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Economic fears hit global equities, commods; Twitter lifts Wall St

WASHINGTON/LONDON, April 25 (Reuters) – European stocks slid to a one-month low and commodity prices dropped on Monday on renewed concerns about rising interest rates and China’s sputtering economy, while Wall Street shares rose, reversing losses after Twitter agreed to be bought by billionaire Elon Musk.

Fears over China’s COVID-19 outbreaks spooked investors already worried that higher U.S. interest rates could dent economic growth. U.S. shares were lower throughout most of the session, extending last week’s sharp declines. The CBOE Volatility index (.VIX) known as Wall Street’s fear gauge, hit the lowest level since mid-March.

Twitter Inc (TWTR.N), shares rose on news that Elon Musk, the world’s richest person, clinked a deal to pay $44 billion cash for the social media platform populated by millions of users and global leaders. read more

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After news of the deal, Wall Street reversed course on a late rally by growth stocks, and the Nasdaq ended sharply higher.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 0.7% to end at 34,049.46 points, while the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 0.57% to 4,296.12.

The Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) climbed 1.29% to 13,004.85.

“You can tell growth wanted to rally all day but the market was holding it down. The Twitter news came and that was just a green light to start buying some of the growth names. They have been oversold for a while,” said Dennis Dick, a trader at Bright Trading LLC.

Earlier, Europe’s STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) dropped 1.8% to close at its lowest since mid-March. Commodity stocks slumped 6%, as global worries overshadowed relief from French presidential results on Sunday which saw Emmanuel Macron edge past far-right challenger Marine Le Pen.

MSCI’s benchmark for global equity markets (.MIWD00000PUS) fell 0.41% to 668.85. Emerging markets stocks (.MSCIEF) fell 2.61%. Overnight, Asian markets had their worst daily decline in over a month on fears Beijing would go back into a COVID-19 lockdown.

“Stocks’ rebound from the first quarter correction has hit a wall of rising long-term interest rates,” Morgan Stanley’s Chief Investment Officer Lisa Shale said in a note.

“With the Fed talking about a faster and larger balance sheet reduction than anticipated, real yields are approaching zero from their deeply negative territory. With the nominal 10-year U.S. Treasury cracking 2.9%, the equity risk premium

has plummeted.”

The euro slid 0.9%, near the session’s trough and its weakest level since the initial COVED panic of March 2020.

“The reality is there is more to the French election story than Macron’s win yesterday,” said Rabobank FX strategist Jane Foley.

France will hold parliamentary elections in June, and Macron also seems likely to maintain pressure for a Europe-wide ban on Russian oil and gas imports, which would cause near-term economic pain.

“We had German officials saying last week that if there was an immediate embargo of Russian energy then it would cause a recession in Germany. … that would drag the rest of Europe down and have knock-on effects for the rest of the world,” Foley said.

French presidential election results Results for the French presidential elections, second-round vote

State television in China had reported that residents were ordered not to leave Beijing’s Chatoyant district after a few dozen COVID cases were detected over the weekend. read more

China’s yuan skidded to a one-year low while China stocks saw their biggest slump since the pandemic-led panic-selling of February 2020. .SSE

The dollar index rose 0.65% and climbed to a two-year high. It touched a peak of $1.0695 against the euro .

Investors wonder how fast and far the Federal Reserve will raise U.S. interest rates this year and whether that and other global strains will tip the world economy into recession.

This week will be packed with corporate earnings. Almost 180 S&P 500 index firms are to report. Among big U.S. tech companies, Microsoft and Google report on Tuesday, Facebook on Wednesday and Apple and Amazon on Thursday.

In Europe, 134 of the Stoxx 600 will put out results, including banks HSBC, UBS and Santander on Tuesday, Credit Suisse on Wednesday, Barclays on Thursday and NatWest and Spain’s BBVA on Friday.

“I wonder whether just meeting expectations will be enough, it just feels like maybe we’ll need a bit more,” said Rob Carnell, ING’s chief economist in Asia, referring to jitters about big tech following a dire report from Netflix last week.

