Tag Archives: foreign markets

U.S., Allies Poised to Hit Russia With Broad Sanctions for Ukraine Invasion

The U.S. and its allies are poised to unveil further, sweeping sanctions against Russia after Moscow launched what President Biden called “an unprovoked and unjustified attack” on Ukraine, hoping a fresh tranche of penalties will punish Russia and persuade it to ratchet down hostilities.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said Thursday morning that the European Union will place “massive and targeted” sanctions on Russia over its aggression in Ukraine, aiming at its financial sector, freezing Russia assets and banning the export of technology to Russia. Mr. Biden condemned the attack and said the U.S. and its allies and partners would impose “severe sanctions on Russia.” Leaders from the Group of Seven countries will meet Thursday.

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Facebook’s Stock Plunges After Profit Declines

Facebook parent

Meta Platforms Inc.

startled investors with a sharper-than-expected decline in profits and a gloomy outlook in its first earnings report since Chief Executive

Mark Zuckerberg

outlined a pivot to the metaverse.

Meta shares plunged after the results were announced, dropping more than 20%. If shares dropped that much when trading opens on Thursday, it would wipe more than $175 billion from the tech giant’s market capitalization.

The company said it expected revenue growth to slow because users were spending less time on its more lucrative services. Meta cited inflation as a weight on advertiser spending and estimated that ad-tracking changes introduced by

Apple Inc.

last year would cost Meta some $10 billion this year.

Meta also lost about a million daily users globally and stagnated in the U.S. and Canada, two of the company’s most profitable markets, the results show.

The results show Facebook’s business under pressure on a number of fronts at a moment when Mr. Zuckerberg is betting the company’s future on VR headsets, AR glasses and virtual worlds, known as the metaverse, in which users can live and work.

A tech industry battle is taking shape over the metaverse. WSJ tech reporter Meghan Bobrowsky explains the concept and why tech companies like Facebook, Roblox and Epic Games are investing billions to develop this digital space. Photo: Storyblocks

“Although our direction is clear, it seems that our path ahead is not quite perfectly defined,” Mr. Zuckerberg told investors during a conference call Wednesday.

Meta executives said they expected first-quarter revenue between $27 billion and $29 billion, representing year-over-year growth between 3% and 11%. Anything below 11% would mark the slowest period of quarterly growth in the company’s history.

Mr. Zuckerberg said the company is investing heavily in its TikTok rival, called Reels, and focused on attracting young-adult users, although those segments aren’t currently as profitable as others. Reels doesn’t make the kind of money that Meta generates on older features such as the news feed and Stories, which allows people to post videos and images that disappear after 24 hours.

“I’m confident that leaning harder into these trends is the right short-term trade-off,” he said, noting that Reels is the company’s fastest-growing product.

Executives likened the shift to Reels to the company’s prior strategic transitions, including its shift to mobile from web about a decade ago and the more recent embrace of Stories.

Meta faces multiple antitrust investigations around the world, for what some government officials describe as its pattern of using its clout to squeeze out smaller rivals. During the call, Mr. Zuckerberg and other executives repeatedly emphasized that Meta faces stiff competition from TikTok for users’ time, particularly the younger demographic.

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Meta’s results were in contrast to fellow digital-ad giant and Google parent Alphabet Inc., which on Tuesday reported blockbuster results that sent shares climbing more than 7% on Wednesday.

Meta executives said the company is working at a disadvantage because of Apple’s changes that require apps to ask users for permission to track their activity and share it with other apps or websites. The move has been at the center of an intensifying fight between the iPhone maker and companies such as Meta that use such tracking technology to sell digital ads.

“It’s not really apples to apples for us. And as a result, we believe Google’s search ads business could have benefited relative to ours,” said Meta Chief Financial Officer

David Wehner.

Mr. Wehner also pointed to Apple’s business relationship with Google, adding that “the incentive clearly exists for this policy discrepancy to continue.”

