Tag Archives: FOMO

Theranos FOMO kept the DeVos family from doing its investment homework

Theranos said a lot of things to Lisa Peterson that made the company seem credible when she evaluated it on behalf of the crazy-wealthy DeVos family. One of the things that stood out as a reason to trust Theranos and Elizabeth Holmes? Its devices didn’t need FDA approval.

That made it seem more credible that the machines worked, said Peterson, who works on investments for the DeVos clan (including former secretary of education Betsy DeVos), and who testified today during US v. Elizabeth Holmes.

Okay, some background: it’s true that Theranos didn’t need FDA approval to start using its tests and devices. That’s because they were considered “lab-developed tests” — a category of tests developed and used within a single lab, which means they don’t have to go through the typical FDA process. Just because something is a lab-developed test isn’t necessarily a reason not to trust that it works as well as advertised. But it’s definitely not a reason to have more trust that a test is reliable.

Treating the lack of FDA approval as a reason to bet on Theranos was a small aside in Peterson’s testimony; it was just one reason she thought Theranos seemed like a good investment. (A skepticism of the regulatory process is also one of the reasons Theranos board member General James Mattis wasn’t concerned with some of the company’s actions — something the powerful conservatives seem to have in common). But it set the tone for a day of testimony about the DeVos family’s approach to its $100 million investment in Theranos — which seemed to be more about shiny things and FOMO than about the science behind the blood testing devices Holmes promised would change the world.

Peterson volunteered to take the lead on assessing Theranos after hearing about the company (and Holmes) from Jerry Tubergen, the CEO of the DeVos’ family office, which is called the RDV Corporation. The company sent her two large binders with information on the blood testing tech, and she sat on a call with Holmes in early October. Then she took a trip with members of the family out to Palo Alto, where they spent five hours at Theranos headquarters.

There was a lot to bolster the case for Theranos. Peterson said the documents and conversations with Holmes gave the impression that the company could perform hundreds of tests using just a finger stick of blood. A document with the Pfizer logo seemed to show that the Theranos tech was used and validated by major pharmaceutical companies. The company had major contracts with Walgreens.

Nothing about any of those materials raised red flags with Peterson. But Peterson didn’t look that closely. The relatively poor due diligence was a theme that Lance Wade, Holmes’ attorney, hammered during cross-examination. Wade showed her charts from the Pfizer-branded report, asking if she understood the types of scientific tests the document showed. She said she didn’t. He asked if she scrutinized Theranos’ list of patent filings. She hadn’t.

“I’m not a scientist,” Peterson said. “I can’t figure out if those things were lending credibility to what they’re saying.” The documents looked science-y, and apparently, that was good enough.

The DeVos family didn’t hire any scientists to review the materials, either, Wade pointed out. They didn’t bring in regulatory experts or lawyers. They didn’t go visit one of the Walgreens stores in Arizona that were supposedly using Theranos devices. Peterson didn’t even call Walgreens, even though she said she knew the chief information officer.

Peterson said that was partly because she was afraid of upsetting Holmes. Holmes was vetting investors at the same time as investors were vetting her, and the family didn’t want to miss out on the opportunity to throw their money into the pot. “We felt if we circumvented the process we would be uninvited to participate,” Peterson said. “We were very careful not to circumvent things and upset Elizabeth.”

Wade dug in harder. Holmes wouldn’t have necessarily found out if they had made calls to Walgreens or asked a scientist about the data from Theranos, he said. So why didn’t Peterson do more than the bare minimum?

Her answer was that she didn’t think she needed to. “They were telling us that it worked,” Peterson said. “We were relying on what we were told.”

Peterson — and the DeVos family office — didn’t come off here looking like the most thoughtful stewards of billions of dollars. During the site visit, they were more interested in top-level takeaways than the actual details of how the Theranos tests worked. Holmes’ and Theranos’ assurances that everything worked great were enough for Peterson and the DeVos family.

But treating that credulousness as a problem also seems like a risky strategy for the defense team. After all, their argument is that Holmes didn’t mislead investors. If she wasn’t misleading investors, why would the DeVos family need to do extensive independent evaluation? In the defense’s opening statement, Wade made a case that the people who invested in Theranos were sophisticated and knew what they were getting into. Peterson’s testimony seems to suggest otherwise.

The defense posited that Peterson and the DeVos family just misunderstood Theranos’ capabilities as described by Holmes. Wade showed a slide in the Theranos documents that didn’t specify that all its tests were done using finger sticks. He pointed to articles where Theranos didn’t directly claim its testing devices were used in military helicopters, just that it might happen in the future.

