Tag Archives: Famine

China looks to outflank US in Africa as Somalia faces terrorism, drought and famine

JOHANNESBURG, South Africa — Human shields and drones, famine and terrorists and China’s Belt and Road. 

That’s the toxic cocktail that is Somalia today, stirred by a superpower struggle clothed in diplomatic niceties from Washington and Beijing. A country where real agendas are hidden, Somalia has been struggling to find peace for decades and is now staring a lethal famine in the face.

Not content with terrorizing the population, Islamist militant group al-Shabab, heavily linked to the al Qaeda terror movement, are now said to be actively and quickly bringing on famine in Somalia: 

“With international support, al-Shabab is facing some pressure. What they are doing now is to weaponize the devastating situation that we are seeing, accelerating the (onset of) famine,” Jasmine Opperman, a former intelligence agent and now a leading security consultant specializing in extremism and political violence, told Fox News Digital. “They are intentionally displacing people who live under their rule.”

US AIRSTRIKES IN SOMALIA KILL 15 AL-SHABAB FIGHTERS

China’s President Xi Jinping meets former Somali President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, Aug. 31, 2018.
(Roman Pilipey/Pool via Reuters)

Simply put, in areas where al-Shabab is operating, its militants are pushing villagers, mostly farmers, and their livestock off their land and forcing them into situations where their animals die of starvation in what the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees calls the worst drought the country has experienced in 40 years.

The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees representative in Somalia, Magatte Guisse, confirmed to Fox News Digital that refugees face “protection risks brought about by the armed conflict: indiscriminate attacks, family separation, forced recruitment to armed groups, destruction of property. Insecurity in certain areas is making it difficult for aid agencies to reach people impacted by the drought.”

Observers point out this means the al-Shabab terrorists are, perhaps unwittingly, preventing agencies from establishing exactly how many are already dying of starvation. Some even say famine may already exist in Somalia. Even so, the official line, drawn up with apparently incomplete data, is that death tolls should reach famine levels within the next six months.

The UNHCR’s Guisse told Fox News Digital Somalia is “on the brink of famine.” Dire food and water shortages have left 7.1 million people in the country acutely food insecure. Millions have fled their homes in search of life-saving humanitarian assistance. This year alone, more than 1.1 million people have been displaced inside Somalia because of drought. In a massive operation, the UNHCR has helped nearly half a million people in Somalia this year.
 

President Biden speaks during the U.S.-Africa Leaders Summit Dec. 15, 2022, in Washington, D.C.
(Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Ummy Dubow, deputy country director in Somalia for programs for the aid agency CARE, which has supported more than 700,000 Somalians this year, told Fox News Digital the organization is greatly concerned.

“We are witnessing a spike in the numbers of emaciated women and children visiting the health centers we support,” Dubow said. “It is unacceptable that more than half the population of Somalia will face acute food insecurity by June 2023 if no urgent funding is availed. Famine or no famine, more support is needed to save lives.”

The timing in May of the Biden administration’s announcement that Americans were putting boots back on the ground after President Trump pulled troops out — the day after the Somali election results — raises suspicion among some.

After all, Somalia has oil. Seismologists claim there are up to 30 billion barrels of it. And American companies reportedly want in.

SOMALIA EXPECTING FAMINE IN SEVERAL PARTS OF THE COUNTRY IN THE COMING MONTHS

But the U.S. is playing catch-up to the panda in the room. China has never pulled out of supporting Somalia, instead developing over 80 infrastructure projects such as hospitals and highways.

In return, Somalia has become the first East African nation to establish diplomatic relations with China, with Beijing creating a special envoy for the Horn of Africa. No such person has been appointed in Washington. Beijing regards Somalia, situated close to the vital Suez Canal, and with the longest coastline in Africa, as an essential part of its Belt and Road trade route.

A view of damage after a suicide car blast targeted a security convoy in Mogadishu, Somalia, Jan 12, 2022.
(Sadak Mohamed/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

Vastly different views are being pushed from Washington and Beijing.

“We see African countries, including Somalia, as partners in global and regional priorities,” a State Department spokesperson told Fox News Digital this week. “We remain committed to supporting Somali and African Union-led efforts to counter the threat posed by al-Shabab and other terrorist groups.”

China’s special envoy for the region, Xue Bing, claimed “Chinese wisdom” proposes foreign nations such as the U.S. should get out, urging the Somali government to “get rid of external intervention. We respect and support regional countries to settle their differences independently.”

And in the middle of the geopolitical fight is the aggressive cancer that is the terror group al-Shabab. It’s arguably even more dangerous because, thanks to a sustained offensive from the country’s new government, the militants’ backs are against the wall. 

Analyst Opperman concluded al-Shabab has recently lost control of 80% of Somalia’s South Central regions.

“The government offensive is intense, and it’s continuing to gain momentum,” Opperman said. “Shabab is falling back to human shields, back to kidnapping.”

Al-Shabab terrorists perform military exercises near Mogadishu, Somalia, in 2011.
(AP)

SOMALIA BOMBINGS: AT LEAST 100 KILLED IN TERRORIST ATTACKS BY AL-SHABAB

There are signs that some sectors of Somali society, often quiet in the past, are turning against the terror group, sometimes in a vicious manner. Hiran area Governor Ali Jeyte has promised a reward of $30,000 and an amnesty for “any al-Shabab member who kills a leader in the group” and urged them to cut off the militants’ private parts.

Al-Shabab has become one of the world’s richest terror groups, extorting money out of villagers and operating cash cow roadblocks that allow most people to pass, but at a hefty price. This led Somalia’s President Hassan Mohamud to lash out at this supposed faith-based organization during the recent U.S.-Africa Summit in Washington.

