Tag Archives: CNBC

The Twitter layoffs were handled terribly, says Big Tech’s Alex Kantrowitz – CNBC Television

  1. The Twitter layoffs were handled terribly, says Big Tech’s Alex Kantrowitz CNBC Television
  2. Twitter employees panicking with no communication from Musk Business Insider
  3. Twitter Employees Start To Learn About Layoffs NBC News
  4. Latest Stock Market News: October jobs report strong, Musk to begin mass Twitter layoffs, Starbucks shares jump on record sales, inflation tops voters’ concerns | November 04, 2022 | Live Updates from Fox Business Fox Business
  5. Twitter Employees Informed Via Email that Mass Layoffs Will Start Friday | THR News The Hollywood Reporter
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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GOP holds big leads on key economic issues ahead of the November elections, CNBC survey shows

U.S. President Joe Biden holds a video conference event with electric battery industry grant winners, related to recent infrastructure initiatives, from the White House in Washington, October 19, 2022.

Jonathan Ernst | Reuters

The third-quarter CNBC All-America Economic Survey finds some modest improvements in economic attitudes and in President Joe Biden’s approval ratings across the country, but Americans still harbor mostly negative views on the economy and give the GOP double-digit leads on key economic and financial issues ahead of the November elections.

Biden’s overall approval rating improved 10 points from the July survey with 46% approving and 50% disapproving. Approval of Biden’s handling of the economy also rose 10 points, with 40% approving and 56% disapproving. While they were the president’s best numbers since 2021, the improvement came largely from increased Democratic support. Approval by independents on the economy remained unchanged from the prior poll at just 25%.

CNBC All-America Economic Survey

Americans’ views on the current state of the economy rose 5 points from the prior survey, yet still remain at a low level. Only 16% say the economy is excellent or good, up from 11% in July; 83% call the economy fair or poor, the third straight survey where the percentage has been above 80.

On the outlook, 27% expect the economy to improve in the next year, up from 22% in July, with 45% expecting it to get worse, down from 52% in July. The 45% who believe the economy will worsen is the third most pessimistic result in the 14-year history of the survey, eclipsed only by the surveys in July and a year ago.

Republicans have a 2-point advantage, 48%-46%, on party preference to control Congress. That’s a toss-up with the poll’s +/-3.5% margin for error, but Democrats have typically had substantial leads in this question when they have picked up congressional seats. The gap is the same as the prior survey, which came in at 44%-42%.

The poll of 800 registered voters nationwide was conducted Oct. 13-16 by Hart Research, who served as the Democratic pollsters, and Public Opinion Strategies, the Republican pollsters.

GOP lead

Republicans have a double-digit lead on the questions of which party would do a better job bringing down inflation, handling taxes, dealing with deficits and creating jobs. CNBC’s Democratic and Republican pollsters agree the economic numbers look similar to 2014 when the GOP retained the House and took control of the Senate.

CNBC All-America Economic Survey

“We tested a number of economic issues and Republicans just kind of ran the table, all except for on the cost of health care,” said Micah Roberts, partner at Public Opinion Strategies. “If this election were just about the economy, which we know it’s not, but if it were just about the economy, this would be a complete shellacking.”

Specifically, on the issue of which party is best to control inflation, Republicans have a 15-point lead, 42-27%; they lead 40-29% on dealing with taxes; 36% to 25% on reducing the deficit; and 43 -33% on creating jobs. Democrats have a 4-point lead, 42% to 38%, on “looking out for the middle class,” but that’s down from a 12-point margin they enjoyed in 2018. They have a commanding 44-28% margin on which party is best to reduce health-care costs.

“The way things are moving overall and the way things look, it’s definitely more of an uphill climb for Democrats and maybe slightly slanted downwards for Republicans,” said Jay Campbell, partner at Hart Research.

The poll also found:

