Tag Archives: Carmax Inc

Tesla’s price cuts could spur an EV pricing war

A Tesla showroom is seen in the City Center shopping center on January 17, 2023 in Washington, DC.

Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images

DETROIT — Tesla vehicles in the U.S. are seeing significant price cuts, and that’s proving to be a double-edged sword for the electric carmaker and the greater automotive industry.

Tesla earlier this month slashed prices of its new cars by as much as 20%, making the vehicles more affordable and likely eligible for federal tax credits. But it also tanks the resale values of cars for current owners and is sending ripple effects through the auto industry.

CEO Elon Musk hasn’t directly addressed the price cuts, which are counterintuitive to his claims that the company’s cars will be appreciating assets — a rarity for the market aside from classics and collectible vehicles.

Analysts say the price cuts suggest Tesla is prioritizing sales over profits, potentially signaling a demand problem.

“There’s demand weakening, and they want to improve their sales — or it’s a market share grab,” said Michelle Krebs, Cox Automotive executive analyst.

For the industry at large, Tesla’s price cuts put pressure on other automakers to offer more affordable EVs despite rising commodity costs, creates havoc for used vehicle retailers that will need to write down the vehicles and has Wall Street concerned about the first EV pricing war amid recessionary fears.

“Tesla’s price cuts make all other EVs and [internal combustion engine vehicles] look incrementally more expensive, is margin compressive and sends a chill across the used car market,” Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas wrote in a Friday investor note.

Automakers change prices regularly on new vehicles. It’s typically done through incentives or when a new model year comes out. But the adjustments, upward or downward, are historically small to avoid upsetting the automotive ecosystem for both consumers and car dealers.

Musk foreshadowed such a move last month in predicting a recession later this year.

“Do you want to grow unit volume, in which case you have to adjust prices downward? Or do you want to grow at a lower rate, or go steady?” Musk said Dec. 22 during a Twitter Spaces conversation. “My bias would be to say let’s grow as fast as we can without putting the company at risk.”

Tesla is due to report fourth-quarter earnings Wednesday after market close.

Used prices

When the price of a new vehicle drops, the value of the used models also takes a hit. In the case of Tesla, some of the new models were going for almost the same price — just thousands of dollars off — as their used counterparts. That’s problematic for current owners as well as used vehicle retailers and Tesla, which sells used models directly to consumers.

In the first 17 days of January, Edmunds reports, used prices of 2020 model year or newer Teslas dropped to an average price of $58,657 — 24.5% off their June peak of $76,626.

Tesla’s stock performance over the past year.

Cars.com reports list prices for used vehicles on the consumer-shopping website declined 3.3% for the Model Y and Model 3 as owners attempt to hold the line on resell pricing despite cuts to the new vehicles.

“The Tesla price cuts will affect consumers quite differently depending on which side of the news they sit,” Ivan Drury, Edmunds’ director of insights, said.

On one hand, Tesla owners have complained to billionaire CEO and Twitter owner Musk on the social media platform that the price cuts devalue their vehicles. In China, where price cuts took effect earlier than in the U.S., protesters reportedly gathered at the automaker’s showrooms and distribution centers demanding rebates and credits.

Recent Tesla buyers who missed out on the fresh price cuts are petitioning Musk and the company to make them whole. They have sought free, premium driver-assistance upgrades, free Supercharging and other pluses to offset their higher price tags.

At the same time, Cars.com and Edmunds both report interest in and searches for Tesla vehicles have skyrocketed since the reductions.

CarMax, the nation’s largest seller of used vehicles, quickly sold hundreds of Teslas after realigning prices. It only had about 150 Tesla cars for sale as of Tuesday, down from hundreds before the company cut prices.

“We continuously adjust retail vehicle pricing in real time to match market conditions and offer competitive pricing,” CarMax Chief Operating Officer Joe Wilson said in an emailed statement. “As such, we adjusted pricing to respond to the market conditions related to new car price reductions and this has been received positively from consumers looking to purchase a used Tesla.”

Peer pressure

Wall Street analysts were largely positive on the cuts for Tesla as a boon for sales.

