Tag Archives: Await

Stock futures are flat as investors await economic data, earnings

U.S. stock index futures were unchanged in overnight trading Monday, after the major averages started the week with muted moves as investors digested a jump in yields.

Futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 18 points. S&P 500 futures were up 0.03%, while Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.04%.

During regular trading the Dow dipped about 13 points, or 0.04%, for its fourth negative session in the last five. At the high of the day the 30-stock index gained about 136 points. The S&P 500 finished the day unchanged at 4,682.87. The benchmark index moved between gains and losses during the session, at one point gaining 0.3%, while also trading 0.21% lower. The Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.04%. The Russell 2000 was the relative underperformer, declining 0.45%.

Stocks’ move came as interest rates rose, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note topping 1.62% while the 30-bear Treasury bond rose above 2%.

Inflation fears are weighing on the market after last month’s consumer price index posted its largest annual increase in more than three decades. Paul Christopher, head of global market strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, said he believes inflation will moderate in 2022, but that “the path to lower inflation [will] begin with higher inflation in the front half of the year.”

“The stickier drivers of inflation are likely to persist, but our base case is that they will not outweigh the improvement we expect in the transitory elements,” he wrote in a note to clients.

Walmart kicks off a busy week of retail earnings on Tuesday before the market opens, which will give investors a look at how much consumers are spending. Home Depot also reports before the market opens, while Target will post results on Wednesday.

A slew of economic data will be released on Tuesday, including retail sales figures for October. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones are expecting sales to have jumped by 1.5% last month, compared with 0.7% in September. Industrial production numbers will also be released, as well as the NAHB housing market index survey.

On Monday afternoon President Joe Biden signed the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill into law. The package includes funding for transportation, broadband and utilities.

The major averages are coming off their first negative week in six, but stocks are still trading around all-time high levels. As Wall Street strategists look to 2022 some, including Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson, believe the picture looks muted.

“With financial conditions tightening and earnings growth slowing, the 12-month risk/reward for the broad indices looks unattractive at current prices,” he said Monday in a note to clients. “However, strong nominal GDP growth should continue to provide plenty of good investment opportunities at the stock level for active managers,” he added. His 12-month base target for the S&P 500 is 4,400, which is 6% below where the index closed on Monday.

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Stocks rise as investors eye upbeat China data, await retail sales report

Stocks gained on Monday as investors monitored upbeat economic data out of China and awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week. 

The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq each opened higher. The Dow rose with shares of Boeing (BA) leading the way higher after the aircraft-maker’s head of commercial airplanes told Bloomberg he was “hopeful” that China would resume orders of the 737 Max soon following more than two years of grounding. The company also said it booked a number of orders following the 2021 Dubai Airshow, including for two 777 Freighters with Emirates.

Stronger-than-expected economic data out of China also helped lift traders’ sentiment at the start of the week. The world’s second-largest economy saw both retail sales and industrial production unexpectedly accelerate in October over last year, suggesting the economic impact from multiple COVID-19 waves and stay-in-place restrictions was beginning to ease. However, new-home prices in China fell by about 0.25% in October versus September, marking the biggest drop in more than six years as the country’s real estate market came under continued pressure. 

Investors this week are also set to receive new data from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3% month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7% rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), Home Depot (HD) and Lowe’s (LOW) will offer additional details on the state of the consumer. 

For U.S. stocks, last week marked a brief pause after a record-setting run-up. The S&P 500 posted a weekly decline for the first time in six weeks, but remained within 0.8% of its all-time intraday high as of Friday’s close. The Dow and Nasdaq were also not far off from their own record levels. 

A hotter-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) last week tempered some of investors’ ebullience for equities, and suggested heightened inflationary pressures were stickier than previously expected. The CPI jumped by a greater-than-expected 6.2% in October compared to the prior year, marking the fastest annual rise since 1990. Meanwhile, the latest print on U.S. job openings came in higher-than-expected to a near-record high of more than 10.4 million, and a separate report showed consumer sentiment deteriorated early this month as Americans nervously eyed rising prices. 

The jump in inflation carries implications both for consumers’ personal finances and for monetary policy. 

“The surge in core inflation in October marks the start of a run of big gains, thanks to surging used auto prices, rebounding airline fares, and faster increases in housing costs,” Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note Monday. “We think core inflation will peak at almost 7% in March, which will pose a serious challenge to the Fed’s benign medium-term view. Chair [Jerome] Powell will have to convince markets that the combination of rocketing payrolls and soaring inflation does not threaten the transitory story, to which he appears still to be committed.” 

Though the Federal Reserve has maintained current inflationary pressures will be temporary, sustained increases of these elevated magnitudes could prompt a quicker-than-previously-expected hike to interest rates, which would in turn impact a variety of asset classes.

“We remain of the view that the Fed will start to hike in September, but a June hike can’t be ruled out. If labor participation shows no sign of life by the March FOMC meeting, we expect the Fed to accelerate the taper and then hike in June. This would play badly across all asset markets,” Shepherdson added. “Treasury yields still have to rise, but rising real yields due to strong non-inflationary growth are vastly preferable to rising inflation expectations. High-multiple stocks and loss-making tech would be vulnerable even in the benign scenario, but cyclicals would outperform.” 

9:52 a.m. ET: Empire Manufacturing index rebounds in November to top expectations

The regional Empire Manufacturing index for New York state jumped far more than expected in November after sliding in October, with a pick-up in employment at goods-producing firms helping buoy results.

The broadest business activity index for the region rose to 30.9 in November from 19.8 in October, exceeding estimates for 22.0, according to Bloomberg data. 

Beneath the headline index, employment grew at its fastest pace on record and the average workweek rose, according to the survey. However, in a sign of persistent supply-related disruptions and inflationary pressures, unfilled orders increased, and an index tracking prices paid held near a record high.

9:37 a.m. ET: Oatly shares slide by 20% after missing Q3 sales, cutting forecast

Oatly (OTLY) slumped by 20% Monday morning after posting third-quarter sales that sharply missed estimates and cutting its guidance for the year, as supply-chain and virus-related disruptions weighed on the oat milk-maker’s results. 

Revenue came in at $171.1 million in the third quarter, falling short of expectations for $185.7 million, based on Bloomberg data. The company now also sees revenue coming in at more than $635 million for the year, or down from its previous forecast for more than $690 million. 

“In EMEA, we are starting to build supply to meet consumer demand, but the pace at which we expected to increase revenue in new and existing retailers and to open new markets is slower than we anticipated as we navigate a dynamic COVID operating environment,” Oatly said in its earnings report. “We believe this is primarily a timing issue and in the first half of 2022, we expect to have an increased share of shelf space at retail given our strong velocities and current supply levels.” 

“In the Americas, we are pleased with the weekly production output improvements at our Ogden, Utah facility to-date in the fourth quarter, as we navigate a challenging supply chain environment,” the company added. “Finally, in Asia strict public health measures remain in effect due to an increase in cases of the COVID-19 Delta-variant. We are closely monitoring the situation and remain focused on the health and safety of our team.” 

9:30 a.m. ET: Stocks kick off the week in trading on a high note

Here’s where markets were trading after the opening bell on Monday:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): 4,692.44, +9.59 (+0.2%)

  • Dow (^DJI): 36,128.83, +28.52 (+0.08%)

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): 15,891.14, +32.35 (+0.2%)

  • Crude (CL=F): -$1.04 (-1.29%) to $79.75 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$3.00 (-0.16%) to $1,865.50 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): -0.9 bps to yield 1.582%

7:20 a.m. ET Monday: Stock futures point to a higher open

Here’s where markets were trading Monday morning: 

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +10.5 points (+0.22%), to 4,688.75

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +102 points (+0.28%), to 36,115.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +40.75 points (+0.25%) to 16,233.50

  • Crude (CL=F): -$1.13 (-1.4%) to $79.66 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$2.30 (-0.12%) to $1,866.20 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): -2.9 bps to yield 1.555%

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 20, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter



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LV chief admits £530m deal could land him big payday as members await chance to vote on takeover

LV chief admits £530m deal could land him big payday as members await the chance to vote on controversial takeover

  • Mark Hartigan, 58, is expected to remain in the top role if sold to Bain Capital
  • The takeover has come under attack from political figures like Lord Heseltine
  • The tie-up would give its 1.2 million members about £100 each 










The boss of LV has admitted he could be in line for a bumper payday if he stays on after Bain Capital’s £530 million takeover.

