Tag Archives: BOE

New PM Rishi Sunak pledges to lead Britain out of economic crisis

  • Sunak meets King Charles on Tuesday morning
  • Vows to rebuild trust in the country
  • Expected to start forming a cabinet
  • Sunak faces huge challenge to rebuild stability

LONDON, Oct 25 (Reuters) – Rishi Sunak became Britain’s third prime minister in two months on Tuesday and pledged to lead the country out of a profound economic crisis and rebuild trust in politics.

Sunak quickly reappointed Jeremy Hunt as his finance minister in a move designed to calm markets that had balked at his predecessor’s debt-fuelled economic plans.

The former hedge fund boss said he would unite the country and was expected to name a cabinet drawn from all wings of the party to end infighting and abrupt policy changes that have horrified investors and alarmed international allies.

Speaking outside his official Downing Street residence, Sunak praised the ambition of his predecessor Liz Truss to reignite economic growth but acknowledged mistakes had been made.

“I have been elected as leader of my party and your prime minister, in part to fix them,” said Sunak, who broke with the tradition of standing beside his family and cheering political supporters.

“I understand, too, that I have work to do to restore trust, after all that has happened. All I can say is that I am not daunted. I know the high office I have accepted and I hope to live up to its demands.”

Sunak said difficult decisions lay ahead as he looks to cut public spending. Hunt, who Truss appointed to calm markets roiled by her dash for growth, has been preparing a new budget alongside borrowing and growth forecasts due out on Monday, and repeated his warning on Tuesday that “it is going to be tough”.

The new prime minister also restored Dominic Raab to the post of deputy prime minister, a role he lost in Truss’s 44 days in office, but reappointed James Cleverly as foreign minister and Ben Wallace at defence.

Penny Mordaunt, who ended her bid to win a leadership contest against Sunak on Monday, also retained her position as leader of the House of Commons, a role that organises the government’s business in the lower house of parliament.

Sources had said she wanted to become foreign minister.

With his new appointments, Sunak was seen to be drawing ministers from across the Conservative Party while leaving others in post – a move that should ease concerns that Sunak might appoint loyalists rather than try to unify the party.

TOUGH DECISIONS

Sunak, one of the richest men in parliament, is expected to slash spending to plug an estimated 40 billion pound ($45 billion) hole in the public finances created by an economic slowdown, higher borrowing costs and an energy support scheme.

He will now need to review all spending, including on politically sensitive areas such as health, education, defence, welfare and pensions. But with his party’s popularity in freefall, he will face growing calls for an election if he ditches too many of the promises that the Conservatives win election in 2019.

Economists and investors have welcomed Sunak’s appointment – Ryanair boss Michael O’Leary said the adults had taken charge again – but they warn he has few options to fix the country’s finances when millions are battling a cost of living crunch.

Sunak, who ran the Treasury during the COVID-19 pandemic, promised to put economic stability and confidence at the heart of the agenda. “This will mean difficult decisions to come,” he said, shortly after he accepted King Charles’s request to form a government.

Sunak also vowed to put the public’s need above politics, in recognition of the growing anger at Britain’s political class and the ideological battles that have raged ever since the historic 2016 vote to leave the European Union.

Workers heading towards London’s financial district said Sunak, at 42 Britain’s youngest prime minister for more than 200 years and its first leader of colour, appeared to be the best of a bad bunch.

“I think he was competent, and that’s really what we should hope for at the moment,” said management consultant, James Eastbook, 43.

With two prime ministers appointed in two months without a popular vote, some called for a general election now but others hoped Sunak would stay until the next scheduled election, due by January 2025.

POLITICAL MACHINATIONS

Sunak, a Goldman Sachs analyst who only entered parliament in 2015, faces a challenge ending the factional infighting that has brought his party low. Many Conservatives remain angry with him for quitting as finance minister in July and triggering a wider rebellion that ended Boris Johnson’s premiership.

Others question how a multi millionaire can lead the country when millions of people are struggling with surging food and energy bills.

“I think this decision sinks us as a party for the next election,” one Conservative lawmaker told Reuters.

Historian and political biographer Anthony Seldon said Sunak would also be constrained by the mistakes of his immediate predecessor.

“There is no leeway on him being anything other than extraordinarily conservative and cautious,” he told Reuters.

Many politicians and officials abroad, having watched as a country once seen as a pillar of economic and political stability descended into brutal infighting, welcomed Sunak’s appointment.

Sunak, a Hindu, also becomes Britain’s first prime minister of Indian origin.

U.S. President Joe Biden described it as a “groundbreaking milestone”, while leaders from India and elsewhere welcomed the news. Sunak’s billionaire father-in-law, N.R. Narayana Murthy, said he would serve the United Kingdom well.

“We are proud of him and we wish him success,” the founder of software giant Infosys said in a statement.

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Writing by by Kate Holton and Elizabeth Piper; Editing by Hugh Lawson and Jon Boyle

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BoE set to further delay sales of government bonds until markets calm

The Bank of England is set to delay the sale of billions of pounds of government bonds in a bid to foster greater stability in gilt markets following the UK’s failed “mini” Budget.

The bank had already delayed the start of its sale of £838bn of gilts bought under its quantitative easing programme from October 6 to the end of this month. It is now expected to bow to investor pressure for a further pause until the market becomes calmer.

The Financial Times has learnt that the bank’s top officials have come to this view after judging the gilts market to be “very distressed” in recent weeks, a view backed by its Financial Policy Committee.

Investors have also warned that the central bank’s plans to begin selling bonds in its portfolio at the end of this month could destabilise markets.