  • 43% of American say higher interest rates have had a negative effect on their personal financial situation; 47% say they’ve been hurt by the stock market decline; and 77% say inflation has set them back financially.
  • Just 32% believe their home price will increase in the next year, the lowest level since the Covid pandemic began; 23% believe their home price will decline in the next year, the highest level since 2011.
  • Views on the stock market remain depressed — just a point above the worst levels ever recorded in the survey — with just 28% saying it’s a good time to invest in the stock market.
  • 68% think the U.S. will soon be in a recession, including 9% who believe we are already in a recession.
  • The one bit of good economic news: 41% believe their wages will rise in the next year, the highest level since the pandemic.
  • Inflation ranks as the No. 1 concern for all Americans combined, but there are substantial differences by party. “Threats to democracy” is the No. 1 issues for Democrats, and “immigration and border security” is tops for Republicans, a point ahead of inflation. For independents, inflation is the leading concern and little else registers. Crime is the No. 3 issue for GOP voters, while abortion and climate change are tied for third among Democrats. For the moment, the war in Ukraine and jobs and unemployment are not seen as top issues by either party or independents.
  • Americans have less confidence in the Federal Reserve than they do Republicans or Democrats in Congress. Just 15% of the public say they have confidence in the Fed, compared with 22% for Republicans and 21% for Democrats in Congress.
  •  A 53% majority say the Fed’s efforts to reduce inflation by raising interest rates will succeed. But when asked what’s more important when it comes to the central bank’s dual mandate — jobs or inflation — Americans are split. 47% say it’s more important to protect jobs than fight inflation and 43% say the inflation fight should take precedence.

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The Fed is now expected to keep raising rates then hold them there, CNBC survey shows

US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gives a press briefing after the surprise announcement the FED will cut interest rates on March 3, 2020 in Washington, DC.

Eric Baradat | AFP | Getty Images

Wall Street finally looks to be embracing the idea that the Federal Reserve will hike rates into restrictive territory and stay at that high rate for a substantial period. That is, the Fed will hike and hold, not hike and cut as many in the markets had been forecasting.

The September CNBC Fed Survey shows the average respondent believes the Fed will hike 0.75 percentage point, or 75 basis points, at Wednesday’s meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.1%. The central bank is forecast to keep hiking until the rate peaks in March 2023 at 4.26%.

The new peak rate forecast represents a nearly 40 basis-point increase from the July survey.

Fed funds expectations

CNBC

Respondents on average forecast the Fed will remain at that peak rate for nearly 11 months, reflecting a range of view of those who say the Fed will maintain its peak rate for as little as three months to those who say it will hold there for up to two years.

“The Fed has finally realized the seriousness of the inflation problem and has pivoted to messaging a positive real policy rate for an extended period of time,” John Ryding, chief economic advisor at Brean Capital, wrote in response to the survey.

Ryding sees a potential need for the Fed to hike as high as 5%, from the current range of 2.25%-2.5%.

At the same time, there is growing concern among the 35 respondents, including economists, fund managers and strategists, that the Fed will overdo its tightening and cause a recession.

“I’m fearing they are on the cusp of going overboard with the aggressiveness of their tightening, both in terms of the size of the hikes along with (quantitative tightening) and the speed at which they are doing so,” Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer of Bleakley Financial Group, wrote in response to the survey.

Boockvar had been among those who had urged the Fed to pivot and tighten policy very early on, a delay that many say has created the need for officials to move quickly now.

Respondents put the recession probability in the U.S. over the next 12 months at 52%, little changed from the July survey. That compares with a 72% probability for Europe.

In the U.S., 57% believe the Fed will tighten too much and cause a recession, while just 26% say it will tighten just enough and cause only a modest slowdown, a five-point drop from July.

Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group, is among the few optimists.

He says the Fed “has a real chance at a soft-landing” because the lagged effects of its tightening to date will reduce inflation. But that’s provided it doesn’t’ hike too far.

“All the Fed has to do to enjoy a soft landing is stand down after raising the funds rate to 3.25%, allow real GDP growth to remain positive, and take all the credit as inflation declines while real growth persists,” Paulsen wrote.

The bigger problem, however, is that most respondents do not see the Fed succeeding at hitting its 2% inflation target for several years.

Respondents forecast the consumer price index will end the year at a 6.8% year-over-year rate, down from the current level of 8.3%, and fall further to 3.6% in 2023.

Only in 2024 does a majority forecast the Fed will hit its target.

Elsewhere in the survey, more than 80% of respondents said they made no change to their inflation forecasts for this year or next as a result of the Inflation Reduction Act.

In the meantime, stocks look to be in a very difficult spot.

Respondents marked down their average 2022 outlook for the S&P 500 for the sixth straight survey. They now see the large-cap index ending the year at 3,953, or about 1.4% above Monday’s close. The index is expected forecast to rise to 4,310 by the end of 2023.

At the same time, most believe markets are more reasonably priced than they were during most of the pandemic.

About half say stock prices are too high relative to the outlook for earnings and the economy, and half say they are too low or just about right.

During the pandemic, at least 70% of respondents said stock prices were too high in nearly every survey.

The CNBC risk/reward ratio — which gauges the probability of a 10% upside minus downside correction in the next six months — is closer to the neutral zone at -5. It has been -9 to -14 for most of the past year.

The U.S. economy is seen running at stall speed this year and next with just 0.5% growth forecast in 2022 and little improvement expected for 2023 where the average GDP forecast is just 1.1%.

