Tag Archives: Deere & Co

Jim Cramer says he likes these 3 industrial stocks heading into 2023

CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Friday identified three industrial stocks that he believes are worth owning next year, saying he expects them to outperform the sector’s top performers in 2022.

The best-performing industrial stocks in the S&P 500 so far this year have been Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin and Deere — up 36.9%, 35.6% and 25.7%, respectively. Looking ahead, though, Cramer said he’d prefer to own the likes of Caterpillar, Illinois Tool Works and railroad operator CSX.

Shares of Caterpillar, which reported strong earnings two months ago, have climbed 12.6% year to date. Cramer said he favors Caterpillar over fellow machinery maker Deere.

“CAT has much more exposure to infrastructure, and I think they’ve got a boost from the oil and gas industry coming,” Cramer said. “Definitely worth owning here at 17 times earnings,” he added.

Illinois Tool Works shares are down more than 12% in 2022 because fears of an economic slowdown have trumped the company’s actual results, Cramer contended. “I like it here, of course more [so] on a pullback,” he said. “But I give you my blessing to buy ITW.”

Transports such as CSX — down nearly 16% year to date — are “totally hated” on Wall Street, Cramer acknowledged. However, he said he believes CSX is attractive for investors with extended time horizons.

“For me, it’s a long-term story. I see our East Coast ports getting more business as shipping companies adjust to the fact that our West Coast ports are dysfunctional. In the meantime, CSX is just minting money with coal,” he said. “I think it’s worth buying going into 2023.”

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Dow rises 150 points as Wall Street looks to close out winning week

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Friday as Wall Street pushed for solid gains during the holiday-shortened trading week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 155 points, or 0.45%. The S&P 500 gained 0.09% and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.35%, weighed down by shares of Activision Blizzard, which fell nearly 4% on news that the FTC could block Microsoft from taking over the gaming company.

Worries about continued lockdowns in China kept markets in check. The country is ramping up Covid restrictions after seeing climbing case counts in recent days. Earlier in the week, China reported its first Covid deaths since May.

Wall Street looks set to close out an upbeat holiday-shortened week, after the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes added to expectations that monetary policy tightening may slow down.

“A substantial majority of participants judged that a slowing in the pace of increase would likely soon be appropriate,” the minutes stated.

Stocks jumped on the news Wednesday, notching the second consecutive day of gains in a week marked by choppy trading and low volumes. For the week, the Dow is up 1.75% and the S&P 500 is up 1.66%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq is lagging the other two indices but is still up nearly 1% on the week.

Markets were closed on Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday and will close at 1 p.m. ET on Friday.

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The tech tyranny is over. Here are the stocks driving this market

A worker washes a Caterpillar crawler dozer at Ideal Tractor in West Sacramento, California, on Monday, Aug. 1, 2022.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Never have the bulls been more bashful and timid. Never have the bears been so ascendant and so wrong. Oh sure, the bears nailed Meta Platforms (META) and hit Microsoft (MSFT) out of the park. Amazon (AMZN) flopped. So did Alphabet (GOOGL).

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McDonald’s, Netflix, Amazon, Nvidia, Visa

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U.S. job market divide boosts some workers’ prospects, puts others on notice

A help wanted sign is displayed in the window of a Brooklyn, New York business.

Spencer Platt | Getty Images

Cracks are forming in the U.S. labor market as some companies look to curb hiring while others are desperate for employees.

Microsoft, Twitter, Wayfair, Snap and Facebook-parent Meta recently announced they plan to be more conservative about adding new employees. Peloton and Netflix announced layoffs as demand for their products slowed, and online car seller Carvana cut its workforce as it faces inflation and a cratering stock price.

“We will treat hiring as a privilege and be deliberate about when and where we add headcount,” Uber boss Dara Khosrowshahi wrote to staff earlier this month, pledging to reduce costs.

U.S.-based employers reported more than 24,000 job cuts in April, up 14% from the month before and 6% higher than the same month last year, according to outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

But airlines, restaurants and others still need to fill positions. Job cuts for the first four months of the year were down 52% compared with the same period of 2021. Just under 80,000 jobs cuts were announced from January to April, the lowest tally in the nearly three decades the firm has been tracking the data.

What’s emerging is a tale of two job markets — albeit not equal in size or pay. Hospitality and other service sectors can’t hire enough workers to staff what’s expected to be a bustling summer rebound after two years of Covid obstacles. Tech and other large employers are warning they need to keep costs down and are putting employees on notice.