World stocks suffering one of worst ever starts to a year

FEAR FACTOR

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (.HSI) fell 3.7% and the Shanghai composite index (.SSEC) slid over 5% .

China’s central bank had fixed the mid-point of the yuan’s trading band at its lowest level in eight months, seen as an official nod for the currency’s slide, and the yuan was sold further, to a one-year low of 6.5092 per dollar .

The higher dollar pushed spot gold 1.7% lower by 4:53 p.m. EST (2053 GMT). U.S. gold futures settled nearly 2% lower at $1,896. Palladium prices were down nearly 10% on worries over Chinese demand.

In oil, Brent crude closed 4% lower at $102.32 a barrel and U.S. crude settled down 3.5% at $98.54, its first close below $100 since April 11.

Euro zone bond yields fell.

Money markets are pricing in a 1 percentage point increase in U.S. interest rates at the Fed’s next two meetings and at least 2.5 points for the year, which would be one of the biggest annual increases ever.

This week will also see the release of U.S. growth data, European inflation figures and a Bank of Japan policy meeting, which will be watched for any hints of a response to a sharp fall in the yen, which has lost 10% in about two months.

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Additional reporting by Bansari Mayu Kamdar, Noel Randewich, Tom Westbrook; Editing by Bernadette Baum, Catherine Evans, Mark Heinrich, Marguerita Choy and David Gregorio

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Oil dives 6% as Shanghai lockdowns stoke demand fears

Pump jacks operate at sunset in Midland, Texas U.S. February 11, 2019. Picture taken February 11, 2019. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo

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  • Shanghai fences up COVID-hit areas, fuelling fresh outcry
  • EU considers ‘smart sanctions’ on Russian oil -media
  • U.S. dollar hits two-year high

NEW YORK, April 25 (Reuters) – Oil slumped about 6% on Monday to its lowest in two weeks on growing worries about the global energy demand outlook due to prolonged COVID-19 lockdowns in Shanghai and potential increases in U.S. interest rates.

In Shanghai, authorities have erected fences outside residential buildings. In Beijing, many people have begun stockpiling food, fearing a similar lockdown after the emergence of a few cases of COVID-19. read more

“It seems that China is the elephant in the room,” said Jeffrey Halley, analyst at brokerage OANDA. “The tightening COVID-zero restrictions in Shanghai, and fears Omicron has spread in Beijing, torpedoed sentiment today.”

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Brent futures fell $6.17, or 5.8%, to $100.48 a barrel by 11:12 a.m. EDT (1512 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $5.91, or 5.8%, to $96.16.

“Shanghai shows no signs of letting up its strict zero-COVID policy; instead vowing to step up the enforcement of COVID restrictions, which could hurt oil demand further,” said City Index analyst Fiona Cincotta.

Both benchmarks were on track for their lowest closes since April 11. Both lost nearly 5% last week and Brent has retreated sharply after hitting $139 a barrel last month, its highest level since 2008.

Also pressuring oil, the U.S. dollar

The Chinese yuan was set for its biggest three-day losing streak in nearly four years on worries of an economic slowdown in the world’s biggest oil importer. read more

Oil gained support earlier in the year from tight supplies after Russia’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine caused customers to avoid buying Russian oil due to Western sanctions. But, the market could tighten further with a European Union (EU) ban on Russian crude.

The EU is preparing “smart sanctions” against Russian oil imports, according to a report in The Times of London that cited the European Commission’s executive vice president, Valdis Dombrovskis. read more

Russia’s NK Rosneft PAO (ROSN.MM) failed to sell oil in a jumbo tender after demanding prepayment in roubles, five traders said, meaning the country’s top oil company must find ways to divert more crude to Asian buyers via private deals. read more

A shipping unit of France’s TotalEnergies SE (TTEF.PA) has provisionally chartered a tanker to load Abu Dhabi crude in early May for Europe, the first such shipment in two years, according to traders and a shipping report. read more

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Additional reporting by Yuka Obayashi in Tokyo and Alex Lawler in London; Editing by David Goodman, Susan Fenton and David Gregorio

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Large fire at oil depot in Russia’s Bryansk, near Ukraine

April 25 (Reuters) – A large fire broke out early on Monday at an oil storage facility in the Russian city of Bryansk, the emergencies ministry said, adding that no one was injured.

