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Stocks dive on surging inflation, Ukraine risks; China markets slump

A visitor wearing protective face mask, following an outbreak of the coronavirus, walks past in front of a stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan March 2, 2020. REUTERS/Issei Kato/Files

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  • >Asian stock markets:
  • Asia follows U.S., European stocks lower
  • Hong Kong down 3.7%, Nikkei off 2.4%
  • South Korean, Australian benchmark stock indexes also down

TOKYO, March 11 (Reuters) – Asian shares extended a global slump on Friday after the fastest U.S. inflation in four decades bolstered expectations for more aggressive rate hikes, and as Chinese equity markets slumped over regulatory concerns of U.S.-listed mainland firms.

Sentiment also suffered on worries over Russia’s war against Ukraine, after talks between their foreign ministers on Thursday brought little respite in the conflict between the two countries.

“We’ve got a terrible macro backdrop (with) a serious inflation problem implying that we’re going to see much, much tighter monetary policy,” said Rob Carnell, chief economist at ING in Singapore.

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Russia’s war against Ukraine was likely to make everything from energy and metals to agricultural goods a lot more expensive, Carnell added.

“Everybody’s incomes are going to get eroded. Global growth is going to get battered. What more do you need?

“At some stage you probably will pull back much more sharply, but at the moment there’s still a bit of denial going on in markets.”

The United States, together with the Group of Seven nations and the European Union, will move on Friday to revoke Russia’s “most favored nation” status over its invasion of Ukraine, multiple people familiar with the situation told Reuters.

Stripping Russia of its favored nation status paves the way for the United States and its allies to impose tariffs on a wide range of Russian goods, which would further ratchet up pressure on an economy that is already heading into a “deep recession.” read more

By mid-afternoon, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) had skidded 2.0%, after a retreat on Wall Street spilled over on many of the region’s country benchmarks, which turned deeply red.

Sellers swarmed Hong Kong’s equity market after U.S.-listed Chinese stocks tumbled following the naming of the first Chinese firms to be potentially de-listed in the United States.

The Hang Seng index (.HIS) slumped 3.7%, with the shares of Yum China (9987.HK), and four other firms taking a beating after the companies were embroiled in an auditing dispute between Beijing and Washington. read more

The sell-off in Chinese shares came even as the country’s securities regulator said on Friday it was confident it will reach an agreement with U.S. counterparts on securities supervision. read more

Outside Hong Kong, the losses in Chinese shares were smaller, with the country’s blue-chip index (.CSI300) down 2.6%.

Elsewhere, Japan’s Nikkei (.N225) lost 2.4%, while South Korean shares (.KS11) shed 1.1% and Australian shares (.AXJO) dropped 0.9%.

U.S. consumer inflation jumped an annualised 7.9% in February, the largest increase in 40 years, data on Thursday showed. The surge implied the FOMC could move “more aggressively” to curb inflation, as promised by Fed Chair Jerome Powell last week. read more

Markets are already expecting the Federal Reserve to raise its Fed funds target rate by 25 basis points at the conclusion of next week’s monetary policy meeting.

Expectations of tighter monetary policy were also fuelled by a hawkish tone from the European Central Bank, which said on Thursday it will stop bond-buying in the third quarter. read more

“The ECB meeting was clearly more hawkish than expected,” said Chris Weston, head of research at brokerage Pepperstone in Melbourne.

“We see 11 basis points of hikes priced into EU rates by the July ECB meeting.”

In the currency market, the euro was 0.12% higher at $1.0994, as the hawkish tone from the ECB failed to boost momentum for the single currency substantially.

“The ECB gave more clarity to their stimulus exit plans, but it’s unlikely to give euro a sustained lift, not while the Russia-Ukraine conflict is ongoing,” said analysts at Westpac in a morning note.

The yen eased to its weakest level against the dollar since January 2017 at 116.72 per dollar.

The dollar index (.DXY) held steady at 98.561, below a more than 1-1/2 year high of 99.418 hit on Monday.

In the bond market, yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes were at 1.9794%, while Japan’s 10-year government bond yield was at 0.185%.

In commodity markets, U.S. crude was up 0.2% at $106.26 a barrel. Brent crude was largely flat at $109.23 per barrel.

Gold was down about half a percent. Spot gold was traded at $1,986.47 per ounce.