Although 30-year gilt yields have fallen from their recent high of more than 5 per cent to 4.32 per cent on Monday, they remain well above the 3.75 per cent reached before the mini-Budget.

“I’m not sure it’s wise for them to go straight away, because the market’s so fragile at the moment,” said Jim Leaviss, chief investment officer for public fixed income at M&G Investments.

Sandra Holdsworth, UK head of rates at Aegon Asset Management, added: “When they’ve had to support the market so recently, I’m not sure they can go ahead without risking more problems,”

The BoE’s shift is set to put on hold the start of the UK’s unwinding of QE — a process other central banks have begun so as to reduce their swollen balance sheets and increase their freedom of manoeuvre in any future monetary or financial crisis.

BoE officials maintain that inflation control can be implemented by changing interest rates, rather than so-called quantitative tightening, the inverse of QE. At the pace the bank has set, completing QT would take a decade or more.

In Washington on Saturday, Andrew Bailey, BoE governor, confirmed that the MPC would seek to use bank rates rather than asset sales as its main weapon in the inflation fight.

“The MPC is not using the stock of asset holdings as an active tool of monetary policy at present,” he told an audience of central bankers. “The intention was to unwind the stock of QE gradually and predictably, and in a way that wasn’t bound to underlying economic conditions,” he added.

Delaying the sale of bonds would not need a vote from the bank’s Monetary Policy Committee. In making its previous postponement last month, the bank judged that turbulent market conditions met the “high bar” it had set to alter the timing without a vote.

The BoE still hopes to unwind £80bn of assets in the first year of running down its balance sheet through a combination of assets maturing and active sales.

The Bank is likely to stick to its policy of allowing maturing bonds to expire without reinvesting their proceeds in other securities. But active sales could provoke further market turmoil, hurting the economy and complicating plans to raise interest rates, ING rates strategist Antoine Bouvet said.

“You don’t want to let anything scupper your chances of hiking rates further, which is their only proven tool for getting inflation down,” Bouvet said. “I’m not sure this market can accommodate the BoE selling as well.”

Some analysts argue that the BoE may need to tweak its plans when it decides to begin quantitative tightening.

Instead of selling roughly equal quantities of short-, medium- and long-term gilts, the central bank should focus on short maturities, said Daniela Russell, HSBC’s head of UK rates strategy. That would allow the long end of the gilt market, which was the focus of the chaotic sell-off that triggered a liquidity crisis at pension funds, to “continue to recover”, she added.

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As UK’s Truss fights for her job, new finance minister warns of tough decisions

  • PM Truss sacked finance minister on Friday
  • New chancellor Hunt warns of tough decisions
  • Ruling Conservatives have slumped in polls
  • Some Conservative lawmakers say Truss will be ousted

LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) – Britain’s new finance minister Jeremy Hunt said on Saturday some taxes would go up and tough spending decisions were needed, signalling further reversals from Prime Minister Liz Truss as she battles to keep her job just over a month into her term.

In an attempt to appease financial markets that have been in turmoil for three weeks, Truss fired Kwasi Kwarteng as her chancellor of the exchequer on Friday and scrapped parts of their controversial economic package. read more

With opinion poll ratings dire for both the ruling Conservative Party and the prime minister personally, and many of her own lawmakers asking, not if, but how Truss should be removed, she has turned to Hunt to help salvage her premiership less than 40 days after taking office.

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“We will have some very difficult decisions ahead,” Hunt said as he toured TV and radio studios to give a blunt assessment of the situation the country faced, saying Truss and Kwarteng had made mistakes.

“The thing that people want, the markets want, the country needs now, is stability,” Hunt said. “No chancellor can control the markets. But what I can do is show that we can pay for our tax and spending plans and that is going to need some very difficult decisions on both spending and tax.”

Truss won the leadership contest to replace Boris Johnson on a platform of big tax cuts to stimulate growth, which Kwarteng duly announced last month. But the absence of any details of how the cuts would be funded sent the markets into meltdown.

She has now ditched plans to cut tax for high earners, and said a levy on business would increase, abandoning her proposal to keep it at current levels. But it is not clear if that has gone far enough to satisfy investors. read more

Hunt is due to announce the government’s medium-term budget plans on Oct. 31, in what will be a key test of its ability to show it can restore its economic policy credibility. He said further changes to Truss’s plans were possible.

“Giving certainty over public finances, how we’re going to pay for every penny that we get through the tax and spending decisions we make, those are very, very important ways that I can give certainty and help create the stability,” he said.

He cautioned spending would not rise by as much as people would like and all government departments were going to have to find more efficiencies than they were planning.

“Some taxes will not be cut as quickly as people want, and some taxes will go up. So it’s going to be difficult,” he said, adding that he would sit down with Treasury officials on Saturday before meeting Truss on Sunday to go through the plans.

‘MISTAKES MADE’

Kwarteng’s Sept. 23 fiscal statement prompted a backlash in financial markets that was so ferocious the Bank of England (BoE) had to intervene to prevent pension funds being caught up in the chaos as borrowing costs surged.

Hunt, an experienced minister and viewed by many in his party as a safe pair of hands, said he agreed with Truss’s fundamental strategy of kickstarting economic growth, adding that their approach had not worked.

“There were some mistakes made in the last few weeks. That’s why I’m sitting here. It was a mistake to cut the top rate of tax at a period when we’re asking everyone to make sacrifices,” he said.

It was also a mistake, Hunt said, to “fly blind” and produce the tax plans without allowing the independent fiscal watchdog, the Office for Budget Responsibility, to check the figures.

