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- Chip CEOs urge US to mull effects of curbs on China 台北時報
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Tag Archives: Assess
Fed wants to ‘take a breather’ and assess rate hike impact on economy: Economist – Yahoo Finance
- Fed wants to ‘take a breather’ and assess rate hike impact on economy: Economist Yahoo Finance
- The stock rally will end soon, recession will hit, and the Fed won’t hike interest rates again, markets guru Jeremy Siegel predicts Yahoo Finance
- I think the Fed is on hold for an extended period of time, says Marathon Asset’s Bruce Richards CNBC Television
- A higher annual percentage yield (APY) will, simply put, grow your money faster, no matter how much of it you’re able to stash away. KTBS
- Fed needs market to continue pricing in future rate hikes: Economist Yahoo Finance
- View Full Coverage on Google News
Stocks nudge higher as investors assess Fedspeak
U.S. stocks crept forward Tuesday as Wall Street processed hawkish rate talk from Federal Reserve officials and mulled remarks from Chair Jerome Powell at an event hosted by Sweden’s central bank.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) were each up a modest 0.2% in afternoon trading after rising at the open and then briefly turning negative in a back-and-forth week. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) moved up 0.5%.
Powell reiterated the importance of stable inflation in a speech Tuesday at the Symposium on Central Bank Independence in Stockholm, Sweden, adding that leveling out prices can require the Fed to take actions that are necessary, even if often unpopular.
“The case for monetary policy independence lies in the benefits of insulating monetary policy decisions from short-term political considerations,” he said.
Elsewhere in a busy week of Fedspeak, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman asserted on Tuesday that there remains more work to do on fighting inflation despite recent improvements in the data and said the Fed will continue raising interest rates to reach its 2% long-term price stability goal.
“I am committed to taking further actions to bring inflation back down to our goal,” Bowman said at the Florida Bankers Association Leadership Luncheon in Miami, Florida.
In specific market moves, shares of Coinbase (COIN) rose 4.9% after the cryptocurrency exchange said it would cut nearly 1,000 jobs as part of a restructuring plan. The company expects to incur roughly $149 million to $163 million in restructuring expenses. The move will mark the third round of layoffs for Coinbase since last year.
Shares of billionaire Richard Branson’s Virgin Orbit Holdings (VORB) plunged 10% after one of the company’s rockets failed to reach its target orbit in a highly anticipated space mission due to a technical failure.
Investors continued to watch shares of beleaguered retailer Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) as it reported earnings that missed estimates, just one week after revealing the company was considering bankruptcy due to its financial struggles. The meme stock spiked nearly 20% on Tuesday after a 24% surge Monday.
“As we shared last week, we continue to work with advisors as we consider all strategic alternatives to accomplish our near- and long-term goals,” CEO Sue Gove said in an update Tuesday, adding that “multiple paths are being explored.”
Bumble (BMBL) shares rose 5% in early trading after KeyBanc upgraded the female-founded dating app from Sector Weight to Overweight and said the “competitive environment appears stable, and economic pressures are easing.”
Oak Street Health (OSH) shares spiked 28% after Bloomberg News reported Monday that CVS Health is exploring an acquisition of the operator of primary care centers.
Tuesday’s moves come after a mixed start to the week that saw the technology-heavy Nasdaq extend gains from a rally Friday while the other two major averages failed to sustain momentum. The Nasdaq rose 0.6% on Monday, while the S&P 500 and Dow each closed down 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively, following hawkish remarks from two Federal Reserve officials.
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said during a live-streamed interview with the Wall Street Journal that she expects policymakers will raise interest rates to somewhere above 5%, while adding that the final rate will ultimately depend on the path of inflation.
Echoing that view, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic also said the U.S. central bank should raise interest rates above 5% by early in the second quarter and then hold them there for a “long time.”
“I am not a pivot guy,” Bostic said in remarks at the Atlanta Rotary Club on Monday. “I think we should pause and hold there, and let the policy work.”
Thursday will bring investors December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) – perhaps the most important economic release of the month and the last significant reading before Federal Reserve officials meet Jan. 31-Feb. 1 to deliver their next interest rate increase.
Economists expect headline CPI rose 6.6% over the prior year in December, a downshift from the 7.1% increase seen in November, according to data from Bloomberg. On a month-over-month basis, CPI likely stayed flat.