Mark Hartigan, 58, is expected to remain in the top role if the mutual insurer is sold to the US private equity giant, and could earn millions through lucrative long-term bonus plans that private equity groups typically hand their staff.

Bain’s takeover has come under fierce attack from political figures such as Lord Heseltine and Ed Miliband, as well as the City and industry figures.

Mark Hartigan, 58, is expected to remain in the top role if the mutual insurer LV is sold to the US private equity giant, and could earn millions through lucrative long-term bonus plans that private equity groups typically hand their staff

Members must still vote on the controversial tie-up, which would give its 1.2 million members only about £100 each.

If Bain buys the business after winning approval from financial regulators and LV’s members, it will demutualise the insurer, ditching its proud history of putting customers first.

Mr Hartigan said: ‘Most private equity owners give their management [teams] an incentive plan to align long-term success with the success of the management team.

‘I’m not going to deny that should I stay in Bain in the future, they might try to do that for LV. But any detail of that is certainly not a driver [for the deal].’ He added: ‘I’m here to serve. That’s what I’m doing.’

Matt Popoli, the Bain executive running the LV bid, said there was no ‘big pot of gold’ waiting for Mr Hartigan.

He added: ‘In terms of Mark’s potential future package, nothing is finalised. If Mark does sign a new contract, we expect it will be very similar to his previous contract.’ Mr Hartigan was paid £1.2 million last year.

The Daily Mail is campaigning to save LV from a private equity takeover, after the firms snapped up 123 businesses worth £36 billion during the pandemic.

It emerged this weekend that rival mutual insurer Royal London has put forward a controversial proposal to Bain to split LV between the two companies.

Royal London chief executive Barry O’Dwyer has approached Mr Hartigan with what he describes as an ‘enhanced’ deal that would ‘be more attractive’ to the mutual’s membership.

The Daily Mail is campaigning to save LV from a private equity takeover, after the firms snapped up 123 businesses worth £36 billion during the pandemic

Bain’s deal was chosen out of 12 potential bids for LV, which was founded in 1843 in Liverpool. LV insists Bain’s offer was the best option for policyholders, who will vote on the deal on December 10.

Mr O’Dwyer suggested setting up three-way discussions between the companies, The Mail on Sunday revealed. And he said the talks would be worth having because there was a risk that members could reject Bain’s offer.

It is thought Royal London wants to buy LV’s with-profits policies, while it is keen for Bain to take on the LV brand as a separate company aimed at attracting new customers.

About 297,000 of LV’s 1.2 million policyholders have with-profits policies. They are the legal owners of the business.

In addition to the £100 they would each receive under the deal, with-profits members would also receive the equivalent of 0.1 per cent of the value of their policy for every year they have held it – about £50 for most members. 

Founder’s relatives say ‘no’ 

Descendants of LV’s founder said it was wrong to sell the historic firm to ‘greedy’ private equity sharks.

They said it will be a ‘terrible shame’ if the company was sold, and called on policyholders to block the deal.

Members have under four weeks to vote on a proposed takeover of LV by US venture capital firm Bain Capital.

Liverpool Victoria Friendly Society was founded in 1843 by William Fenton, a 36-year-old customs officer, to help Liverpool’s poor bury their loved ones with pride.

Environmental health worker Grant Fenton-Jones, 51, of Clacton in Essex, is Mr Fenton’s great-great-great-grandson. He said: ‘It’s a long-established British company.

‘I am proud to be a part of the family who set up Liverpool Victoria and I’d hate to see it end up being owned by an American firm who no doubt would not have the same values.’

Another in a different branch of the family, who asked not to be named, said: ‘My father was a manager for Liverpool Victoria Friendly Society as was his father before him. I think it’s a terrible shame that something that’s been with the members for so long is being taken over.’

 

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Investors await Evergrande’s overdue $148 mln payment as debt woes grow

A man rides an electric bicycle past the construction site of Guangzhou Evergrande Soccer Stadium, a new stadium for Guangzhou FC developed by China Evergrande Group, in Guangzhou, Guangdong province, China September 26, 2021. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo

  • Evergrande due to pay $148 mln bond coupon on Wednesday
  • Shares of developer Fantasia plunge 50% after missing payment
  • S&P downgrades Shimao Group to “BB+” from “BBB-“

SHANGHAI/HONG KONG, Nov 10 (Reuters) – Cash-strapped China Evergrande Group (3333.HK) faced a Wednesday deadline for making an offshore bond payment, while a credit rating downgrade on another property firm added to mounting concerns about a liquidity squeeze in the sector.

Evergrande, the world’s most indebted developer, has been stumbling from deadline to deadline in recent weeks as it grapples with more than $300 billion in liabilities, $19 billion of which are international market bonds.

The company has not defaulted on any of its offshore debt obligations, but another overdue $148 million bond payment must be made on Wednesday. There was no word on that payment as of early afternoon Asia time.

The developer, which also has coupon payments totalling more than $255 million on its June 2023 and 2025 bonds on Dec. 28, declined to comment when contacted by Reuters about its Wednesday payment deadline. read more

China’s property woes rattled global markets in September and October. There was a brief lull in mid-October after Beijing tried to reassure markets the crisis would not be allowed to spiral out of control. read more

But concerns have resurfaced, with the U.S. Federal Reserve warning on Tuesday that China’s troubled property sector could pose global risks.

More developers are seeing their credit ratings slashed on their worsening financial profiles.

S&P Global Ratings said on Wednesday it had downgraded property developer Shimao Group Holdings’ (0813.HK) rating to “BB+” from “BBB-” over concerns that tough business conditions would hinder the company’s efforts to reduce debts.

S&P considers a rating under “BBB-” to be speculative grade.

Worries over the potential fallout from Evergrande have also roiled China’s property sector in recent days, slamming the bonds of real estate companies amid worries the crisis could spread to other markets and sectors.

Shares of developer Fantasia Holdings (1777.HK) plunged 50% on Wednesday after it said there is no guarantee it will be able to meet its other financial obligations following a missed payment of $205.7 million that was due Oct. 4.

FINANCING OPTIONS

Underlining the liquidity squeeze, some real estate firms disclosed plans to issue debt in the inter-bank market at a meeting with China’s inter-bank bond market regulator, the Securities Times reported on Wednesday. read more

In the near future, real estate companies will issue bonds in the open market for financing, while banks and other institutional investors will assist via bond investment, said the paper.

Debt-laden developers including Evergrande and peer Kaisa Group (1638.HK) have also been looking to raise cash to repay their many creditors by selling some of their property and other business assets.

Beijing has been prodding government-owned firms and state-backed property developers to purchase some of Evergrande’s assets to try to control the fall. read more

Rising concerns about the developers’ woes spreading to other sectors was visible on Wednesday as the spread, or risk premium, between lower risk, investment grade Chinese firms and U.S. Treasuries widened to a more than five-month high. (.MERACCG)

Despite the debt woes of Evergrande, its electric vehicles (EV) unit is pushing ahead with its business plan. The unit is seeking Chinese regulatory approval to sell its inaugural Hengchi 5 sport-utility vehicles. read more

China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group Ltd (0708.HK) plans to sell HK$500 million ($64 million) worth of shares to fund production of new energy cars.

Shares in Evergrande were little changed from previous close on Wednesday afternoon, while the EV unit was up 2.2%.

Founded in Guangzhou in 1996, Evergrande epitomised a freewheeling era of borrowing and building. But that business model has been scuttled by hundreds of new rules designed to curb developers’ debt frenzy and promote affordable housing.

