- Hurricane Lee, now a Category 3 storm, is starting to send hazardous beach conditions to Southeast US, forecasters say CNN
- Tropics Update: Hurricane Lee back to major hurricane status, could eventually impact New England 13News Now
- Lee Restrengthens Into A Major Hurricane; Track Forecast Remains Uncertain The Weather Channel
- Hurricane Lee restrengthens to Category 3 as East Coast faces hazardous beach conditions this week CNN
- Why Hurricane Lee’s rapid intensification has meteorologists and climate scientists worried MSNBC
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- Yucatan disturbance sets its sights on Florida » Yale Climate Connections Yale Climate Connections
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Potential Category 4 atmospheric river to hit Northern California
Southern California experienced a drastic drop in temperatures on Monday, with wet weather expected through the week, while a powerful winter storm hit Northern California started late Monday and brought several inches of rain and heavy winds.
An atmospheric river, or a weather system that moves high concentrations of water vapor outside of the tropics, could on Tuesday bring up to 1 to 3 inches of rain to the coastal areas, with higher elevations receiving upward of 3 to 5 inches, the National Weather Service told CBS San Francisco. The atmospheric river could be as strong as a Category 4, with a scale that tops out a 5.
Accompanied by a medley of weather alerts, a surging jet stream pushed the powerful winter storm system toward California’s Bay Area on Monday, CBS San Francisco reported. The National Weather Service issued a series of updated warnings targeting communities in the area, including a flood watch for cities like San Francisco, Watsonville, Pacifica, Santa Cruz, Scotts Valley and Boulder Creek. Those warnings took effect late on Monday night and are currently set to remain active through Tuesday afternoon.
By Tuesday morning, experts forecasted that significant runoff from surrounding mountain ranges could bring flooding to rivers, creeks, streams and low-lying areas, the weather service said in an advisory, adding that flooding could occur in urban areas as well as areas with poor drainage systems. Storm drains and ditches could become clogged with debris, the weather service warned.
NOAA
“Locally up to 7 inches are possible over favored peaks and higher terrain of the Sonoma Coastal Range where prolonged moderate to heavy precipitation and higher rain rates are currently forecast,” the NWS told CBS San Francisco. “Last but not least, if that was not enough, there is a slight chance of thunder which has expanded southward to just around San Francisco. Not expecting much more than a rumble of thunder here and there.”
The National Weather Service said a flood watch is in effect for North Bay, San Francisco and the coastline. A wind advisory is also out for the coastal areas from Sonoma County to Santa Cruz County.
The agency’s San Francisco bureau shared updated guidance during the early hours of Tuesday morning, and, at the time, noted that “moderate to heavy rain” is anticipated throughout the day, with 5 inches expected to hit locally and between 2 and 4 inches expected along the coast. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain are expected further inland, with slightly less precipitation forecasted for valley communities, the weather service said. The advisory is scheduled to remain in effect until 6 p.m. PST on Tuesday evening.
“Localized flooding will likely occur, particularly in urban areas where ponding on roadways or poor drainage is a common issue,” weather service forecasters said. “Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams and other low-lying flood-prone locations. Commuters should plan on a wet trip on Tuesday and allow for extra time to arrive at their location.”
Wet weather on Monday evening was already causing transportation issues on BART trains throughout the Bay Area, the agency reported, saying at the time that transit riders should prepare for delays of up to 20 minutes system-wide. The weather service noted that rain was beginning to develop in the areas surrounding San Francisco Airport at around 5:50 p.m. on Monday, according to CBS San Francisco.
The weather service has also issued a wind advisory that took effect late on Monday night and was scheduled to remain active through Tuesday morning, for coastal communities stretching from Sonoma County to Santa Cruz County.
“South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected,” the weather service said. “Local gusts up to 60 mph over the ridges and peaks.”
California officials warned of the potential for falling trees and tree limbs, as well as possible power outages, as a result of the wind forecast, CBS San Francisco reported, noting that beach hazard statements and high surf advisory warnings were also issued for coastal beaches due to “dangerous swimming and surfing conditions.”