The report is likely to sway bets on whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 0.25% or 0.50% at the start of next month.
—
Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc
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Stock futures are slightly positive as investors assess risk of an economic downturn
U.S. stock futures were up slightly on Thursday morning following a fifth straight day of losses for the S&P 500 as Wall Street weighed the likelihood of a recession.
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 30 points, or 0.09%. S&P 500 futures gained 0.11%, while Nasdaq 100 futures were 0.17% higher.
Shares of Rent the Runway surged more than 27% in extended trading. The online retailer topped revenue expectations in its most recent quarter as shoppers opted to borrow designer clothes amid rising inflation.
During the regular session Wednesday, the S&P 500 declined 0.19% in its fifth straight losing session. The Dow was virtually flat, adding just 1.58 points. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.51%.
The Federal Reserve is expected to issue a 50 basis point interest rate hike next week. It’s a smaller increase than the prior four rate hikes. Still, investors are increasingly concerned whether the central bank can avoid a recession next year in its attempt to squash inflation.
“We’ve been waiting for earnings to come down, we’ve been waiting for CEOs to acknowledge the fact that a recession is more likely than not, and here we are,” Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, said Wednesday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime.”
“It’s hard for me to see how we wouldn’t have one. But I think it would be a good thing if we just got it over with,” Young added.
On the economic front, investors are awaiting the latest data on weekly jobless claims before the bell on Thursday. Economists polled by Dow Jones are anticipating a reading of 230,000, up slightly from the prior week’s total of 225,000.
Traders are expecting the most recent earnings results from Lululemon Athletica, DocuSign, Broadcom and Costco after the bell Thursday.
Stock futures rise as investors assess the prospect of higher interest rates
Stock futures rose Friday as investors continued evaluating earnings reports and tougher language from Federal Reserve speakers.
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 80 points, or 0.2%. The S&P 500’s futures traded higher by 0.4%, while Nasdaq-100 futures advanced 0.5%.
Ross Stores and Palo Alto Networks popped after the two companies posted their latest quarterly results. Investors also appeared to cheer Gap’s most recent results.
Friday’s moves come after a down session on Wall Street after comments from Federal Reserve officials raised concern over tighter U.S. monetary policy.
St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said Thursday that “the policy rate is not yet in a zone that may be considered sufficiently restrictive.” He suggested that the appropriate zone for the federal funds rate could be in the 5% to 7% range, which is higher than what the market is pricing.
Investors have responded to each new piece of economic data or any language in recent weeks that could indicate what the Fed will do next with interest rates, said Shelby McFaddin, investment analyst at Motley Fool Asset Management. In this case, she said the comments on inflation led investors to believe the Fed does not think the economy has cooled enough.
“There’s absolutely been a thirst for relief and a tug of war,” she said of investor response over recent days. “But at the end of the day, it really just depends on this inflationary period becoming deflationary slower than it ramped up, and on what the Fed decides to do next.”
Investors will watch Friday for data on existing home sales for any indication of a cooling economy. Boston Fed President Susan Collins will speak in the morning.
European markets cautious as investors assess Fed outlook
Stocks on the move: Informa up 6%, Roche down 4%
Shares of Informa climbed more than 6% in early trade to lead the Stoxx 600 after the British publishing company upgraded its 2022 guidance.
At the bottom of the Stoxx 600, Roche fell 4.7% after the Swiss pharmaceutical company’s Alzheimer’s drug candidate failed two long-awaited trials.
– Elliot Smith
Bitcoin falls below $16,000 to lowest since Nov. 2020 as FTX saga continues
CNBC Pro: One retail stock just hit an all-time high — and Bank of America thinks it’s got further to go
This year’s bear market has wiped trillions of dollars in market cap off the stock market, but a few stocks have outperformed significantly during this period.
Bank of America identified three retail stocks that bucked the trend, and says one remains a buy.
Pro subscribers can read more here.
— Zavier Ong
CNBC Pro: UBS says disinflation is on the way — and shares 8 global stocks to play it
Swiss bank UBS has forecasted a “sharp” disinflation in 2023.
It said weak growth alongside “mechanical” indicators, such as easing supply chain bottlenecks and rising goods inventories, would see prices fall next year.
The investment bank screened for stocks that would benefit from such an environment.