Record job openings

U.S. job openings soared to a seasonally adjusted 11.55 million at of the end of March, according to the latest available Labor Department report, a record for data that goes back to 2000. The numbers of employees who quit their jobs also hit a record, at more than 4.5 million. Hires stood at 6.7 million.

Wages are rising but not enough to keep pace with inflation. And people are changing where they spend their money, especially as household budgets tighten thanks to the highest consumer price increases in four decades.

Economists, employers, job seekers, investors and consumers are looking for signals on the economy’s direction, and are finding emerging divisions in the labor market. The divergence could mean a slowdown in wage growth, or hiring itself, and could eventually curtail consumer spending, which has been robust despite deteriorating consumer confidence.

Companies from airlines to restaurants large and small still can’t hire fast enough, which forces them to cut growth plans. Demand snapped back more quickly than expected after those companies shed workers during the pandemic-induced sales plunges.

JetBlue Airways, Delta Air Lines, Southwest Airlines and Alaska Airlines have scaled back growth plans, at least in part, because of staffing shortages. JetBlue said pilot attrition is running higher than normal and will likely continue.

“If your attrition rates are, say, 2x to 3x of what you’ve historically seen, then you need to hire more pilots just to stand still,” JetBlue CEO Robin Hayes said at an investor conference May 17.

Denver International Airport’s concessions like restaurants and shops have made progress with hiring but are still understaffed by about 500 to 600 workers to get to roughly 5,000, according to Pam Dechant, senior vice president of concessions for the airport.

She said many cooks are making about $22 an hour, up from $15 before the pandemic. Airport employers are offering hiring, retention and, in at least one case, what she called an “if you show up to work every day this week bonus.”

Consumers “spent a lot on goods and not much on services over the pandemic and now we’re seeing in our card data they’re flying back into services, literally flying,” said David Tinsley, an economist and director at the Bank of America Institute.

“It’s a bit of a shakeout from those people that maybe [had] overdone it in terms of hiring,” he said of the current trends.

Snap back

The companies leading job growth are the ones that were hit hardest early in the pandemic.

Jessica Jordan, managing partner of the Rothman Food Group, is struggling to hire the workers she needs for two of her businesses in Southern California, Katella Deli & Bakery and Manhattan Beach Creamery. She estimates that both are only about 75% staffed.

But half of applicants never answer her emails for an interview, and even new hires who already submitted their paperwork often disappear before their first day, without explanation, she said.

“I am working so hard to hold their hand through every step of the process, just to make sure they come in that first day,” Jordan said.

Larger restaurant chains also have tall hiring orders. Sandwich chain Subway, for example, said Thursday it’s looking to add more than 50,000 new workers this summer. Taco Bell and Inspire Brands, which owns Arby’s, said they’re also looking to add staff.

Hotels and food services had the highest quit rate across industries in March, with 6.1% of workers leaving their jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The overall quit rate was just 3% that month.

Some of those workers are walking away from the hospitality industry entirely. Julia, a 19-year-old living in New York City, quit her restaurant job in February. She said she left because of the hostility from both customers and her bosses and too many extra shifts added to her schedule at the last minute. She now works in child care.

“You have to work really hard to get fired in this economy,” said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management. “You have to be really incompetent and obnoxious.”

Slowdown in Silicon Valley

And if industries in rebound are hiring to catch up, the reverse is equally true.

After a boom in recruiting, several large tech companies have announced hiring freezes and layoffs, as concerns about an economic slowdown, the Covid-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine curb growth plans.

Richly funded start-ups aren’t immune, either, even if they aren’t subject to the same level of market value degradation as public tech stocks. At least 107 tech companies have laid off employees since the start of the year, according to Layoffs.fyi, which tracks job cuts across the sector.

In some cases, companies such as Facebook and Twitter are rescinding job offers after new hires have already accepted, leaving workers like Evan Watson in a precarious position. 

Last month, Watson received a job offer to join the emerging talent and diversity division at Facebook, what he called one of his “dream companies.” He gave notice at the real estate development firm where he worked and set a start date at the social media giant for May 9.

Just three days before then, Watson received a call about his new contract. Facebook had recently announced it would pause hiring, and Watson anxiously speculated he might receive bad news.

“When I got the call, my heart dropped,” Watson said in an interview. Meta was freezing hiring, and Watson’s onboarding was off.

