Tag Archives: Ether

Cryptoverse: After Merge, ether heads for a $20 billion Shanghai splurge

Souvenir tokens representing cryptocurrency networks Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin and Ripple plunge into water in this illustration taken May 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

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Sept 20 (Reuters) – The Merge came, saw and conquered. Not that you’d guess from crypto prices.

The Ethereum blockchain’s mega-upgrade finally went live on Sept. 15, moving it to a less energy-intensive “proof of stake” (PoS) system with hardly a hiccup. read more

Even though anticipation of the event had seen ether rise about 85% from its June doldrums, it has since sunk 19%, hit along with bitcoin and other risky assets by investor angst over inflation and central-bank policy.

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Nonetheless, many market players are bullish about the long-term prospects of Ethereum and its native cryptocurrency.

“Previously, we have talked to sovereign wealth funds and central banks to help build their digital asset allocations… but direct investment has been voted down due to energy concerns,” said Markus Thielen, chief investment officer at asset manager IDEG Limited.

“With Ethereum moving to PoS, this clearly solves this last pillar of concern.”

Some crypto investors are now turning their attention to the next event that could shake up prices.

The next significant upgrade for Ethereum is the “Shanghai”, expected by market participants in around six months’ time, which is aimed at reducing its high transaction costs.

It would allow validators, who have deposited ether tokens on the blockchain in exchange for a yield, to withdraw their staked coins, to hold or sell.

There’s a lot at stake: over $20 billion of ether deposits are currently locked up, according to data provider Glassnode.

The staked ether crypto coin – viewed as a bet on Ethereum’s long-term success as it cannot be redeemed until Shanghai happens – is trading at nearly parity with ether at 0.989 ether, according to CoinMarketCap data, indicating confidence in future upgrades.

The coin had dropped as low as 0.92 in June.

PURGE AND SPLURGE

Beyond Shanghai, a slew of other upgrades are planned for Ethereum, which co-founder Vitalik Buterin has nicknamed “the surge”, “verge”, “purge” and “splurge”.

The primary focus of future upgrades is likely to be on the blockchain’s ability to process more transactions.

“Because the Merge was delayed for several years, investors, traders, and end-users have a great deal of trepidation around when Ethereum will meaningfully scale,” said Alex Thorn, head of firmwide research at blockchain-focused bank Galaxy Digital.

Paul Brody, global blockchain leader at EY, said: “Ethereum’s future needs to, and will, scale to hundreds of millions of transactions a day.”

Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics

ETHEREUM KILLERS

The Merge’s primary goal was to reduce Ethereum’s energy usage as cryptocurrencies come under fire for their massive carbon footprint. The blockchain’s energy consumption was cut by an estimated 99.95%, the developers claim, which could tempt powerful institutional investors, formerly constrained by environmental, social and governance (ESG) concerns.

The Merge and future upgrades also dent the investment appeal of so-called “Ethereum killer” blockchains like Solana and Polkadot, said Adam Struck, CEO of venture capital firm Struck Crypto.

However, institutional investors aren’t jumping in just yet, as a fearsome macro environment chills the waters of risk appetite.

Longer-term, though, the switch to PoS is expected to decrease the rate at which ether tokens are issued – potentially by up to 90% – which should drive up prices.

Additionally, annual yields of 4.1% for staking ether tokens to validate transactions could prove tempting for investors.

However, while the proof-of-stake method allows for these lucrative yields, many crypto purists point out that it moves Ethereum away from a purely decentralized model as the biggest validators could exercise greater influence over the blockchain.

For the time being, however, the Ethereum world might be advised to enjoy the Merge moment.

“There may be volatility in the days to come,” said analysts at Kaiko Research. “But for now the community can take a well-earned victory lap.”

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Reporting by Lisa Pauline Mattackal and Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Pravin Char

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

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Ether (ETH) drops 15% since Ethereum merge as traders take profits

Ethereum underwent a huge network upgrade called the merge which proponents say will make transactions much more energy efficient. Following the merge, ether prices have dropped following a huge run up ahead of the event.

Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Ether has fallen more than bitcoin since the cryptocurrency’s underlying technology, the Ethereum network, underwent a huge upgrade called the merge.

Ethereum is a blockchain technology that effectively allows developers to build apps on top of it. Ether is the native cryptocurrency that runs on Ethereum.

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The merge is an upgrade to Ethereum that changes the validation mechanism for transactions from a proof-of-work method to proof-of-stake. Proponents say this will make validating transactions on Ethereum much more energy efficient and has been eagerly-anticipated by the crypto community.

Despite the upgrade happening successfully, ether has fallen more than bitcoin.

Since Sept. 15, the date the merge was completed, to around 4:30 a.m ET on Tuesday, ether is down around 15%. Bitcoin has dropped around 3% in the same period.

Ahead of the network upgrade, the price of ether roughly doubled from the lows of the year in June, far outpacing bitcoin’s gains.

Vijay Ayyar, vice president of corporate development and international at crypto exchange Luno, said that the merge was already “priced in” for ether and the “actual event was a ‘sell the news’ situation.”

Traders are also shifting investments from ether and other alternative digital coins back into bitcoin, according to Ayyar, “since the expectation is that Bitcoin will outperform for a few months from here on.”

Investors are also wondering whether the regulatory standing of ether may change after the merge after U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler indicated last week that cryptocurrencies that work on the proof-of-stake model, which applies to Ethereum, could be classed as a security. That would bring it under the purview of the regulators.

