Tag Archives: BofA

JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and BofA Hit With Negative Ratings Outlook As Moody’s Says US Government Has Weaker Capacity To Support Big Banks – The Daily Hodl

  1. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and BofA Hit With Negative Ratings Outlook As Moody’s Says US Government Has Weaker Capacity To Support Big Banks The Daily Hodl
  2. ‘The American economy is fundamentally strong’: Janet Yellen disagrees with Moody’s ‘negative’ US outlook — says Treasuries are still the world’s main ‘safe and liquid’ asset. Who’s right? Yahoo Finance
  3. ‘The American economy is fundamentally strong’: Janet Yellen disagrees with Moody’s ‘negative’ US outlook — says Treasuries are still the world’s main ‘safe and liquid’ asset. Who’s right? Yahoo Finance
  4. View Full Coverage on Google News

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Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s-style – Yahoo Finance

  1. Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s-style Yahoo Finance
  2. The average long-term US mortgage rate surges to 7.49%, its highest level since December 2000 KSL News
  3. Hiring Is Rising Along With Rates. Are They on a Collision Course? The New York Times
  4. Mortgage Interest Rates Today, October 7, 2023 | After Spiking Earlier This Week, Rates Finally Steady Business Insider
  5. Homebuyers hit the brakes, ‘smothering’ the mortgage marketplace OCRegister
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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Short Hills Capital’s Steve Weiss makes moves in the banks, buys more BofA and GS – CNBC Television

  1. Short Hills Capital’s Steve Weiss makes moves in the banks, buys more BofA and GS CNBC Television
  2. IMF support will help Sri Lanka build up reserves to a more comfortable level: Central bank governor CNBC International TV
  3. More people are carrying higher credit card balances, says Bankrate.com’s Greg McBride CNBC Television
  4. MassMutual CEO Roger Crandall says recession likelihood is low, since employment is too high CNBC Television
  5. Experts react to Fed statement: Some additional policy firming may be appropriate CNBC Television
  6. View Full Coverage on Google News

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Wall Street rallies after BofA results, UK reversal

  • Bank of America, BNY benefit from rising interest rates
  • Growth stocks jump as Treasury yields fall
  • Goldman Sachs up on report of major business overhaul
  • Dow up 1.86%, S&P 500 up 2.65%, Nasdaq up 3.43%

NEW YORK, Oct 17 (Reuters) – U.S. stocks kicked off the trading week on Monday with a rally after Britain reversed course on an economic plan, while Bank of America was the latest financial company to post solid quarterly results, which lifted optimism about the corporate earnings season.

Britain named Jeremy Hunt finance minister, and he immediately dispelled many of Prime Minister Liz Truss’ fiscal measures, which had unnerved markets in recent weeks.

Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) shares surged 6.06% as the lender’s net interest income was buoyed by rising interest rates in the quarter, even though it added $378 million to its loan-loss reserves to buttress against a softening economy.

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Fellow financial Bank of NY Mellon Corp (BK.N) also benefited from higher interest rates, and its shares climbed 5.08%.

Overall, higher rates boosted interest incomes for lenders in the third quarter, giving investors hope the current earnings season will be able to hurdle a lowered bar of expectations. The earnings growth estimate for the quarter is 3%, according to Refinitiv data, down from 4.5% at the start of the month and 11.1% on July 1.

“In a fragile market like this, any type of good news in the margin can go a long way,” said Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management in Boston.

“There is better sentiment around what is happening in the UK, financials earnings are being supported by a number of factors, better net interest margins are one key element, higher rates are going to be good for the banks so Q3 earnings maybe are looking a little less bad than feared, I would put it, maybe not necessarily better than feared.”

The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) was up 3.48%, while each of the 11 major S&P 500 sector were higher.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 550.99 points, or 1.86%, to 30,185.82, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 94.88 points, or 2.65%, to 3,677.95 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 354.41 points, or 3.43%, to 10,675.80.

U.S. equities remain mired in a bear market, after struggling through September, historically a tough month. Analysts said to better stock valuations entering what is traditionally a stronger period for stocks were also supporting Monday’s rally. Aggressive Federal Reserve interest rate hikes could be a stumbling block though.