Any prospect of Evergrande’s demise raises questions over more than 1,300 real estate projects it has in some 280 cities.

Reporting by Andrew Galbraith in Shanghai and Clare Jim in Hong Kong; Writing by Sumeet Chatterjee and Ira Iosebashvili; Editing by Stephen Coates and Lincoln Feast.

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Joey Gallo hit by pitch against Toronto Blue Jays; New York Yankees await results of X-rays

New York Yankees slugger Joey Gallo is set to undergo X-rays after he was hit by a pitch in the left hand/forearm area in Wednesday night’s 6-5 loss to the Blue Jays in Toronto.

Gallo was unable to bat in the ninth inning after being hit by a Tim Mayza pitch in the seventh.

“He’s getting X-rays on everything, and we’ll see what we have when we get that,” manager Aaron Boone said. “He couldn’t hit, and we took him out of the game, so we’ll see what we have now that we’ll have X-rays, and we’ll see what happens overnight.”

Boone also said Luke Voit was getting treatment after tweaking his knee but expects him to be OK. Voit appeared to hurt himself running to first after striking out later in the inning.

Voit had been dealing with a left knee bone bruise.

“On his knee, that bugs him sometimes, he just got slammed on it,” Boone said. “Hopefully, he should be OK. He gets that sometimes. Tonight, when he stopped, he got bit on it a bit. He got some treatment, and we’ll see what we have tomorrow. I’m hoping he’s OK.”

Boston, which beat Baltimore, closed within one game of the wild-card-leading Yankees, and Toronto is one game back of the Red Sox. Seattle, which began the day 2½ games behind the Yankees, hosted Oakland in a late game.

Information from ESPN’s Marly Rivera was used in this report.

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Exclusive: Echoes, uncertainty as Afghan pilots await U.S. help in Tajikistan

A member of the Afghan air force marshals in an A-29 Super Tucano at Hamid Karzai International Airport near Kabul, Afghanistan, January 15, 2016. Picture taken January 15, 2016. To match Special Report USA-AFGHANISTAN/PILOTS U.S. Air Force/Tech. Sgt. Nathan Lipscomb/Handout via REUTERS/File Photo

WASHINGTON, Sept 22 (Reuters) – A U.S.-trained Afghan pilot was talking to Reuters on a smuggled cellphone from Tajikistan, where he is being held, when something strange happened – his voice started looping, repeating everything he had just said, word for word.

His fiancee, an American nurse in Florida, was on the line too and started to panic. She shouted his name, but his words kept cycling back.

“I was freaked out,” she said, speaking on condition of anonymity to protect him. “The worst things came to my mind.”

Whatever the reason for the telephone glitch, which only happened once, it added to a deep sense of anxiety for the couple. It also came amid growing feelings of impatience and uncertainty among the Afghan pilots and personnel who have been held by the government in Tajikistan since fleeing there on Aug. 15.

There are 143 Afghans detained at a sanatorium in a mountainous, rural area outside of the Tajik capital, Dushanbe, waiting and hoping for over a month for transfer by the United States.

After flying there with 16 aircraft as their military’s ground forces crumbled before the advancing Taliban, the Afghans say they had their phones taken away. They were initially housed in a university dormitory before being moved on Sept. 1.

Contact with family is extremely limited. Although they appear to be held in humane conditions, they are on edge, uncertain about the future.

“We don’t know about our destination. … We’re all worried about that,” the pilot said.

The pilots want to join the other Afghan military personnel being processed for U.S. visas in places like Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Germany.

“Whenever we ask the government of Tajikistan, they just answer: ‘Please wait,'” said a second pilot, speaking separately on condition of anonymity.

Among the military personnel at the facility are two Afghan women, including a pilot who is eight months pregnant, the second pilot told Reuters.

Such a pregnancy would be an important reason to move them quickly, said David Hicks, a retired U.S. brigadier general who is helping lead a charity called Operation Sacred Promise working to evacuate and resettle Afghans.

There are also 13 Afghan personnel in Dushanbe, enjoying much more relaxed conditions. Several of those pilots told Reuters they flew separately into the country on Aug. 15 and are staying in a government building. Speaking in a video call, they said they have not had contact with the Afghans at the sanatorium.

The pilots could not explain why the two groups were being kept apart.

The U.S. State Department declined comment on the pilots in Tajikistan. Tajikistan’s Foreign Ministry did not respond to a request for comment.

The U.S.-trained Afghan pilots in Tajikistan are the last major group of Afghan air force personnel abroad still in limbo after flying dozens of advanced aircraft across the Afghan border to that country and Uzbekistan in the final moments of the war.

Earlier in September, a U.S.-brokered deal allowed a larger group of Afghan pilots and other military personnel to be flown out of Uzbekistan. Some of the English-speaking pilots there had feared they could be sent back by the Uzbeks to Taliban-ruled Afghanistan and killed for inflicting so many Taliban casualties during the war.

‘NO DOMESTIC URGENCY’

Afghanistan’s new rulers have said they will invite former military personnel to join the country’s revamped security forces and that they will come to no harm.

That offer rings hollow to Afghan pilots who spoke with Reuters. Even before the Taliban takeover, the U.S.-trained, English-speaking pilots had become their prime targets. Taliban fighters tracked them down and assassinated them off-base.

The pilots did not express concern the Tajiks will send this group back to the Taliban. But after more than a month, pilots and their supporters complain about a lack of urgency by authorities to move the group along.

Reuters has learned that U.S. officials have started collecting biometric information to confirm the identities of members of the group, in a sign that help could soon be on the way. A similar effort in Uzbekistan preceded those pilots’ transfer from there.

People close to the pilots said the United States had collected biometric data on about two-thirds of the group so far.

Paul Stronski, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, thinks Tajikistan’s president, Emomali Rahmon, may be proud of his role receiving the pilots as the Taliban swept to power.

Tajikistan, which shares a porous, 835-mile (1,345-km) border with Afghanistan, has broken from its more conciliatory neighbors and been outspoken about its concerns over the new Taliban government in Afghanistan.

“The Tajik government is probably playing this to try to get some benefit,” Stronski said. “There’s no domestic urgency, and it probably suits Rahmon to sort of say: ‘We’re housing these people.'”

About a quarter of Afghanistan’s population are believed to be ethnic Tajiks, although no recent census data exists. But they and other ethnic minorities are not represented in the Taliban’s interim government, a point Rahmon has made publicly.

“Foisting any political system on Kabul without regard for the voice of the Afghan people, which consists of diverse ethnicities, may lead to seriously negative consequences,” Rahmon was quoted by Russia’s TASS news agency as saying last week.

Tajikistan says it has given asylum to more than 3,000 refugee families from Afghanistan, a total of 15,000 people, in the past 15 years.

A Tajik government source familiar with the situation blamed delays by the United States and Canada to issue visas.

NO PHONES, FOR SAFETY’S SAKE

When the Tajik government confiscated the Afghans’ phones, it told the pilots it was for their safety, explaining the Taliban could trace their signal when they called home.

“You are not allowed to use your phone for the security of your family,” a Tajik official said, recounted the second pilot.

The Tajik government source also said the Afghans’ phones were taken from them so that their exact location could not be tracked.

But being largely cut off from communications has taken a psychological toll. The pilots are fearful their families in Afghanistan could suffer Taliban reprisals and, with the war lost, they have no income to support them.

The second pilot recounts seeing people pacing around outside the sanatorium in the middle of the night.

“Whenever I ask someone why … they (say): ‘I’m not relaxed, I’m thinking about my family,'” he said.

The American nurse, who is a dual U.S.-Afghan national, and her fiance have only spoken infrequently. After the technical glitch, where the pilot’s voice started looping, they took a break from calls for a while.

The nurse sounded exhausted and frustrated by the lack of progress after calling offices of U.S. lawmakers and government officials.

“I have reached out to literally anyone and everyone I could,” she said. “No one has been able to help.”