Tesla has enjoyed significantly higher profit margin on its EVs compared to traditional automakers. Its software and subscription offerings, including its advanced-driver assistance systems and in-vehicle Wi-Fi, could help cushion anticipated profit losses due to the recent price cuts, as could EV tax credits.

Plus, the price reductions pressure other automakers, or OEMS, to cut prices on their own EVs.

“Most OEMs are currently losing money on EVs, and these price cuts are likely to make business even more difficult, just as they are attempting to ramp production of EV offerings,” BofA Securities analyst John Murphy wrote to investors earlier this month.

Gerald Johnson, General Motors’ head of global manufacturing, said Tesla’s cuts don’t change the company’s manufacturing plan for electric vehicles. The automaker currently sells its sub-$30,000 Chevy Bolt EV models — among the most affordable in the industry — as well as higher-priced models on a new battery system.

“We believe we have an EV for every price bracket and every market segment that we’re rolling out here,” Johnson said Friday during an event in Flint, Michigan. He said Tesla’s price cuts signal that the vehicles “may have been overpriced to begin with.”

GM cut the prices of its Bolt models by thousands of dollars last year, only to recently raise them by hundreds of dollars, citing industry pricing pressures.

– CNBC’s Lora Kolodny and Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

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Jim Cramer says the ‘worst of 3 worlds’ helped lead stocks lower on Thursday

CNBC’s Jim Cramer outlined three reasons that markets lost a short-lived rally on Thursday.

If the economy were running colder, if the stock market was lower, and if interest rates were higher before sliding, things would be different, Cramer said. “Today we didn’t see that, though. We had the worst of three worlds.”

Here are the three factors:

  1. Hot economic data: Initial weekly jobless claims for the week ending Dec. 17 rose by 2,000 to 216,000, according to the Labor Department. That’s less than the Dow Jones consensus estimate of 220,000.
  2. Weak corporate earnings: CarMax shares fell about 3.7% after the company reported weaker-than-expected profit and revenue in its latest quarter. Micron Technology shares slipped 3.4% after the company reported a wider-than-expected quarterly loss and miss on revenue after the close on Wednesday.
  3. Bearish comments about the market: David Tepper, founder of Appaloosa Management, told CNBC on Thursday that he’s leaning short on equities because it’s unusual for global central banks, including the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and Bank of England, to tighten at the same time.

Stocks fell on Thursday as Wall Street continues to worry that the Fed’s interest rate hikes could tip the economy into a recession. 

Investors also fear that time is running out for a Santa Claus rally, a phenomenon in which stocks tend to rise near the end of a year into the next year. Cramer reminded investors that charts suggest a market run could be in the works for after Thursday’s trading session.

“While we could still get that seasonal bounce, obviously the market’s gotten tougher to game,” he said.

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Dow falls nearly 500 points after strong data, bearish comments by David Tepper

U.S. stocks traded lower on Thursday, erasing most of their gains from their biggest rally in three weeks after a round of upbeat economic data and a warning from hedge-fund titan David Tepper that he was “leaning short” against both stocks and bonds on expectations the Federal Reserve and other central banks will continue tightening into 2023.

Positive economic news can be a negative for stocks by underlining expectations that monetary policy makers will remain aggressive in their efforts to quash inflation.

What’s happening
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -1.51%
    fell 472 points, or 1.4%, to 32,903.
  • The S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.99%
    shed 71 points, or 1.8%, to 3,807.
  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -2.84%
    fell 272 points, or 2.5%, to 10,437.

A day earlier, all three major indexes recorded their best gain in three weeks as the Dow advanced 526.74 points.

What’s driving markets

Investors saw another raft of strong economic data Thursday morning, including a revised reading on third-quarter gross domestic product which showed the U.S. economy expanded more quickly than previously believed. Growth was revised up to 3.2%, up from 2.9% from the previous revision released last month.

See: Economy grew at 3.2% rate in third quarter thanks to strong consumer spending

The number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits in the week before Christmas rose slightly to 216,000, but new filings remained low and signaled the labor market is still quite strong. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast new claims would total 220,000 in the seven days ending Dec 17.