People arrive at a displacement camp on the outskirts of Dollow, Somalia, Sept. 19, 2022. 
(AP Photo/Jerome Delay, File)

They are “hiding themselves in Islam, which is not true,” Mohamud told delegates. “What they are propagating is not Islam and has nothing to do with Islam. They are a group of mafia, covering themselves with the branding of Islam. If the community stands up, they have no choice but to run away.”

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At the request of the Somali government, U.S. Africa Command claimed to have killed 15 al-Shabab operatives in two drone strikes in the past week. U.S. operations, involving some 450 American troops, are helping government forces and the feared Danab Special Forces groups to push al-Shabab back. But the militants still frequently reverse gains, with some villages changing hands multiple times.

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Ukraine remembers Stalin-era famine as Russia war rages

KYIV, Nov 26 (Reuters) – Ukraine accused the Kremlin on Saturday of reviving the “genocidal” tactics of Josef Stalin as Kyiv commemorated a Soviet-era famine that killed millions of Ukrainians in the winter of 1932-33.

The remembrance day for the “Holodomor” comes as Ukraine is battling to repel invading Russian forces and deal with sweeping blackouts caused by air strikes that Kyiv says are aimed at breaking the public’s fighting resolve.

“Once they wanted to destroy us with hunger, now – with darkness and cold,” President Volodymyr Zelenskiy wrote on Telegram. “We cannot be broken.”

The Holodomor, which roughly translates as “death by hunger”, has taken on an increasingly central role in Ukrainian collective memory since the Maidan revolution in 2014 ousted a Russian-backed president and bolstered national consciousness.

In November 1932, Soviet leader Stalin dispatched police to seize all grain and livestock from newly collectivised Ukrainian farms, including the seed needed to plant the next crop.

Millions of Ukrainian peasants starved to death in the following months from what Yale University historian Timothy Snyder calls “clearly premeditated mass murder”.

“The Russians will pay for all of the victims of the Holodomor and answer for today’s crimes,” Andriy Yermak, the head of the presidential administration, wrote on Telegram.

Russia has targeted critical infrastructure across Ukraine in recent weeks through waves of air strikes that have sparked widespread power outages and killed civilians.

Millions of Ukrainians were still without power after fresh strikes this week, Zelenskiy said late on Friday.

“The winter is already difficult, and if everything continues the same way, then it will be very similar to what we read in history books,” Artem Antonenko, a 23-year-old marketing specialist, told Reuters in central Kyiv.

The Kremlin has denied that its attacks, which have only galvanized Ukrainian public anger, were aimed at civilians but said on Thursday Kyiv could “end the suffering” by meeting Russia’s demands to resolve the war.

In a statement on Saturday, Ukraine’s foreign ministry accused Moscow of reviving the tactics of the 1930s.

“On the 90th anniversary of the 1932-1933 Holodomor in Ukraine, Russia’s genocidal war of aggression pursues the same goal as during the 1932-1933 genocide: the elimination of the Ukrainian nation and its statehood,” it said.

Moscow denies the deaths were caused by a deliberate genocidal policy and says that Russians and other ethnic groups also suffered because of famine.

Ukrainians typically mark the memorial day, which was established after the country gained independence from the Soviet Union in 1991 and which falls on the fourth Saturday of November, by placing candles in their windows.

Pope Francis
this week compared Russia’s war in Ukraine to what he called the “terrible genocide” of the Stalin-era and said Ukrainians were now suffering from the “martyrdom of aggression”.

GRAIN EXPORTS

Kyiv’s foreign ministry also condemned what it said were Russia’s current attempts to weaponize food by undermining a U.N.-brokered deal to unblock Ukrainian grain exports through the Black Sea.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg echoed a similar sentiment on Saturday when he addressed an International Summit for Food Security in Kyiv by video link alongside several other European leaders.

“Today, Russia is using hunger as a weapon of war against Ukraine, and to create division and further instablity among the rest of the world,” he said.

Russia’s ambassador to Turkey said on Friday that Moscow sends its representatives to more ship inspections in Istanbul per day than mandated under the Black Sea grain deal, rejecting a Ukrainian accusation that Russia is slowing down the process.

Reporting by Dan Peleschuk
Additional reporting by Yurii Kovalenko in Kyiv and Alan Charlish in Warsaw
Editing by Tom Balmforth and Frances Kerry

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Civilians escape Kherson after Russian strikes on freed city

KHERSON, Ukraine (AP) — Fleeing shelling, hundreds of civilians on Saturday streamed out of the southern Ukrainian city whose recapture they had celebrated just weeks earlier.

The escape of hundreds from Kherson came as the country paid homage to the millions of Ukrainians who died in a Stalin-era famine — and sought to ensure that Russia’s war in Ukraine doesn’t deprive others worldwide of its vital food exports.

A line of trucks, vans and cars, some towing trailers or ferrying out pets and other belongings, stretched a kilometer or more on the outskirts of the city of Kherson.

Days of intensive shelling by Russian forces prompted a bittersweet exodus: Many civilians were happy that their city had been won back, but lamented that they couldn’t stay.

“It is sad that we are leaving our home,” said Yevhen Yankov, as a van he was in inched forward. “Now we are free, but we have to leave, because there is shelling, and there are dead among the population.”

Poking her head out from the back, Svitlana Romanivna added: “We went through real hell. Our neighborhood was burning, it was a nightmare. Everything was in flames.”

Emilie Fourrey, emergency project coordinator for aid group Doctors Without Borders in Ukraine, said an evacuation of 400 patients of Kherson’s psychiatric hospital, which is situated near both an electrical plant and the frontline, had begun on Thursday and was set to continue in coming days.