“I was just like silent. I didn’t really have any words to say,” Watson said. “Then I was like, ‘Now what?’ I don’t work at my other company.”

The news left Watson disappointed, but he said Facebook offered to pay him severance while he searched for a new job. Within a week, he landed a job at Microsoft as a talent scout. Watson said he “feels good” about landing at Microsoft, where the company “is a lot more stable, in terms of stock price.”

For months, retail giant Amazon dangled generous sign-on bonuses and free college tuition to lure workers. The company has hired 600,000 employees since the start of 2021, but now it finds itself overstaffed in its fulfillment network.

Many of the company’s recent hires are no longer needed, with e-commerce sales growth cooling. Plus, employees who went on sick leave amid a surge in Covid cases returned to work earlier than expected, Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky said on a call with analysts last month.

“Now that demand has become more predictable, there are sites in our network where we’re slowing or pausing hiring to better align with our operational needs,” Amazon spokesperson Kelly Nantel told CNBC.

Amazon did not respond to questions about whether the company foresees layoffs in the near future.

Recession shield

The reductions and hiring shifts are isolated for now, but they have some executives on edge.

“Any kind of news flow … when its high-profile companies around job losses, has the potential to chip away at sentiment a bit,” said Bank of America’s Tinsley, cautioning that the job market is still strong. “Things are not as bad perhaps as the picture some might paint.”

He said the pace of job growth in the service sector will likely begin slowing, however.

JPM’s Kelly said that even if the market lost 3 million openings it would still be a job-seekers’ market.

“There’s strong excess demand for workers. It really shields the economy from recession,” he said.

But job cuts can ripple through other sectors.

A sharp increase in hiring freezes, job cuts, wage stagnation or even a pullback in company spending on things such as employee benefits and a return to business travel could hurt the very service sectors that have thrived as Covid cases fell.

“The question is, ‘Will consumer spending keep its head above water?'” Tinsley said.

— CNBC’s Jordan Novet contributed to this story.

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Twitter, Coca-Cola, Warner Bros. Discovery and more

Check out the companies making headlines in premarket trading.

Coca-Cola — Shares of Coca-Cola rose about 1% after the company beat analysts’ expectations on the top and bottom lines in the recent quarter. The beverage giant reported adjusted earnings of 64 cents per share on revenues of $10.5 billion, while analysts expected 58 cents per share on $9.83 billion in revenue.

Twitter — Twitter ticked 5% higher on reports that the social media giant is close to a deal with Elon Musk. It comes a day after the company’s board reportedly met Sunday to discuss a takeover bid from Elon Musk, who has already secured $46.5 billion in financing.

Oil stocks —Shares of energy companies fell on Monday as oil prices fell on fears of a global slowdown amid lockdowns in Shanghai. Chevron, ConocoPhillips, and Marathon Oil dipped 2.2%, 2.6% and 2.8% respectively.

Kellogg — Shares of Kellogg dipped 1.8% after Deutsche Bank downgraded the stock to a hold. The bank cited the impact from workers’ strikes, rising inflation and supply chain disruptions among the reasons for the downgrade.

Verizon — Verizon shares fell 1% after Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to neutral. The bank said Verizon is situated well for 5G growth but offers a lower potential return compared to peers like AT&T.

Penn National Gaming — The gaming stock rose 2.8% after Morgan Stanley named it a buy despite its recent underperformance. The bank also sees opportunities in its Barstool Sports and theScore businesses.

Warner Bros. Discovery — Warner Bros. Discovery’s stock fell 2.5% as investors continued to digest the news that the company would shutter its CNN+ service weeks after its launch.

Deere — The equipment manufacturer’s stock fell 3.4% after Bank of America downgraded the stock to neutral. The bank said it remains cautious on the farm economy and agricultural equipment space amid ongoing supply chain issues and other macro trends.

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12 U.S. manufacturers investors should keep an eye on

CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Thursday named 12 American manufacturers investors should keep an eye on to take advantage of what he calls the country’s “industrial renaissance.”

“The United States has been reclaiming its industrial preeminence in sector after sector after sector. It just was obscured by Wall Street’s now-defunct love affair with high-growth tech stocks. Now that we’ve fallen out of love with tech, the industrial renaissance has become the key to picking winners in this market,” the “Mad Money” host said.