The company reported a $10.3 billion profit for the fourth quarter, below analyst expectations of $10.9 billion and a small decline compared with a year earlier. The decline marked Meta’s first in net income growth since the second quarter of 2019.

Meta also for the first time broke out its Reality Labs segment, which offered investors insight into the health of the virtual- and augmented-reality consumer business unit that is at the heart of the metaverse efforts.

The Facebook Files

A series offering an unparalleled look inside the social-media giant’s failings—and its unwillingness or inability to address them.

The Reality Labs unit posted a $3.3 billion loss, an amount that has grown consistently in recent quarters.

Upon announcing the name change in October, Mr. Zuckerberg said that the company expected “to invest many billions of dollars for years to come before the metaverse reaches scale.”

Investors said the pairing of slower revenue growth with higher spending on initiatives like the metaverse is a troubling combination. “I’m going to spend a lot of time creating this new thing and I’m getting less revenue: It’s not a match made in heaven,” said

Kim Forrest,

chief investment officer of investment firm Bokeh Capital.

The latest earnings come as Meta continues to face criticism from lawmakers and users over revelations in The Wall Street Journal’s “Facebook Files” series, which showed that the company knows its platforms are riddled with flaws that cause harm. Those articles spurred congressional hearings, prompted a rebuke from Facebook’s own oversight board and led the company to halt work on a version of its Instagram app focused on children.

The company has also endured a series of executive departures in recent months. Most notably, Chief Technology Officer

Mike Schroepfer,

head of Facebook’s cryptocurrency efforts

David Marcus

and the head of the company’s Messenger unit,

Stan Chudnovsky,

all announced their exits in the last months of 2021.

How the Biggest Companies Are Performing

Write to Deepa Seetharaman at Deepa.Seetharaman@wsj.com and Salvador Rodriguez at salvador.rodriguez@wsj.com

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Biden’s Sanctions Plan Targets Russian Banks, Companies and Imports if Ukraine Is Attacked

WASHINGTON—The Biden administration is finalizing its targets for a barrage of economic sanctions against Russia if it attacks Ukraine—hitting major Russian banks, state companies and key imports, though the strategy faces obstacles that have hindered previous pressure campaigns.

Administration officials said the planned actions are unparalleled in recent decades against Russia, putting teeth into President Biden’s threat to apply punishing financial and other sanctions in the event of a Russian assault.

President Biden said on Wednesday that the U.S. is ready to unleash sanctions against Russia if President Vladimir Putin makes a move against Ukraine. Biden also laid out a possible diplomatic resolution. Photo: Susan Walsh/Associated Press

While final decisions haven’t been made, the officials said, the potential targets include several of Russia’s largest government-owned banks, such as

VTB Bank,

the banning of all trade in new issues of Russian sovereign debt and the application of export controls across key sectors such as advanced microelectronics.

Russian President Vladimir Putin, left, meets with Andrey Kostin, president and chairman of the management board at VTB Bank, at the Kremlin in Moscow last November.



Photo:

Mikhail Metzel/Zuma Press

Past U.S. efforts to wage economic warcraft have produced mixed results. Iran and North Korea, for example, have adjusted over time to broad economic embargoes over their nuclear-weapons programs, though not without ongoing pain for their economies and people. After Russia invaded Ukraine in 2014, the Obama administration went after some energy-technology exports, sovereign debt and some government-owned banks and firms, though the narrow scope of those sanctions didn’t exact deep damage.

Russia is better prepared now, with deeper foreign-currency reserves, less reliance on foreign debt, faster economic growth and rising prices for oil—the country’s primary revenue source. Russia’s role as a top exporter of oil and gas and its economic integration with Europe have previously deterred the U.S. from applying broad sanctions out of concern that they would upset global markets and European allies.

Off the table, for now, are sanctions on oil and natural-gas exports or disconnecting Russia from SWIFT, the basic infrastructure that facilitates financial transactions between banks across the world, the U.S. officials said, but that could change depending on Russian actions.