“Jobless claims ticking slightly up but coming in below expectations could be a sign that the Fed’s wish of a slowing labor market will have to wait until 2023. While weekly jobless claims aren’t the best indicator of the overall labor market, they have remained in a robust range these last two months suggesting the labor market remains strong and has withstood the Fed’s tightening, at least for the time being,” said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office, in emailed comments.

“While weekly jobless claims aren’t the best indicator of the overall labor market, they have remained in a robust range these last two months suggesting the labor market remains strong and has withstood the Fed’s tightening, at least for the time being,” he wrote. “It’s no surprise to see the market take a breather today after yesterday’s rally as investors parse through earnings data, and despite some beats this week, expectations that earnings will remain as resilient in 2023 may be overblown.”

Stocks were feeling pressure after Appaloosa Management’s Tepper shared a cautious outlook for markets based on the expectation that central bankers around the world will continue hiking interest rates.

“I would probably say I’m leaning short on the equity markets right now because the upside-downside doesn’t make sense to me when I have so many people, so many central banks, telling me what they are going to do, what they want to do, what they expect to do,” Tepper said in a CNBC interview.

Key Words: Billionaire investor David Tepper would ‘lean short’ on stock market because central banks are saying ‘what they’re going to do’

A day earlier, the Conference Board’s consumer confidence survey came in at an eight-month high, which helped stoke a rally in stocks initially spurred by strong earnings from Nike Inc. and FedEx Corp. released Tuesday evening. This optimistic outlook helped stocks clinch their best daily performance in three weeks.

Volumes are starting to dry up as the year winds down, making markets more susceptible to bigger moves. According to Dow Jones Market Data, Wednesday saw the least combined volume on major exchanges since Nov. 29.

Read: Is the stock market open on Monday after Christmas Day?

In other economic data news, the U.S. leading index fell a sharp 1% in November, suggesting that the U.S. economy is heading toward a downturn.

Many market strategists are positioned defensively as they expect stocks could tumble to fresh lows in the new year.

See: Wall Street’s stock-market forecasts for 2022 were off by the widest margin since 2008: Will next year be any different?

Katie Stockton, a technical strategist at Fairlead Strategies, warned clients in a Thursday note that they should brace for more downside ahead.

“We expect the major indices to remain firm next week, helped by oversold conditions, but would brace for more downside in January given the recent downturn,” Stockton said.

Others said the latest data and comments from Tepper have simply refocused investors on the fact that the Fed, European Central Bank and now the Bank of Japan are preparing to continue tightening monetary policy.

“Yesterday was the short covering rally, but the bottom line is the trend is still short and we’re still fighting the Fed,” said Eric Diton, president and managing director of the Wealth Alliance.

Single-stock movers
  • AMC Entertainment Holdings 
    AMC,
    -14.91%
    was down sharply after the movie theater operator announced a $110 million equity capital raise.
  • Tesla Inc. 
    TSLA,
    -8.18%
    shares continued to tumble as the company has been one of the worst performers on the S&P 500 this year.
  • Shares of Verizon Communications Inc. 
    VZ,
    -0.53%
    were down again on Thursday as the company heads for its worst year on record.
  • Shares of CarMax Inc. 
    KMX,
    -6.60%
    tumbled after the used vehicle seller reported fiscal third-quarter profit and sales that dropped well below expectations.
  • Chipmakers and suppliers of equipment and materials, including Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    -8.60%,
    Advanced Micro Devices 
    AMD,
    -7.17%
    and Applied Materials Inc.
    AMAT,
    -8.54%,
    were lower on Thursday.

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Carvana stock craters as outlook darkens for used vehicle market

Shares of Carvana were on pace for their worst day on record Friday after the company missed Wall Street’s top- and bottom-line expectations for the third quarter as the outlook for used cars falls from record demand, pricing and profits during the coronavirus pandemic.

The stock cratered roughly 40% in midday trading. Shares of the online used car retailer have plummeted by more than 95% this year, after hitting an all-time intraday high of $376.83 per share on Aug. 10, 2021. Carvana’s current worst day of trading was a 26.4% decline on March 18, 2020.

The stock is close to its all-time low of $8.14 a share, which occurred less than a week after the stock started trading publicly on April 28, 2017.

