six months later, on an August Saturday, Lance is the one taking first-team reps, with Garoppolo on a side field throwing and waiting for the Niners to find him a new home. That, of course, was expected, from the moment the team took Lance No. 3 in the draft 16 months ago.

But his road here? It had a lot more twists, and potholes, than most people know.

Snead: Gary A. Vasquez/USA TODAY Sports; Lance: Stan Szeto/USA TODAY Sports; Parsons: Jason Parkhurst-USA TODAY Sports


I had a week off the road, and I’ll be back on it this week. In between, we’re getting you a loaded MMQB column. Inside this week’s column, you’ll find …

• Some final thoughts on the Deshaun Watson decision.

• A Cowboy with no comparison.

• Why and how the Rams actually value their picks.

But we’re starting with one of the NFL’s most intriguing story lines—a team that was minutes away from making the Super Bowl now making a quarterback change months later, and taking on all that comes along with that.


There’s tempered enthusiasm on what the Niners are seeing from Lance this summer and, mostly, that’s because there’s still a lot left to learn.

The injury early in his de facto redshirt season created a pretty significant bump in the process the Niners would go through in evaluating his readiness to be their starter—as the plan prescribed all along—in 2022. And that was after there was, admittedly, a leap of faith in taking Lance third in the first place.

Again, he had only 17 college starts. He averaged fewer than 19 pass attempts, and nearly 11 carries, in those games. Most of them were blowouts on North Dakota State’s way to an FBS national championship in 2019, so NFL teams didn’t get to see him much in third-and-long or playing from behind. Then, of course, his ’20 season was canceled due to COVID-19, with NDSU playing just a single exhibition, in which the quarterback was a bit scattershot.

“That’s why the evaluation was so hard,” 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan explained, leaning back in his office chair. “I mean, it’s because of all the situations you just said, and also there was only one year of it, because they ended up getting canceled with COVID the next year. So you saw stuff in the games. You just didn’t see it over and over, because he didn’t have the reps of it. That’s what was so easy to see with Mac [Jones]. Just the system they played in with Sark [then Alabama OC Steve Sarkisian], the type of games they were in, you could see it a ton.

“Trey, you could make a tape and it’s all there, but there’s not a ton of it. … You go through it all, which isn’t enough. It’s enough to intrigue you, but still a risk. Then you learn the person, you find out more about him, and you believe in that. You don’t have to totally see it. You believe what you’re gonna see.”

And for a while, last summer, the Niners were seeing exactly what they hoped for. After OTAs that spring, San Francisco’s quarterback situation seemed clarified—Garoppolo was the starter for a Super Bowl–caliber roster, and Lance had a long way to go. Then, through the 40-day break between minicamp and training camp, the rookie worked on his footwork in Atlanta, with fellow ex-NDSU quarterbacks Carson Wentz and Easton Stick in Fargo, and on his throwing efficiency in Orange County, and came back for summer to a closed gap.

For a while, anyway.

“The first two weeks of training camp, we were considering it a real good competition, the way he came out,” Shanahan continued. “And then the more stuff went in, Jimmy being so used to it and Jimmy playing at a high level, Jimmy and him, there was separation between the two. There were some rookie things that he was doing. He just needed more time, and I was pumped that Jimmy gave him that time.”

Which is where the next hitch in the plan came—during the 49ers’ preseason finale against the Raiders at home.

With 16 seconds left in the half, Lance uncorked a ball into a wide-open space down the right sideline as blitzing Las Vegas linebacker Max Richardson bore down on him. It looked like a bad throwaway, because the receiver ran the wrong route, but the more significant action happened on Lance’s follow-through, which landed right on the crown of Richardson’s helmet, breaking the finger and stretching its ligaments.

As a rookie wanting to keep his place on the depth chart, and keep getting the practice reps he needed, Lance saw the injury as something he could grit his teeth and work through. So he had it splinted and, really, never brought it up again to the team.

“I didn’t really know how much it was affecting me until we were getting into the season,” he said. “Every week kind of got harder. And I was working on it, I knew obviously it was broken. It didn’t feel good. But I wanted to play. I wanted at least to have an opportunity to be ready and be the two, whatever my role was [going to be] that year. So yeah, I took care of it the best that I could. But there’s just kind of only so much you can do.”

And there was, all the same, only so much Lance could do when he did get shots to play in place of a banged-up Garoppolo last year.

The first came against Arizona, and his tape wasn’t great—he went 15-of-29 for 192 yards and a pick in a 17–10 loss. The second was Jan. 2 against the Texans, and the finger issue was only exacerbated by the fact he was a little under the weather for that one, too (his numbers, 16-of-23 for 249 yards, 2 TDs and a pick, were better). But by then, Shanahan had the context that almost everyone else lacked, and that context, added to the performance, only deepened his belief in the Lance he was gonna see, with a little more time.

Against Arizona, it was his toughness. Against Houston, it was more than just that.

“The pressure was on, because if we lost that game, we were out of the playoffs, and everybody knew it,” Shanahan said. “He started slow, and he came back and finished in that second half, he got on fire, threw a [45-yard] touchdown to Deebo [Samuel]. We ended up easily winning the game, and that was kind of when, All right, this guy can overcome adversity. We know he has the ability. It’s a matter of time for this guy.

“And then just having him in the offseason, the way he came back prepared, the way it went in OTAs—the difference between OTA 1 and OTA 7, and the difference between OTA 7 and right now. The guy only gets better when he’s thrown out there.”

Of course, a lot had to happen between the end of the season and OTAs to get Lance there.


Lance reworked his mechanics to fix some changes he had made to compensate for an injury as a rookie.

Stan Szeto/USA TODAY Sports

To be clear, Lance’s mechanics coach, Adam Dedeaux, loves everything about Lance as a person, and the toughness he exhibited in fighting through the injury. But he never wants the quarterback to be that quiet about something like that ever again.

“Yeah, he didn’t want to talk about the finger,” Dedeaux says, “because he may not have been thinking, This is the problem. But his arm took a beating.”

As Lynch said, the adjustments that Lance made to fight through the finger injury did, indeed, lead to bad habits. And that led to his arm wearing down, another thing he kept to himself on an old pro-football-player premise: Everyone’s dealing with something.

After the Niners’ season ended in the NFC championship game, Lance went to work with Dedeaux. As the two dove into the tape and kept talking, Lance told Dedeaux how he’d adjusted his grip to compensate for the lack of strength in his index finger, an index finger which, at that point, still didn’t have full range of motion. That allowed Dedeaux to dive further into how Lance was playing a sort of survival game with the ball.

“If, all of a sudden, there’s some unexplainable changes in ball flight and accuracy and things like that, All right, then let’s see what the major difference is,” said Dedeaux. “And then it was like, O.K., why did you feel like you had to make changes? And he was like, Well, honestly, when I hurt my finger that made me feel like I need to change to get a little more underneath the ball, so I felt like I had a little more control over it.”

So if it looked to you like, at points last year, Lance was pushing the ball from his body, that’s probably why. How did it happen? The tape showed that to manipulate the situation, Lance was not just gripping but maybe over-gripping the ball (which can create soreness), and he was also dropping his arm slot to try to get underneath it and control it better.

The reality was it wasn’t even a conscious thing so much as it was Lance doing what he had to do to get his throws to go where he wanted them to. But it was something that would need correcting, and in more ways than one.

The goal was to get Lance not to some sort of classic throwing motion, but simply back to where he felt most natural throwing it—“call it a mid-three-quarter arm slot,” said Dedeaux. That would happen only if they could get his finger and arm back to full strength.

Specialists helped Lance get his finger where it needed to be, and he and Dedeaux worked on a strict pitch count through the weeks leading up to the Niners’ offseason program. Dedeaux also used the example of Matt Ryan, another one of his clients, to illuminate how in Shanahan’s offense, it was more important to throw with anticipation than flat velocity, which would help Lance take something off some balls and save strength.

And when Lance wasn’t throwing, there was still plenty to learn from his rookie year, by his own admission. He worked through all his film from 2021, sometimes with teammates like Brandon Aiyuk, who attached himself to his quarterback over the last few months.

As the offseason wore on, Lance’s finger straightened, his mechanics corrected and his workload ramped up. So by the time OTAs arrived, he was ready to make the day-over-day progress Shanahan mentioned, which then carried over from spring to summer.

“I’m going to be a lot better than I was last year,” he says. “Everything’s slower. Some of [the tape] is tough to watch because you see some of the dumb mistakes. But that’s part of it. That’s part of playing the position, that’s part of being in my first year. There’s going to be mistakes again this year, and for me it’s about how I respond. It’ll be easy to turn the page. And for the frustrating moments? I had them today, I have them every day.

“But I think how we respond, how I respond personally is what’s most important.”


On the Saturday I was there, early in the day at his press conference, Shanahan looked at a reporter like he had three heads after the reporter had prefaced a question by saying his offense had its best practice the day before.

It wasn’t the reporter’s fault, of course. It’s just that Shanahan didn’t see it that way, as he explained a few minutes later from his office.

“I have opinions on whether guys have good or bad days, and then I have to go to a press conference and I get asked on things and sometimes it’s the exact opposite of what I feel,” he said. “And you’re like, Man, why do they think that? … Oh, there were three picks out there today. They wrote that down. Well, those three picks can be anybody’s fault, and sometimes those three picks I was pumped about, because he finally let it rip and he saw it right. And what happened? There was a tip or something, but it’s a good learning experience.

“I mean, today I went in there to the press conference and they asked me how pumped I was about the offense from yesterday. I had no idea what they were talking about. I was frustrated [with the offense]. So I feel for players, because they read that stuff or their wives call them or their friends. They’re like, Man, I hear you sucked today. And they start to believe it, and then I gotta go tell them, Dude, you don’t suck. You actually had a good day.”

A minute earlier, I’d brought up how the panic button was being worn out three years earlier when Garoppolo, coming back from a torn ACL, threw five picks in a practice. Shanahan smiled and corrected me. It was actually, he said, five picks “in a row.”

The Niners were in the Super Bowl six months after that practice.

And the hope is that’s where a fresh batch of reports of the ups and downs that Lance has been through get San Francisco, with its loaded roster and 22-year-old quarterback, this time around, too. Yes, Shanahan, in a very intentional way, is throwing the kitchen sink at his young QB with an edgy, fast, veteran defense.

“He’s going against a really good defense, so it’s gonna be tough early on,” said all-planet edge rusher Nick Bosa. “But he already looks better throwing the ball this year. Last year, he had the finger issue that kinda messed with his throwing motion, and when you’re a backup in the NFL, you don’t get very many reps. So this month is super important for him, and I’ve already seen some impressive plays.”

“They bring it every single day,” Lance added, of the defense. “We know they’re going to do that. I know if I’m not on it or we’re not on it, they’re going to make us look really, really bad. So I just know I need to be prepared to go every single day. They don’t take any days off at all, and you can see the intensity, you can feel it every single day. There’s nothing more I could ask for, in that sense, going against the best defense in the league every day.”

Ideally, Shanahan says, the offense and defense would hit “.500 every day” against one another. And so the breadth of training camp was never going to be about building Lance up to think he could snap his fingers and be Aaron Rodgers or Patrick Mahomes. More so, it was about getting a quarterback who lacks experience more of it.

Along those lines, Dedeaux mentioned how Ryan’s first year playing for Shanahan, 2015, was bumpy—and also the precursor for his MVP year in ’16. Point being, there’s going to be a learning curve along the way, and the more adversity Shanahan and defensive coordinator DeMeco Ryans can create for Lance now, the better he’ll be equipped to handle it when it comes in game action.

The good news is, after last year, they already know Lance can handle the turbulence. And Lance knows it, too.

“Absolutely,” he said. “And I know, I’ve said it before, the guys in the locker room having confidence in me, and I know they got my back, that’s all I need at the end of the day. I feel really good about that, about these guys. They know I’ve got their back. But yeah, I’m turning the page. The pick I threw today, same thing, turn the page, come back, have a good two-minute drill and then we finish it the right way.”