The fact that Hunt is Britain’s fourth finance minister in four months is testament to a political crisis that has gripped Britain since Johnson was ousted following a series of scandals.

Hunt said Truss should be judged at an election and on her performance over the next 18 months – not the last 18 days.

However, she might not get that chance. During the leadership contest, Truss won support from less than a third of Conservative lawmakers and has appointed her backers since taking office – alienating those who support her rivals.

The appointment of Hunt, who ran to be leader himself and then backed her main rival ex-finance minister Rishi Sunak, has been seen as a sign of her reaching out, but the move did little to placate some of her party critics.

“It’s over for her,” one such Conservative lawmakers told Reuters after Friday’s events.

The next key test will come on Monday, when the British government bond market functions for the first time without the emergency buying support provided by the BoE since Sept. 28. Gilt prices plunged late on Friday after Truss’s announcement.

Newspapers said Truss’s position was in jeopardy, but with no appetite in the party or country for another leadership election, it was unclear how she could be replaced. read more

“Even Liz Truss’s most loyal allies, viewing the matter through the most rose-tinted glasses available, must now wonder how she can survive,” the Daily Mail tabloid, which had previously given Truss strong support, said in its editorial.

“Yet what is the alternative?”

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Reporting by Michael Holden, Alistair Smout and William Schomberg
Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise and Helen Popper

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UK’s Truss expected to fire Kwarteng – Times

  • Kwarteng leaves IMF meeting early
  • Pressure mounts for a U-turn over tax policy
  • Pound, bond prices recovering
  • PM Truss now faces political fight

LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) – British Prime Minister Liz Truss will fire her finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng and scrap parts of their economic package, the Times newspaper reported on Friday, in a bid to survive the market and political pressure unleashed by their fiscal plan.

Downing Street confirmed that Truss, in power for only 37 days, would hold a press conference later on Friday. Minutes earlier Kwarteng landed back in London after he left IMF meetings in Washington early to work on their economic plan.

British government bonds rallied further, adding to their partial recovery since Truss’s government started looking for ways to balance the books after her unfunded tax cuts crushed the value of British assets and drew international censure.

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Kwarteng had announced a new fiscal policy on Sept. 23, delivering Truss’s vision for vast tax cuts and deregulation to try to shock the economy out of years of stagnant growth.

But the response from markets was so ferocious that the Bank of England had to intervene to prevent pension funds from being caught up in the chaos, as borrowing and mortgage costs surged.

Truss and Kwarteng have been under mounting pressure to reverse course since, as polls showed support for their Conservative Party had collapsed, prompting colleagues to openly discuss whether they should be replaced.

Having triggered a market rout, Truss now runs the risk of bringing the government down if she cannot find a package of public spending cuts and tax rises that can appease investors and get through any parliamentary vote in the House of Commons.

The opposition Labour party’s Chris Bryant, who chairs parliament’s Committee on Standards and Privileges, wrote on Twitter: “If you can’t get your budget through parliament you can’t govern. This isn’t about u-turns, it’s about proper governance.”

Truss’s search for savings will be made harder by the fact government departments have spent a decade cutting their budgets, while discipline in the governing party has frayed following six years of fractious post-Brexit political drama.

Sources familiar with the matter told Reuters that Kwarteng left a meeting of global finance ministers in Washington to rush back to London and join ministers who are looking for ways to balance the books.

The political editor of the Times newspaper reported that Kwarteng was being sacked. Downing Street declined to comment but he had not been expected to appear at Truss’s news conference later on Friday, fuelling speculation about his future.

During his time in the United States Kwarteng had been told by the head of the International Monetary Fund of the importance of “policy coherence”, underlining how far Britain’s reputation for sound economic management and institutional stability had fallen.

Shortly before 11 a.m. (10:00 GMT) Britain’s television news channels switched to carry live footage of a British Airways plane landing at Heathrow, carrying Kwarteng.

In Westminster, Truss was trying to find agreement with her cabinet ministers on a way to preserve her push for growth while also reassuring the markets and working out which of the measures could be supported by her lawmakers in parliament.

Earlier a minister in the trade department, Greg Hands, had said people wanting details on the budget would have to wait until Oct. 31 when Kwarteng was due to set out his full plan alongside independent forecasts that will show the cost of the tax cuts to the public finances and whether they will boost economic growth.

Critics of the government had said that wait was unacceptable.

Rupert Harrison, a portfolio manager at Blackrock and once an adviser to former British finance minister George Osborne, said markets have now almost fully priced in a U-turn.

“(That) means if the U-turn doesn’t come markets will react badly,” he said on Twitter.

INTERNATIONAL CREDIBILITY

A Conservative Party lawmaker, who asked not to be named, said Truss’s economic policy had caused so much damage that investors may demand even deeper cuts to public spending as the price for their support.

“Everything’s possible at the moment,” said the lawmaker, who backed Sunak in the leadership race. “Problem is the markets have lost trust in the Conservative Party – and who can blame them?”

Another lawmaker told Reuters earlier this week that Truss needed to appreciate that there was not a huge amount of enthusiasm for her at the moment.

According to a source close to the prime minister, Truss is now in “listening mode” and inviting lawmakers to speak to her team about their concerns to gauge which parts of the programme they would support in parliament.

Credit Suisse economist Sonali Punhani said markets needed to see a credible fiscal plan, with the government needing to find around 60 billion pounds through tax cut U-turns and further spending cuts.