Gensler’s, whose comments were reported by several news outlets, did not name ether specifically. The proof-of-stake model involves investors “staking” or locking up their ether and earning returns for doing so.

“For Ethereum, there is another concern: PoS (proof-of-stake) crypto may fall under SEC’s scrutiny,” said Yuya Hasegawa, crypto market analyst at Japanese crypto exchange Bitbank.

Rate hikes still in focus

Crypto investors are also on edge ahead of an expected interest rate rise from the U.S. Federal Reserve this week.

Central banks around the world have been raising interest rates to deal with rampant inflation. But that has hurt risk assets such as stocks. Cryptocurrencies have been closely correlated with U.S. stock markets, in particular the tech-heavy Nasdaq. With stocks remaining under pressure, crypto has also felt the heat.

Inflation in the U.S. in August came in higher than expected, which hit stocks and crypto.

“From a macro perspective as well, inflation did come in higher, and hence caused a sell off across all markets, but ethereum and altcoins did sell off harder, given they’re along the more risky part of the crypto spectrum,” Ayyar said.

Bitcoin has been trading in a range of about $18,000 to $25,000 since June, a level at which investors are buying in, according to Ayyar.

But any “change in the macro environment in terms of inflation of interest rate surprises, is definitely cause for concern,” he said, adding that if bitcoin falls below $18,000, the cryptocurrency could test levels as low as $14,000.

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Cryptoverse: Ether snaps at bitcoin’s heels in race for crypto crown

Souvenir tokens representing cryptocurrency Bitcoin and the Ethereum network, with its native token ether, plunge into water in this illustration taken May 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

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Sept 13 (Reuters) – For years, ether could barely dream of challenging its big brother bitcoin. Now, its ambitions may be becoming more realistic.

The second-biggest cryptocurrency is taking market share from bitcoin ahead of an all-important “Merge” software upgrade that could sharply reduce the energy usage of its Ethereum blockchain, should the developers pull it off in coming days.

Bitcoin’s dominance, or its share of the crypto market’s market value, has slipped to 39.1% from this year’s peak of 47.5% in mid-June, according to data platform CoinMarketCap. Ether, on the other hand, has climbed to 20.5% from 16%.

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The upstart is still a long way from overtaking bitcoin as the No.1 cryptocurrency, a reversal known to aficionados as “the flippening”. It’s made up ground, though; in January 2021, bitcoin reigned supreme at 72%, while ether occupied a slender 10%.

As for price, one ether is now worth 0.082 bitcoin , near December 2021 highs and sharply above the 2022 low of 0.049 in June.

“People are now viewing Ethereum as essentially a safe asset because they’ve seen the success of the network, they think it’s not going anywhere,” said Joseph Edwards, head of financial strategy at fund management firm Solrise Finance.

“There’s a permanency to how Ethereum is perceived in the crypto ecosystem.”

Reuters Graphics

CAPRICIOUS CRYPTO

The Merge, expected to take place on Thursday after several delays, could lead to wider use of the blockchain, potentially boosting ether’s price – although nothing is certain in a capricious crypto market. read more

Ethereum forms the backbone of much of the “Web3” vision of an internet where crypto takes centre stage, powering applications involving crypto offshoots such as decentralised finance and non-fungible tokens – although this much-hyped dream is still unrealised.

Bitcoin and ether have both nearly halved this year on concerns about supersized interest rate hikes from central banks. Nonetheless, investors seem to like the look of the Merge, with ether up over 65% since the end of June. Bitcoin has barely budged in the same period.

“We’re going to see (ether’s) attractiveness to some investors who are concerned about energy consumption,” said Doug Schwenk, CEO of Digital Asset Research, although he cautioned that ether was still a long way behind bitcoin.

THE KING IS STRONG

The diminishing bitcoin dominance in crypto’s current bear market is a departure from previous market cycles when investors sold lesser tokens – “altcoins” – in favor of the more liquid and reliable bitcoin.

Dethroning the king is no easy feat, though.

Bitcoin is still by far the most well-known cryptocurrency. Mainstream investors who have dipped their toes in the crypto market since 2020 have tended to turn first to bitcoin, as the most liquid and widely-traded token.

Its market cap of $427 billion is still more than double Ether’s $210 billion, and market participants firmly believe the original digital coin remains the gold standard in crypto due to its limited supply.

Some market players say bitcoin’s grip on the crypto crown is still strong, even if it has to accept other contenders. For example, Hugo Xavier, CEO of K2 Trading Partners, said its dominance could improve to 50%-60% range if the crypto market turns bullish but it is unlikely to touch 70% again.

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Reporting by Medha Singh and Lisa Pauline Mattackal in Bengaluru; Editing by Tom Wilson and Pravin Char

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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

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Ether (ETH) price outpaces bitcoin (BTC) as ethereum merge nears

Ether has hugely outperformed bitcoin since both cryptocurrencies formed a bottom in June 2022. Ether’s superior gains have come as investors anticipate a major upgrade to the ethereum blockchain called “the merge.”

Yuriko Nakao | Getty Images

Since finding a bottom in mid-June, ether has massively outperformed bitcoin as investors anticipate a major upgrade to the ethereum blockchain.

Bitcoin hit a low of $17,601 on June 19 and is up around 31% since then as of Friday’s trading price, according to CoinDesk data.