Valuations have come down sharply but still above the 20-year average

“Right now the Fed owns the market, Fed policy is the key driver, they are implementing the most aggressive tightening in the shortest amount of time that we have seen in our generation and it is important to remember that Fed policy, it works with a lag,” said Roland.

Data on manufacturing in the New York region was weaker than expected, adding fuel to expectations a pivot by the Fed may be on the horizon.

Shares of Goldman Sachs (GS.N), which will post results on Tuesday, advanced 2.24% following reports of a plan to combine its investment banking and trading businesses.

Major megacap growth stocks like Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Meta Platforms Inc (META.O), Amazon.com (AMZN.O) and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) all rallied, helping to lift the S&P 500 growth index (.IGX) by 3.42%, its biggest daily percentage jump since July 27.

Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), Netflix (NFLX.O) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.N) are among companies expected to report results later in the week.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.65 billion shares, compared with the 11.52 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.79-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.98-to-1 ratio favored advancers.

The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 83 new highs and 146 new lows.

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Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by David Gregorio

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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BofA predicts breakout in mergers due to downcycle

Mergers in software may be about to break out.

Top investment banker Rick Sherlund of Bank of America sees a wave of struggling companies putting themselves up for sale at cheaper prices due to the economic downturn.

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“You do need to see greater capitulation,” the firm’s vice chair of technology investment banking told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Thursday. “Companies will have their valuation expectations soften, and that will combine with more fully functional financial markets. I think it will accelerate the pace of M&A [mergers and acquisitions].”

His broad analysis comes on the heels of Adobe’s $20 billion dollar deal Thursday for design platform Figma. Adobe failed to generate excitement on Wall Street. Its shares plunged 17% due to questions about the price tag.

Sherlund, a former software analyst who hit No. 1 on Institutional Investor’s all-star analyst list 17 times in a row, worked at Goldman Sachs during the 2000 tech bubble. He believes the Street is now in the beginning stages of a difficult market cycle.

“You need to get through third quarter earnings reports to feel confident that maybe the bad news is largely out into the market because companies will be reporting lengthening of sales cycles,” he said. “We need to reset expectations for 2023.”

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Sherlund and his team are very active in the M&A market.

“You have private equity with a boatload of cash, and they need functioning debt markets for leverage to do deals,” Sherlund noted. “They’re very eager and actively looking at this sector … It suggests that [for] M&A, in absence of an IPO market, we’re just going to see a lot more consolidation coming in the sector.”

He notes the IPO has been hurt in connection with rising interest rate headwinds and inflation.

“[The IPO market] is not open. But when the window does open back up, you are going to see a lot of companies going public,” he added.

The long-term prospects for software are extremely attractive, according to Sherlund.

“You’ve got to be very bullish on the long-term fundamentals of the sector,” Sherlund said. “Every company is becoming a digital enterprise.”

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Buy the dip in China markets despite Covid concerns: BOFA Securities

Short-term corrections in the Chinese stock markets can be a buying opportunity for investors, says a strategist from Bank of America Securities.

Winnie Wu, a China strategist at the investment bank, acknowledged that there’s still a potential volatility from China’s evolving Covid situation, and there could be more bad news ahead if Covid cases rebound or real estate companies default on their debt.

“But you know, generally speaking, looking at the bigger picture, the worst in terms of corporate earnings, the disruptions, Covid cases — those should be behind us in the second quarter already,” she told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” on Wednesday.

Wu pointed to recent announcements such as reduced quarantines for international visitors to China.

“China is sticking to the zero-Covid policy, but we’ve seen some changes,” she said, adding that she hopes the authorities would try to minimize disruption to the daily lives of residents.

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“Even though we are seeing some rebound in Covid cases, [and] we’ve seen a few more cities start to do this mass testing, … I doubt we’ll go back to that extended lockdown like we’ve been through in second quarter,” she said.

Shanghai is conducting Covid testing in several districts this week after detecting new Covid cases, a statement on the city’s WeChat account said.