“It would be challenging to deliver the scale of these cuts, but for them to be credible, these need to be delivered sooner rather than in the latter part of the forecast,” Punhani said.

One policy that is expected to be reversed is their plan to hold corporation tax rates at 19%. That had formed a key part of their package after Sunak proposed increasing it to 25% when he was finance minister under Truss’s predecessor Boris Johnson.

That could save 18.7 billion pounds by 2026/27.

The latest bout of political drama to grip Britain comes as the Bank of England prepares to end its intervention in the gilt market.

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Writing by Kate Holton; additional reporting by Sarah Young, David Milliken and Muvija M; Editing by Michael Holden, Catherine Evans and Hugh Lawson

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UK’s Truss thinking of new tax policy U-turn, media reports say

  • New PM Truss under pressure over economic proposals
  • Unfunded tax cuts plan trigger bond market turmoil
  • Reports there could be a U-turn on corporation tax
  • Government’s poll ratings have slumped

LONDON, Oct 13 (Reuters) – British Prime Minister Liz Truss is considering reversing more of her government’s controversial “mini-budget”, some media reported on Thursday, setting off a rally for the battered pound and British government bonds.

Discussions were under way in Downing Street over whether to scrap elements of the plan which caused turmoil in financial markets the moment it was announced by finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng three weeks ago, Sky News said, citing sources.

The Sun newspaper said Truss was considering allowing a rise in corporation tax to take place next April, something she promised to halt in her bid to be prime minister, in which she vowed to sweep away the “orthodoxy” of economic policy.

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Finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng, asked repeatedly in an interview with BBC television whether the reports of a change of policy on corporation tax were accurate, said that he was focused on his growth plan.

“Our position hasn’t changed. I will come up with the medium-term fiscal plan on the 31st of October, as I said earlier in the week, and there will be more detail then,” he said on the sidelines of International Monetary Fund meetings.

Kwarteng is due to announce his medium-term budget plans on Oct. 31, alongside independent fiscal forecasts.

Truss is under huge pressure within her Conservative Party to change her push for 43 billion pounds ($48.8 billion) of unfunded tax cuts as polls show her support has collapsed and investors have balked at the potential impact on the public finances.

Some lawmakers have pondered whether she should be removed from the job only a month after becoming Britain’s fourth prime minister in just six years since the Brexit referendum.

The pound, which has fallen sharply since Truss emerged as the front-runner to enter Downing Street in August, leapt on the reports and was up almost 2.5% against the U.S. dollar shortly after 5pm (1600 GMT) on Thursday.

British government bond prices also recovered some of the steep losses incurred since Kwarteng’s “mini-budget” announcement on Sept. 23.

Kwarteng, asked by the BBC about any discussions going on back in London to tear up his package, said: “I speak to the prime minister all the time, and we are totally focused on delivering the growth plan.”

He and Truss bowed to pressure earlier this month and ditched part of the mini-budget which would have eliminated the top rate of income tax, something they had said would help spur Britain’s sluggish economic growth rate. The IMF has said it would worsen inequality.

The government has repeatedly said it will stick to the rest of the tax cut plans while also protecting public spending, but economists and critics say something has to give.

In a sign of how far Britain’s reputation for sound economic management and institutional stability has fallen, the head of the IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, said on Thursday she had told Kwarteng of the importance of “policy coherence and communicating clearly”.

“I do believe that it is correct to be led by evidence. If the evidence is that there has to be a recalibration, it is right for governments to do so,” she told reporters. read more

LEADERSHIP

Truss has quickly run into deep opposition to her leadership even among some Conservative lawmakers, many of whom who never wanted her to replace Boris Johnson as leader.

“If I was Liz Truss I wouldn’t wait to be thrown out of office by my party. I hope I’d resign,” Tim Montgomerie, founder of the influential ConservativeHome website, said on Twitter.

Former finance minister George Osborne was critical too.

“Given the pain being caused to the real economy by the financial turbulence, it’s not clear why it is in anyone’s interests to wait 18 more days before the inevitable U-turn on the mini budget,” he said on Twitter.

Asked if he and Truss would still be in their jobs next month, Kwarteng replied: “Absolutely, 100%. I’m not going anywhere.”

Earlier, Foreign minister James Cleverly had warned that a change of leader would be “a disastrously bad idea, not just politically but also economically”.

Under current rules, lawmakers can only write letters to call for a no-confidence vote when the leader has been in place for a year. But that convention might not hold after a fire-sale in the government bond market drove up borrowing costs and mortgage rates and forced the Bank of England to intervene to protect pension funds caught up in the market chaos.

REALLY ILL PATIENT

The BoE’s emergency bond purchases are due to end on Friday. Many analysts have said it might have to maintain some kind of support given the fragility of the bond market.

“A central bank is like a doctor: if the patient is really ill, and even if the patient has misbehaved, it is very difficult for a doctor to walk away,” said Mohamed El Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz.

But Larry Fink, chief executive of U.S. investment behemoth BlackRock, said British government bond prices suggested that a great part of so-called liability-driven investment funds at the centre of the chaos had been “reconstructed”.

There are signs however that the rise in borrowing costs is feeding through into the real economy.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors said on Thursday that house prices showed the weakest growth in September since early in the coronavirus crisis and they look set to fall with mortgage rates recently jumping further.