There was no immediate indication that the fire was related to the war in Ukraine, although Russian officials said last week that Ukrainian helicopters hit residential buildings and injured seven people in the area. read more

In a statement, the ministry said the fire took place at a facility owned by oil pipeline company Transneft at 2 a.m. Moscow time (2300 GMT), and there had been no need to evacuate any parts of the city of 400,000 people.

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Russia’s investigative committee said in a separate statement that its head, Alexander Bastrykin, has ordered a probe into the incident. Ukrainian officials have so far made no comment on the fire and its possible cause.

Bryansk is an administrative centre 154 km (96 miles) northeast of the Ukrainian border, near the Sumy and Chernihiv regions, and is about 380 km (236 miles) distant from Moscow, the Russian capital.

Moscow calls its actions in Ukraine, now entering their third month, a special military operation.

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Reporting in Melbourne by Lidia Kelly; Editing by Clarence Fernandez and Gareth Jones

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Oil slips on fears over slowing China demand

The chimneys of the Total Grandpuits oil refinery are seen just after sunset, southeast of Paris, France, March 1, 2021. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann

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  • China’s economy slowed in March
  • Libya’s NOC declares Zueitina force majeure, warns of closures
  • Russian oil output down 7.5% in April so far – IFAX cites source

TOKYO/LONDON, April 18 (Reuters) – Oil edged lower on Monday as worries over slowing demand in China balanced support from concern over tight global supply and the deepening Ukraine crisis.

China’s economy slowed in March as consumption, real estate and exports were hit, taking the shine off faster-than-expected first-quarter growth numbers and worsening an outlook already weakened by COVID-19 curbs and the Ukraine war. read more

Brent crude fell 19 cents, or 0.2%, to $111.51 a barrel at 0825 GMT, sliding from the highest since March 30 of $113.80 hit earlier in the session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was down 19 cents, or 0.2%, at $106.76.

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“Some Asian investors booked profits as they became worried about slowing demand in China,” said Satoru Yoshida, a commodity analyst with Rakuten Securities.

Data on Monday also showed China refined 2% less oil in March than a year earlier, with throughput falling to the lowest since October as the surge in crude prices squeezed margins and tight lockdowns hurt demand. read more

Oil surged to the highest since 2008 in March, with Brent briefly topping $134, as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine added to supply concerns due to sanctions on Russia and buyers avoiding Russian oil.

Adding to supply-side pressure, Libya’s National Oil Corp on Monday declared force majeure at Zueitina oil port and warned that “a painful wave of closures” had begun hitting its facilities. Libya had halted production from its El Feel oilfield on Sunday. read more

Russian production declined by 7.5% in the first half of April from March, Interfax reported on Friday, and EU governments said last week the bloc’s executive was drafting proposals to ban Russian crude.

Those comments came before tensions grew in the Ukraine crisis. Ukrainian authorities said missiles struck Lviv early on Monday and explosions rocked other cities as Russian forces kept up their bombardments after claiming near full control of the port of Mariupol. read more

“Continued war between Russia and Ukraine with no signs of a ceasefire fuelled supply fears, especially as demand is expected to pick up as driving season nears in the northern hemisphere,” said Chiyoki Chen, chief analyst at Sunward Trading.

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Reporting by Yuka Obayashi and Alex Lawler; Editing by Jacqueline Wong

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Oil dives 4%, below $100 on China lockdowns, reserves release plan

An oil & gas pump jack is seen near Granum, Alberta, Canada May 6, 2020. REUTERS/Todd Korol/File Photo

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  • IEA members to release 240 mln barrels over 6 months
  • US dollar set to rise for 8th day to most since May 2020
  • EU drafting proposals for an oil embargo on Russia
  • China oil demand seen lower, Shanghai eases lockdowns

NEW YORK, April 11 (Reuters) – Oil prices fell about 4% on Monday, with Brent crude tumbling below $100 a barrel on worries that the COVID-19 pandemic will cut demand in China and as International Energy Agency (IEA) countries plan to release record volumes of oil from strategic stocks.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) closed at its lowest since Feb. 25, the day after Russian forces invaded Ukraine, an action Moscow calls a “special military operation.”

