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20 dividend stocks with high yields that have become more attractive right now

Income-seeking investors are looking at an opportunity to scoop up shares of real estate investment trusts. Stocks in that asset class have become more attractive as prices have fallen and cash flow is improving.

Below is a broad screen of REITs that have high dividend yields and are also expected to generate enough excess cash in 2023 to enable increases in dividend payouts.

REIT prices may turn a corner in 2023

REITs distribute most of their income to shareholders to maintain their tax-advantaged status. But the group is cyclical, with pressure on share prices when interest rates rise, as they have this year at an unprecedented scale. A slowing growth rate for the group may have also placed a drag on the stocks.

And now, with talk that the Federal Reserve may begin to temper its cycle of interest-rate increases, we may be nearing the time when REIT prices rise in anticipation of an eventual decline in interest rates. The market always looks ahead, which means long-term investors who have been waiting on the sidelines to buy higher-yielding income-oriented investments may have to make a move soon.

During an interview on Nov 28, James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and a member of the Federal Open Market Committee, discussed the central bank’s cycle of interest-rate increases meant to reduce inflation.

When asked about the potential timing of the Fed’s “terminal rate” (the peak federal funds rate for this cycle), Bullard said: “Generally speaking, I have advocated that sooner is better, that you do want to get to the right level of the policy rate for the current data and the current situation.”

Fed’s Bullard says in MarketWatch interview that markets are underpricing the chance of still-higher rates

In August we published this guide to investing in REITs for income. Since the data for that article was pulled on Aug. 24, the S&P 500
SPX,
-0.50%
has declined 4% (despite a 10% rally from its 2022 closing low on Oct. 12), but the benchmark index’s real estate sector has declined 13%.

REITs can be placed broadly into two categories. Mortgage REITs lend money to commercial or residential borrowers and/or invest in mortgage-backed securities, while equity REITs own property and lease it out.

The pressure on share prices can be greater for mortgage REITs, because the mortgage-lending business slows as interest rates rise. In this article we are focusing on equity REITs.

Industry numbers

The National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (Nareit) reported that third-quarter funds from operations (FFO) for U.S.-listed equity REITs were up 14% from a year earlier. To put that number in context, the year-over-year growth rate of quarterly FFO has been slowing — it was 35% a year ago. And the third-quarter FFO increase compares to a 23% increase in earnings per share for the S&P 500 from a year earlier, according to FactSet.

The NAREIT report breaks out numbers for 12 categories of equity REITs, and there is great variance in the growth numbers, as you can see here.

FFO is a non-GAAP measure that is commonly used to gauge REITs’ capacity for paying dividends. It adds amortization and depreciation (noncash items) back to earnings, while excluding gains on the sale of property. Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) goes further, netting out expected capital expenditures to maintain the quality of property investments.

The slowing FFO growth numbers point to the importance of looking at REITs individually, to see if expected cash flow is sufficient to cover dividend payments.

Screen of high-yielding equity REITs

For 2022 through Nov. 28, the S&P 500 has declined 17%, while the real estate sector has fallen 27%, excluding dividends.

Over the very long term, through interest-rate cycles and the liquidity-driven bull market that ended this year, equity REITs have fared well, with an average annual return of 9.3% for 20 years, compared to an average return of 9.6% for the S&P 500, both with dividends reinvested, according to FactSet.

This performance might surprise some investors, when considering the REITs’ income focus and the S&P 500’s heavy weighting for rapidly growing technology companies.

For a broad screen of equity REITs, we began with the Russell 3000 Index
RUA,
-0.18%,
which represents 98% of U.S. companies by market capitalization.

We then narrowed the list to 119 equity REITs that are followed by at least five analysts covered by FactSet for which AFFO estimates are available.

If we divide the expected 2023 AFFO by the current share price, we have an estimated AFFO yield, which can be compared with the current dividend yield to see if there is expected “headroom” for dividend increases.

For example, if we look at Vornado Realty Trust
VNO,
+1.01%,
the current dividend yield is 8.56%. Based on the consensus 2023 AFFO estimate among analysts polled by FactSet, the expected AFFO yield is only 7.25%. This doesn’t mean that Vornado will cut its dividend and it doesn’t even mean the company won’t raise its payout next year. But it might make it less likely to do so.

Among the 119 equity REITs, 104 have expected 2023 AFFO headroom of at least 1.00%.

Here are the 20 equity REITs from our screen with the highest current dividend yields that have at least 1% expected AFFO headroom:

Company Ticker Dividend yield Estimated 2023 AFFO yield Estimated “headroom” Market cap. ($mil) Main concentration
Brandywine Realty Trust BDN,
+1.82%
11.52% 12.82% 1.30% $1,132 Offices
Sabra Health Care REIT Inc. SBRA,
+2.02%
9.70% 12.04% 2.34% $2,857 Health care
Medical Properties Trust Inc. MPW,
+1.90%
9.18% 11.46% 2.29% $7,559 Health care
SL Green Realty Corp. SLG,
+2.18%
9.16% 10.43% 1.28% $2,619 Offices
Hudson Pacific Properties Inc. HPP,
+1.55%
9.12% 12.69% 3.57% $1,546 Offices
Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. OHI,
+1.30%
9.05% 10.13% 1.08% $6,936 Health care
Global Medical REIT Inc. GMRE,
+2.03%
8.75% 10.59% 1.84% $629 Health care
Uniti Group Inc. UNIT,
+0.28%
8.30% 25.00% 16.70% $1,715 Communications infrastructure
EPR Properties EPR,
+0.62%
8.19% 12.24% 4.05% $3,023 Leisure properties
CTO Realty Growth Inc. CTO,
+1.58%
7.51% 9.34% 1.83% $381 Retail
Highwoods Properties Inc. HIW,
+0.76%
6.95% 8.82% 1.86% $3,025 Offices
National Health Investors Inc. NHI,
+1.90%
6.75% 8.32% 1.57% $2,313 Senior housing
Douglas Emmett Inc. DEI,
+0.33%
6.74% 10.30% 3.55% $2,920 Offices
Outfront Media Inc. OUT,
+0.70%
6.68% 11.74% 5.06% $2,950 Billboards
Spirit Realty Capital Inc. SRC,
+0.72%
6.62% 9.07% 2.45% $5,595 Retail
Broadstone Net Lease Inc. BNL,
-0.93%
6.61% 8.70% 2.08% $2,879 Industial
Armada Hoffler Properties Inc. AHH,
-0.08%
6.38% 7.78% 1.41% $807 Offices
Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. IIPR,
+1.09%
6.24% 7.53% 1.29% $3,226 Health care
Simon Property Group Inc. SPG,
+0.95%
6.22% 9.55% 3.33% $37,847 Retail
LTC Properties Inc. LTC,
+1.09%
5.99% 7.60% 1.60% $1,541 Senior housing
Source: FactSet