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Reporting by Daniel Leussink in Tokyo
Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Kim Coghill

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Chelsea owner Abramovich and Rosneft boss Sechin hit by UK sanctions

  • UK sanctions seven more oligarchs it links to Kremlin
  • Group includes Chelsea owner Abramovich
  • Chelsea sale put on hold, UK might sell club
  • Trading suspended in Evraz shares

LONDON, March 10 (Reuters) – Britain imposed sanctions on Chelsea soccer club owner Roman Abramovich and Igor Sechin, the chief executive of Russian oil giant Rosneft, hitting them with asset freezes and travel bans because of their links to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The two billionaires plus Oleg Deripaska and four other Russian oligarchs are the most high-profile businessmen to be added to the British sanctions list since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The move follows criticism that Britain has been acting too slowly.

The action puts on ice Abramovich’s plans to sell the Premier League club, effectively placing the current European champions under government control. The team can carry on playing but the government said it was open to selling the club so long as Abramovich himself did not benefit. read more

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“There can be no safe havens for those who have supported Putin’s vicious assault on Ukraine,” Prime Minister Boris Johnson said.

“We will be ruthless in pursuing those who enable the killing of civilians, destruction of hospitals and illegal occupation of sovereign allies.”

There had been loud calls from British lawmakers for action to be taken against Abramovich and other Russian oligarchs, with criticism that Johnson’s government was not moving fast enough compared to the European Union and the United States.

Sechin, who Britain described as Putin’s right-hand man, was already on the U.S. and EU sanctions lists and last week French authorities seized his yacht. read more

Since the invasion of Ukraine, which Moscow describes as a “special military operation”, Britain has imposed sanctions on about 20 Russian-linked figures. The EU announced new sanctions on Wednesday against 14 more oligarchs, meaning its restrictions apply to 862 people and 53 entities. read more

15 BILLION POUNDS

The others added to the British list were Deripaska, who has stakes in En+ Group, Dmitri Lebedev, chairman of Bank Rossiya, Alexei Miller, the chief executive of energy company Gazprom, and Nikolai Tokarev, the president of the Russia state-owned pipeline company Transneft.

In total Britain said the seven figures, who with the exception of Abramovich had previously been sanctioned by the United States or the EU, had a collective net worth of 15 billion pounds. ($19.74 billion).

Thursday’s action means Abramovich is banned from carrying out transactions with any British individuals and businesses, and cannot enter or stay in Britain. His spokeswoman declined comment.

The 55-year-old, who has Israeli and Portuguese citizenship, became one of Russia’s most powerful businessmen by earning fabulous fortunes after the 1991 break-up of the Soviet Union. Forbes has put his net worth at $13.3 billion.

He bought Chelsea in 2003 for a reported 140 million pounds and his investment contributed hugely to the most successful era in the team’s history as they won five Premier League titles, five FA Cups and the Champions League twice.

They beat Brazilian side Palmeiras in February to become FIFA Club World Cup champions for the first time, having defeated fellow English side Manchester City to become European champions last season.

Last week, Abramovich announced he would sell Chelsea and donate money from the sale to help victims of the war in Ukraine. Johnson’s spokesman said the government was open to selling the club but it would require another licence. read more

“If the club is sold, Abramovich will not benefit,” sports minister Nadine Dorries told reporters. read more

The government has issued a special licence to allow Chelsea to play fixtures and pay staff, but will limit the sale of tickets and merchandise. read more

Anita Clifford, a lawyer who specialises in asset freezing and sanctions matters, said the measures temporarily deprived Abramovich of his assets but Chelsea could be sold with his and the government’s agreement. The money could potentially go to help Ukrainian war victims.

“The proceeds…would be frozen too and would not simply flow to the designated person unless there was a licence or agreement in place to either cover this, or cover the proceeds going to a nominated beneficiary which both parties considered appropriate,” she told Reuters.

The entry on the British sanctions list described Abramovich, who Britain said was worth 9 billion pounds, as “a prominent Russian businessman and pro-Kremlin oligarch who had enjoyed “a close relationship for decades” with Putin.

This association had brought Abramovich financial or material benefit from either Putin directly or the Russian government, it said.

It said he was “involved in destabilising Ukraine” and undermining its sovereignty and independence via the London-listed Russian steelmaker Evraz (EVRE.L) in which he is the biggest shareholder.

Britain’s financial watchdog suspended trading of shares in Evraz, which plummeted 16% after the sanctions were announced.

Evraz has been involved in providing financial services, or funds, goods or technology that could damage Ukraine’s independence including providing steel that might be used to make Russian tanks, the British treasury said.

Abramovich could apply to the foreign office for an internal review of the asset freeze, or apply to the High Court in London for a review of the decision, a process that could take 18 months or longer, Clifford said.