Still, this time around, the officials said, the U.S. is doing away with the incremental approach that blunted the impact of the 2014 and other efforts—and instead is moving to prohibit a broader range of activities from the start.

“We and our allies have a full range of high-impact sanctions ready to go, both immediately after a Russian invasion and in waves to follow. Nothing is off the table,” said National Security Council spokeswoman

Emily Horne.

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Can U.S. sanctions deter Russia from staging an attack on Ukraine? Join the conversation below.

“We would start high and stay high, and maximize the pain to the Kremlin,” one of the officials said.

European allies are also more in sync with the U.S. than in 2014, the officials said, given that Russian President

Vladimir Putin’s

demands go beyond Ukraine this time to include a reworking of post-Cold War security arrangements in Europe.

Europe understands “that if we’re going to change Putin’s calculus, we have to be ready together to impose massive consequences,” the official said. The U.S. and European Union actions won’t be identical, but will “deliver a severe and immediate blow to Russia and over time make its economy even more brittle,” the official said.

Russian Foreign Minister

Sergei Lavrov

said this week that the sanctions threats are part of the West’s “militaristic frenzy.” Russia, he said, is “ready for any developments.”

Other than VTB Bank, other large government-owned or controlled banks under consideration for blacklisting are Gazprombank and

Sberbank,

said one of the officials. Sberbank, which accounts for 30% of net assets in Russia’s financial system, may not get hit in the first round of sanctions to hold a potent option in reserve, according to former officials.

VTB, Gazprombank and Sberbank didn’t respond to requests for comment.

The possible blacklisting technically prohibits U.S. banks and other American entities from doing business with the targeted banks, and the administration may grant exceptions. But the risk of violators being punished by the U.S. usually encourages foreign banks to comply.

“Banks in Paris and London aren’t going to be doing what U.S. banks aren’t doing,” said Brian O’Toole, a former top Treasury sanctions official in the Obama administration and now a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, a nonpartisan Washington think tank.

Government-owned companies are also targets of similar sanctions, the U.S. officials said. Though the officials didn’t specify which companies, some financial analysts said blacklisting firms like Russian insurance giant Sogaz, which insures companies tied to the Kremlin, and

Sovcomflot,

a large energy-shipping company, would hurt the Kremlin and, longer term, the economy.

An oil tanker operated by Sovcomflot is moored at the Primorsk Commercial Seaport, the end point of the Baltic Pipeline System, three years ago.



Photo:

Alexander Ryumin/Zuma Press

Sovcomflot’s chief financial officer,

Nikolay Kolesnikov,

said his company has no indication it would be targeted. Given that half his firm’s business is outside the country, a blacklisting would likely disrupt petroleum exports and hit global tanker rates, he said.

Sogaz didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Some former officials and critics of the Biden administration are skeptical that its approach will work or prove different from past efforts. Aside from a more robust Russian economy, they said, Mr. Putin is counting on Germany and other EU leaders to block measures that would have financial repercussions for Europe.

“Putin has concluded that the Biden administration, which is full of the same people who mounted a feeble response to his first invasion of Ukraine back in 2014, would impose pinprick financial costs at best, certainly measures that he thinks Russia can weather,” said Marshall Billingslea, the Treasury Department’s sanctions deputy in the Trump administration and now at the Hudson Institute, a right-leaning think tank.

Previous sanctions haven’t undermined Mr. Putin’s domestic popularity enough to loosen his grip on power or fundamentally alter his foreign policies, said some analysts. New sanctions, they said, may bolster Mr. Putin’s position, affect Western-facing companies and drive Russia further toward China.

New sanctions will “hit the most pro-Western part of the business elite and the economically Western-oriented population the most,” said Mikhail Barabanov, a fellow at the Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies, a private Moscow think tank.

“Politically, it’s not painful. It’s destructive,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said this week.

Mr. Barabanov predicted that sanctions would inspire a restructuring of the Russian banking market, which, after an initial shock, would tap Chinese intermediary banks for financing.