Click on the tickers for more about each company. You should read Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

The list includes each REIT’s main property investment type. However, many REITs are highly diversified. The simplified categories on the table may not cover all of their investment properties.

Knowing what a REIT invests in is part of the research you should do on your own before buying any individual stock. For arbitrary examples, some investors may wish to steer clear of exposure to certain areas of retail or hotels, or they may favor health-care properties.

Largest REITs

Several of the REITs that passed the screen have relatively small market capitalizations. You might be curious to see how the most widely held REITs fared in the screen. So here’s another list of the 20 largest U.S. REITs among the 119 that passed the first cut, sorted by market cap as of Nov. 28:

Company Ticker Dividend yield Estimated 2023 AFFO yield Estimated “headroom” Market cap. ($mil) Main concentration
Prologis Inc. PLD,
+1.29%
2.84% 4.36% 1.52% $102,886 Warehouses and logistics
American Tower Corp. AMT,
+0.68%
2.66% 4.82% 2.16% $99,593 Communications infrastructure
Equinix Inc. EQIX,
+0.62%
1.87% 4.79% 2.91% $61,317 Data centers
Crown Castle Inc. CCI,
+1.03%
4.55% 5.42% 0.86% $59,553 Wireless Infrastructure
Public Storage PSA,
+0.11%
2.77% 5.35% 2.57% $50,680 Self-storage
Realty Income Corp. O,
+0.26%
4.82% 6.46% 1.64% $38,720 Retail
Simon Property Group Inc. SPG,
+0.95%
6.22% 9.55% 3.33% $37,847 Retail
VICI Properties Inc. VICI,
+0.41%
4.69% 6.21% 1.52% $32,013 Leisure properties
SBA Communications Corp. Class A SBAC,
+0.59%
0.97% 4.33% 3.36% $31,662 Communications infrastructure
Welltower Inc. WELL,
+2.37%
3.66% 4.76% 1.10% $31,489 Health care
Digital Realty Trust Inc. DLR,
+0.69%
4.54% 6.18% 1.64% $30,903 Data centers
Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. ARE,
+1.38%
3.17% 4.87% 1.70% $24,451 Offices
AvalonBay Communities Inc. AVB,
+0.89%
3.78% 5.69% 1.90% $23,513 Multifamily residential
Equity Residential EQR,
+1.10%
4.02% 5.36% 1.34% $23,503 Multifamily residential
Extra Space Storage Inc. EXR,
+0.29%
3.93% 5.83% 1.90% $20,430 Self-storage
Invitation Homes Inc. INVH,
+1.58%
2.84% 5.12% 2.28% $18,948 Single-family residental
Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. MAA,
+1.46%
3.16% 5.18% 2.02% $18,260 Multifamily residential
Ventas Inc. VTR,
+1.63%
4.07% 5.95% 1.88% $17,660 Senior housing
Sun Communities Inc. SUI,
+2.09%
2.51% 4.81% 2.30% $17,346 Multifamily residential
Source: FactSet

Simon Property Group Inc.
SPG,
+0.95%
is the only REIT to make both lists.

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OPEC+ Eyes Output Increase Ahead of Restrictions on Russian Oil

Saudi Arabia and other OPEC oil producers are discussing an output increase, the group’s delegates said, a move that could help heal a rift with the Biden administration and keep energy flowing amid new attempts to blunt Russia’s oil industry over the Ukraine war.

A production increase of up to 500,000 barrels a day is now under discussion for OPEC+’s Dec. 4 meeting, delegates said. The move would come a day before the European Union is set to impose an embargo on Russian oil and the Group of Seven wealthy nations’ plans to launch a price cap on Russian crude sales, potentially taking Moscow’s petroleum supplies off the market. 

After The Wall Street Journal and other news organizations reported on the discussions Monday, Saudi energy minister Prince

Abdulaziz bin Salman

denied the reports and said a production cut was possible instead.

Any output increase would mark a partial reversal of a controversial decision last month to cut production by 2 million barrels a day at the most recent meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their Russia-led allies, a group known collectively as OPEC+. 

The White House said the production cut undermined global efforts to blunt Russia’s war in Ukraine. It was also viewed as a political slap in the face to President Biden, coming before the congressional midterm elections at a time of high inflation. Saudi-U.S. relations have hit a low point over oil-production disagreements this year, though U.S. officials had said they were looking to the Dec. 4 OPEC+ meeting with some hope.

Talk of a production increase has emerged after the Biden administration told a federal court judge that Saudi Crown

Prince Mohammed

bin Salman should have sovereign immunity from a U.S. federal lawsuit related to the brutal killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi. The immunity decision amounted to a concession to Prince Mohammed, bolstering his standing as the kingdom’s de facto ruler after the Biden administration tried for months to isolate him. 

It is an unusual time for OPEC+ to consider a production increase, with global oil prices falling more than 10% since the first week of November. Oil prices fell 5% after reports of the increase and then pared those losses after

Prince Abdulaziz

‘s comments. Brent crude traded at $86.25 on Monday afternoon, down more than 1%. 