‘LONDONGRAD’

London has long been a top destination for Russian money, with wealthy Russians using it as a luxury playground and educating their children at fee-paying schools. It has earned the nickname Londongrad.

Johnson’s critics, who point out his Conservative Party has close ties to Russian donors who have donated about 1.9 million pounds since he came to power, say the government has been slow to impose sanctions and asset freezes on the oligarchs and those close to Putin’s administration.

Opposition lawmakers said the news of the sanctions was welcome but they had taken far too long.

“This is the right decision. But it should not have taken the government weeks,” said David Lammy, foreign affairs spokesman for the Labour Party.

“Too few oligarchs linked to Putin’s rogue regime have so far faced sanctions from the UK government. We are lagging far behind allies in the EU and the US.”

($1 = 0.7599 pounds)

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Reporting by Kate Holton, Alistair Smout, and Paul Sandle; writing by Michael Holden; editing by William James, Frank Jack Daniel and Angus MacSwan

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Global shares, oil rises as U.S. bans Russian oil imports

NEW YORK, March 8 (Reuters) – Global share markets slid lower on Tuesday as oil remained near record highs after the United States banned Russian oil and other energy imports, stoking volatility and concerns about inflation.

U.S. President Joe Biden banned imports of Russian oil and gas energy. Britain announced shortly before Biden’s remarks that it would phase out the import of Russian oil and oil products by the end of 2022.

Oil’s surging prices tempered some on the news, with the international oil benchmark Brent crude for May climbing by 2.29% to $122.13 at 12:45 p.m. EST (1745 GMT), down from its high of more than $139 a barrel in the previous session. read more

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Since Russia invaded Ukraine on Feb. 24, Western sanctions have cut Russia off from international trade and financial markets. read more

Russia, which calls its actions in Ukraine a “special operation,” had warned that prices could surge to $300 a barrel and it might close the main gas pipeline to Germany if the West blocks oil imports over its invasion of Ukraine. read more

Jason McMann, head of geopolitical risk analysis at Morning Consult, called the U.S. ban on Russian oil imports noteworthy, but said the “real show-stopper” would be Europe banning Russian energy imports.

“Given Europe’s relatively high dependence on energy supplies from Russia, such a move, if it materializes, would have major economic and geopolitical ramifications,” McMann said.

In the absence of such a ban, markets reacted positively to the U.S. ban, reversing direction to edge slightly higher in midday trade.

The MSCI world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS), which tracks shares in 50 countries, gained 0.44%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 444.6 points, or 1.35%, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 48.35 points, or 1.15%, and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 229.16 points, or 1.79%. The STOXX 600 was down 0.51% (.STOXX).

Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer in the Americas for UBS’s wealth management arm, said the increase in oil prices over the past week — the second biggest jump 30 years — is likely to stick around, causing continued market volatility.

“The Russia-Ukraine war has driven oil prices up faster than we previously expected, but we continue to see a tight supply-demand balance for crude oil globally, even if the hostilities end and the geopolitical risk premium attached to crude declines,” Marcelli said.

U.S. crude recently rose 2.29% to $122.13 per barrel, while prices of safe-haven spot gold added 1.9% to $2,035.30 an ounce.

The London Metal Exchange (LME) halted nickel trading on Tuesday after prices doubled in just hours to a record $100,000 per ton, fueled by a race to cover short positions. read more

UBS Global Wealth Management recommended a neutral stance on equities and advised clients to hold commodities, energy stocks and the U.S. dollar as portfolio hedges in the short term.

The rally in oil and other commodities has heightened investor fears about global inflation. Data this week is expected to show the U.S. consumer price index climbed a stratospheric 7.9% on a year-on-year basis in February, up from 7.5% in January. read more

Germany’s benchmark government bond yield rose sharply and a gauge of long-term euro zone market inflation expectations rose to its highest level since late 2013.

The U.S. Treasury 10-year yield was at 1.868% .

The euro was up 0.75% to $1.0933, after taking a beating and falling 3% last week to its lowest level since mid-2020.

The dollar index fell 0.32%.

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Reporting by Elizabeth Dilts Marshall; additional reporting by Saikat Chatterjee, Elizabeth Howcroft, Sujata Rao and Julie Zhu; Editing by Susan Fenton, Angus MacSwan and Jonathan Oatis

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Oil, commodities surge amid selloff in global shares

  • Updates prices; adds oil’s close, analyst comments

NEW YORK, March 7 (Reuters) – Oil and other commodities prices soared while global shares tanked on Monday as the United States said it was willing to ban Russian oil imports, stoking investor fears over inflation and slowing economic growth.