That two-minute drill concluded with the kind of play that made Lance such a coveted prospect in the first place. Deep in the red zone, he took a shotgun snap, and as the Niners’ defensive ends raced around his tackles, he stepped up in the pocket and was chased left, seeing, out of the corner of his eye, Ray-Ray McCloud finding a dead spot in the coverage to his right.

On a dime, he twisted his torso and unleashed a strike across his body that tattooed McCloud right on the No. 3 of his jersey for a touchdown. Shanahan blew the whistle to end practice and, really, there weren’t any gasps from the sideline.

Everyone here knows what Lance is capable of.

What Shanahan and Lynch saw when Lance, the person, convinced them what Lance, the player, could turn all the raw ability into is slowly, surely coming to life.

“To win in this league, you’re gonna have to make plays in the pocket, you’re gonna have to be a drop-back passer, do all that stuff, and I see him having the ability to do all that, which excites me,” Shanahan said. “You want that with every single quarterback you go for, but very rarely do I feel that way about a guy who I think also is a threat to run. And you look at our division, you look at some of the guys we go against and how we can get advantages on people, and so many people in the league are running similar stuff to us now.

“Defenses see it more now. … When they’re practicing against their own offense throughout the offseason, they’re just a little bit more used to it. And I love the idea of being able to add another element that maybe some other people can’t. You can do the same stuff, but if they play it this way, we do have another option. Our guy can run.”

“We really believe in that ceiling,” Lynch added, “that it can become a reality. I also think it’s comforting to know that you don’t have to put it all on him.”

Indeed, as Lance is being weaned onto the system and working to develop into a complete quarterback, a big key for Shanahan and Lynch is that because of the state of the roster, the Niners don’t need him to be superman.

In illustrating his vision for that, Shanahan cited the 28–3 lead he, Ryan and Atlanta let slip in Super Bowl LI at the hands of Tom Brady.

“There’s no defense for the perfect throw and he was shredding us,” Shanahan said. “And how do you stop that? You don’t go get someone to one-up him. You get a pass rush.”

Conversely, he then raised the Niners’ Super Bowl LIV loss to the Chiefs, and how Mahomes made plays that made a difference, like he hopes Lance can.

“You can win with a run game and with a quarterback who can make some plays, whether it’s throwing or running it, as long as you do have a top defense,” he said. “And that’s how we’ve tried to build it here to catch some of those teams until you get someone like that. And I think we have a chance to have a player grow into someone like that.”

Maybe Lance, someday, will get there.

For now, though, they’re not asking him to. They love the talent. They love the person. They also know a lot more about him than they did a year before, after watching how he handled the injury and his wait to ascend to the starting job. And Lance, for his part, is well aware of what he’s got around him too, and the opportunity that awaits.

“I’m super blessed to be here,” he said. “I was not expecting to get drafted as high as I got drafted onto a team like this, a Super Bowl contender team. So I’m thankful to be here. The guys, like I said, in this locker room, offense, defense and special teams are different, and separate themselves in so many different ways. I’ll get Deebo back again this year …

Lance then smiled and said, “Ah man, it’s super exciting.”

It is for everyone involved with the 49ers. And especially after everything they’ve already been through together.


Watson will be suspended for 11 games, and his case will have a longer-term impact across the league.

Jeff Lange/USA TODAY Network

WATSON SETTLEMENT FALLOUT, ON AND OFF THE FIELD

I’ll first reiterate what I wrote Thursday after the NFL, NFLPA and Deshaun Watson reached a settlement on sanctions for Watson—the quarterback took an 11-game suspension and $5 million fine, and agreed to an evaluation and counseling. That’s after settling 23 of 24 lawsuits against him describing sexual harassment and assault. and say that the NFL probably got what it was looking for in the negotiation.

One, the league wanted to come down hard on Watson in adding five games and $5 million on to the penalty recommended by Sue L. Robinson, who presided over the first phase of the process. And whether you think it did or not, it seemed relatively clear to me that the public’s focus over the last few days has been on how the Browns and Watson have handled the fallout, not on what the league agreed to.

Two, the NFL wanted to avoid going to court, and the settlement effectively achieves that. The league wanted no part of this turning into a supersized version of 2015, when the Tom Brady case lingered over an entire season (I’m obviously not comparing the substance of the two cases here, by the way), and this gives the NFL some closure in that way.

But what will it mean for the NFL, the Browns and Watson long-term? Here are a few things that I’ve considered on that topic since the decision came down.

1. Unless there’s a renegotiation of the personal conduct policy for cases like this one, a precedent has been set with the hefty fine and 11-game suspension. Remember, Robinson’s ruling wasn’t based on whether Watson was responsible in the four cases the NFL presented (she did find him responsible); it was based on precedent. So that there’s a new one is important.

2. Along those lines, I do wonder whether the NFL will try to work with the union to rework that part of the personal conduct policy, to address more specifically sexual violence and other transgressions against women. The league has clearly had its problems handling those. And I’d imagine the NFLPA would at least consider working with the league on that, based on how the union has worked with the league on these things in the past (the DUI policy is one where both sides, years ago, agreed harsh penalties should be in place).

3. I’ll be interested to see whether, when the 24th (and presumably final) lawsuit is adjudicated, we get a Watson who’s more willing to explain himself and be more specific with his apologies.

4. Jimmy Haslam was being a little disingenuous talking about taking risks during a press conference that didn’t go well for the Browns’ owner. He mentioned Kareem Hunt as a risk that worked out on the field. Fair enough. But under his leadership, there have been quite a few (Antonio Callaway, Josh Gordon, Johnny Manziel, Justin Gilbert, etc., etc.) that blew up in the team’s face.

5. As for Cleveland GM Andrew Berry, I’ll say this: There’s really not a lot that he can say about the 24 lawsuits or the four cases presented to the league. If he says he believes Watson, then he is essentially saying the women involved are lying. And if he says he doesn’t, well, then why did he trade for him? It’s why you saw him, I think, try to say as little as possible Thursday.

6. On the league’s end, I think the way this was handled follows what at least a few owners wanted a few years ago and agreed to in the CBA. And that’s for the NFL to start to outsource these cases and move Goodell away from being judge, jury and executioner. I think that’s why you saw Goodell pass on ruling on the appeal. And the effect of that? As I said earlier, not nearly as many people were pointing the finger at the league as they did in previous cases.

7. I can actually understand the league wanting to outsource these, too. No matter how many people it hires, it’s not law enforcement. It doesn’t have subpoena power. It’s a sports league, and as it’s found out over the years there’s very little upside to carrying the hammer in every arena.

8. There’s no way to turn the page to football here without it seeming like a hard left turn, but I’ll try. Obviously, the Browns now have certainty on the suspension, and with that I’d guess they’ll at least kick the tires on Jimmy Garoppolo and other available veteran options (so long as Garoppolo would work with them on the money part of it, and I think he would). With decent quarterback play (and I think Jacoby Brissett could give them that, too), the roster is good enough to get six or seven wins through 11 games.

9. I feel confident saying that the Browns know what they’ll face on the road this year, and were aware of it being part of the deal when they made the trade back in March. Regardless of whether Watson’s guilty, it’s obviously understandable why people would be upset with the team.

10. That said, this was never a move just for 2022. This was a move the Browns made believing it was a rare opportunity to get a top-five player at the most important position in sports in his mid-20s. The idea was it’d put them in position to compete with Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson in the AFC over the next decade or so. So that the Browns would incur all this is both a sign of how vital having a great quarterback is in this era and of what kind of player Watson is.

While the disciplinary process now has closure, obviously the conversation isn’t over, and shouldn’t be over, either, regardless of where you stand on the case. 


It’s hard to find the right comparison for Parsons, who exploded onto the scene as a rookie.

Jerome Miron/USA TODAY Sports

MICAH PARSONS: THE DEFENSIVE GRONK?

OXNARD, Calif. — My conversation with Cowboys defensive coordinator Dan Quinn started with my trying to get a historical comparison for Micah Parsons out of him. He didn’t have one, and eventually we meandered right back there, after it hit me how he was describing him.

This sounds like the inverse of Rob Gronkowski, I said, as he described Parsons’s uniqueness.

Quinn smiled and said he liked that one. My logic was simple. Gronkowski was a nightmare for defenses from the minute the huddle was broken because that was when they had to figure out what to do with him. Put a defensive back on him, his team checks to a run, and that corner or safety is blocked into the third row. Put a linebacker over him, Gronk’s waltzing down the seam for a big gain. There literally was no right answer.

Ditto with Parsons. When the offense breaks the huddle, the 23-year-old must be accounted for. If he’s off the line, you can’t assign a back to handle him, lest he blitz and that back be responsible for slowing him. If he’s on the line, you have to treat him as if he’s DeMarcus Lawrence coming off the edge, because he almost is. And if he drops into coverage or plays the run, you’ll likely have to waste a resource accounting for him as a rusher.

“Yeah, it’s the reserve of that matchup: Like, how are we gonna guard this guy?” said Quinn of the Gronk comp. “With him, it’s like, whenever you have to double a really good receiver, it’s hard when he has to move around to different spots. Not that they’re always doubling him, but it’s, O.K., he’s over here, he’s this; he’s over there, he’s that.”

That’s why when I went to Cowboys camp, I felt like it was one of the few where the quarterback really isn’t the most interesting player—and that’s no shot at Dak Prescott.

Parsons’s singular talent, plus his drive, added up to a rookie season for the books. He had a streak of six straight games with a sack. His 12 sacks in his first 13 games as a pro were the most by any player in 20 years, and that happened even though he was only a part-time edge player. He finished with 13 sacks, three passes defensed, three forced fumbles, and was a game-changer in every way a defensive player can be, winning first-team All-Pro honors and finishing second in Defensive Player of Year voting, ahead of Aaron Donald.

But the numbers hardly cover what a different dude this really is, a sort of Swiss Army knife that’s built for the 21st century game much like Gronkowski uniquely was, where the position designation next to his name seems like more of a suggestion. Which is why even he couldn’t come up with a comp for his skill set, when I asked.

“No,” Parsons said smiling. “That’s why it’s hard for me to watch other guys, all the guys I watch, regardless of how good they are or their play style, I don’t think there’s anybody in the league that’s like me.”

And Quinn concedes now that it actually did make it something of a challenge to assess him coming out of Penn State, especially after he’d opted out of the pandemic season of 2020 to prepare for the following April’s draft. Of course, he and the Cowboys knew how special Parsons was in terms of athleticism. He ran 4.36 at his Pro Day at 6’3″ and 246 pounds, and Dallas’s scouts saw, in part due to Parsons’s wrestling background, a rare ability to combine speed, power and leverage, along with an innate feel for how to use all that reactively.

What was hard to project was just how that would come together in the pros. He’d been an edge rusher in high school (and was recruited as one by a lot of schools) and an off-ball ’backer in college, and the NFL’s been littered over the years with great athletes who could never quite find their niche. So it was important for whoever drafted him to have a plan. Which is why when I asked Quinn if he was tough to grade, there was no hesitation.

“Yes, and he really only played one year [at Penn State],” said Quinn. “He blitzed a lot, you saw his speed, so it was O.K., I can see how we’d feature him; he could go out and just play. He’s really fast, so he can blitz, he can fit, he’s tough. But the end-of-the-line pass rush, you didn’t see a lot of that at Penn State, so when we started doing it, it was like …”

And Quinn smiled broadly. Last year in camp, the revelation happened in seeing Parsons go toe-to-toe with guys like Tyron Smith and Zack Martin, who legitimately may become Hall of Famers one day. Parsons, of course, didn’t take over when he was lined up against those guys. But he held his own, and that was enough to get the coaches thinking. Then, in Week 2, Lawrence was hurt, the governor was off and Quinn punched the gas. Parsons would moonlight at end.

By then, Quinn had little doubt that would work out, and not just because he had enough good tape from pass-rush drills in camp to put together a Parsons sizzle reel. It was also because he kept getting better and better the more he did it.