The country’s largest homebuilder, Barratt (BDEV.L), has flagged a plunge in reservations in recent months, causing it to issue a profit warning after what has been a robust few years for the sector. read more

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Additional reporting by Alistair Smout and Elizabeth Piper in London, and David Lawder, Davide Barbuscia, Manya Saini and Leika Kihara in Washington; writing by Kate Holton, Michael Holden and William Schomberg; editing by Toby Chopra and Hugh Lawson

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Bank of England Further Expands Bond-Market Rescue to Restore U.K.’s Financial Stability

LONDON—The Bank of England extended support targeted at pension funds for the second day in a row, the latest attempt to contain a bond-market selloff that has threatened U.K. financial stability.

The central bank on Tuesday said it would add inflation-linked government bonds to its program of long-dated bond purchases, after an attempt on Monday to help pension funds failed to calm markets.

“Dysfunction in this market, and the prospect of self-reinforcing ‘fire sale’ dynamics pose a material risk to U.K. financial stability,” the BOE said.

The yield on a 30-year U.K. inflation-linked bond has soared above 1.5% this week, up from 0.851% on Oct. 7, according to

Tradeweb.

Just weeks ago, the yield on the gilt, as U.K. government bonds are known, was negative. Because yields rise as prices fall, the effect has been punishing losses for bond investors.

Turmoil in the U.K. bond market created a feedback loop that left investors like pension funds short on cash and rippled out into other markets. WSJ’s Chelsey Dulaney explains the type of investment at the heart of the crisis. Illustration: Ryan Trefes

On Tuesday, after the BOE expanded the purchases, the yield on inflation-linked gilts held mostly steady but at the new, elevated levels. The central bank said it bought roughly £2 billion, equivalent to about $2.21 billion, in inflation-linked gilts, out of a £5 billion daily capacity.

The bank’s bond purchases, however, are meant to run out on Friday. The Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association, a trade body that represents the pension industry, urged the central bank on Tuesday to extend its purchases until the end of the month.

The near-daily expansion of the Bank of England’s rescue plan highlighted the challenges facing central banks in stamping out problems fueled by a once-in-a-generation increase in inflation and interest rates. It also raised questions about whether the BOE was providing the right medicine to address the problem.

The turmoil sparked fresh demands on Monday for pension funds to come up with cash to shore up LDIs, or liability-driven investments, derivative-based strategies that were meant to help match the money they owe to retirees over the long term.

LDIs were at the root of the bond selloff that prompted the BOE’s original intervention. Pension plans in late September saw a wave of margin calls after Prime Minister

Liz Truss’s

government announced large, debt-funded tax cuts that fueled an unprecedented bond-market selloff.

The BOE launched its original bond-purchase program on Sept. 28, but it only restored calm for a couple of days before selling resumed. An expansion of the program on Monday backfired, with yields again soaring higher.

The selloff on Monday was “very reminiscent of two weeks ago,” said

Simeon Willis,

chief investment officer of XPS, a company that advises pension plans.

LDI strategies use leveraged financial derivatives tied to interest rates to amplify returns. The outsize moves in U.K. bond markets last month led to huge collateral calls on pensions to back up the leveraged investments. The pension funds have sold other assets, including government and corporate bonds, to meet those calls, adding to pressure on yields to rise and creating a spiral effect on markets.

Pensions are typically big holders of inflation-linked government bonds, which help protect the plans from both inflation and interest-rate changes. But these weren’t eligible in the BOE’s bond-buying program until Tuesday.

The U.K. helped pioneer bonds with payouts linked to inflation, sometimes referred to as linkers, in the 1980s. Linkers were originally sold exclusively to pensions, but the U.K. opened them to other investors over the years.

Pensions remain a dominant force in the market because the bonds offer long-term protection against both inflation and interest-rate changes. Their outsize role left the market vulnerable to shifts in pension-fund demand like that seen in recent weeks.

Adam Skerry, a fund manager at Abrdn with a focus on inflation-linked government bonds, said his firm has struggled to trade those assets in recent days.

“We were trying to sell some bonds this morning, and it was virtually impossible to do that,” he said. “The LDI issue that’s facing the market, the fact that the market is moving to the degree that it did, particularly yesterday, suggests that there’s still an awful lot [of selling] there.”

Pensions have also appeared hesitant to sell their bonds to the BOE, reflecting a mismatch in what the central bank is offering and what the market needs.

“The way that the bank has structured this intervention is they can only buy assets if people put offers into them, but nobody is putting offers in,” said Craig Inches, head of rates and cash at Royal London Asset Management. He said the pension funds would rather sell their riskier assets, including corporate bonds or property.

Mr. Willis of XPS said many pensions want to hold on to their government bonds because it helps protect pensions against changes in interest rates, which impact the way their liabilities are valued.

“If they sell gilts now, they’re doing it in the likelihood that they’ll need to buy them back in the future at some point and they might be more expensive, and that’s unhelpful,” he said.

Also plaguing the program: Pension funds are traditionally slow-moving organizations that make decisions with multidecade horizons. The market turmoil has hurtled them into the warp-speed-style moves usually reserved for traders at swashbuckling hedge funds.

To make decisions about the sale of assets, industry players describe a game of telephone playing out among trustees, investment advisers, fund managers and banks. Pension funds spread their assets among multiple managers, which are in turn held by separate custodian banks. Calling everyone for the necessary signoffs is creating a lengthy and involved process.

To give themselves more time, pension funds are pushing the BOE to extend the bond-buying program at least to the end of the month. That is when the U.K.’s Treasury chief,

Kwasi Kwarteng,

is expected to lay out the government’s borrowing plans for the coming year.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies, a nonpartisan think tank that focuses on the budget, warned Tuesday that borrowing is likely to hit £200 billion in the financial year ending March, the third highest for a fiscal year since World War II and £100 billion higher than planned in March of this year. Increased borrowing increases the supply of bonds and generally causes bond yields to rise.