Kherson was one of many cities in recent days to face a blistering onslaught of Russian artillery fire and drone attacks, with the shelling especially intense there. Elsewhere, the barrage largely targeted infrastructure, though civilian casualties were reported. Repair crews across the country were scrambling Saturday to restore heat, electricity and water services that were blasted into disrepair.

In the capital Kyiv, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy oversaw a busy day of diplomacy, welcoming several European Union leaders for meetings and hosting an “International Summit on Food Security” to discuss food security and agricultural exports from the country.

The prime ministers of Belgium, Poland and Lithuania and the president of Hungary were on hand, and many others participated by video.

Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said Ukraine — despite its own financial straits — has allocated 900 million hryvna ($24 million) to purchase corn for Yemen, Sudan, Kenya and Nigeria.

“Ukraine knows what hunger is, and we do not want people to die again in the 21st century because of Russia and its inhuman methods,” he was quoted as saying by the news agency Interfax.

The reminder about food supplies was timely: Ukrainians were marking the 90th anniversary of the start of the “Holodomor,” or Great Famine, which killed more than 3 million people over two years as the Soviet government under dictator Josef Stalin confiscated food and grain supplies and deported many Ukrainians.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz marked the commemoration by drawing parallels with the impact of the war on Ukraine on world markets. Exports from Ukraine have resumed under a U.N.-brokered deal but have still been far short of pre-war levels, driving up global prices.

“Today, we stand united in stating that hunger must never again be used as a weapon,” Scholz said in a video message. “That is why we cannot tolerate what we are witnessing: The worst global food crisis in years with abhorrent consequences for millions of people – from Afghanistan to Madagascar, from the Sahel to the Horn of Africa.”

He said Germany, with the U.N.’s World Food Program, will provide an additional 15 million euros for further grain shipments from Ukraine.

Scholz spokes as a cross-party group of lawmakers in Germany are seeking to pass a parliamentary resolution next week that would recognize the 1930s famine as “genocide.”

Last year Ukraine and Russia provided around 30% of the world’s exported wheat and barley, 20% of its corn, and over 50% of its sunflower oil, the U.N. has said.

In a post on the Telegram social network on Saturday, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko said more than 3,000 specialists for a local utility continued to work “around the clock” and had succeeded in restoring heat to more than more than 90% of residential buildings. While about one-quarter of Kyiv residents remained without electricity, he said water serviced had been returned to all in the city.

The scramble to restore power came as Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo met Saturday with Zelenskyy in Kyiv.

“This might be a difficult winter,” he said, alluding to Belgium’s contributions of generators, and support for schools and hospitals in Ukraine, as well as military aid such as “fuel, machine guns, propelled artillery and so on.”

“And by standing here, we hope that we provide you hope and resilience in fighting through this difficult period.”

___

Keaten reported from Kyiv, Ukraine.

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At least $1 billion needed to avert famine in Somalia – KION546

By EDITH M. LEDERER
Associated Press

UNITED NATIONS (AP) — The U.N. humanitarian chief is predicting that at least a billion dollars will be needed urgently to avert famine in Somalia in the coming months and early next year when two more dry seasons are expected to compound the historic drought that has hit the Horn of Africa nation. Martin Griffiths said in a video briefing from Somalia’s capital Mogadishu that a new report from an authoritative panel of independent experts says there will be a famine in Somalia between October and December if it isn’t avoided with massive aid as was the case in 2016 and 2017.

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This Desert May Contain Secrets To Avoiding Climate Famine

From space, South America’s Atacama Desert looks like a craggy patch of lifeless brown stretching 49,000 square miles near Chile’s northern tip. At 7,900 feet above sea level, the parched, windswept landscape broils under the sun. It’s the world’s oldest and driest desert.

Average rainfall totals little more than 0.04 inches per year, and yet plant life adorns the area in what would be the ear-shaped continent’s tragus with indigo cones of Lupinus oreophilus flowers, lime-green blobs of Azorella atacamensis, and Solanum chilense ― wild tomatoes that, when ripe, look like little dark plums.

For 10 years, Rodrigo Gutiérrez made routine trips 1,000 miles north from his laboratory at Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile in the capital city of Santiago to 22 separate sites in the desert, where he measured the temperature and water, and collected samples of plants, soils and the microbes that cling to both. The molecular biologist then partnered with scientists from across the hemisphere and disciplines ― botanists, microbiologists, ecologists ― to decode the plants’ genes and learn how they adapted to survive in an environment extreme enough to challenge his own physical stamina.

On Monday, Gutiérrez and 26 of his colleagues published nearly 300 genetic discoveries in a peer-reviewed paper in the prestigious Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. What they found could contain the secrets to avoiding food shortages in an increasingly hot, drought-prone world, providing scientists the genetic tools to breed resilient new crops.

“With the population we have, we need to produce food and crops despite increasing desertification,” Gutiérrez said. “The only way we’ll be able to do that is if we can engineer some kind of tolerance to drought in crops.”

But the findings also come as a warning of what could be lost as the global economy curbs its appetite for fossil fuels with solar panels and batteries made of lithium and copper, vast quantities of which are mined in the mineral-rich Atacama Desert.

A pick-up drives through the brines pools of the Salar de Atacama, where lithium is extracted as the sun evaporates water.

Construction Photography/Avalon via Getty Images

The different, and in some ways conflicting, resources for a hotter world highlight the tradeoffs of the energy transition, and give weight to environmentalists’ pleas for a new green industrial boom to avoid replicating the ecological recklessness of its fossil-fueled forerunner. Surging demand for the Atacama’s geological treasures threatens to drain what little water sustains the desert’s complex webs of life faster than nature can adapt. The region already supplies upward of 30% of the world’s lithium, a compound so desired in the green economy it’s sometimes called “white gold,” and Chile’s government is looking to expand production. Climate change, meanwhile, is only adding pressure, making the Atacama even drier than in years past.