Morgan Stanley on Friday pulled its rating and price target on Carvana. Analyst Adam Jonas cited deterioration in the used car market and a volatile funding environment for the change.

“While the company is continuing to pursue cost cutting actions, we believe a deterioration in the used car market combined with a volatile interest rate/funding environment (bonds trading at 20% yield) add material risk to the outlook, contributing to a wide range of outcomes (positive and negative),” he wrote in a note to investors Friday.

Pricing and profits of used vehicles have been significantly elevated as consumers who couldn’t find or afford to purchase a new vehicle opted for a pre-owned car or truck. Inventories of new vehicles have been significantly depleted during the coronavirus pandemic largely due to supply chain problems, including an ongoing global shortage of semiconductor chips.

But rising interest rates, inflation and recessionary fears have led to less willingness by consumers to pay the record prices, leading to declines for Carvana and other used vehicle companies such as CarMax.

Large franchised new and used vehicle dealers such as Lithia Motors and AutoNation warned of softening in the used vehicle market when recently reporting their third-quarter results.

Carvana CEO and cofounder Ernie Garcia on a call Thursday described the next year as “a difficult one” for the company, citing a normalization of the used vehicle industry from its inflated levels and increasing interest rates, among other factors.

“Cars are an expensive, discretionary, often-financed purchase that inflated much more than other goods in the economy over the last couple years and it is clearly having an impact on people’s purchasing decisions,” he said.

Garcia described the end of the third quarter as the “most unaffordable point ever” for customers who finance a vehicle purchase.

Nearly all aspects of the Carvana’s operations declined from a year earlier during the third quarter, including a 31% decrease in gross profit to $359 million. Its retail units sold declined 8% compared with the third quarter of 2021 to 102,570 vehicles, while gross profit per unit — a highly watched metric by investors — declined by more than $1,100 to $3,500.

Carvana posted a wider-than-expected loss of $2.67 per share. Revenue also came in below expectations at $3.39 billion, compared with estimates of $3.71 billion, according to Refinitiv.

— CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

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Global Payments, Moderna, Activision Blizzard and more

Boxes containing the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine are prepared to be shipped at the McKesson distribution center in Olive Branch, Mississippi, December 20, 2020.

Paul Sancya | Pool | Reuters

Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading Monday.

Global Payments — Shares of the company sank 9.8% despite a better-than-expected earnings report. The payments technology company reported adjusted quarterly profit of $2.07 per share, beating a Refinitiv forecast by 3 cents. Revenue also topped analyst forecasts. The company also issued full-year revenue guidance that was roughly in line with analyst expectations.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals — The biotech company’s shares fell 5.5% after the Food and Drug Administration placed a study of Vertex’s treatment for type 1 diabetes on hold, after determining there is insufficient information to support dose escalation with the product.

Moderna – Shares of Moderna jumped 6.8% after the company said its Covid-19 vaccine for children under 6 years old will be ready for review in June by a Food and Drug Administration panel. Moderna applied for emergency use authorization for the treatment last week.

Moody’s Corp — The risk assessment firm dropped 4.9% after the company cut its full-year earnings guidance. The company now expects full-year earnings to range between $10.75 and $11.25 per share excluding items. Previous guidance projected between $12.40 and $12.90 per share. Analysts estimated $11.92, according to FactSet.

Align Technology — Shares of the medical device maker jumped 5.4% after the company announced a $200 million accelerated stock repurchase program.

EPAM Systems — Shares of the software company EPAM Systems gained more than 5% after Piper Sandler upgraded them to overweight from neutral, citing its program checks.

Johnson Controls — Shares rose 1.6% after Bank of America initiated coverage of the HVAC producer with a buy rating. Johnson Controls International has 42% upside from here because of the trend toward decarbonization, specifically in the construction of smart buildings, according to Bank of America.

Activision Blizzard — Shares of Activision Blizzard rose 2.9% after Warren Buffett said Berkshire Hathaway has been upping its stake in the video game publisher and owns about 9.5% as it bets that Microsoft will close its proposed acquisition of the company.

Amazon — Amazon lost 3% on Monday, building on its sharp losses from last week, when it reported a big net loss for the most-recent quarter and a issued bleak financial forecast. Wedbush Securities also removed the stock from its Best Ideas list.