Ether also hit its recent low on June 19 at $880.93, but has surged 106% since then.

The huge divergence in performance in the two cryptocurrencies come down to one major factor: a big upgrade in the ethereum blockchain. Ether is the native cryptocurrency of the ethereum network.

Ethereum’s upgrade, called the “merge,” is slated to take place on Sept. 15 after numerous delays. The blockchain will change from a so-called proof-of-work system to a model called proof-of-stake. A full explanation of the merge can be found here.

Proponents say that the move will make the ethereum network faster and more energy-efficient.

“The upcoming Ethereum Merge is the biggest narrative in crypto right now and explains why Ether has left Bitcoin in its wake in the past month,” Antoni Trenchev, co-founder of crypto trading platform Nexo, told CNBC via email.

“A blockchain that pitches itself as being energy efficient will always capture the imagination of the masses and that’s why Ether has the wind in its sails ahead of the Merge, a move to proof of stake.”

Sustainable rally?

But the recent ether rally, which has seen its price double in the space of two months, has been rapid.

One analyst said that the rally could continue but there may be some resistance at around the $2,000 mark. Ether was trading at $1,814 on Friday.

Jacob Joseph, research analyst at data service CryptoCompare, said that with no Federal Open Market Committee meeting scheduled for August and stocks seeing a rebound, “it is reasonable to believe Ethereum can still rally as we edge closer to the Merge.”

“However … $2,000 has proved to be a major resistance for Ether and the asset needs more wind behind its sail to break that level.”

Joseph added that bitcoin is unlikely to outperform ether in the near term.

There are risks to the ether price rally, according to Trenchev.

“Any further (unlikely) delays to the mid-September Merge will see an unwind in a large portion of Ether’s 50% rally since mid-July,” he said.

There is always the chance that traders take profits too on the huge rally, Trenchev said.

“The Merge, if successful, might well prove to be a ‘buy the rumour sell the news’ type event, given the jaw-dropping gains we’ve seen in Ether,” Trenchev added.

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Cryptoverse: Electric ether leaps on verge of Merge

Representations of cryptocurrency Bitcoin, Ethereum and Dash plunge into water in this illustration taken, May 23, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

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Aug 16 (Reuters) – It looks like ethereum’s mega-upgrade is happening. Finally.

After years of delays, the “Merge” seems all but certain to take place in September, with the cryptography underlying the blockchain undergoing a radical shift to a system where the creation of new ether tokens becomes far less energy-intensive.

“It’s an exciting time for the ethereum ecosystem,” said Omar Syed, co-founder of smart contract platform Shardeum. “I think there will be drama surrounding the Merge, but I don’t think there will be any technical hiccups.”

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Investors seem to agree, with ether outstripping big brother bitcoin.

Ether has seen six consecutive weeks of gains, pushing it up from a 1-1/2-year low of $880 in mid-June to levels closing in on $2,000, even though it’s way off its November 2021 peak of $4,868.79.

Bitcoin has paled in comparison, rebounding 37% from its June low to $24,116.

Ether is gnawing away at behemoth bitcoin’s market share: it now accounts for nearly a fifth – 19.7% – of the total crypto market capitalization of $1.14 trillion, up from less than 14.9% two months ago, according to CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin’s share has dropped to 40.2% from 44.9% in the same period.

“Crypto is still very tightly coupled, I think when the Merge successfully completes it could drive up the price of bitcoin as well,” said Alex Miller, CEO of Hiro, which builds developer tools to create applications for bitcoin.

If ethereum’s creators succeed, as is largely expected, it could be a game-changer for the blockchain, making it cheaper to mine and easy to adopt for fintech and other crypto apps.

Of course little is assured about the elusive transition, which has been delayed several times, with developers most recently axing plans to push the button in June, unnerving investors who began to fear it might never see the light of day.

The Merge is also is fraught with risk, and the fortunes of the roughly 122 million ether in circulation, worth about $232 billion, could be at stake should it fail.

If the upgrade doesn’t go well, it would “set the entire crypto world back five or 10 years,” Hiro’s Miller said.

‘DIFFICULTY BOMB’

The ethereum blockchain currently uses the energy-intensive proof-of work (PoW) method of validating blocks, wherein miners use massive amounts of power to quickly solve complex computational problems to win newly minted coins.

On a parallel chain, ethereum has been testing a proof-of-stake (PoS) system that only requires miners to “stake” their coins to validate transactions and create new blocks. It promises 99.95% reduction in the blockhain’s energy consumption and prepares it for faster transactions.

Not everyone’s happy about the imminent merger of the two systems – notably ether miners, whose expensive mining rigs will be rendered obsolete, and can’t be used for mining bitcoin either.

Ether mining has hitherto been more profitable than bitcoin mining. Ether miners made $18 billion in 2021 versus $17 billion for bitcoin miners, according to Arcane Research.

Some miners have decided to shift to mining the next best option, such as the tokens ethereum classic or ravencoin.

At least one miner has declared plans to resist and continue mining ethereum, raising the spectre of some people keeping the PoW chain running in its current form even after the merge, likely competing with the upgraded blockchain.

However, that option has perils.

Ethereum creators have designed a “difficulty bomb” to exponentially increase mining difficulty in order to discourage the PoW parallel chain after the Merge.

Moreover, both Tether and USDC – the largest stablecoins – have thrown their weight behind the Merge, reducing the likelihood of a wider adoption of the parallel PoW chain.