CNBC Pro subscribers can read more about their forecasts, and eight stocks we’ve highlighted from their list.
— Ganesh Rao
European markets: Here are the opening calls
European markets are set to open in positive territory on Monday with global markets still seeing a boost from last week’s U.S. inflation figures, which showed prices had risen less than expected in October.
The U.K.’s FTSE index is expected to open 13 points higher at 7,338, Germany’s DAX up 45 points at 14,283, France’s CAC up 30 points at 6,627 and Italy’s FTSE MIB down 136 points at 24,459, according to data from IG.
Data releases include euro zone industrial production figures for September. There are no major earnings.
— Holly Ellyatt
Stock futures fall as investors assess dreary FedEx warning
Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, August 8, 2022.
Andrew Kelly | Reuters
U.S. stock futures fell on Thursday night as Wall Street headed toward a losing week, and traders absorbed an ugly earnings warning from FedEx.
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped by 160 points, or 0.51%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.64% and 0.75%, respectively.
Shares of FedEx plunged 15% in extended trading after the shipments company withdrew its full-year guidance, and said it will implement cost-cutting initiatives to contend with soft global shipment volumes as “macroeconomic trends significantly worsened.”
The three major averages were on pace to notch their fourth losing week in five. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 3.70% this week, while the S&P 500 is 4.08% lower. The Nasdaq Composite is down 4.62%, headed toward its worst weekly loss since June.
During the regular session Thursday, the Dow dropped 173 points, or 0.56%, for its lowest close since July 14. The Nasdaq Composite slid 1.43%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.13%.
Traders are concerned that markets will retest June lows after a surprisingly hot reading in August’s consumer price index report indicated an increasingly difficult pathway to bring down inflation by the Federal Reserve.
“They might have a hard choice to make,” iCapital’s Anastasia Amoroso said Thursday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime.”
“Before they were saying, we’re going to try to have a soft landing and bring down inflation. Now they may have to make a choice. It’s either a soft landing or bringing down inflation. In other words, they may have to engineer more of a crackdown on economic growth to bring down inflation,” she added.
On the economic front, traders are expecting the latest consumer sentiment data on 10 a.m. ET Friday.
Merging morphological and genetic evidence to assess hybridization in Western Eurasian late Pleistocene hominins
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NASA, SpaceX to assess potential Starship threat to Crew Dragon pad
SpaceX is building a towering new gantry at the Kennedy Space Center’s complex 39A to launch its 394-foot-tall Super Heavy-Starship rocket, but NASA said Thursday it will not grant permission to fly until it assesses the possible threats to a nearby pad used to send astronauts to the space station.
The new gantry and launch stand are being built within about 1,000 feet of NASA’s original 39A firing stand, now leased by SpaceX, where Falcon 9 rockets blast off carrying cargo and astronauts to the International Space Station.
Reuters reported last week that NASA managers are concerned about the possibility of a catastrophic failure on or just above the new Starship pad that could seriously damage the Falcon 9 launch infrastructure, interrupting SpaceX astronaut flights to the space station aboard Crew Dragon capsules.
SpaceX
“We all recognize that if you had an early failure like we did on one of the early SpaceX flights, it would be pretty devastating to 39A,” Kathy Lueders, NASA’s space operations chief, told Reuters.
She was presumably referring to an on-pad explosion in 2016 that destroyed a Falcon 9 and its communications satellite payload, severely damaging launch pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in the process.
The Super Heavy-Starship takes that threat to a different level.
Tipping the scales at about 11 million pounds, the fully reusable next-generation rocket will be the largest, most powerful launcher ever built, generating 16 million pounds of thrust at liftoff — twice that of NASA’s Space Launch System moon rocket — using 33 methane-burning Raptor engines.
The 160-foot-tall Starship upper stage, carrying astronauts, cargo or both, will be powered by six Raptors. A variant of the upper stage is being developed under a $2.9 billion NASA contract to serve as the initial moon lander in the agency’s Artemis program.
William Harwood/CBS News
SpaceX repaired and upgraded launch complex 40 in the wake of the 2016 mishap and operates a third Falcon 9 pad at Vandenberg Space Force Base in California. But neither of those facilities is equipped to launch Crew Dragon astronaut ferry ships.
Boeing’s Starliner capsule, which will be launched from a crew-ready pad at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, is not yet certified for operational use and NASA considers complex 39A critical to ongoing space station operations.