— CNBC’s Sarah Min, Samantha Subin and Hannah Miao contributed reporting.

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Jim Cramer says falling used car prices suggests inflation could be easing

CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Thursday said that while headwinds facing the used car market make it un-investable, its declining performance is also an indicator that inflation might be cooling.

“When everybody was freaking out about the 8.5% consumer price index number – that is a hot number – you might’ve noticed that used car and truck prices were down 3.8% from the previous month,” he said.

“While that’s bad news for the used car industry, it could be a fabulous sign for the broader economy because it means we’re finally making some progress in getting inflation under control,” he added.

The “Mad Money” host’s comments come after CarMax reported better-than-expected revenue but missed on earnings in its latest quarter. JPMorgan downgraded the stock due to concerns about how vehicle affordability could affect CarMax’s performance.

“We’re finally seeing what’s known as demand destruction. People just don’t want to buy as many used vehicles if they’re going to have to pay that much. … In the end, used car prices can’t keep soaring like this forever,” Cramer said of CarMax’s quarterly results.

He added that while now is not an optimal time to own a used car stock, he does have one option to offer investors still wanting to try their luck.

“If you insist on owning a used car play, I say go with Lithia. …. I think it’s the wrong moment for this one, too, but if you disagree with me, Lithia’s the way to go,” he said.

He also said he has some confidence in the performance of used and new car dealerships including AutoNation, Sonic Automotive, Group 1 Automotive and Asbury Automotive. 

“They benefit from the return of new car supply, as the automakers finally get their supply chains in order. More importantly, these dealerships are actually profitable and their stocks are fairly reasonable. Honestly, though, they’re so cheap that you’ve got to worry that the estimates need to come down,” he said.

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Chipotle, PG&E, Marathon Oil and CarMax

A person wearing a protective mask enters a Chipotle restaurant in San Francisco, California, U.S., on Monday, April 19, 2021.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading.

CarMax — CarMax shares dipped more than 8% after reporting a beat on revenue but a miss on earnings for the latest quarter. The auto retailer earned 98 cents per share, below the $1.25 per share consensus estimate.

CrowdStrike — Shares of the cybersecurity company jumped 3.7% after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to a “buy” from “neutral.” The firm said the strength of CrowdStrike’s business has been overlooked recently and that it’s “well positioned in the sweet spot of demand.”

PG&E — Shares of the utility company rose 3% after it reached settlements to pay $55 million for two fires in Northern California. As part of the agreement, PG&E will not face any criminal prosecution.

Cisco Systems —  Shares of the network technology company fell about 1%, lagging behind the broader market, after Citi downgraded Cisco to sell from neutral. A Citi analyst said in a note to clients that Cisco was losing market share to its rivals.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise — Shares of Hewlett Packard Enterprise dipped 1% after Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock to underweight from equal weight and said it expects the stock to underperform over the next year.

Chegg — Shares of Chegg dropped 5.5% following a downgrade by KeyBanc Capital Markets. Analysts downgraded Chegg to sector weight from overweight, saying the company reported lower growth in the U.S. in its first quarter.

Chipotle — Shares of the restaurant chain rose 3.1% after Citi initiated coverage of the stock with a buy rating. The firm said Chipotle is a “best-in-class growth leader.” 

Albertsons — The food retailer’s stock sank 6.7% after reporting earnings for the recent quarter. Albertsons beat on revenue and reported earnings of 75 cents per share, 11 cents above consensus estimates.

Oil stocks — Energy stocks rose on Tuesday as oil prices, which have seesawed in recent weeks, jumped back above $100 a barrel. Marathon Oil, Devon Energy and Occidental Petroleum jumped 5.5%, 4.7% and 3.7%, respectively.

— CNBC’s Jesse Pound, Hannah Miao, Tanaya Macheel and Sarah Min contributed reporting

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Own stocks that are cheap on a price to earnings basis

CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Friday previewed next week’s roster of earnings and advised investors to stick to companies that are profitable yet affordable for investors to own.