Sanctions “are not a magic bullet,” said Daniel Fried, a senior State Department official in the Obama administration involved in sanctions policy who is also currently at the Atlantic Council

“Even the stronger recommended sanctions won’t cause Putin to reverse course overnight,” he said. On the other hand, governments and analysts “often underestimate what can be achieved in the long run,” he said.

Write to Ian Talley at ian.talley@wsj.com and Brett Forrest at brett.forrest@wsj.com

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Toyota Overtakes GM as Bestselling Auto Maker in U.S.

The Japanese auto maker, which for decades has worked to expand its presence in the U.S., outsold GM by roughly 114,000 vehicles in 2021. Toyota’s total U.S. sales of 2.3 million rose about 10% compared with 2020, the company said Tuesday.

By contrast, GM reported a nearly 13% slide in results for a total of 2.2 million vehicles sold in 2021, as the semiconductor shortage took a bigger toll on the company’s manufacturing operations and left dealers with fewer vehicles to sell. GM had been the No. 1 auto seller in the U.S. since 1931, according to trade publication Automotive News.

Toyota has largely benefited from its decision to stockpile computer chips, which are used in a wide array of vehicle electronics. It bet earlier than most other auto makers on a recovering U.S. car market and cut parts and production orders less sharply than rivals, making it better prepared for an eventual surge in consumer demand.

While Toyota executives say they were successful in navigating some of last year’s supply-chain constraints, they don’t view the lead over GM as a permanent shift in the industry’s closely watched sales rankings.

“To be clear, this is not our goal, nor do we see it as sustainable,” said

Jack Hollis,

Toyota’s senior vice president of operations in North America. He added that the company doesn’t expect to use its dethroning of GM last year in its advertising.

A GM spokesman declined to comment on the company’s sales ranking. He said GM has given priority to its bestselling products—large pickup trucks and sport-utility vehicles—and expects sales growth this year as the chip shortage abates.

Other foreign auto makers and electric-car maker

Tesla Inc.

TSLA -4.17%

also surged ahead in U.S. sales in 2021, siphoning market share from Detroit, according to company reports and analyst forecasts.

Hyundai Motor Co.

of South Korea, for the second year in a row, notched sizable share gains, selling 738,081 vehicles in 2021 and boosting sales by about 19% over the prior year, the company said Tuesday.

Mazda Motor Corp.

,

Volkswagen AG

and

BMW AG

also posted stronger-than-average sales, research firm Cox Automotive estimates.

Need more horsepower? Want automated driving? Auto makers such as Dodge, Polestar and Jeep are exploring over-the-air updates like these as a way to generate new revenue streams and retain brand loyalty. WSJ’s George Downs explores whether car manufacturers excel at software development. Photo illustration: George Downs

Overall, auto makers sold just shy of 15 million vehicles in the U.S. last year, according to a forecast from research firm J.D. Power. That total would be up slightly from 2020, when the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic hurt car sales for part of that year. But it is a sharp drop from the mark of 17 million vehicles that the industry had eclipsed for five straight years before that.

Auto stocks rallied Tuesday after the latest sales results and news that

Ford Motor Co.

plans to double production of its new all-electric truck, after a rise in reservations.

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Did you buy a new car in 2021, or do you plan to buy one in 2022? Why, or why not? Join the conversation below.

Shares in

Ford

were up nearly 11% on Tuesday afternoon. GM’s stock was up 6%, while Toyota’s American depositary receipts were trading at a record high of $195.42.

U.S. vehicle sales set a blistering pace last spring as American car shoppers surfaced, looking to spend their savings from the pandemic lockdown on new wheels. But by summer, the chip shortage that had been hobbling factory schedules world-wide resulted in nearly bare dealership lots, curbing sales in the second half of 2021.