FROTHY FUTURES

“The likelihood of a long-lasting chain split of Ethereum following the Merge remains slim,” said Alex Thorn, head of firmwide research at Galaxy Digital.

Nonetheless, at least some investors are preparing for a hard fork, or a parallel PoW chain, positioning in the derivatives market indicates.

Ether futures were also trading at premium at $1,905 on the CME exchange, “reflecting expectations around a proof of work fork,” said Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at fund manager VanEck.

“But that gap is not so huge so as to think there is extreme froth,” he added.

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Reporting by Medha Singh and Lisa Pauline Mattackal in Bengaluru
Editing by Vidya Ranganathan and Pravin Char

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Senate Plan Would Put Bitcoin, Ether Under Commodity Regulator’s Watch

WASHINGTON—Leaders of a Senate committee are pitching legislation that would assign oversight of the two largest cryptocurrencies, bitcoin and ether, to the federal agency that regulates milk futures and interest-rate swaps.

Senate Agriculture Committee Chairwoman Debbie Stabenow (D., Mich.) and top-ranking Republican John Boozman of Arkansas unveiled a plan Wednesday that would empower the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to regulate spot markets for digital commodities, a newly created asset class. Currently the CFTC has authority to police derivatives, such as futures and swaps, rather than underlying commodities.

The bill marks the latest salvo in an intensifying battle among federal agencies and congressional committees that oversee them over who will regulate crypto. Thirteen years after bitcoin was created, cryptocurrencies remain largely unregulated by the federal government, leaving investors without key protections from fraud and market manipulation.

The competition for jurisdiction heated up in recent months as a meltdown in crypto markets underscored the need for guardrails in the eyes of many policy makers. The competition also reflects the industry’s ramped-up lobbying presence in Washington and its push to reach more mainstream investors through Super Bowl ads and other high-profile marketing initiatives.

‘When there’s a topic as hot as crypto, everybody wants a seat at the table.’


— Aaron Klein, Brookings Institution senior fellow

“When there’s a topic as hot as crypto, everybody wants a seat at the table,” said

Aaron Klein,

a senior fellow at Brookings Institution who focuses on financial regulation. “The question is, are we going to have regulatory turf paralysis?”

In practical terms, for federal agencies such as the CFTC, Securities and Exchange Commission, and Federal Reserve, adding crypto to their remit would bring bigger budgets, greater influence and more job opportunities for officials who leave public service. For members of the congressional committees that oversee such regulators, a new industry in their sandbox would create another stream of lobbyists and campaign donations.

“We need to treat this seriously and take our responsibilities seriously for protecting consumers,” Ms. Stabenow said in a virtual press conference alongside Mr. Boozman.

Washington has introduced a flurry of bills in recent months to draw jurisdictional lines. Sens.

Cynthia Lummis

(R., Wyo.) and

Kirsten Gillibrand

(D., N.Y.) unveiled a proposal in June that would create exemptions for cryptocurrencies in securities laws, banking statutes and tax code. In July, leaders of the House Financial Services Committee said they were working on a bill to grant the Federal Reserve a greater role in regulating some stablecoins, crypto tokens pegged against the dollar and other official currencies.

When cryptocurrency lending platform Celsius froze user accounts amid a plunge in valuations, it sent ripples across the industry and raised questions about what happens to user assets if a crypto platform files for bankruptcy. WSJ’s Vicky Ge Huang explains. Photo illustration: Jordan Kranse

Agencies also are seeking to claim territory. CFTC Chairman

Rostin Behnam,

a former staffer to Ms. Stabenow, said last week his agency is “ready and well situated” to oversee spot markets for some cryptocurrencies. He has worked with his former boss for months to help craft legislation that would authorize the CFTC to do so, people familiar with the matter say.

Meanwhile, SEC Chairman

Gary Gensler

has repeatedly demanded that cryptocurrency-trading platforms such as

Coinbase Global Inc.

register with the agency as securities exchanges akin to the New York Stock Exchange or Nasdaq. In May, the SEC nearly doubled the staff of an enforcement unit focused on cryptocurrencies.

“Four years ago when I started this job, there were some people that just thought this thing was all going to blow up and go away, that this was sort of a passing fad,” said Kristin Smith, executive director of the Blockchain Association, a trade group representing crypto firms.

Now, she said, “We’ve got all these regulators suddenly vying for control.”

After the SEC alleged in an insider-trading case in July that at least seven cryptocurrencies listed on Coinbase should have been registered as securities, Republican CFTC Commissioner

Caroline Pham

accused the SEC of “regulation by enforcement.”

“The SEC is not working together with the CFTC,” Ms. Pham said in an interview. “They go out unilaterally to try to establish precedent that’s going to dramatically reshape the landscape as to what’s a security and what’s a commodity.”

Ms. Pham has posted photos to her

Twitter

account of herself posing alongside crypto lobbyists and executives including

Sam Bankman-Fried,

the billionaire founder of trading platform FTX.

Ms. Pham said that crypto is one of the areas she is focused on, and, “I take pictures with everybody. Like, literally, everybody.”

At the heart of the turf war are questions about how cryptocurrencies fit into the definition of a security, the legal classification that includes stocks and bonds.

Coinbase and other firms have lobbied Congress to create a new category for digital commodities and empower the CFTC to regulate it.