Meanwhile in Southern California, the National Weather Service forecasted drastic changes in weather with temperatures dropping up to 20 degrees, as a storm system sweeps through the area into Wednesday.
“Say goodbye to the warmth,” NWS Los Angeles tweeted. “Big drop in temperatures on track between today and tomorrow (Tuesday). Expect 15-20 degrees of cooling thanks to the approaching storm system”
NWS forecasts temperatures in downtown Los Angeles are expected to drop from a high of 79 degrees on Monday to 61 degrees on Thursday, CBS Los Angeles reported.
A low-level pressure system currently forming is set to push through Washington late Tuesday and pull a plume of very moist air over California early Tuesday through early Wednesday, according to the NWS.
The plume will move slowly through San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties all day Tuesday resulting in 1.5 to 3 inches of rainfall, with some foothills like the Santa Lucias garnering up to 5 inches, the NWS said.
Ventura and Los Angeles Counties could see anywhere between half an inch to an inch of rainfall between four to six hours, the NWS said.
Meanwhile, Northwest Oregon and Southwest Washington face a storm system that is expected to bring heavy rain and strong winds starting Monday evening that could lead to minor flooding along rivers and creeks, according to NWS Portland.
“A strong frontal system brings heavy rain and strong winds to NW OR and SW WA through Tuesday,” NWS Portland tweeted. “Strongest winds along the coast, increasing tonight into Tuesday. Windy conditions inland late Tuesday morning and afternoon.”
The shift in weather comes as millions of Americans deal with a frigid winter storm that has gripped much of the United States.
CBS News has confirmed at least 62 weather-related deaths nationwide from that storm.
The scope of the storm has been nearly unprecedented, stretching from the Great Lakes near Canada to the Rio Grande along the border with Mexico. About 60% of the U.S. population faced some sort of winter weather advisory or warning, and temperatures plummeted drastically below normal from east of the Rocky Mountains to the Appalachians, the National Weather Service said.
Thousands of U.S. flights were canceled Saturday, and nearly 3,000 as of Sunday night, according to the tracking site FlightAware.
Potential Category 3 atmospheric river to hit Northern California
Southern California is set to experience a drastic drop in temperatures on Monday while a powerful winter storm is expected to hit Northern California starting late Monday and bring several inches of rain and heavy winds.
An atmospheric river, or a weather system that moves high concentrations of water vapor outside of the tropics, could on Tuesday bring up 1 to 3 inches of rain to the coastal areas, with higher elevations receiving upward of 3 to 5 inches, the National Weather Service told CBS San Francisco. The atmospheric river could be as strong as a Category 3, with a scale that tops out a 5.
“Locally up to 7 inches are possible over favored peaks and higher terrain of the Sonoma Coastal Range where prolonged moderate to heavy precipitation and higher rain rates are currently forecast,” the NWS told CBS San Francisco. “Last but not least, if that was not enough, there is a slight chance of thunder which has expanded southward to just around San Francisco. Not expecting much more than a rumble of thunder here and there.”
The National Weather Service said a flood watch is in effect for North Bay, San Francisco and the coastline. A wind advisory is also out for the coastal areas from Sonoma County to Santa Cruz County.
NOAA
Meanwhile in Southern California, the National Weather Service forecasted drastic changes in weather with temperatures dropping up to 20 degrees, as a storm system sweeps through the area into Wednesday.
“Say goodbye to the warmth,” NWS Los Angeles tweeted. “Big drop in temperatures on track between today and tomorrow (Tuesday). Expect 15-20 degrees of cooling thanks to the approaching storm system”
NWS forecasts temperatures in downtown Los Angeles are expected to drop from a high of 79 degrees on Monday to 61 degrees on Thursday, CBS Los Angeles reported.
A low level pressure system currently forming is set to push through Washington late Tuesday and pull a plume of very moist air over California early Tuesday through early Wednesday, according to the NWS.
The plume will move slowly through San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties all day Tuesday resulting in 1.5 to 3 inches of rainfall, with some foothills like the Santa Lucias garnering up to 5 inches, the NWS said.