A Cross-Continental, Cross-Disciplinary Triumph

The study is as much a triumph of collaboration between continents as disciplines. The Chilean researcher collected samples of 32 dominant plant species in the Atacama, stored them in liquid nitrogen, then sequenced their RNA back at the lab in Santiago.

Meanwhile, researchers at New York University and the American Museum of Natural History were assembling a computer matrix of ancient plant genes, and tapping New York Botanical Garden experts to identify 32 genetically similar “sister” species to match the Atacama samples. Plugging that mountain of data into NYU’s in-house supercomputers, the scientists started performing what’s called a phylogenomic analysis to reconstruct an evolutionary history and pinpoint which genetic proteins helped the flora survive in the desert’s harsh climate.

Crunching nearly 1.7 million protein sequences and close to 8.6 million amino acids across more than 70 species, the resulting analysis zeroed in on 265 separate genes whose protein sequences mutated as the plants evolved to live in the Atacama, including those that made it easier to survive under high-light radiation, in long periods without water, and in salty and nitrogen-poor soil.

To test how the genes worked, the researchers then crosschecked them with related genes in the widely studied model species Arabidopsis, a flowering Eurasian plant known as thale cress, confirming that they did, in fact, play a role in function such as managing the sun’s radiation and dealing with extreme temperatures.

“It’s a mine, but it’s also a genetic goldmine,” said Gloria Coruzzi, a molecular biologist at New York University who helped sequence the plants’ genomes and co-authored the study, referring to the lithium and copper production in the region. “We’re extracting the genes that enable the plants to grow in that desperate environment.”

The findings were not limited to genetics alone. The scientists also identified microbes in the soil that pulled nitrogen from the air into the soil, providing the scarce nutrient to the plants’ roots. At a time when scientists and Silicon Valley startups are seeking new ways to wean U.S. farmers off their addiction to nitrogen fertilizer, which pollutes water and produces large amounts of planet-heating gas.

Gabriela Carrasco, an undergraduate researcher at the time, is identifying, labeling, collecting, and freezing plant samples in the Atacama Desert. These samples then traveled 1,000 miles, kept under dry ice to be processed for RNA extractions in Rodrigo Gutiérrez’s lab in Santiago de Chile. The species Carrasco is collecting here are Jarava frigida and Lupinus oreophilus.

Those microbes, Coruzzi said, are the “ecological context of how these plants are growing,” a key detail as the soil microbiome is increasingly seen as “the future of plant agriculture.”

About 44% of the world’s croplands are in drylands, ecosystems that include deserts, semi-deserts and grasslands, according to United Nations data. And many of the world’s deserts are growing as the planet warms and freshwater resources diminish. Africa’s Sahara, for example, has expanded by 10% since 1920, recent research found, threatening crop fields that feed a population that is expected to double by the middle of this century.

The potential applications stretch beyond drought-resistant tomatoes or corn that requires far less nitrogen fertilizer. Protein sequences in grasses the scientists studied could be used to grow biofuel crops in soils too poor for vegetable farming. The U.S. Department of Energy gave the researchers $7 million to conduct the study for those purposes specifically. (The Chilean government also gave the project “substantial funding,” though the researchers declined to give an exact dollar figure.)

‘These Ecosystems Are Unrepeatable’

To get a sense of just how rapidly lithium production in the Atacama has increased, you only need to look at satellite images of the desert’s biggest salt flat. In 1993, industry on the Salar de Atacama was confined to a tiny sliver of the nearly 1,200-square-mile flatland surrounded by mountains. By 2015, U.S. Geological Survey images show production sites had consumed a broad swath of the flat’s central zone.

“It’s a mine, but it’s also a genetic goldmine.”

– Gloria Coruzzi, molecular biologist at New York University

The expansion reflects growing demand overseas. While Australia, which mines lithium from hard rock and sends the raw material to China for processing, has in recent years become the world’s top supplier of the mineral, the Atacama remains a central node in a supply chain increasingly pulled taut as electric vehicle sales soar in East Asia, Europe, and North America.

By 2040, the International Energy Agency predicts demand for lithium will be 42 times what it was in 2020.

Lithium miners and vehicle battery manufacturers have long worried that the supply of the mineral would run short sometime in the next decade. But as sales have skyrocketed and commodity producers have struggled to keep up with post-pandemic supply orders, some have begun to warn that the lithium crunch could hit as soon as two years from now.

After years of becoming cheaper by the month, battery prices last week slowed their steady descent for the first time.

For environmental and indigenous activists in Chile, those concerns have been central as the country rewrites its constitution in a bid to restore balance power away from the corporations that have dominated society there since the reign of dictator Augusto Pinochet.

“This report confirms these activists’ sentiments that there is a lot of value for humanity writ large in preserving the ecosystem and ensuring that extraction doesn’t take precedence over other land uses and livelihoods in the area,” said Thea Riofrancos, a political scientist at Providence College who studies lithium mining and its impacts in Latin America. “The big story here is about the contradiction between local landscapes and the scientific value of them and extractive activities.”

Some of the brush Rodrigo Gutiérrez and his team photographed on one of their expeditions.

The study “highlights the importance of understanding and valuing local and endemic biodiversity,” said Cristina Dorador, a microbial ecologist at Chile’s Universidad de Antofagasta who was not involved in the paper but reviewed an advanced copy of the paper for HuffPost.