Brent, the international benchmark, briefly hit more than $139 a barrel, its highest level since 2008. Nickel prices rocketed 90%, gold broke through $2,000 an ounce and wheat jumped to a 14-year high, as industrial buyers and traders scrambled amid supply disruptions linked to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. read more

Euro zone real government bond yields fell sharply as surging energy prices fueled concerns that global economies are at risk of stagflation, a condition in which prices soar while growth stagnates.

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Germany’s 10-year and 30-year inflation-linked government bond yields fell to new record lows , while the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose slightly after touching its lowest level in two months.

Wall Street’s main indexes fell sharply, with the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) confirming it was in a bear market, and the pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) cut losses of around 3% to close at a near one-year low.

President Joe Biden’s administration is willing to move ahead with a U.S. ban on Russian oil imports even if European allies do not, two people familiar with the matter told Reuters. read more

Russia calls its actions in Ukraine a “special operation,” but it has triggered sweeping sanctions by the United States and Europe that aim to isolate Russia to a degree never before experienced by such a large economy. read more

“The crippling effect of oil prices above $130 would send many European economies into a recession,” and that scenario caused European stocks to move into bear market territory, said Edward Moya, senior analyst at OANDA.

“The U.S. can handle not having any Russian energy supplies, but that is not the case for Europe.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 797.42 points, or 2.37%, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 127.79 points, or 2.95% and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 482.48 points, or 3.62%.

MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 2.73%.

Brent crude futures settled up 4.3% at $123.21 a barrel. U.S. crude settled up 3.22% at $119.40 a barrel.

Bank of America analysts estimate that the loss of Russia’s 5 million barrels a day could cause crude oil prices to hit $200 a barrel.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict also weighed on talks aimed at reviving Iran’s nuclear deal with major powers, after Tehran accused Russia of “interference.” read more

Nickel prices, which reached $55,000 a ton earlier in the trading session, last traded up 76% at $50,925 a ton.

Russia supplies around 10% of the world’s nickel, and investors fear that Western sanctions against Russia could disrupt air and sea shipments of commodities produced and exported by Russia.

The conflict and broader supply-chain disruptions provide a challenging backdrop for upcoming central bank meetings, ANZ economist Finn Robinson wrote in a note to investors.

“Policy makers will need to safeguard the smooth transmission of monetary policy whilst also shoring up their inflation credentials at a time of surging inflation pressures and growing evidence of second round effects,” Robinson wrote.

A majority of economists polled by Reuters now expect the European Central Bank will wait until the end of the year to raise interest rates. read more

In the United States, investors are closely watching the consumer prices report due out on Thursday. The data is expected to show core U.S. CPI for February rose 6.4% year-on-year, up from 6% in January.

A hotter reading will likely seal a Federal Reserve rate hike later this month.

Traders now see a 99% probability of a 25 basis-point rate hike by the Fed at its March meeting, while seeing a 1% chance of no change in rates.

The dollar index , which measures the value of the greenback against six global peers, was last up 0.33% at 99.24.

The euro was down 0.7% against the dollar at $1.08575.

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Reporting by Elizabeth Dilts Marshall in New York
Additional reporting by Lawrence White in London and Wayne Cole in Sydney
Editing by Lisa Shumaker and Matthew Lewis

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Uniqlo owner stays put in Russia as Levi, AMEX and others sever ties

  • Uniqlo’s Russian stores to stay open
  • Danone suspends investments in country
  • KPMG, PwC, EY, Deloitte all cut ties with local units
  • American Express calls Ukraine attack ‘unjustified’

March 7 (Reuters) – Uniqlo owner Fast Retailing (9983.T) will keep its stores in Russia open, joining a small group of international firms that are staying put even as dozens of big brands temporarily shutter operations or exit the country over its invasion of Ukraine.

Political pressure is building on companies to halt business in Russia, while operations have also been complicated by sweeping sanctions affecting everything from global payments systems to a range of high-tech products.

Large shippers have suspended container routes to and from Russia and many Western companies from Nike Inc and home furnishings giant Ikea to energy majors BP and Shell (SHEL.L) have closed shop or announced plans to exit the country.

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“Clothing is a necessity of life. The people of Russia have the same right to live as we do,” said Fast Retailing CEO Tadashi Yanai in remarks first reported by Nikkei, adding that every country should oppose war.