Ostensibly, delegates said, a production increase would be in response to expectations that oil consumption will rise in the winter, as it normally does. Oil demand is expected to increase by 1.69 million barrels a day to 101.3 million barrels a day in the first quarter next year, compared with the average level in 2022. 

Saudi energy minister Abdulaziz bin Salman has said the kingdom would supply oil to ‘all who need it.’



Photo:

AHMED YOSRI/REUTERS

OPEC and its allies say they have been carefully studying the G-7 plans to impose a price cap on Russian oil, conceding privately that they see any such move by crude consumers to control the market as a threat. Russia has said it wouldn’t sell oil to any country participating in the price cap, potentially resulting in another effective production cut from Moscow—one of the world’s top three oil producers.

Prince Abdulaziz said last month that the kingdom would “supply oil to all who need it from us,” speaking in response to a question about looming Russian oil shortages. OPEC members have signaled to Western countries that they would step up if Russian output fell. 

Talk of a production increase sets up a potential fight between OPEC+’s two heavyweight producers, Saudi Arabia and Russia. The countries have an oil-production alliance that industry officials in both nations have described as a marriage of convenience, and they have clashed before. 

Saudi officials have been adamant that their decision to cut production last month wasn’t designed to support Russia’s war in Ukraine. Instead, they say, the cut was intended to get ahead of flagging demand for oil caused by a global economy showing signs of slowing down. 

Raising oil production ahead of the price cap and EU embargo could give the Saudis another argument that they are acting in their own interests, and not Russia’s. 

Another factor driving discussion around raising output: Two big OPEC members, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates, want to pump more oil, OPEC delegates said. Both countries are pushing the oil-producing group to allow them a higher daily-production ceiling, delegates said, a change that, if granted, could account for more oil production. 

Under OPEC’s complex quota system, the U.A.E. is obligated to hold its crude production to no more than 3.018 million barrels a day. State-owned Abu Dhabi National Oil Co., which produces most of the U.A.E.’s output, has an output capacity of 4.45 million barrels a day and plans to accelerate its goal of reaching 5 million barrels of daily capacity by 2025. Abu Dhabi has long pushed for a higher OPEC quota, only to be rebuffed by the Saudis, OPEC delegates have said.

Last year, the country was the lone holdout on a deal to boost crude output in OPEC+, saying it would agree only if allowed to boost its own production much more than other members. The public standoff inside OPEC was the first sign that the U.A.E. has adopted a new strategy: Sell as much crude as possible before demand dries up.

Earlier this month, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia’ al-Sudani said that his country, which is the second-largest crude oil producer in OPEC, would discuss a new quota with other members at its next meeting.

A discussion of OPEC production quotas has been on hold for months. The idea faces opposition from some OPEC nations because many can’t meet their current targets and watching other countries run up their quotas could cause political problems domestically, delegates said. 

Michael Amon contributed to this article.

Write to Summer Said at summer.said@wsj.com and Benoit Faucon at benoit.faucon@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Schlumberger Rebrands as SLB, Dropping Family Name

Schlumberger Ltd.

SLB 2.18%

is changing its name to SLB, dropping the family name of the brothers who founded the oil-field services company nearly a century ago.

The company said the punchier moniker, which is effective Monday, is meant to embrace its focus on newer energy services, such as clean hydrogen and carbon-capture technology. The rebranding includes a new logo and comes as the company said it would focus on creating and scaling new energy systems such as carbon solutions, hydrogen, geothermal and geoenergy, energy storage and critical minerals.

“It’s simple, it’s bold, it’s still related to our heritage,” Chief Executive

Olivier Le Peuch

said. “We have to find a path to keep this heritage and, at the same time, [it’s] an opportunity to draw a new north for the company.”

Brothers Conrad and Marcel Schlumberger founded the predecessor to the company that would carry their family name in France in 1926, when they created the Société de Prospection Électrique, or the Electric Prospecting Company, according to the company website.

Throughout the 1930s, the company grew rapidly and established international business units bearing the Schlumberger name. In 1940, the company moved its headquarters to Houston, the burgeoning center of the U.S. oil drilling industry.

Over the past century, the company has evolved from its roots doing surface prospecting for the metal-ore mining industry. By the 1960s, its deep-sea drilling equipment was used in the search for sunken vessels and the company began providing high-precision sensors to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.

Money is a sticking point in climate-change negotiations around the world. As economists warn that limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius will cost many more trillions than anticipated, WSJ looks at how the funds could be spent, and who would pay. Illustration: Preston Jessee/WSJ

The company has since grown aggressively through acquisitions, cementing its lead as the world’s largest oil-field services company through its 2010 acquisition of Smith International for over $11 billion.

More recently, Schlumberger has expanded into renewable-energy services along with the broader oil-and-gas industry. In 2020, Schlumberger launched a business unit to explore low-carbon and carbon-neutral technologies.

The following year, the company said it wanted to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, with minimal reliance on offsets. The company has since rolled out new offerings to reduce carbon dioxide and methane emissions from oil-and-gas operations.

Earlier this month, Schlumberger announced two partnerships, one meant to introduce sustainable technology into the production process for battery-grade lithium compounds and another to accelerate the industrialization of carbon-capture technology.

Shares of Schlumberger are up more than 68% so far this year, outperforming the S&P 500’s decline of 21% over the same period. Last week, the company posted third-quarter earnings that topped Wall Street expectations on 28% revenue growth from a year ago.

Write to Will Feuer at will.feuer@wsj.com and Benoît Morenne at benoit.morenne@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Warren Buffett Not Expected to Bid for Control of Occidental Following Approval for Bigger Stake

Warren Buffett’s

bid to boost his big stake in

Occidental Petroleum Corp.

OXY 9.88%

even further isn’t expected to serve as a prelude to a full takeover of the resurgent energy company by the widely watched billionaire, at least for now.

In a regulatory filing Friday, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission said that Mr. Buffett’s

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

BRK.B -2.30%

had received permission to buy up to 50% of the driller’s shares. The news stoked speculation that Berkshire could be gearing up to acquire Occidental.