“In this environment, you need to own companies that make stuff and do things profitably, but let’s add, also, with stocks that remain cheap on a price to earnings basis,” the “Mad Money” host said.

Even as the Fed tries to tamp down higher prices, “we’ve already seen signs that inflation is peaking in many areas. Unfortunately, so is the rest of the economy,” he later added.

Cramer said that on Monday, he’ll be keeping his eye on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and its effect on commodity prices. He also said he’ll be watching the 30-year Treasury bonds.

“The 30-year, not the 20[-year], is where all the action will be once the Fed starts selling its bond portfolio. You need to know that this sell-off in the 30-year is signifying that much higher rates are on the way,” Cramer said. “Get ready for them. Higher long rates will likely hurt the Nasdaq like we saw today, not the Dow, which can hold up just fine because it’s full of tangible companies that fit my criteria.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Friday rose 0.4%. The S&P 500 dropped 0.27% while the Nasdaq Composite tumbled 1.34%. All three declined for the week.

Also on Cramer’s radar is an expected “red-hot reading” in the March consumer price index releasing next Tuesday. 

“It’ll be inexorable and nasty until we see the peak in everything. Whatever the so-called consensus is, it’s almost always too low right now, and so that’s going to gaffe the bondholders and put pressure on the stock market that day,” he said.

Cramer also previewed next week’s slate of earnings and gave his thoughts on each reporting company. All earnings and revenue estimates are courtesy of FactSet.

Tuesday: Albertsons, CarMax

Albertsons

  • Q4 2021 earnings release before the bell; conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: 64 cents
  • Projected revenue: $16.76 billion

Cramer said he expects great results from Albertsons and is on the lookout for an announcement, whether they’re planning on going private or revealing a big buyback or dividend.

CarMax

  • Q4 2022 earnings before the bell; conference call at 9 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $1.27
  • Projected revenue: $7.5 billion

“Any sign that this endless series of price hikes is over, or that demand has been destroyed … will reinforce my thesis that all the used car companies must be sold,” Cramer said.

Wednesday: JPMorgan Chase, Bed Bath & Beyond, BlackRock, Delta Air Lines

JPMorgan Chase

  • Q1 2022 earnings release at 6:45 a.m. ET; conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $2.72
  • Projected revenue: $30.57 billion

“Every time the Fed raises rates, these guys instantly become more profitable on a risk-free basis,” Cramer said. 

Bed Bath & Beyond

  • Q4 2021 earnings release; conference call at 8:15 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: 4 cents
  • Projected revenue: $2.08 billion

“The question here is simple: Will big new shareholder Ryan Cohen, of Chewy and GameStop fame, join the board, and will the Buy Buy Baby business be sold to private equity? I think it’s all on the table, and the stock goes up substantially,” Cramer said.

BlackRock

  • Q1 2022 earnings release before the bell; conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $8.95
  • Projected revenue: $4.73 billion

Cramer said he’s interested in hearing about how “individuals might get to vote their index fund shares.”

Delta Air Lines

  • Q1 2022 earnings release before the bell; conference call at 10 a.m. ET
  • Projected loss: loss of $1.30 per share
  • Projected revenue: $8.74 billion

Cramer said he’s in favor of travel stocks but believes airlines are currently a tough sell “given how much money they can lose in a Fed-mandated recession.”

Thursday: Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

  • Q1 2022 earnings release at 7:30 a.m. ET; conference call at 9:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $8.95
  • Projected revenue: $11.98 billion

“I have never seen Goldman Sachs stock this cheap, ever. … I think you’re getting a fairly good chance to catch a bounce here, if not an investment, because by this point, it should be no surprise that Goldman’s first quarter was ugly,” Cramer said.

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‘Headed into a calm before the storm moment here’

Next week could be a relatively calm stretch for Wall Street, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Friday, but he advised investors to start preparing for trading days on the horizon.

“Get ready. After next week, the onslaught of earnings and the Labor Department’s all-important non-farm payroll number will strike,” the “Mad Money” host said. “After a crazy up and down … week, we’re now headed into a calm before the storm moment here, and that storm could get a lot worse depending on what happens in China, where there’s no calm to be found at all.”