Brent futures fell $4.30, or 4.2%, to settle at $98.48 a barrel, while WTI crude fell $3.97, or 4.0%, to settle at $94.29. It was the lowest close for Brent since March 16.

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Fuel consumption in China, the world’s biggest oil importer, has stalled with COVID-19 lockdowns in Shanghai, analysts at the Eurasia Group consultancy said. Shanghai, China’s financial center, started easing lockdowns in some areas on Monday despite reporting a record of more than 25,000 new COVID-19 infections. read more

“Even when the restrictions in Shanghai are lifted, China’s zero-Covid policies will likely remain a drag on demand,” Eurasia Group said, noting Shanghai lockdowns likely reduced China’s overall oil consumption by up to 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd).

To help offset a shortfall in Russian crude after Moscow was hit with sanctions, IEA member nations, including the United States, will release 240 million barrels of oil over the next six months. read more

The release of Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) volumes equals 1.3 million bpd over the next six months, enough to offset a shortfall of 1 million bpd of Russian oil supply, analysts at JP Morgan said.

“The (SPR) release will be the largest of all time, and has already broken the back of the WTI price curve,” said Robert Yawger, executive director of energy futures at Mizuho, noting the spreads were sliding toward contango.

Contango signals an oversupplied market. It is when prices for later-dated months are higher than the front-month.

In contrast, when concerns about supply shortages were high in early March, the WTI curve was in what Yawger called “super-backwardation” with each month at least $1 a barrel below the prior month through November 2023.

Adding pressure to crude prices, the U.S. dollar (.DXY) was on track to strengthen for an eighth straight day against a basket of other currencies. A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. read more

In a move that could tighten global oil supplies, the European Union’s (EU) executive is drafting proposals for an embargo of Russian oil, although there was still no agreement to ban Russian crude. read more

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) told the EU that sanctions on Russia could create one of the worst-ever oil supply shocks and it would be impossible to replace those volumes. OPEC signaled it would not pump more oil. read more

U.S. President Joe Biden and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi held talks on Monday as Washington pushed its Asian ally to support its response to Russia’s invasion. read more

India, the world’s third-biggest oil importer, has increased purchases of Russian crude in recent months because Moscow has been forced to sell its oil at a steep discount since invading Ukraine.

Fuel demand in India rose to a three-year high in March, with petrol sales hitting an all-time peak. read more

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Additional reporting by Bozorgmehr Sharafedin in London, Florence Tan and Isabel Kua in Singapore and David Gaffen in New York; Editing by David Goodman, Mark Potter, Will Dunham and David Gregorio

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Global stocks rebound but set for weekly loss

LONDON, April 8 (Reuters) – European shares rebounded on Friday but world stocks were still on track for their first weekly loss in four as the prospect of aggressive global rate hikes and geopolitical risks rattled investors.

Global risk appetite declined during the week as minutes from the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank showed policymakers are set to ramp up efforts to rein in inflation.

At 0811 GMT, the MSCI world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS), which tracks shares in 50 countries, was up 0.2% but for the week was down 1.3% and on track for its first weekly loss in four.

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The pan-European STOXX 600 (.STOXX) was 1.3% higher as markets in Europe played catch-up with a modest bounce seen on Wall Street on Thursday.

Eddie Cheng, head of international multi-asset portfolio management at Allspring Global Investments, said European stocks’ move higher on Friday morning was “probably just a little bit of a reprieve” from the week’s downward trend, but that investors were still preoccupied by the Fed raising rates and the war in Ukraine.

“The uncertainty is not reducing, it’s actually increasing,” he said, noting fresh sanctions on Russia. The European Commission proposed new sanctions on Russia on Tuesday, including a ban on buying Russian coal. read more

French presidential election risk was evident in bond markets with French borrowing costs rising, compared to a general fall in yields of core European government bonds.

Investors are concerned about the risks of far-right candidate Marine Le Pen beating incumbent President Emmanuel Macron.