Reporting by Phil Stewart; Additional reporting by Nazarali Pirnazarov in Dushanbe; Editing by Mary Milliken and Peter Cooney

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Dow Jones Futures, Market Rally Await Jobs Report; Tesla Cybertruck Delayed To Late 2022

Dow Jones futures rose slightly Friday morning, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures, with the August jobs report looming. The Tesla Cybertruck reportedly will be delayed until late 2022.

The stock market rally came off intraday highs for a second straight session Thursday. But leading stocks fared well, with Mercado Libre (MELI) and Denbury stock among breakouts. DocuSign (DOCU), Broadcom (AVGO), MongoDB (MDB) and PagerDuty (PD) reported earnings after the close. DOCU stock, Broadcom, MongoDB all closed just above or below buy points, but diverged in overnight trade.




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Meanwhile, FUBO stock popped overnight as Arizona OK’d wagering via mobile devices. FuboTV (FUBO) is a sports-streaming specialist but the FUBO stock valuation largely reflects sports-betting ambitions.

Forte Biosciences (FRBX) said its eczema drug failed a Phase 2 study. FRBX stock crashed more than 80%.

Tesla Cybertruck Delayed To Late 2022

At an all-hands company meeting, Tesla CEO Elon Musk reportedly said that the Cybertruck won’t begin production until late 2022, with volume production not likely until late 2023. Only a few weeks ago, Tesla (TSLA) finally admitted that the Cybertruck wouldn’t be in production this year.

The extended Cybertruck delay suggests the 4680 battery cells are still far off from mass production. The 4680 battery cells, assuming they achieve promised benefits, are key to making the Cybertruck, Semi and Roadster viable. Musk said this week that the long-delayed Roadster might come in 2023.

In the meantime, the all-electric Rivian R1T pickup is set to begin deliveries this month, with the General Motors (GM) Hummer late this year. The Ford (F) F-150 Lightning follows in the spring of 2022.

Tesla stock was little changed before the open, holding just above a 730 aggressive buy point.

Leaders Lead With Indexes Sluggish

The major indexes closed with slim gains Thursday, as tech titans such as Facebook (FB) and Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL) retreated. But small caps and especially leading stocks had a solid performance.

Signet Jewelers (SIG), Denbury (DEN), Netflix (NFLX), Shopify (SHOP), Mercado Libre (MELI), Unity Software (U) and Palantir (PLTR) were among stocks flashing buy signals.

Denbury, Mercado Libre and SIG stock broke past traditional buy points and closed above them, while PLTR stock nudged higher in a buy zone. Unity stock cleared a short consolidation above a bottoming base. NFLX stock and Shopify cleared entries Thursday morning but faded with the market.

Many other leading stocks continued to run higher, outpacing the sluggish overall action.

Unity Software, DocuSign and MELI stock are on IBD Leaderboard. SHOP stock is on SwingTrader. Denbury was the IBD Stock Of The Day.

The video embedded in this article reviews Thursday’s market action and analyzes Mercado Libre, Unity Software and DEN stock.

Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures were 0.15% above fair value. S&P 500 futures climbed 0.2% and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.1%.

Dow Jones futures may be relatively quiet until the August jobs report at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists expect the jobs report to show nonfarm payrolls rose by 740,000, with the jobless rate falling to 5.2%. The July jobs report showed a gain of 943,000, a figure that will almost certainly be revised with the August employment figures.

Remember that overnight action in Dow futures and elsewhere doesn’t necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular stock market session.


Join IBD experts as they analyze actionable stocks in the stock market rally on IBD Live


Stock Market Rally Thursday

The stock market rally retreated from Thursday’s best levels but the major indexes all closed with slim gains.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4% in Thursday’s stock market trading. The S&P 500 index gained 0.3%. The Nasdaq composite edged up 0.1%, while the big-cap Nasdaq 100 lost a fraction, as Facebook stock fell 1.8% and Google 1.3%. The small-cap Russell 2000 rose 0.7%.

U.S. crude oil futures jumped 2% to $69.99 a barrel. Oil prices topped $70 intraday amid declining crude inventories and continued production losses from Hurricane Ida.

Among the best ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) popped 1.6%, hitting a record high. The Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) rallied 1.3%.  The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) edged down 0.1%. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) rose 0.2%.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) and Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) advanced 1%. U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) ascended 0.6%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) edged up 0.3%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) climbed 2.5% and the Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) nudged 0.3% higher.

Reflecting more-speculative story stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) rose 0.9% and ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) 1%.


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Key Earnings

DocuSign earnings beat views with the e-signature software leader also guiding modestly higher. DOCU stock fell a fraction early Friday. Shares dipped 0.9% on Thursday to 294.57, just above the 50-day line and an old 290.33 buy point. DocuSign stock could offer an early entry above last Monday’s high of 308.74, not far from the official buy point of 310.61 from a new flat base.

Broadcom earnings topped views, while the chip-and-software giant guided slightly higher. AVGO stock was steady in extended trade. Shares dipped 0.3% on Thursday to 491.90, just below a 495.24 buy point from a long, relatively shallow consolidation.

MongoDB reported a smaller-than-expected loss along with strong revenue and guidance. MDB stock surged 15% overnight. Shares rose 2.1% to 401.65 on Thursday. That was in range from a 393.73 cup-with-handle buy point, according to MarketSmith.

PagerDuty also posted a better-than-expected adjusted loss while beating on revenue. PD stock shot up 15% in extended action, signaling a breakout. PagerDuty stock has a bottoming base with a 46.57 buy point, within a much-larger consolidation. Investors could have used a downward-sloping trend line — either from the February high or late June short-term peak — for an early PD stock entry near the 200-day line, but that would have been aggressive heading into earnings. PagerDuty stock rose 1.2% to 44.30 on Thursday.

FuboTV didn’t report earnings, but did earn key regulatory approval for sports betting in Arizona. FUBO stock popped 4% overnight. That’s moving toward a 35.19 bottoming-base buy point. Investors could use 33.78 as an early entry into FUBO stock.

Market Rally Analysis

For a second straight session, the stock market rally fizzled from intraday highs. While fading into the close isn’t ideal action, a spell of sideways action is probably healthy overall. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are right at record levels.

and Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL) retreated from record highs Thursday, while other tech titans paused. That helped keep the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 from getting extended, leaving leading stocks more room to run.

And that’s what leaders are doing overall with MELI stock, Denbury and Signet breaking out Thursday. The FFTY ETF hit a new high Thursday. ARKK has reclaimed key moving averages this week as highly valued growth perks up.

Market breadth continues to improve, with the small-cap Russell 2000 now moving toward all-time highs.

Big-cap techs are acting well overall. Some chips and software stocks are doing well. So are several hot IPOs and speculative names, as well as Long-Term Leaders.

Meanwhile, steel stocks are finding support, energy stocks are reviving while various other commodity-related plays are shoring up.


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What To Do Now

With new buying opportunities, investors could continue to be boosting exposure. However, they may not want to ramp up buying now, especially compared to the late August bounce from key support.

Keep working on your watchlists. It’s the best way to identify potential leaders and take advantage of early entries, which has been a more-successful strategy in the current choppy market.

Read The Big Picture every day to stay in sync with the market direction and leading stocks and sectors.

Please follow Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and more.

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Big Economic Challenges Await Biden and the Fed This Fall

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy is heading toward an increasingly uncertain autumn as a surge in the Delta variant of the coronavirus coincides with the expiration of expanded unemployment benefits for millions of people, complicating what was supposed to be a return to normal as a wave of workers re-entered the labor market.

That dynamic is creating an unexpected challenge for the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve in managing what has been a fairly swift recovery from a recession. For months, officials at the White House and the central bank have pointed toward the fall as a potential turning point for an economy that is struggling to fully shake off the effects of the pandemic — particularly in the job market, which remains millions of positions below prepandemic levels.

The widespread availability of Covid-19 vaccines, the reopening of schools and the expiration of enhanced jobless benefits have been seen as a potent cocktail that should prod workers off the sidelines and into the millions of jobs that employers say they are having trouble filling.