Ventura and Los Angeles Counties could see anywhere between half an inch to an inch of rainfall between four to six hours, the NWS said.
Meanwhile, Northwest Oregon and Southwest Washington face a storm system that is expected to bring heavy rain and strong winds starting Monday evening that could lead to minor flooding along rivers and creeks, according to NWS Portland.
“A strong frontal system brings heavy rain and strong winds to NW OR and SW WA through Tuesday,” NWS Portland tweeted. “Strongest winds along the coast, increasing tonight into Tuesday. Windy conditions inland late Tuesday morning and afternoon.”
The shift in weather comes as millions of Americans deal with a frigid winter storm that has gripped much of the United States.
CBS News has confirmed at least 38 weather-related deaths nationwide from that storm.
The scope of the storm has been nearly unprecedented, stretching from the Great Lakes near Canada to the Rio Grande along the border with Mexico. About 60% of the U.S. population faced some sort of winter weather advisory or warning, and temperatures plummeted drastically below normal from east of the Rocky Mountains to the Appalachians, the National Weather Service said.
Thousands of U.S. flights were canceled Saturday, and nearly 3,000 as of Sunday night, according to the tracking site FlightAware.
CDC map puts 7 states in worst category for flu activity
(NEXSTAR) – The 2022 flu season is off to an early and vicious start, especially in the South, according to tracking by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
The CDC has seven states, plus Washington, D.C., in the highest category for flu activity, shown in purple on the map below. Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, Tennessee, South Carolina and Virginia are all categorized as “very high.”
It’s not much better in Maryland and Texas, both of which are in the second-worst category (brown on the CDC map).
Behind them are five more states in auburn: Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey and New Mexico.
Hospitalization rates for influenza haven’t been this high this early since the 2009 swine flu pandemic, according to the CDC. So far, there have been an estimated 1,300 flu deaths, including at least three children.
Activity has spiked over the past month. Less than three weeks ago, no states were in the “very high” categories.
All this flu transmission is also happening earlier than usual – the winter flu season usually ramps up in December or January.
Things look better up north; the Pacific Northwest, Upper Midwest and New England all have states in the “minimal” category for flu activity.
The CDC map isn’t based on confirmed influenza lab tests but rather tracks where people are going to the doctor with flu-like symptoms (respiratory illness and fever, plus a cough or sore throat). Because of that, the map “may capture patient visits due to other respiratory pathogens that cause similar symptoms,” the agency explains.
Flu season is ramping up at the same time as children’s hospitals are reeling from an onslaught of young patients with Respiratory Syncytial Virus, or RSV. CDC tracking shows RSV cases spiking since September.
There may be some good news: COVID-19 cases have been trending downwards and leveled off in the last three weeks, the CDC’s Dr. Jose Romero said.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
CDC map puts 7 states in worst category for flu activity
(NEXSTAR) – The 2022 flu season is off to an early and vicious start, especially in the South, according to tracking by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
The CDC has seven states, plus Washington, D.C., in the highest category for flu activity, shown in purple on the map below. Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, Tennessee, South Carolina and Virginia are all categorized as “very high.”
It’s not much better in Maryland and Texas, both of which are in the second-worst category (brown on the CDC map).
Behind them are five more states in auburn: Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey and New Mexico.
Hospitalization rates for influenza haven’t been this high this early since the 2009 swine flu pandemic, according to the CDC. So far, there have been an estimated 1,300 flu deaths, including at least three children.
Activity has spiked over the past month. Less than three weeks ago, no states were in the “very high” categories.
All this flu transmission is also happening earlier than usual – the winter flu season usually ramps up in December or January.
Things look better up north; the Pacific Northwest, Upper Midwest and New England all have states in the “minimal” category for flu activity.
The CDC map isn’t based on confirmed influenza lab tests but rather tracks where people are going to the doctor with flu-like symptoms (respiratory illness and fever, plus a cough or sore throat). Because of that, the map “may capture patient visits due to other respiratory pathogens that cause similar symptoms,” the agency explains.