“The fragile equilibrium of the Salar de Atacama and its surroundings is at risk due to massive scale of the proposed extraction,” said Dorador, who is also an activist working on the country’s new constitution.

Juan Navedo, a researcher at the Universidad Austral de Chile, said “all food crops would benefit from knowledge about adaptations in vascular plants and associated soil microbiota” from the study, and warned that “once water has gone, restoration is unfeasible.”

“These ecosystems must be untouchable if we are to survive as a civilization,” Navedo, who was not involved in the paper but reviewed it for HuffPost, wrote in an email. “These ecosystems and their associated biodiversity are unrepeatable.”

Similar conflicts are brewing now in the United States, where demand for lithium and other raw materials for green technologies is driving a push to increase domestic mining. In Nevada, a proposed lithium mine has drawn heated opposition from Indigenous tribes, ranchers and botanists, who say the project threatens an ecologically and culturally precious area.

Gutiérrez hopes his study could serve as a model for future ecosystem-wide research.

“Most of what we know about biology comes from a very small number of organisms that we use in the labs, when there’s so much to know and learn from wild species in their environments,” he said. “If you’re going to start mining in a place and you don’t even know what’s there, we’ll have no idea what we’ve lost afterward.”

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Ethiopia Attacks Rebels in Tigray as Famine Threatens

NAIROBI, Kenya — The conflict in northern Ethiopia has escalated sharply in recent days, as Ethiopian forces began a sweeping offensive in a bid to reverse recent gains by Tigrayan rebels, Western officials and Tigrayan leaders said.

U.N. officials said the attack will deepen the humanitarian crisis in a region that is plunging into the world’s worst famine in a decade. With the Ethiopian government blocking aid shipments, some starving Tigrayans are eating leaves to survive.

Senior Western officials broadly confirmed Tigrayan accounts that the assault, which had been anticipated for weeks, started in the Amhara region, which borders Tigray to the south. But beyond that, it is hard to get a clear picture of the situation.

A strict communications blackout imposed by the government means few details about the fighting can be independently confirmed. Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, who was sworn in for a second term last week, has declined to comment in recent days.

His spokeswoman did not respond to a request for comment on Tuesday.

Speaking by phone, Gen. Tsadkan Gebretensae, a member of the central command of the Tigray forces and its leading strategist, said Ethiopian forces had begun the military operation on Friday with a bombardment of Tigrayan positions using warplanes, artillery and drones.

On Monday, the Ethiopians switched to a ground offensive led by thousands of fighters, to be met by a Tigrayan counteroffensive, he said.

“The enemy has been preparing for months, and so have we,” said General Tsadkan, who previously commanded Ethiopia’s armed forces for a decade. He predicted the coming battle would be a “decisive moment” for the country.

“The ramifications will be military, political and diplomatic,” he said. “I don’t think this will be a protracted fight — a matter of days, most probably weeks.”

For Mr. Abiy, winner of the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize, the offensive is an effort to wrest control of a brutal 11-month war that has ruined his reputation as a peacemaker and slipped beyond his grip as the fighting spread to new areas in recent months.

Mr. Abiy has appeared increasingly isolated from international support as the United States threatens him with the prospect of sanctions, and he clashes with the U.N. leadership. Only a few African leaders have continued to support him.

This month, Ethiopia expelled seven senior U.N. officials it accused of “meddling” in the nation’s internal affairs and diverting aid to the Tigrayan rebels. The U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres denied those charges in unusually sharp language, telling Mr. Abiy the expulsions had no legal basis.

Likening the situation to the devastating Somalia famine of 2011, Mr. Guterres said he warned Mr. Abiy that Ethiopian restrictions on the delivery of aid had created a humanitarian crisis that was “spiraling out of control.”

Over five million Tigrayans urgently need relief aid, and at least 400,000 are in famine-like conditions, the U.N. says. But barely one-tenth of required aid has reached them because Ethiopia has blocked the routes into the region, officials said.

The Biden administration has tried to force Mr. Abiy and the Tigrayans into peace talks by threatening sanctions against “officials and entities” who block humanitarian aid and refuse to stop fighting.

With his latest attack, however, Mr. Abiy seems to be gambling that he can prevail using force.

Western officials said the Ethiopian leader had been preparing the offensive for months. He amassed new weapons from foreign suppliers and recruited tens of thousands of young Ethiopians to help fight Tigrayan forces he has described as “cancer” and “weeds.”

One Western official said Mr. Abiy had acquired new drones built in Iran, Turkey and China, although it is unclear who supplied them to Ethiopia. Websites that track international air traffic have recorded dozens of cargo flights from the United Arab Emirates, and a handful from Iran, into Ethiopian air force bases in the past six weeks.

Tigrayan leaders have accused the U.A.E. of sending armed drones to help Mr. Abiy during the early weeks of the war last November; Emirati officials have refused to comment. Airstrikes took out most of the Tigrayan artillery and forced its troops to retreat into the remote countryside.

A more consequential question now is whether Eritrea will again rally to Mr. Abiy’s side. Eritrean troops offered crucial support in the first phase of the war, until June, and faced many of the worst accusations of atrocities against civilians. The Eritreans are currently occupying Humera, a town in western Tigray, and some have deployed to Amhara, two western officials said.

But it’s unclear if they are participating in the latest fighting.

Tigrayan forces scored a series of surprise victories that forced Ethiopian forces out of Tigray. In July, the Tigrayans pushed into the Amhara region, where the fighting has been centered ever since.

A long-running dispute between Amhara and Tigray over a swath of disputed land drew Amhara militias into the fight against Tigray last November. The Tigrayans say those fighters are also participating in the latest offensives, along with regular Ethiopian troops and young men from across Ethiopia drawn by Mr. Abiy’s appeal for recruits during the summer.