But that optimistic outlook might be imperiled by the resurgent virus and policymakers’ response to it. Big companies are already delaying return-to-office plans, an early and visible sign that life may not return to normal as rapidly as expected. At the same time, long-running federal supports for people hurt by the pandemic are going away, including a moratorium on evictions, which ended on Saturday, and an extra $300 per week for unemployed workers. That benefit expires on Sept. 6, and some states have moved to end it sooner.

Federal lawmakers are also planning to repurpose more than $200 billion worth of Covid relief to help pay for a $1 trillion infrastructure plan. An infrastructure bill moving through the Senate would rescind previously allocated virus funds for colleges and universities along with unused unemployment benefits and airline aid. It would also claw back unspent funds from some expired small-business programs to help offset the plan’s $550 billion in new spending. Democratic leaders have been adamant that the Senate will vote on the infrastructure bill before leaving Washington for a scheduled August recess.

White House economists have said they see no need yet to consider major new measures to bolster the recovery. After months of blockbuster economic growth, falling unemployment numbers, and complaints from business leaders and Republicans that government support is preventing workers from taking jobs, administration officials remain locked into their current policy stance despite renewed risks.

Administration officials have said President Biden is not pushing to extend the extra $300 per week for jobless people. It’s unclear whether the administration will try to extend a program that expanded unemployment benefits to workers who would not typically qualify for them, including the self-employed, gig workers and part-timers.

Officials say the $1.9 trillion economic aid package that Mr. Biden signed in March, and that caused forecasters to lift their estimates for growth this year, has given the economy enough cushion to endure another surge from the virus. Mr. Biden has also vowed that the virus will not lead to new “lockdowns, shutdowns, school closures and disruptions” like last year’s.

“We are not going back to that,” he said last week.

White House advisers say the most important thing the president can do for the economy is continue to make the case for more people to get vaccinated. On Thursday, Mr. Biden asked states to use money from the March stimulus package to pay $100 to every newly vaccinated person and said the government would reimburse employers who gave workers time off to be vaccinated or take others to get shots.

“We have held the view from the beginning that addressing the pandemic and recovering the economy were inextricably linked. That continues to be true,” Brian Deese, who heads Mr. Biden’s National Economic Council, said in an interview. “But because of the progress that we have made in addressing the pandemic and in putting in place both historic and durable economic policy supports, we have a set of tools right now to address both of these challenges.”

The Fed is taking an optimistic but wait-and-see approach. Central bankers voted at their July meeting to leave emergency support in place for now. They gave no precise date for when they may begin to reduce their help for the economy, though they are beginning to draw up a plan for paring back support.

Much like their counterparts at the White House, officials at the Fed are counting on solid economic data this autumn. Jerome H. Powell, the Fed chair, said last week that he expected strong labor market progress in the months ahead, partly because virus fears and child care issues should subside.

“There’s also been very generous unemployment benefits, which are now rolling off. They’ll be fully rolled off in a couple of months,” Mr. Powell said during a news conference after the Fed’s July meeting. “All of those factors should wane, and because of that we should see strong job creation moving forward.”

Mr. Biden told a CNN forum in Ohio on July 21 that he still sees no evidence that the supplemental benefits have had a “serious impact” on hiring. But even if they had, he said, they would soon run their course.

“We’re ending all those things that are the things keeping people back from going back to work,” he said.

That stance carries some risk. While the economy grew faster in the first half of this year than it had in decades, the job market is still missing 6.8 million positions from its February 2020 level, and while policymakers are optimistic, it is not clear how quickly those jobs will come back. The economy has never reopened from a pandemic before, and nobody knows to what degree unemployment insurance is dissuading workers.

“Seven to nine million Americans should be working right now if the pandemic had never happened, so that’s a lot of Americans that we need to put back to work,” Neel Kashkari, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, said on CBS’s “Face the Nation” on Sunday. “But is it six months, or is it two years? I’m not sure.”

If it takes workers more time to go back into jobs, it could make for a much slower economic recovery than either the Fed or the White House is banking on. Workers stuck on the sidelines without enhanced benefits might pull back on spending, hurting demand and slowing the rapid rebound that has been underway in recent months.

So far, administration economists remain heartened by the economic data. Officials said last week that they saw no evidence yet of the Delta variant’s hurting economic activity, and that they were hopeful that the more than 160 million Americans who were vaccinated would not pull back spending even if the variant continued to spread — making this wave of the virus less economically damaging than past ones.

And as government spending support for the economy slows down, the Fed is still keeping money cheap to borrow, which should continue to pad economic growth.

Fed officials have said they want to see more proof of the labor market’s healing before they slow their monthly bond purchases, which will be their first step toward a more normal policy setting.

Mr. Powell said at his news conference last week that “we’re some way away from having had substantial further progress toward the maximum employment goal.”

“I would want to see some strong job numbers,” he added.

In the text of a speech on Friday, Lael Brainard, an influential Fed governor, said she wanted to see September economic data to assess whether the labor market was strong enough for the Fed to begin dialing back support, which suggests she would not favor signaling a start to the slowdown until later this fall. But her colleague Christopher J. Waller said in a CNBC interview on Monday that he would probably prefer to begin pulling back bond purchases quickly, if jobs data hold up, perhaps as soon as October.

Increases in interest rates — the Fed’s more traditional, and more potent, tool — remain farther away. Most Fed officials in June projected that they would not lift their federal funds rate until 2023 at earliest, because they would like the labor market to return to full strength first.

How rapidly the economy can achieve that goal is an open question. Employers regularly complain about the enhanced benefits, but even they have sent mixed messages on whether those are the main driver keeping labor at bay.

“Many contacts were optimistic that labor availability would improve in the fall as schools restart and enhanced unemployment benefits end,” the Atlanta Fed’s qualitative report on business conditions found in June. “However, there were several who do not expect labor supply to improve for six to nine months.”

Peter Ganong, an economist at the University of Chicago, said that if the pattern that he and his fellow researchers had seen in employment data held, he would not expect a wave of workers to jump back into jobs just because supplemental benefits expired.

“So far, we see small employment differences even when vaccines are becoming available,” he said. Mr. Ganong and his co-authors compared the job-finding rates of people whose wages were more fully replaced by supplemental benefits and people whose wages were less fully replaced. They found small and relatively steady differences, even as the economy reopened.

But Mr. Ganong cautioned that his research tracked the supplemental insurance. For many workers, unemployment benefits could come to an end altogether as extensions lapse, which may have a bigger effect.

There is plenty of room for labor market progress. People in their prime working years are participating in the labor market by working or searching for jobs at much lower rates than before the pandemic — and that metric has made little progress in recent months.

“Generally speaking, Americans want to work, and they’ll find their way into the jobs that they want,” Mr. Powell said last week. “It may take some time, though.”

Alan Rappeport contributed reporting.



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Dow Jones Futures Await Fed Chief Powell As Inflation Report Hits Market Rally; Apple, Microsoft Lead But ARK ETFs Offer Warning

Dow Jones futures were little changed late Tuesday, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures. The stock market rally retreated modestly amid a hot inflation report even as Apple stock and Microsoft (MSFT) continued to advance. Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell will speak during Wednesday’s session.




X



Upwork (UPWK) broke out while Mastercard (MA) made a bullish move, offering an early entry.

Before the open, Bank of America (BA), Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo (WFC) report earnings, along with Delta Air Lines (DAL).

The trio of bank earnings follow Tuesday results from Dow Jones giants JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS). Both JPMorgan and Goldman earnings beat views, despite lower fixed-income trading revenue. JPMorgan released $3 billion from loan loss reserves, boosting profits. Meanwhile, the June consumer price indexes boosted the 10-year Treasury yield.

Goldman stock fell 1.2% and JPMorgan 1.5%. BAC stock and Wells Fargo lost about 2% while Citigroup slid 1.5%.

Meanwhile, Delta stock slumped 3.55%. Shares closed below their 200-day line Tuesday as fears and restrictions related to the Delta Covid variant hit airlines, hotels and other travel-related stocks.