Photo:

Shannon Stapleton/REUTERS

A 1946 Supreme Court case created a test that focuses on whether investors buy an asset in hopes of profiting from the efforts of other people. If so, the issuer is required to register with the SEC and publicly disclose any information that may be material to the security’s price.

Even though investors in bitcoin and ether rely on a network of users and programmers to validate transactions and perform software updates, cryptocurrency enthusiasts insist those groups are too decentralized for the assets to be regulated like securities. Instead, they argue, the assets should be considered commodities, which have a broader definition and no full-time regulator.

Firms such as Coinbase, FTX and Ripple have spent millions of dollars over the past year lobbying Congress to create a new category for digital commodities and empower the CFTC to regulate it. The agency has roughly one-sixth the head count of the SEC, and its rules are seen by the industry as easier to comply with than securities laws.

“When you ask the people that are in the industry…almost all feel like the regulator should be primarily the CFTC,” Mr. Boozman said. “The fact that they’re fairly united on that makes it easier on members.”

Crypto skeptics worry that creating a new legal concept for cryptocurrencies could create an alternative to securities registration for a wider variety of assets.

“People who are taking action that could undermine our securities law are playing with fire,” said Dennis Kelleher, president of investor-advocacy group Better Markets. “You may love or hate the SEC, but transparent disclosure, clear rules…and enforcement is what builds trust and confidence in our markets.”

The legislation being unveiled Wednesday would seek to exclude securities from the definition of digital commodities, making it narrower in scope than that of other crypto-related bills floated in recent months, such as the Lummis-Gillibrand proposal.

Ms. Stabenow said she expects the Agriculture Committee to hold a hearing on the bill as early as September.

SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS

How should the two largest cryptocurrencies, bitcoin and ether, be regulated? Join the conversation below.

The bill would require any entity acting as a digital commodity platform—including crypto exchanges such as Coinbase and FTX—to register with the CFTC as trading facilities, dealers or brokers. The exchanges would have to monitor trading, protect investors from abuse and only offer assets that are resistant to market manipulation, among other requirements.

Platforms also would be obliged to disclose some information about the assets they list, such as operating structure and conflicts of interest. Such information would likely fall short of the extensive disclosures required by the SEC for securities.

The derivatives markets the CFTC currently oversees are dominated by professional investors, such as banks and hedge funds. Crypto markets, by contrast, draw legions of small investors who are more vulnerable to scams.

If the agency wins jurisdiction over bitcoin and ether, the CFTC would have to write rules from scratch to protect such investors.

“How robust would they be and how long would that take?” asked Tyler Gellasch, executive director of the Healthy Markets Association, an investor trade group.

Write to Paul Kiernan at paul.kiernan@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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What is staked ether (stETH) and why is it causing havoc in crypto?

Ether is the second-largest cryptocurrency in the world by market value.

Jaap Arriens | NurPhoto via Getty Images

Another controversial cryptocurrency is causing havoc in the digital asset market — and this time, it’s not a stablecoin.

Staked ether, or stETH, is a token that’s supposed to be worth the same as ether. But for the past few weeks, it has been trading at a widening discount to the second-biggest cryptocurrency, fanning the flames of a liquidity crisis in the crypto market.

On Friday, stETH fell as low as 0.92 ETH, implying an 8% discount to ether.

Here’s everything you need to know about stETH, and why it has crypto investors worried.

What is stETH?

Each stETH token represents a unit of ether that has been “staked,” or deposited, in what’s called the “beacon chain.”

Ethereum, the network underpinning ether, is in the process of upgrading to a new version that’s meant to be faster and cheaper to use. The beacon chain is a testing environment for this upgrade.

Staking is a practice where investors lock up their tokens for a period of time to contribute to the security of a crypto network. In return, they receive rewards in the form of interest-like yields. The mechanism behind this is known as “proof of stake.” It’s different from “proof of work,” or mining, which requires lots of computing power — and energy.

To stake on Ethereum currently, users have to agree to lock away a minimum 32 ETH until after the network upgrades to a new standard, known as Ethereum 2.0.

However, a platform called Lido Finance lets users stake any amount of ether and receive a derivative token called stETH, which can then be traded or lent on other platforms. It is an important part of decentralized finance, which aims to replicate financial services like lending and insurance using blockchain technology.

StETH isn’t a stablecoin like tether or terraUSD, the “algorithmic” stablecoin that collapsed last month under the strain of a bank run. It’s more like an IOU — the idea being that stETH holders can redeem their tokens for an equivalent amount of ether once the upgrade completes.

Decoupling from ether

When the Terra stablecoin project imploded, stETH’s price began trading below ether’s as investors raced for the exit. A month later, crypto lender Celsius started halting account withdrawals, which saw stETH’s value dropping even further.

Celsius acts a lot like a bank, taking users’ crypto and lending it to other institutions to generate a return on deposits. The firm took users’ ether and staked it through Lido to boost its profits.

Celsius has more than $400 million in stETH deposits, according to data from DeFi analytics site Ape Board. The fear now is that Celsius will have to sell its stETH, resulting in hefty losses and putting more downward pressure on the token.

But that’s easier said than done. StETh holders won’t be able to redeem their tokens for ether until six to 12 months after an event known as the “merge,” which will complete Ethereum’s transition from proof of work to proof of stake.

This comes at a price, as it means investors are stuck with their stETH unless they choose to sell it on other platforms. One way to do this is to convert stETH to ether using Curve, a service that pools together funds to enable faster trading in and out of tokens.