Flu season is ramping up at the same time as children’s hospitals are reeling from an onslaught of young patients with Respiratory Syncytial Virus, or RSV. CDC tracking shows RSV cases spiking since September.
There may be some good news: COVID-19 cases have been trending downwards and leveled off in the last three weeks, the CDC’s Dr. Jose Romero said.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Subtropical Storm Nicole is on track to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane as it approaches Florida
CNN
—
A powerful storm packing torrential rain and damaging winds could slam into Florida’s east coast as a Category 1 hurricane this week as many residents are still enduring the aftermath of Hurricane Ian.
Subtropical Storm Nicole is expected to strengthen slowly as it approaches the Florida Peninsula, bringing heavy rain that could lead to dangerous storm surges and high winds beginning Wednesday, according to Jamie Rhome, the acting director of the National Hurricane Center.
“We’re probably going to have good chunks of the Florida Peninsula impacted by these conditions,” Rhome said Monday in a video briefing posted online.
More than 20 million people are under tropical storm alerts from Hallandale Beach, Florida, all the way north to Altamaha Sound, Georgia, according to according to CNN Meteorologist Robert Shackelford. Plus, a tropical storm warning has been issued for Lake Okeechobee in southern Florida, he said.
Additionally, more than 5 million people are under storm surge warnings from North Palm Beach northward to Altamaha Sound, including the mouth of the St. Johns River to Georgetown, Shackelford added.
As of early Tuesday, more than 8 million people were under hurricane watches in Florida, Shackelford said. The storm is expected to make landfall Thursday morning above West Palm Beach, he said.
Areas along the state’s west coast from north of Bonita Beach to the Ochlockonee River were also under tropical storm watches Tuesday morning.
Nicole was about 400 miles east-northeast of the northwestern Bahamas Tuesday morning. It is expected to become a tropical storm later Tuesday.
Nicole is not expected to intensify rapidly like Hurricane Ian did in late September when it killed at least 120 of people in its path in Florida and destroyed communities that are still reeling from the destruction.
“We’re not forecasting a major hurricane,” Rhome said. “Again, not an Ian situation, but still a potentially impactful system.”
Impactful in the sense it’s projected to be a strong tropical storm or a Category 1 hurricane by the time it reaches Florida by Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, Rhome said.
“Florida residents need to be taking this seriously,” Rhome said.
The warning comes as a hurricane watch is currently in effect along the east coast of Florida, from the Volusia/Brevard county line to Hallandale Beach, according to the hurricane center.
The watch also extends from just north of Miami to the Space Coast and includes Fort Lauderdale, West Palm Beach, Cape Canaveral and Melbourne.
Subtropical Storm Nicole packs wind speed of 45 miles, with higher gusts, Tuesday as it churns toward Florida from the northwestern Bahamas, where a hurricane warning is in effect.
“Dont let the ‘sub’ fool you. #Nicole is a formidable storm that will have major impacts all along the southeastern U.S. coastline, not only near the center. Coastal flooding, large waves and rip currents will extend from the tip of FL to NC,” the National Weather Service explained.
As many people across Florida head to the polls on Tuesday for midterms Election Day, forecasters are warning them to be prepared.
“Florida can expect scattered showers and storm to begin to impact parts of the state by Tuesday afternoon,” Shackelford said.
“The storm surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. Residents in the warning area should listen to advice given by local officials,” the hurricane center said.
Miami-Dade County Mayor Daniella Levine Cava said online that she’s been briefed on the storm and urged residents to prepare.
“Residents and visitors should monitor the forecast and make sure their storm kit is up-to-date,” Levine Cava said in a social media post. “We’re taking all needed precautions to prepare for potential flooding and power outages.”
Officials are not expecting the storm to impact Election Day on Tuesday.
Rhome, the acting director of the hurricane center, said that the potential for coastal flooding exists for a large area along the eastern coast of the Florida Peninsula beginning Wednesday, adding that some of those areas were hit by Hurricane Ian.
The main threats to Florida are heavy rain amounts up to 7 inches, and storm surge that could rise up to 5 feet along the coast combined with high winds. Those conditions are mainly forecast for Wednesday evening and Thursday.