“I’m not saying he was beating Zack all the time, don’t get me wrong,” Quinn said. “But they were as good to go against as anyone to say, O.K., that worked, that didn’t work. And O.K., this is what the best in the league plays like, how can I win? And he just started adapting.”

We already detailed what happened next. Along the way, though, the Cowboys found out more and more about the kid—who faced some maturity questions through the predraft process—who was growing up so fast.

The first thing was just how driven he was. The second was how football smart he was, able to toggle from one position to another seamlessly. And in rolling those two things together, Quinn said, you had a then 22-year-old who would rarely make mistakes twice and was relentlessly self-critical, a quality that came out when I asked him about his rookie tape.

“Aw man, I just see so many mistakes that I made, bad steps, bad timing,” he said. “It’s just kinda funny. You watch that old tape and my tape now, it’s so much improved. I’m super excited to get out there this year. … It’s mental, where to place your eyes, what am I alerted for? What am I expecting? I’m trying to take the extra steps in the game.”

Physically, this offseason, he did it by working out at MMA and boxing gyms in Dallas. He went back to his roots and did wrestling workouts to drill his hand and foot movement and work on leverage and takedowns. He did boxing work to improve his reaction time, his ability to dip and move and his ability to strike. And he swears by it, because he’s already seeing results—“I’m doing all these sports because they correlate to football.”

And as for the mental side of the game, in a matter-of-fact way, he told me he’s watched tape of Shaquille Leonard (“He’s the best linebacker in the game. I love him, love his play style. I love everything about him; he’s ferocious,”) to hone his off-the-ball game, and Von Miller (“Von’s my guy, just because he sets the standard for speed rushers,”) to pick up stuff as an edge rusher.

Along those lines, Quinn has gotten more methodical on how he’s breaking up Parsons’s time between linebacker and defensive line meetings.

“We put a lot on him, but he really answered the challenge,” Quinn said. “So this year, I have him actually where it’s, O.K., you’re at linebacker for this part of the meeting, you’re at D-line this part, you’re over here for this part. So we’ve customized it. … Two days ago, it was all linebacker, the whole day. Three or four days ago, it was three-quarters D-line. And in those specific examples, it’s usually, This is how we’re gonna feature you today.

Scary as it sounds, Quinn says there is a lot of room to grow. Quinn coached Bobby Wagner in Seattle, so he sets a high bar for Parsons when he’s playing off the line. Up front, there’s actually plenty more Dallas can do with him—and in an effort to make that happen, the coaches worked with him through the offseason to make him part of more of the defensive line games (stunts, twists, etc.) to generate better matchups and get him to the quarterback.

Even better, Parsons has eaten up all of this stuff.

“I remember talking to him early on like, Hey man, I’m gonna coach you hard, and we’re gonna ask you to do some things that not many people do,” Quinn said. “He goes, You tell me what you need to see from me. So when I say we’re gonna try to do some things that not a lot of people have done, that’s what we did.”

And there’s even more of that coming now, which brings to life how this sort of positionless player also seems so limitless at this early of a juncture in his career.

And Parsons, for his part, knows it, too. Which is why his goals don’t have limits, either.

“To be one of the greatest,” he said, now smiling broadly. “That’s what I want to be. I started in Ohio; I want to end in Ohio.”

That first Ohio reference, by the way, is to his first game as a pro, which was last summer’s Hall of Fame Game in Canton. The second Ohio reference, as you might’ve guessed, is to the same place.


Snead made headlines for his T-shirt, but not everyone quite gets the picture.

Trevor Ruszkowski/USA TODAY Sports

DON’T MISUNDERSTAND THE RAMS

IRVINE, Calif. — The T-shirt really wasn’t Les Snead’s idea. He got an order of them from a family friend as a stocking stuffer for Christmas last year. The Rams’ GM was then prodded to wear it. He kept responding, I’m never wearing this. Then, someone said, You win the Super Bowl, you gotta wear it. Begrudgingly, he agreed. And when that happened, neither his wife, Kara, nor his kids were about to let him off the hook.

“It was more for others than me,” he said laughing.

So that’s the story of how the Eff-Them-Picks meme became a shirt, and how that shirt came to be worn at the Rams’ Super Bowl parade. And even now, Snead’s a little sheepish about it.

Maybe that’s because, well, he doesn’t believe it—or that it represents his team’s strategy.

As such, as you might’ve guessed, on the sun-soaked day that Snead and I caught up on the Rams’ UC-Irvine fields about an hour after another supercharged Sean McVay practice, Snead wasn’t wearing the shirt. He hasn’t put it on since the parade, and the Rams can laugh about it now. Just know they’re laughing at, and not with, the idea of it, because it’s become such a misnomer for how their roster was built the last six years.

“If I sum it up, with our earlier picks, it’s, Is there a less traditional way to use them?” Snead explained. “You’re not devaluing them. We’re not just giving them to our division rivals, like, Hey f— these picks, here you go, take them. It’s, Can we use them in a different way to help us get an edge? Now, the flip of that is if you’re gonna bring in players in their prime and have to pay them, along with some of your other pillars, we’re gonna really have to rely on players that are on their rookie contracts to be their Robins to our Batmen.

“And that’s the inverse of [the meme].”

If you think Snead is just pushing back on a popular narrative, you’re wrong.

Over the six drafts Snead and McVay have overseen, the Rams have made 53 picks, tied for sixth most in the league over that period (2017–22). The team carried 33 homegrown players on its 53-man roster into the NFC title game last year, tied with the Niners for most among the four conference finalists. Thirteen of the team’s 22 projected starters are Rams picks, with Aaron Donald the only first-rounder in the group, and that’s not counting three more (Troy Hill, Justin Hollins, Coleman Shelton) who are more-or-less homegrown, too.

Nine of the aforementioned 13 are still on rookie contracts, which, like Snead said, is a huge key to all this. Some guys have grown into megastars and are paid as such (Donald, Cooper Kupp). Others have earned manageable second deals (Rob Havenstein, Brian Allen, Joe Noteboom, Tyler Higbee). And the third category here is key, too, one that includes players like John Johnson III and Cory Littleton. Letting those guys leave has allowed the Rams to keep the war chest loaded with capital, because they’ve brought back a raft of compensatory picks.

“We’ve tried to utilize the comp formula. We’ve tried to trade back, to collect as many picks in the second, third, fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh [rounds] as possible,” Snead said. “Now, we’re 32nd in first-round picks, but we’re top five in second, third, fourth, fifth, sixth and seventh.”

So what is actually innovative and different about this?

It’s ripping down the notion that first-round picks, and especially back-end first-rounders, are fundamentally different from other picks—and it’s a lesson Snead really first learned as Thomas Dimitroff’s top lieutenant in Atlanta in 2011. Going into that spring’s draft, the Falcons had made the playoffs three straight years, and had a young star quarterback in Matt Ryan with a burgeoning core around him.

“The concept of Julio [Jones], which is where all this has to start, it’s being aware of what window you’re in,” Snead said. “At that point in time, Matt Ryan had shown he could win, get you to the playoffs. It’s like, O.K., now you’re in this window, we can be good, we can contend, let’s go for it. At least you’ve had this success, it’s not like you’ve never been in the playoffs and you’re doing something radical to see if you can get in.

“It was, How can we get an edge and be even better in that tight window where there’s eight to 12 teams left?

That discussion led the Falcons, whose slotted pick was 27th that year, to really examine the value of such a low first-rounder. Their determination? Maybe everyone’s been doing this all wrong. And in the end, they wound up dealing that first-rounder (Jimmy Smith), plus the 59th (Greg Little) and 124th (Owen Marecic) picks in 2011, and the 22nd (Brandon Weeden) and 118th (Jarius Wright) picks in ’12 for Jones.

The Falcons made two NFC title games and a Super Bowl over Jones’s first six years, Ryan won an MVP, and Jones made seven Pro Bowls as a Falcon.

That, of course, was a less traditional way to use high picks, and Snead would carry the lesson of it over to the Rams. So after McVay arrived, it meant taking a swing on a Sammy Watkins or a Marcus Peters, knowing the Rams could get a comp pick back if those kinds of moves didn’t work out. Then came the Brandin Cooks trade of 2018, which was the regime’s first for a veteran that involved a first-rounder, and really opened up the conversation.

The Rams looked at what the Patriots did with the Cooks pick in 2018. It became Georgia lineman Isaiah Wynn. Then, they saw what became of their first-rounder, the 31st pick, the next year, which they’d used in a trade down—the Falcons used it to take Washington tackle Kaleb McGary. So their slots, in consecutive years, became solid, if unspectacular offensive linemen, neither of whom wound up being long-term left tackles.

“You say, Would we give up two starting offensive linemen for Jalen Ramsey?” Snead continued. “And then you say, You know what? It’s a little easier to find a starting OL than it is those types of corners. So you’re always trying to use a little bit of the abstract.”

Using that abstract led to the Ramsey trade midseason in 2019 and, then, about 15 months later, the Matthew Stafford blockbuster—two deals that cost the Rams four first-round picks and a bunch of money in monster extensions. But they worked out because they were for truly elite players who were worth all of it, which was proven out in February.

Now, maybe the biggest key, Snead says, is the involvement of the coaching staff in the later rounds—both in being clear on what kind of role players they need and then being able to develop guys who, naturally, might not bring the whole athletic package that a first-round pick does. And therein lies another thing Snead took from Dimitroff in building his draft board—not just to rank players, but address needs, and construct and fill out a functioning 53-man roster (which is a tenet of Dimitroff’s roots in the New England system).

But not being hyper-focused on, say, a pick in the 20s helps there too.

“You can spend a lot of time trying to figure out who you’re gonna draft at 22,” Snead said. “But when you don’t have that, you can really sit down with your coaching staff and your scouting staff and say, Let’s figure out how we’re gonna do our best at finding players that fit for the Rams instead of spending all that time trying to find this one first-rounder. It allows us a lot of time to do that.”

All you need to do is look at the Rams roster to see how that’s worked out—and, in the process, turned a fun catchphrase on a T-shirt into one big lie.


Smith seized on a unique opportunity in his second offseason in Atlanta.

Dale Zanine/USA TODAY Sports

TEN TAKEAWAYS

I love what the Falcons did with their team this week. Atlanta had set up a series of joint practices with the Jets ahead of their preseason game in New Jersey, and when the league let the teams know they’d be moved to a Monday night time slot, Arthur Smith knew he’d have some extra time on his hands. He didn’t want the team sitting in a hotel in Jersey City for more than 24 hours—so he decided to try to get creative with the day between the practices and game, and give the players a shot to see something they normally wouldn’t. As such, the Falcons first considered doing their day-before walkthrough at Princeton (team president Rich McKay is an alum), before Smith got the idea, looking at the map, to make the short drive up to West Point. Owner Arthur Blank’s CEO, Steve Cannon, is a USMA graduate, so Smith talked to him and they got the ball rolling on what unfolded for the team Sunday.

Smith conducted his walkthrough in the morning before taking the players in for lunch with the cadets, then a tour of campus. “First off, it’s an appreciation for watching this leadership academy, how they operate, getting to peek behind the walls of a place that a lot of civilians don’t get to see,” Smith told me after the walkthrough. “Then, it’s the message I gave the team. It’s not some kind of political statement, or trying to play G.I. Joe or soldiers—it’s for us as a football team. We got work on the field and got to see if we could learn something from the way they train their cadets, their leadership, their management tactics. I’m thankful they let us up here.”

It was a cool experience for Smith personally, too, his dad having served in the Marines. In fact, before he made the trip, his dad repeated a story Smith had heard before. In Vietnam in 1968, as company commander of Kilo Company, 3rd Battalion, 5th Marine, he’d attached with the Army on a cross-operation, before telling his son to “tell whoever’s in charge here that he could only make it three weeks in the army before he had to go back to the Marine Corps.” That family history, of course, added to the trip for Smith—who’d read plenty about the campus, and on the coaching legacy of people like Bobby Knight and Mike Krzyzewski there, but had never been, and even coached a West Point football alum (Collin Mooney) back in his Tennessee days.