Curve’s liquidity pool for switching between stETH and ether “has become quite unbalanced,” said Ryan Shea, economist at crypto investment firm Trakx.io. Ether accounts for less than 20% of reserves in the pool, meaning there wouldn’t be enough liquidity to meet every stETH withdrawal.

“Staked ETH issued by Lido is backed 1:1 with ETH staking deposits,” Lido said in a tweet last week, attempting to calm investor fears over stETH’s growing divergence from the value of ether.

“The exchange rate between stETH:ETH does not reflect the underlying backing of your staked ETH, but rather a fluctuating secondary market price.”

Crypto contagion

Like many facets of crypto, stETH has been caught up in a whirlwind of negative news affecting the sector.

Higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve have triggered a flight to safer, more liquid assets, which has in turn led to liquidity issues at major firms in the space.

Another company with exposure to stETH is Three Arrows Capital, the crypto hedge fund which is rumored to be in financial trouble. Public blockchain records show that 3AC has been actively selling its stETH holdings, and 3AC co-founder Zhu Su has previously said his firm is considering asset sales and a rescue by another firm to avoid collapse.

3AC was not available to comment when contacted by CNBC.

Investors worry that the fall in stETH’s value will hit even more players in crypto.

“In crypto there is no central bank,” Shea said. “Things will just have to play out, and it will continue to weigh on crypto asset prices, compounding the negative impact from the macro backdrop.”

Bitcoin briefly sank below $18,000 a coin on Saturday, pushing deeper into 18-month lows. It’s since recovered back above $20,000. Ether at one point dropped below $900, before retaking $1,000 by Monday.

The ‘merge’

The stETH debacle has also led to fresh concerns over the security of Ethereum. About a third of all the ether locked into Ethereum’s beacon chain is staked through Lido. Some investors worry this may give a single player too much control over the upgraded Ethereum network.

Ethereum recently completed a dress rehearsal for its much-anticipated merge. The success of the event bodes well for Ethereum’s upgrade, with investors expecting it to take place as early as August. But there’s no telling when it will actually happen — it’s already been delayed numerous times.

“The latest updates on Ethereum’s testnets have been positive which brings more confidence to those waiting on the Merge,” said Mark Arjoon, research associate at crypto asset management firm CoinShares.

“So, when withdrawals are eventually enabled, any discount in stETH will likely be arbitraged away but until that unknown date arrives there will still exist some form of discount.”

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Crypto whale’s $181M bet on ether is going wrong, in a big way

This is how markets unwind, and, with blockchains, savvy users can all watch it live as it goes down.

Over the last few days, crypto watchers have been captivated by two large wallets that appear to be linked, that contain $181 million in ether (ETH). They also have collateral in loans that are right on the edge of solvency.

  • Most of the debts are on the money market Aave (152,098.98 ETH worth $166 million at the time of writing, but the rest is on Compound (14,316.90 ETH worth $15.6M).

Why it matters: If the price of ether falls further, these debts will be liquidated, unleashing a gush of ether onto the market, which will drive the price of ether down even further.

Driving the news: Crypto’s winter is turning increasingly frigid, with Bitcoin sinking below the psychologically-charged $20,000 level early Saturday, and ether briefly dipping below $1000 as investors bail on digital coins. Both have shed over 30% of their value in the last week alone.

With a whale in a dangerous position like this, traders who believe ether will return to its prior highs in the long term now have an incentive to sell. If it goes down enough, big loans like these will be liquidated and drive the price down even more.

  • That could be their signal to buy again, increasing their total ETH holdings for free, but only after the market’s longs take serious pain.
  • Meanwhile, liquidations are surging at decentralized finance lenders right now, with $250.6 million of liquidations taking place on Aave, Compound and MakerDAO over the last 7 days, according to Dune Analytics.
A trading account with 165,000 followers noting 0x493F’s precarious position. Screenshot: @lightcrypto (Twitter)

Details: The wallets in question are 0x493F and 0x7160. For the first wallet, scroll down to Aave v2 and see the largest loan.

  • These wallets appear to be related, because they can be seen making larger transfers of ether, from the former to the latter, here and here, prior to topping up collateral on Compound loans.

One might naturally ask: Why not just close out the loans? They can’t, because the wallets are levered long. The owner has deposited ETH, borrowed stablecoins, bought more ETH, and deposited that to borrow more stablecoins to do it again. And so on.

  • ZoomerAnon of the team at DeFi analytics company Uniwhales, explained that you can see the wallet repeatedly taking stablecoins liked USDT and USDC, sending it to Binance, and withdrawing thousands of ethers.
  • Early January, multiple transactions like this could be seen using Etherscan.

Be smart: Traders lever long when they believe an asset’s price will go higher. If it does, they can withdraw enough to repay their loan, withdraw their collateral and come out of the trade with more of the underlying asset.

Yes, but: It only works if the asset’s price goes up.

  • These wallets were making bets that ether would go up further back in January, when it was trading at over $3,300. Today it’s barely holding $1,000.
  • “He borrowed 96,040 ETH prior to borrowing any money,” ZoomerAnon told Axios over Telegram.

DeFi lenders are automated. They monitor prices of collateral to make sure each loans are properly collateralized. As soon as collateral becomes inadequate, these protocols automatically sell the underlying collateral on the open market.