That means at least two years of below trend growth is now the most likely case.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics wrote: “There are many potential scenarios for the economic outlook, but under any scenario the economy will struggle over the next 12-18 months.”

The unemployment rate, now at 3.7, is seen rising to 4.4% next year. While still low by historical standards, it is rare for the unemployment rate to rise by 1 percentage point outside of a recession. Most economists said the U.S. is not in a recession now.

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If the Fed wants 2% inflation, we’re going to have a calamitous recession, says Clocktower’s Papic – CNBC Television

  1. If the Fed wants 2% inflation, we’re going to have a calamitous recession, says Clocktower’s Papic CNBC Television
  2. Fed Inflation Battle to Spur Greater Economic Harm Than Realized Bloomberg
  3. Inflation conditions ‘are morphing,’ strategist says Yahoo Finance
  4. Bill Clinton’s Treasury secretary says he has no idea where inflation will go. ‘Who the hell knows,’ and making predictions is a ‘fool’s game’ Fortune
  5. Fed rate hikes are mistake as inflation turns into deflation: Cathie Wood Markets Insider
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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Amazon EA acquisition report refuted by CNBC

UPDATE 1.40pm UK: US network CNBC has shut down a report by USA Today that stated Amazon was set to make an imminent takeover bid for FIFA maker EA.

Speaking live on air in the last few minutes, analyst and co-anchor David Faber said: “I’ve talked to some people who would actually know if there was something going on, and they say there’s nothing going on. These are people who would be involved, who in fact were involved when our parent company was talking to Electronic Arts.”

A clip of the segment lies below:

“EA has definitely been out there in the past a bit, considering what it might do, you could imagine Amazon might have some interest…” Faber continued. “But no, this is not going to happen today, from what I’m hearing, unless the people who had been involved previously have no idea.”

This morning’s earlier report briefly set EA’s stock price soaring.

Faber’s update on today’s report also included detail of a past bid for EA by NBCUniversal, which ultimately fell through.

Earlier today, an EA spokesperson told Eurogamer the company did not comment “on rumors and speculation relating to M&A [mergers and acquisitions]”.


ORGINAL STORY 12.50pm UK:
Online retail giant Amazon is set to announce an offer to buy FIFA publisher EA, a new report has claimed.

USA Today sources state that Amazon will formally announce its offer later today. There’s no detail yet on how much it will bid.

EA has recently been the subject of several takeover rumours, with Apple and Disney also claimed to be among other interested parties.

Eurogamer Breaking Newscast: Sony reluctantly raises PS5 price, but knows it can get away with it

USA Today’s report claims Amazon may be looking to use EA franchises such as Dead Space, or BioWare’s Mass Effect and Dragon Age, as settings for new Amazon-made TV series.

“We don’t comment on rumors and speculation relating to M&A [mergers and acquistions],” an EA spokesperson confirmed to Eurogamer today.

2022 has been a historic year for mergers and acquistions in the video game industry, with Microsoft’s still-in-the-works plan to buy Activision Blizzard for nearly $70bn, Sony gobbling up Bungie for $3.6bn, and Take-Two purchasing Zynga for $12.2bn.

Electronic Arts has 12,900 employees worldwide across dozens of development studios, and is home to franchises such as Battlefield, Need for Speed, Dead Space and The Sims, as well as FIFA, Madden and NFL games via its EA Sports label.

Among the studios it owns are BioWare, home to Dragon Age and Mass Effect, and Respawn, maker of Apex Legends and Titanfall.

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These are the 2022 CNBC Disruptor 50 companies

In the tenth annual Disruptor 50 list, CNBC highlights private companies that grew through the ups and downs of the pandemic and are poised to meet increasing economic and consumer challenges.

All told, these firms have raised a half-trillion dollars in venture capital. At least 41 are unicorns, with valuations of $1 billion or more – 14 are valued at over $10 billion. But becoming a unicorn has become all too common, and as market volatility pressures valuations in both public and private markets, other stats stand out: 

Forty of the companies have a social or environmental purpose that is core to their business model. Ten of this year’s Disruptors are from the logistics sector, tackling the broken global supply chain that has fueled four-decade high inflation. Eight are reducing costs in a bloated health-care system and reaching underserved populations. Several more are dedicated to the climate crisis. Nine of this year’s Disruptors have a female founder. Sixteen feature CEOs from racial and ethnic minorities.  

The 50 companies selected using the proprietary Disruptor 50 methodology have raised over $56 billion in venture capital, according to PitchBook, at an implied Disruptor 50 valuation of more than $552 billion.

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