A spokesperson told Reuters the company had seen no noticeable impact on its supply chain or logistics in Russia, where Uniqlo has 49 stores.

In contrast, Levi Strauss & Co (LEVI.N) suspended its Russian operations, including any new investments.

The Big Four accounting firms KPMG, PwC, EY and Deloitte moved one by one to cut their ties with Russia, as did credit card company American Express (AXP.N).

Dairy cooperative Arla Foods, French yoghurt maker Danone (DANO.PA) and Belgian chemicals group Solvay (SOLB.BR) also suspended operations or investment in the country, while the RIA Novosti news agency cited carmaker Nissan as saying it would halt production at its factory in St Petersburg. read more

Nissan said last week it was suspending vehicle exports to Russia, joining peers like General Motors Co (GM.N) and Sweden’s Volvo Cars (VOLCARb.ST).

The sun sets behind the skyscrapers of the Moscow International Business Centre, also known as “Moskva-City”, in Moscow, Russia April 23, 2018. REUTERS/Anton Vaganov

Among companies continuing to operate in Russia were McDonald’s Corp (MCD.N) and PepsiCo Inc (PEP.O), prompting New York state’s pension fund – a shareholder in the pair – to urge them and others to consider pausing their operations there. read more

Russia announced new “humanitarian corridors” on Monday to transport Ukrainians trapped under its bombardment – to Russia itself and its ally Belarus, a move immediately denounced by Kyiv as an immoral stunt. read more

Russia calls the campaign it launched on Feb. 24 a “special military operation”. It denies attacking civilian areas and says it has no plans to occupy Ukraine.

After Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a new media law on Friday, Chinese-owned video app TikTok said it would suspend live-streaming and the uploading of videos to its platform in Russia. read more

“We have no choice but to suspend livestreaming and new content to our video service while we review the safety implications of this law,” it said in a series of Twitter posts on Sunday.

‘UNJUSTIFIED ATTACK’

Many companies have strongly condemned Russia’s actions as they suspended services in the country.

“In light of Russia’s ongoing, unjustified attack on the people of Ukraine, American Express is suspending all operations in Russia,” AMEX said on its website. read more

Netflix , which had already temporarily stopped future projects and acquisitions in Russia, suspended its service “given the situation on the ground”, a spokesperson said. read more

KPMG, PwC, EY and Deloitte all said they would sever links with their Russian operations, affecting thousands of staff. read more

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Reporting by Akriti Sharma in Bengaluru, Chris Gallagher in Washington, DC, Rocky Swift in Tokyo; Writing by Anna Driver and Sayantani Ghosh; editing by Diane Craft, Kirsten Donovan, Bernadette Baum and Susan Fenton

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Asia stocks hit 16-month low on Ukraine nuclear plant fire

SINGAPORE, March 4 (Reuters) – Asian equities and the euro weakened on Friday while oil prices jumped as investors took fright from reports of a nuclear power plant on fire amid fierce fighting between Ukraine and Russian troops.

The risk-off appetite battered markets across the region, sending Wall Street futures also lower, suggesting more pain for European and U.S. markets when they open later in the day.

RIA News agency cited the Ukrainian atomic energy ministry as saying that a generating unit at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, the largest of its kind in Europe, had been hit during an attack by Russian troops.

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While prices have since trimmed losses from their morning lows on reports there was no immediate change in radiation levels in the area, investors remain extremely anxious.

“Markets are worried about nuclear fallout. The risk is that there is a miscalculation or overreaction and the war prolongs,” said Vasu Menon, executive director of investment strategy at OCBC Bank.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares ex-Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) tumbled as much as 1.6% to 585.5, the lowest level since November 2020, taking the year-to-date losses to 7%. It regained some losses but was still down 1.4%.

“Markets don’t want a contagion effect and more European countries impacted by the crisis,” said Menon. “If investors are looking to buy, they need to have a strong and long-term risk appetite.”

Stock markets across Asia were in a sea of red, with Japan (.N225) losing 2.6%, South Korea 1.3%, China (.SSEC) 0.7% and Hong Kong 2.7% while commodities-heavy Australia (.AXJO) was down 0.7%.

S&P 500 futures shed 0.9% and Nasdaq futures fell 1%. Overnight, Wall Street ended lower as investors remained on edge over the Ukraine crisis, while rising prices of commodities also weighed on market sentiment.

Investors sought refuge in safe-haven U.S. Treasuries, sending yields on benchmark 10-year yields as much as 14 basis points lower to 1.7%. They later inched back up to 1.78%.