  • Whenever a borrower is liquidated, they take a painful haircut. When they have levered their position, that haircut is multiplied.

By the numbers: One researcher calculated that the largest position, on Aave, will be liquidated at a $982 ETH price. Uniwhales puts his liquidation price at $870.

  • ETH would need to fall $212, almost 20%, to trigger that lower price. That said, ETH has lost $212 in value since June 13, and almost $900 since June 1.

The intrigue: It’s speculated that these positions are owned by a major Chinese entrepreneur, but he might be operating alone, without the sophisticated risk modeling of trading firms and without the ability to watch positions around the clock.

  • That said, if the owner has liquid capital, they can always buy stablecoins and close out some of the dead positions, staving off liquidation.

Thought bubble: This might sound like another giant disaster ahead in the crypto world, but there’s another way to view it: as a transparent marketplace, functioning as expected.



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Crypto volatility hits banks, celebs and everyday investors

The value of most cryptocurrencies have plummeted in recent weeks, wiping out billions of dollars of wealth.

And instead of mostly harming cryptocurrency enthusiasts, like previous crashes have, the impact was felt widely.

Cryptocurrencies have seen their popularity skyrocket during the pandemic, pulling in countless celebrity endorsements and being integrated into more asset portfolios. 

Cryptocurrency and blockchain based tech like nonfungible tokens (NFTs) are now showing up everywhere from late-night talk shows to Matt Damon commercials. Athletes like Odell Beckham Jr. and mayors like New York’s Eric Adams (D) have even chosen to have their salary converted into cryptocurrency.

While banks and brokers once scorned cryptocurrencies, a growing number of them now offer purchasing and custody services. The boom has also helped propel several start-ups, including Robinhood, to new prominence and has even pushed some blockchain-centric firms to seek national banking licenses.

That has made the price drops of the last week, where both bitcoin and ethereum plunged over 40 percent from their highs, all the more damaging.

With tax filing season underway, many investors in the red are bracing for massive tax bills on winnings they may no longer have.

“One of the main misconceptions of crypto is that people think that it’s anonymous, so, therefore, regulators have no way of knowing what you’re doing in the crypto space. But that’s not reality,” said Shehan Chandrasekera, a certified public accountant and head of tax strategy at CoinTracker.io, a cryptocurrency tax compliance software company. 

Cryptocurrencies are treated under the same tax rules applied to stocks, bonds and other investment products. Investors who bought cryptocurrencies with dollars last year will not need to pay taxes on those purchases until they sell or trade those coins. Chandrasekera said investors who bought cryptocurrencies at a higher price than they are currently worth can even sell those coins now and apply the loss as a rebate on their 2022 taxes. 

But taxpayers who sold, mined, or exchanged cryptocurrencies in 2021 may need to pay either capital gains taxes or income taxes for those transactions. Taxpayers who quickly spent their crypto profits, reinvested them, or lost much of their net wealth during the recent crash may have trouble affording those bills depending when those transactions took place and state tax rates. 

Crunching the total tax burden of cryptocurrency transactions can also be daunting and at times impossible for unfamiliar investors, Chandrasekera said. Most cryptocurrency exchanges do not provide users annual tax filing information for their transactions as stock brokers or other trading platforms do, he said. The frequency of peer-to-peer cryptocurrency transactions and trades of one coin for another are also unique tax issues for the cryptocurrency sector. 

“It’s virtually impossible to reconcile these transactions, especially if you have multiple wallets,” he said, referring to virtual storage systems used to hold cryptocurrencies. 

The widespread adoption of cryptocurrency raises questions about its safety as an asset moving forward, both because of its volatility and vulnerability to fraud.

The major cryptocurrencies have endured several precipitous price swings before this week’s collapse.

Bitcoin lost over half of its value and Ether, the second most traded token, dropped more than 25 percent in the first month of 2018.

While both collapses had some external causes — potential regulation in the U.S. and foreign crackdowns on trading — some of the volatility comes down to the nature of the assets.

Unlike traditional currencies like the dollar or euro, cryptocurrencies are not broadly accepted in exchange for goods or services.

University of New Haven finance professor David Sacco describes them as a “speculative store of wealth” rather than a true currency.

“Crypto is more like digital gold basically,” he told The Hill in a phone interview.

Until there is more widespread adoption of cryptocurrency applications, be that purchasing NFTs or using blockchain technology for contracts, investors acknowledge price swings are likely to remain a feature of cryptocurrency.

“Volatility is going to be there until there’s a full adoption with concrete use cases,” said Eloisa Marchesoni, founder of the crypto consultancy firm Def.Ai Inc. “And we’re not seeing that yet at all.”

Cryptocurrency proponents are quick to point out that overall growth trends have been generally positive, although for the waves of investors that have bought during the most recent climb that fact is unlikely to provide much solace.

Smaller coins can be even more volatile. Many of the thousands of tokens that have been launched since bitcoin have spiked seemingly out of nowhere just to bottom out a few days later.

The sources of fluctuation for these kind of coins can even less tied to economic realities than the major ones. A single tweet from a prominent figure in the crypto community can drive value up dramatically.

Last October, the Dogecoin spinoff shiba inu coin jumped 30 percent after Tesla CEO Elon MuskElon Reeve MuskThe Hill’s Morning Report – Democrats sense opportunity with SCOTUS vacancy Musk says ‘Canadian truckers rule’ ahead of drivers’ protest over COVID-19 vaccine mandate On The Money — Economy had post-recession growth in 2021 MORE tweeted a picture of his dog with the caption “Floki Frunkpuppy.” A few weeks later he sent the price down 20 percent by revealing he did not own any SHIB.