Forecasters expect another muted year of vehicle sales, even though the chip shortage is expected to gradually ease in coming months. Auto executives have said it could take the entire year to substantially replenish dealership inventories, which likely would curtail sales despite what dealers say is strong underlying demand.

Edmunds.com expects U.S. sales to reach 15.2 million vehicles in 2022, up slightly from the expected final numbers from last year. Analysts at RBC Capital are more bullish, pegging the total at roughly 15.8 million vehicles, with an expected surge later in the year as supply improves.

GM was among the hardest hit by the chip shortage and other supply-chain problems.



Photo:

Mario Tama/Getty Images

Toyota executives said they expected U.S. auto sales to grow to about 16.5 million vehicles this year, lifted by historically low interest rates, record stock-market performance and higher savings rates that would help support shoppers.

Lofty prices are expected to persist, as the seller’s market created by the inventory crunch continues, analysts said. The average price paid for a new vehicle hit a record $45,700 in December, 20% higher than a year earlier, J.D. Power estimates.

Record used-vehicle pricing is contributing to strong new-car prices, J.D. Power said, because buyers trading in their old vehicles have more money to work with. The average trade-in vehicle in December was worth about $10,200, up from about $4,600 a year earlier, the firm said.

“Pent-up consumer demand will keep inventory levels near historical lows,” likely leading to more record pricing this year, said

Thomas King,

president of data and analytics at J.D. Power.

The uneven disruption to production schedules jumbled the pecking order among auto makers in 2021. While the chip shortage and other supply-chain problems have affected all auto makers, GM and Ford were among the hardest hit, each having scrapped more than 600,000 planned vehicles in North America, according to research firm AutoForecast Solutions LLC.

Ford plans to report 2021 sales results on Wednesday.

On Tuesday, the Dearborn, Mich., auto maker said it planned to double its goal for manufacturing its new electric version of the F-150 pickup truck, targeting 150,000 a year. Ford said the increased production plans reflect high demand for the model, with about 200,000 reservations placed to buy one of the trucks.

Other sales winners included Asian and European brands, as well as Tesla, which said Sunday that global deliveries jumped 87% in 2021, to 936,000 vehicles. Tesla doesn’t break out sales figures regionally. Cox estimated that its U.S. market share rose to 2.2% last year—about even with

Mercedes-Benz

—from 1.4%.

Randy Parker,

head of national sales for Hyundai Motor America, said the auto maker took several steps to counter the market challenges, including leaning more on online sales operations and encouraging dealers to line up sales for vehicles that have yet to hit the lot.

He said he expects Hyundai to keep sharpening its efforts into 2022, aiming to build on its recent share gains.

“I don’t believe in coincidences,” Mr. Parker said. “I think that we adapted to the crisis extremely well.”

How the Global Chip Shortage Affects You

Write to Mike Colias at Mike.Colias@wsj.com and Christina Rogers at christina.rogers@wsj.com

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Robinhood Revenue Surges on Cryptocurrency Trades

Revenue at Robinhood Markets Inc. more than doubled in the second quarter thanks to a torrent of customers trading cryptocurrency, but the company posted a big loss due to an emergency funding deal earlier this year.

The trading app recorded a loss of $502 million, or $2.16 per share, on revenue of $565 million in its first earnings report since its July initial public offering. In the second quarter of 2020, Robinhood generated a profit of $58 million on revenue of $244 million.

Nearly 14.2 million Robinhood users, or roughly 63% of the company’s customer base with funded accounts, traded digital assets in the second quarter. Robinhood earned $233 million in fees from routing customers’ cryptocurrency trades to high-speed trading firms, with dogecoin accounting for nearly two-thirds of the volume. That is up from just $5 million a year earlier.

That helped offset slowdowns in other parts of Robinhood’s business due in part to waning interest in meme stocks. For instance, fees Robinhood earned executing customers’ stock trades fell 27% to $52 million.

Despite decreased stock-trading activity, interest that Robinhood received on margin loans nearly tripled to $31 million. Around 700,000 users held about $5.4 billion in margin-loan balances at the end of June.