But General Tsadkan, the Tigrayan commander, said he considered the autocratic leader of Eritrea, Isaias Afwerki, who is an old foe of the Tigrayans, as his greatest threat.

“Isaias and his army are the major spoiler in the region,” he said. “If the international community is earnestly looking for a peaceful solution, a settlement will not happen without taking care of Isaias.”

Both sides face intense pressures. The Tigrayans, surrounded by enemies, risk running out of supplies soon. Mr. Abiy is wrestling with a steep economic slide that has led to soaring food prices and foreign currency shortages, which American sanctions could soon make worse.

Ethiopian Airlines, Africa’s biggest airline and Ethiopia’s flagship economic success, last week denied a report on CNN that its aircraft had been used to ship weapons and soldiers for the war in Tigray.

On Tuesday, U.S. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken met with the newly appointed African Union envoy to Ethiopia, former Nigerian president Olusegun Obasanjo, to discuss the crisis.

Some African leaders are standing by Mr. Abiy. Six heads of state, mostly from the region, attended his inauguration celebrations in Addis Ababa last week. But several of the congratulatory speeches included expressions of growing concern, and urged Mr. Abiy toward peace talks.

“Ethiopia is our mother,” said President Uhuru Kenyatta of Kenya. “If our mother is not at peace, neither can the family be at peace.”

The criticism of Mr. Abiy in the West is growing increasingly strident. Last week an essay by Mark Lowcock, a former British diplomat and until recently the U.N.’s humanitarian chief, accused Mr. Abiy of trying to starve the people of Tigray “either into subjugation or out of existence” and warned he risked causing his country to collapse.

“Abiy’s game plan cannot work,” Mr. Lowcock wrote, citing what he said was a growing expert consensus. “If he tries and fails to destroy Tigray, he will be destroyed himself. If he succeeds, he will never survive the backlash that will follow.”

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Ethiopia to expel UN officials amid fears of Tigray famine

The group, which includes officials from the UN’s Children Fund (UNICEF) and UN Office of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA), have 72 hours to leave the country.

Earlier this month, UNOCHA said there was a “de facto humanitarian aid blockade” into the war-torn Tigray region, where at least 400,000 people are facing famine conditions, according to the agency’s latest figures.

Since July, only 606 trucks carrying humanitarian supplies have managed to enter Tigray — a small fraction of what is needed to bring humanitarian assistance to 5.2 million people, according to UNOCHA.

The UN estimates 100 trucks a day are needed in order to meet the demand. Medical supplies continue to be denied entry into the region by the Ethiopian government, according to the UN.

The UN has cited “logistical and bureaucratic impediments including long delays for clearance of humanitarian supplies,” severe fuel shortages, and reported harassment of drivers as reasons for restricted passage.

UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres responded to the threatened expulsions on Thursday, saying he was “shocked” by the decision and that the global body was working to keep staff in the country, in a statement read by a spokesperson.

“I have full confidence in the UN staff who are in Ethiopia doing this work. The UN is committed to helping Ethiopian people who rely on humanitarian assistance. We are now engaging with the government of Ethiopia in the expectation that the concerned UN staff will be allowed to continue their important work.”

The decision follows sharp comments earlier this week on the Ethiopian government’s role in the humanitarian crisis by UN aid chief Martin Griffiths. “This is man-made, this can be remedied by the act of government,” he said, Reuters reported.

“We need the Ethiopian government to do what they promised to do which is to facilitate access,” he added.

The Ethiopian government has repeatedly rejected allegations that it is blocking aid.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, UNICEF and UNOCHA did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

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U.N. aid chief to Ethiopia on famine in Tigray: ‘Get those trucks moving’

The United Nations’ new Under-Secretary-General for humanitarian affairs Martin Griffiths addresses a news conference on the humanitarian crisis in Tigray after visiting the region, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, August 3, 2021. REUTERS/Tiksa Negeri/File Photo

UNITED NATIONS, Sept 28 (Reuters) – United Nations aid chief Martin Griffiths said on Tuesday he assumes famine has taken hold in Ethiopia’s Tigray where a nearly three-month long “de-facto blockade” has restricted aid deliveries to 10% of what is needed in the war-torn region.

Griffiths told Reuters during an interview that his request was simple: “Get those trucks moving.”

“This is man-made, this can be remedied by the act of government,” he said.

War broke out 10 months ago between Ethiopia’s federal troops and forces loyal to the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), which controls Tigray. Thousands have died and more than two million people have been forced to flee their homes.

“We predicted that there were 400,000 people in famine-like conditions, at risk of famine, and the supposition was that if no aid got to them adequately they would slip into famine,” said Griffiths, referring to a U.N. assessment in June. read more

“I have to assume that something like that is happening,” he said, adding that it was difficult to know exactly what the situation was on the ground in Tigray because of a de-facto aid blockade and lack of fuel, cash and trucks.

Ethiopia’s U.N. mission in New York said that “any claim on the existence of blockade is baseless.” It said aid groups “faced shortage in trucks as a result of the non-return of almost all trucks that traveled to Tigray to deliver aid.”

Truck drivers carrying aid into Tigray have been shot at at least twice and some Tigrayan drivers have been arrested in the neighboring region of Afar, although they were later released, according to U.N. reports.

MALNUTRITION

Griffiths said a lot of trucks go into Tigray and don’t come back, compounding the humanitarian problems. He said no fuel trucks had gone into Tigray since late July.

“First of all, they probably don’t have fuel to come out,” he said. “And secondly, they may not wish to, so the consequences for humanitarian operations – whatever the cause – is problematic.”