Oil prices jumped on Friday after ending steady a day earlier, with the market also focused on whether the OPEC+ producers, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, would increase output from January.

Brent crude futures for May rose to as much as $114.23 a barrel and were last up 1.5% at $112.2. The contract fell 2.2% on Thursday.

There was no let-up in other commodities also, with Chicago wheat futures jumping nearly 7%, taking the weekly gain to more than 40% on supply side worries.

On the economic data front, the U.S. employment report on Friday is expected to show another month of strong job growth, with the Omicron COVID-19 variant wave of infections significantly diminished.

“We are still talking about very strong global growth, we are still rebounding, reopening from the pandemic, we still have confidence in the consumer outlook,” said David Goodman, lead economist at Aware Super, one of Australia’s largest superannuation funds, which manages more than $150 billion.

Goodman said the market volatility underscored the need to have a diversified portfolio with exposure to different markets, adding that the fund’s portfolio included firms in renewables energy, digital infrastructure, housing and logistics sectors.

Gold prices also rose on Friday, eyeing their best weekly gain since May 2021. Spot gold edged up 0.2% to $1,939,5.

In currency markets, the euro lost further ground and was set for its worst week versus the dollar in nine months. It fell 0.3% to $1.10320 and traded above the day’s lows. It has lost about 1.8% this week, which would be the euro’s worst week since June 2021.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Thursday repeated his comments from Wednesday that he would back an initial quarter percentage point increase in the bank’s benchmark rate.

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Reporting by Anshuman Daga; Editing by Edwina Gibbs and Sam Holmes

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Stocks slide as oil surge kindles inflation fears

  • Oil almost hits $120 a barrel, falls on possible Iran deal
  • Metals prices surge as Russia supply woes deepen
  • Stocks fall after Wednesday’s rally on Powell comments
  • Euro weakens toward 21-month low, dollar rallies
  • >Graphic: Global asset performance

NEW YORK, March 3 (Reuters) – Oil prices initially soared on Thursday as the Ukraine war sparked a run on commodities that raised fears of “stagflation,” while equity markets fell as investors gauge the impact of the Federal Reserve’s plans to tighten monetary policy.

The fresh surge in energy prices heightened worries about the European economic outlook, leading the euro to slide to its lowest level in almost six years against Britain’s pound and pinning it near 21-month lows versus the dollar.

Brent crude futures , the international benchmark for oil, climbed to within 16 cents of $120 a barrel before falling on hopes the United States and Iran will agree soon to a nuclear deal that could add output to a badly undersupplied market.

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The price of aluminum, copper and nickel raced to fresh highs as the widening sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine threatened to further disrupt the flow of commodities from one of the world’s major producers.

The jump in commodity prices has raised concerns about the potential for stagflation — when rising inflation and stagnate output roils the economy and crimps employment.

“Investors are more fearful of a Fed reaction to stagflation than stagflation itself,” said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco.

“We will see a flash of stagflation,” she said. “But markets would be comfortable with that if they felt that the Fed would be comfortable with that.”

Markets are volatile, leading investors to try to figure out a lot of moving parts “in one fell swoop,” said Jeff Mortimer, director of investment strategy at BNY Mellon Wealth Management.

“Markets are trying to recalibrate what the Fed will do and its views on inflation,” he said. “To us it’s how to get a handle on what’s inflation going to be six, nine, 12, 15 and 18 months from now. That is really the critical question.”

U.S. stocks initially rose, extending a rally on Wednesday after Powell eased widely held expectations of a 50 basis-point hike in interest rates when policymakers meet in two weeks.

But stocks later fell after Powell told a Senate committee in a second day of testimony before Congress that Russia’s war in Ukraine could hit the U.S. economy from higher prices to dampened spending and investment. read more

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 0.29%, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 0.53% and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 1.56%.

In Europe, the pan-regional STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) slid 2.01%, while MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) closed down 0.61%.

U.S. and German government bond yields retreated as investors eyed potential monetary tightening. Money markets in Europe are now pricing in a 95% chance of a 30-basis-point hike in interest rates from the European Central Bank by year-end.

Germany’s 10-year government bond yield, the benchmark of the bloc, rose 0.2 basis point (bps) to 0.039%.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes fell 1.3 basis points to 1.825% as U.S. and other sovereign bond prices whipsawed while investors assess the impact of the Fed, ECB and other central banks raising rates to tame inflation.