“A Macron victory would be welcomed by the markets as markets would price in diminishing political uncertainty and continued business-friendly administration,” said Lale Akoner, senior market strategist at BNY Mellon Investment Management.

A Le Pen victory, while still unlikely, is now within the margin of error before the first round of voting on Sunday, opinion polls show. read more

The spread between French and German 10-year yields was close to its widest level since April 2020 at 54.5 basis points.

In U.S. bond markets, longer-dated Treasuries have borne the brunt of the this week’s selling as traders see the long-end hit the hardest by the Fed cutting its bond holdings.

The benchmark 10-year yield is up almost 27 bps to 2.6584% this week but was steady in early European trade.

The U.S. dollar has been the primary beneficiary from rising U.S. yields and the dollar index was higher for the seventh consecutive day and on track for its best week in five.

The stronger dollar has heaped pressure back on the euro and the struggling yen. Japan’s currency was near its lowest level in years and battling with 124.00, while the euro fell to its lowest level since March 7 at $1.0848.

Brent crude futures edged higher after earlier falling below $100 per barrel. U.S. crude oil futures were up 0.8% to $96.76 per barrel.

Gold was little changed at $1,931 but was set to eke out a 0.3% gain for the week.

Major cryptocurrencies posted small gains with Bitcoin trading at $43,813, although it was still on track for its second consecutive weekly drop.

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Reporting by Samuel Indyk and Elizabeth Howcroft; Editing by Nick Macfie

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Exclusive: Canada to invest C$2 billion on mineral strategy for EV battery supply chain

OTTAWA, April 4 (Reuters) – Canada’s federal budget will include an investment of at least C$2 billion ($1.6 billion) for a strategy to accelerate the production and processing of critical minerals needed for the electric vehicle (EV) battery supply chain, two senior government sources said.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government, which is due to release its budget on Thursday, will make the investment to ramp up the extraction of processing of critical minerals including nickel, lithium, cobalt and magnesium, said the sources who are familiar with the matter but were not authorized to speak on the record.

The investment could be spread over more than one year, but the sources declined to comment on the time frame.

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Canada last month announced financial support for building two facilities that will make battery materials for electric vehicles, and one battery gigafactory, but no agreements have yet been announced for mineral extraction or refining. read more

“There are some particular projects that we are looking at and working on at the present time,” Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson said in a recent telephone interview with Reuters.

All the potential projects, “whether they’re extraction or processing, need to be accelerated significantly, and that’s what the critical mineral strategy will be about,” he added.

Canada’s finance ministry declined to confirm whether the investment would be in the budget that will be presented by Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland in the House of Commons.

“Canada has an abundance of valuable critical mineral deposits, and with the right investments, this sector can create thousands of new good jobs, grow our economy, and make Canada a vital part of the growing global critical minerals industry,” said Adrienne Vaupshas, press secretary for Freeland.

There are “many active conversations” between the Canadian government and companies “on the need to accelerate and scale up the production of raw materials used in EV batteries,” one of the sources said.

Canada, which is home to a large mining sector, has a multi-billion-dollar fund set up to invest in green technologies and is trying to woo companies involved in all levels of the EV supply chain to safeguard the future of its manufacturing heartland in Ontario as the world seeks to cut carbon emissions.

Ontario is geographically close to U.S.-based automakers in Michigan and Ohio, and General Motors Co (GM.N), Ford Motor Co (F.N) and Stellantis NV (STLA.MI) have all announced plans to make electric vehicles at factories in the Canadian province.

MINERALS FROM MINING WASTE

Since it can take many years – even a decade or more – to open new mines, Wilkinson said some of the projects being considered involve “tailings from existing mines from which you could extract critical minerals.”

“We’re looking at brines and oil sands, tailings ponds, and all of those things,” he said.

Brendan Marshall, the vice president of economic and northern affairs for the Mining Association of Canada, said this kind of project would require research.

“There needs to be research and development” to develop technologies that can identify and separate critical minerals “from the general waste stream,” Marshall said.

Canada’s critical mineral strategy will focus on, among other things, driving research, innovation and exploration, one of the sources said.