“I’ve always heard it’s beautiful,” he said. And now he and a bunch of other guys who hadn’t been there know it for a fact, which, to me, makes for pretty good use of an otherwise quiet training camp day.

J.J. Watt taking vet days in camp is probably a sign that most older guys should. Why? Well, because Watt resisted it forever. He estimates, between the Texans and Cardinals, he’s been offered a relaxed camp schedule for the last seven years or so. He turned the break down every single time. Until, that is, this summer.

“It’s hard,” Watt told me last week. “You’re an athlete, and I’ve always believed to lead the guys, you have to be working with the guys. But it’s not Bear Bryant’s two-a-days. I think people are more understanding now. It’s a different league.”

So, maybe a bit begrudgingly, Watt accepted the offer this time around, going to the two-days-on, one-day-off cadence some of the other older Cardinals players have worked off of. The main impetus for him was, first, his age (he’s 33 now), and also the amount of time he’s missed: 42 of 97 games the last six years, after playing in 80 of 80 over his first five years.

“The part that I should’ve realized earlier is the most important thing in the NFL is the 17 Sundays and to make it to the playoffs,” Watt said. “It’s extremely important to practice, it’s extremely important to be out there with the boys, it’s extremely important to be working on your game. But if you worked your ass off on a Wednesday in training camp and didn’t make it to Sunday in Week 8, it’s all for naught. So for me it’s learning that, with a six-week training camp, the importance is getting to the season and being healthy for the season, and knowing that it’s O.K. if you have to let your body rest on a random Tuesday.” And he says that with the acknowledgment that he hates watching practice, because, obviously, he likes being out there with the guys, and also because, “It’s boring.” But if it means playing in December and January? It’ll have been worth it. Here are a couple more things from my talk with Watt …

MMQB: What’s keeping you out there?

Watt: Competitive drive. Just the want to compete, the want to be with your team to contend for a championship. It’s what I do. As an athlete, as a competitor, you want to be out there, you want to be competing, you want to be working to be at the top of your games. And once that dies, I’ll stop.

MMQB: Have you thought about walking away the last couple of years?

Watt: There’s been some injuries that have been harder than others, certainly. To say that you never ever thought about that is just a lie. I’d be lying. But no, especially not recently, I haven’t. I feel really good. This camp, I’ve felt great. I’m really looking forward to playing.

MMQB: How can you guys avoid the late-season collapse this time around?

Watt: I think the first thing is injuries. We have to stay healthy. We’re 7–0 and I go down, Kyler [Murray] goes down, Hop [DeAndre Hopkins] goes down for a bit. You start to lose some very important pieces to the team, that’s going to hurt you. Also from a leadership standpoint, just being able to handle that adversity, having different guys out there and being able to say, It’s all right, we got this. The handling of adversity and the maturity of the team, to be able to go through a difficult stretch of a game, or even if it’s a difficult week or two, to be able to handle that. … That’s something that definitely, as the leadership of this team, we’re working on.

MMQB: Kyler had told me he thought negativity got to the team late last year. You think the team’s learned from that?

Watt: I hope so. If you lose whatever we did at the end, seven of nine, then get your ass kicked in the playoffs, I hope we learned, I hope you don’t want to feel it again. And if you do, I don’t want you in my locker room.

I think the Steelers have a difficult decision to make. Kenny Pickett has been nails in the preseason—and the numbers reflect that. His two games thus far …

• Against the Seahawks, Pickett went 13-of-15 for 95 yards, two touchdowns and a 132.6 passer rating. He led the two touchdown drives and went three-and-out just once, playing the entire second half with, and against, plenty of guys who probably won’t be in the league in two weeks.

• Against the Jaguars, Pickett was 6-of-7 for 76 yards, a touchdown and a 151.6 rating. He led two drives, went three-and-out on one (though a holding penalty negated a third-down conversion on that one) and led a touchdown drive on the other.

So add it up, and Pickett got seven possessions, led the Steelers’ offense to three touchdowns, went three-and-out twice (one of which, you could argue, wasn’t on him), and completed 19-of-22 throws for 171 yards and three touchdowns. Now, Mitch Trubisky has also been pretty decent (9-of-15, 123 yards, TD) in two preseason games, and has been really good in practice. But that’s the thing—Pickett’s shakiness at times in practice seems to evaporate when the game lights come on, which matches his reputation from college. And his experience at Pitt helps, too. He was actually recruited there by Steelers offensive coordinator Matt Canada, then the Panthers’ OC, and ran a version of Canada’s offense in 2017 and ’18, before getting a steady diet of NFL-styled concepts playing in former Steelers assistant Mark Whipple’s offense the last three years.

“Playing for Whip definitely helped a lot,” Pickett told me earlier in camp. And on top of that, the volume of defense he saw starting 49 games over five years helps shorten the learning curve. So … would Mike Tomlin start him? In a certain way, this reminds me a little of the spot Bill Belichick was in with the Patriots last year (and there are some similarities between Pickett and Mac Jones, who’s not quite as athletic, but more consistently accurate than Pickett), where a rookie showed he got it quickly. Ultimately, New England went with the rookie over Cam Newton, confident that he was ready and had the mental toughness to endure bumps, and knowing that playing in in Year 1 would allow Jones to hit the ground running the next year. All of those elements exist with Pickett, too, I think. But thinking about going with the rookie, as the Steelers are, and pulling the trigger on it are two different things, especially when there’s a playoff roster on hand full of veterans whose 2022 fates rest on that call.

The Panthers’ decision should be easier. And I think it’ll come before, not after, this week’s game against the Bills. Maybe even Monday. There won’t be any surprises. Baker Mayfield has pretty clearly been the best quarterback in camp, and for a number of different reasons. One big one came on the only possession he’s played over Carolina’s first two preseason games. On the fifth snap of that 13-play, 54-yard drive that ended in a field goal, a second-and-9 from the 50, Mayfield got the ball from the shotgun and quickly moved through what was in front of him. First read? Covered. Second read? Not there. Boom, ball’s out to the third guy in the progression, fullback Giovanni Ricci, for six yards underneath to get Carolina into a manageable third-and-3. That’s the sort of routine play the Panthers weren’t making as much last year, and that was the idea in getting Mayfield in the first place—that he could bring them at least league-average quarterback play.

And on that snap, a nondescript one, to be sure, Mayfield showed field vision, an ability to process quickly and an awareness for the situation. No one would look at that throw and say, “field general,” but that’s just what Mayfield was in the moment. That doesn’t mean he’s going to be a superstar this year. Just means he’s got a shot to be pretty good, and Carolina thinks that’ll be good enough to get a promising young roster to take a big step. And Mayfield has also acquitted himself well with his teammates and coaches, which is the clincher here. The coaches sent him the playbook in early July during a no-contact period, and when he reported a couple weeks later, they were really impressed with the grasp he’d gained for a complex scheme without anyone else’s help. He’s also shown humility coming out of a rocky exit from Cleveland, and he’s been respectful in entering a quarterback room, melding quickly with Sam Darnold and Matt Corral, even though they were all competing for the same thing. So you add that stuff to what Mayfield’s shown in camp in the way of processing and instincts and field vision? And yeah, that decision is coming really soon.

The Patriots are probably going to trade … someone. New England’s really tight to the cap, and my sense is they’d like to use a surplus they might have at one position or another to alleviate that and maybe pick up a draft pick or two. The one guy I know definitively that they’ve talked with other teams on is Isaiah Wynn, their first-round pick from 2018. Wynn, though, is on a $10.4 million fifth-year option, which has made it tough to move a guy who, four years after he was drafted, is still seen as a tackle/guard tweener.

The other spot where New England could potentially get calls is receiver. There’s been speculation on Nelson Agholor, but his big number ($9 million base, plus $1 million in per-game roster bonuses) makes him more difficult to trade. He’s also emerged as a leader in the receiver room in Foxborough after a really strong offseason, which could make the Patriots hesitant to move him.

So … maybe Kendrick Bourne? His financials are manageable ($3.75 million, plus $750K in per-game roster bonuses), he’d shown some frustration with the offensive changes over the last few months, and just got done with a weird week (fight in joint practices with Carolina, scratched for the game). I think the Patriots will get some calls on him, at the very least. And I think they’d feel compelled to listen, too, given their own situation.

The Buccaneers’ offensive line situation should not be ignored. We saw what happened last year in the playoffs when Tampa Bay had a couple injuries up front, and the damage done already this summer has been significant. Guards Alex Cappa (free agency, to the Bengals) and Ali Marpet (retirement) left. Center Ryan Jensen is out for the foreseeable future, if not the season, with a knee injury (we’ll have more on that in the quick-hitters). And on Saturday, guard Aaron Stinnie, who’d started games in a pinch the last couple of years for the Bucs, tore his ACL and MCL against the Titans.

That leaves the Bucs with ex-Patriot Shaq Mason and rookie Luke Goedeke at the guard spots, and second-year pro Robert Hainsey at center. Of the three, only Mason has an NFL start on his résumé, and none have started a game in a Bucs uniform. While Goedeke and Hainsey were both top-100 draft picks, and there is potential there, neither has started an NFL game (Hainsey dressed for only nine games last year). Given all that, and the fact they’ve got a 45-year-old quarterback who’s had issues with pressure up the middle over the course of his career (and I mean that in a relative sense, given that it’s Tom Brady we’re talking about), I’d say there’ll be a lot to manage for the Buccaneers’ offensive staff, at least early in the year. Assuming, of course, Brady comes back soon from his preplanned camp sabbatical (I’m kidding, of course … although it will be interesting to see what he has to say about all this).

Roquan Smith’s ill-fated hold-in ended the way most predicted it would. Smith is a really good player. But he’s also a sawed-off, instinct-driven, heat-seeking missile of a linebacker in a league that’s increasingly looking for size, length and athleticism at his position. So he doesn’t fit every team to begin with. And even with those where he does fit, there’s been an overall devaluing of his position across the NFL (13 off-ball linebackers have an APY of $10 million or more; 31 edge rushers make that much, with 14 at $16 million or more). Which means for Smith or the Bears to find a trade partner, they’d have to find a team that Smith would fit stylistically (he’s not exactly a perfect fit for Matt Eberflus’s scheme, based on what Eberflus had in Indianapolis), willing to pay the top of the market at a position where many teams won’t and give up premium draft capital on top of that. That’s a lot of boxes to check. Evidently, more than any team was willing to mark off.

Jordan Love’s step forward is great news for the Packers. Obviously, it’s good for Green Bay to see the progress and have the potential successor to Aaron Rodgers in place, just in case Rodgers walks away after this year. But it’s also good for Green Bay that the progress is going on tape accessible to the rest of the league—because if Rodgers is back in 2023, then teams that might be interested in trading for Love will have some tangible proof that the progress is happening.

For his part, Matt LaFleur said after Friday’s win over the Saints that Love is “light years ahead” of where he was even last year. “I think the game has slowed down for him,” LaFleur told reporters. “I see a much more decisive player. I think that’s going to lead to a much more effective player.” Now, it wasn’t perfect, to be sure. His decision-making still needs improvement, and the Saints’ coaches noticed how much better he is off play-action than he is in the dropback game. But now, versus where he was, he looks like a guy who’s got a chance. So maybe Love will get a real shot to play next year, whether it’s in Green Bay or someone else. And if he does, we’ll all get an interesting case study in seeing the results of a quarterback being developed a different way than they normally are these days (Rodgers, interestingly enough, is the last first-rounder who had to wait three years to become a starter).