Everything from coal to natural gas and aluminium are surging as Western nations tighten sanctions on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine. read more

Three-month nickel on the London Metal Exchange (LME) rose to its highest since April 2011, and benchmark LME aluminium rose 5% after hitting a record $3,755 a tonne.

Oil markets were volatile as investors anticipate disruption to worldwide flows due to the sanctions on Russia. Prices fell on signs of progress toward removing remaining issues blocking a revival of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal. read more

U.S. crude settled down $2.93 at $107.67 a barrel, while Brent slipped $2.47 to settle at $110.46.

U.S. gold futures settled 0.7% higher at $1,935.90 an ounce.

MSCI added to Russia’s financial isolation by deciding to shut the country out of its emerging markets index, while FTSE Russell said Russia would be removed from all its indices.

Fitch slashed Russia’s sovereign credit rating six notches to “junk” status, saying it was uncertain the country could service its debt, and Moody’s soon followed. read more

The ruble pared some losses after slumping to new record lows against the dollar and euro. The currency was flat by day’s end on Moscow exchange at 106.01 after hitting an all-time low of 118.35 in thin and volatile trade.

In Asia, the rush to commodities lifted resource-rich Australian stocks (.AXJO) 0.49%.

Overnight in Asia, Japan’s Nikkei (.N225) managed a 0.7% gain, while MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) nudged up 0.39%.

In currency markets, the dollar index rose 0.327%, with the euro was down 0.52% to $1.1063.

The yen strengthened 0.07% to 115.44 per dollar.

The euro and gas prices
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Reporting by Herbert Lash, additional reporting by Tommy Wilkes in London and Wayne Cole in Sydney; Editing by Jane Merriman, Bernadette Baum and Jonathan Oatis

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Australia steps up flood relief efforts as Sydney braces for heavy rains

SYDNEY, March 1 (Reuters) – Military helicopters airlifted stranded people from rooftops of flooded neighbourhoods in eastern Australia and a tenth victim was found on Tuesday following days of torrential rain as the wild weather slowly shifts south toward Sydney.

The death toll rose to 10 after a woman believed in her 80s was found dead inside a flooded property, police said.

Floodwater from the deluge, which began late last week, submerged several towns and bridges in Queensland and New South Wales, and was moving to the south with heavy rains and possible flash flooding forecast for Sydney.

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“This rather significant weather system … we will see it come into the central coast of Sydney and we are already experiencing elements of that right now,” Prime Minister Scott Morrison said during a media briefing.

Sydney, Australia’s largest city and home to more than 5 million people, could receive up to 150 mm (6 inches) of rains within a six-hour period on Tuesday afternoon, the Bureau of Meteorology said. Sydney’s mean rainfall for March is 138 mm, according to official data.

New South Wales Premier Dominic Perrottet described the extreme weather as a “one-in-a-one thousand-year event” and said emergency crews carried out more than 1,000 rescues in the state after receiving 6,000 calls for help so far.

Hundreds of people are still stuck at their homes in the northern New South Wales city of Lismore, facing its worst floods on record, amid reports of some spending the night on rooftops. Mayor Steve Krieg told Channel Seven that nine people were still missing with 400 rescues yet to be carried out.

Around 50 people were rescued after they became stuck on a bridge overnight when fast rising waters submerged both ends, authorities said.

Australia’s east coast summer has been dominated by the La Nina climate pattern, which is typically associated with greater rainfall, for a second straight year. read more

Brisbane, Australia’s third largest city, received around 80% of its annual rainfall over the last three days, Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk said on Tuesday.

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Reporting by Renju Jose; editing by Richard Pullin & Simon Cameron-Moore

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Oil soars as Russian energy supply fears intensify

Models of oil barrels and a pump jack are displayed in front of Ukrainian and Russian flag colors in this illustration taken, February 24, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration


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  • Russia faces disruptions to oil exports without SWIFT
  • OPEC+ revises down 2022 market surplus estimate
  • Goldman Sachs raised one-month Brent forecast to $115

LONDON, Feb 28 (Reuters) – Oil prices jumped on Monday as Western allies imposed more sanctions on Russia and blocked some Russian banks from a global payments system, which could cause severe disruption to its oil exports.

Brent crude rose $2.32, or 2.4%, to $100.25 by 1436 GMT after touching a high of $105.07 a barrel in early trade.

The Brent contract for April delivery expires on Monday. The most active contract, for May delivery, was up $3.14 at $97.26.

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U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up $3.09, or 3.4%, at $94.68 after hitting $99.10 in early trade.