“If you want leadership, if you want companies that make things and sell them at a profit while returning capital to shareholders, look no further than our great American manufacturers. Their stocks are fantastic places to be,” he added.

Cramer’s comments come after a tumultuous day in the market — the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 1.05% on Thursday, while the S&P 500 dropped 1.48%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite tumbled 2.07%.

Here is Cramer’s list of American manufacturers investors should have on their radar:

  1. Tesla
  2. Nucor
  3. Dow 
  4. Chevron
  5. Exxon
  6. GE
  7. Raytheon
  8. Caterpillar 
  9. Deere
  10. Johnson & Johnson
  11. Procter & Gamble
  12. Lam Research

Cramer acquiesced that the semiconductor sector in the U.S could be better.

“I don’t want to slight software, the crown jewel of American economy, but tech companies … they don’t make it here, with the exception of some semiconductor capital equipment plays like Lam Research,” he said. “Otherwise, it’s best to go to Taiwan Semi, where the actual chips are made.”

Disclosure: Cramer’s Charitable Trust owns shares of Chevron and Procter & Gamble.

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Okta versus Deere is the best way to understand the market

CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Tuesday stressed to investors that Wall Street is going through a sector rotation, turning away from formerly high-flying growth stocks in anticipation of tighter monetary policy.

To illustrate his point, the “Mad Money” host pointed to recent trading in shares of identity management software firm Okta and agriculture giant Deere.

“Okta versus Deere is the best way to understand this market,” Cramer said. ‘”At this point in the business cycle, the playbook says you have to go with more tangible companies that make real things and generate real profits. … Conceptual is out, tangible is in,” he added.

A year ago, Cramer said investors were willing to pay up for Okta’s strong revenue growth even as the company remained unprofitable. However, now money managers are reacting to high inflation readings and preparing for likely interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, Cramer said.

Cramer said that shift helps explain why Okta shares are down 4% over the past five days, while Deere is up 6.2% in that same stretch.

“I don’t mean to pick on Okta. We all know anything can bounce. There are literally dozens upon dozens of these nosebleed valuation stocks; Okta’s just among the best of them,” Cramer said. “At the moment, though, that makes it the best house in an awful neighborhood.”

By contrast, Cramer said he expects the market to be very forgiving toward stocks such as Deere, Boeing and Honeywell. Banks, which benefit from higher interest rates, are also in favor at the moment, he said.

“It’s not as simple as tech versus non-tech. There are plenty of cheap, tangible tech stocks out there” such as IBM and Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Cramer said. “Again, though, these are easily valued businesses that have a John Deere-like feel, and that’s what you need.”

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5 things to know before the stock market opens Thursday, Nov. 18

Here are the most important news, trends and analysis that investors need to start their trading day:

1. Dow set to rise slightly after strong earnings failed to inspire

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York.

Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty Images

2. Macy’s, Kohl’s shares jump on strong quarterly results

Macy’s shares surged more than 10% in premarket trading after the department store chain on Thursday blew away estimates for fiscal third-quarter earnings. Revenue also topped what analysts had forecast. Macy’s raised its full-year outlook ahead of the holidays. Macy’s stock has rallied more than 174% year to date to over $30 per share. However, that’s nowhere near its all-time high of nearly $73 per share in July 2015.

Shares of Kohl’s, up nearly 40% already in 2021, were indicated to add 9% before they open for trading on Wall Street. The department store chain Thursday also reported much better-than-expected fiscal third-quarter earnings. Revenue also beat estimates. Kohl’s raised its full-year forecast. The stock saw a sharp decline from loftier levels in 2018 into the pandemic before recovering.

3. Nvidia, Cisco shares go in opposite directions after earnings

Shares of Nvidia soared 8% in the premarket, a gain that would move the tech giant closer to an $800 billion stock market value. After the bell on Wednesday, the company reported a 60% year-over-year increase in adjusted quarterly earnings per share and a 50% year-over-year rise in revenue. Both measures exceeded expectations. Shares of Nvidia, as of Wednesday’s close, have soared 124% in 2021.

Dow stock Cisco Systems, up nearly 27% in 2021 as of Wednesday’s close, fell more than 6% in the premarket, the morning after the computer networking firm missed on quarterly revenue and issued weaker-than-expected forward guidance. Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins blamed supply constraints. The company did beat estimates for earnings per share for the three months ended on Oct. 30.