Wu also pointed to Bank of America Securities’ so-called “wax-and-wane indicator” which measures sentiment based on factors such as investment flows to predict the outlook for China’s markets.

We advise investors to ride on the rally and to take these short-term corrections as buying opportunities.

Winnie Wu

China strategist at Bank of America Securities

That indicator is currently in the very bullish zone. During backtesting, the very bullish zone signaled a 100% chance that the CSI 300 index will rise in the near term, with median returns in the following two to six months in the high teens, she said.

“So we stay positive. We advise investors to ride on the rally and to take these short-term corrections as buying opportunities,” she said.

Mainland China markets have outperformed major global indexes in the past month, but traded lower on Wednesday.

The Shanghai Composite closed 1.43% lower on Wednesday, while the Shenzhen Component fell 1.25%. The CSI 300 index, which tracks the largest mainland-listed stocks, shed 1.46% that day.

— CNBC’s Evelyn Cheng contributed to this report.

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S&P 500 inches higher as strong BofA results offset tech weakness By Reuters

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 30, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

By Bansari Mayur Kamdar and Sruthi Shankar

(Reuters) – The benchmark rose on Monday as Bank of America (NYSE:) wrapped up earnings from big U.S. lenders with a better-than-expected quarterly profit, although elevated bond yields weighed on growth and technology stocks.

Shares of the second-largest U.S. bank by assets rose 3% as strong growth in its consumer lending business helped cushion the blow from a slowdown in deal-making. Overall, the S&P 500 banks index gained 1.5%.

Market response to bank earnings has been mixed as JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:) and Citigroup Inc (NYSE:) combined put aside $3.36 billion in credit loss reserves due to risks from the Ukraine war and rising inflation.

“Earnings will be good, but given the multiple years of high stock market returns, people do not look for good anymore. They look for great,” said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.

“The fact remains that the pressures on the market are not going away. The combination of Fed policy, very high energy costs and the problems brought about by the Ukraine war are going to sit on the markets for the next few weeks unless there is some resolution.”

Megacap stocks including Tesla (NASDAQ:) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:) edged lower as the benchmark hit a fresh December 2018 high of 2.88% earlier in the session. It was last at 2.83%. [US/]

Market-leading technology and growth stocks have come under pressure recently as expectations of several interest rates hikes this year threaten to erode the future earnings of these companies.

Seven of the 11 major S&P sectors advanced. Energy stocks rose 1.6% to lead percentage gains as crude prices rose and topped $113 a barrel, as outages in Libya deepened concern over tight global supply. [O/R]

There was little hope of peace in Ukraine, with Russia hitting hundreds of military targets in Ukraine overnight, destroying command posts with air-launched missiles.

At 09:52 a.m. ET, the was up 132.23 points, or 0.38%, at 34,583.46, the S&P 500 was up 6.84 points, or 0.16%, at 4,399.43, and the was down 49.83 points, or 0.37%, at 13,301.25.

Charles Schwab (NYSE:) Corp fell 9.1% after the financial services company missed quarterly profit estimates.

Twitter (NYSE:) slipped 1% even as the micro-blogging platform adopted “poison pill” on Friday to restrict Tesla CEO Elon Musk from raising his stake to beyond 15% for a one-year period.

Didi Global Inc slumped 16.7% after the Chinese ride hailing giant said it will hold an extraordinary general meeting on May 23 to vote on its delisting plans in the United States.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.02-to-1 ratio on the NYSE. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.05-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P index recorded 21 new 52-week highs and 17 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 35 new highs and 229 new lows.

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After Blowing $328 Billion on Share Buybacks since 2017, JPMorgan, BofA, Wells Fargo, Citi, Goldman Sachs Stocks Drop

Q1 was crappy as IPOs imploded, investment banking took a hit, mortgage activity fizzled, other stuff happened.

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.

Of the big five banks and bank holding companies in the US by total assets – JP Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs Group – four reported Q1 earnings so far, and BofA will do so next week. Those earnings reports were marked by a sharp decline in revenues and net income, with all kinds of complications in between. And as a group their shares continued their jagged decline that started in November last year.