GM said on Monday that it was investing C$2 billion on two plants, including one that will produce an electric vehicle for commercial use in Canada. Last month, GM said it had partnered with South Korea’s POSCO Chemical (005490.KS) to build a facility to make battery materials in Quebec. read more

Scott Bell, the president and managing director of GM Canada, said last month that Canada’s abundance of nickel and other raw materials would be used to make cathode active material in the Canadian province, without elaborating.

“These companies are going to need those critical minerals that our country has, so we need to start aggressively ramping up the mining and processing required,” Canadian Industry Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne said in Vancouver last week.

Demand for minerals needed for batteries, including lithium and cobalt, could increase by almost 500% by 2050, the World Bank estimates. Currently Asia, and in particular China, dominates global production and processing of critical minerals, rare earths and rare metals used to make EVs.

Constantine Karayannopoulos, president and chief executive officer of Neo Performance Materials Inc(NEO.TO), a rare earths and rare metals processing company based in Toronto, said Canada and North America have a lot of catching up to do.

“We are behind the eight ball collectively in the West, behind China,” Karayannopoulos said in a telephone interview. “China is dominating this space … We need a lot of money (to build the supply chain) because we’re playing catch-up.”

($1 = 1.2517 Canadian dollars)

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Reporting by Steve Scherer
Editing by Paul Simao

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U.S. considers vaccines to protect poultry from deadly bird flu

Chickens feed from a row of feed bins at C&A Farms in Fairmont, North Carolina June 10, 2014. Picture taken June 10, 2014.

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CHICAGO, April 4 (Reuters) – The U.S. Department of Agriculture is looking into vaccines as an option to protect poultry against deadly bird flu, the agency’s chief veterinary officer said as the country faces its worst outbreak since 2015.

Supporters say vaccines could help keep poultry alive, prevent financial losses and control food costs, though shots would be too late to stop the current outbreak that has wiped out 22 million chickens and turkeys in commercial flocks since February.

Previously, the United States has eschewed vaccines, worried that importers will ban U.S. poultry shipments because they cannot distinguish infected birds from vaccinated ones. The United States is the world’s second-largest poultry meat exporter a major egg producer, with shipments reaching $4.2 billion in 2020.

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However, the USDA’s Agricultural Research Service is investigating the potential for a vaccine that could be distinguished from the wild type of virus spread to poultry, Chief Veterinary Officer Rosemary Sifford said in an interview.

“We feel strongly that if we could develop a vaccine like that, that would have less of a trade impact,” Sifford said. Researchers estimate that would take at least nine months to develop, she said.

Bird flu has hit poultry in Europe and Asia in addition to North America, and Sifford said the USDA is working with other countries on options for vaccines. Trading has suffered, as importers like China have blocked imports from more than a dozen U.S. states with outbreaks. read more

Though vaccines could protect poultry, some producers worry they would be cost prohibitive for chickens raised for meat, which only live about five to seven weeks.

Still the International Poultry Council, an industry group representing producers worldwide, is reviewing the possibilities, said Jim Sumner, a council member and president of the USA Poultry & Egg Export Council.

“We recognize that in some extreme cases of severe outbreaks, maybe vaccination needs to be considered as an option,” Sumner said.

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Reporting by Tom Polansek; Editing by David Gregorio

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Exxon signals record quarterly profit from oil and gas prices

Signage is seen on a gasoline pump at an Exxon gas station in Brooklyn, New York City, U.S., November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

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HOUSTON, April 4 (Reuters) – Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N) on Monday said its first-quarter results could top a seven-year quarterly record, with operating profits from pumping oil and gas alone of up to $9.3 billion.

A snapshot of the largest U.S. oil company’s quarter ended March 31 showed operating profits from oil and gas, its biggest unit, could jump by as much as $2.7 billion over the prior quarter’s $6.6 billion.

Exxon does not hedge, or lock in oil sales, and results generally match changes in energy prices. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine pushed up oil by 45% last quarter over the final period of 2021, to an average of $114 per barrel, the highest in seven years. read more

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The estimates suggest total earnings for the quarter of about $9.8 billion at the mid-point of Exxon’s estimates, according to Scotiabank global equity research.