Overnight, DAL stock rose a fraction. Late Tuesday, American Airlines (AAL) said Q2 preliminary revenue was slightly above views. AAL stock rose 1% in extended trade after slumping 3.9% on Tuesday.

The stock market rally continues to move along nicely. However, the Nasdaq composite is starting to looking extended. The big-cap Nasdaq 100, which includes Apple (AAPL), Microsoft stock, Amazon.com (AMZN), Facebook (FB) and Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL), is increasingly extended. Meanwhile, the breadth of the advance is looking somewhat weaker. Highly valued growth names in particular have come under pressure in July, as reflected in some ARK Invest ETFs. Tesla (TSLA), which has held up better than many ARK-type stocks, fell back Tuesday.

UPWK stock, Tesla, MSFT and Google are on IBD Leaderboard. Microsoft and Google stock are on IBD Long-Term Leaders. Mastercard stock is on SwingTrader.


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Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures were just above fair value. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures edged higher.

Fed chief Jerome Powell testifies before the House Financial Services Committee at 12 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Powell will speak before the Senate Banking Committee on Thursday. Investors will listen for any clues on whether policymakers will begin discussing scaling back asset purchases at the July Fed meeting, with inflation picking up steam. But Powell may drop few new hints on monetary policy

Remember that overnight action in Dow futures and elsewhere doesn’t necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular stock market session.


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Stock Market Rally

The stock market rally gave up modest losses after the Nasdaq and S&P 500 index hit record highs intraday.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose 5 basis points to 1.415%, following a stronger-than-expected CPI report. Consumer inflation hit 5.4% in June, with core inflation at 4.5%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3% in Tuesday’s stock market trading, weighed down by JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and Boeing (BA). The S&P 500 index lost 0.35%. The Nasdaq composite gave up 0.4%, but the big-cap Nasdaq 100 was flat. The Russell 2000 sank 1.9%, back below the 50-day line, as banks struggled and AMC Entertainment (AMC), a big weight in the small-cap index, slumped 7.7%.

Apple stock rose 0.8% and Microsoft 1.3%, boosting the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

Tesla stock, the sixth-largest Nasdaq weight, fell 2.5%, but that’s after rising for three straight sessions following a 50-day/200-day line test. TSLA stock reversed lower Tuesday after coming close to a 700.10 aggressive entry.

Among the best ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) dipped 0.3%, while the Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) was off 0.6%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) edged down less than 0.1%, with MSFT stock a major component. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) gave up 0.2%.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) retreated 2.3% and Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) 1.5%. U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) gave up 2.6%, with Delta stock a component. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) pulled back 2.2%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) slipped 0.8%, even as crude oil rallied. The Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF), which includes JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Bank of America and other banking giants, gave up 1.1%. The SPDR Regional Bank ETF (KRE), slumped 2.2%.

ARK ETFs Slump

Reflecting more-speculative story stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) skidded 2%. ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) fell 2.4%, below its 200-day line. Both have been trending lower since the tail end of June after running up sharply from mid-May. Tesla stock is the No. 1 holding across ARK Invest’s ETFs.

After such big run-ups, it’s not surprising that the stocks that make up ARK ETFs are taking a breather. Rising Treasury yields are a headwind for highly valued growth stocks, as investors discount future growth more. But the 10-year Treasury yield fell sharply to start July.

Upwork Stock

UPWK stock jumped as high as 64.49, clearing a 61.31 cup-with-handle buy point, according to MarketSmith analysis. However, with the market rally retreating Tuesday afternoon, Upwork stock closed up 5.8% to 60.70. That’s still actionable from a downward-sloping trend line in the handle, slightly under 60. UPWK stock cleared an early entry just below 52 on June 22.

Mastercard Stock

MA stock popped 2.2% to 383.71 in strong volume. Shares continued to rebound from the 50-day/10-week lines while also crossing short-term resistance near 381. The relative strength line for Mastercard stock has been lagging for the past four months and more broadly since late August. But before then, MA stock had a long record of outperformance.

Mastercard and Verizon (VZ) on Tuesday announced a partnership to work on contactless payments at retail locations without merchants needing point-of-sale terminals. It’s not clear how long before this 5G-related offering would be available.

Market Rally Analysis

The stock market rally had modest losses Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq backing off highs.

It’s probably healthy for the Nasdaq to cool off. The tech-heavy index is 5.2% above its 50-day line, after topping 6% intraday. The Nasdaq 100 is now 6.7% above its 50-day line after trading well above 7% intraday. When the Nasdaq gets to 6% or more above the 50-day line, the odds of a pullback rise with the risks that any such pullback will be larger. However, the Nasdaq has shown it can become significantly more extended, while pullbacks sometimes are a short-lived affair.

The Nasdaq 100 continued to outperform the Nasdaq and other major indexes. Ideally, the big-tech giants would pause or pull back over several days or a few weeks. That could offer a chance for more stocks to pick up. The Nasdaq advance-decline has been lackluster, at best, even as the composite has rallied strongly over the past several weeks.

Investors may want to be cautious about adding net exposure in the near term. The stock market rally could soon hit some short-term limits, especially on the tech side. A narrowing advance, especially among highly valued growth, also makes stock picking harder. But the market so far isn’t flashing sell signals. If your stocks are still working, there’s no need to get especially defensive. But if they’re hitting your price targets or looking extended you may want to sell some into strength.

Read The Big Picture every day to stay in sync with the market direction and leading stocks and sectors.

Please follow Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and more.

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Retail Sales Fall as Americans Await New Round of Stimulus Checks: Live Updates

Credit…Mario Tama/Getty Images

Retail sales slid in February after a jump the month before, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday, putting a spotlight on the effect of stimulus money on consumer spending, which is likely to proceed in fits and starts as the economy recovers.

Sales for February dropped 3 percent, the government’s data showed. The decline was sharper than some economists had expected, but sales for the month were still higher than a year before, when the pandemic began to squeeze the economy.

The data suggests that the recovery in consumer spending is likely to be bumpy as the retail sector recovers from shifts in consumer spending and a new round of stimulus payments arrives in Americans’ bank accounts. Retailers saw largely uneven sales for the better part of last year, as consumers flocked to big-box chains and grocery stores and spent less at many apparel retailers and restaurants. Balancing out those categories is likely to take a combination of stimulus money, vaccinations, improvements in unemployment numbers and warm weather.

“It was obviously going to slow down a bit,” Mickey Chadha, a retail analyst at Moody’s Investors Service, said of the February sales.

“Going forward, the new stimulus checks that are going out as we speak are definitely going to be a positive for retail sales in March and through April,” he added. “All indications are, as the vaccines roll out through the country and the pandemic gets under control, this capacity to spend is only going to fuel further sales in retail.”

The drop in February comes after sales in January surged by 7.6 percent — a gain likely fueled by stimulus checks that were deposited at the end of last year. The increase in January, revised upward on Tuesday, benefited a broad array of retailers. Consumers spent more on goods, including at furniture sellers and department stores, as well as in restaurants, in a positive sign for an economy that has been battered by the pandemic.

Economists at Morgan Stanley had forecast a 0.7 percent gain in February sales based on the outsize gains in January, and also predicted that new stimulus money arriving in late March and early April would drive a spending surge in coming months.

President Biden signed into law a nearly $1.9 trillion relief plan last week, and direct payments of $1,400 per person are already making their way to the bank accounts of low- and middle-income Americans.

“Some of that money is bound to flow into retail — it just has to,” Mr. Chadha said.

The law, known as the American Rescue Plan, also extends $300 federal jobless benefits through Sept. 6 and provides billions of dollars to distribute coronavirus vaccines and relief for schools, states, tribal governments and small businesses struggling during the pandemic.

Credit…Patrick Kovarik/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Emmanuel Faber, the chairman and chief executive of the French consumer group Danone, abruptly left the company on Monday under pressure from activist investors. Now, shareholders of the company, which owns Evian and several yogurt brands, are fighting among themselves about it.