4. AstraZeneca says Covid antibody drug over 80% effective

AstraZeneca says its cocktail of antibodies, AZD7442, has given results deemed positive against Covid-19 during phase III clinical trials.

Gerard Bottino | SOPA Images | LightRocket | Getty Images

AstraZeneca’s antibody drug has been shown to be highly effective at preventing Covid in people who may not respond well to vaccines, according to new clinical trial results. Patients given a single injection of the treatment were 83% less likely to develop symptomatic cases of the coronavirus than participants who were given a placebo. More than three-quarters of participants in the trial had underlying conditions that put them at high risk of contracting severe Covid.

5. Deere workers approve contract offer, will end strike

Workers picket outside of John Deere Harvester Works facility on October 14, 2021 in East Moline, Illinois.

Scott Olson | Getty Images

Deere & Co. workers approved a new contract late Wednesday, delivering 10% raises immediately and ending a monthlong strike for more than 10,000 employees. The United Auto Workers union said 61% of its members approved the latest deal with the tractor maker, even though the new offer was strikingly similar to one that a majority of workers rejected two weeks ago. Shares of Deere rose nearly 2% in Thursday’s premarket. The stock has gained around 30% in 2021.

— The Associated Press contributed to this report. Follow all the market action like a pro on CNBC Pro. Get the latest on the pandemic with CNBC’s coronavirus coverage.

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Jim Cramer says ‘run with the bulls’ and buy these winning stocks

CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Wednesday offered investors a basket of stocks he believes can continue to succeed irrespective of Federal Reserve policy.

“Forget the big picture stuff. There are two things you need to keep track of when you’re picking stocks right now: The sector and the company, which includes the people running it,” the “Mad Money” host said.

The bottom line, Cramer said, is investors have two choices. The first is listening to the “Fed-obsessed experts,” he said. The second is to “forget about the money supply or the central bank and just run with the bulls. It’s not like they’re hard to find in this fabulous market.”

Semiconductors

A sign is posted in front of the NVIDIA headquarters on May 10, 2018 in Santa Clara, California.

Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Cramer said he believes the entire chip industry is “in bull-market mode” with a number of companies doing well, such as NXP Semiconductors, Marvell Technology and Qualcomm.

“But I prefer AMD and Nvidia because they make incredible products and they have fabulous leadership,” Cramer said, noting that AMD, under CEO Lisa Su’s direction, is looking to finalize an acquisition for Xilinx.

Nvidia, similarly, is trying to complete a deal for Arm Holdings, Cramer noted. If it clears the necessary regulatory hurdles, Cramer said Nvidia “will become the most important semiconductor company of our time.”

Financials

Many of the country’s largest banks offer investors “the greatest bargains” relative to the rest of the stock market, Cramer said. That’s especially true when considering they “could be just a few months away from a new rate hike cycle,” Cramer said. Banks benefit from higher rates.

Cramer said his favorites right now are Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo.

“Morgan Stanley’s not a bank anymore: It’s a wealth advisory service that happens to do some investment banking on the side. That means it’s bank light. I like that,” Cramer said.

Wells Fargo, on the other hand, offers a “turnaround story” after scandal-ridden years, Cramer said, adding he believes in CEO Charlie Scharf to keep delivering improvements.

“One day I expect Wells Fargo to return to the high $50s [per share], where it was when all hell broke loose. Until then, just stay the course,” Cramer said.

Retail

A medical worker wears a protective face mask outside Best Buy in Union Square in New York City.

Noam Galai | Getty Images

Cramer said he believes it’s not too late to purchase shares of Best Buy and Bed Bath & Beyond. The former’s digital transformation and tech membership program should allow for additional success, Cramer said, while the latter is another example of a turnaround story.

“They have all the tech you need in terms of shopping and buying,” Cramer said of Bed Bath & Beyond. “But what they really have is something I like to call ‘whimsy,’ something that you could only really find at Costco until recently. I think CEO Mark Tritton will take Bed Bath for a multi-year run.”

Agriculture

Cramer said the “most unknown bull market” out there is agriculture.

“I’ve long been a fan of AGCO, but that Deere conference call last week [was] magnificent,” Cramer said. “I scoffed at Cathie Wood, the best money manager of 2020, when she said she was buying Deere for its tech — I owe her an apology. I apologize. She nailed it. The technology Deere talked about is truly revolutionary; it will save farmers billions of dollars in wages because everything is pretty autonomous. Deere’s still a buy.”

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