Analysts have said Occidental’s oil business would complement Berkshire’s existing energy holdings, which include utilities, natural gas and renewables. Mr. Buffett has a warm relationship with Chief Executive

Vicki Hollub

and has publicly praised her efforts to turn the company around after its acquisition of Anadarko Petroleum Corp. and her plans to pay down debt and increase dividend payouts.

But Mr. Buffett hasn’t informed Occidental of any plans to acquire a controlling stake in the company, according to people close to the matter. Given Mr. Buffett’s well-known aversion to hostile deal making, it would be out of character for him to make a bid without sounding out the company’s executives and directors first.

Owning such a big stake—Berkshire is Occidental’s largest shareholder—gives him major influence over the company already, and acquiring control could cost him a hefty premium to the current share price. The stock closed Friday at $71.29, up nearly 10% on the news, giving the company a market capitalization of about $66 billion.

Why would Berkshire seek out permission to buy more of Occidental, then?

For one, it was close to running up against FERC-imposed investing limits.

Filings show Berkshire currently has a 20% stake in Occidental. It also has warrants to purchase another 83.9 million common shares and 100,000 shares of preferred stock that pay a hefty dividend—both of which it acquired after helping Occidental finance its 2019 acquisition of Anadarko.

If Berkshire were to exercise the warrants, its stake would rise to roughly 27%. That would have exceeded the 25% limit FERC allowed for before Friday’s ruling.

“This is not a company that’s going to raise regulators’ hackles,” said Cathy Seifert, an analyst for CFRA Research.

It should also give Berkshire breathing room in case share buybacks or other company moves decrease the amount of shares outstanding, thus increasing its percentage stake.

There are other reasons to doubt a Berkshire takeover of Occidental is imminent.

One of them is price, said David Kass, a professor of finance at the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business.

So far, Berkshire has bought virtually all of its Occidental shares at a price in the range of $50 to $60, Mr. Kass said. The highest price Berkshire paid was $60.37 in July, according to filings.

Mr. Buffett is a well-known bargain-hunter, so it is difficult to imagine Berkshire rushing to buy more Occidental shares at the current price, Mr. Kass said. The shares are up 146% for the year, boosted by a rally in the price of oil, compared with an 11% decline for the S&P 500.

People familiar with deliberations at Occidental said the company’s leadership believes Mr. Buffett might consider making an offer if oil prices fall, bringing down Occidental’s stock price. If Mr. Buffett made an offer the company viewed as fair, a majority of the Occidental’s board would likely approve presenting it to shareholders, one of the people said.

Mr. Buffett didn’t respond to a request for comment. An Occidental spokesman declined to comment.

Mr. Buffett is currently represented as a passive shareholder in Occidental, based on the so-called 13G filing he has on record with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. If he were to change his intentions and hold meaningful discussions with the company about a full-on takeover, he would likely need to change his filing to a 13D, which is required by large shareholders who intend to get actively involved in the running of a company.

Taxes could also play a role in Mr. Buffett’s bid for a bigger minority stake in Occidental. Corporations with a stake of at least 20% in another company are eligible to deduct 65% of dividends received, up from the standard 50%.

Berkshire’s 20% stake also allows it to include a proportionate share of Occidental’s earnings in its own results. That could give its earnings a multibillion-dollar boost annually, based on analyst estimates of Occidental’s earnings. Before the most recent purchases, disclosed this month, Occidental fell below the 20% threshold for both benefits.

Since Berkshire started buying Occidental shares in February, Mr. Buffett has had a friendly and collaborative relationship with Ms. Hollub, and the pair speak regularly, according to people familiar with the matter.

When Mr. Buffett bought another slug of Occidental shares this spring, he called Ms. Hollub to let her know about the transaction, according to one of the people. Ms. Hollub was driving at the time and pulled over to take the call, the person said.

Mr. Buffett’s message was simple: “Keep doing what you’re doing,” he told Ms. Hollub.

Berkshire’s growing ties with Occidental have an unexpected link to Mr. Buffett’s earliest days of investing.

At age 11 in 1942, Mr. Buffett made his first investment: three shares of Cities Service’s preferred stock. Forty years later, Occidental went on to acquire the oil company, which Ms. Hollub had just joined the year before.

Mr. Buffett’s investment in Occidental this year shows his first stock purchases “coming full circle 80 years later,” Mr. Kass said.

Write to Akane Otani at akane.otani@wsj.com, Christopher M. Matthews at christopher.matthews@wsj.com and Cara Lombardo at cara.lombardo@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Cleared to Buy as Much as Half of Occidental’s Shares

In a regulatory filing Friday, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission said that Berkshire Hathaway had asked for and received its permission to buy up to 50% of the driller’s shares. Berkshire has been loading up on Occidental’s shares this year, amassing roughly 20% of the company’s stock, public filings show, leaving many analysts to speculate whether Mr. Buffett would seek control of the company, one of the largest U.S. oil producers.

Occidental’s shares jumped to lead stock gains among the S&P 500 Friday, rising 9.9% after the publication of the ruling. The company’s stock has risen about 146% this year, far and away tops in the S&P 500 stock index, which is down 11% this year.

Berkshire requested the authorization on July 11 and said at the time it owned approximately 18.72% of the outstanding common shares of Occidental, according to the federal ruling. Berkshire has since added shares and earlier this month said in a securities filing that it held roughly 20% of Occidental’s common stock. Berkshire also owns warrants to buy another big slug of Occidental’s common stock as well as $10 billion worth of preferred shares that pay Berkshire about $800 million annually, filings show.

“It is concluded that the Proposed Transaction is consistent with the public interest,” Carlos D. Clay from the FERC’s Office of Energy Market Regulation wrote in the filing.

A spokesman for Occidental confirmed that Berkshire could now buy up to 50% of common shares and didn’t comment further. A Berkshire Hathaway representative didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Mr. Buffett has invested billions in renewables such as wind-farm projects through Berkshire’s energy unit and has also added oil companies to the holding company’s portfolio in recent years.