The WOLF STREET index of the big five banks’ market capitalization has plunged 23.5% since its recent peak in October 2021 (data via YCharts):

This debacle occurred amid enormous share buybacks. These banks have been regularly featured among the largest share buyback queens in the US, except during the pandemic, when they halted the practice for three quarters.

In the five years from 2017 through 2021, the five banks have incinerated, wasted, and destroyed $328 billion in cash on repurchasing their own shares to prop up their stocks, and now their stocks have nothing to show for it (data via YCharts):

Q1 was crappy as IPOs imploded, mortgage activity fizzled, other stuff happened.

JPMorgan Chase [JPM] kicked off the quarterly banking show on Wednesday morning when it reported that its net income plunged by 42% to $8.3 billion in Q1 compared to Q1 last year. Revenues fell 5% to $30.7 billion, on a 35% plunge in revenues in its investment banking division.

Over the two trading days since the earnings release on Wednesday morning, JP Morgan’s shares tanked 4.1% and are down 25% from their 52-week high in January.

In preparation for rate-hike-induced financial stress on borrowers, it set aside $902 million for loan loss reserves, compared to a $5.2-billion benefit a year ago from releasing loan loss reserves it had set up during the pandemic. And it booked $582 million in net charge-offs, bringing the total credit costs to $1.5 billion.

Its Corporate & Investment Bank profits got hit by a $524 million loss, “driven by funding spread widening as well as credit valuation adjustments relating to both increases in commodities exposures and markdowns of derivatives receivables from Russia-associated counterparties,” it said in the earnings release.

During the earnings call, CEO Jamie Dimon said that the bank sees “significant geopolitical and economic challenges ahead due to high inflation, supply chain issues, and the war in Ukraine.”

Goldman Sachs [GS] reported that revenues plunged 27% in Q1, to $12.9 billion, and net income plunged by 42% to $3.9 billion.

Goldman Sachs share were down just a tad on Thursday, and are down 24.5% from their 52-week high in early November.

Investment banking revenue plunged by 36% to $2.4 billion. It set aside $561 million for credit losses, compared to a benefit of $70 million a year earlier. Asset management revenue collapsed by 88% to $546 million, “primarily reflecting net losses in Equity investments and significantly lower net revenues in Lending and debt investments.”

But at its consumer and wealth management division, revenues grew by 21% to $2.10 billion. And its global market revenues ticked up 4% to $7.87 billion. And yes, given the turmoil in the commodities markets, currency markets, and bond markets, revenues at FICC (Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities) jumped 21% to $4.71 billion.

“The rapidly evolving market environment had a significant effect on client activity as risk intermediation came to the fore and equity issuance came to a near standstill,” the earnings release said.

IPOs were crappy all around.

By “equity issuance came to a near standstill,” Goldman is talking about IPOs and SPACs, many of which have imploded spectacularly over the past 12 months. I’m now tracking some of them, including those where Goldman Sachs was the lead underwriter, in the WOLF STREET category of Imploded Stocks.

IPOs are massive fee generators for investment banks. But the collapse of these newly listed stocks has now essentially killed the appetite for new IPOs, which are only fun in a relentless hype-and-hoopla market. In Q1, according to Renaissance Capital, there were only 18 IPOs, including only two in March, down from 118 IPOs in Q2 last year:

Citigroup [C] reported that revenues declined 2.5% to $19.2 billion. Net income plunged 46% to $4.3 billion, on higher operating expenses (+15%) and credit losses of $755 million, compared to a benefit of $2.05 billion a year earlier.

The problem isn’t consumers in the US; they’re doing fine, Citibank said in its earnings release: “We continue to see the health and resilience of the U.S. consumer through our cost of credit and their payment rates. We had good engagement in key drivers such as cards loan growth and vigorous purchase sales growth, so we like where this business is headed.”

The big culprit was investment banking, including IPOs: “the current macro backdrop impacted Investment Banking as we saw a contraction in capital market activity. This remains a key area of investment for us,” Citigroup said.

Its shares rose 1.6% on Thursday but are down 36% from their 52-week high in June.