Here’s Cramer game plan for the week ahead. Revenue and earnings-per-share projections are based on FactSet estimates:

“Mad Money” host Jim Cramer’s list of pivotal market events for the week of Sept. 27.

Mad Money

Monday: Fresh insight into Evergrande

The struggling Chinese property developer Evergrande has, so far, left investors in limbo about whether it will fulfill its $83 million interest payment on its U.S. dollar bond, which had a deadline of Thursday. Concern about Evergrande’s financial struggles spilling into the global economy rattled markets early in the week, but worries improved throughout the week.

“On Monday, we should get word about what will happen to the part of the Evergrande edifice that hasn’t been bailed out,” Cramer said. “I think the government will make sure the big shareholders do get wiped out, and that includes management.”

“I fully expect to learn of the [government] regime’s new enemies when we return to work Monday morning,” he added. 

Tuesday: Earnings from Micron and Thor Industries

Micron

  • Q4 2021 results: after the bell; conference call scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $2.33
  • Projected revenue: $8.23 billion

“Today the long knives were really out for these guys; three different firms warned of looming disappointment. I have to admit that those predictions were particularly daunting,” Cramer said. “My view? Why don’t we just wait and see how Micron does? Just remember that high-end semiconductor plays have little to do with Micron, so they might be worth buying if this quarter drags down the whole industry.”

Thor Industries

  • Q4 2021 results: Before the bell
  • Projected EPS: $2.98
  • Projected revenue: $3.31 billion

“While I like Thor … I also wouldn’t be a buyer here because we’re at the wrong stage of the business cycle” for the RV maker, Cramer said. “It’s too discretionary, and as the delta variant fades away, the stock market will say people will start traveling normally again. In other words, even if Thor blows away the numbers, I think there will be a lot of analysts who just say, ‘Well, that was the last good quarter.'”

Wednesday: Earnings from Cintas and MillerKnoll

Cintas

  • Q1 2022 results: Before the open; conference call set for 10 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $2.76
  • Projected sales: $1.88 billion

MillerKnoll

  • Q1 2022 results: After the bell; conference call scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $0.54
  • Projected revenue: $651 million

“Wednesday gives us a great look into small and medium-sized businesses when we get results from Cintas, that’s the gigantic uniform company, and MillerKnoll, the office chair maker formerly known as Herman Miller,” Cramer said. “Both companies have been uneven lately, but I think they’ll tell very positive stories. Once they’re parsed, they might provide us with a more positive backdrop. I like them both.”

Thursday: Earnings from Bed Bath & Beyond, CarMax, Paychex and McCormick

Bed Bath & Beyond

  • Q2 2021 results: Before the bell; conference call set for 8:15 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $0.52
  • Projected sales: $2.06 billion

“Bed Bath’s quarter might not be a barnburner, but I think the redesigned stores will change peoples’ impression of this formerly fossilized institution,” the “Mad Money” host said. “I like the prices. I like the merchandise. I like the management; I think the stock can go higher.”

CarMax

  • Q2 2022 results: Before the open; conference call slated for 9 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $1.88
  • Projected revenue: $6.85 billion

“As long as there’s a chip shortage, the used car market will remain strong. That means CarMax should deliver a great number on Thursday,” Cramer said. “But let’s not be too particular: I like AutoNation, I like Lithia, I like Carvana. If you’re inclined, you’ve got my blessing to buy CarMax ahead of the quarter.”

Paychex

  • Q1 2022 results: Before the bell; conference call scheduled for 9:30 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $0.80
  • Projected revenue: $1.04 billion

“This payroll processor is incredibly well-run and consistent, yet it never gets the respect it deserves … because it’s hostage to the labor market and to short-term interest rates,” Cramer said. “The stock tends to sell-off even after good results; buying Paychex into that weakness has been a great strategy.”

McCormick

  • Q3 2021 results: Before the bell; conference call at 8 a.m. ET
  • Projected EPS: $0.72
  • Projected revenue: $1.54 billion

“If you’re convinced that the economy’s slowing, you might want to buy some McCormick,” Cramer said. “The problem, of course, is that while it sure seems to be getting stronger, well, they might lose business as the delta variant peaks … and people feel more comfortable going out to dinner again. I’d avoid it for the moment, even though I like it.”