But whatever it was Theranos was selling — outright lies, or smoke and mirrors — the DeVos family fell for it. And they were left scrambling when John Carreyrou published his first articles in the Wall Street Journal questioning the Theranos technology. In August 2016, Peterson even took a trip to the annual meeting of the American Association for Clinical Chemistry, where Holmes was presenting on the Theranos tech. Belatedly, she had started asking some questions.

“The whole point was to figure out if the technology worked or not,” she said.

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‘Squid Game,’ David Chappelle and Netflix’s FOMO paradox: Morning Brief

This article first appeared in the Morning Brief. Get the Morning Brief sent directly to your inbox every Monday to Friday by 6:30 a.m. ET. Subscribe

Wednesday, October 20, 2021

The people want their entertainment — and that’s what matters to investors

To understand why Netflix’s (NFLX) third quarter results completely obliterated market expectations in the face of a festering public relations firestorm, it’s perhaps best to connect a few abstruse ideas.

In the space of a month, the streaming behemoth has (in their words, not mine) “pierced the cultural zeitgeist.” It managed to do so not once but twice: via its dystopian drama “Squid Game” — a runaway global hit topping Netflix’s charts in 94 countries and drawing in 142 million households — and Dave Chappelle’s polarizing comedy special, “The Closer,” that stands accused of transphobia.

The Chappelle imbroglio has become something of a culture war Rorschach test, which we needn’t delve into in this space — at least not today. 

However, it’s worth noting that, despite more than a week of bad press, Netflix’s stock is comfortably perched within shouting distance of a 52-week high at $646.84 — and Wall Street is as bullish as its ever been even though the “stay-at-home” phase of the pandemic is gone (hopefully for good).

According to Bank of Montreal, which has a $700 price target on the stock, near-term catalysts driving the stock include “new and returning original content that drives critical and audience word of mouth/social media recognition.” And Bank of America, which sees the stock hitting $680 in the near term, cited data showing worldwide cancellations actually fell in Q3 when compared to Q2.

All of that matters, because like it or not, Netflix’s constituency is literally all of Planet Earth where each region and its occupants see the world in starkly differing terms. Not only is the “fear of missing out” (FOMO) real, it drives eyeballs to the platform, regardless of controversies.

The streamer now has “hit series in Latin America, in India, in local markets. They have the mind share and market share in those areas,” Manhattan Venture Partners’ Santosh Rao told Yahoo Finance Live on Tuesday.

“What they’re doing now is really globalizing local content, which we saw with ‘Squid Game,’” he added.

In short, “Squid Game’s” monster success shows how Netflix’s global strategy can insulate the platform from local tempests in a teapot like the Chappelle controversy. What may not be culturally palatable in the U.S. may be perfectly acceptable in other countries like Latin America, Asia or Africa, where social mores differ and content may not be subject to the vagaries of culture wars.

In all probability, Netflix subscriber numbers will keep climbing — and by extension, so will the stock — because of two uncomfortable yet unassailable truths:

  1. Perpetually aggrieved viewers are simply dwarfed by people who don’t care; and

  2. Among those who legitimately do care, most want their regular fix of “You,” “Squid Game,” “The Tiger King,” or whatever pop culture contrivance dominates social media discourse — even if they won’t admit it publicly.

If last year’s controversy over “Cuties” (covered at the time by Yahoo Finance’s Allie Canal) wasn’t enough to undermine the company’s subscriber growth, it’s unlikely anything will. And in the interest of full disclosure, yours truly was turned off by the images of gyrating pre-teens, but I responded by — you guessed it — choosing not to watch instead of stirring up social media outrage, or canceling my membership.

The lesson of “Sense8,” a cult favorite that was prematurely canceled by Netflix because of low viewership, is writ large. While some people were big fans, it was obvious that it simply wasn’t everyone’s cup of tea (Another disclosure: I bailed after one episode), and led the company to pull the plug.

Histrionic headlines aside, the standard to bear in mind is that, as a publicly traded company, Netflix’s core constituency is its investors. The axe will fall on a show when it can’t reach a critical viewing mass, or when the platform stops serving up content that people clearly seem to want.

Not because people on the internet are “Big Mad,” as the kids say these days.