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Business Groups Call on Biden to Restart Trade Talks With China

WASHINGTON—Nearly three dozen of the nation’s most influential business groups—representing retailers, chip makers, farmers and others—are calling on the Biden administration to restart negotiations with China and cut tariffs on imports, saying they are a drag on the U.S. economy.

The tariffs on electronics, apparel and other Chinese goods, which are paid by U.S. importers, were kept in place in part to ensure that China fulfills its obligations under its 2020 Phase One trade pact with the U.S.

In a Thursday letter to U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, the business groups contend that Beijing had met “important benchmarks and commitments” in the agreement, including opening markets to U.S. financial institutions and reducing some regulatory barriers to U.S. agricultural exports to China.

“A worker-centered trade agenda should account for the costs that U.S. and Chinese tariffs impose on Americans here and at home and remove tariffs that harm U.S. interests,” the letter said, referring to the administration’s policy to make worker interests a priority.

Spokesmen for the U.S. trade representative’s office and Treasury didn’t immediately respond to requests for comments.

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Car Market Is Expected to Cool Amid Dearth of Vehicles on Lots

The dwindling number of vehicles on dealership lots is threatening to cool the U.S. car market’s blistering sales pace.

Analysts are expecting new-car sales from June to fall off from recent months, when car shoppers turned out in near-record numbers, buoyed by excess household savings and pent-up demand from the pandemic. Most car makers are scheduled Thursday to report U.S. sales results for June.

Customers are still clamoring for a new ride, dealers say. But it has become harder for salespeople to match buyers to vehicles because of the lack of inventory caused by the computer-chip shortage that has hobbled car production since winter.

“We really don’t have enough cars to go around,” said Joe Shaker, owner of Shaker Automotive Group, which sells several brands in Connecticut and Massachusetts. He said his Ford store is carrying about 14% of its normal inventory.

New-vehicle sales in the first half of the year are expected to reach about 8.3 million units, according to an estimate from J.D. Power, a 32% increase over the same period a year earlier and up nearly 1% from the first half of 2019.

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Tesla is in decline, SUVs are king, and more insights from the world’s largest electric-vehicle market

Europe overtook China in 2020 to become the world’s largest market for electric vehicles, amid a pedal-to-the-metal push to increase EV adoption from governments and supercharged demand from consumers.

The registrations of new electric vehicles topped 1.33 million in the key European markets last year, compared with 1.25 million in China, according to a report based on public data by automotive analyst Matthias Schmidt.

The 18 markets include the European Union states — minus 13 countries in Central and Eastern Europe — as well as the U.K., Norway, Iceland, and Switzerland.

And growth will only continue, according to Schmidt, who publishes the European Electric Car Report. He projects that electric vehicles’ share of the European car market will rise from 12.4% in 2020 to 15.5% in 2021 — that is 1.91 million vehicles out of a total of 12.3 million, and an increase of 572,000 from 2020.

Key trends have emerged as Europe races to become the most important region for EVs, highlighted in the report that Schmidt shared with MarketWatch.

Among them are that the Renault Zoe is now the most popular electric vehicle in Europe, overtaking Tesla’s Model 3, which took the top spot in 2019. In fact, Tesla’s success in Europe has declined across the board over the last year, with the U.S. company delivering 97,791 cars across the continent in 2020, down from 109,467 in 2019.

Here’s what you should know:

SUVs are leading the growth

When you think of environmentally-friendly vehicles, sport-utility vehicles and crossovers probably don’t spring to mind. But this class is by far the most popular type of battery-electric vehicle in Europe, representing 27% of all registrations in 2020 and 29% in December alone.

Hyundai
005380,
+0.42%
and Kia
000270,
-1.22%
led the pack, making up 39% of battery-electric SUV and crossover volumes in 2020.

SUVs and crossovers are even more popular with hybrid buyers — accounting for 53% of plug-in hybrid electric-vehicle volumes last year.