Hurricane Roslyn: Western Mexico braces for Sunday landfall of Category 4 hurricane
CNN
—
Hurricane Roslyn, barreling towards Mexico as a major Category 4 storm, is expected to make landfall Sunday morning, bringing dangerous storm surge and flooding to parts of the country, forecasters said.
Roslyn was packing sustained winds of 130 mph Saturday evening as it churned toward Mexico’s Pacific coast, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The powerful hurricane was about 65 miles to the west-southwest of Cabo Corrientes Saturday night. It was moving north at around 12 mph and is expected to speed up, making a turn toward the north-northeast Sunday.
On its current forecast track, Roslyn’s center is expected to approach the coast of west-central Mexico, likely making landfall along the coast of Nayarit Sunday morning, according to the hurricane center.
“Although some weakening is possible tonight and early Sunday, Roslyn is expected to be at or near major hurricane intensity when it makes landfall on Sunday,” hurricane center forecasters said Saturday.
Dangerous storm surge is expected to bring significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the hurricane makes landfall. Near the coast, large and destructive waves are expected.
A hurricane warning is in effect for Las Islas Marias – an archipelago roughly 60 miles off the mainland coast – and for the region from Playa Perula to Escuinapa. A hurricane watch is in effect for the area north of Escuinapa to Mazatlan.
“Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion,” the National Hurricane Center said.
Significant rainfall is also expected, which could lead to flash flooding and landslides, according to the forecast.
Colima’s upper coast, western Nayarit, including Islas Marias, and southeastern Sinaloa could see up to 8 inches of rain. Jalisco could get a maximum of 10 inches along the northern coast.
Roslyn began forming off the western coast of Mexico, and its sustained wind speed increased by 60 mph in a 24-hour period from Friday to Saturday morning – a rapid intensification.
The hurricane has been tracking similarly to Hurricane Orlene, which made landfall October 3 just north of the Nayarit-Sinaloa border as a Category 1 storm before dissipating further inland. Orlene had strengthened into a Category 4 storm over open waters the day prior.
Hurricane Roslyn grows into Category 4 storm as it nears Mexico’s coast
Hurricane Roslyn grew into a major Category 4 storm on Saturday as it headed for a collision with Mexico’s Pacific coast, likely north of the resort of Puerto Vallarta.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Roslyn’s maximum sustained winds stood at 130 mph as of late Saturday night.
The storm was centered about 65 miles southwest of Cabo Corrientes — the point of land jutting into the Pacific south of Puerto Vallarta — and moving north at 12 mph.
ALFREDO ESTRELLA/AFP/Getty Images
The forecast put Roslyn on a path that could take it close to Cabo Corrientes and the Puerto Vallarta region during the night before making landfall in Nayarit state on Sunday.
Hurricane Orlene made landfall Oct. 3 a little farther north in roughly the same region, about 45 miles southeast of the resort of Mazatlan.
The Mexico National Water Commission said rains from Roslyn could cause mudslides and flooding. The NHC warned of dangerous storm surge along the coast, as well as up to 10 inches of rain in some areas.
“This rainfall could lead to flash flooding and landslides in areas of rugged terrain,” the NHC wrote in an advisory.
The state of Jalisco, which contains Puerto Vallarta, could see anywhere from 4 to 8 inches of rain, the NHC said.
Hurricane-force winds extended out 30 miles from Roslyn’s core, while tropical storm-force winds extended out to 80 miles, the U.S. hurricane center said.
Mexico issued a hurricane warning covering a stretch of coast from Playa Perula south of Cabo Corrientes north to El Roblito and for the Islas Marias.
Seemingly oblivious to the danger just hours away, tourists ate at beachside eateries around Puerto Vallarta and smaller resorts farther north on the Nayarit coast, where Roslyn was expected to hit.
“We’re fine. Everything is calm, it’s all normal,” said Jaime Cantón, a receptionist at the Casa Maria hotel in Puerto Vallarta. He said that if winds picked up, the hotel would gather up outside furniture “so nothing will go flying.”