Chevron Corp.

is now one of Berkshire’s largest stock investments.

Occidental has raked in high profits from elevated oil prices, netting $3.7 billion in the second quarter. The profits are a dramatic turnaround for the company, which lost around $14.8 billion in 2020 after the global pandemic gutted oil demand. Berkshire’s stock purchases, as well as that of the many investors who follow Mr. Buffett’s moves, have helped lift Occidental’s shares to the head of the broad rally in energy stocks.

Occidental’s ill-timed $38 billion deal to take over rival Anadarko Corp. in 2019 loaded the company with debt, leaving it in a perilous position as oil prices tumbled during the pandemic. Chief Executive

Vicki Hollub

made deep spending cuts over the past two years, moved to rein in growth and focused on using cash to pay down debt.

The company has repaid $8 billion in debt this year to bring it to $22 billion, down from nearly $36 billion a year ago, according to the company and analysts. Occidental’s endeavor to reach investment-grade status and its cash-generating capabilities have made it an attractive target for Mr. Buffett, said Neal Dingmann, an analyst with Truist Securities. “It’s a great sort of hedge against a lot of his other businesses to own such a high free-cash-flowing business,” he said.

Occidental has raked in high profits from elevated oil prices, netting $3.7 billion in the second quarter.



Photo:

Reuters Staff/REUTERS

Mr. Buffett has made no secret of his admiration for Ms. Hollub, describing her as one of the best executives in the business. In 2019, he acquired $10 billion in preferred stock to help the company pay for the Anadarko deal.

“What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense,” Mr. Buffett said at Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting in April. Occidental looked like “a good place to put Berkshire’s money,” he added.

Mr. Buffett had to show his hand to the market because power plants controlled by both Occidental and Berkshire Hathaway feed the same grid in Louisiana. Occidental owns a power plant in Taft, La., that feeds its chemical plant next door. Leftover power is sold on the local grid, which Berkshire Hathaway Energy plants also feed.

FERC ruled that since Occidental’s plant accounts for just 0.48% of the capacity connected to the region’s grid, a combination with Berkshire “will not have an adverse effect on competition” in the local electricity market. Mr. Buffett had to ask, though, before beefing up Berkshire’s Occidental stake.

In recent years, Occidental has ventured into renewables through its Oxy Low Carbon Ventures unit. This new focus dovetails with Berkshire’s own investments in renewable energy and puts Mr. Buffett’s company in a position to benefit from tax breaks, said

Bill Smead,

chief investment officer at Smead Capital Management.

“We see Berkshire’s filing as a vote of confidence in the oil macro and the value proposition in energy equities,” said Kevin MacCurdy, a managing director at investment firm Pickering Energy Partners.

Write to Benoît Morenne at benoit.morenne@wsj.com and Ryan Dezember at ryan.dezember@wsj.com

Copyright ©2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Warren Buffett Says Markets Have Become a ‘Gambling Parlor’

OMAHA, Neb.—As recently as February,

Warren Buffett

lamented he wasn’t finding much out there that was worth buying. 

That is no longer the case.

After a yearslong deal drought, Mr. Buffett’s

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

BRK.B -2.55%

is opening up the spending spigot again. It forged an $11.6 billion deal to buy insurer

Alleghany Corp.

Y -0.62%

, poised to be Berkshire’s biggest acquisition in six years. It bought millions of shares of

HP Inc.

HPQ -2.53%

and

Occidental Petroleum Corp.

OXY -3.40%

And it dramatically ramped up its stake in

Chevron Corp.

CVX -3.16%

, making the energy company one of Berkshire’s top four stock investments.

The big question: Why?

“It’s a gambling parlor,” Mr. Buffett said Saturday of the markets over the past few years. He added that he blamed the financial industry for motivating risky behavior among investors. While he finds speculative bets “obscene,” the pickup in volatility across the markets has had one good effect, he said: It has allowed Berkshire to find undervalued businesses to invest in again following a period of relative quiet. 

“We depend on mispriced businesses through a mechanism where we’re not responsible for the mispricing,” Mr. Buffett said.

Mr. Buffett, 91 years old, shared his thoughts on the state of the markets, Berkshire’s insurance business and recent investments at the company’s annual shareholder meeting in downtown Omaha.

Berkshire also held votes on shareholder proposals, with investors ultimately striking down measures that asked Berkshire to make its board chairman independent and called for the company to disclose climate risk across its businesses. 

Shareholders eager to score prime seats lined up for hours before the doors opened in the arena where Mr. Buffett; right-hand-man

Charlie Munger,

98; and Vice Chairmen

Greg Abel,

59, and

Ajit Jain,

70, took the stage. As Mr. Buffett entered, a lone audience member took the opportunity to send a message. “We love you,” the person shouted. 

Mr. Buffett appeared equally enthused to see the thousands of shareholders sitting before him. 

It was a lot better being able to be with everyone in person, he said.

Up until recently, Berkshire had largely been sitting on its cash pile. Its business thrived; a recovering economy and roaring stock market helped push net earnings to a record in 2021. But it didn’t announce any major deals, something that led many analysts and investors to wonder about its next moves. Berkshire ended the year with a near record amount of cash on hand. (After Berkshire’s buying spree, the size of the company’s war chest shrank to $106.26 billion at the end of the first quarter, from $146.72 billion three months earlier.)

Mr. Buffett’s feeling that there were no appealing investment opportunities for Berkshire quickly gave way to excitement in late February, he said Saturday, when he got a copy of Alleghany Chief Executive

Joseph Brandon’s

annual report.

The report piqued his interest. He decided to follow up with Mr. Brandon, flying to New York City to talk about a potential deal over dinner. 

Warren Buffett headed in to speak to shareholders at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting in Omaha, Neb., on Saturday.