Luxury buyers prefer hybrids

When it comes to hybrids, better is best. Premium brands made up 58% of all plug-in hybrid electric-vehicles in 2020.

Many of those cars were supplied by the German automotive giants: Volkswagen Group
VOW,
-0.40%,
which owns Audi and Porsche, Mercedes-Benz owner Daimler
DAI,
+0.46%,
and BMW
BMW,
-0.19%.

There is a coming wave from China

As Chinese car makers increase efforts to meet market demand at home and abroad, they are looking at Europe.

The volume of electric vehicles in Europe that were made by Chinese companies grew 1290% from 2019 to 2020, to 23,800 units. Much of that momentum came only recently — half of those cars arrived in the final three months of the year.

As Europeans scrambled to buy electric vehicles, the flow of cars from China also included Teslas. In December, 20% of all Tesla
TSLA,
+5.83%
models registered in Austria were manufactured in China.

Also read: Audi is betting on the luxury market in a new electric-vehicle venture with China’s oldest car maker

Government action is speeding up EV adoption

European car makers are being pushed to manufacture more electric vehicles by the threat of hundreds of millions of euros in fines from the European Union over binding emissions targets. 

Phased in through 2020, and continuing into 2021, the fleetwide average emission target for new cars must be 95 grams carbon dioxide per kilometer, which is around 4.1 liters of gasoline per 100 kilometers.

In the wake of the post-Brexit trading agreement, the U.K. government said that the country’s car makers face emissions targets “at least as ambitious” as in the EU.

EV adoption is being pushed on both sides of the market, with governments stimulating demand by providing generous incentives for buyers to trade in their gas guzzlers.

In Germany, buyers can save up to €9,000 ($10,940) on purchases of new electric vehicles. France offered incentives of up to €7,000 in 2020, but will trim that down to €6,000 in 2021. 

Regulation could hurt some bottom lines in the short-term

Volkswagen Group confirmed last week that it had not met the EU’s emissions targets for 2020, meaning that the company is on the hook for more than €100 million in fines.

Others could face the same fate, though rivals Daimler, BMW, Renault
RNO,
-0.58%,
and Peugeot (now part of Stellantis
STLA,
+1.05%
) all say they met their targets.

“Despite very ambitious efforts in electrification, it has not been possible to meet the set fleet target in full. But Volkswagen is clearly well on its way,” said Rebecca Harms, a member of the independent Volkswagen Sustainability Council.

“The key to success will be to give a greater role to smaller, efficient and affordable models in the electrification rollout.”

It is unclear how easy that will be in 2021. The COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the fewest passenger-car registrations in Europe since 1985 and, according to Schmidt, this allowed a number of car makers to meet emissions targets.

Also read: Car makers put the pedal to the metal on electric vehicles in 2020, with sales surging in one key region where Tesla lost market share

Tesla is losing dominance

Tesla comfortably topped the European EV charts in 2019. It delivered more than 109,000 vehicles that year, making up 31% of the region’s battery electric-vehicle market. 

But the tide turned in 2020, with Tesla dropping behind both the brands of Volkswagen Group, which had 24% market share, and the Renault–Nissan–Mitsubishi Alliance, with 19% market share. Last year, Tesla delivered nearly 98,000 vehicles and made up just 13% of the European market.

According to Schmidt, it was the introduction of emissions targets, and the specter of massive fines, that has accelerated European car makers’ battle against Tesla for dominance.

See also: Electric-car sales jump to record 54% market share in Norway in 2020 but Tesla loses top spot

“With 2021 getting even tougher — thanks to the phase-in year ending — Tesla will come under even more intense competition,” Schmidt said. “Come 2025 when the targets increase again, Tesla will certainly be playing against fully-fit opponents and will potentially struggle.”

However, Schmidt does note in his market outlook for 2021 that the opening of Tesla’s factory in Germany, expected to start production in the second half, is likely to double regional volumes next year.



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