CtW, an adviser to union pensions with more than $250 billion in assets, sent a sharply worded letter to Artisan Partners, the firm that led the revolt over Mr. Faber’s leadership. The twist in the letter, which was reviewed by the DealBook newsletter, is that CtW owns a “substantial” number of Artisan shares — and said that the fund needed the sort of governance shake-up it pushed for at Danone.

Artisan had criticized Danone’s performance versus competitors like Nestlé and Unilever, calling for boardroom changes, including someone other than Mr. Faber becoming chairman. Mr. Faber had been chief executive since 2014 and added the chairman role in 2017. Danone said at the beginning of the month that it would search for a new chief executive, but Mr. Faber would remain as chairman. Mr. Faber shed both of those roles on Monday.

“The appointment of new leadership and better corporate governance will strengthen the company for the benefit of all stakeholders,” Artisan said in a statement on Monday welcoming Mr. Faber’s departure.

CtW says Artisan’s own policies are inconsistent with its demands for Danone. Notably, one person, Eric Colson, serves as Artisan’s chairman and chief executive. “Artisan’s call for an independent chair at Danone while maintaining the positions of C.E.O. and chair combined on its own board is inconsistent with best governance practices,” wrote Dieter Waizenegger, CtW’s executive director. He also questioned the firm’s use of “large discretionary cash bonuses” and demanded a discussion with Artisan’s management by the end of the month.

Artisan did not respond to a request for comment.

Danone, which reported $28 billion in sales in its latest fiscal year, was the first public company to adopt the French legal framework of “Entreprise à Mission,” which allows companies to take greater consideration of social and environmental issues in their business model. Some 99 percent of shareholders, but not Artisan Partners, approved the move in June last year.

The turmoil raises the question whether business models that take all stakeholders into account can survive resistance from activist investors focused primarily on shareholder returns. Danone said in a statement announcing the management changes that it “believes in the necessity” of combining “high economic performance” with Danone’s “unique model of a purpose-driven company.”

Credit…Johnson Lai/Associated Press

The Taiwanese electronics behemoth Foxconn, which is aiming to become a contract manufacturer of electric cars, is considering a plant in the United States for production of its first battery-powered vehicles, the company’s chairman said on Tuesday.

Foxconn is weighing whether to use its facility in Wisconsin or one of its plants in Mexico to make its clients’ vehicles, Young Liu, the company’s chairman and chief executive, said at a news briefing in Taipei, the Taiwanese capital.

Foxconn, best-known for making iPhones for Apple, has moved eagerly to expand its car business as the world shifts away from internal combustion engines. Last month, it signed an agreement with the California-based start-up Fisker to develop a new electric vehicle. The two companies said they would aim to start jointly producing cars in 2023, with a goal of eventually making more than 250,000 of them a year.

On Tuesday, Mr. Liu emphasized that Foxconn had not made a final decision about where to manufacture cars for Fisker or any other potential partners.

Foxconn has taken its time figuring out what to produce at its site in Wisconsin, a reflection of the complicated economics of manufacturing in the United States.

At a groundbreaking ceremony for the plant in 2018, President Donald J. Trump said it would be the “eighth wonder of the world,” as a manufacturer of flat-screen TVs. But those plans have stalled, and the company will announce what it decides to make in Wisconsin — whether electric cars or something else — before July, Mr. Liu said.

In October, Foxconn unveiled a kit of technology and tools aimed at helping automakers develop electric vehicles. It also said it was aiming to release a solid-state battery by 2024. Many companies are investing in the technology behind such batteries, which would allow electric cars to travel farther and be charged more quickly than current batteries.

“It’s just the beginning of this E.V. era,” Mr. Liu said. “We have to be ready for that.”

Credit…Doug Mills/The New York Times

President Biden plans to visit a small business in Pennsylvania on Tuesday to promote the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which contains an assortment of measures aimed at helping small employers and their workers endure the pandemic’s economic shocks.

The aid bill created a $29 billion grant fund for restaurants and set aside additional money for several relief programs run by the Small Business Administration, including a long-delayed grant program for music clubs and other live-event businesses that the agency said would start accepting applications early next month.

But the Biden administration’s most sweeping small-business initiative has been hindered by problems. Last month, the administration announced changes to the Paycheck Protection Program that were intended to get more money to freelancers, gig workers and other self-employed people.

Women and minority owners are much more likely to run tiny businesses than larger ones, and they were disproportionately shut out of the Paycheck Protection Program under earlier rules that calculated such companies’ forgivable relief loans based on the size of their annual profit. The Biden administration’s more forgiving formula lets those businesses instead use their gross income, a switch that significantly increased the money available to many applicants.

But the change was not retroactive, which has set off a backlash from the hundreds of thousands of borrowers who got much smaller loans than they would now qualify for. Many have used social media or written to government officials to vent their anger.

JagMohan Dilawri, a self-employed chauffeur in Queens, got a loan in February for $1,900. Under the new rules, he calculates that he would have been eligible for around $15,000. That wide gulf frustrated Mr. Dilawri, who has struggled to keep up on his mortgage, car loan and auto insurance payments since the pandemic took hold.

“When the Biden administration came, they said, ‘We will be fair with everyone,’” he said. “But this is unfair.”

Small Business Administration officials have said that only Congress can fix that disparity. Some key Democratic lawmakers say they are willing.

“I am aware of the situation facing these sole proprietors and am working to ensure they get the funds they are entitled to under the Biden administration’s rule changes retroactively,” said Representative Nydia M. Velázquez, a New York Democrat who leads the House Small Business Committee. “My staff and I are working with the S.B.A. and congressional Republicans to find a path forward, whether that be through agency action or additional legislation.”

Credit…Ng Han Guan/Associated Press

Signal, the encrypted chat app, had stopped functioning in China as of Tuesday, in what appeared to be a block of one of the last major foreign messaging services still available in the country, where the internet is closely controlled.

Users in China on Tuesday morning reported widely that the app had stopped working. A New York Times test of the app in Shanghai and Beijing confirmed the reports. Signal did not respond to an emailed request for comment.

The outage appeared likely to be a government-led block. The app continued to work when users in the mainland logged on to the service via a virtual private network, software that routes their connections outside the country.

Signal allows messages to be sent with “end-to-end encryption,” which blocks anyone but the sender and receiver from reading the contents. The app has soared in popularity globally in recent months a fears have grown over data harvesting from large internet companies.

The likely block further limits communication options on China’s internet, where the government has built a sophisticated system of censorship and surveillance to control speech. Over the past 15 years, Beijing has steadily winnowed down the major foreign communication tools available to regular Chinese users. Services like Google’s Gmail, Facebook’s WhatsApp and Twitter are all blocked.

In recent years, Signal had grown a modest following in China among activists, journalists, lawyers and others as China’s top leader, Xi Jinping, has presided over a series of campaigns to crack down on the media, civil society groups and online speech broadly.

For years, it had been a parlor game among its users in China to guess why Signal, long a well-known tool for secret communications, remained unblocked. One theory was that it helped the authorities find who was trying to hide from government spies because, when first downloaded, the app sends the new user a text message that they could possibly track. Still, China’s government often waits for apps to reach larger scale before banning them. Last month, the social media site Clubhouse fell afoul of the blocks after it soared in popularity.

Wall Street followed European and Asian markets higher on Tuesday, adding slightly to gains that on Monday lifted the S&P 500 to a record.

The S&P 500 rose about 0.1 percent in early trading while the Nasdaq composite gained more than half a percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 and FTSE 100 rose about 0.8 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index and the Nikkei in Japan had climbed more than half a percent earlier.

The gains came despite recent turmoil about the vaccine rollout in Europe, and growing expectations of a new round of pandemic-related restrictions there.

Several European countries, including Germany, France, Denmark and Norway, have halted the use of the AstraZeneca vaccine after reports that some people had developed fatal brain hemorrhages and blood clots after receiving the vaccine. AstraZeneca has said there is “no evidence” of a link, and the European Medicines Agency and the World Health Organization have warned that countries suspending use of the vaccine would disrupt the rollout.