Photo:

SCOTT MORGAN/REUTERS

If the chief executive hadn’t reached out, “it wouldn’t have occurred to me to write to him and say, ‘Let’s get together,’” Mr. Buffett said.

Berkshire’s decision to build up a 14% stake in Occidental also came about with a report. Mr. Buffett said he had read an analyst note on the company, whose stock is still trading below its 2011 high, and decided the casino-like market conditions made it a good time to buy the stock.

Over the course of just two weeks, Berkshire scooped up millions of shares of the company. 

“I don’t think we ever had anything quite like we have now in terms of the volumes of pure gambling activity going on daily,” Mr. Munger said. “It’s not pretty.” 

But the amount of speculation in the markets has given Berkshire a chance to spot undervalued businesses, Mr. Munger said, allowing the company to put its $106 billion cash reserve to work.

“I think we’ve made more because of the crazy gambling,” Mr. Munger said.

Another business that caught Berkshire’s eye? Chevron. Berkshire’s stake in the company was worth $25.9 billion as of March 31, up from $4.5 billion at the end of 2021, according to the company’s filing. That makes Chevron one of Berkshire’s four biggest stockholdings, alongside

Apple,

American Express Co. and Bank of America Corp.

Neither Mr. Buffett nor Mr. Munger specifically addressed Berkshire’s decision to increase its Chevron stake.

But the two men offered a defense of the oil industry. It is a good thing for the U.S. to be producing more of its own oil, Mr. Buffett said. Mr. Munger went further, saying he could hardly think of a more useful industry. 

At the meeting, Mr. Buffett also revealed that Berkshire has increased its stake in

Activision Blizzard Inc.

The company now holds a 9.5% position in Activision, a merger-arbitrage bet from which Berkshire stands to profit if

Microsoft Corp.’s

proposal to acquire the videogame maker goes through.

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At the end of the day, Berkshire doesn’t try to make its investments based on what it believes the stock market will do when it opens each Monday, Mr. Buffett said.

“I can’t predict what [a] stock will do…We don’t know what the economy will do,” he said.

What Berkshire focuses on is doing what it can to keep generating returns for its shareholders, Mr. Buffett said. Berkshire produced 20% compounded annualized gains between 1965 and 2020, compared with the S&P 500, which returned 10% including dividends over the same period.

“The idea of losing permanently other people’s money…that’s just a future I don’t want to have,” Mr. Buffett said.

Write to Akane Otani at akane.otani@wsj.com

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Germany Drops Opposition to Embargo on Russian Oil

BERLIN—Germany is now ready to stop buying Russian oil, clearing the way for a European Union ban on crude imports from Russia, government officials said.

Berlin had been one of the main opponents of sanctioning the EU’s oil-and-gas trade with Moscow.

However on Wednesday, German representatives to EU institutions lifted the country’s objection to a full Russian oil embargo provided Berlin was given sufficient time to secure alternative supplies, two officials said.

The German shift increases the likelihood that EU countries will agree on a phased-in embargo on Russian oil, with a decision possible as soon as next week, diplomats and officials say. However, how quickly the bloc ends its Russian oil purchases, and whether it also uses measures such as price caps or tariffs, is still being negotiated. The U.S. is pressing its European allies to avoid steps that could lead to a protracted increase in oil prices.

Europe’s debate on banning Russian oil has shifted decisively in recent days with Germany and some other countries taking practical steps to replace Russia with other suppliers. Some member states remain cautious about the economic impact of an oil embargo, including Hungary, Italy, Austria and Greece, diplomats say. All 27 EU governments must approve an oil ban.

The oil moves come as EU nations scramble to help member states Poland and Bulgaria make up for a natural gas shortfall after Russia stopped deliveries this week in reaction to what it said was the two countries’ refusal to pay for imports in rubles. The Kremlin demands EU buyers pay into special bank accounts where deposits would be converted from euros and dollars into rubles.

The EU pays state-controlled Russian firms around €1 billion, equivalent to $1.05 billion, a day for energy, according to estimates by Bruegel, a Brussels-based think tank. Critics have said that these funds are bankrolling Russian President

Vladimir Putin’s

regime and its war in Ukraine.

The consequences of harsh economic sanctions against Russia are already being felt across the globe. WSJ’s Greg Ip joins other experts to explain the significance of what has happened so far and how the conflict might transform the global economy. Photo Illustration: Alexander Hotz

On Thursday, Gazprom PJSC, Russia’s biggest gas producer, said profit soared in 2021 on the back of higher gas and oil prices.

Senior officials from EU member states discussed oil sanctions at length on Wednesday and the European Commission, the EU’s executive body, will hold further discussions with EU countries in coming days before presenting a proposal probably early next week, officials and diplomats say.

U.S. Treasury Secretary

Janet Yellen

said last week that a full European oil embargo on Russia would push up international oil prices, hurting a fragile global economy, and might “actually have very little negative impact on Russia,” which would benefit from higher oil prices on its remaining exports. She suggested Europe could keep buying oil while restricting Russia’s access to payments, echoing talk in Europe of making payments into an escrow account.

The EU imports between 3 million and 3.5 million barrels of oil a day from Russia, sending just under $400 million in payments daily, according to Bruegel. That amounts to some 27% of EU oil imports. Oil and gas revenues accounted for 45% of Russia’s federal budget in 2021, according to the International Energy Agency.

Many companies have been self-sanctioning, according to analysts and traders, avoiding trade in Russian oil over reputational concerns and the risk that the Western pressure campaign could soon encompass Moscow’s energy exports. That is already contributing to a sharp fall in Russian oil exports, according to the IEA.

EU officials designing the next sanctions proposals have to factor in that it will take some European oil refineries time to adapt to receive non-Russian crude. They also acknowledge that for countries such as landlocked Hungary, which receives its Russian oil through pipelines, adjusting to a Russian oil embargo will be complex.

The bloc is considering the option of combining a gradual phaseout of oil purchases with more immediate measures to reduce demand or cut payments to Moscow, such as a price cap or a tariff on oil imports. Another possibility is to phase out shipped oil purchases quickly and pipeline deliveries more slowly.