Mr. Kwarteng on Tuesday declared his confidence in BOE Gov. Andrew Bailey as he faced questions from lawmakers for the first time in his new job.

“I speak to the governor very frequently and he is someone who is absolutely independent and is managing what is a global situation very effectively,” he said.

Write to Chelsey Dulaney at Chelsey.Dulaney@wsj.com, Anna Hirtenstein at anna.hirtenstein@wsj.com and Paul Hannon at paul.hannon@wsj.com

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Bank of England Offers More Support for Pension Funds Amid Crisis

LONDON—The Bank of England expanded its support of pension funds at the heart of the U.K.’s bond-market crisis even as borrowing costs leapt higher, a sign that stress in the financial system wasn’t going away.

The U.K.’s central bank said Monday that it would increase the daily amounts it was willing to buy in long-dated bonds before ending the program as scheduled on Friday. It also unveiled two types of lending facilities aimed at freeing up cash for pension funds beyond the end of the bond buying.

The moves failed to calm markets, with yields on 30-year U.K. gilts, as government bonds are known, jumping to as high as 4.64%, from 4.39% on Friday. Outside the past two weeks such moves would be considered unusually large for a single day.

The Bank of England launched its initial foray into markets on Sept. 28 when it offered to buy up to £5 billion, or around $5.55 billion, a day of long-dated government bonds. The program was aimed at stanching the damage from a furious selloff in U.K. government debt over previous days in the aftermath of a surprise package of tax cuts announced by the government.

“The underlying message is that there’s been too little risk reduction so far,” said Antoine Bouvet, senior rates strategist at ING. “There’s a message to pension funds and potential sellers that the window is closing and they need to hurry up.”

Turmoil in the U.K. bond market created a feedback loop that left investors like pension funds short on cash and rippled out into other markets. WSJ’s Chelsey Dulaney explains the type of investment at the heart of the crisis. Illustration: Ryan Trefes

He attributed Monday’s bond selloff to disappointment among investors who had expected the BOE to extend the bond-buying facility.

The original intervention in late September at first calmed markets, with government bond yields plunging in response. But yields shot back up in recent days after it appeared the bank was buying far less than the £5 billion a day, a possible sign that the program wasn’t working as intended.

In the history of crisis interventions, central banks often have to make multiple stabs at solving problems with different types of bond buying or lending programs before markets become convinced that a viable backstop has been created. During the Covid-19 meltdown in March 2020, the Federal Reserve expanded its lending programs several times before calm was restored.

The BOE said it would increase the daily amount of purchases on offer until the program ends, starting with £10 billion Monday, though it was unclear if there would be take-up by distressed sellers.

The lending programs announced Monday included what the BOE called a temporary expanded collateral repo facility. This lends cash to pension funds in exchange for an expanded menu of collateral than was previously available to the pension plans, including index-linked gilts, whose returns are tied to inflation, and corporate bonds.

The operations would be processed through banks working on behalf of the pension funds. The BOE also made an existing, permanent repo lending facility available to banks acting to help pension-fund clients.

The crisis centers on a corner of the market known as LDIs, or liability-driven investments. LDIs became popular in recent years among U.K. defined-benefit pension plans to make enough money in the long term to match what they owed retirees. These strategies use financial derivatives tied to interest rates.

LDIs also contain leverage, or borrowing, that amplifies pension-fund investments by as much as six or seven times. When the long-dated U.K. government bond yield that undergird LDI investments surged more than they ever have in a single day at the end of September, LDI fund managers required pension funds to post massive amounts of fresh collateral to back up the investments.

To generate that collateral, pension funds have been selling non-LDI bonds, stocks and other investments.

In a letter to lawmakers last week, BOE Deputy Gov.

Jon Cunliffe

said the bank acted to stop forced selling by LDI investors and a “self-reinforcing spiral of price falls.”

The point of the new lending programs and the bond buying is to make it easier for the pension funds to drum up cash so they can pay down the leverage on their LDI funds without causing wider market disruption.

“The Bank of England has been listening to schemes and the challenges they’re facing right now in still struggling to access liquidity quickly enough to recapitalize LDI,” said Ben Gold, head of investment at

XPS Pensions Group,

a U.K. pensions consultant. The measures also help funds avoid having to sell assets at poor prices, he said.

Mr. Gold estimates that it is going to take between £100 billion and £150 billion for the industry to shore up its collateral on LDI funds.

“I would estimate that we’re probably about halfway there,” he said. “There is still a lot of activity that’s needed to get it done before 14th October.”

Soaring inflation and expectations of swelling government bond issuance pushed bond yields up sharply in recent months. Investors in U.K. government bonds were troubled by the tax cuts announced by Prime Minister

Liz Truss’s

government in part because they weren’t accompanied by a customary analysis of the impact on borrowing by the independent budget watchdog.

U.K. Treasury chief

Kwasi Kwarteng

on Monday said he would announce further budgetary measures on Oct. 31 that will be accompanied by forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility, which provides independent analysis of government spending. He previously said that wouldn’t happen until Nov. 23.

Write to Paul Hannon at paul.hannon@wsj.com, Chelsey Dulaney at Chelsey.Dulaney@wsj.com and Julie Steinberg at julie.steinberg@wsj.com

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UK’s Truss tries to reassure on economic plan

  • Defends economic plan, saying it is right
  • Also tries to reassure
  • Says Kwarteng made decision on high tax rate

BIRMINGHAM, England, Oct 2 (Reuters) – British Prime Minister Liz Truss tried to reassure her party and the public on Sunday by saying she should have done more to “lay the ground” for an economic plan that saw the pound fall to record lows and government borrowing costs soar.

