Tag Archives: doubling

Japan supercomputer shows doubling masks offers little help …

By Rocky Swift

TOKYO, March 5 (Reuters) – Japanese supercomputer simulations showed that wearing two masks gave limited benefit in blocking viral spread compared with one properly fitted mask.

The findings in part contradict recent recommendations from the U.S. Centers of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) that two masks were better than one at reducing a person’s exposure to the coronavirus.

Researchers used the Fugaku supercomputer to model the flow of virus particles from people wearing different types and combinations of masks, according to a study released on Thursday by research giant Riken and Kobe University.

Using a single surgical-type mask, made of non-woven material, had 85% effectiveness in blocking particles when worn tightly around the nose and face. Adding a polyurethane mask on top boosted the effectiveness to just 89%.

Wearing two non-woven masks isn’t useful because air resistance builds up and causes leakage around the edges.

“The performance of double masking simply does not add up,” wrote the researchers, led by Makoto Tsubokura.

In general, professional grade N95 masks were the best in protecting against infection, followed by non-woven masks, cloth masks, and finally polyurethane types, the study showed.

The Riken research team previously used the Fugaku supercomputer to model how humidity can affect viral contagion and the infection risks in trains, work spaces, and other environments.

As the COVID-19 epidemic has worn on, scientific consensus has grown that the virus is spread through the air and masks are effective in controlling contagion. (Reporting by Rocky Swift; Editing by Lincoln Feast.)

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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China has a good chance of doubling GDP by 2035, says Bank of America

China was one of the few economies globally that grew in 2020 despite the challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic. Official data showed the Chinese economy expanding by 2.3% last year, and the International Monetary Fund has forecast an 8.1% growth for China this year.

Meanwhile, the U.S. economy contracted by 3.5% in 2020, latest government estimates showed. The IMF said the U.S. economy could grow by 5.1% this year.

Concerns about China’s growth

In a report published earlier this month, Qiao addressed the common concerns that would hinder China from its 2035 economic goals. She listed three reasons that skeptics often cite:

  • China’s aging population will hurt its potential growth.
  • China’s high debt-to-GDP ratio will threaten economic stability.
  • The country’s investment-led growth model is not sustainable and cannot drive growth over the longer term.

Those concerns will slow — but not derail — China’s overall growth trajectory, according to the report.

That’s especially so because the government has some policies in place to address the challenges, the report said. Measures include those focused on stabilizing debt and initiatives to push for further urbanization and opening of the services sector.

Still, China’s journey to its 2035 goal is not risk-free, Qiao told CNBC. She said that even if China delivers on the reforms as promised, there are many factors that the country cannot control.

The economist cited further tensions between Washington and Beijing as a possible threat to China’s economic growth.

“Will that relationship remain sweet and … peaceful? We’re not so sure,” she said.

U.S.-China tensions escalated during former President Donald Trump’s term and became one of the largest threats to the global economy before the Covid-19 pandemic.

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