Working on that Rams section, I have some random numbers to share. Like we said earlier, they’re tied for sixth in most draft picks taken (the Cowboys, Colts and Broncos also have 53) over the last six years. Who has the most? And the fewest? Glad you asked. Here’s what the numbers showed …

Most draft picks (2017–22)

1. Vikings 67
2. Packers 58
3. Ravens 56
4. Bengals 55
5. Commanders 54

Fewest draft picks (2017–22)

1. Saints 34
2. Chiefs 40
3. Texans 41
T-4. Bears, Dolphins, Eagles, Falcons 42

So what does that tell you? Probably not a ton. The two teams with the fewest picks, New Orleans and Kansas City, have each been in the playoffs in all six years of that period. The Saints have fewer because they like packaging picks to move up for specific guys. The Chiefs have fewer because of trades for Patrick Mahomes and Frank Clark. Both, obviously, have done a nice job.

On the flip side, Minnesota, Green Bay and Baltimore have all contended through this span, so what they’re doing is working for them. And so I guess what you learn here is a truism that’s not all that exciting—picks are really only worth the players you turn them into.

We’ve got quick-hitter takeaways for the week, as we head back on the road. Here are 10 of them for you, right now …

• I wouldn’t expect any definitive declaration on Jensen for the Bucs for a while. His knee injury is complicated. He and the team are, indeed, leaving the door open for a return, but I’m told it wouldn’t happen until the playoffs, and probably deep into the playoffs, and even that might not be very likely. Either way, it’ll be a few months before they have a better idea on whether there’s a real chance he can play this season.

• The Bills look like a machine right now, and you can even see it with new guys, both older (O.J. Howard) and younger (James Cook, Khalil Shakir). When I was at their camp, I felt like they had this sort of quality that you saw watching the 2007 Patriots or ’13 Seahawks practice—just with the way it looks. Saturday’s preseason game only backed that up for me.

• I don’t know if there’s anything to it, and maybe it has to do with pre-combine training or the more deliberate ramp-up to camp, but it feels like a lot of rookies are going down with pretty significant injuries. Among them over the last few days: Panthers QB Matt Corral, Bears S Jaquan Brisker and Rams OL Logan Bruss.

• The Packers getting OT David Bakhtiari back off PUP is a really important development. If he and Elgton Jenkins, who came off the list last week, are at full strength, a trouble spot on the roster becomes a big-time strength—and maybe one of the league’s best lines. And I’d bet the team has Jenkins (one of the league’s best linemen, who can legit play all five spots) at right tackle when the season starts, as has quietly been the plan, to bookend Bakhtiari and keep the three young guys (Jon Runyan Jr., Josh Myers, Royce Newman) together inside.

• It’s pretty wild that KaVontae Turpin took two kicks to the house on Saturday night. Turpin’s story is a complicated one. He was thrown out of TCU in 2018 after a domestic violence incident with his girlfriend. Because of it, starting in ’19, he had to work his way through the edges of the pro football world, playing in Fan Controlled Football, the Spring League and a European league before winning USFL MVP honors for the New Jersey Generals in the spring. That got him his shot in Dallas. And he seems to be making the most of it.

• Hard not to root for Lions LB Malcolm Rodriguez if you’re watching Hard Knocks.

• If I’m a Jaguars fan, I’m pretty optimistic right now on where the new staff has Trevor Lawrence. It’s not perfect yet, and Doug Pederson said himself that Lawrence needs to calm down early in games. But they have him playing fast, and doing that has put the generational physical tools he has on display.

• With Joe Flacco likely to start the Jets’ opener, I think it’s worth mentioning here that he’s really made a difference for Zach Wilson in New York. Maybe the biggest lesson Wilson’s taken? Flacco told him to focus on what the coaches are asking him to do, rather than trying to process every last thing that’s happening on the field. The Jets’ staff saw Wilson take that lesson, and start to play more instinctively and less robotically, before he got hurt.

• At the risk of sounding like a Buckeye homer, Saints rookie Chris Olave so far looks on an NFL field just like he did at Ohio State—smooth, savvy and lightning fast. Now, that doesn’t mean he’s an automatic All-Pro or anything like that. But generally, in my experience, if a guy looks like he did in college right away, it’s usually an indicator his game is translating quickly. And as I understand it, the Packers game was a continuation of a nice stretch of camp for him.

• I’d think a lot of teams will be sitting starters for the last weekend of preseason games, which precedes, of course, next week’s cutdown. But that doesn’t mean there won’t be guys worth watching. And I think Commanders rookie QB Sam Howell is one.


SIX FROM THE SIDELINE

1. The new Manti Te’o documentary on Netflix is absolutely jarring, especially when you consider how much Te’o lost as a result of the situation. I’m also not sure that Naya Tuiasosopo was appropriately held accountable for throwing someone else’s life into complete chaos.

2. It’ll be fun to see what happens with Quinn Ewers at Texas now that he’s been named starter. I’ve heard he’s pretty raw, but a good kid and one blessed with a ridiculous arm. Can the Longhorns be good enough around him for him to develop the right way? How will it look against Nick Saban in 19 days? A lot to consider, and look ahead to, with this one. (Plus, Arch Manning gets to Austin in January!)

3. Urban Meyer’s run in the NFL was, of course, a trainwreck. That said, he’s always been really good on TV, so it makes sense that Fox would want him back. What’ll be interesting, though, is how he’s received on the road, with Big Noon Kickoff set to be on campuses on a weekly basis for the first time this fall.

4. I had no idea Spaceman was still pitching at 75 years old.

5. Does it feel like the Lakers giving LeBron James a two-year, $97.1 million extension … might not be the best idea? He’ll turn 39 during the first year of the deal (2023–24), and 40 during its second year (2024–25). And at the numbers he’s making, if he’s no longer the superstar he’s been, in a salary-capped league, it would seem the Lakers would have some major problems. I hope he’s still the LeBron he’s been, for the record. I just have a hard time seeing it happening.

6. Good story from my buddy Paul Kuharsky on how ridiculous youth sports have gotten. It’s pretty easy to see for me, even with my oldest being just 7, how clubs have overrun everything. Covering pro sports for a living, I feel comfortable saying this—no one’s winning a scholarship in elementary school.


BEST OF THE NFL INTERNET

Keep an eye on M.J. Emerson.

Take that, Brady Six!

Perfect.

In addition to Brunell and Warner … Matt Hasselbeck, Ty Detmer, Aaron Brooks and, of course, Rodgers, were among the backups the Packers developed behind Brett Favre over the years. It feels like teams value picks too much to do this anymore, but Ron Wolf’s old philosophy was a good one—if it works out, you get three years of good depth from a young quarterback, then a pick or picks back for him when his contract is running out.

Kliff’s great.

… when training camp coverage gets a little too detailed.

I think I tore three ligaments just watching someone trying to square up on Moore there.

Pretty cool—Garrett Wilson congratulating his old high school buddy Brett Baty on his MLB debut …

… and here’s the reaction at that high school to Baty hitting a home run in his first at-bat (technically, that’s not an NFL tweet, but I’ll put it here anyway).

I give the fight I saw at Patriots-Panthers a 7.8.

This is probably an 8.2. Pickett really showing a lot of fire out there in the end-zone stands.

Can’t wait! (But isn’t there actually a game in Ireland next week?)

I’ll always be a sucker for these.

A-plus reaction from Lawrence.

Love this. R.I.P., John.


WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

I’ll be hitting up a handful of teams this week to wrap up my camp travel—and I’m excited to get back out there (even if Florida in August isn’t really my speed). And as has been the case, you can keep up with me with takeaways, whether via video, article or Twitter, from each of the five I’ll see between Tuesday and Thursday.

Last week, we got you some on the Patriots and Panthers.

And if you’ve been following all along? We appreciate it, and have a lot more coming for you with the season getting closer and closer.

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SEC commissioner Greg Sankey open to major March Madness changes

Southeastern Conference commissioner Greg Sankey, probably the most influential person in college athletics, said Thursday he wants to take “a fresh look” at the NCAA men’s basketball tournament—perhaps with an eye toward expansion of the current 68-team field.

Sankey cautions that he is “not ready to make headlines there yet.” But he also is open to conversations about a Big Dance that doesn’t exclude small-conference champions while potentially including more teams.

As an example, he mentions the 2022 College World Series baseball championship, which was won by SEC member Mississippi—the last team into the 64-team field.

“If the last team in can win the national championship, and they’re in the 30s or 40s from an RPI or [NCAA] NET standpoint, is our current approach supporting national championship competition?” Sankey asks. “I think there’s health in that conversation. That doesn’t exclude people. It goes to: How do we include people in these annual national celebrations that lead to a national champion?”

Sankey’s remarks pertained to the men’s tournament, but given the recent NCAA emphasis on an equal tournament experience for both the men and women, it is conceivable the discussion of an expanded bracket would also apply to the women’s tournament as well.

There has been a rising tide of concern about being left out of March Madness among conferences that send only their tournament winners to the NCAA tourney—the underdogs who so often give the event their best moments and unique flavor. Some of that comes from comments Sankey reportedly made to members of the Division I Council earlier this summer about the NCAA tournament looking different in the future.

Sankey stresses that he said the tourney “could” change, not that it would. But the suspicion among some mid-major and low-major programs is that their automatic bids would instead be given to more teams from the rich and powerful multi-bid leagues.

“March Madness will become much more controlled by a handful of schools,” Florida Gulf Coast president Michael Martin told a Fort Myers TV station recently. “And automatic qualifiers that we now get from being in the A-Sun will disappear.”

Sankey, though, makes no mention of potentially taking away automatic bids. He’s aware that tinkering with one of the most popular formulas in college sports could lead to enormous backlash. Instead, he talks about the quality of teams that either just barely make the field or are left out.

“I thought [SEC member] Texas A&M should have been in the field in basketball [last season],” Sankey says. “People didn’t agree. But the way they played at the end of the year, I firmly think they were one of the better teams in the country. I’m biased. But somebody else, Dayton was one of the first four out.

“Look at what UCLA did as an 11-seed [in 2021], what Virginia Commonwealth did as an 11-seed [in 2011], what Syracuse did as an 11-seed [in 2018]. Those are three teams that played [in the First Four] in Dayton and went to the Final Four eventually. It should broaden our thinking.”

(Sankey was conflating two Syracuse appearances. In 2016, it made the Final Four as a 10-seed that did not play in Dayton, but played against Dayton. In 2018, Syracuse was in the First Four in Dayton but was eliminated in the Sweet 16.)

One potential method of expansion—which was not raised by Sankey—would be to have a quartet of First Fours, one at each region. That would increase the total number of bids from 68 to 80.

But quadrupling the moving parts also would increase the logistical hurdles for the NCAA. Getting eight teams to Dayton in short order after Selection Sunday, then dispersing the winners to various sites around the country with a fair chance in their first-round games, is not easy.

Still, Sankey sounds willing to explore several options for a bigger Big Dance.

“Just take a fresh look at all of it,” he says. “As we think collectively, everyone goes to the corner and says, ‘I have to hang on to what’s mine.’ But how do we contribute and build it better together?”

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Suns suffer humiliating loss to Luka Doncic, Mavericks

PHOENIX — The first time it felt like the Suns could be in serious trouble was only a little over two minutes into the game. At that point, Dallas held what was an insignificant 5–3 lead when Luka Dončić dribbled the ball up the middle of the floor across halfcourt. After calling Deandre Ayton into a screen at the top of the key and forcing Mikal Bridges to fight over it, Dončić did what he had done many times already during the series: He dribbled left and effortlessly stepped back into a three-pointer, giving him all eight of the Mavs’ points.

Almost immediately, you could sense a slight murmur in the crowd. In that moment the ball splashed through the net, Dončić went from 23-year-old wunderkind to horror-movie villain realizing the strength of his own powers. And he and his team never looked back.

Phoenix’s season—which before the playoffs had been the best in franchise history—ended in shocking, confusing, humiliating fashion on Sunday night. The Suns were pummeled in a 123–90 loss. It still doesn’t feel completely real. It wasn’t supposed to go this way. Didn’t Dončić still need more playoff seasoning before he could make the Finals? Wasn’t this supposed to be the storybook finish that had long eluded Chris Paul? Weren’t the Suns far and away the best team in the NBA? Dallas put all those questions to bed mercilessly and with brutality in what was a landscape-changing win for the league.