On the first day of her governing Conservative Party’s annual conference, Truss, in office for less than a month, adopted a softer tone by saying she would support the public during a difficult winter and beyond.

She defended her “growth plan”, a package of tax-cutting measures that investors and many economists have criticised for setting out billions of pounds of spending while offering few details on how it would be paid for in the short term.

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Truss said it was the right direction, suggesting critics did not realise the depth of Britain’s problems and that she should have done more to explain them — an argument that market traders and investors have dismissed as a reason for the falls in the pound and the increase in borrowing costs last week.

But in what some Conservative lawmakers worry will hurt their prospects at an election due in 2024, she did not deny that the plan would require spending cuts for public services and refused to commit to increasing welfare benefits in line with inflation while endorsing a tax cut for the wealthiest.

“I understand their worries about what has happened this week,” she told the BBC in the central English city of Birmingham.

“I do stand by the package we announced, and I stand by the fact that we announced it quickly because we had to act, but I do accept that we should have laid the ground better.”

Jake Berry, chairman of the Conservative Party, suggested the markets may have overreacted, while admitting he was not an economist. “So let’s see where the markets are in six months time,” he told Sky News.

TROUBLE AHEAD?

Truss took office on Sept. 6, but Queen Elizabeth died two days later and so the first days of the new prime minister’s term were largely taken up with the national mourning period, when politics was all but paused.

She launched her plan two weeks after taking office, with her team feeling she had signalled her plans during a leadership campaign against rival Rishi Sunak, who had argued against immediate tax cuts.

But the scale of the plan spooked markets. After a large sell-off, the pound has since recovered after Britain’s central bank, the Bank of England stepped in, but government borrowing costs remain markedly higher. Investors say the government will have to work hard to restore confidence.

Beyond the market reaction, Truss’s economic plan also raised alarm in the Conservative Party, particularly over the scrapping of the highest 45% level of income tax.

Some in the party fear they are at risk of being seen as “the nasty party”, cutting taxes for the wealthiest, while doing little to improve the lives of the most vulnerable.

One former minister, Michael Gove, who was long at the heart of government, hinted he would not vote for the abolition of the top tax when the economic plan comes before parliament and Andy Street, the Conservative mayor of Birmingham, said he would not have made that policy.

Truss said she supported the simplification of the tax system but added the decision on the top tax was taken by her finance minister, Kwasi Kwarteng.

When asked whether all of her cabinet of top ministers had been told in advance, Truss said: “No, we didn’t, this was a decision that the chancellor made.”

She also suggested that politicians spent too much time worrying about how their policies were received by the public, saying she was focused on driving growth. Truss has often said she is not scared of making unpopular decisions.

“I do think there has been too much focus in politics on the optics or how things look,” she said.

But she struggled when pressed to answer whether scrapping some taxes would have to be paid for with cuts to public services. Rather than denying this, she said she wanted the best possible services, which offer taxpayers value for money.

“I am going to make sure we get value for money for the taxpayer, but I am very, very committed to making sure we have excellent frontline public services.”

Further reading:

How the Bank of England threw markets a lifeline

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Reporting by Elizabeth Piper and Andrew MacAskill
Editing by Gareth Jones and Frances Kerry

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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UK’s Truss sticks to policy plan as she breaks silence after market rout

  • Truss says will not change course on UK policy
  • Bond markets calmer after BoE intervention
  • Investors warn of loss of faith in government

LONDON, Sept 29 (Reuters) – British Prime Minister Liz Truss said she would stick to her controversial plan to reignite economic growth as she broke her silence on Thursday following nearly a week of chaos in financial markets triggered by her huge tax cuts.

A day after the Bank of England resumed its bond-buying in an emergency move to protect pension funds from partial collapse, Truss blamed the upheaval on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine that has caused inflation to spike around the world.

“We had to take urgent action to get our economy growing, get Britain moving, and also deal with inflation, and of course, that means taking controversial and difficult decisions,” she told BBC radio.

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“But I’m prepared to do that as prime minister because what’s important to me is that we get our economy moving.”

Truss, Britain’s 47-year-old former foreign minister, took office on Sept. 6 after winning the governing Conservative Party’s leadership contest, becoming the fourth prime minister in six turbulent years in British politics.

She defeated former finance minister Rishi Sunak by vowing to put an end to “Treasury orthodoxy” with a new economic policy that would cut taxes and regulation, funded by vast government borrowing to snap the economy out of years of stagnant growth.

She dismissed Sunak’s warnings that her plans posed a threat to Britain’s economic standing in the world as “negative, declinist language”.

But her fiscal plan, set out by finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng on Friday, triggered a crisis of confidence in the government, hammering the value of the pound and government bond prices and jolting global markets.

Ken Griffin, the U.S. billionaire founder of Citadel Securities, one of the world’s biggest market-making firms, said he was worried the damage to Britain’s reputation. “It represents the first time we’ve seen a major developed market, in a very long time, lose confidence from investors,” he said.

UNFUNDED TAX CUTS

Truss said her government would not change course.

Having set out 45 billion pounds of unfunded tax cuts, she said it would in the coming weeks spell out reforms of everything from childcare costs to immigration, planning and financial regulation. A fuller fiscal statement on Nov. 23 will detail the cost of the borrowing and measures to cut debt.