But investors are in wait-and-see mode ahead of central bank meetings this week.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its policy stance and publish new economic forecasts. Analysts at BNP Paribas said the Fed chair, Jerome H. Powell, faces a tricky balancing act: acknowledging the improved economic outlook and increase in bond yields, while defending the central bank’s easy-money policies.

Investors have been focused on interest rates and inflation expectations for the past several weeks, concerned that resurgent growth in the United States might prompt the Fed to start to wind down efforts to keep rates low sooner than they’d expected. Fed officials have repeatedly said that they’re not concerned about lasting inflation, and that they have no intention of ending their efforts to keep the financial system functioning smoothly.

On Thursday, the Bank of England will announce a rate decision. Economists are not forecasting a change in policy.

A survey of investor confidence in Germany’s economic outlook rose in March, for the fourth consecutive month. The Stoxx Europe 600 index rose 0.5 percent and the DAX index of Germany’s 30 largest companies by market value gained 0.6 percent.

  • Shares in NatWest, formerly known as Royal Bank of Scotland, fell 1.8 percent after Britain’s financial regulator said it has begun criminal proceedings against the bank for failing to properly follow money laundering rules.

  • Oil prices fell. Futures of West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. crude benchmark, dropped 1.5 percent to about $64.50 a barrel.

  • Volkswagen shares spiked as much as 29 percent after the German carmaker said on Monday that it was going all in on electric cars, with plans to build battery factories in Europe and work out how to drastically cut charing times.

  • Commerzbank, one of Germany’s largest banks, said on Monday that Hans-Jörg Vetter would step down as chairman of the supervisory board for health reasons after barely six months in the position. Mr. Vetter, 68, was appointed chairman in August over the objections of shareholders led by Cerberus, the private equity firm, which owns a 5 percent stake in Commerzbank and wanted someone it thought would be more likely to force changes. The German government is the bank’s biggest shareholder with 15 percent.

  • Viewership for the Grammy Awards on CBS on Sunday fell to 8.8 million viewers, according to Nielsen, the television research firm. That’s a new low for the show and a 53 percent drop compared with last year’s show, which drew 18.7 million viewers. The previous low was 17 million viewers in 2006, when Green Day won record of the year.

  • The future for the travel industry is looking a little brighter as more Americans get vaccinated, states open up and resorts sell out, the nation’s largest airlines said Monday. Speaking at the J.P. Morgan Industrial Conference on Monday, the chief executive of Delta Air Lines, Ed Bastian, said he was starting to see “real glimmers of hope” as ticket sales accelerated. At the same conference, the United Airlines chief executive, Scott Kirby, said his company would end the month having taken in more cash from operations than it spent.

Credit…Jim Wilson/The New York Times

The Hatch is alive, albeit as a different place.

Louwenda Kachingwe used ingenuity and a bit of good fortune to take advantage of federal money and discounted leases to not only hold on but expand his Oakland, Calif., bar, Jack Nicas reports for The New York Times.

He lobbied city officials to close down a lane of traffic and then twice built a patio in its place. (Days of rain ruined the first patio.) He and staff built the takeout window, rewrote the menu, moved a projector and screen outside, and bought an outdoor sound system off Craigslist.

He said the Hatch was now better suited for a post-pandemic world, with more outdoor space and a takeout operation. It also suddenly has a few sister businesses.

Last month, he and the Hatch’s manager, Robin Easterbrook, opened Pothead, a flower and wine shop, next door to the Hatch. They also took on a third lease in the empty space next to Pothead as a place to build larger floral arrangements for events, to stage a new operation making bottled cocktails and sauces, and to sublease the storefront to some friends’ apparel business.

Such a bet in the midst of a pandemic was bold, but Mr. Kachingwe saw opportunity. He had just received his second $72,500 forgivable loan from the federal government, and his landlord was desperate. So Mr. Kachingwe negotiated a deal that gave him access to the three adjacent storefronts for $7,500 a month, or 20 percent more than what he was paying for only the Hatch before the pandemic. The landlord said they would assess the arrangement at the end of April.

Credit…Carlos Bernate for The New York Times

Over two decades, as Amazon mushroomed from a virtual bookstore into a $1.5 trillion behemoth, it forcefully — and successfully — resisted employee efforts to organize. Some workers in recent years agitated for change in Staten Island, Chicago, Sacramento and Minnesota, but the impact was negligible.

The arrival of the coronavirus last year changed that, reports David Streitfeld for The New York Times. It turned Amazon into an essential resource for millions stuck at home and redefined the company’s relationship with its warehouse workers. Like many service industry employees, they were vulnerable to the virus. As society locked down, they were also less able to simply move on if they had issues with the job.

Now Amazon faces a union vote at a warehouse in Bessemer, Ala. — the largest and most viable U.S. labor challenge in its history. Nearly 6,000 workers have until March 29 to decide whether to join the Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union. A labor victory could energize workers in other U.S. communities, where Amazon has more than 800 warehouses employing more than 500,000 people.

“This is happening in the toughest state, with the toughest company, at the toughest moment,” said Janice Fine, a professor of labor studies at Rutgers University. “If the union can prevail given those three facts, it will send a message that Amazon is organizable everywhere.”

But a unionization effort in Chester, V.a., which The Times reconstructed with documents from regulators and the machinists’ union, as well as interviews with former facilities technicians at the warehouse and union officials, offers one of the fullest pictures of what encourages Amazon workers to open the door to a union — and what techniques the company uses to slam the door and nail it shut.

The tactics that Amazon used in Chester are surfacing elsewhere:

  • The retail workers union said Amazon was trying to surveil employees in Bessemer and even changed a traffic signal to prevent organizers from approaching warehouse workers as they left the site.

  • Last month, the New York attorney general said in a lawsuit that Amazon had retaliated against employees who tried to protest its pandemic safety measures as inadequate.

It wouldn’t have been a Carl Hiaasen column if it didn’t go on the attack. In his Miami Herald farewell on Friday, Mr. Hiaasen took aim at the sorry state of local news coverage.

“Retail corruption is now a breeze,” he wrote, “since newspapers and other media can no longer afford enough reporters to cover all the key government meetings.”

Mr. Hiaasen, 68, joined The Miami Herald as a reporter in 1976 and started his column in 1985. Along the way he became a best-selling author, writing about Florida’s underbelly and environmental devastation in comic novels like “Tourist Season,” “Sick Puppy” and “Strip Tease.” Now he will no longer have a weekly venue for skewering government officials, business leaders and the various absurdities of life in the Sunshine State.

“Nobody becomes a journalist because they yearn for mass adoration,” he wrote in his final column. “Donald Trump didn’t turn the public against the mainstream media; the news business has never been popular.”

Mr. Hiaasen also used his goodbye to pay tribute to his brother, Rob, a journalist who was killed in a gunman’s rampage at The Capital Gazette in Maryland in 2018. He also thanked The Herald’s “talented, tenacious” editors and reporters.

The paper was owned by the newspaper publisher Knight Ridder when he started working there. In 2006, the McClatchy Company, a family-run newspaper chain, bought Knight Ridder for $4.5 billion. Last year Chatham Asset Management, a New Jersey hedge fund, bought McClatchy, and The Herald along with it, in a bankruptcy auction.

In an interview Monday, Mr. Hiaasen said he had lasted 45 years at The Herald because it was “a good fit.”

“I always felt privileged to be able to write for a paper that I read as a kid growing up here in Florida and to be writing in a place that I care about,” he said. “I was lucky to be at this paper as a reporter in the ’70s and ’80s, when Miami was catching fire. It was a hell of a newspaper, hell of a news town and I was lucky to be there.”

He said he planned to do more fishing but will continue writing books. “Nobody really retires as a writer,” Mr. Hiaasen said. “You keel face forward into the keyboard one day and that’s it.”

He added that the hardest thing to watch during his career was the shrinking of the local news industry, saying, “There are fewer and fewer boots on the ground to do the grunt work required to keep democracy informed.”



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