Several other so-called shitcoins have had similar jumps without links to material changes. When Rep. Brad ShermanBradley (Brad) James ShermanFraming our future beyond the climate crisis Overnight Defense & National Security — Congress begins Afghanistan grilling US says about 1,500 citizens remain in Afghanistan MORE (D-Calif.) jokingly mentioned hamstercoin during a December hearing, the token’s value doubled then cratered within a day after investors dumped their assets.

Cryptocurrency has also proven to be a fruitful arena for scammers and hackers.

Scammers took a record $14 billion cryptocurrency in 2021 according to a January report by the blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis, which pinned much of the increase on the growing popularity of decentralized finance platforms.

Cryptocurrency scams have flourished on social media. The Federal Trade Commission noted in a release on the record number of online scams reported last year that “social media is a tool for scammers in investment scams, particularly those involving bogus cryptocurrency investments — an area that has seen a massive surge in reports.”

The space has also shown itself vulnerable to hacks. There were more than 20 hacks last year where more than $10 million in virtual assets were taken, according to NBC News.

Just last week more than $30 million worth of assets were stolen from digital wallets on the exchange market Crypto.com, which recently acquired the naming rights to the Los Angeles Lakers’ arena. 

The company has said it adopted new security measures in the wake of the hack but has not publicly shared what those look like.

Cryptocurrency advocates say potential buyers should follow basic investing rules before jumping in: do diligent research, diversify your holdings and focus on time in the market instead of quick returns.

J.W. Verret, a financial law professor at George Mason University and former House Financial Services Committee senior counsel, argued price swings alone are no reason to clamp down on the industry.

“It’s probably easier to support a sector during a bull market. But that doesn’t mean a bear market requires a regulatory solution,” Verret said. 

“If somebody’s buying a token just because of a celebrity endorsement alone, that is a dumb decision but you can’t regulate away dumb decisions.”

Even so, Verret said policymakers and regulators should provide more educational resources for potential investors, establish clear expectations and adjust tax laws to ease the use of cryptocurrencies for transactions.

“The increasing retail interest, increasing young demographic interest and increasing interest across the political spectrum has been exponential and that is going to have political implications,” he said.

“We’re already seeing moderate Democrats interested in crypto. I think that’s going to grow, and I think the aggressively anti-crypto voices are going to be drowned out.”



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Charts suggest bitcoin and ether selling may be over soon

Charts suggest the selling in the world’s two largest cryptocurrencies may run its course soon, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Monday, leaning on analysis from veteran technician Tom DeMark.

“When the charts, as interpreted by Tom DeMark, say that both bitcoin and ethereum could be looking at downside trend exhaustion bottoms this week, if not today, I think you need to take him seriously,” the “Mad Money” host said.

“To me, that says it might be too late to sell and you need to consider buying. I know I am, especially if we get a final leg down,” added Cramer, who personally owns some ether, which runs on the ethereum blockchain. He previously owned bitcoin, as well.

Bitcoin earlier Monday reached its lowest point since July when it fell to $32,982.11 per token, according to Coin Metrics. However, bitcoin reversed course during the trading day, ultimately moving higher to around $36,000. The cryptocurrency remains well off its all-time high of nearly $69,000 reached in the fall.

Ether also touched its lowest level since July on Monday, falling as low as $2,176.41 before paring some of those losses, according to Coin Metrics. It’s down about 50% from its all-time high.

Bitcoin

While there’s a risk that bitcoin’s steep decline in recent weeks could cause structural damage to the cryptocurrency, Cramer said DeMark is betting that will not happen — just like bitcoin’s roughly 56% drawdown from April to June 2021 didn’t prevent it from setting new highs in the fall.

Technical analysis from Tom DeMark showing bitcoin’s angle of descent.

Mad Money with Jim Cramer

In fact, DeMark notes that bitcoin’s current angle of descent is identical to its 2021 plunge, Cramer said. “In other words, there’s a good chance that history continues to repeat itself.”

Looking specifically at bitcoin’s recent trading, Cramer said the cryptocurrency is at No. 11 of DeMark’s well-known 13-session countdown pattern, which the technician uses to identify when a rally or decline will be exhausted.

Tom DeMark’s 13-session countdown pattern for bitcoin.

Mad Money with Jim Cramer

“We need two more negative closes before his buy trigger fires,” said Cramer, who added that DeMark also would like to see bitcoin test his downside price targets.

If Monday’s intraday turnaround ends up leading to only a brief rally, “DeMark wouldn’t be surprised to see bitcoin getting hit with a two- or three-day panic selling climax, which could briefly take it all the way down to 26,355,” Cramer said.

Ether

Tom DeMark’s technical analysis for ether, including two downside price projections.

Ether “has already hit 13 on his buy countdown for the first time since the peak. That tells DeMark that we could be looking at a trend exhaustion bottom,” Cramer said, noting that “fortunately” ether also fell beneath DeMark’s downside price projection of $2,434.

Despite these positive technical indications, DeMark cautions that ether may still fall further. “If we get another panicked breakdown, he could see [ether] temporarily dipping to $1,859 in a selling climax, but that would be your moment to buy, not sell, into the teeth of the panic,” Cramer said.

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