Friday: Covid data

“On Friday we tend to look back … and we see how Covid ‘did,'” Cramer said. “We’ve had a couple weeks where things seem to have calmed down, and we may be nearing a bizarre herd … immunity, where everyone has either gotten vaccinated or gotten sick because delta is so catchable. I think the infection numbers will continue to improve.”

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The surge in used car prices may finally be ending

The scorching used car market is showing signs of slowing down, according to an executive at one of the top auto retailers in the U.S.

“New car inventories are going to get better progressively over the next few months as we get to the end of the year,” Jeff Dyke, president of Sonic Automotive, said on CNBC’s “Worldwide Exchange” on Friday. “As that happens, it’s going to alleviate the amount of inventory issues that is happening on the pre-owned side.”

The average transaction price for a used car was $25,410 in the second quarter of 2021, up from $22,977 in the first quarter and 21% year-over-year, according to data from online automotive resource Edmunds. That figure marks the highest average price over a quarter for a used car that Edmunds has ever tracked.

However, Dyke says there are signs that the market is leveling off, with prices dropping by as much as $2,000 for a used car over the course of July as the supply of new cars is starting to increase.

“Right now, we’ve got about an eight- to nine-day supply of new cars on the ground. If you take our BMW brand that we have 15 stores with, by the time we get to October and November we’ll have a 25- to 30-day supply that’s going to start regenerating pre-owned inventory for all the dealers, and that’ll help alleviate the pricing,” Dyke said. “We’ve never seen this before where you have an inversion where wholesale prices are really higher than retail prices, but that’s all coming to an end.”

The boosted value of trade-in opportunities will likely prompt new car buyers to offer their current vehicle up to dealerships and retailers. The average trade-in value of a used vehicle in June was $21,224, up 75.6% year-over-year, according to Edmunds.

In comparison, the average cost of a new car in the second quarter was $40,827, up from $40,070 in the first quarter and a 5% increase year-over-year, according to Edmunds.

Semiconductor shortage impacting auto industry

A used car dealership is seen in Annapolis, Maryland on May 27, 2021, as many car dealerships across the country are running low on new vehicles as a computer chip shortage has caused production at many vehicle manufactures to nearly stop.

Jim Watson | AFP | Getty Images

New car inventory has been hampered due to the continued shortage of semiconductor chips, an issue that is lingering.

Last week, General Motors halted most of its U.S. and Mexican production of full-size pickup trucks like the Chevrolet Silverado and the GMC Sierra. Production is expected to resume this week, the company said.

Ford also cut its North American vehicle production in July through early August due to a shortage of chips, impacting vehicles like the Ford F-150, Bronco Sport, and Explorer. The company said in its earnings last week that supplies of the critical parts are improving, however it lost production of about 700,000 vehicles during the second quarter. In April, Ford forecast an adverse effect of about $2.5 billion from the semiconductor shortage, which it declined to provide an update to last week when it reported.

While Dyke said he does expect the chip shortage to “alleviate here in the coming months,” the tight car supply has been beneficial to companies like Sonic Automotive that sell used cars.

Sonic Automotive had $3.4 billion in revenue during its second quarter ending June 30, up 58.7% year-over-year and a new quarterly record for the company. Specifically, revenue for used vehicles grew 56.6% year-over-year.

EchoPark Automotive, a division of Sonic Automotive that sells pre-owned vehicles, also set a record for quarterly earnings with $595.6 million in revenue, up 88.9% year-over-year. Retail sales volume was up 68.9% year-over-year.

Sonic Automotive announced it is undertaking a strategic review of EchoPark, citing the success of the division and confidence in a runway for continued expansion. One option could be spinning the division off as a new public company, though Sonic Automotive has said it is considering a full range of alternatives.

Several other used-car chains have gone public in recent years, including Carvana in 2017 and Vroom in 2020.

CarMax, the largest used-car dealer in the U.S., saw its revenue increase 138.4% year-over-year in its 2022 fiscal first quarter ending May 31, to  $7.7 billion. The company sold 452,188 units through its retail and wholesale channels during the quarter, up 128% from the previous year.

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