Mark J. Rebilas/USA TODAY Sports

You have to start with Dončić. Every time he dribbled the ball up the floor after that early stepback you could sense the nervous, uncomfortable energy in the arena. How will he hurt us next? Luka toyed with DPOY-finalist Mikal Bridges. He posted up a center in Ayton and a point guard in Chris Paul and found success doing both. Dončić was ruthless, scoring at ease and laughing in the face of Phoenix’s agony. A few Suns players tried to find ways to unwind before Sunday’s Game 7. Devin Booker said he would play video games or take a dip in his pool to cool off from the oppressive Valley heat. Jae Crowder got a massage and watched some Ozark on Netflix. But there’s a reason why Monty Williams said before the game he could barely sleep. And that’s largely because of a player like Dončić, who can turn a top-three defense into dust with a smile.

By halftime, Luka had as many points as the entire Suns team combined. (He finished the game with 35. Phoenix’s starters had 37.) It was as thorough of a whooping as you will ever see in professional sports, and that’s with some great players on the other side of the floor.

It was a particularly ignominious loss for Paul, whose playoff career—fair or unfair—somehow continues to be defined by missed opportunities. The OKC turnover. The 3–1 lead against Houston. The hamstring injury vs. the Warriors. The 2–0 lead in the Finals. And now, one of the most unexpected blowouts ever. How much can one of the best to ever dribble a basketball—which is unquestionable, no matter how much he may irritate you—endure?

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Paul didn’t give anything away after the game. He said it was just one loss. He said his only message to the team was it’s time to get back to work. He said he feels like they’ll be back next year (and that people have been saying he blew his best chance at a title since 2008). The reality is it’s hard to fathom Paul being in a position this advantageous again. Luka is not going anywhere. Presumably the Lakers will be somewhat better. The Nuggets and Clippers will be healthier. The Warriors still have Steph, Klay, and Dray. Paul had a Game 7 on his home floor, and couldn’t capitalize. And that’s not even getting into his personal performance in this series, which dipped dramatically after a masterpiece in Game 2.

For his entire career, Paul has been one of the players in the league most adept at forcing a game to be played under his terms. He even out-manipulated Luka earlier in the series. Which made it all the more shocking that as Game 7 slipped away early, he couldn’t get a grip. The Mavs’ defense deserves a ton of credit, from their full-court pressure to crisp rotations. That still doesn’t make Paul’s play less of a headscratcher. (Though there were reports of a quad injury after the game. For what it’s worth, Paul was never listed on the injury report during the series.)

Meanwhile, Devin Booker struggled with blitzes and couldn’t find the hoop. Bridges went 0-for-3 from beyond the arc, which means he finished the series with five made threes, or as many as Spencer Dinwiddie hit in Game 7 alone. Ayton played only 17 minutes amid clear tension with Williams. (After the game, when asked about Ayton’s limited playing time, a normally soft-spoken Monty offered a terse, stern, “It’s internal.”) Nobody stepped up, even though as Cam Johnson put it, the “want and desire” was very much there.

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The loss was a record-scratch moment for the Suns. You play all year to get homecourt in a Game 7 only to be run off the floor anyway. Now what? Paul will turn 38 before the Finals next year. You hope Booker and Bridges get better, sure. But what about Ayton, who finished the series poorly and now heads to restricted free agency? What happens at backup point guard after Cam Payne was benched in the middle of the series? Does Johnson get an extension, or does he enter a contract year like Ayton did? And then there’s the matter of owner Robert Sarver, the subject of a league investigation surrounding a hostile workplace, the results of which have yet to be made public. In an ideal world, those questions come after the Finals when everybody’s breath still smells like champagne. Instead, they come abruptly, like all the lights being switched on in the middle of the night.

Dallas, on the other hand, gets to be ahead of schedule. Instead of facing questions about how to build around Luka, the Mavs won a series nobody expected them to win. They are playing with house money, a dangerous proposition for anybody forced to deal with their tailor made-for-the-postseason style of basketball. You could sense the jubilation in the bowels of the arena after the game. The cheers emanating from the Dallas locker room sounded louder than anything the fans could muster in the second half. Good luck to the Warriors, the latest team forced to deal with the Dončić conundrum.

From Paul’s legacy to Luka’s chance to become the guy to beat, the fallout of this game is significant. Only two teams with as many wins as the Suns (the 2007 Mavs and 2016 Spurs) failed to reach at least the conference finals in league history. And that stat still doesn’t really fully begin to capture how shocking Phoenix’s loss was. These kinds of defeats don’t happen in the NBA, both on a one-game level and a series level. For the second straight summer, the Suns will have to dig deep to respond.

One of the coachisms Monty Williams dropped early in Round 2 was having “appropriate fear” of the opponent. You want to believe you can win, but also respect the opponent’s ability to beat you. Seemingly every time Dončić had the ball Sunday night after that early stepback three, you could sense the crowd’s fear growing. Could one player really ruin all that we’ve accomplished? It’s not exactly that simple. But Suns fans were ultimately right to be terrified.

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New on NIL: College leaders urge NCAA to enforce new guidelines

SCOTTSDALE, Ariz.—Inside the Hyatt Regency at Gainey Ranch, the lavish resort on the outskirts of Phoenix, dozens of the most powerful people in college sports milled about, parading through the expansive lobby and basking in the sun on the terrace. But, the majority landed deep within conference meeting rooms, searching for answers to what’s become the latest seismic quandary in the industry—the rapidly escalating donor-fueled bidding war for college football and men’s basketball players.

“This is the time we have to put our stake in the ground. Enough! This is not acceptable,” frustrated Colorado athletic director Rick George says. “What we’re doing is not good for intercollegiate athletics, and it has got to stop.”

College leaders are strongly urging the NCAA enforcement team to begin investigating what they deem to be obvious recruiting violations, past and present. Donor-led collectives that have struck deals with players before they sign binding letters of intent are violating rules, says George, one of the leaders of an NCAA working group that will soon publicize additional NIL guidelines. 

George is one of many college sports officials looking to enforce stronger NIL-related guidelines around recruiting. 

Ron Chenoy/USA TODAY Sports

Additional NIL guidelines, which the NCAA working group are currently finalizing, are expected to help regulate these deals that officials say are encouraging current players to remain on their teams and inducing recruits to sign with their schools, a developing situation Sports Illustrated detailed Monday. On Tuesday, SI reported on the impending release of the guidelines, which could happen as early as next week. George and Ohio State athletic director Gene Smith, also on the working group, confirmed the existence of the draft of guidelines.

The guidance clarifies existing NCAA bylaws that prohibit boosters from being involved in recruiting. Any booster or booster-led collective that has been found to have associated with prospects about recruiting—on another college team or in high school—will be found to have violated NCAA rules and put the booster’s school at risk of sanctions, George says. In addition, a booster, or booster-run collectives, “cannot communicate with a student-athlete or others affiliated with a student-athlete to encourage them to remain enrolled or attend an institution.”

“Just because we have NIL, it doesn’t eliminate the rules,” George says. “Everybody is like, ‘It’s NIL!’ I am totally in favor of NIL done right. It’s really good. [Athletes] should be able to monetize their NIL, but a lot of what’s going on out there is not NIL.”

Since the NIL concept began last July, college officials say there is well-documented evidence that boosters and collectives have arranged deals with prospects, many striking agreements before recruits signed with their new school. There is evidence of some boosters even hosting prospects at their homes and flying them to visit campuses, which all constitutes NCAA violations, leaders say.

“What’s happening now—I only know what I hear—is the inducements violate rules,” Smith says. “Hopefully this passes Monday and will give more clarity and guidelines. But then, [NCAA] enforcement has to enforce. The schools need to enforce, as well. At the end of the day, you have an institutional responsibility to enforce.”

The guidelines introduce more clarity to an interim NIL policy that provided only vague guidance that boosters are now skirting—if violations are found over the past 10 months since NIL first began, the NCAA should investigate those schools for sanctions.

“One-hundred percent,” George said. “We have to look at these deals. The NCAA has got to look at them, and if they are not within our guidelines, then hold them accountable and be firm.”

The enforcement staff has to be “ready to go” once the guidelines are released, says another Power 5 athletic director who requested anonymity. “They need to hit them and hit them hard and fast.”

However, it may be complicated.

NCAA enforcement has been less willing and perhaps unable to enforce existing bylaws, George and Smith say. For one, the organization is concerned that any enforcement will spark a bevy of antitrust legal challenges. Secondly, the NCAA enforcement staff is ill-equipped for a full-scale nationwide inquiry. It is down 15-20 members from COVID-19 pandemic layoffs. Smith says the association plans to eventually replace people.

In a warning shot at the NCAA itself, Pac-12 commissioner George Kliavkoff told SI on Wednesday if the NCAA does not start enforcing existing bylaws, leaders will find an alternate solution but did not specify what those solutions could be. Amid the uncertainty, Kliavkoff and SEC commissioner Greg Sankey traveled to Washington D.C. on Thursday for meetings with key U.S. senators in hope of further encouraging them to pass federal NIL legislation, which many believe will be the only practical solution for the latest mess but is unlikely to pass this year. 

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The NCAA enforcement’s staffing situation, which does not allow it to deeply pursue violators “is the biggest issue” the organization has, George says. But industry experts contend any enforcement will invariably generate lawsuits from wealthy donors. Given last summer’s Supreme Court loss in the Alston case and a bevy of state laws protecting the boosters themselves, what can the NCAA actually do?

“If they punish the kids, they will have lawyers lining up,” says Arizona-based sports attorney Greg Clifton. “There will be a class action lawsuit within 48 hours.”

Booster collectives have struck hundreds of deals since last July, and many of the donor-led groups have already pooled more than $5 million in a pseudo-player salary pool tagged for NIL. Boosters who spoke to SI say they are in compliance with their respective state laws governing NIL and/or the NCAA’s interim policy and they have proof to back that up.

“The NCAA has always said no pay-for-play and inducements and that’s what we’re seeing,” says Tom McMillen, president of LEAD1, an organization representing FBS athletic directors. “The NCAA could come down and … I just don’t know how you terminate deals. What are the enforcement mechanisms? Make kids ineligible?”

Sankey was one of the Power 5 commissioners to visit with lawmakers in Washington, D.C. on Thursday.

Vasha Hunt/USA TODAY Sports

Many boosters and collectives are managed by platforms such as Opendorse that assure they remain in compliance by tracking all athlete deals. Several are managed by sports agents and savvy attorneys who have kept documentation of their communication and the quid pro quos.

“I do think if the NCAA is able to go after the schools in some manner based on what the collectives are doing as representatives of a school’s athletics interest, that could put a stop to some of the inducement stuff going on right now,” says Mit Winter, a sports attorney who advises several collectives. “But if the NCAA declares an athlete ineligible, it’s likely that a lawsuit would ensue. Same with boosters and collectives.”

A plague on the NCAA for years, potential litigation was the primary reason the association abandoned plans last summer to implement a more permanent policy governing NIL, opening the door for wealthy donors to creatively maneuver around vague interim guidelines.

Now, as boosters for elite Power 5 programs bankroll football teams in a high-priced bidding war, the organization is shifting into attack mode. It raises more questions than answers.

“Whether it’s possible to un-ring the bell, it remains to be seen,” says Big 12 commissioner Bob Bowlsby, who is also on the working group. “It seems we would have been infinitely better off had we gone ahead and implemented the guardrails.”

George and several administrators were against the NCAA’s decision to eschew the permanent policy. “We shouldn’t have abandoned it,” he says. At the behest of the NCAA’s legal team and in a plan proposed by commissioners Sankey and Jim Phillips (ACC), as well as four other league executives, the plan was tabled.

“We pulled the police officers off the highway and everyone is now going 90 miles an hour,” Smith says. “Now we’re trying to put the officers back on the highway.”