The United Nations in Ethiopia said on Sept. 16 that only 38 out of 466 trucks that entered Tigray since July 12 had returned. On Tuesday, World Food Programme (WFP) in Ethiopia posted on Twitter that 61 commercial trucks had left Tigray in recent days and they expected more to depart in coming weeks.

“We’ll continue to work with transporters to overcome any logistical issue to ensure trucks are on the road, facilitating the delivery of humanitarian aid,” WFP Ethiopia said.

In Tigray the United Nations says 5.2 million people, or 90% of the population, need help.

According to the United Nations, screening of children under age 5 during the first half of September revealed that 22.7% of are malnourished and more than 70% of some 11,000 pregnant or breastfeeding women are acutely malnourished.

“As a comparison this is about the same levels of malnutrition that we saw in 2011 in Somalia at the onset of the Somali famine,” Griffiths said.

Griffiths said 100 trucks a day of aid needed to get to Tigray, but only 10% had gained access in the past three months.

“We need the Ethiopian government to do what they promised to do which is to facilitate access,” said Griffiths, who met with Ethiopia’s Deputy Prime Minister Demeke Mekonnen last week during the annual U.N. gathering of world leaders in New York.

Mekonnen assured him that access is improving, but Griffiths said “it needs to improve a great deal more.”

Reporting by Michelle Nichols; editing by Grant McCool

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Yemen: Famine has arrived and Saudi ships blocking fuel aren’t helping

CNN watched overstretched doctors and nurses as they tried to give oxygen to Hassan, who had arrived six days earlier but wasn’t putting on any weight, and was struggling to breathe. Just hours later, Hassan died.

“He is just one of many cases,” said Dr. Osman Salah. The ward is full of children suffering from malnutrition, including babies just weeks old.

Every month, this hospital’s pediatric ward takes in more patients than its capacity of 50, sometimes twice as many. Around 12 children die there each month, Salah said. He and his staff are running on empty — they haven’t been paid for more than half a year.

An estimated 47,000 people are likely to be living with “catastrophic” levels of food insecurity — or famine-like conditions — according to an analysis by the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC), the world’s authority on food security. A further 16 million are living in either “crisis” or “emergency” food security conditions, the analysis shows. That’s more than half of Yemen’s population.

The rapidly deteriorating situation is the result mostly of funding cuts that have battered activities by agencies like the World Food Programme, which is struggling now to meet the most basic of needs for millions of Yemenis, particularly in the country’s north.

But it has also been exacerbated by a mounting fuel crisis. Staff at the hospital in Abs, where baby Hassan lost his life, say they will have to shut in less than three weeks if they don’t receive more funding and fuel to keep their generators going. It’s the same story all over the north.

“If fuel were easily available on the market, the number of cases we are seeing in the hospital would be much higher, because at the moment, there are patients who are staying at home, because of the challenges and expenses of traveling to the hospital,” Dr. Salah said.

As a result, said Dr. Salah, children are simply dying in their homes.

A bitter blockade

Fuel typically comes into the country’s north via the port of Hodeidah, usually bustling with economic activity at the best of times. Even during Yemen’s ongoing civil war, it has been a lively gateway for the conflict economy, where food and other aid that Yemenis rely on arrive.

But the port is now a ghost town. Hundreds of food aid trucks sit parked in a line stretching for miles along a dusty road. A cavernous tank that usually stores some 2,500 metric tons of oil sits empty at the port. It lets off an echoey clang with the softest touch.

Saudi warships have not allowed any oil tankers to berth at Hodeidah since the start of the year, the Houthis say, an assertion backed by the World Food Programme. The practice is starving the north of much-needed fuel. Since 2015, Saudi Arabia has been militarily supporting the internationally recognized Yemeni government, which is now operating in exile from Riyadh.

The Saudi vessels that patrol the waters of Hodeidah have control over which commercial ships can dock and unload their cargo. Some goods are getting through — CNN witnessed aid being loaded on to trucks at the port after being delivered by ship — but not any fuel to deliver them.

CNN obtained documents from the port’s arrival log showing that 14 vessels had been cleared by the UN’s verification and inspection body to carry fuel to the country. The tracking website MarineTraffic.com shows those vessels are now sitting in the Red Sea between the Saudi-Yemen border and Eritrea, unable to unload their fuel.

The UN has previously accused the Houthis of siphoning hundreds of millions of dollars in fuel taxes earmarked to pay civil servants. Nonetheless, the UN has reiterated that agencies still need to operate in the north, where the need is greatest.

Houthi officials tell CNN that they are being fined millions of dollars by the companies that own the ships while they are unable to dock.

Nearly three years ago the UN Security Council criminalized “intentionally using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare,” and demanded that “access to supplies that are necessary for food preparation, including water and fuel” be kept intact in northern Yemen.

The Saudi government did not reply to CNN’s request for comment on the new fuel blockade and a question on whether blocking fuel might constitute a method of warfare.

The World Health Organization, which provides critical funding to hospitals and clinics, says it has been left with no funding at all to secure fuel to carry out its services across Yemen.

“From March 2021, WHO will have to stop distributing fuel to 206 facilities across the country, over 60 percent are hospitals providing services not available at the already fragile primary level. This will lead to the stoppage of life-saving services, such as emergency rooms and intensive care units, including COVID-19 ICUs. Over 9 million people will be affected,” it said in a document, shared with CNN.

The Saudi-backed Yemeni government has repeatedly denied CNN visas to enter the country’s north after coverage last year that exposed Saudi Arabia’s dramatic drop in humanitarian funding for the war. CNN traveled at night by boat from east Africa to reach the Houthi-controlled north, where a Saudi blockade has contributed to widescale suffering and enormous food security challenges.