By Javier E. David, editor at Yahoo Finance. Follow him at @Teflongeek

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What to watch today

Economy

  • 7:00 a.m. ET: MBA mortgage applications, week ended Oct. 15 (0.2% during prior week)

  • 2:00 p.m. ET: Federal Reserve releases Beige Book

Earnings

Pre-market

  • 6:00 a.m. ET: Anthem (ANTM) is expected to report adjusted earnings of $6.37 per share on revenue of $35.39 billion

  • 6:25 a.m. ET: Citizens Financial Group (CFG) is expected to report adjusted earnings of $1.17 per share on revenue of $1.64 billion

  • 7:00 a.m. ET: Biogen (BIIB) is expected to report adjusted earnings of $4.10 per share on revenue of $2.68 billion

  • 7:00 a.m. ET: Nasdaq (NDAQ) is expected to report adjusted earnings of $1.73 per share on. revenue of $830.82 million

  • 7:00 a.m. ET: Baker Hughes (BKR) is expected to report adjusted earnings of 21 cents per share on revenue of $5.34 billion

  • 7:15 a.m. ET: Abbott Laboratories (ABT) is expected to report adjusted earnings of 94 cents per share on revenue of $9.54 billion

  • 7:30 a.m. ET: Verizon Communications (VZ) is expected to report adjusted earnings of $1.36 per. share on revenue of $33.24 billion 

Post-market

  • 4:00 p.m. ET: Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) is expected to report adjusted losses of 23 cents per share on revenue of $1.16 billion

  • 4:05 p.m. ET: Tesla (TSLA) is expected to report adjusted earnings of $1.67 per share on revenue of $13.91 billion

  • 4:05 p.m. ET: Kinder Morgan (KMI) is expected to report adjusted earnings of 22 cents per share on revenue of $3.2 billion

  • 4:10 p.m. ET: IBM (IBM) is expected to report adjusted earnings of $2.53 per share on revenue of $17.83 billion

  • 4:15 p.m. ET: Equifax (EFX) is expected to report adjusted earnings of $1.71 per share on revenue of $1.18 billion

Politics

  • President Joe Biden will travel to his hometown of Scranton, Penn., today. The trip — to rally support for his economic agenda — returns the president to where he was born and lived as a child before moving to Delaware in 1953.

  • On Capitol Hill, confirmation hearings kick off this morning for Biden’s picks to be ambassador to China (Nicholas Burns), Japan (Rahm Emanuel) and Singapore (Jonathan Kaplan). Burns is a longtime diplomat who appears on track to be confirmed while Emanuel may have a more rocky path.

  • Another hearing to watch today will be about the ongoing global supply chain bottlenecks. The House Small Business committee will tackle the issue at 10 a.m. ET.

Top News

FTSE slips as investors digest falling UK inflation [Yahoo Finance UK]

Bitcoin ETF’s ‘almost perfect’ debut nudges spot price closer to record; Grayscale joins the fray [Yahoo Finance]

Facebook plans rebrand with new name, says The Verge [Reuters]

United Airlines posts smaller loss, sees recovery from pandemic gaining traction [Reuters]

Yahoo Finance Highlights

Is Walmart stock on sale?

Guggenheim CIO Scott Minerd: Jerome Powell no longer favorite for Fed chair job

‘Failure is just not an option for Democrats’ spending plan, PIMCO’s head of public policy says

All Markets Summit

Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance

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US SEC Issues Warning on Crypto Investment Scams Citing ‘Some Investors May Have FOMO’ – Regulation Bitcoin News

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued a warning about fraudulent investment schemes involving cryptocurrencies. The regulator notes that some investors may have fear of missing out (FOMO) given the rise in prices of some crypto assets in recent years.

SEC Warns Investors of Crypto Scams

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s Office of Investor Education and Advocacy (OIEA) and Division of Enforcement’s Retail Strategy Task Force (RSTF) issued an Investor Alert on crypto investment scams last week.

The notice explains that “Fraudsters continue to exploit the rising popularity of digital assets to lure retail investors into scams, often leading to devastating losses,” adding:

Some investors may have FOMO [fear of missing out], given the rise in price of some digital assets in recent years, that they will miss an opportunity to become very wealthy.

The notice outlines some warning signs of a scam. “Guaranteed high investment returns … with little or no risk” is a classic warning sign of fraud. Fraudsters may even post bogus historical returns on their websites to show high investment returns, the SEC detailed.

Another sign is that sellers are unlicensed or unregistered. The SEC stated that “Unlicensed, unregistered sellers commit much of the securities fraud targeting retail investors in the U.S.”

In addition, fraudsters often fabricate investment returns to entice investors. The SEC also warned that “If an investment ‘opportunity’ sounds too good to be true, it probably is.”

Lastly, the notice warns of “fake testimonials.” The SEC emphasized that investors should never rely solely on testimonials when making an investment decision, elaborating:

Fraudsters sometimes pay people – for example, actors to pose as ordinary people turned millionaires, social media influencers, and celebrities – to tout an investment on social media or in a video.

What do you think about this SEC warning about crypto scams? Let us know in the comments section below.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons



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