“There are all sorts of things that we’re running through,” said a senior EU official. “The aim is to hit the Russians as hard as possible while at the same time minimizing” the cost.

While Germany has swung behind the idea of phasing out Russian oil purchases, Berlin remains skeptical of price caps, tariffs and proposals to put Russia’s oil payments into escrow accounts.

German officials doubt that Mr. Putin would maintain oil deliveries if the EU unilaterally cut the price it pays, and they caution that Russia could easily sell its oil to other customers such as India and China instead of accepting a lower European price.

Berlin’s change of mind on oil came after it struck a deal with Poland that will enable Germany to import oil from global exporters via the Baltic Sea port of Gdansk, officials said Wednesday.

The Polish port is located close to the PCK oil refinery in Schwedt, Germany, which is controlled by the Russian oil giant

Rosneft

and receives crude via a Russian pipeline known as Druzhba, Russian for friendship.

The Gdansk port infrastructure, which is equipped to receive oil supertankers, is connected to the Russian pipeline with a separate link operated by Poland. This means oil imports to Gdansk could be immediately channeled through the pipeline to the Schwedt refinery, replacing Russian supplies, government officials said.

Oil imports to Gdansk, Poland, could be channeled to the Schwedt refinery, replacing Russian supplies.



Photo:

Michal Fludra/Zuma Press

The Schwedt refinery was the biggest obstacle to Germany accepting a ban on Russian oil imports because thousands of jobs in the region depend on it and there was no alternative supply to feed it until now, the officials said.

The Polish deal was necessary because the German port closest to the refinery, Rostock, doesn’t have the capacity to receive supertankers. In addition, Germany’s railways no longer operate oil wagons. The landmark deal was announced on Wednesday by German Economy Minister

Robert Habeck

during a visit to Poland.

Some 12% of Germany’s oil consumption relies on Russian imports, down from 35% before the war, Mr. Habeck said in a video statement posted on his ministry’s social media. He said Germany was now ready for the possibility that Rosneft would stop channeling oil, a scenario he said would no longer spell disaster for the German economy.

“Rosneft is a Russian state company and they have no interest in processing non-Russian oil,” Mr. Habeck said.

Should Rosneft refuse to process non-Russian oil imports, Germany could put the refinery under state management under laws protecting strategic assets. Berlin has already assumed stewardship of the main Russian gas-trading hub in Germany, a subsidiary of Russia’s state-controlled Gazprom.

Write to Bojan Pancevski at bojan.pancevski@wsj.com, Laurence Norman at laurence.norman@wsj.com and Georgi Kantchev at georgi.kantchev@wsj.com

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Saudi Arabia Considers Accepting Yuan Instead of Dollars for Chinese Oil Sales

Saudi Arabia is in active talks with Beijing to price some of its oil sales to China in yuan, people familiar with the matter said, a move that would dent the U.S. dollar’s dominance of the global petroleum market and mark another shift by the world’s top crude exporter toward Asia.

The talks with China over yuan-priced oil contracts have been off and on for six years but have accelerated this year as the Saudis have grown increasingly unhappy with decades-old U.S. security commitments to defend the kingdom, the people said.

The Saudis are angry over the U.S.’s lack of support for their intervention in the Yemen civil war, and over the Biden administration’s attempt to strike a deal with Iran over its nuclear program. Saudi officials have said they were shocked by the precipitous U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan last year.

China buys more than 25% of the oil that Saudi Arabia exports. If priced in yuan, those sales would boost the standing of China’s currency. The Saudis are also considering including yuan-denominated futures contracts, known as the petroyuan, in the pricing model of

Saudi Arabian Oil Co.

, known as Aramco.

Russia’s attack on Ukraine helped push the price of oil to over $100 a barrel for the first time since 2014. Here’s how rising oil costs could further boost inflation across the U.S. economy. Photo illustration: Todd Johnson

It would be a profound shift for Saudi Arabia to price even some of its roughly 6.2 million barrels of day of crude exports in anything other than dollars. The majority of global oil sales—around 80%—are done in dollars, and the Saudis have traded oil exclusively in dollars since 1974, in a deal with the Nixon administration that included security guarantees for the kingdom.

China introduced yuan-priced oil contracts in 2018 as part of its efforts to make its currency tradable across the world, but they haven’t made a dent in the dollar’s dominance of the oil market. For China, using dollars has become a hazard highlighted by U.S. sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program and on Russia in response to the Ukraine invasion.

China has stepped up its courtship of the Saudi kingdom. In recent years, China has helped Saudi Arabia build its own ballistic missiles, consulted on a nuclear program and begun investing in Crown Prince

Mohammed bin Salman’s

pet projects, such as Neom, a futuristic new city. Saudi Arabia has invited Chinese President

Xi Jinping

to visit later this year.

Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in China in January.



Photo:

Anonymous/Associated Press

Meanwhile the Saudi relationship with the U.S. has deteriorated under President Biden, who said in the 2020 campaign that the kingdom should be a “pariah” for the killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi in 2018. Prince Mohammed, who U.S. intelligence authorities say ordered Mr. Khashoggi’s killing, refused to sit in on a call between Mr. Biden and the Saudi ruler, King Salman, last month.

It also comes as the U.S. economic relationship with the Saudis is diminishing. The U.S. is now among the top oil producers in the world. It once imported 2 million barrels of Saudi crude a day in the early 1990s but those numbers have fallen to less than 500,000 barrels a day in December 2021, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

By contrast, China’s oil imports have swelled over the last three decades, in line with its expanding economy. Saudi Arabia was China’s top crude supplier in 2021, selling at 1.76 million barrels a day, followed by Russia at 1.6 million barrels a day, according to data from China’s General Administration of Customs.

“The dynamics have dramatically changed. The U.S. relationship with the Saudis has changed, China is the world’s biggest crude importer and they are offering many lucrative incentives to the kingdom,” said a Saudi official familiar with the talks.