Exxon shares, which have jumped 36% year to date, rose slightly on Monday to $83.16. Official results are expected to be released on April 29, according to a securities filing.

The outlook implies adjusted earnings around $2.29 per share, Scotiabank analyst Paul Cheng said in a note. The total would guarantee Exxon its highest quarterly profit since at least 2014.

The blockbuster oil and gas profits offer a preview of what lies ahead for other firms’ oil earnings. Such results could strengthen calls by U.S. and European Union lawmakers for windfall profit taxes on energy companies.

RUSSIA WRITEDOWN?

Final results could be dampened by impairments to Exxon’s Russian operations. The company last month said it would phase out of Russia following the invasion of Ukraine. The oil company has $4 billion in assets at risk to potential seizure and faces a 1% to 2% hit to production and revenue from the move. read more

“Depending on the terms of its exit from Sakhalin, the company may be required to impair its investment in the project up to the full book value,” it said in a filing.

High oil and gas prices accelerated after Russia’s invasion and sanctions were imposed on its oil, coal and LNG. Global oil prices hit a 14-year high in the first quarter and have since cooled as the U.S. announced a release of emergency stocks and China began a lockdown.

Operating profits in refining could be up to $300 million higher than the $1.5 billion earned in its fourth quarter, while its chemicals business could decrease by as much as $300 million compared with the previous quarter’s $1.3 billion profit.

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Reporting by Sabrina Valle; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Richard Pullin

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Stocks, dollar rise; European leaders urge further Moscow sanctions

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 4, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

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  • U.S. stocks mostly higher in early trade
  • Oil prices gain
  • U.S. dollar strengthens

NEW YORK, April 4 (Reuters) – Stocks on global indexes rose on Monday, with the Nasdaq leading gains on Wall Street, while the U.S. dollar strengthened as European leaders urged further sanctions against Moscow following war crime allegations in Ukraine.

Investors were closely watching the yield curve between U.S. two-year and 10-year notes, which inverted last week in a signal for some market watchers that a recession may follow in one to two years.

More sanctions against Russia would ratchet up the already huge economic pressure on Russia over its invasion of Ukraine.

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Russia maintained gas flows through key pipeline routes into Europe, despite uncertainty over payment terms. read more

The dollar gained, rising for three straight sessions, as the prospect of increased sanctions pushed investors to seek safety in the greenback. read more

“The dollar is bouncing higher as geopolitical developments have darkened clouds over the global economy,” said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington. The Kremlin denied accusations related to the murder of civilians in Ukraine.

The U.S. currency also continued to benefit from a strong non-farm payrolls report for March that backed expectations for a half of a percentage point rate hike by the Federal Reserve at next month’s meeting.

The dollar index rose 0.245%.

The euro , which has been under pressure due to worries about the economic damage from the war in Ukraine, fell 0.6% versus the dollar to $1.0988. Against sterling, the euro fell to a six-day low and it was last down 0.6% at 83.73 pence.

On Wall Street, news that Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has built a 9.2% stake in Twitter Inc (TWTR.N) took the spotlight and sent Twitter shares surging. read more

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 3.76 points, or 0.01%, to 34,814.51, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 21.62 points, or 0.48%, to 4,567.48 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 213.94 points, or 1.5%, to 14,475.44.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.93% and MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.65%.

In the U.S. Treasury market, two-year yields were at 2.44%, while benchmark 10-year yields were at 2.41%.

The recent jump in U.S. bond yields has backed the U.S. dollar, particularly against the yen, given the Bank of Japan acted repeatedly last week to keep its bond yields near zero.

On the U.S. economic front, the Commerce Department said factory orders fell 0.5% in February. Data for January was revised slightly higher to show orders rising 1.5% instead of 1.4% as previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast factory orders would decline 0.5%. read more

Oil jumped over 3% as the release of strategic reserves by consuming nations failed to eliminate supply fears arising from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the lack of an Iranian nuclear deal. read more

U.S. crude recently rose 3.52% to $102.76 per barrel and Brent was at $107.58, up 3.06% on the day.

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Additional reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss in New York, Julien Ponthus in London; Editing by Richard Chang and Andrea Ricci

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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