“Growing concerns about disruptions to Russian energy supplies are pushing oil and gas prices up sharply,” Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said.

Russia is facing severe disruption to its exports of all commodities from oil to grains after Western nations imposed stiff sanctions on Moscow and cut off some Russian banks from the SWIFT international payment system. read more

“Russia could retaliate to these harsh measures by reducing or even completely suspending energy shipments to Europe,” Fritsch said.

Russian crude oil grades, which account for about 10% of global oil supply, were hammered in physical markets.

Goldman Sachs raised its one-month Brent price forecast to $115 a barrel from $95 previously. read more

“We expect the price of consumed commodities that Russia is a key producer of to rally from here – this includes oil,” the bank said.

President Vladimir Putin put Russia’s nuclear deterrent on high alert on Sunday. read more

Russian forces seized two small cities in southeastern Ukraine, the Interfax news agency said, but ran into stiff resistance elsewhere. read more

Talks between Ukraine and Russia have started at the Belarusian border, a Ukrainian presidential adviser said, aiming to agree to an immediate ceasefire. read more

“If there’s any progress made in this meeting, we’re going to see a sharp reversal in markets – we’ll see stocks rise, the dollar rise and oil fall,” said OANDA analyst Jeffrey Halley.

British oil major BP decided to exit its Russian oil and gas investments, opening a new front in the West’s campaign to isolate Russia’s economy. BP is Russia’s biggest foreign investor. read more

The sanctions and the exodus of Western oil companies could impact Russian oil production in the near term, analysts said.

Oil prices came under pressure after The Wall Street Journal reported that the United States and other major oil-consuming nations are considering releasing 70 million barrels of oil from their emergency stockpiles.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies led by Russia, a group known as OPEC+, are due to meet on Wednesday. The group is expected to stick to plans to add 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) of supply in April.

Ahead of the meeting, OPEC+ revised down its forecast for the oil market surplus for 2022 by about 200,000 bpd to 1.1 million bpd, underscoring market tightness. read more

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Reporting by Bozorgmehr Sharafedin in London; Additional reporting by Sonali Paul in Melbourne and Alex Lawler in London; Editing by David Goodman, Carmel Crimmins and Mark Porter

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Crude rallies, rouble plunges to record low as Ukraine risks rise

Russian Rouble coins are seen in this illustration taken, February 24, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

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  • U.S., Aussie bond yields fall amid haven demand
  • Euro sinks with Aussie, kiwi; dollar, yen gain
  • Asian stocks swing, U.S., European futures slide

TOKYO, Feb 28 (Reuters) – Crude oil jumped while the rouble plunged nearly 30% to a fresh record low on Monday after Western nations imposed new sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, including blocking some banks from the SWIFT international payments system.

Haven demand boosted bond yields along with the dollar and yen while the euro sank after Russian President Vladimir Putin put nuclear-armed forces on high alert on Sunday, the fourth day of the biggest assault on a European state since World War Two. read more

The ramp-up in tensions heightened fears that oil supplies from the world’s second-largest producer could be disrupted, sending Brent crude futures up $4.21 or 4.3% at $102.14. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up $4.58 or 5.0% at $96.17 a barrel.

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U.S. and European stock futures sank, but Asia-Pacific stocks were mostly higher in volatile trading, buoyed by Wall Street gains from Friday, when the S&P 500 closed up 2.51%, said Kyle Rodda, a market analyst at IG Australia.

“We had a deluge of very negative information over the weekend,” Rodda said. “My sense is there’s not going to be much staying power behind this particular move (in Asia-Pacific stocks), considering we’re talking about financial stability risks, and sprinkle over that the threat of nuclear war.”

“Volatility is heightened,” he said. “Price action is incredibly choppy.”

U.S. emini stock futures were pointing to a 1.57% drop at the restart, while pan-European EURO STOXX 50 futures lost 2.83%.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 (.N225) rose 0.48%, recovering from an earlier loss. Australia’s benchmark (.AXJO) added 0.64% after also being down at one point. Chinese blue chips (.CSI300), though, slipped 0.21%.

MSCI’s index of regional stocks (.MIAP00000PUS) eked out a 0.09% gain.

Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell about 6 basis point to 1.92%, and equivalent Australian yields also retreated about 6 basis points, to 2.18%.

The euro slid 0.9% to $1.1170 and 0.87% to 129.065 yen , while the risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars sank 0.66% and 0.76%, respectively.

The rouble tumbled 29.37% to a record-low 119 per dollar.

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Editing by Stephen Coates

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