Will the vehicles slow down?

“I don’t think all of the collectives will decide ‘OK, we’re going to listen to the NCAA now,’” Winter says. “With as much time and money they’ve spent putting them together, they aren’t going to want to stop. It’s a really interesting situation.”

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College basketball rankings: Early top 25 for 2022-23

It’s never too early to start thinking about the next college basketball season, right? The dust may still be settling from Kansas’s national championship victory over North Carolina in New Orleans, but here’s an early look at where things stand on the men’s side for 2022–23.

There’s certainly a lot we don’t know about what teams will look like next season, given draft decision uncertainty, the option for all seniors to use an additional year of eligibility and the more than 1,000 players currently in the transfer portal who’ll land at new homes over the next couple of months. To simplify this exercise, these rankings assume any underclassman ranked outside the top 30 in Jeremy Woo’s latest Sports Illustrated big board is returning to school unless they’ve said otherwise. Additionally, all seniors are assumed to be moving on unless they’ve announced a return to school.

Kentucky’s John Calipari and Sahvir Wheeler.

Trevor Ruszkowski/USA TODAY Sports

Without further ado, here are our rankings:

1. Arkansas

Eric Musselman is known best for his ability to recruit the transfer portal, but the Hogs are bringing in an elite freshman class that should complement a talented returning core. The headliner: combo guard Nick Smith Jr., who could be in the mix for the No. 1 pick in the 2023 NBA draft. Smith, point guard Anthony Black and athletic forward Jordan Walsh are the main prizes in this loaded class and bring elite-level upside to the table. One huge draft decision to watch is that of star center Jaylin Williams, who blossomed into one of the SEC’s best bigs down the stretch. He’s considered to be returning for the purposes of these rankings, but his stock almost certainly rose down the stretch. If Williams returns as projected, this is the best team in the country.

2. Kentucky

Perhaps the largest looming draft decision that could realistically go either way is in Lexington, where rebounding whiz Oscar Tshiebwe has to decide whether to return after a record-setting season with the Wildcats. As good as Tshiebwe is, his skill set for NBA purposes is rather limited, and in the name, image and likeness era he’ll have massive money-making opportunities should he stay at Kentucky. Add him next to a senior point guard in Sahvir Wheeler and an elite recruiting class that may even include 2022 draft prospect Shaedon Sharpe, and Kentucky looks loaded for ’22–23.

3. Houston

Houston going to the Elite Eight despite the in-season losses of Marcus Sasser and Tramon Mark is perhaps the most impressive coaching job of Kelvin Sampson’s career. Now, the Cougars should get back Sasser (the team’s best player) and Mark, joining emerging point guard Jamal Shead to form one of the most impressive backcourts in the sport. And while the UH program hasn’t been built on elite recruits, the Cougars add a five-star prospect in the frontcourt in Jarace Walker, who has elite physical tools and could dominate the glass for Sampson’s club.

4. Kansas

Seeing as the Jayhawks have finished worse than No. 20 in KenPom just once since 2000, ranking Bill Self’s team here feels like a solid bet. It will be a new-look Kansas bunch with Ochai Agbaji, Remy Martin and David McCormack graduating, especially if Christian Braun elects to turn pro this spring. But Self signed his best recruiting class in a long time in ’22 with three five-stars and four top-50 prospects, which should lift the defending national champs into Big 12 contention yet again.

5. Gonzaga

Will the Zags get Drew Timme back for his senior season? That’s the question of the offseason for Mark Few & Co., who once again came up short of a national title. If Timme returns (as this article presumes), the Bulldogs should be among the contenders to cut down the nets next season. Rising sophomores Nolan Hickman and Hunter Sallis could be in for sophomore breakouts, and wing Julian Strawther should have a big junior season. Plus, Few and the Zags are always apt to add a big-time transfer or two every spring.

6. Duke

Jon Scheyer will start his head coaching career with one of the most talented rosters in the sport after signing three of the top six players in the 2022 class, per the SI99. That should soften the blow of likely losing five key contributors to the NBA draft, with only point guard Jeremy Roach penciled in as a return for the purposes of these rankings. But Roach could be one of the nation’s better point guards in ’22–23, and he’ll be feeding the ball to the likes of do-it-all wing Dariq Whitehead and uber-talented forwards Kyle Filipowski and Dereck Lively. There may be some growing pains with a first-time coach, but don’t expect a major drop-off.

7. Creighton

The Bluejays clearly overachieved in a rebuilding year in 2021–22, winning 12 Big East games and going to the second round of the NCAA tournament despite having four freshmen and a sophomore in the team’s regular playing rotation. Freshman point guard Ryan Nembhard played with a poise well beyond his years before a season-ending wrist injury, while sophomore big man Ryan Kalkbrenner broke out into a force at the rim at both ends. Plus, the future is extremely bright for youngsters Arthur Kaluma and Trey Alexander, who each had huge games in the Big Dance. This group is a couple of transfer additions away from having limitless potential next season.

8. North Carolina

Hubert Davis’s first season on the sideline had its ups and downs, but the Tar Heels’ success in the NCAA tournament makes it, in all, a smashing success. A pro decision looms for Armando Bacot, who likely wouldn’t get drafted but has accomplished almost everything at the college level and may want to go play for a paycheck. Even if Bacot departs, the backcourt duo of RJ Davis and Caleb Love came into its own late in the season and would give Davis two elite building blocks for Year 2 as head coach.

9. Arizona

Year 1 under Tommy Lloyd certainly inspired plenty of confidence in the future of the Wildcats’ program. There will be roster turnover this offseason—we’re penciling in the departure of Bennedict Mathurin in these rankings, but frontcourt stars Christian Koloko and Azuolas Tubelis could also head to the pros. But with a returning backcourt headlined by Dalen Terry and Kerr Kriisa and potential for one or both of Koloko and Tubelis to return, this group will be in the mix to win the Pac-12 yet again.

10. Baylor

Scott Drew and the Bears have become mainstays in rankings like these and should be for the foreseeable future. Baylor adds five-star freshman Keyonte George to this mix for next season, a dynamic scoring guard who’ll pair well with LJ Cryer and Adam Flagler (who could pursue professional options as well) for one of the more impressive backcourts in the sport. If Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua can get healthy after a devastating knee injury in February, this team will be one of the more complete rosters (at least on paper) in the country next season.

11. UCLA

Like last offseason, we could be waiting a while for clarity on Johnny Juzang’s plans. But for these rankings, we’re working off the assumption that Juzang will return while Jaime Jaquez Jr. will go pro. A Juzang/Tyger Campbell veteran backcourt duo paired with a couple of talented freshman guards in Amari Bailey and Dylan Andrews would be one of the best collections of guards in the nation. The frontcourt will rely heavily on five-star freshman Adem Bona, a hard-playing athletic big who’ll have big shoes to fill for Cody Riley and Myles Johnson. And while Jaquez is a major loss, Jaylen Clark could be effective in a similar Swiss Army knife–style role for Mick Cronin’s club.

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12. Alabama

Things never quite clicked for a Crimson Tide team with tons of talent in 2021–22, but Nate Oats’s team will be back in the mix this season. Expect more roster turnover than this article’s rules project—I’d be quite surprised if all three of Jahvon Quinerly, JD Davison and Jaden Shackelford returned next season. But with the additions of a pair of elite freshmen in Jaden Bradley and Brandon Miller, along with young returnees such as Charles Bediako and Darius Miles, give this group the chance to have a special season.

Cockburn’s stay-or-go decision will be one of the biggest of the offseason.

Charles LeClaire/USA TODAY Sports

13. Illinois

Brad Underwood’s team is one of the most difficult to peg for 2022–23, as things stand right now, given the amount of uncertainty on this roster. The primary question is whether Kofi Cockburn will return for his senior season. The dominating center had an extremely productive season but did little to change his NBA stock and isn’t currently among SI’s top-80 prospects. For the purposes of these rankings, he’s penciled in as coming back. If Cockburn returns, Underwood can surround him with talented young players such as RJ Melendez, Luke Goode, Coleman Hawkins and impressive freshmen Jayden Epps and Ty Rodgers. But expect plenty of roster changes here between now and the summer.

14. Tennessee

Early NCAA tournament exit notwithstanding, it was an outstanding 2021–22 for Rick Barnes and Tennessee, winning the SEC tournament and putting together a legitimate top-10 team that should bring back plenty of key pieces. A nucleus that features Zakai Zeigler, Josiah-Jordan James and Santiago Vescovi is a great place to start, particularly after Zeigler burst onto the scene as a freshman. There are a few more questions up front, but there’s no denying the talent the likes of Brandon Huntley-Hatfield and Jonas Aidoo possess, while Uros Plavsic provides more of an “enforcer” look at center for Barnes and the Vols.

15. Michigan

It was an uneven 2021–22 for Michigan, to say the least, but the Wolverines did end it with a trip to a Sweet 16. The big question that this ranking hinges on is the return of Hunter Dickinson. Dickinson is unlikely to get drafted should he go pro now, but his stock may never improve much because of his physical limitations. Should he return as this ranking projects, Juwan Howard can build around him as well as youngsters such as Frankie Collins, Moussa Diabate, Jett Howard and Dug McDaniel.

16. Villanova

No, Collin Gillespie can’t come back for another year. And while that does leave a hole at the point guard spot for Jay Wright’s Wildcats, they’re in good shape to contend in the Big East yet again depending on Justin Moore’s prognosis. Achilles injuries are notoriously fickle, and there’s no guarantee that the veteran wing will be 100% by November. But a healthy Moore combined with emerging big man Eric Dixon, talented young wing Jordan Longino and five-star freshman Cam Whitmore should be enough to keep this group relevant in the national picture.

17. Texas Tech

Any questions about Mark Adams’s ability to lead the Red Raiders’ program were quickly answered in his first season as the head man in Lubbock, leading Tech to a No. 3 seed and a spot in the Sweet 16. This will be a new-look roster, but Kevin McCullar has blossomed into an all-conference talent and role players Mylik Wilson, Clarence Nadolny and Daniel Batcho come back alongside a talented recruiting class. You can count on this team being among the nation’s elite defensive teams, if nothing else.

18. Dayton

Dayton lost to UMass Lowell, Lipscomb and Austin Peay in the first two weeks of the 2021–22 season. After that, it was one of the best teams in the country. In fact, per T-Rank, from Nov. 22 on, the Flyers were the No. 20 team in the sport. Now, its entire nucleus returns. Young big man DaRon Holmes II has limitless upside down low, and point guard Malachi Smith looked the part of a future all-time great for the Flyers in an impressive freshman campaign. This Dayton team won’t be as good as the one Obi Toppin had trending toward a potential No. 1 seed in ’20, but it has the potential for an incredibly special season.

19. Iowa

Yes, Keegan Murray is almost assuredly off to the NBA. But much of the Hawkeyes’ core that won the Big Ten tournament returns. Keegan’s twin brother, Kris, could be in for a breakout third season in Iowa City after showing flashes of brilliance in Keegan’s shadow this season, and Tony Perkins blossomed late into a promising piece who can play either guard spot. Fran McCaffery’s teams are always excellent on the offensive end and have finished .500 or better in the Big Ten in nine of the last 10 years. March issues aside, this team should be in the mix in the top half of the league yet again.

20. Colorado State

This ranking is predicated on the return of star forward David Roddy, who is expected to go through the NBA draft process this spring. Roddy is one of the most unique players in the sport and could play his way into the first-round conversation but is still strongly considering a return for his senior season in Fort Collins. Roddy and point guard Isaiah Stevens combine for one of the best duos in the sport, and Niko Medved runs tremendous offense. After earning a No. 6 seed in 2022, this group may have even higher potential next season if it can bolster its frontcourt.