Investors and economists have said they cannot wait another eight weeks for details with borrowing costs elevated and markets volatile. As well as the risk posed to pension funds, the surge in borrowing costs has led to the withdrawal of cheaper mortgage offers and a leap in corporate lending rates.

The BoE’s intervention had an immediate impact in driving down bond yields on Wednesday, but investors still see the central bank increasing rates by at least 1.25 percentage points to 3.5% by Nov. 3, the date of its next scheduled announcement.

Some are betting on an emergency increase before then, according to the prices of rate swaps.

Rates are seen rising further to 4.5% in December and 6% by June, levels that would likely hit house prices and offset any gains from a cut in property transaction taxes that was announced last week.

Economists mostly expect a less severe pace of rate increases.

“This is the right plan,” Truss told the BBC. Asked if it was time to reverse course, she said: “No, it isn’t.”

Yields on British government bonds rose moderately on Thursday, having plunged a day earlier on the BoE’s move to temporarily buy long-dated debt and halt a gilts sell-off that threatened the country’s pension funds.

Sterling pared some earlier losses to trade down 0.5% against the dollar at $1.0797, taking its fall in September to almost 7% and its fall year-to-date to almost 20%.

Simon Wolfson, the head of major British retailer Next (NXT.L), warned that the plunge would create a second cost-of-living crisis in Britain after the surge in energy costs. He cut the group’s forecasts after a slowdown in August.

CRITIQUED BY MARKETS

Investors, businesses and consumers are now waiting for the government to announce more details of how it plans to get the economy growing more quickly, which will be key to fixing Britain’s increasingly stretched public finances.

“Every day, every week, every month, the government will now be critiqued by markets and businesses on how serious they are about growth and about their fiscal responsibility to pay back debt,” Tony Danker, director-general of the Confederation of British Industry, said late on Wednesday.

Former BoE governor Mark Carney also criticized the plan, saying the release of only a “partial budget”, without the accompanying scrutiny from the independent Office for Budget Responsibility, had unnerved investors.

“It’s important to have (the budget) subject to independent and, dare I say, expert scrutiny,” Carney said.

Kwarteng and Truss must now defend their strategy, and try to calm nerves in the Conservative Party which is due to start it annual conference on Sunday.

“There is no confidence in the Truss government right now,” Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote, said. “The problem is not fiscal spending per se, the problem is that people just don’t trust what she is doing.

“We just avoided a bad sovereign debt crisis in the UK because the Bank of England changed dramatically its plans and jumped in.”

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Writing by William Schomberg and Kate Holton; Additional reporting by David Milliken, Kylie MacLellan, Paul Sandle, Elizabeth Piper and James Davey in London, and Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bangalore; Editing by Catherine Evans and Alex Richardson

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European markets rebounds after BoE steps in to calm markets

Stocks on the move: Rational up 12%, Barratt Developments down 9%

Rational shares jumped more than 12% in early trade to lead the Stoxx 600 after the German combi steamer and oven manufacturer raised its sales revenue and profit forecast for 2022.

At the bottom of the European blue chip index, British property developer Barratt Developments fell more than 9%.

CNBC Pro: Analyst says this FAANG stock is an evergreen winner — and investors should buy the dip

Tech stocks have had a difficult year so far but a Rosenblatt Securities analyst thinks the sell-off is an opportunity for long-term investors to buy the dip.  

“Stay away from the losers,” he said, recommending “winners in the various secular battles and evolutionary battles” in tech.

Pro subscribers can read more.

— Zavier Ong

Stocks may continue this ‘oversold bounce’ over the next few days, Wells Fargo’s Harvey says

Wells Fargo’s Chris Harvey expects stocks to continue their upward move.

“The spike in short interest, retail selling skew, and BOE’s action all suggest stocks will continue their oversold bounce for the next few days,” he said in a note to clients Wednesday.

Stocks hit fresh lows earlier in the week, with the S&P 500 notching a new bear market. The sell-off was triggered by the Fed’s latest rate decision last week, which some investors believe steered the market into oversold conditions.

As the cost of capital rises and prices hover near record highs, the consensus is increasingly coming to believe that a Fed-induced recession is unavoidable, Harvey said.

“We look at a recession like a car crash,” he wrote. “You never know how bad it will be, but there is almost no ‘better-than-expected’ outcome — so policymakers need to be careful what they wish for.”

— Samantha Subin

10-year Treasury yield drops the most since 2020

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note dropped the most since 2020 on Wednesday, despite briefly topping 4% earlier in the session, after the Bank of England announced a bond-buying plan to stabilize the British pound.

The 10-year Treasury yield last dropped 23 basis points to 3.733%, or the most it’s dropped since 2020.

It hit a high of about 4.019%, a key level that was the highest since October 2008, earlier in the day before erasing those gains.

Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point is equal to 0.01%.

European markets: Here are the opening calls

European stocks are expected to open in negative territory on Wednesday as investors react to the latest U.S. inflation data.

The U.K.’s FTSE index is expected to open 47 points lower at 7,341, Germany’s DAX 86 points lower at 13,106, France’s CAC 40 down 28 points and Italy’s FTSE MIB 132 points lower at 22,010, according to data from IG.

Global markets have pulled back following a higher-than-expected U.S. consumer price index report for August which showed prices rose by 0.1% for the month and 8.3% annually in August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday, defying economist expectations that headline inflation would fall 0.1% month-on-month.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, climbed 0.6% from July and 6.3% from August 2021.

U.K. inflation figures for August are due and euro zone industrial production for July will be published.

— Holly Ellyatt

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