Saudi Arabia has been targeting Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen since 2015, with the support of the US and other Western allies. It had hoped to stem the Houthis’ spread of power and influence in the country by backing the internationally-recognized government under President Abdu Rabu Mansour Hadi.

The Houthis continue to hit Saudi targets with missiles from within Yemen and drone attacks.

Can Biden turn the war?

The dynamics of the conflict, however, appear to be rapidly changing. In February, US President Joe Biden announced a new Yemen strategy, giving momentum to the search for a ceasefire and eventual political solution.

There are few concrete details yet of his policy, but central to his announcement was the US’ withdrawal of offensive support for Saudi Arabia.

“The US historically has not viewed Yemen as an independent sovereign nation in its own right. The US has treated Yemen as an extension of either the US-Saudi policy or the US-Iranian crisis,” said Munir Saeed, former president of a Yemeni pro-democracy group TAWQ, at a Yemen briefing held by Fair Observer last week.

He welcomed the change in direction, saying the Biden strategy was the first from the US to put Yemen’s interests at its center.

“Dealing with Yemen as a country by itself that has its own problems, and cutting it away from the problems of Saudi-Iranian problems … is very important to lead to peace.”

The Obama administration was supportive of Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen in 2015 and offered the Kingdom arms deals worth more than $115 billion total, more than any other US administration in the history of US-Saudi relations, according to a report by the Center for International Policy.

It later imposed restrictions on the sale of certain arms to Riyadh, including precision-guided munitions, after reports of civilian casualties in several Saudi-led airstrikes. The Trump administration reversed some of those restrictions, though he faced constant challenges in Congress.

As part of his new approach, Biden also appointed a special envoy for Yemen, Tim Lenderking, who is wrapping up a two-week visit to region, trying to engage different parties and give mediation efforts a reboot.

There will be limitations to how much the Biden administration can achieve, and ultimately, a ceasefire will depend on Yemeni actors on the ground.

And the Houthis are showing little appetite of slowing down, still launching missiles and drone attacks on Saudi Arabia, which has been responding with airstrikes. The Houthis said last week they had also seized control of 10 out of 14 districts of the strategic northern city of Marib.

On the back of his Gulf trip, Lenderking told CNN that Saudi Arabia and its allied Yemeni government were ready to agree to a ceasefire, and called on the Houthis to end their cross-border strikes and assault on Marib.

“They are ready to sit down to negotiate an end to the conflict with all relevant parties, including Ansarallah, sometimes referred to as the Houthis, during which access to ports and other issues could be addressed and resolved quickly,” he said, using the group’s formal name, in an emailed response to CNN’s questions.

When asked about US support for Saudi Arabia while the country was blocking fuel deliveries to Hodeidah, Lenderking said the situation was “complex.”

“On fuel, we need to be clear where the problem lies,” he said, pointing to a UN accusation against the Houthis that they had siphoned fuel taxes earmarked to pay Yemeni civil servants to fund its war effort as the main reason the fuel tankers have been barred from docking.

“Instead, Ansarallah diverted them to their war effort, which they continue to fund with revenues from diverted imports and port revenues.”

Lenderking said the US was urging the Yemeni government to work with the UN around the impasse to ensure that aid continues to flow where it’s needed and that a fuel shortage doesn’t worsen the situation.

In Yemen, CNN met with Mohammed Ali Al-Houthi, a senior Houthi leader, who said his group was willing to come to the negotiating table but wanted to see more action from the US first before it put trust in Biden.

“First of all, President Biden was a partner of President Obama, and during that time they declared that they would join the coalition against our country. They also agreed about and gave the green light for the coalition to continue perpetuating the killing in our country,” he said.

“Trust is created by actions not words. Trust must come about by decisions. So far, we have not seen any concrete decisions being made.”

Aid agency’s plead for action now

A political solution, or at least an initial ceasefire, would go a long way in addressing the country’s food security problems.

“Ultimately, until there’s an end to the war, we are doing what we can to save lives. But Yemen needs peace,” said the World Food Programme’s Yemen spokesperson Annabel Symington.

In April last year, the WFP said it was forced to cut every second monthly food aid delivery to 8 million people in Yemen’s north. It’s now hoping to raise $1.9 billion, which will be enough just to avert widescale famine.

The WFP and most agencies don’t know how much money they will get this year, but it isn’t looking good. A pledging conference on March 1 garnered less than half the $3.85 billion the UN estimates it needs just to keep the country fed and running.

Philippe Duamelle, the Yemen representative for UNICEF, is making an urgent plea for donors to step up their pledges, warning that 2.3 million children under the age of 5 in Yemen are projected to suffer acute malnutrition this year, up 16% from 2020.

“The children of Yemen cannot wait, we’ve got to be able to assist them and save them now. The situation has deteriorated significantly, and we need to reverse the trends now,” he said.

But in all humanitarian disasters, there are glimmers of hope. In the district of Harf Soufian, which in January descended into the “catastrophic” famine-like category, another 10-month old baby, just like Hassan Ali, has been fighting for her life.

Zahra sat in her mother’s arms, sucking her fingers, at the Rural Harf Soufian Hospital. All the staff here have been excited by her success story.

When she came to the hospital, her doctor said, she weighed just 5 kilograms, putting her in the bottom 5% for girls by weight, according to WHO growth standards. In just four days, she has put on 400 grams, no mean feat for a baby from a district starved of food.

“She is improving,” said Dr. Adnan Abdul-Rahman, looking through a log of her weight gain.

“The hard thing is getting the children here. But when families can get them here, it makes a difference.”

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