“China has been offering everything you could possibly imagine to the kingdom,” the official said.

More on Relations Between the U.S., Saudi Arabia and China

A senior U.S. official called the idea of the Saudis selling oil to China in yuan “highly volatile and aggressive” and “not very likely.” The official said the Saudis had floated the idea in the past when there was tension between Washington and Riyadh.

It is possible the Saudis could back off. Switching millions of barrels of oil trades from dollars to yuan every day could rattle the Saudi economy, which has a currency, the riyal, pegged to the dollar. Prince Mohammed’s aides have been warning him of unpredictable economic damage if he moves ahead with the plan hastily.

Doing more sales in yuan would more closely connect Saudi Arabia to China’s currency, which hasn’t caught on with international investors because of the tight controls Beijing keeps on it. Contracting oil sales in a less stable currency could also undermine the Saudi government’s fiscal outlook.

Some officials have cautioned Prince Mohammed that accepting payments for oil in yuan would pose risks to Saudi revenues tied in U.S. Treasury bonds abroad and the limited availability of the yuan outside China.

The impact on the Saudi economy would likely depend on the quantity of oil sales involved and the price of oil. Some economists said moving away from dollar-denominated oil sales would diversify the kingdom’s revenue base and could eventually lead it to repeg the riyal to a basket of currencies, similar to Kuwait’s dinar.

“If it is (done) now at a time of strong oil prices, it would not be seen negatively. It would be more seen as deepening ties with China,” said Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank.

The Saudis still plan to do most oil transactions in dollars, the people familiar with their talks say. But the move could tempt other producers to price their Chinese exports in yuan as well. China’s other big sources of oil are Russia, Angola and Iraq.

The Saudi move could chip away at the supremacy of the U.S. dollar in the international financial system, which Washington has relied on for decades to print Treasury bills it uses to finance its budget deficit.

“The oil market, and by extension the entire global commodities market, is the insurance policy of the status of the dollar as reserve currency,” said economist Gal Luft, co-director of the Washington-based Institute for the Analysis of Global Security who co-wrote a book about de-dollarization. “If that block is taken out of the wall, the wall will begin to collapse.”

Talks with China over pricing oil in yuan started before Prince Mohammed, the de facto leader of the kingdom, made his first official visit to China in 2016, people familiar with the matter said. The crown prince asked the kingdom’s then-energy minister

Khalid al-Falih

to study the proposal, the people said.

Mr. Falih instructed Aramco to prepare a memo that heavily focuses on the economic challenges of switching to the yuan pricing.

“He really did not think that was a good idea but he could not stop the talks as the ship had already sailed,” said another person familiar with the meetings.

Saudi officials in favor of the shift have argued the kingdom could use part of yuan revenues to pay Chinese contractors involved in mega projects domestically, which would help mitigate some of the risks associated with the capital controls over the currency. China could also offer incentives such as multibillion-dollar investments in the kingdom.

Another official familiar with the talks said yuan pricing could give the Saudis more influence with the Chinese and help convince Beijing to reduce support for Iran.

Ali Shihabi, who sits on the board of Neom and formerly ran a pro-Saudi think tank in Washington, said the kingdom can’t ignore China’s desire to pay for oil imports in its own currency, particularly after the U.S. and EU blocked the Russian central bank from selling foreign currencies in its reserves stockpile.

“Any doubts countries had about the need to diversify into Yuan and other currencies/geographies would have ended with that huge step,” Mr. Shihabi tweeted in response to this article.

Write to Summer Said at summer.said@wsj.com and Stephen Kalin at stephen.kalin@wsj.com

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White House Urges OPEC to Boost Oil Output Amid Covid-19 Economic Recovery

WASHINGTON—The White House urged OPEC to boost oil production Wednesday, saying recent planned increases are insufficient as countries around the world seek to emerge from the Covid-19 pandemic.

National security adviser Jake Sullivan said in a statement that recent planned production increases by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would “not fully offset previous production cuts” made by OPEC and its oil-producing allies during the pandemic.

“At a critical moment in the global recovery, this is simply not enough,” Mr. Sullivan said.

Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, fell 0.8% to $70.04 a barrel after the White House announcement. Oil prices have experienced volatility in recent days due to concerns over the Delta variant of Covid-19.

In July, OPEC and a group of Russian-led oil producers agreed to unleash millions of barrels of crude over the next two years, committing to restore all the cuts they made at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. The group chose to move gradually, with monthly installments of new oil through the latter end of 2022.

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OPEC, Allies Agree to Boost Output, Betting on Demand Rebound

OPEC and an alliance of other top oil producers agreed to boost their collective production by more than two million barrels a day over coming months, betting on resurgent demand as they and the rest of the world assess the economic consequences of the pandemic’s trajectory.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and a group of other big producers led by Russia agreed to boost output in May by 350,000 barrels a day, and by the same amount again in June, according to delegates. They agreed to then increase output by another 450,000 barrels a day in July. Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, agreed to start easing separate, unilateral cuts of one million barrels a day that it put in place earlier this year. It plans to end those cuts altogether by the end of July, delegates said.

The agreement Thursday between the two groups, together called OPEC+, was a compromise between Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s de facto leader, and Russia. Saudi Arabia had sought to maintain cuts, skeptical of a quick return in oil demand during the pandemic. Russia, meanwhile, has said the world already needs more oil to feed resurgent economies in many regions.

The decision is another sharp swerve in OPEC’s zigzag oil strategy over the past year, underscoring the difficulty among forecasters in the group—and elsewhere—to call the start of a sustained global recovery from the pandemic.

Ahead of the meeting between the two groups, Saudi Arabia had initially backed plans to keep production unchanged, delegates said. The decision to hike output “was a complete U-turn,” one of them said. Throughout the pandemic, the group has appeared to shift sharply from optimism to pessimism over the prospects of a post-pandemic economic recovery—and a strong rebound in oil demand. Saudi Arabia has pushed to stay cautious, while Russia has been eager to lift output.

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