21. Auburn

The Tigers will certainly look differently in 2022–23 without Jabari Smith or Walker Kessler, but this roster is still in good enough shape to be in the mix near the top of the SEC. Guards K.D. Johnson and Wendell Green Jr. were derided at times this season for their inconsistency, but there’s no question the duo has the talent to be one of the better ballhandling units in the SEC. Plus, Auburn adds four-star guard Chance Westry to that mix. Veterans Dylan Cardwell and Jaylin Williams (no, not the Arkansas one) are enough to have confidence in this frontcourt, and Bruce Pearl bolstered that rotation recently with the addition of top recruit Yohan Traore, who decommitted from LSU.

22. Purdue

It’s an offseason of change ahead for Matt Painter and the Boilermakers, who’ll lose star guard Jaden Ivey and center Trevion Williams to the professional ranks, in all likelihood. The return of Zach Edey would help—the 7’4″ behemoth is one of the toughest players to guard in college hoops and made huge strides from freshman to sophomore year. The big question mark will be a lack of shot creation after the Boilers relied heavily upon Ivey to play-make from the shooting guard position. But Edey alone combined with a strong collection of role players is enough to keep this club in the top 25.

23. UConn

Dan Hurley has been a monster on the recruiting trail for the Huskies, and that consistency allows the Huskies to stay in the top 25 despite multiple key graduations. Center Adama Sanogo is tracking toward being an All-American before his career is up in Storrs, and he’ll be the centerpiece of the 2022–23 UConn team. But the Huskies’ ceiling may be dictated by sophomore Jordan Hawkins, who scored in double figures seven times as a freshman and will be a critical piece with R.J. Cole and Tyrese Martin moving on.

24. Texas

The Longhorns’ roster, like so many this time of year, is in flux. But the building blocks are there for this team to be quite dangerous in Chris Beard’s second season in Austin. Freshmen Arterio Morris and Dillon Mitchell should make an instant impact—Morris with his scoring ability and Mitchell as a do-it-all forward in the mold of Baylor’s Kendall Brown. Dylan Disu could be a buy-low candidate after an injury-riddled first season at UT. Plus, Beard has put together five straight top-25 KenPom finishes and deserves the benefit of the doubt that he’ll have the Horns in that mix again.

25. Oregon

Dana Altman’s club had a rough 2021–22, but an elite incoming class gives the Ducks a great chance to bounce back quickly. Freshmen Dior Johnson and Kel’el Ware provide the necessary talent injection for a quick turnaround, and the cupboard wasn’t bare with the return of De’Vion Harmon, Quincy Guerrier and N’Faly Dante. Altman’s teams often take some time to jell, but the upside is immense if they do get things to click.

Also considered (alphabetically): Memphis, Ohio State, Texas A&M, TCU, USC



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Arkansas takes down Gonzaga in Eric Musselman’s biggest win yet

SAN FRANCISCO — There are a million different paths to success in basketball coaching, but few are as meandering as the route Eric Musselman took. In many ways his journey came full circle here Thursday night.

His first big-time head coaching job was right here in the Bay Area 20 years ago, when he was tabbed to lead the NBA’s Golden State Warriors at age 36. He was fired two years later, with a 75–89 record. A couple of years later he bounced to the Sacramento Kings and was fired there after a 33–49 season.

After that he started an AAU team in Danville, Calif., near Oakland, working out kids in Sycamore Valley Park and coaching his son. They went 71–0 before a loss to the Sacramento Yellow Jackets. Musselman retired from AAU coaching at 71–1.

Then he bounced through the G League and a couple of college assistant gigs before getting the head job at Nevada in 2015. Fast forward seven years, and Musselman arrived here with his Arkansas Razorbacks for a date with March Madness destiny.

Musselman celebrates Arkansas’s win over Gonzaga.

Tony Avelar/AP

“The day that I was either fired from the Kings or the Warriors, to think that I would be coaching in a Sweet 16 in the Bay Area, if anybody would have asked me that at that particular time I would have told them there was zero chance,” Musselman said. “Not 5%, not 10%, literally zero chance of that happening. I guess the world has a funny way of working itself out.”

In the home arena of the first franchise to fire him, the world worked out in a beautiful way for Eric Musselman Thursday night. His Hogs shocked the NCAA tournament overall No. 1 seed, Gonzaga, laying a relentless defensive effort on the Zags in a 74–68 triumph that marks Arkansas’s first-ever victory over a No. 1 seed. Saturday, the Hogs will play in the Elite Eight for the second straight year, stamping Musselman as undoubtedly the most successful coach in the Southeastern Conference over the past two seasons and among the most successful in the country. (The only other coaches still playing who can make a second straight Elite Eight are Houston’s Kelvin Sampson, who did so Thursday, and UCLA’s Mick Cronin.)

Not only did a lot of old Bay Area friends see the biggest win of Musselman’s career, so did his mother, Kris. The California resident had never been to one of his games since coming to Arkansas in 2019, but she was the first person Muss sought out when he went to the Hogs’ fan section after the game. Beforehand, she’d presented Eric with a lucky buckeye that his late father and longtime college and pro coach, Bill, had kept in his possession.

Arkansas did get some good fortune Thursday night: Trey Wade made three three-pointers, his most in a game since March 2021 when he was playing for Wichita State; big man Jaylin Williams made a pair, just the second time in his college career that he’s made more than one in a game; and Gonzaga freshman Chet Holmgren got a tough whistle, playing just 23 minutes and fouling out after multiple questionable calls.

But mostly, the Razorbacks were simply tougher and more athletic than the Zags. Arkansas reopened some old questions about whether Gonzaga’s West Coast Conference competition adequately prepares it for what it has to face in the Big Dance. Musselman, who played in the WCC at San Diego, raised that point himself.

“I played in that league,” Musselman said. “I know what some of the teams are like in that league, and the physicality and the speed that we can play with is just different. And, obviously, they played a really tough schedule early in the season, but it’s been a long time in conference play since they faced a team like us.”

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It’s certainly been a long time since Gonzaga point guard Andrew Nembhard has encountered the defensive buzz saw that was the Hogs, specifically guard Au’Diese Toney. Nembhard is one of three indispensable Zags, along with Drew Timme and Holmgren, and in some ways is the most vital. He set Gonzaga’s breakneck tempo and was the primary distributor to the big men—and Toney suffocated him. “Au’Diese just owned Nembhard,” Arkansas guard JD Notae said.

The ownership was total. Nembhard made just two of 11 shots, scored seven points and had three assists and five turnovers in 40 miserable minutes. “I think his length was a factor,” Nembhard said of the 6’6” Toney. “He is athletic. He did a great job just keep pressuring me the whole game.”

Toney (left) and Notae set the tone for the Razorbacks on defense and offense.

Kelley L Cox/USA TODAY Sports

This Arkansas team is all about athleticism and defense, and hoping to make enough shots. The Hogs shoot just 30% from three-point range this season, and their offense rests almost completely on the shoulders of Notae. He’s been granted no-conscience shooting privileges by Musselman, and he used them to the fullest Thursday: 29 field goals attempted with just nine made, but he also contributed six rebounds, six assists, two blocks and three steals.

“He could have missed 10 more shots, and I probably would have still called his number because I had that belief that the next one is going in,” Musselman said.

For Gonzaga, the belief that last year’s journey to the championship game could be replicated—and ultimately exceeded—died hard Thursday night. This was a night when the Zags simply couldn’t put together the kind of crushing runs they’ve used to dispatch opponents in going 28–3 heading into this game.

In the first half, Gonzaga kept flirting with landing a heavy blow and applying some game pressure to Arkansas, but failed to connect. The Zags jumped up 16–10, then missed two straight shots and the Hogs went on a 7–0 run. The Zags pushed out to a 27–19 lead a few minutes later, but with Holmgren on the bench with two fouls they scored just two points the rest of the half and trailed 32–29 at intermission. They never led in the second half.

“I actually thought we were able to get to our spots that we wanted and get the shots we wanted,” Gonzaga coach Mark Few said. “We just weren’t quite able to convert like we always have in the past. The length and the athleticism, obviously, factored into that, and it was maybe tougher to get to them initially, but pace of the game, I thought, was good. It started out good. … Just needed to step up and make some shots.”

While Gonzaga can continue to wonder whether the WCC is the best place to prep for the rigors of March Madness, Arkansas moves on as the lone representative of the SEC still playing. Musselman is one win away from fully reawakening the echoes of the Forty Minutes of Hell glory days of the 1990s, as his circuitous career comes full circle in the Bay Area.

More March Madness Coverage:

• Fans React to Officiating in Gonzaga–Arkansas Game
• This Is a Truly Diverse—and Unpredictable—Men’s Sweet 16
• NCAA Ensures Officiating Errors Are Doomed to Repeat



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AFC conference championship takeaways – Sports Illustrated

Welcome to the Conference Championship Sunday edition of the Sunday FreakOut, where we react and overreact to everything that happened in the Sunday afternoon games. For the full Sunday roundup podcast-style, be sure to subscribe to The MMQB Podcast, in your feed every Monday morning…

Things That Made Me Giddy

Joe Burrow Maximum Escapacity: This was the more spectacular of the two spectacular escapes he had on Sunday. He’s being tasked with operating a veteran offense in his second year in the league, and he doesn’t always have the answers provided for him. But, frequently, he’s creating his own answers.

Lou Anarumo Had Answers: Save for a shaky call on a third-and-1 around midfield on the final drive of regulation, the Bengals played coverage and velcroed on to the Chiefs’ receivers. This has quietly become a very good unit the past two seasons.

The Audacity of Evan McPherson: He’s 11-for-11 in the postseason now, with another 52-yarder and another walk-off make on Sunday.

Eli Apple Is Suddenly Everywhere You Want to Be: A seven-point tackle at the end of the first half following a defensive pass interference that seemed like it would be the key play on a Bengals scoring drive.

In the End, Chiefs Offensive Line Held Up . . . Fine: Granted, the Bengals sprinkled in a few three-man rushes, but the worry all season that the offensive line would do them in again ended up being unfounded. Cincinnati played coverage, the receivers didn’t get open and Mahomes played poorly.


Regrets

Chiefs Play Clock Games and Lose: The one at the end of the first half, when Patrick Mahomes insisted the offense stay on the field with five seconds left and no time outs, was entirely on Mahomes. If you know Tyreek Hill is coming in motion and will have to make the catch short of the end zone, he’s not an option unless there are no defenders on that side of the field with him. At the end of regulation, they first tried to bleed the clock to try to keep Joe Burrow from getting another possession by starting the series with a throwaway run. Then, they changed their tack with a play-action call that resulted in a coverage sack. That put them in third-and-goal from the 9, which was followed by another coverage sack.

Halftime in Kansas City: As bad as the final play of the first half was for Kansas City, bringing on the guy who does the off-brand Achy Breaky Heart song from the commercial everyone hates to play halftime (and drown out CBS’s halftime show) was much more a harbinger of doom for this organization. That cannot be your halftime show.

Mecole Hardman Has to Relax: Things can get heated on the sideline, and Hardman has a right to say something if he thinks they’re missing him. But he’s a drop-prone third receiver on an offense led by an All-Pro quarterback and featuring arguably the best wide receiver and best tight end in the NFL. You can’t complain so demonstrably that the cameras pick it up.

C.J. Uzomah Goes Down: Honestly, he seemed to be among the most pedestrian players in the NFL coming into this season, and then suddenly, in Year 4, emerged as a key component to this spread offense as a moveable chess piece. Seeing him carted off on Sunday, putting his Super Bowl availability in question, is a bummer.


Moments We’ll Tell Our Grandkids About

Jessie Bates’s Perfection:

B.J. Hill Wasn’t Even Supposed to Be Here!: Stepping up in place of an injured Larry Ogunjobi…


What We’ll Be Talking About This Week

Zac Taylor’s Offense: Everyone hates it, because it asks so much of its young quarterback (c’mon Zac, just do the Shanahan thing!). But, as with any offense, what the quarterback wants matters. Spreading things out, dictating matchups, moving safeties around post-snap and fitting in contested-catch throws isn’t easy, but apparently it is what Burrow is comfortable doing.

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