Wells Fargo [WFC] reported that revenues dropped 5% to $17.6 billion. Net income plunged 21% to $3.67 billion.

One of the culprits was mortgage lending activity, which plunged by 33% in the quarter on surging mortgage rates. “The Federal Reserve has made it clear that it will take actions necessary to reduce inflation and this will certainly reduce economic growth,” and “the war in Ukraine adds additional risk to the downside,” Wells Fargo said in the earnings release.

Shares tanked 4.5% on Thursday and have dropped 23% in two months from their 52-week high in early February.

Bank of America [BAC] will report earnings on Monday. In anticipation, its shares fell 3.2% on Thursday and have plunged 25% from the 52-week high in February.

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BofA Struggles With Tepid Loan Income as Consumers Shun Debt

(Bloomberg) — Bank of America Corp. is struggling to build back its lending income as consumers, flush with cash from government stimulus programs, avoid taking on new borrowings.

Loans and leases in the consumer banking unit fell 12% from a year earlier. Net interest income, on a fully taxable equivalent basis, was $10.3 billion last quarter, the bank said Wednesday. That metric — revenue from customer-loan payments minus what the company pays depositors — was less than analysts’ estimated $10.5 billion.

While government aid programs during the pandemic have helped big lenders like Bank of America dodge widespread defaults, they’ve also meant many consumers and businesses haven’t needed to take on new loans or tap lines of credit. That trend, along with rock-bottom interest rates meant to stimulate the economy, have weighed on the profitability of banks’ core lending businesses. While Bank of America’s loan balances remained down from a year earlier, they grew from the first quarter — the first sequential increase in a year.

“Net interest income and net interest margin both look light,” said Alison Williams, an analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. “The improvement is likely not as much as hoped by some.”

Chief Executive Officer Brian Moynihan said Bank of America sees organic growth reemerging as vaccination campaigns make progress and the economy recovers.

“Companies need to build inventory and hire workers to meet the growing customer demand,” he said on a conference call with analysts. “This virtuous circle of hiring workers and meeting customer spending will help drive the economy and hopefully will result in more line usage.”

Banks’ Wall Street operations have helped pick up the slack as turbulent markets boosted trading volumes. Companies seeking to stockpile cash, meanwhile, turned to debt and equity financing, and a combination of cheap financing for buyers and attractive valuations for sellers spurred a wave of acquisitions.

Bank of America’s trading revenue fell 14% last quarter, while investment-banking fees fell 1.7%. Financial-advisory fees came in at $407 million in the second quarter, little changed from a year earlier. That contrasts with results at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which saw an 83% surge in dealmaking fees, and JPMorgan Chase & Co., where that type of revenue climbed 52%.

Bank of America slid 1.3% to $39.35 at 9:32 a.m. in New York. The Charlotte, North Carolina-based company has advanced 30% this year, compared with a 27% gain for the KBW Bank Index.

Chief Financial Officer Paul Donofrio said the second-quarter marked “a turning point” for loan growth and that the bank expects lending to continue increasing as the year progresses. However, he stopped short of reiterating Bank of America’s forecast, provided in April, that net interest income, by the end of the year, would be about $1 billion higher than the $10.3 billion the bank posted in the first quarter.

“This was the quarter where you saw the evidence that we were all looking for that loans were going to start growing,” Donofrio said on a conference call with reporters Wednesday.

Donofrio added later on the analyst call that reaching the previous NII target was “possible” but that a recent significant decline in long-term interest rates “presents a challenge” to achieving that goal.

Bank of America continued to release reserves it built up earlier in the pandemic, anticipating a wave of loan losses that never materialized. The lender released $2.2 billion of reserves in the second quarter, following a $2.7 billion release in the first quarter.

Donofrio said that the bank’s credit losses are at a 25-year low and that he expects reserve levels to continue to decline, though probably not at the pace of previous quarters.

Also in the second-quarter results:

Noninterest expenses rose 12% to $15 billion.Net income more than doubled to $9.2 billion, or $1.03 a share. Analysts estimated 77 cents, on average.Total revenue dropped to $21.5 billion.

(Updates with CEO’s comments starting in fifth paragraph.)

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