Responding to a query from CBS News, NASA confirmed the Reuters story, saying Thursday SpaceX does not yet have permission to launch from the 39A complex.
“In the coming weeks, NASA and SpaceX will conduct a thorough review to ensure safe operations at the pad and assess redundant launch capabilities for NASA crewed and cargo missions to the International Space Station,” NASA said in a statement.
“As part of the review, NASA and SpaceX are assessing all options available including the development of a crew transportation capability at Space Launch Complex 40 on Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida.”
CBS News
Pad 40 has no gantry at present and SpaceX would have to carry out extensive modifications and upgrades to add access to a Crew Dragon atop a Falcon 9, to enable last-minute cargo additions and to provide emergency escape capability.
As for the Super Heavy-Starship, SpaceX already has built a pad at Boca Chica, Texas, where the company plans to begin orbital flight tests soon. It’s in the process of building a second Starship pad at 39A, stacking massive open-lattice segments one atop the other using a huge crane.
The first of eight gantry segments was hauled out to the complex last week and a second was attached early Thursday.
The NASA statement said the agency “is responsible for ensuring SpaceX remains compliant with the requirements of the property agreement for the use of Launch Complex 39A.”
“These requirements include those related to construction, safety and environmental conditions,” the statement said. “At this time, NASA has only provided approval to build. Additional review for hazards, operational impacts and supportability will be required prior to a launch.”
And as with all launches from U.S. soil, SpaceX will need a license from the Federal Aviation Administration.
WHO committee to assess next week whether monkeypox is a public health emergency of international concern
“I think it’s now clear that there is an unusual situation, meaning even the virus is behaving unusually from how it used to behave in the past,” Tedros said. “But not only that, it’s also affecting more and more countries, and we believe that it needs also some coordinated response because of the geographic spread.”
WHO defines a public health emergency of international concern, or PHEIC, as “an extraordinary event which is determined to constitute a public health risk to other States through the international spread of disease and to potentially require a coordinated international response.”
The organization says that the definition implies that a situation is “serious, sudden, unusual or unexpected; carries implications for public health beyond the affected State’s national border; may require immediate international action.”
This definition comes from the International Health Regulations, which were created in 2005 and represent a legal agreement involving 196 countries with the aim of helping the international community prevent and respond to public health risks that have the potential to spread around the globe.
The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention describes the regulations as “a legally binding agreement of 196 countries to build the capability to detect and report potential public health emergencies worldwide. IHR require that all countries have the ability to detect, assess, report, and respond to public health events.”
Two PHEICs are ongoing: polio, which began in 2014, and Covid-19, starting in 2020.
Four others have been declared since the regulations were put into place: H1N1 influenza from 2009 to 2010, Ebola from 2014 to 2016 and from 2019 to 2020, and the Zika virus in 2016.
WHO considers name change for virus
“WHO is also working with partners and experts from around the world on changing the name of monkeypox virus, its clades and the disease it causes,” Tedros said. “We will make announcements about the new names as soon as possible.”
Tedros said there have been more than 1,600 confirmed and almost 1,500 suspected monkeypox cases reported to WHO this year from 39 countries, seven of which are places where monkeypox has been detected for years. The other 32 are newly affected countries.
Seventy-two deaths have been reported this year from previously affected countries, and although none has been reported from newly affected countries, WHO is seeking to verify reports from Brazil of a monkeypox-related death.
According to the CDC, as of June 13, there are 65 confirmed or probable monkeypox cases in the United States.
WHO’s goals are to support countries in containing transmission and to stop the outbreak with public health tools, Tedros said, adding that it is essential to raise awareness of risks and actions to reduce transmission in those groups who are most at risk.
Although WHO doesn’t recommend mass vaccination against monkeypox, it published interim guidance Tuesday on using smallpox vaccines for monkeypox, he said.
“While smallpox vaccines are expected to provide some protection against monkeypox, there is limited clinical data and limited supply,” Tedros said. “Any decision about whether to use vaccines should be made jointly by individuals who may be at risk and their health care provider based on an assessment of risks and benefits on a case-by-case basis.”
He also noted that it’s essential that vaccines are available equitably wherever they are needed, and he said WHO is working with member states and partners to develop a mechanism for fair access to vaccines and treatments.