While skies began to cloud up, waves remained normal, and few people appeared to be rushing to take precautions; swimmers were still in the sea at Puerto Vallarta.
“The place is full of tourists,” said Patricia Morales, a receptionist at the Punta Guayabitas hotel in the laid-back beach town of the same name, farther up the coast.
Asked what precautions were being taken, Morales said, “They (authorities) haven’t told us anything.”
The Nayarit state government said the hurricane was expected to make landfall Sunday around the fishing village of San Blas, about 90 miles north of Puerto Vallarta.
The head of the state civil defense office, Pedro Núñez, said, “Right now we are carrying out patrols through the towns, to alert people so that they can keep their possession safe and keep themselves safe in safer areas.”
In Jalisco, Gov. Enrique Alfaro wrote that 270 people had been evacuated in a town near the hurricane’s expected path and that five emergency shelters had been set up in Puerto Vallarta.
Alfaro said on Twitter that any school activities in the region would be cancelled Saturday and he urged people to avoid touristic activities at beaches and in mountainous areas over the weekend.
Hurricane Roslyn grows into Category 4 storm as it nears Mexico’s coast
Hurricane Roslyn grew into a major Category 4 storm on Saturday as it headed for a collision with Mexico’s Pacific coast, likely north of the resort of Puerto Vallarta.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Roslyn’s maximum sustained winds stood at 130 mph early Saturday evening.
The storm was centered about 90 miles southwest of Cabo Corrientes — the point of land jutting into the Pacific south of Puerto Vallarta — and moving north at 10 mph.
ALFREDO ESTRELLA/AFP/Getty Images
The forecast called for Roslyn to begin shifting to a northeast movement, putting it on path that could take it close to Cabo Corrientes and the Puerto Vallarta region late Saturday, before making landfall in Nayarit state early Sunday.
Hurricane Orlene made landfall Oct. 3 a little farther north in roughly the same region, about 45 miles southeast of the resort of Mazatlan.
The Mexico National Water Commission said rains from Roslyn could cause mudslides and flooding. The NHC warned of dangerous storm surge along the coast, as well as up to 10 inches of rain in some areas.
“This rainfall could lead to flash flooding and landslides in areas of rugged terrain,” the NHC wrote in an advisory.
The state of Jalisco, which contains Puerto Vallarta, could see anywhere from 4 to 8 inches of rain, the NHC said.
Hurricane-force winds extended out 30 miles from Roslyn’s core, while tropical storm-force winds extended out to 80 miles, the U.S. hurricane center said.
Mexico issued a hurricane warning covering a stretch of coast from Playa Perula south of Cabo Corrientes north to El Roblito and for the Islas Marias.
Seemingly oblivious to the danger just hours away, tourists ate at beachside eateries around Puerto Vallarta and smaller resorts farther north on the Nayarit coast, where Roslyn was expected to hit.
“We’re fine. Everything is calm, it’s all normal,” said Jaime Cantón, a receptionist at the Casa Maria hotel in Puerto Vallarta. He said that if winds picked up, the hotel would gather up outside furniture “so nothing will go flying.”
While skies began to cloud up, waves remained normal, and few people appeared to be rushing to take precautions; swimmers were still in the sea at Puerto Vallarta.
“The place is full of tourists,” said Patricia Morales, a receptionist at the Punta Guayabitas hotel in the laid-back beach town of the same name, farther up the coast.
Asked what precautions were being taken, Morales said, “They (authorities) haven’t told us anything.”
The Nayarit state government said the hurricane was expected to make landfall Sunday around the fishing village of San Blas, about 90 miles north of Puerto Vallarta.
The head of the state civil defense office, Pedro Núñez, said, “Right now we are carrying out patrols through the towns, to alert people so that they can keep their possession safe and keep themselves safe in safer areas.”
In the neighboring state of Jalisco, Gov. Enrique Alfaro wrote that 270 people had been evacuated in a town near the hurricane’s expected path and that five emergency shelters had been set up in Puerto Vallarta.
Alfaro said on Twitter that any school activities in the region would be cancelled Saturday and he urged people to avoid touristic activities at beaches and in mountainous areas over the weekend.